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IJCCSM
15,5 Disaster and risk management in
outdoor recreation and tourism in
the context of climate change
712 Jane Lu Hsu
Department of Marketing, National Chung Hsing University,
Received 17 October 2021 Taichung, Taiwan, and
Revised 28 January 2022
23 April 2022
3 February 2023
Pankaj Sharma
Accepted 3 April 2023 Department of Agriculture and Biological Engineering,
School of Engineering Technology, Mitchell E. Daniels, Jr. School of Business,
Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA

Abstract
Purpose – The increasing frequency and intensity of the extreme weather events could cause devastating
consequences in tourism. Climate change–related extreme weather events and their relation to tourism is an
emerging field for education and research. The purpose of this study is to categorize the impact of climate
change on tourist destinations with regard to extreme weather-related risks in outdoor recreation and tourism.
Managerial implications for policymakers and stakeholders are discussed.
Design/methodology/approach – To outline the risks from climate change associated with tourism,
this study uses the Prisma analysis for identification, screening, checking for eligibility and finding relevant
literature for further categorization.
Findings – Based on a thoroughly examination of relevant literature, risks and threats posed by climate change
could be categorized into following four areas: reduced experiential value in outdoor winter recreation; reduced
value in beach scenery and comfort; land degradation and reduced biodiversity; and reduced value in personal
safety and comfort in tourism. It also focuses on the significance of using big data applications in catastrophic
disaster management and risk reduction. Recommendations with technology and data analytics to continuously
improve the disaster management process in tourism education are provided based on findings of this study.
Originality/value – Primary contributions of this study include the following: providing a summarized
overview of the risks associated with climate change in terms of tourist experiential value for educational
implications; and revealing the role of data analytics in disaster management in the context of tourism and
climate change for tourism education.
Keywords Climate change, Outdoor recreation, Disaster risk management, Tourism education
Paper type Research paper

© Jane Lu Hsu and Pankaj Sharma. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is
published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce,
distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-
commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full
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The authors would like to thank anonymous reviewers for their valuable suggestions in manuscript
revision. This study is supported by the National Science and Technology Council in Taiwan under Grant
International Journal of Climate
Change Strategies and
#111–2410-H-005–021. Authors would like to express their appreciation to Mr Melchior Antoine for his
Management support in the early stage of the research development, especially for his creativity in broadening the
Vol. 15 No. 5, 2023
pp. 712-728 scope of the study and his endeavor to find the gap in the literature. Authors would like to thank Miss
Emerald Publishing Limited Minh-Trang Vo Nguyen for her help with the analytics. Also, authors would like to express their
1756-8692
DOI 10.1108/IJCCSM-10-2021-0118 appreciation to Mr Jer-Ray Hsu for his help with the overall structure of the study.
1. Introduction Outdoor
The tourism industry has been the fastest growing industry in the modern era. It had grown recreation and
56-fold between 1950 and 2018 (Roser, 2020). Even during the COVID-19 pandemic, the
direct contribution of travel and tourism to global GDP was US$4.7tn (Lock, 2020). In the
tourism
aftermath of the pandemic, the growth of the industry is expected to increase even further
(Abbas et al., 2021). Its global impact on economic, social and sustainable development is
gaining widespread recognition (Scheyvens and Biddulph, 2018). To keep pace with the
rapid growth of tourism and the flow of tourists, strategic plans are developed to mitigate
713
risks at certain destinations (Goh, 2012).
One major impact on the global tourism industry is the occurrences of extreme weather
events due to climate change (van Putten et al., 2014). This particular risk is set to accelerate
with the increase in the global warming, along with the frequency and intensity of extreme
weather in the past few decades. Extreme weather events, such as typhoons, floods, heat
waves and wildfires have caused tourist destinations to face uncertainties and risks.
Prediction and preparation against these events are crucial for the tourism industries. From
tourism businesses to local, regional and national governments, the ability to successfully
adapt to new climatic conditions – regardless of whether those conditions offer
opportunities or pose potential threats – will depend heavily upon the recognition of and
adaptation to climate change (Amelung and Nicholls, 2014).
Climate change in consequence of human activities affects the environment and
biological systems through various ways, such as global warming, rising sea level and
extreme weather events (Manolas, 2011). The recent report issued by the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) explained that climate drivers such as burning fossil fuels,
cutting down forests and farming livestock disrupt the natural balance between the amount
of energy that the earth receives from the sun and the amount of energy that is lost to space
via reflected sunlight and heat (Atwoli et al., 2021; Masson-Delmotte et al., 2021). The Special
Report on Extreme Events and Disasters of IPCC has further predicted an increasing
number of incidences and growing severity of extreme wet and dry events in the 21st
century due to climate change and further emphasized that urgent actions need to be taken
to reduce these effects (Zommers and Singh, 2014).
A rise in average global temperatures of 1.5°C would increase the chance of reaching a
tipping point of crossing planetary boundaries in natural systems that would result in acute
instability (Atwoli et al., 2021; Masson-Delmotte et al., 2021; Rockström et al., 2009). The
increasing frequency and intensity of the extreme weather events can have devastating
consequences for tourism. In the tourism industry, negative impacts, even small ones, can be
accompanied by a large financial loss in addition to human loss. There are several recorded
examples of economic damages resulting from climate change. For example, winter outdoor
recreation industries, such as skiing, may suffer severely from global warming, as an
increase in average global temperatures may reduce the snow cover necessary for these
events to occur (Masson-Delmotte et al., 2021). Tourist-catering businesses in Delani
National Park, AK, home of the highest peak in North America, experienced US$250,000 loss
in revenue in one year after rising temperatures thawed out permafrost and resulted in
landslides (Patton et al., 2021). The forecasted reduction of winter snow would inevitably
lead to a decrease in tourist arrivals and revenues, as well as a in tourism-related jobs (Scott
et al., 2019, 2021; Willibald et al., 2021). In the case of the Victoria falls in Zimbabwe, reduced
water levels due to droughts (Nhamo et al., 2021) and the covering news reports
(Mushawemhuka et al., 2021) led to a massive decrease in tourist arrivals. Reduced tourist
arrivals due to adverse weather changes will be extremely detrimental to local economies
IJCCSM and communities that depend on tourism, including dramatic reductions in employment and
15,5 cash flows based on tourism activities.
Not only does climate change influence the tourism industries, but tourists themselves
can also be subjected to its impact. In 2021, heatwaves in Greece caused forest fires, which
resulted in thousands of entangled tourists being evacuated (Arabadzhyan, 2021). When
catastrophic circumstances occur at outdoor tourist sites, tourists are often the most
714 vulnerable. Although tourists may have a general understanding of the extreme weather in
their regions of residency, they are less aware of the potential risks of disastrous weather at
their travel destinations (Yu et al., 2018). During disastrous conditions, where the electricity
supply, internet accessibility, transportation and rescue operations are limited, tourists are
less likely to find help or resources. Educational awareness of potentially extreme weather
caused by climate change is imperative for self-preparation, even with comprehensive and
advanced weather forecasting.
As an example, sea level rise due to climate change can worsen tsunami-induced flooding
(Li et al., 2018). Such an extreme coastal hazard has proven to be disastrous for tourists at
coastal destinations. In August 2018, Typhoon Jebi, the strongest typhoon to have landed in
Japan since 1993, caused at least 13 deaths and 741 injuries. A tanker was blown into the
bridge connecting Kansai International Airport, leaving 3,000 tourists stranded at the airport
overnight (Takabatake et al., 2018). In December 2018, a strong tsunami hit the Sunda Strait
in Indonesia, causing runups of up to 13 meters on the adjacent coasts of Sumatra and more
than 437 people, mostly tourists, were confirmed dead (Grilli et al., 2019).
The need for prediction and preparation against extreme weather in tourism has
therefore become even more evident with climate change. Whether located along coastal
lines or up on the mountains, the tourist destinations are vulnerable in the face of extreme
weather events. Climate change heavily affects regions that depend economically on tourism
or areas in which the importance of the tourism industry is expected to grow in the future
(Scott et al., 2019). The use of big data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) applications
can benefit the development of forecasting and preparedness of disastrous weather events in
outdoor recreation and tourism.
Climate change–related extreme weather events and their relation to tourism is an
emerging field of education and research. Several studies have mentioned the risk of climate
change to various tourism sectors, such as snow tourism (Elsasser and Bürki, 2002; Steiger
et al., 2019) and coastal and ocean tourism (Arabadzhyan et al., 2021; Wolf et al., 2021). The
objective of this study is to categorize the impact of climate change on tourist destinations
with regard to extreme weather-related risks in outdoor recreation and tourism. Managerial
implications for policymakers and stakeholders are discussed.
This study seeks to help bridge this gap and its primary contributions includes the
following:

providing a summarized overview of the risks associated with climate change in
terms of tourist experiential value for educational implications; and

revealing the role of data analytics in disaster management in the context of tourism
and climate change for tourism education.

2. Methodology
In the tourism industry, disaster and risk management is defined as the planning and
implementation of the processes aimed to manage disasters and risks on tourism
destinations (Robertson et al., 2006). To provide proper process, knowledge of risk and
disaster assessments is needed. To outline the risks from climate change associated with
tourism, this study uses the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta- Outdoor
Analyses (Prisma) (Moher et al., 2009) for identification, screening, checking for eligibility recreation and
and finding relevant literature for further categorization.
Robertson et al. (2006) provided an overview of generic risk management process. The
tourism
framework included five steps:
(1) establish the context;
(2) identify risks; 715
(3) analyze risks;
(4) evaluate risks; and
(5) treat risks.

According to the United Nations Environment Program Handbook for Disaster Risk
Management for Coastal Tourism, disaster risk management includes a five-step process:
(1) identifying hazard risks;
(2) assessing a community’s vulnerability to the risk;
(3) developing a preparedness and mitigation plan;
(4) implementing the plan; and
(5) monitoring, evaluating, revising and updating the plan for continuous
improvement Shurland and de Jong (2008).

On the topic of risk management, Mikulic et al. (2018) stated that integrated risk
management is still a new approach. To bridge that gap they provided an integrated risk
management approach with a framework including seven steps:
(1) define destination objectives;
(2) analyze of external and internal environment;
(3) risk identification;
(4) risk assessment;
(5) risk mapping;
(6) risk management decisions; and
(7) monitor and review continuously.

In this study, a metadata of literature review was first conducted to examine the issues
associated with climate change risks and factors and how they affect the tourism industry
with educational implications. Based on this literature review, the various risks and threats
posed by climate change were identified and explained. A framework was designed to
illustrate how policymakers and other stakeholders (e.g. residents, local businesses, tourists
and local government) in the tourism industry could better understand, consider and react to
the risks posed by climate change. Prisma procedure is applied in this study to extract
findings in the literature relevant to climate change risks in tourism. The importance of big
data analytics and AI applications to help enhance disaster management systems
concerning climate change risks is also discussed. The full content of the resulting eligible
studies has been thoroughly examined and discussed in terms of two important issues:
(1) impact of climate change on experiential and recreational value in tourism; and
(2) educational implications for prediction and preparation in disaster prevention.
IJCCSM 3. Results
15,5 The Prisma process includes identification, screening, checking for eligibility and locating
relevant literature. Only articles with main keywords climate change risks in tourism from
2000 to 2021 were selected for further process. There was a total of 864 results from Web of
Science database searching in the first step. By the last step, to determine the articles to be
included, measure of individual article quality which is based on the frequency of citations
716 was used to apply (Caon et al., 2020; Moed, 2005; Sendhilkumar et al., 2013). Articles
published during the period 2000–2018 were included only if their citations are equal to or
above 30, while those published during the 2019–2021 period with at least 10 citations were
included. Articles with significant findings were summarized. The methodological treatment
for literature review following Prisma analysis (Moher et al., 2009) is illustrated in Figure 1.
A survey of the literature was administered to identify the present and potential risks
posed by climate change to modern tourist destinations. Table 1 provides a list of the
literature examining the risks associated with climate change for tourist destinations, and
Table 2 summaries the findings in relevant articles.
Based on a thoroughly examination of relevant literature, risks and threats posed by
climate change could be categorized into following four areas:
(1) reduced experiential value in outdoor winter recreation;
(2) reduced value in beach scenery and comfort;
(3) land degradation and reduced biodiversity; and
(4) reduced value in personal safety and comfort in tourism.

Figure 1.
A flowchart of data
generation based on
Prisma analysis
Risk associated with climate
Outdoor
change for tourist destinations Related literature from 2000 to 2021 recreation and
tourism
Reduced experiential value in (Burakowski and Magnusson, 2012; Gilaberte-Búrdalo et al., 2014;
outdoor winter recreation Moen and Fredman, 2007; Neuvonen et al., 2015; Rutty et al., 2017;
Scott et al., 2019; Smith et al., 2016; Steiger et al., 2021; Steiger and
Scott, 2020; Tervo-Kankare et al., 2013; Wilkins et al., 2018)
Reduced value in beach (Abuodha and Woodroffe, 2006; Johnson et al., 2015; Masselink 717
scenery and comfort et al., 2020; Mullin et al., 2019; Ranasinghe, 2016; Saurí et al., 2013;
Scott et al., 2012; Toimil et al., 2018; Vitousek et al., 2017)
Land degradation and reduced (Aukema et al., 2017; Bellard et al., 2012, 2014; Bhuiyan et al., 2018;
biodiversity Chen et al., 2015; Dube and Nhamo, 2020; Rinawati et al., 2013)
Reduced value in personal (Lau et al., 2015; Lhotka et al., 2018; Rutty and Scott, 2010)
Table 1.
safety and comfort in tourism The impact of
climate change on
Source: Created by authors tourist destinations

These are elaborated below.

3.1 Reduced experiential value in outdoor winter recreation

Winter- and snow-related recreational or sporting activities represent a large and prosperous
industry. These activities include snow skiing, winter hiking, snowboarding, fat biking, snow
climbing and so on – activities that are expanding in popularity, especially in countries with
cold winter climates, such as Scandinavian countries (Vanat, 2014). Several reports have shown
that climate change risks the sustainability and expansion of the snow tourism industry (Scott
et al., 2021, 2019; Steiger et al., 2019; Willibald et al., 2021). Owing to global warming, higher
temperatures could potentially lead to poorer snow quality, shorter and shifting skiing seasons,
and less snow cover (Wilkins et al., 2021). Although it has been pointed out that many climate
risk studies associated with snow tourism overestimate risks as they do not consider artificial
snowmaking (Scott et al., 2021), there are still limits to the compensating effects of snowmaking
(Scott et al., 2019; Wilkins et al., 2021). Also, snow making uses high amount of energy and
water. Less snow cover and other adverse circumstances may lead to undesired effects on
tourists that negatively impact the industry, such as “activity substitution,” where tourist
replace snow-related leisure with other activities (Steiger et al., 2019).

3.2 Reduced value in beach scenery and comfort

In tropical climate, tourism relies on the attraction and quality of coastal and marine
environment. The rise of sea-level induced by climate change could lead to severe beach
erosions, storm surges, reduced coastal areas and flooding, which can consequently
negatively affect tourists’ experiences of the destination and decrease the desire of revisiting
the site (Abuodha and Woodroffe, 2006; Uyarra et al., 2005; van Putten et al., 2014). Coral
reefs may be damaged by warming waters (McManus et al., 2021), which further reduce the
quality of these coastal tourist sites and the corresponding flow of visiting tourists.

3.3 Land degradation and reduced biodiversity

Climate change may inflict great harm on landscapes through increase in frequency and
intensity of extreme weather events such as floods and storms. Studies have suggested that
climate change can lead to loss of habitats and negatively influence the migrations of species
(Pallares et al., 2021; Worm and Lotze, 2021). These can further lead to extinction of species,
IJCCSM Impact study Summary
15,5
Reduced experiential value in outdoor winter recreation
Gilaberte-Búrdalo et al. Climate change poses severe risk to the snow tourism industry through reduced
(2014) snowfall, especially at low altitudes
Rutty et al. (2017) Supply-side operations for the ski industry are more likely to be negatively
affected by climate change than skiing demand
718 Scott et al. (2019) Snowmaking adaptation may not be sufficient to meet the negative consequences
of climate change for the snow tourism industry in Ontario, Canada
Scott et al. (2021) Climate change will lead to significant regional shifts in demand in snow tourism
in Austria
Reduced value in beach scenery and comfort
Abuodha and Woodroffe Coastal vulnerability index was used to evaluated 24.8 km of beaches in Illawarra
(2006) and Moruya areas, Australia. The result indicated that 40.6% of the selected
shoreline is identified from extreme to high vulnerability because of future sea-
level rise
Scott et al. (2012) A scenario analysis of a one-meter rise in sea levels for the Caribbean suggested
that 29% of resort properties would be at risk of being completely flooded and
that 49% and 60% would be at risk of beach erosion
Toimil et al. (2018) Fifty-seven beaches in Asturias (Spain) were monitored to study the effects of
erosion on the values of beach recreation. The study showed that by 2100,
disappearance of beaches would happen due to climate change even with a 5-year
retreat. The median value of expected cumulative damage would value up to
237.81m EUR
Land degradation and reduced biodiversity
Bellard et al. (2012) A review of influences of climate change on biodiversity revealed severe risk of
species loss and diversity, and further extinction
Bhuiyan et al. (2018) Climate change significantly caused biodiversity loss in Asia
Dube and Nhamo (2020) A study investigating the evidence and impact of climate variability and climate
change on Kruger National Park, South Africa, revealed that climate change
significantly affected wildlife in a negative manner
Reduced value in personal safety and comfort in tourism
Lau et al. (2015) The study used a climate change model to determine that three European cities
(i.e. Gothenburg in Sweden, Frankfurt in Germany and Porto in Portugal) would
experience relatively warmer urban temperatures due to climate change
Rutty and Scott (2010) This study measures tourist perceptions of “unacceptably hot” and measures
them against future predictions of increases in temperature for tourist spots in
the Mediterranean region and found that in the long-term several destinations
Table 2. would be unacceptably hot
Lhotka et al. (2018) This study used a large ensemble of regional climate model simulations to
A Summary of predict that in the near future (2020–2049), heat waves would double in frequency
studies on the impact compared to past periods
of climate change on
tourist destinations Source: Created by authors

especially in ecologically vulnerable systems such as wetlands (Estrela-Segrelles et al.,

2021), a disaster that is not always properly recorded by governments (Chiba et al., 2017).
Further example revealed that climate change could explain the patterns of loss of species in
Concord, Massachusetts (Willis et al., 2008). Roman-Palacios and Wiens (2020) reported that
increases in the mean annual and hottest yearly temperatures may lead to the extinction of
roughly 57%–70% of the examined plant and animal species worldwide. In addition to this,
the land degradation resulted from climate change may also affect the tourism industry. For
instance, the increased incidences of forest fires, as recently happened in Australia and Outdoor
California (USA), led to extensive areas of damaged and disrupted ecosystems, as well as recreation and
significant losses of biodiversity (Rein and Huang, 2021). The severe changes to the
landscapes would also reduce tourist flow and damage the economy of tourist industries.
tourism

3.4 Reduced value in personal safety and comfort in tourism

Climate change may also result in reduced tourist comfort and safety. The increased
incidence of typhoons or tropical storms due to climate change in coastal destinations
719
obviously puts tourists at risk. Research has shown that cruise ships and airplanes were
both negatively affected by the incidence of hurricanes at popular tourist destinations, such
as the Caribbean and the Canary Islands (Carballo Chanfon et al., 2021; Yanes Luque et al.,
2021). In addition, changes in climate, for instance increased temperature, may also result in
conditions like intense heat waves that reduce comfort for tourists (Matzarakis et al., 2013).
These conditions may reduce the likelihood of tourists returning to visit or they may stay for
shorter periods at these destinations.

4. Discussion and proposing a risk management framework

The risks associated with climate change are often described and analyzed through the
impact chain (IC) as defined by the IPCC (Arabadzhyan et al., 2021; Masson-Delmotte et al.,
2021). Risk is categorized based on the interactions between hazards, natural vulnerability
and socioeconomic vulnerability (Arabadzhyan et al., 2021; Brooks, 2003). While particular
areas are susceptible to natural hazards because of their geographic location, the ability to
respond and adapt to climate change can be critical in tourism with essential educational
implications.
A framework incorporating technology and data analytics into the disaster management
is illustrated in Figure 2. Risks associated with climate change on outdoor and recreation
tourism need to be further analyzed to better understand in reducing potential damage
caused by catastrophic occurrences.
Implications to big data analytics, early warning systems and communication challenges
are discussed below.

4.1 Big data, artificial intelligence, machine learning and quantum computing opportunities
in outdoor recreation and tourism
Big data analytics are beneficial in improving the efficiency and effectiveness of disaster
management. Big data analytics have been used in industry and academia for market
intelligence (Dolnicar and Ring, 2014). In the future, disasters could be tracked rapidly,
accurately and precisely in real time in saving lives and reducing damages during
evacuation or recovery. Big data modeling/simulation tools and combining data from
drones, sensors or robots can assist tourists and first responders in mitigating risks to
reduce damage and loss caused by climate-related disasters.
Machine/Deep learning (M/D/L) and AI tools have evolved to provide timely analysis
(Ford et al., 2016; Guo et al., 2015; Hassani et al., 2019). For example, an AI program was used
to classify social media messages posted during disasters in real time (Imran et al., 2014). A
deep learning framework was used to extract information from YouTube videos in the
context of flood damage, fire, landslide, tornado and lightning (Pouyanfar and Chen, 2017).
Using social media mining, facial recognition technology can help in connecting missing
people with their families (Charalabidis et al., 2014). In addition, AI and M/D/L tools assist in
predicting and detecting extreme weather events and provide help in conducting rescue
operations. For example, using AI to analyze satellite imageries, Descartes Labs launched its
IJCCSM
15,5

720

Figure 2.
The integrated
framework of risk
management in
response to climate
change in tourism

US wildfire detector in July 2019 (Padron-Hidalgo et al., 2019). Moreover, M/D/L tools can
automatically identify texts and tweets related to a particular crisis, which helps first
responders and rescue workers save the lives of trapped victims and make rescue efforts
safer, better coordinated and less time-consuming. Big data analytics have been used to
monitor and detect natural hazards, mitigate their effects, assist in relief efforts and
contribute to recovery and reconstruction processes (Yu et al., 2018). AI and M/D/L can
provide enhanced warnings about extreme events (Huntingford et al., 2019). Convolutional
neutral networks, a deep learning technique, have been used for weather prediction up to
5 days ahead of time with 94% accuracy in mitigating climate-related risks (Chattopadhyay
et al., 2020).
Disaster management related to climate change risks can be more efficient once all the
data acquired from heterogeneous sources is available in real time. This poses an enormous
challenge in integrating cyberphysical infrastructure (e.g. data storage and associated
energy usage and security and privacy). Current and future advances in quantum
computing will provide an opportunity for large-scale storage to allow faster than real-time
analyses to mitigate climate change–related risks.
Recent works that apply big data in outdoor recreation and tourism with climate change
considerations is listed in Table 1. Although big data has been largely applied in climate
change and weather forecasting, catastrophic disaster management in outdoor recreation
and tourism has been overlooked in the tourism education literature. In catastrophic disaster
management in outdoor recreation and tourism, protocols are inconsistent and
incomprehensively implemented in various tourist sites. In the future, the importance of
catastrophic disaster management in outdoor recreation and tourism cannot be
overemphasized. Researchers and stakeholders are encouraged to examine climate changes
with big data applications in catastrophic disaster management and to develop sustainable Outdoor
evaluation protocols that can be implemented for outdoor and recreation tourism education. recreation and
tourism
4.2 Adequate warning systems
Safety alarms for extreme weather are crucial in outdoor recreation and tourism. Early
warning systems are critical tools for earthquakes, floods, droughts, storms and other
hazards. Many systems are in operation worldwide; however, there are still high-risk areas 721
that remain without these systems (Zommers and Singh, 2014), and these regions are
usually where the outdoor recreation and tourism industry contributes a large proportion to
economic development. Advances in data storage and structured analytical modeling have
made forecasting of devastating weather more accurate (Boult and Evans, 2021).
Technology-enhanced warning systems reduce human losses, economic losses, emotional
stresses and partial travel caused by weather disasters.

4.3 Communication challenges in catastrophic disaster management in outdoor recreation

and tourism
Evacuation protocols for catastrophic circumstances at tourist destinations are often
neglected. Air travel provides an example of a reinforced evacuation protocol. Before taking
off, each passenger is informed of the emergency procedure, even though the possibility of
an emergency is extremely low. Hotels are another example, with regulated fire evacuation
procedures in place in case of fire. It is especially critical in places vulnerable to extreme
weather-related events, such as tsunami events or heat waves, for evacuation procedures to
be in place and communicated clearly to tourists prior to their travel or visit.
A new generation of mobile broadband networks that provide wireless communication is
spurring the development of more sophisticated location-based services using the global
positioning system (MacKay and Vogt, 2012). Tourists rely heavily on technology-driven
devices to connect to the outside world, but when a catastrophic disaster affects a location,
within a short time, electricity and Wi-Fi connections go down. Tourists become
disconnected. It is imperative to inform all potential or expected tourists of the escape plans
or fail-safe protections that can be offered to them when extreme weather or no-escape
natural disasters (e.g. landslides, or avalanches) occur (Huan et al., 2004). Additionally,
tourists may not be proficient enough in the local language to communicate with the locals if
there are special needs.

5. Policy implications
Disaster management in the context of climate change in the tourism industry provides
opportunities to improve the tourist experience. The various threats posed by climate
change include:

reduced experiential value in outdoor winter recreation (Rutty et al., 2017; Scott
et al., 2019);

reduced value in beach scenery and comfort (Abuodha and Woodroffe, 2006; Dube
and Nhamo, 2020; Scott et al., 2012);

land degradation and reduced biodiversity (Bellard et al., 2012; Dube and Nhamo,
2020); and

reduced value in personal safety and comfort in tourism (Lau et al., 2015; Lhotka
et al., 2018).
IJCCSM By considering these various risks and threats, policymakers and stakeholders involved in
15,5 the tourism and recreational industry may apply big data analytics and technology to
forecast adverse weather events, both for the short- and long-terms in mitigating climate-
change risks. The process involves the IPCC approach in ICs, considering the complex
relationships between hazards, natural vulnerability, climate change and socioeconomic
vulnerability (Arabadzhyan et al., 2021; Brooks, 2003; Masson-Delmotte et al., 2021).
722 Contingency plans should be drafted to respond a disaster, as well as a framework to learn
from disaster events stemming from climate change.
A properly designed disaster management system allows stakeholders to improve the
process continually. Data collected during actual disasters can be used to ensure that
response times are faster and more efficient. For example, data analytics can be used to
determine which channels of communication people relied on the most to spread information
or even misinformation during disasters, with the government taking measures to take
advantage of such information. The process of continual data collection, policy making and
improvement that could result from a disaster management system to prevent catastrophic
circumstances in tourism education.

6. Conclusions
The role of big data analytics in risk management in the context of climate-change related
disaster is not widely discussed, as big data and climate change effects on tourism education
in general are relatively new topics. We sought to bridge this gap by discussing and
presenting a preliminary framework that incorporates data analytics and that allows
policymakers and stakeholders to reduce and react to risks in the tourism industry in a
proactive manner with educational implications.
The purpose of this article is to urge researchers and stakeholders to further examine the
risks associated with climate change on outdoor and recreation tourism by considering
the ICs associated with the consequences and effects of climate change. It also focuses on the
importance of using big data applications in catastrophic disaster management and risk
reduction. Recommendations for improvement in disaster management in the context of
climate change for tourism education include the following:

Sharing outdoor and recreation tourism data to the public so analytics can be
applied to model the impacts of climate change on outdoor and recreation tourism.

Improving the speed, reliability and accuracy of forecasting models using big data
analytics specifically for outdoor and recreation tourists to enhance understanding
of possible weather-related disasters and escape procedures.

Developing AI and M/D/L tools for specific aspects of weather-related disasters that
impact tourism and stakeholders for tourism education.

Emphasizing prevention and mitigation strategies over evacuation strategies.

Disseminating readiness and accurate information to stakeholders in mitigating
risks. An example is the use of remote sensing technology and combining it with
AI/ML to classify wildfires, hurricanes, flood events and subsequently running
simulations faster than real time to predict economic/human impact and to mitigate
climate change risks.

In conclusion, in the era of climate change, risk management should incorporate big data
analytics to enhance forecast accuracy, efficiency and effectiveness in disaster management
in tourism education. Such an approach can benefit tourism education research and
stakeholders who manage resources related to weather-related disaster rescue. Moreover,
policymakers and stakeholders should properly understand the nature of the risks posed by Outdoor
climate change. The development of protocols and tools to enhance the welfare of tourists recreation and
visiting destinations vulnerable to climate change is imperative and advantageous in future
tourism educational research.
tourism

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Further reading
Analytica, O. (2021), “August wildfires will force Greek rethink on climate”, Emerald Expert Briefings,
doi: 10.1108/OXAN-DB263549.

Corresponding author
Jane Lu Hsu can be contacted at: [email protected]

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