Module_1_Introduction_TVM
Module_1_Introduction_TVM
• Markets in general
Place where buyers and sellers can meet and exchange goods/services, directly or via
an intermediary
• Production opportunities
• Time preferences for consumption
• Risk
• Expected inflation
Today, you invest 7 lakh to receive 8 lakh after 5 years. Are you at a
benefit or loss? Interest rate = 10%
Today, you invest 7 lakh to receive 8 lakh after 5 years. Are you at a
benefit or loss? Interest rate = 10%
Answer:
1. bring 8 lakh to present value.
2. Compare it with the 7 lakh investment.
8/(1+0.1)^5 = 4.96 lakh
You have just won a lottery for 10 lakh. You are given 3 options:
• 1. Take 7.5 lakh today
• 2. Take 0 today, 5 lakh after 2 years, and the remaining 5 lakh after 4
years
• 3. Take the entire 10 lakh after 4 years
You have just won a lottery for 10 lakh. You are given 3 options:
• 1. Take 7.5 lakh today
• 2. Take 0 today, 5 lakh after 2 years, and the remaining 5 lakh after 4
years
• 0+[5/(1+0.1)^2]+ [5/(1+0.1)^4]
• 0 + 4.132 + 3.415 = 7.547 lakh
• 3. Take the entire 10 lakh after 4 years
• 10 / (1+0.1)^4 = 6.83 lakh
Timelines show the timing of cash flows.
0 1 2 3
i%
0 1 2 Year
i%
100
Types of Cash Flows
• One shot payment – PV at time 0 and FV at time t
• Cash Flow stream – Equal cash flow from time 1 to time t is called as
Ordinary Annuity – Cash flow from the end of the time period
• Cash Flow stream – Equal cash flow from time 0 to time t is called as
Annuity Due – Cash flows at the beginning of the time period
Types of Cash Flows
• Cash Flow Stream – Different cash flow in every time period starting
time 1 to time t called as mixed cash flow stream (NPV)
• Cash Flow Stream – Same cash flow forever starting time 1 to time
infinity called as Perpetuity.
0 1 2 3
i%
0 1 2 3
i%
-50 100 75 50
What’s the FV of an initial $100 after 3
years if i = 10%?
0 1 2 3
10%
100 FV = ?
In general,
0 1 2 3
10%
PV = ? 100
Solve FVn = PV(1 + i )n for PV:
F
%"F ! & $
!"## $ ## F # $ #%"F # &
" &' (%
(&' ()
3
æ 1 ö
PV = $100ç ÷
è 1.10 ø
= $100 (0.7513 ) = $75.13.
Finding the Time to Double
0 20%
1 2 ?
-1 2
FV = PV(1 + i)n
$2 = $1(1 + 0.20)n
(1.2)n = $2/$1 = 2
nLN(1.2) = LN(2)
n = LN(2)/LN(1.2)
n = 0.693/0.182 = 3.8.
What’s the difference between an ordinary
annuity and an annuity due?
Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
i%
0 1 2 3
10%
0 1 2 3
10%
A B C D
1 0 1 2 3
2 100 100 100
3 248.69
Excel Formula in cell A3:
Syntax: PV(rate, nper, pmt, [fv], [type])
Special Function for Annuities
=PV(10%,3,-100)
=FV(10%,3,-100)
Find the FV and PV if the
annuity were an annuity due.
0 1 2 3
10%
0 1 2 3 4
10%
A B C D E
1 0 1 2 3 4
2 100 300 300 -50
3 530.09
Excel Formula in cell A3:
=NPV(10%,B2:E2)
What interest rate would cause $100
to grow to $125.97 in 3 years?
$100(1 + i )3 = $125.97.
(1 + i)3 = $125.97/$100 = 1.2597
1+i = (1.2597)1/3 = 1.08
i = 8%.
Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller
if we compound more often, holding the
stated I% constant? Why?
100 133.10
Annually: FV3 = $100(1.10)3 = $133.10.
0 1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%
100 134.01
Semiannually: FV6 = $100(1.05)6 = $134.01.
We will deal with 3 different
rates:
FV = (1 + iNom/m)m
= (1.05)2 = 1.1025.
EAR% = 10.25% because (1.1025)1 = 1.1025.
( iNom
) -1
m
EAR% = 1 +
m
= (1 + 0.10) - 1.0
2
2
= (1.05)2 - 1.0
= 0.1025 = 10.25%.
EAR of 10%
EARAnnual = 10%.
mn
æ iNom ö
FVn = PVç 1 + ÷ .
è m ø
2x3
æ 0.10ö
FV3S = $100ç 1 + ÷
è 2 ø
= $100(1.05)6 = $134.01.
FV3Q = $100(1.025)12 = $134.49.
Can the effective rate ever be equal
to the nominal rate?
• Yes, but only if annual compounding is used, i.e., if
m = 1.
• If m > 1, EAR% will always be greater than the
nominal rate.
When is each rate used?
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 6-mos.
5% periods
( ) - 1 = 10.25%.
2
0.10
EAR = 1+ 2
b. Use EAR = 10.25% as the annual rate in your formula:
What’s the PV of this stream?
0 1 2 3
5%
90.70
82.27
74.62
247.59
On January 1 you deposit $100 in an account
that pays a quoted interest rate of 11.33463%,
with daily compounding (365 days).
-100 FV=?
FV273 = $100(1.00031054 )
273
= $100(1.08846) = $108.85.
-100 FV = 121.91
FV = $100(1 + 0.1133463/365)638
= $100(1.00031054)638
= $100(1.2191)
= $121.91.
You are offered a note that pays $1,000 in 15 months (or 456
days) for $850. You have $850 in a bank, which pays a
6.76649% nominal rate, with 365 daily compounding, which is
a daily rate of 0.018538%. You plan to leave the money in the
bank if you don’t buy the note. The note is riskless.
-850 1,000
3 Ways to Solve:
FVBank = $850(1.00018538)456
= $924.97 in bank.
PV = $1,000/(1.00018538)456
= $918.95.
3. Rate of Return
EAR % = (1.00035646)365 - 1
= 13.89%.
Using interest conversion:
P/YR = 365
NOM% = 0.035646(365) = 13.01
EAR% = 13.89
0 1 2 n
k
...
Value CF1 CF2 CFn
ki = k* + IP + LP + MRP + DRP
Suppose the bond was issued 20 years ago and now has 10
years to maturity. What would happen to its value over time if the
required rate of return remained at 10%, or at 13%, or at 7%?
Bond Value ($)
1,372 kd = 7%.
1,211
kd = 10%. M
1,000
837
kd = 13%.
775
30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Sells at a premium.
Because coupon = 9% > kd = 7.08%,
bond’s value > par.
Definitions
$90
Current yield = $887 = 0.1015 = 10.15%.
0 1 2 3
10%
Interest declines.
$
402.11
Interest
302.11
Principal Payments
0 1 2 3
Level payments. Interest declines because
outstanding balance declines. Lender earns
10% on loan outstanding, which is falling.
• Amortization tables are widely used--for home mortgages,
auto loans, business loans, retirement plans, and so on.
They are very important!
• Financial calculators (and spreadsheets) are great for setting
up amortization tables.