Demand Side Management
Demand Side Management
Industry
Rangan Banerjee
Peak Shortage
Energy Shortage
Valley Filling
Energy Surplus
during Off Peak
Load Shifting
Peak Shortage
Energy Surplus
Strategic Conservation
Energy Shortage
Strategic Load Growth
Energy Surplus
Flexible Load Shape
DSM Programmes
Efficient Pumping Systems –Agricultural/
Municipal /Industry
Efficient Motor-Drive Systems - Industrial
Efficient Lighting - Commercial/Residential
Process Improvements- Industrial
Solar Water Heaters –
Residential/Commercial
Efficient AC – Commercial/ Residential
Cogeneration/Captive Power-
Industry/commercial
Inputs Required
Technology Characteristics
Base Case and DSM option – energy
consumption, peak coincidence
Capital, installation, O& M costs
Useful life
Present market share
Market Profile – market size – TM/RM,
market growth, diffusion rates
Market Definitions
NEW
RM
Equipm Existing to be TM
Stock replaced
Existing Surviving
t=0 t=N
Technology Diffusion
Even if new technology better - will not
reach 100% acceptance (postponement
of acceptance, supply bottlenecks,
information gaps…)
Fisher-Pry model for substitution
df/dt = bf (1-f)
where f is the fractional market
share of the new improved technology
Fisher-Pry Model
ln (f/(1-f)) = a + bt
where a, b are constants
Blackman’s model - Final market share not
100% but F
ln (f/(F-f)) = a + bt
Determine a, b by method of least square
(regression) with initial substitution data
a,b by analogy
Fisher-Pry Curve
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
Fraction (f)
0.5 Series1
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Time (Years)
Source: UNEP IRP Manual
(1997)
Cost Effectiveness of DSM
Perspectives
Utility
Ratepayer
Participant
Total resource/ Society
Net Present Value of Benefits – Costs, Cost of
Saved Energy (Rs/kWh), Cost of Saved
Demand (Rs/kW peak)
Different Discount rates
Programme Costs
Direct Costs- costs directly associated
with DSM option- include subsidy
provided by utility
Indirect Cost- Fixed + variable cost of
programme
Free Riders -Customers who would
have anyway adopted- yet utility pays
incentive (10-50% in US utilities)
Programme Costs
PC = I + A T + α C N
I - Initial Programme Set-up Cost
A- Annual recurring programme cost
α - proportion of cost sharing
N- number of adoptions
Energy Efficient motors I =Rs 20 lakhs,
A=Rs 3 lakhs, α =50% of
incremental cost
DSM Evaluation
Pre & Post programme metering
Analysis of Customer Billing data
Engineering analysis- physical based
models
Questionnaires & Survey
Statistical Modelling- demographics,
economics
End Use (HT Industry)
Motor/Pump/Fan 52 %
Air Compressor 9%
Air Conditioning/Refrig. 5%
Melting 16 %
Electrical Heating 11 %
Lighting 4%
Others 4%
DSM Options
12000
10000
Cost of Demand Saved (Rs/kW)
8000
6000
4000
2000
Pf
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
D e m a n d S a v in g (M W )
Implementation of Industrial DSM?
Technology available, yet low
implementation
SEB interested only in peak reduction,
not energy conservation
Power factor Correction - for industrial
penalty/incentives
Analysts conclude SEBs supply focussed
Utility Viewpoint
ROR clause on net fixed assets
Strategy - Increase asset base -build
new power plants
DSM Investment - on Clients site -no
asset generation for SEB
No idea of transaction costs
Revenue Considerations
Consumption Profile for MSEB
(1992-93)
Consumer Class No. of Energy % of Tariff/
Consumers Consumption Sales Cost of
kWh/Yr/Consumer Supply
Domestic 5.5 million 600 13.3 0.5
8 1000 hrs
Cost of Saved Energy (Rs/kWh)
4
4000 hrs
0
0 .0 0 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .8 1 .0
D is c o u n t R a te ( d )
Survey results (DSM options)
Ranking of DSM Options(Survey)
From Jointly Owned
Energy balance
WIND
State Projects and
500 MU Captive
Central Sector
GAS ( 1 %) Generation
19500 MU
5450 MU 4500 MU
HYDRO ( 8 %)
STEAM 5600 MU
55500 MU (8 %)
(83 %)
TOTAL 24000
MU
PUBLIC
T & D LOSS GROSS ENERGY CONSUMPTION 59620 MU LIGHTING
26500 MU 640 MU
32 % WATER WORKS &
PUMP 1540 MU (3 %)
TRACTION
1850 MU
AGRICULTURAL ( 3 %)
INDU. 10730 MU
POWER RESIDENTIAL (18 %)
COMMERCIAL
(LV) 12660 MU
INDUSTRIAL 5350 MU
4820 MU (21 %)
POWER (HV) (9 %)
22030 MU ( 8 %)
(37 %)
Generalised lighting end use model
1.5 1.5
1 1
0.5 0.5
0 0
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
Energy Saved/ Purchased in GWh
Load Management Steps
Analysis of Load variations
Identification of Controllable
Loads
Selection of Control Option
Implementation strategy
Common LM Options (SEB)
Staggering of working hours of large
consumers
Staggering of holidays of large consumers
Specified energy and power quotas for major
consumers
Rostering of agricultural loads
Curtailment of demand - service interruptions
(load shedding)
Quantification and trend of energy demand
TOU Tariff
In stall tim e of u se (T O U ) m ete rs fo r la rge
in d u strial & com m e rcia l con su m e rs
Is a revision of
tariff req u ired ?
Y es
T O U tariff
No
TOU Tariff
UK study showed that TOU only feasible
for consumption > 3 MWh/year per
consumer
Time differentiated Energy charges
Time differentiated Capacity charges
Rating periods - 3 to 4 for simplicity
Spot Pricing ?
Time of Use Tariff (MSEB-HT Ind., Jan 2002)
450
400
Peak
Peak
350
300
Partial
Paise/kWh
250
Peak
200
Off-peak
150
100
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours
Importance of Energy Cost
Energy cost- Significant component of
manufacturing cost
Energy prices – Higher growth rates
than other inputs
Higher Input energy prices vis-à-vis rest
of the world
Competitive Disadvantage
Strategies for Electricity Bill
Reduction
Cross Subsidy – Tariff 1.8 times cost of
supply
Electricity Bill = Average Electricity Price ×
Electricity Consumed
1. Energy Efficiency Options to reduce electricity
consumption
2. Reduce the average electricity price – by opting for
cogeneration
3. Reduce average electricity price –by analysing tariff
structure and modifying usage pattern.
Energy Efficiency
• Determine end-use profile of plant load
• Motors (80% of load), lighting, heating
•Breakup of motor load for a Chemical plant
Conveyors Others
(5.5 %) (15.9 %)
Centrifuges
(1.3 %)
Pumps
Agitators
(51.3 %)
(12.7 %)
Fans
Compressors (11.9 %)
(1.3 %)
Energy Efficiency
Determine operating efficiency of motors
Portable power meter, tachometer
Motor audit – identify lightly loaded,
inefficient motors – replace with Energy
efficient motors.
Pumping – VSD, trimming impeller
Compressed Air – reduce pressure, air leakages
FRP fans – Cooling towers, energy efficient
fans
Waste heat - Vapour Absorption Refrigeration
Energy efficient process, SEC norms
DEFINE AUDIT O BJECTIVES
Q UESTIO NNAIRE
W ALK THRO UG H /
PLANT FAM ILIARISATIO N
INSTALL
M EASURES
ENUM ERATE ENERG Y
CO NSERVATIO N O PPO RTUNITIES
EVALUATE ECO s
EE- Energy Efficient, CFL- Compact fluorescent lamp, ALCC- Annualised life cycle cost
Sample Industrial Load Profile (Mumbai)
ILM Research Objective
Determine optimal response of industry
for a specified time varying tariff –
develop a general model applicable for
different industries
Process Scheduling- Continuous/ Batch
Cool Storage
Cogeneration
Process Scheduling
Variable electricity cost normally not included
Flexibility in scheduling
Optimisation problem – Min Annual operating
costs
Constraints – Demand, Storage and
equipment
Models developed for continuous and batch
processes (Illustrated for flour mill and mini
steel plant)
Viable for Industry
Process Scheduling
Batch processes- batch time, quantity,
charging, discharging, power demand
variation (load cycles)
Raw material constraints, Allocation
constraints, Storage constraints,
Sequential Constraints, maintenance
downtime
Process Scheduling Summary
Example Structure Results Saving
Ladle Arc
40 T Melting Arc
furnace Open store
furnace
Bloom mill
Open store
30 T MeltingArc furnace
Open store
Reheat furnace
Bar mill
40
Load MW
30
20
10
0
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Time hours
Cool Storage
Cool Storage – Chilled water operate compressor
during off-peak
Commercial case study (BSES MDC), Industrial
case study (German Remedies)
Part load characteristics compressor,pumps
Non- linear problem – 96 variables, Quasi Newton
Method
MD reduces from 208 kVA to 129 kVA, 10%
reduction in peak co-incident demand, 6% bill
saving
Schematic of AC Plant with Cool storage
Condenser
Expansion
device
AHU
Space to be Compressor
conditioned
Chiller
pump
Chiller
Additional
Chiller pump
Under ground
Chilled water
Storage tank
Cooling Load and Electric Demand Profiles
without storage
Co o lin g Lo a d
250 MD 207.8 kW E le c tric De ma n d
200
kW, TR
150
100 Max.170 TR
50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324
Time hours
With Cool Storage
f lat tar if f
150 1 22. 5 kW
100 121 . 7 k W
50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324
Time hours
Cogeneration
Process Steam, Electricity load vary with time
Optimal Strategy depends on grid
interconnection(parallel- only buying,
buying/selling) and electricity,fuel prices
For given equipment configuration, optimal
operating strategy can be determined
GT/ST/Diesel Engine – Part load characteristics –
Non Linear
Illustrative example for petrochemical plant-
shows variation in flat/TOU optimal.
Stack
Fuel, HSD WHRB-1
5.9 T/h G
1
136 T/h Cogeneration Example
20 MW
Gas turbine -1 Supp. Firing
LSHS 5.6 T/h
Grid Process Load,
Fuel, HSD WHRB-2 136 T/h 7.52 MW 60 MW
5.9 T/h
G
1
Gas turbine -2 20 MW Supp. Firing BUS
LSHS 5.6 T/h
SHP Steam 100 bar,500o C
60.6 T/h
131.7 T/h 117.1 Process Load,150 T/h 76.2 T/h
T/h 12.5
Boiler
MW
ST
Fuel, LSHS Process Load,125 T/h G4
PRDS-1
9.64 T/h PRDS-2
HP Steam 41b,400 oC 20 T/h
25 21.6
20 17.6 peak
period
15 demand
10
11 MW
5
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Time hours
Export power to the grid with
Cogeneration for a Petrochemical Plant
Peak
Export Power MW
40 period
flat tariff TOU tariff
30 demand
20 9.7 MW
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Time hours
- Integrated approach
Optimal Operating
Process demand profile, Captive/Cogeneration operating cost
Cooling electric load power model strategy of structure
profile, Steam load profile captive/
cogeneration
Grid tariff, fuel costs, plant
Grid conditions
Modified process
demand profile
Modified cooling electric
load profile
Modify steam load
profile for process
related loads
Establish norms
Metering/Sub-metering
Energy consumption vs load
Specific energy consumption (SEC)
lower at full capacity
Compare with other plants/ Best
practice plants
Energy audits every year
SEC for Furnaces
10000
(SEC) (kJ/kg)
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
0 20 40 60 80 100
Cumulative % furnace