zero net emmission
zero net emmission
The concept of net zero greenhouse gas emissions was first popularised
by the Paris Agreement, a landmark deal that was agreed at the United
Nations Climate Change Conference (COP21) to limit the impact of
greenhouse gas emissions. At the watershed meeting, nearly 200
countries agreed “to achieve a balance between anthropogenic emissions
by sources by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this
century.” In other words, hit net zero emissions by around mid-century.
In 2018 the timeline and need for the goal was spelt out more clearly, by
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s report on stopping
1.5°C of warming. The UN climate science panel said that global carbon
dioxide emissions must fall by about 45 per cent by 2030, and to net zero
by 2050, for the world to have a chance of avoiding the devastating
consequences of breaching the 1.5°C threshold.
That report helped spur countries including Sweden to set a goal of net
zero emissions by 2050, followed by the UK in 2019, the first major
economy to do so. In 2020, China, the world’s biggest emitter, pledged it
would reach “carbon neutrality” by 2060. Businesses, and sub-national
actors such as states and regions, have also set similar targets.
Why net rather than just zero? Even if we decarbonise our electricity grids
entirely, make green hydrogen production affordable and dramatically
scale up carbon capture and storage, there will still be a rump of
emissions left by 2050. Most of those will come from hard- or impossible-
to-abate sectors including farming, aviation, some heavy industry and
waste.
There are a few technical but important questions around the best ways
to achieve net zero. One is over whether “carbon credits” from other
countries should be allowed to count towards a country’s progress. The UK
government’s advisers, the Climate Change Committee (CCC), argues
they should not, because of the expense but also because all countries
will eventually need to reach net zero, so that option will vanish.
Another is over whether net zero should cover just carbon emissions or all
greenhouse gas emissions, including others such as methane, which
comes principally from farming and oil and gas production. The CCC says
it is better to cover all greenhouse gas emissions.