The Integrated Energy and Power Master Plan Project

Retreat Program Material

Renewable Energy
(based on the result of Retreat October,
and Draft Final Report Nobember)

22th November 2022

JICA Study Team 1

 Summary

Advanced Technology Scenario

Item (Unit: MW) Availability
2030 2041 2050
SHM#2 TWG2-8/17 SHM#2 TWG2-8/17 SHM#2 TWG2-8/17
Solar PV 20% 5,600 5,061 9,500 9,500 17,800 18,000
→Solar-park solar PV 20% 2,600 3,061 3,500 3,500 5,800 6,000
→Rooftop solar PV 20%→18% 3,000 2,000 6,000 6,000 12,000 12,000
Solar thermal - 0 0 0 0 0 0
On-shore wind 25% 750 750 1,575 1,575 5,000 5,000
Off-shore wind 30% 0 0 6,000 6,000 15,000 15,000
Marine power - 0 0 0 0 0 0
Traditional biomass 80% 10 10 15 15 20 20
Modern biomass
(Waste to Energy)
80% 73 93.5 108 150 230 230
Hydropower (*) 230 230 230 330 230 330

(*) The amount of hydropower generated is determined

by the water conditions, not the installed capacity
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Solar-park solar PV(1)

Existing MW

CHATTOGRAM Kaptai 7 MW Solar PP 7

CHATTOGRAM Teknaf 20MW PP (Solartech) 20

DHAKA Manikganj 35MW (Spectra Solar Plant Ltd.) 35

MYMENSING Sarishabari(Sharishabari) 3 MW Solar Plant 3

MYMENSING Sutiakhali 50 MW Solar PP (HDFC Sin Power Ltd.) 50

RAJSHAHI Sirajgonj 6.55 MW Solar 6

RANGPUR Mazipara, Tatulia 8 MW Solar PP (Symba) 8

Other Commissioned Plant 100MW Solar Park 100

Total 229

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 Solar-park solar PV(2)

Table. Solar Power Plant List of Committed Plant

Capacity Expected
Name of the Power Plant
(MW)
Fuel Sector Ownership
COD
Bera, Pabna 3.77 MW Solar Power Plant 3.77 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2023

Chandpur Sadar 7 MW Solar Power

Barishal 1 MW Solar Power Plant 1 Solar Public BPDB Dec, 2022 7 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2023
Plant
Lalmonirhat 30 MW Solar Park 30 Solar Private IPP Aug, 2022
Dimla, Nilfamari 50 MW Solar Power
50 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2023
Plant
Patgram, Lalmonirhat 5 MW Solar Power Debiganj, Panchagarh 20 MW Solar
5 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2022 20 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2023
Plant Park
Gowainghat, Sylhet 5 MW Solar Power B-R
5 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2022 Madarganj 100 MW Solar Power Plant at
Plant 100 Solar JV Powergen Jun, 2024
Kaijer Char, Madarganj, Jamalpur
Dhormopasha, Sunamganj 32 MW Solar Ltd. JV
32 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2022
Power Plant Moulovibazar, Sylhet 10 MW Solar
10 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2024
Jamalpur 852 kW Rooftop Solar Project Power Plant
on 22 Gov. Buildings in Jamalpur district 0.852 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2022
Panchagarh 50 MW Solar Park 50 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2024
(8237.35 square meter area)

Sonagazi 50 MW Solar Power Plant Baraiyarhat, Chattogram 50 MW Solar

50 Solar Public EGCB Dec, 2023 50 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2024
Project Power Plant
Krishnopur, Jibonnogor, Chuadanga 50
Sagarkandi, Sujanagar, Pabna grid-tied BCRECL 50 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2024
64.55 Solar JV Dec, 2023 MW Solar Power Plant
64 MW Solar PV Power Plant (NWPGCL)
Terokhada, Khulna 50 MW (AC) grid-tied
50 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2024
Soydabad, Sirajganj Sadar, Sirajganj 68 BCRECL Solar PV Power Plant
68 Solar JV Dec, 2023
MW Solar Park (NWPGCL)
Netrokona 50 MW Solar Power Plant 50 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2024
Sundarganj, Gaibandha 200 MW Solar
200 Solar Private IPP Mar, 2023
Park (Teesta Solar Limited) Ishwardi, Pabna 70 MW Solar PP 70 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2024

Tetulia, Panchagarh 30 MW Solar Park 30 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2023

Muktagachha, Mymensingh 50 MW PP 50 Solar Private IPP Dec, 2024
Pabna 100 MW Solar Power Plant
100 Solar Private IPP Jun, 2023 TOTAL Committed 1,147
[Shapoorji Pallonji]

4
 Solar-park solar PV(3)

Table. Solar Power Plant List of Planned Plant

Capacity Expected
Name of the Power Plant Fuel Sector Ownership CPGCB
(MW) COD Matarbari 50 MW solar project 50 Solar Public Dec, 2028
L
Sonagazi, Feni 100 MW Solar Power Plant
100 Solar Public EGCB Jun, 2024
Project-2
Sonagazi, Feni 100 MW Solar
Construction of Madarganj 100 MW Solar 100 Solar Public EGCB Jun, 2029
Power Plant Project-3
Power Pant at Sheikh Hasina Solar Park, 100 Solar Public RPCL Aug, 2024
Jamalpur
Maheshkhali 160-250 MW Solar
160 Solar Public BPDB Dec, 2029
Gazaria 50 MW Solar Power Plant Project 50 Solar Public RPCL Dec, 2024 PP, BPDB

Bay of Bengal Power Company

Panchagarh 30 MW Solar Power Plant 30 Solar Public RPCL Dec, 2024
Ltd (BBPCL), 160-250 MW 160 Solar JV BBPCL Dec, 2029
Sonagazi, Feni 100 MW Solar Power Plant Solar PP
100 Solar Public EGCB Dec, 2024
Project-1 (JV of EGCB)
Sheikh Ahmed Dalmook Al
Potuakhali 200 MW Solar PV Power Plant 200 Solar Public APSCL Dec, 2025 Maktoum, UAE 100 MW Solar 100 Solar Private IPP Jun-30
PP
Sonagazi, Feni 82.50 MW Solar Park 82.5 Solar Public BPDB Jun, 2026
TOTAL Planned 1,685
Gangachara, Rangpur 68.60 MW Solar
68.6 Solar Public BPDB Jun, 2026
Park

Rampal 260 MW Solar PP, BPDB 260 Solar Public BPDB Jun, 2026

Barishal 2 MW solar project (Phase-1) 2 Solar Public BPDB Dec, 2027

1,147 MW of committed plants and 1,685 MW of
Raypura, Narsingdi 120 MW Solar PV
planned plants are listed.
120 Solar Public APSCL Dec, 2027
Power Plant The conclusion, 2,832 MW of Solar-Park will be
Barishal 2 MW solar project (Phase-2) 2 Solar Public BPDB Dec, 2028 installed by 2030.
5
 Solar-park solar PV(4)
Candidate sites for solar park
in 2030-2041, 2041-2050 are as follows,
according to the comment.
The characteristics of the site are
・Non-agricultural land
・The site is one of the candidates for reclamation
described in the Bangladesh Delta Plan
・Near the large demand area.
Table. Installed Capacity Plan
Installed
Year Candidate sites
Capacity
2030 3,061 MW
Fig. Candidate site for solar park
↓ +439MW Use the ① area of around 5.9 km2
Table. Area and Estimated Installed Capacity
2040 3,500 MW
Estimated
↓+2,500 MW Use ① area and ② area 33.3 km2
Site Area 30% of Area
Installed Capacity
2050 6,000 MW ① 70 km2 21 km2 1,575 MW
※The installed capacity of Solar Park is 75MW/km2 referring the existing ② 130 km2 39 km2 2,925 MW
solar park in Bangladesh
6
 Solar-park solar PV(5)

In addition to the Dhaka suburbs on the previous page,

there are many candidate sites for the construction of the
Solar-park in the Bangladesh Delta Plan.
Therefore, the current forecast is not excessive.

Area of Reclaimed Land of Jamuna & Padma River

River Bank Reclaimed Area [km2] Total [km2]

Jamuna L 534

Jamuna M 254 1,118

Jamuna R 330
313
Padma L
(Incl. ①② on page 6） 450
Padma R 137

Total 1,568
Map of Reclaimed Land of Jamuna & Padma River
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 Rooftop solar PV(1)

Year Present 2030 2041 2050

Installed
Cap.(MW)
400 +1,600 2,000 +4,000 6,000 +6,000 12,000

・The availability of Rooftop solar

Generally, Solar park solar PV can be installed considering the direction to increase the amount of
power generation.
The direction of Rooftop solar PV, on the other hand, is limited by the direction of the roof on it.
Therefore, the availability of Rooftop solar PV tends to be smaller than solar park solar PV.

There is the data that Japan's Rooftop solar PV has 4% lower availability than Solar park solar PV.
Considering that Bangladesh does not have as much difference in solar angle due to directions by
seasons as Japan does, Bangladesh's availability was lowered by 2% from 20% to 18%.

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 Rooftop solar PV(2)
Compared to the current situation in Germany and Japan,
12,000MW (the forecast for Bangladesh 2050) is not excessive.
Germany Japan Bangladesh
Present Present Present (A) (B/A) 2050 (B)
Population (million)【UN 83.9 125.6 167.9 1.27 214.0
2022】

Households (million) (α) 40.2 51.8 41.0 Assumed to be proportional to

population growth. In reality, the number
（Wohnen und Bauen (Gov.statistics 2018) （Population and of households will increase more than
in Zahlen 2010- Housing Census the population as the economy
2011） 2022） development.
41.0×1.27＝52.1
Houses (million) 42.2 62.4 － －
（OECD 2020) （OECD 2020）

Detached house (million) － 28.8 － －

(Gov.statistics 2018)

Rooftop solar PV (MW) 30,000 Approx. 13,000 400 (Germany β/α)

If it is introduced in 2050 as much as it is in Germany today, 38,867
(β) (The Daily Star, (Gov.statistics 2018)
52.1×（β/α）＝52.1×746＝38,867, (Japan β/α)
12:00AM,September
(The value in Japan is only for the 17,2019) 13,025
roof of a detached houses. Germany
and Bangladesh include roofs other >12,000
 Rooftop solar PV (3) (ECONOMIC ZONES SITE)

The Example other than the rooftop solar PV at detached houses

Bangladesh Economic Zone Authority (BEZA) show the list of the Economic Zones Site.
The total No. of “Government Approved Economic Zone Sites” is 68 and approx. 300 km2.

If 20% of the 300 km2 can be covered by a rooftop,

the total area is 60 km2.
Even if the density is 50 MW/km2,
which is lower than Solar-Park,
at least 3,000 MW Rooftop solar PV can be installed.

Note：
Source：https://www.beza.gov.bd/all-zones/
(Unit of Area is Acre) Image of Araihazar SEZ
Source: JICA （Project for Development Study and Capacity
Enhancement of Bangladesh Economic Zone Development Plan Authority
）
 Wind power (1)
(MW)
Year 2030 2041 2050 "Assessing the Wind Energy Potential in Bangladesh, Enabling Wind
Energy Development with Data Products"
On-shore wind 750 1,575 5,000 September 2018, A product of the USAID-NREL Partnership

Off-shore wind 0 6,000 15,000 (P.64)

The preliminary technical potential analysis calculates gross potential and
does not filter out already-developed land, environmentally sensitive land,
According to the report on the right, a wind condition or land unsuitable for other reasons. However, these preliminary results
survey in Bangladesh revealed that 1.5 MW of wind demonstrate that, for wind speeds of 5.75–7.75 m/s, there are more than
power can be installed per km2. 20,000 km2 of land with a gross wind potential of over 30,000 MW.
Although this estimate is not realistic when proper filters are applied to
(30,000MW÷20,000km2)
screen out undesirable land for wind development, it suggests that
Bangladesh’s 10% renewable target by 2021 is achievable.
This result is on land, and wind conditions are usually
better offshore, so an installation density of
1.5 (MW/km2) can be expected for offshore wind power.

The coastline of the Bay of Bengal is about 500km on the right map,
and considering the territorial waters of 20km,
wind turbine generators can be installed
in an area of 500 x 20 = 10,000km2.

1.5（MW/km2）×10,000km2=15,000MW 12
 Wind power (1)-1
5.75-7.75 m/s area is suggested for wind power generation, therefore, gulf area are suggested for
on-shore wind power generation based on the “Assessing the Wind Energy Potential in Bangladesh”
(Below Figure).

The forecasted value of 5,000 MW of on-shore wind

power in 2050 in IEPMP:

1.5 (MW) × 3,333 km2 = 5,000 MW

This will be achieved by constructing wind turbines

in an area of 3,333 km2,
where is the area surrounded by red line in the right
figure.

Therefore, it can be seen that

the forecasted value of 5,000MW
for on-shore wind power is not excessive.
Source：Assessing the Wind Energy Potential in Bangladesh
 Wind power (2)

As a reference, the installation status of off-shore wind turbine generators in Japan

in recent years is shown in the table below.
At a minimum, wind turbine generators have been installed at a density of 6.29 MW/km2,
and 1.5 MW/km2 is not excessive for off-shore wind power in Bangladesh.

Location Capacity Unit Area Capacity/Area Unit/Area

62.688 0.61
Site A (Akita pref.) 480 MW 38 7.65MW/km2
km2 unit/km2
0.50
Site B (Akita pref.) 820 MW 65 130.4 km2 6.29MW/km2
unit/km2
39.487 1.27
Site C (Chiba pref.) 390 MW 31 9.88MW/km2
km2 unit/km2

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 Modern Biomass, Hydropower
• Modern Biomass
Committed Power Plants
No. Name of the Power Plant Capacity (MW) Fuel Sector Ownership Expected COD Lifetime (years)
Narayanganj City Corporation 6 MW
1 6 Waste Private IPP Dec, 2024 25
Waste-to-Energy Power Generation Project
Aminbazar (Dhaka North City Corporation) 42.50 MW (Net)
2 42.5 Waste Private IPP Dec, 2025 25
Waste-to-Energy Power Generation Project
TOTAL Committed 48.5

Planned Power Plants

No. Name of the Power Plant Capacity (MW) Fuel Sector Ownership Expected COD Lifetime (years)

Dhaka South City Corporation 40-45 MW

1 Waste-to-Energy Power Generation Project
45 Waste Private IPP Jun, 2025 25

TOTAL Planned 45

Year Present 2030 2041 2050

Installed
0 +93.5 93.5 +56.5 150 +80 230
Cap.(MW)

• Hydropower
Year Present 2030 2041 2050
Installed
230 0 230 +100 330 0 330
Cap.(MW)

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 A draft for what to be included in the Final Report
Institutional factors considered
Measures to promote
to hinder development
1) Cumbersome licensing and approval procedures 1) Centralization of application window at /
2) Uncertainty in the tender management process delegation of authority to /
3) Insufficient tendering systems/capacity capacity enhancement of SREDA
4) Access to the locations which are suitable 2) Expanded bidding through government land
for renewable energy power generation provision scheme
5) Limited sources and options of financing 3) Introduction of incentive schemes for Rooftop PV
4) Application of production tax credit
5) Improved funding environment
6) Flexible institutional and policy guidance
Technical issues to be addressed towards long-term implementation targets
No. Type Sort Item
1 Land Issue Damage from floods, storm surges, tsunamis, etc.
2 Industry Underdeveloped panel manufacturing and panel waste disposal industries
Solar
3 Potential survey and assumption of introduction position are not completed
Survey
4 legislation of technical rules for solar power generation
5 Survey [Offshore wind power] Potential survey is not completed
Wind
6 Industry The port for construction is underdeveloped and the windmill manufacturing industry is underdeveloped.
7 Hydro Construction Lack of experience in dam modification work and hydroelectric power generation work
8 General - It is recommended to use a weather forecast system to forecast power generation. 16
Thank you for your attention.

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