Copy of Cash Flow Forecast - Global Treasury - MS Final
Copy of Cash Flow Forecast - Global Treasury - MS Final
URB Addback 60 60 61 61
Financial Debtors 18 4 3 3
Concern debtors 3,291 2,819 3,045 3,288
Cost on Firm of Future (585)
Net cash from OA 11,015 11,740 8,843 9,068
Investing Activities
Normal Capex (Consider with BCP capex) (591) (1,063) (2,820) (1,185)
OTI (49) (57) (13) (13)
Net cash from IA (640) (1,120) (2,833) (1,198)
Financing Activities
Dividends (4,697) - -
Loan Repayment
Loan Received 11,120 11,120
Interest Cost- UFI (168) (1,014)
Net cash from FA (4,697) - 11,120 11,120
Movement in creditors 1 11 - 3
Movement in WC (3) (7) (9) (6)
LKR
2021 2022 2023
TO 49,705 57,161 61,734
USG 15.0% 8.0%
UOP 8,089 9,445 10,355
COP 7,922 9,195 10,355
Retained Earnings 1,871 8,860 7,079
UOM bps 25 25
COM bps 15 69
Net Margin bps 1,174 -403
EURO
UOM bps 25 25
COM bps 59 25
Net Margin bps 1,174 -567
Tax -5 -2 -9
Royalty (15.47) 15.47
2024
LKR Mn
11,350
165
1,715
-
269
(324)
(3,538)
(365)
13
203
8,227
(1,706)
(631)
486
(1,851)
61
3
3,551
9,992
(1,280)
(13)
(1,293)
(925)
11,120
(1,260)
10,195
20,187
57,244
20,187
77,750
77,750
300
2024
EUR Mn
38
1
6
-
1
-
(1)
(12)
(1)
0
1
31.62
-
(6)
(2)
2
(6)
-
0
0
12
-
38
-
-
(4)
(0)
(4)
-
-
-
-
(3)
37
(4)
30
-
67
-
192
67
259
259
-
2024
23
78
60
5
(7)
(3)
3
(7)
259
-
(7)
(3)
3
(7)
339
2024
66,672
8.0%
11,350
11,350
7,812
17.0%
17.0%
11.7%
25
25
25
-3,538
2024
222
8.0%
38
38
26
17.0%
17.0%
11.7%
25
25
189
-12
###
Comments
Growth at 9% 2023 & 10% 2024; assumes L5Y Growth of 8% and 25 bps UOM improvement per year post 2022
Restructuring - Remains same
More localization hence 8% increase
UFS( Integrated above) and Tea- Sale
Average of 5 Yrs + 8% Increase
Assumption FCCR Holiday 2022-2024 ( 4,641- to be written off
8% Increase
Surcharge added-FC by Tax team ( Same maintained next year)
Average considered 3 years
Average 3 years
4% income
(141Mn+27
EUR Mn
Dividends
Assumptions
Growth at 9% 2023 & 10% 2024; assumes L5Y Growth of 8% and 25 bps UOM improvement per year post 2022
Restructuring - Remains same
More localization hence 8% increase
UFS( Integrated above) and Tea- Sale
Average of 5 Yrs + 8% Increase
Assumption FCCR Holiday 2022-2024
8% Increase
Surcharge added-FC by Tax team ( Same maintained next year)
Average considered 3 years
Average 3 years
4% income
If Early settlements are made from 2022 this days ought to reduce
Positive correlation between creditors and stock days
2022- Early Settlement of trade creditors and clearing total payable amounts to zero tarde creditor outstanding
balance at the end of the year
2022 year end balance would further increase by the Eur 80 Mn Working Capital Addition ( Opening 72 + 2022
Closing Balance 89 + Capital injection 80)
Royalty reveresal of 2021 (4.64 Bn). 2022 , invoice not yet raised -hence no impact
5 2% 0.1155
10 6% 0.6025
40 9% 3.6
4.318 1014.73
3,600,000.00 4.2025 1260.75
528
2.5 12
0.7 12
5 4
2820
hence ther will be no USD balance
30.25
Total
Net Invoice- LKR
2020 Outstanding 2,017,788,382
ETS 321,100,969
Logo 285,157,537
Service fee 141,828,328
Technology 332,223,044
Trademark 937,478,505
2021 Outstanding 2,623,636,915
ETS 587,796,206
Service fee 255,596,667
Technology 684,753,465
Trademark 1,095,490,577
Set-off against Eketarra proceeds 1,290,034,636
ETS 98,286,567
Logo 151,775,320
Service fee 359,345,360
Technology 330,720,835
Trademark 349,906,554
Grand Total 5,931,459,933
Grand Total ( - ) Eketara proceeds 4,641,425,297