Module 5 - Replacement Analysis
Module 5 - Replacement Analysis
MODULE 5
REPLACEMENT ANALYSIS: Introduction, reasons for replacement, Individual Replacement
of machinery or equipment with/without value of money, Group Replacement Policies,
Problems.
7.1 Introduction
Replacement analysis is concerned with the question, when is it time to replace existing
equipment with a new one? When the old one wears out.'' It is possible, after all, to keep a 1957
Chevy running up to the present day, if you're prepared to spend enough time and money on it.
Conversely, it may be worth replacing an IBM XT with a Pentium well before the former breaks
down. The figure 7.1 clearly explains about replacement of an equipment.
Time
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
Deterioration is the decline in the performance of the equipment as compared to the new
equipment. It may occur due to wear and tear. Due to this
a) Increase in the maintenance cost.
b) Reduces the product quality
c) Decreases the rate of production
d) Increases the labor cost
e) Reduces the efficiency of the equipment
7 .3Models:
Model 1:
“Replacement of items whose maintenance Cost increases with time and the value of the money
remains constant during the period”
Model 2: “replacement of items whose maintenance cost increases with time and value of money
also changes with time”.
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
Tc- total cost increased on the item or equipment during the period y
Tc = C + m(Y) – S
Where M(Y) is the cumulative maintenance cost in that period.
G(Y) Average cost incurred on the equipment or item during the period. G(Y)
= Tc / y
Problem 1:
The cost of the machine is Rs 6100/- and its scrap value is Rs 100 at the end of every year. The
maintnance cost found from experience are as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
M.C 100 250 400 600 900 1200 1600 2000
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
It’s clear from the above analysis that the machine has to replaced at the end of 6th year or at the
beginning of 7th year because the maintenance cost of 7th year is more than the average cost of
the machine i.e 1578.5 > 1575.5
Problem 2:
Machine A costs Rs 9000/- annual operating cost is Rs 200/- for the first year and then increases
by Rs 2000/- every year. Determine the best age at which the machine should be replaced and
what would be the average cost of owning is operating cost of the machine? Machine B costs Rs
10000/- annual operating cost is Rs 400/- for the first year and then increased by Rs. 800/- every
year you now have a machine A which is one year old. Should you replace it with B? If so
when? Assume machines have no resale value and that the future costs are not discounted.
Solution:
Machine A:
Cost price C = Rs 9000 S = Rs 0
Year (Y) Maintenance Cumulative Total cost (Tc ) Average Cost
Cost Maintenance C-S + m(y) g(y)
cost m(y)
1 200 200 9200 9200
2 2200 2400 11400 5700
3 4200 6600 15600 5200
4 6200 12800 21800 5450
5 8200 21000 30000 6000
Machine B:
Cost price C =Rs 10,000 S =0
Year (Y) Maintenance Cumulative Total cost (Tc ) Average Cost
Cost Maintenance C-S + m(y) g(y)
cost m(y)
1 400 400 10400 10400
2 1200 1600 11600 5800
3 2000 3600 13600 4533.33
4 2800 6400 16400 4100
5 3600 10000 20000 4000
6 4400 14400 24400 4066.67
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
Machine A should be replaced at the end of the 3rd year and the average cost is 5200/- . machine
B should be replaced at the end of 5th year and the average cost is Rs 4000/-. The I year
maintenance cost of machine A which is a year old is Rs2200/- < which is less than the average
cost of machine B i.e. 4000. The II year maintenance cost of machine A ( 1 year old) is 4200 >
avg cost of machine B (i.e. 4000/-) The III year maintenance cost of machine A is 6200/- which
is greater than the average cost of machine B. i.e. 4000/-. It is clear from above analysis that
machine A that is one year old can be used one more year from now and then replaced with
machine B.
Model 2
“Replacement of items whose maintenance cost increases with time and the value of money also
changes with time” The maintenance cost varies with time and we want to find out the optimum
time period at which the items will be replaced value of money decreases with a constant rate
which is known as depreciation ratio or discounted factor which is given by V= 1/ (1+i)^n-1
for the value of 1 rupee
where i rate of interest,
n- no. of years
Problem 5:
A company buys a machine for Rs 6000/-. The maintenance cost are expected to be Rs 300/- in
each year for the first 2 years and go up annually as follows 700, 1000, 1500, 2000, and 2500.
Assume the money is worth of 20% per year. When the machine should be replaced.
Solution
C = 6000/-
I = 20%
Assumption: - in this to solve the problem we assume that the maintenance cost is
spent on the machine at the beginning of each year as 1.
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
=0.694
=0.694*700 = 486.1
th th
The machine should be replaced at the end of 6 year or at the beginning of 7 year
th
because the maintenance cost in the 7 year is more than the average cost of the machine
2500 > 2291.62
Problem 6:
A machine cost Rs 10000/- the operating cost is Rs 500/- for the first 5 years and then increased
by Rs 100/- every year subsequently from the 6th year onwards.Assuming the money is worth of
10% per year. Find the optimal length of time to hold the machine before replacement.
Solution:
C=10,000, i = 10%
S=0
Assumption:
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
To solve the problem, we assume that maintenance cost spent on the equipment is at the
beginning of each year.
Specimen Calculations for 3rd year
V= 1/ (1+i)^n-1
= 1/ (1.1)3
=0.826
= 0.826 x 500
= 413
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Engineering Economy (17HS6ICEEM)
Conclusion: The machine should be replaced at the end of 19th year or at the beginning of 20
year because the maintenance cost in the 20th year is more than the average cost of 19th year i.e.
1916.59 > 1915.11
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EXAMPLE A firm is considering replacement of an equipment,
whose first cost is Rs. 4,000 and the scrap value is negligible at the end of
any year. Based on experience, it was found that the maintenance cost is
zero during the first year and it increases by Rs. 200 every year thereafter.
(a) When should the equipment be replaced if i = 0%?
(b) When should the equipment be replaced if i = 12%?
Table 8.1 Calculations to Determine Economic Life (First cost = Rs. 4,000, Interest = 0 %)
The value corresponding to any end of year (n) in Column F represents the
average total cost of using the equipment till the end of that particular year.
For this problem, the average total cost decreases till the end of year 6 and
then it increases. Therefore, the optimal replacement period is six years, i.e.
economic life of the equipment is six years.
(b) When interest rate, i = 12%. When the interest rate is more than 0%,
the steps to be taken for getting the economic life are summarized with
reference to Table 8.2.
Table 8.2 Calculations to Determine Economic Life (First cost = Rs. 4,000,
Interest = 12%)
End of Maintenance P/F, 12%, Present worth Summation of Present worth A/P, 12%, Annual
year cost at end n as of beginning present worth of cumulative n equivalent
of year of year 1 of of maintenance maintenance total
(n) maintenance costs through cost & first cost through
costs year given cost year given
(B ´ C) SD E + Rs. 4,000 F´G
A B (Rs) C D (Rs.) E (Rs.) F (Rs.) G H (Rs.)
1 0 0.8929 0.00 0.00 4,000.00 1.1200 4,480.00
2 200 0.7972 159.44 159.44 4,159.44 0.5917 2,461.14
3 400 0.7118 284.72 444.16 4,444.16 0.4163 1,850.10
4 600 0.6355 381.30 825.46 4,825.46 0.3292 1,588.54
5 800 0.5674 453.92 1,279.38 5,279.38 0.2774 1,464.50
6 1,000 0.5066 506.60 1,785.98 5,785.98 0.2432 1,407.15
7 1,200 0.4524 542.88 2,328.86 6,328.86 0.2191 1,386.65*
8 1,400 0.4039 565.46 2,894.32 6,894.32 0.2013 1,387.83
9 1,600 0.3606 576.96 3,471.28 7,471.28 0.1877 1,402.36
10 1,800 0.3220 579.60 4,050.88 8,050.88 0.1770 1,425.00
*Economic life of the machine = 7 years
i (1 + i )n
Column H = Column F ´
(1 + i )n − 1
= Column F ´ (A/P, 12%, n) = Column F ´ Column G
5. Identify the end of year for which the annual equivalent total cost is
minimum.
For this problem, the annual equivalent total cost is minimum at the end of
year 7. Therefore, the economic life of the equipment is seven years.
Solution
First cost = Rs. 20,000
Interest rate = 15%
The other details are summarized in Table 8.3 along with regular
calculations for determining the economic life.
Table 8.3 Calculations to Determine Economic Life
Table 8.4 Calculations to Determine Economic Life (First Cost = Rs. 6,000, Interest = 15%)
End of Maintenance P/F, 15%, Present worth Summation of Column E A/P, 15%, Annual
year cost for end n as of beginning present worth + n equivalent total
(n) of year of year 1 of of maintenance Rs. 6000 cost through
maintenance costs through year given
costs year given
B´C SD F´G
A B (Rs) C D (Rs.) E (Rs.) F (Rs.) G H (Rs.)
1 1,500 0.8696 1,304.40 1,304.40 7,304.40 1.1500 8,400.06
RESULT
Minimum annual equivalent total cost for machine A = Rs. 2,780
Minimum annual equivalent total cost for machine B = Rs. 3,672.30
Since the minimum annual equivalent total cost of machine A is less than
that of machine B, machine A is selected as the best machine which has the
economic life of four years. (Note: Selection of the best machine is based on the
minimum annual equivalent total cost. The comparison is made over the
minimum common multiple of the lives of machine A and machine B, i.e.
4 ´ 2 = 8 years).
P
Fig. 8.3 Cash flow diagram of machine.
The equation for the annual equivalent amount for the above cash flow
diagram is
AE(i) = (P – F) ´ ( A/P, i, n) + F ´ i + A
This equation represents the capital recovery with return.
–2 –1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
annual maintenance cost for the preceding periods are not shown in this figure.
The annual equivalent cost is computed as
AE(12%) = (P – F)(A/P, 12%, 6) + F ´ i + A
= (1,20,000 – 25,000)(0.2432) + 25,000 ´ 0.12 + 25,000
= Rs. 51,104
Alternative 2 — New machine
Purchase price (P) = Rs. 1,50,000
Salvage value (F) = Rs. 20,000
Annual maintenance cost (A) = Rs. 14,000
Life = 6 years
Interest rate = 12%
The cash flow diagram of the new machine is depicted in Fig. 8.5.
20,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1,50,000
Fig. 8.5 Cash flow diagram for alternative 2.
8,000
–10 . –1 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1 2 3 . 20
65,000
Fig. 8.7 Cash flow diagram for alternative 2.
0 0
17,288.10 1 19,259.60 1
17,288.10 2 19,259.60 2
17,288.10 3 19,259.60 3
17,288.10 4 19,259.60 4
17,288.10 5 19,259.60 5
17,288.10 6 19,259.60 6
17,288.10 7 19,259.60 7
17,288.10 8 19,259.60 8
17,288.10 9 19,259.60 9
17,288.10 10 19,259.60 10
17,288.10 11 19,259.60 11
17,288.10 12 19,259.60 12
17,288.10 13 19,259.60 13
17,288.10 14 19,259.60 14
17,288.10 15 19,259.60 15
17,288.10 16 19,259.60 16
17,288.10 17 19,259.60 17
17,288.10 18 19,259.60 18
17,288.10 19 19,259.60 19
17,288.10 20 19,259.60 20
Old engine New engine
Fig. 8.8 Cash flow diagram of alternatives based on common lives.
Since the annual equivalent cost of the old diesel engine is less than that of the
new diesel engine, it is suggested to keep the old diesel engine. Here, an
important assumption is that the old engine will be replaced four times during
the 20 years period of comparison.
EXAMPLE 8.6 A steel highway bridge must either be reinforced or replaced.
Reinforcement would cost Rs. 6,60,000 and would make the bridge fit for an
additional five years of service. If it is reinforced, it is estimated that its net
salvage value would be Rs. 4,00,000 at the time it is retired from service. The
new prestressed concrete bridge would cost Rs. 15,00,000 and would meet the
foreseeable requirements of the next 40 years. Such a bridge would have no
salvage value. It is estimated that the annual maintenance cost of the reinforced
bridge would exceed that of the concrete bridge by Rs. 96,000. If the bridge is
replaced by a new prestressed concrete bridge, the scrap value of the steel would
exceed the demolition cost by Rs. 4,20,000. Assume that the money costs the
state 10%. What would you recommend?
0 1 2 3 4 5
6,60,000
Fig. 8.9 Cash flow diagram for alternative 1.
0 1 2 . . 40
15,00,000
Fig. 8.10 Cash flow diagram for alternative 2.
The current market value of the 10 hp motor is Rs. 10,000. Using an interest
rate of 15%, find the best alternative.
Solution There are two alternatives to cope with the situation:
1. Augmenting the present 10 hp motor with an additional 5 hp motor.
2. Replacing the present 10 hp motor with a new 15 hp motor.
Alternative 1—Augmenting the present 10 hp motor with an additional
5 hp motor
Total annual equivalent cost = Annual equivalent cost of 10 hp motor +
Annual equivalent cost of 5 hp motor
Calculation of annual equivalent cost of 10 hp Motor
Present market value of the 10 hp motor (P) = Rs. 10,000
Remaining life (n) = 7 years
Salvage value at the end of motor life (F) = Rs. 1,500
Annual operation and maintenance cost (A) = Rs. 1,600
Interest rate, i = 15 %
The cash flow diagram of this alternative is shown in Fig. 8.11.
1,500
–3 –1 0 1 2 7
0 1 2 . . 7
10,000
Fig. 8.12 Cash flow diagram for 5 hp motor.
0 1 2 . . 7
35,000
Fig. 8.13 Cash flow diagram for alternative 2.
Solution Old machine Let the comparative use value of the old machine be X.
Remaining life (n) = 4 years.
Salvage value of the old machine (F) = Rs. 1,000
Annual maintenance cost (A) = Rs. 750
Interest rate, i = 12%
The cash flow diagram of the old machine is depicted in Fig. 8.14.
1,000
–2 –1 0 1 2 3 4
New machine
Cost of the new Machine (P) = Rs. 10,000
Life (n) = 4 years.
Salvage value of the new machine (F) = Rs. 4,000
Annual Maintenance cost (A) = Rs. 500
Interest rate, i = 12%
The cash flow diagram of the new machine is illustrated in Fig. 8.15.
4,000
0 1 2 3 4