MPS
MPS
Employee Cost 95 110 122 112 165 166 203 202 213 244 42% 43% 42% 42% 46% 50% 48% 45% 43% 45%
Selling and admin 18 20 21 21 32 25 28 29 34 34 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 8% 7% 6% 7% 6%
Other Expenses 4 5 9 8 8 6 8 9 9 9 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Chart of Op.EBIT Margin
Depreciation 5 4 6 8 11 15 21 21 19 20 26 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Operating Profit (Op. EBIT) 75 87 88 79 82 64 86 105 137 150 171 Op.EBIT Margin 34% 34% 30% 30% 23% 19% 20% 23% 27% 27% 25%
Other Income 18 18 15 23 25 20 10 14 11 12 8 8% 7% 5% 9% 7% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Interest 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 1 1 1 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Profit before tax 93 105 103 102 107 81 93 118 147 161 178 Chart of PAT Margin
Tax 32 34 32 32 31 22 35 31 38 42 48
PROFIT AFTER TAX (PAT) 61 71 70 70 76 60 59 87 109 119 131 PAT Margin 27% 28% 24% 26% 21% 18% 14% 19% 22% 22% 19%
Effective Income Tax Rate 34% 32% 31% 31% 29% 26% 37% 26% 26% 26%
Marginal Income Tax Rate 34.61% 34.61% 34.61% 35.00% 30.00% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% #N/A
MARGINAL INCOME TAX DATA
GROWTH ANALYSIS Source KPMG for the years from 2011 until 2019
SALES Op. EBIT PAT from FY20 onwards, it is assumed that domestic companies will take advantage of Section 115BAA
9 Year CAGR 10% 8% 8% Mar-11 32.44%
7 Year CAGR 10% 8% 8% Mar-12 32.45%
5 Year CAGR 9% 13% 9% Mar-13 33.99%
3 Year CAGR 9% 20% 27% Mar-14 33.99%
TTM CAGR 27% 14% 10% Mar-15 34.61%
Mar-16 34.61%
Mar-17 34.61%
DEBT & SOLVENCY RATIOS Mar-18 35.00%
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-19 30.00%
Debt - - - - - 19 18 12 8 5 Mar-20 25.17%
Equity 256 279 348 419 471 367 381 367 427 460 Mar-21 25.17%
Mar-22 25.17%
Debt Coverage Ratios (Lower is Better) Mar-23 25.17%
Debt/Equity Ratio - - - - - 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Debt/EBITDA - - - - - 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Interest Expense / Debt #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 11% 11% 13% 15% 19%
- Interest -0 -0 -0 -0 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1
+ Tax Benefit from Interest (Int x Tax) 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 #N/A
- Debt Repayment - - - - - -0 -6 -4 -3
+ New Debt - - - - 19 - - - -
FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY (FCFE) 41 26 69 -12 42 36 97 51 #N/A
Total CFO - Int Tax Shield #N/A (Cum CFO - Interest)/Cum PAT 101% (ideally, should be more than 75%. Higher the better)
- Total Capex -483
TOTAL FCFF #N/A Cum FCFF/Cum EBIAT #N/A
(Payout Ratio)
- Total Interest + Int Tax Benefit #N/A
Total FCFE through operations #N/A
+ INCREASE in Debt 5
TOTAL FCFE #N/A
#N/A
Total Dividends in 9 yrs 417 #N/A
VALUATION MULTIPLES
Based on Equity Value
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2.3.25
No. of shares (in crores) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
EPS 33 38 38 38 41 32 32 51 64 69 76
Stock Price 945 661 689 496 477 209 463 590 1,062 1,533 2,365 1/(P/E) Current Bond Yield
P / ETTM 28.6 17.2 18.2 13.1 11.7 6.5 14.3 11.6 16.6 22.1 31.0 3% 10% no margin of safety
Book Value / Share 137.7 150.2 187.0 225.1 253.3 197.3 210.6 214.5 249.8 268.9 268.9
P/B 6.9 4.4 3.7 2.2 1.9 1.1 2.2 2.7 4.3 5.7 8.8
EBITDA 99 109 109 110 119 99 117 140 168 182 206
EV / EBITDATTM 17.6 11.1 11.6 8.2 6.8 3.2 6.5 6.3 9.9 13.8
EV / Sales 7.8 4.7 4.4 3.4 2.2 0.9 1.8 2.0 3.3 4.6
DIVIDENDS
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2.3.25
Dividends (Rs crores) 41 41 - 22 47 93 - 51 34 128
Dividends/Net Profit 67% 57% 0% 32% 61% 156% 0% 59% 31% 108%
Dividends/Share 22.0 22.0 - 12.0 25.0 50.1 - 30.0 20.0 75.0
Stock Dividend Yield 2% 3% 0% 2% 5% 24% 0% 5% 2% 5% 3%
% RETURN IF YOU PURCHASED THE STOCK IN THE PAST AND SOLD IT TODAY
INPUT Date of Purchase Mar/20
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2.3.25
Stock Bought - - - - - -209 - - - -
Dividends - - - - - 50.1 - 30.0 20.0 75.0
Stock Sold 2,365
Total - - - - - -159 - 30 20 75 2,365
IRR 77.9%
NOTE: The IRR calculated above DOES NOT account for buybacks, if any, by a company
Free CF yield / Acquirer's multiple Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
FCFF - 41 26 69 -12 25 38 104 56 #N/A
EV 1,741 1,215 1,264 899 810 314 754 888 1,666 2,511
FCFF / EV 0% 3% 2% 8% -1% 8% 5% 12% 3% #N/A #N/A
Acquirer's multiple 23.18 13.97 14.44 11.38 9.83 4.92 8.79 8.42 12.14 16.75
Fragility Scorecard
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Total equity 256.11 279.44 347.9 418.68 471.16 366.91 381.12 366.88 427.15 459.82
Total liabilities 282.49 305.01 381.41 451.27 536.55 443.2 506.61 496.59 559.19 736
Equity as % total liabilities 91% 92% 91% 93% 88% 83% 75% 74% 76% 63% [Higher the better]
Interest + Depreciation 5.74 4.23 6.05 8.18 11.26 17.52 23.26 22.41 20.6 20.84
Operating profit % 34% 34% 30% 30% 23% 19% 20% 23% 27% 27%
Break even sales 17.110703062583 12.515797768 19.956981261 27.645935957 49.511224 91.17382708301 114.64496675609 95.44024 75.192176003 75.80722
Actual sales 224 257 289 267 363 332 423 449 501 545
Break even sales as % of sales 8% 5% 7% 10% 14% 27% 27% 21% 15% 14% [Lower the better]
ROIC 0% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! [Higher the better]
Net Block 33 36 49 49 103 115 154 144 180 388 12% 12% 13% 11% 19% 26% 30% 29% 32% 53%
Capital Work in Progress - 0 - - 0 0 - - - 1 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cash & Bank 16 14 17 23 77 94 103 133 158 115 6% 5% 4% 5% 14% 21% 20% 27% 28% 16%
Investments 159 169 206 288 212 86 12 6 28 30 56% 55% 54% 64% 40% 19% 2% 1% 5% 4%
Inventory - - - - - - - - - - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Receivables 39 45 60 46 69 62 91 86 87 101 14% 15% 16% 10% 13% 14% 18% 17% 15% 14%
Loans & Advances (Manually co 2 3 2 3 2 21 41 2 2 1 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 8% 0% 0% 0%
Other Assets 33 38 48 42 74 65 106 127 105 99 12% 12% 13% 9% 14% 15% 21% 25% 19% 14%
TOTAL ASSETS 282 305 381 451 537 443 507 497 559 736 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Invested Capital from the Liability Side of Balance Sheet = (Book Value of Equity + Book Value of Debt - Cash)
Invested Capital 240 265 331 396 394 291 297 246 277 349
Average Invested Capital 252 298 363 395 343 294 271 262 313
Median Min Max
ROIC (EBIAT / Average Invested Capital) 23% 20% 15% 15% 14% 18% 29% 39% 35% 20% 14% 39%
with DuPont breakup
EBIAT/Sales 23% 21% 20% 16% 14% 13% 17% 20% 20% 20% 13% 23%
Sales/Av Invested Capital 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.7 1.9
Av Fixed Assets/Sales 13% 15% 18% 21% 33% 32% 33% 32% 52% 32% 13% 52%
Av Fixed Asset Turnover 7.5 6.8 5.5 4.8 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.1 1.9 3.1 1.9 7.5
Average Invested Capital from the Asset Side of Balance Sheet = Average Net Block & CWIP + Average Net Working Capital
Average Invested Capital -75 -61 -45 -2 23 61 108 102 199
Av Fixed Asset Turnover 7.5 6.8 5.5 4.8 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.1 1.9
Effective Tax Rate 32% 31% 31% 29% 26% 37% 26% 26% 26%
ROIC #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
NOTES:
1) The formula used for breaking up ROIC into its components is given in the adjacent image
2) To correctly calculate ROIC you need to several adjustments such as Identifying operating assets,
Capitalizing Operating & Financial Expenses, removing one-time & extra-ordinary items, adjusting taxes, etc
These adjustments are ESSENTIAL to get a correct measurement of ROIC or any other return such as ROE, ROA,
ROCE, etc. However, to do the same we need more granular level data from the Annual Report
HENCE, ROIC calculated without adjustments are ROUGH ESTIMATES of the actual return
Input ONLY in Cells denoted as:
ROIC ESTIMATOR
Calculate the impact of ROIC of a company using your estimates of margins, tax and capital efficiency ratios
1) Refer to the historical ranges of these inputs so that you make more informed estimates.
It is very much possible that you can have estimates higher/lower than the historical ranges.
But you should have strong reasons for doing so
2) Remember that these historical numbers are without adjustments as stated in the previous tab
NOTES:
1) The adjacent formula is used to convert ROIC (calculated from above) into ROE
capital efficiency ratios
1.9 3.1
- -
58 73
105.301 214.2802
26% 37%
previous tab
Other Income 2 1 3 6 5 10
Interest 0 0 0 0 1 1
Profit before tax 48 35 89 72 119 108
Tax 14 11 27 22 37 32
Net profit 34 25 38% 62 50 25% 81 76 7%
Dec-24 Dec-23 Dec-22 Sep-24 Sep-23 Sep-22 Jun-24 Jun-23 Mar-24 Mar-23
Sales 186 134 132 178 130 127 181 133 149 127
39% 1% 37% 2% 36% 17%
Operating Profit 53 39 36 47 36 35 34 37 37 41
36% 9% 30% 3% -9% -9%
COMPANY NAME MPS LTD
LATEST VERSION 2.10 PLEAS
CURRENT VERSION 2.10
META
Number of shares 1.71
Face Value 10.00
Current Price 2,364.90
Market Capitalization 4,045.35
Quarters
Report Date Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23
Sales 126.60 132.14 127.46 132.51
Expenses 86.43 90.85 81.82 90.58
Other Income 1.61 3.42 2.44 3.34
Depreciation 5.05 5.09 4.74 4.54
Interest 0.27 0.25 0.32 0.17
Profit before tax 36.46 39.37 43.02 40.56
Tax 9.61 9.80 10.89 10.26
Net profit 26.85 29.57 32.13 30.30
Operating Profit 40.17 41.29 45.64 41.93
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Equity Share Capital 18.62 18.62 18.62 18.62
Reserves 237.49 260.82 329.28 400.06
Borrowings
Other Liabilities 26.38 25.57 33.51 32.59
Total 282.49 305.01 381.41 451.27
Net Block 32.63 35.84 48.59 48.78
Capital Work in Progress 0.06
Investments 159.04 169.02 205.99 288.00
Other Assets 90.82 100.09 126.83 114.49
Total 282.49 305.01 381.41 451.27
Receivables 39.33 44.97 60.10 46.15
Inventory
Cash & Bank 16.46 14.29 16.77 22.99
No. of Equity Shares 18,616,926.00 18,616,926.00 18,616,926.00 18,616,926.00
New Bonus Shares
Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Cash from Operating Activity 50.36 48.82 44.67 77.58
Cash from Investing Activity -149.14 -1.59 -42.05 -71.31
Cash from Financing Activity 103.63 -49.41 -0.15 -0.05
Net Cash Flow 4.85 -2.17 2.48 6.22
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 1.86 1.86 1.86 1.86
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET