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probability syllabus

The document outlines the curriculum for two core courses in Statistics: Descriptive Statistics and Probability Theory, and Economic Statistics, detailing credit distribution, eligibility, learning objectives, and outcomes. Each course includes a theoretical syllabus divided into units covering fundamental statistical concepts, correlation, regression, and probability, along with practical applications. Essential and suggestive readings are provided to support the coursework, with practical work to be conducted using statistical software.

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anishabarman8
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
11 views

probability syllabus

The document outlines the curriculum for two core courses in Statistics: Descriptive Statistics and Probability Theory, and Economic Statistics, detailing credit distribution, eligibility, learning objectives, and outcomes. Each course includes a theoretical syllabus divided into units covering fundamental statistical concepts, correlation, regression, and probability, along with practical applications. Essential and suggestive readings are provided to support the coursework, with practical work to be conducted using statistical software.

Uploaded by

anishabarman8
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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REVISED SEM 1

B.Sc. (P)/B.A(P) with Statistics as Major

Category II

DISCIPLINE SPECIFIC CORE COURSE 1: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS


AND PROBABILITY THEORY

CREDIT DISTRIBUTION, ELIGIBILITY AND PRE-REQUISITES OF THE COURSE

Course Credits Credit distribution of the course Eligibility Pre-requisite


title & Lecture Tutorial Practical/ criteria of the course
Code Practice (if any)
Descriptive Class XII Nil
Statistics 4 3 0 1 pass with
and Mathematics
probability
theory

Learning Objectives
Learning objectives include:
 Introduction to Statistics.
 Graphical representation of data.
 Understanding the concept of Probability.

Learning outcomes
After completion of this course, students should have developed a clear understanding of:
 Apply the fundamental concepts of statistics.
 Understand handling various types of data and their graphical representation.
 Employ measures of location and dispersion.
 Bivariate data. Significance of various coefficients of correlation.
 Employ fitting of linear curve.
 Use probability theory and its applications.
SYLLABUS OF DSC-1

Theory

UNIT – I ( 15 hours)
Basic Statistics
Fundamentals of statistics. Diagrammatic representation of data. Measures of central tendency:
location and positional. Partition values, Measures of Dispersion: range, quartile deviation, mean
deviation, standard deviation, coefficient of variation. Moments: raw and central, Measures of
skewness and kurtosis.

UNIT – II ( 15 hours)
Correlation and Regression
Bivariate data: definition, scatter diagram. Correlation and regression: Karl Pearsons coefficient of
correlation, Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, lines of regression, properties of regression
coefficients, angle between two regression lines. Principle of least-square and fitting of linear curve.

UNIT – III ( 15 hours)


Probability
Probability: Introduction, Random experiment, sample point and sample space, event, algebra of
events, Definition of Probability - classical, relative frequency and axiomatic approaches to
probability, merits and demerits of these approaches (only general ideas to be given). Theorems on
probability, conditional probability, independent events: pairwise and mutually independent. Bayes
theorem and its applications.

Practical -30 Hours

List of Practicals:

1. Problems based on graphical representation of data. Histograms (equal class intervals and
unequal class intervals), frequency polygon, ogive curve.
2. Problems based on mean using raw data, grouped data for change of origin and scale.
3. Problems based on arithmetic mean and to find missing frequencies given arithmetic mean.
4. Problems based on median and partition vales using formulae and to find them graphically
also.
5. Problems based on mode by using formula, graphically, method of grouping.
6. Problems based on mean deviation and standard deviation.
7. Problems based on combined mean and variance.
8. Problems based on coefficient of variation.
9. Comparison of data using consistency approach.
10. Problems on skewness based on mean, median, mode and standard deviation.
11. Problems based on central moments.
12. Relationships between moments about origin and central moments.
13. Problems based on skewness and kurtosis.
14. Problems based on Karl Pearson correlation coefficient.
15. Problems based on Spearman’s rank correlation with ties.
16. Problems based on Spearman’s rank correlation without ties.
17. Problems based on lines of regression and estimated values of variables.
18. Problems on regression coefficients.

Practical work to be conducted using electronic spreadsheet / EXCEL/ Statistical


Software Package/ SPSS/ calculators.

ESSENTIAL READINGS

 Goon, A.M., Gupta, M.K. and Dasgupta, B. (2005). Fundamentals of Statistics, Vol. I, 8th Ed.,
World Press, Kolkatta.
 Gupta, S.C. and Kapoor, V.K. (2014). Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, 11th Ed., Sultan
Chand and Sons.
 Hogg, R. V., McKean, J., and Craig, A. T. (2005). Introduction to mathematical statistics.
Pearson Education.
 Freund, J.E. (2009). Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th Ed., Pearson Education.

SUGGESTIVE READINGS

 Mood, A.M., Graybill, F.A. and Boes, D.C. (2007). Introduction to the Theory of Statistics, 3rd
Ed., Tata McGraw Hill Publication
 Miller, Irwin and Miller, Marylees (2006): John E Freund’s Mathematical Statistics with
Applications, (7th ed.) Pearson Education, Asia.
 Nagar and Das (1997) Basic Statistics. 2nd ed., Oxford University Press

Note: Examination scheme and mode shall be as prescribed by the Examination Branch,
University of Delhi, from time to time.

DISCIPLINE SPECIFIC CORE COURSE –2: ECONOMIC STATISTICS


CREDIT DISTRIBUTION, ELIGIBILITY AND PRE-REQUISITES OF THE COURSE

Course Credits Credit distribution of the course Eligibility Pre-requisite of


title & Lecture Tutorial Practical/ criteria the course
Code Practice (if any)
Economic 4 3 0 1 Class XII Nil
Statistics pass with
Mathematics

Learning Objectives
The learning objectives include:
 Introduce the concept of time series, its components, and their estimation.
 Introduce the application of time series.
 Introduce the concept, formulation, and application of index numbers.

Learning outcomes
After completing this course, students should have developed a clear understanding of:
 The concepts of time series and index numbers.
 Formulate, solve, and analyse the use of time series and index numbers for real-world problems.

SYLLABUS
Theory

UNIT - I (15 hours)


Components of Time Series
Introduction to Time Series, Components of time series, Decomposition of time series- Additive and
multiplicative model with their merits and demerits, Illustrations of time series, Measurement of
trend by method of free-hand curve, method of semi-averages and method of least squares (linear,
quadratic and exponential).

UNIT - II (12 hours)


Trend and Seasonality
Fitting of modified exponential, Gompertz and logistic curve, Moving average method,
Measurement of seasonal variations by method of simple averages, ratio to trend method, and ratio
to moving average method.

UNIT - III ( 18 hours)


Index Numbers
Introduction to Index numbers, Problems in the construction of index numbers, Construction of price
and quantity index numbers: simple aggregate, weighted aggregate (Laspeyres, Paasche’s, Drobish-
Bowley, Marshall-Edgeworth’s, Walsch and Fisher’s Formula), simple and weighted average of
price relatives, and chain base method, Criteria for a good index number, Errors in the measurement
of price and quantity index numbers, Consumer price index number, its construction and uses, Uses
and limitations of index numbers.
Practical - 30 Hours
List of Practicals:
Practical based on
1. Fitting of linear trend
2. Fitting of quadratic trend
3. Fitting of an exponential curve
4. Fitting of modified exponential curve by the method of
a. Three selected points
b. Partial sums
5. Fitting of Gompertz curve by the method of
a. Three selected points
b. Partial sums
6. Fitting of logistic curve by the method of three selected points
7. Fitting of trend by moving average method (for n even and odd)
8. Measurement of seasonal indices by
a. Method of simple averages
b. Ratio-to-trend method
c. Ratio-to-moving-average method
9. Construction of price and quantity index numbers by simple aggregate method.
10. Construction of price and quantity index numbers by Laspeyres, Paasche’s, Drobish- Bowley,
Marshall-Edgeworth, Walsch and Fisher’s Formula.
11. Construction of price and quantity index numbers by simple and weighted average of price
relatives.
12. Construction of index number by Chain base method.
13. Construction of consumer price index number by
a. Family budget method
b. Aggregate expenditure method
14. Time Reversal Test and Factor Reversal Test

Practical work to be conducted using electronic spreadsheet / EXCEL/ Statistical


Software Package/ SPSS/ calculators.

ESSENTIAL READINGS
 Goon A M, Gupta M K and Dasgupta B (2018): Fundamentals of Statistics, Volume II, 9 th
Edition and 4th reprint.
 Gupta, S.C. and Kapoor, V.K. (2014). Fundamentals of Applied Statistics, 11 th Ed., Sultan
Chand.
 Croxton, Fredrick E, Cowden, Dudley J. and Klein, S. (1973): Applied General Statistics, 3rd
edition, Prentice Hall of India Pvt. Ltd.

SUGGESTIVE READING
 Mukhopadhyay, P. (1999). Applied Statistics, New Central Book Agency, Calcutta.
 Allen R.G.D. (1975): Index Numbers in Theory and Practice, Macmillan

Note: Examination scheme and mode shall be as prescribed by the Examination Branch,
University of Delhi, from time to time.
B.Sc. (P)/B.A(P) with Statistics as Non- Major

Category III

DISCIPLINE SPECIFIC CORE COURSE 1: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS


AND PROBABILITY THEORY

CREDIT DISTRIBUTION, ELIGIBILITY AND PRE-REQUISITES OF THE COURSE

Course Credits Credit distribution of the course Eligibility Pre-requisite


title & Lecture Tutorial Practical/ criteria of the course
Code Practice (if any)
Descriptive Class XII Nil
Statistics 4 3 0 1 pass with
and Mathematics
probability
theory

Learning Objectives
Learning objectives include:
 Introduction to Statistics.
 Graphical representation of data.
 Understanding the concept of Probability.

Learning outcomes
After completion of this course, students should have developed a clear understanding of:
 Apply the fundamental concepts of statistics.
 Understand handling various types of data and their graphical representation.
 Employ measures of location and dispersion.
 Bivariate data. Significance of various coefficients of correlation.
 Employ fitting of linear curve.
 Use probability theory and its applications.

SYLLABUS OF DSC-1
Theory

UNIT – I ( 15 hours)
Basic Statistics
Fundamentals of statistics. Diagrammatic representation of data. Measures of central tendency:
location and positional. Partition values, Measures of Dispersion: range, quartile deviation, mean
deviation, standard deviation, coefficient of variation. Moments: raw and central, Measures of
skewness and kurtosis.

UNIT – II ( 15 hours)
Correlation and Regression
Bivariate data: definition, scatter diagram. Correlation and regression: Karl Pearsons coefficient of
correlation, Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, lines of regression, properties of regression
coefficients, angle between two regression lines. Principle of least-square and fitting of linear curve.

UNIT – III ( 15 hours)


Probability
Probability: Introduction, Random experiment, sample point and sample space, event, algebra of
events, Definition of Probability - classical, relative frequency and axiomatic approaches to
probability, merits and demerits of these approaches (only general ideas to be given). Theorems on
probability, conditional probability, independent events: pairwise and mutually independent. Bayes
theorem and its applications.

Practical -30 Hours

List of Practicals:

1. Problems based on graphical representation of data. Histograms (equal class intervals and
unequal class intervals), frequency polygon, ogive curve.
2. Problems based on mean using raw data, grouped data for change of origin and scale.
3. Problems based on arithmetic mean and to find missing frequencies given arithmetic mean.
4. Problems based on median and partition vales using formulae and to find them graphically
also.
5. Problems based on mode by using formula, graphically, method of grouping.
6. Problems based on mean deviation and standard deviation.
7. Problems based on combined mean and variance.
8. Problems based on coefficient of variation.
9. Comparison of data using consistency approach.
10. Problems on skewness based on mean, median, mode and standard deviation.
11. Problems based on central moments.
12. Relationships between moments about origin and central moments.
13. Problems based on skewness and kurtosis.
14. Problems based on Karl Pearson correlation coefficient.
15. Problems based on Spearman’s rank correlation with ties.
16. Problems based on Spearman’s rank correlation without ties.
17. Problems based on lines of regression and estimated values of variables.
18. Problems on regression coefficients.

Practical work to be conducted using electronic spreadsheet / EXCEL/ Statistical


Software Package/ SPSS/ calculators.

ESSENTIAL READINGS

 Goon, A.M., Gupta, M.K. and Dasgupta, B. (2005). Fundamentals of Statistics, Vol. I, 8th Ed.,
World Press, Kolkatta.
 Gupta, S.C. and Kapoor, V.K. (2014). Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, 11th Ed., Sultan
Chand and Sons.
 Hogg, R. V., McKean, J., and Craig, A. T. (2005). Introduction to mathematical statistics.
Pearson Education.
 Freund, J.E. (2009). Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th Ed., Pearson Education.

SUGGESTIVE READINGS

 Mood, A.M., Graybill, F.A. and Boes, D.C. (2007). Introduction to the Theory of Statistics, 3rd
Ed., Tata McGraw Hill Publication
 Miller, Irwin and Miller, Marylees (2006): John E Freund’s Mathematical Statistics with
Applications, (7th ed.) Pearson Education, Asia.
 Nagar and Das (1997) Basic Statistics. 2nd ed., Oxford University Press

Note: Examination scheme and mode shall be as prescribed by the Examination Branch,
University of Delhi, from time to time.

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