MScFE 622 CTSP_Compiled_Video_Transcripts_M3
MScFE 622 CTSP_Compiled_Video_Transcripts_M3
Video Transcripts
Module 3
MScFE 622
Continuous-time Stochastic
Processes
Table of Contents
We are going to start with what is called a simple process, which is a stochastic process that can be
written like this:
&
where, the τ% 𝑠 are stopping times (i.e. when 0 = τ# < τ( < ⋯ τ& = 𝑇).
" &
What we see above is the definition of the stochastic integral, which is similar to the case of a
Brownian motion. This means that it also satisfies similar properties to the case of a Brownian
motion.
"
1 𝐸 5∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀! 7 = 0
"
2 This stochastic process, {∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀! : 0 ≤ 𝑡 ≤ 𝑇} is a square integrable martingale with the
following quadratic variation:
" "
=# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀𝑠> = # 𝜑!0 𝑑⟨𝑀⟩!
# #
"
" 0
3 𝐸 A5∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀! 7 B is equal to the expected value of the integral of the square of 𝜑! with
" 0 "
𝐸 CD# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀! E F = 𝐸 D# 𝜑!0 𝑑⟨𝑀⟩! E
# #
This is similar to what we had in Brownian motion, because the quadratic variation of
Brownian motion at time 𝑠 is equal to 𝑠 itself.
We begin by defining 𝐿0 (𝑀) to be a set of predictable processes – meaning that we now restrict
this to predictable processes. This restriction was unnecessary in the Brownian case as we just
defined it for progressive processes, which are predictable with respect to the Brownian filtration.
Here, however, we define it for predictable processes, 𝜑, such that 𝜑 is predictable and the norm
of 𝜑 is finite, where the norm of 𝜑 is again defined in a similar way to the Brownian case:
(
2 0
‖𝜑‖1 = D𝐸 # 𝜑!0 𝑑⟨𝑀⟩! E
#
Once we have the above, we can show that for every element of 𝐿0 (𝑀), there exists a sequence of
simple processes that we are going to denote by (𝜑& ), such that 𝜑& converges to 𝜑 in the following
sense:
‖𝜑& − 𝜑‖1 → 0 𝑎𝑠 𝑛 → ∞
In that case, we define the stochastic integral of 𝜑 to be equal to the limit as 𝑛 tends to infinity of
the stochastic integrals of 𝜑& , where this limit is taken in 𝐿0 . Written in full:
" "
# 𝜑𝑑𝑀! : = lim # 𝜑& 𝑑𝑀!
# &→4 #
This limit is independent of the sequence 𝜑& that we have chosen and that completely defines the
stochastic integral with respect to a square integrable martingale. Now that we have defined a
stochastic integral with respect to a square integrable martingale, in the next video we are going
to look at localization.
Unit 2: Localization
Hi, in this video we introduce the notion of localization and we use it to extend the theory of
stochastic integration.
Let ℰ be a class of stochastic processes, which is essentially a set of stochastic processes. For an
example, we can take ℰ to be a set of martingales on the same probability space:
ℰ=𝑀
We say that the stochastic process 𝑋 is locally in ℰ, which we write as 𝑋 ∈ ℰ567 , if it satisfies the
following conditions:
1 An increasing sequence of stopping times must exist, which we will denote by τ& , such
that τ& → ∞ as 𝑛 → ∞.
2 The stopped process, 𝑋 8! ∈ ℰ∀𝑛. This applies even though 𝑋 itself need not belong to ℰ.
As a famous example, if we take ℰ to be a set of all martingales, then ℰ567 , which is the set of all
stochastic processes that are locally in ℰ, in this case will simply coincide with the set of all
stochastic processes that are local martingales:
ℰ = 𝑀, ℰ567 = 𝑀567
A popular example of a local martingale that we will see many times in this course, is when 𝑊 is a
"
Brownian motion and 𝜑 is progressive, with the additional condition that ∫# 𝜑!0 𝑑𝑠 < ∞∀𝑡 and this
is true almost surely. So, if this condition is satisfied, then we know that the stochastic integral
"
∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑊! of the stochastic process 𝜑! is well-defined.
However, we mentioned in the last module that this is not generally a martingale if 𝜑 does not
"
belong to 𝐿0 (𝑊). If 𝜑 ∉ 𝐿0 (𝑊), then the stochastic integral ∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑊!9 need not be a martingale.
This is something important to remember.
"
However, we will show now that ∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑊! is always a local martingale.
As a sequence, τ& , which is called a localizing sequence, can be taken as being the first time the
"
infimum, which is ∫# 𝜑!0 𝑑𝑠, is greater than or equal to 𝑛. Written in full:
"
τ& : = 𝑖𝑛𝑓{𝑡 ≥ 0: # 𝜑!0 𝑑𝑠 ≥ 𝑛}
#
8
Now, if we look at the stopped process 𝜑&! , it is always bounded above by 𝑛 and therefore belongs
8
to 𝐿0 (𝑊). This means that 𝜑&! will be a square integrable martingale for all 𝑛. So, the stochastic
" 8
integral ∫# 𝜑! ! 𝑑𝑊! will be a square integrable martingale.
" $ 8"
8
∫# 𝜑! ! 𝑑𝑊! is also equal to the stopped process 5∫# 𝜑! dW: 7 . We can check that this is equivalent
to stopping the integral process itself, and therefore, the integral process is a local martingale
because when we stop it we get a martingale.
Finally, this allows us to extend the theory of stochastic integration to the case where we have
"
∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀 > and this here no longer belongs to 𝐿0 of 𝑀, and the martingale 𝑀 is not necessarily
square integrable – in fact, we can extend it even further to the case where it is just a local
martingale via localization. Further details are covered in the notes.
Now that we've covered localization, in the next video we are going to look at semimartingales.
Unit 3: Semimartingales
Hi, in this video we look at semimartingales.
where 𝑋# is of course the starting point of the stochastic process. We are going to insist that 𝑀 is
continuous, but it is also a local martingale. 𝐴 is a continuous finite variation process, meaning that
the sample paths of 𝐴 have finite variation.
Now, if 𝑋 is a continuous semimartingale with the above decomposition, we will define the
stochastic integral of the stochastic process 𝜑 with respect to 𝑋 in two steps. The first integral will
be with respect to 𝑀, which is a local martingale as we defined in the previous section, plus the
second integral with respect to 𝐴, which is the Stieltjes integral. To be clear, the first integral is the
stochastic integral, while the second is the ordinary Stieltjes integral. Written in full:
Now 𝜑! will not exist for any arbitrary 𝜑, so, necessarily, we need to make sure that the stochastic
" "
integral exists for when 𝜑 is locally bounded and predictable so that ∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝑀! and ∫# 𝜑! 𝑑𝐴! both
exist. Those conditions will both be satisfied if we assume that 𝜑 is locally bounded and
predictable. However, there are cases where the stochastic integral exists even though 𝜑 is not
locally bounded and integrable.
We are going to denote by 𝐿(𝑋) the set of all processes 𝜑, such that 𝜑 is 𝑋-integrable in the sense
that the stochastic integral exists.
Now that we have introduced the stochastic integral, we can move on to Ito's Lemma for
continuous semimartingales,
We will define 𝑌" to be ℱ(𝑋" ), so this is a new stochastic process and a function of 𝑋" .
Ito's Lemma says that 𝑌" is also a semimartingale and it gives us the stochastic differential for
𝑌" with respect to the partial derivatives of the function ℱ as follows:
;
δℱ 1 δ0 ℱ
dY$ = ' 𝑑𝑋" % + ' ' 𝑑m𝑋 % , 𝑋< n"
δ𝑥% 2 δ𝑥%, δ𝑥<
%'( % <
Finally, it is important to mention that the notion of a semimartingale can be extended to a case
where 𝑋 is no longer continuous. In general, a stochastic process 𝑋 is a semimartingale if it can be
decomposed into the three parts discussed at the beginning of the video (𝑋 = 𝑋# + 𝑀 + 𝐴), where
neither 𝑀 nor 𝐴 are necessarily continuous, but 𝑀 is a local martingale and 𝐴 is a finite variation.
Furthermore, we can still define the stochastic integral in the same way for locally bounded and
predictable processes when the process 𝑋 is a just a semimartingale without being continuous.
Further details are included in the notes.
That brings us to the end of this module. In the next module, we are going to look at continuous
trading.