chap3
chap3
project definition - set of interrelated activities that are carried out to achieve a specific purpose
(objective translated by goals and precise specifications)
→ a temporary effort undertaken to create an exclusive product, service or result. its temporary
nature indicates a beginning and an end well defined (pmbok guide - 6th edition)
project characteristics
→ single units
→ many related activities
→ difficult production planning and inventory control
→ general purpose equipment
→ high labor skills
project examples
→ construction project (specific duration, specific start and end date)
→ investigation project
management of projects
2. scheduling - relates people, money, and supplies to specific activities and activities to each
other
3. controlling - monitors resources, costs, quality, and budgets. revises plans and shifts
resources to meet time and cost demands
chapter 3 1
→ planning
→ objectives
→ resources
→ work breakdown structure
→ organization
→ scheduling
→ project activities
→ start & end times
→ network
→ controlling
→ monitor, compare, revise, action
project planning
→ establishing objectives
→ defining project
→ creating work breakdown structure
→ determining resources
→ forming organization
chapter 3 2
3. the work contains complex interrelated tasks requiring specialized skills
project managers receive high visibility in a firm and are responsible for making sure that:
chapter 3 3
2. the project comes in within budget
4. the people assigned to the project receive the motivation, direction, and information needed
to their jobs
→ good coaches
→ good communicators
ethical issues
→ project management also face ethical decisions on a daily basis. how they act establishes the
code of conduct for the project
→ level:
1. project
4. activities to be completed
chapter 3 4
project scheduling serves several purposes
→ it shows the relationship of each activity to others and to the whole project
→ it encourages the setting of realistic time and cost estimates for each activity
→ it helps make better use of people, money, and material resources by identifying critical
bottlenecks in the project
→ gantt chart
chapter 3 5
example: service for delta jet
project controlling
→ control also means using a feedback loop to revise the project plan and having the ability to
shift resources to where they are needed most
→ computerized pert/cpm reports and charts are widely available today from scores of
competing software firms
chapter 3 6
program evaluation and review technique (pert) and the critical path method (cpm), both
developed in the 1950s
→ pert by booz, allen, and hamilton with the us navy, for the polaris missile (1958)
→ cpm makes the assumption that activity times are known with certainty and hence
requires only one time factor for each activity
2. develop relationships among the activities - decide which activities must precede and which
must follow others
5. compute the longest time path through the network - this is the called critical path
6. use the network to help plan, schedule, monitor, and control the project
chapter 3 7
example: milwaukee paper manufacturing’s
chapter 3 8
aoa network for milwaukee paper
chapter 3 9
→ the critical path is the shortest time in which the project can be completed
→ any delay in critical path activities delays the project
→ critical path activities have no slack time
→ if an activity has multiple immediate predecessors, its es is the maximum of all the ef
values of its predecessors
→ if an activity is an immediate predecessor for just a single activity, its lf equals the ls of
the activity that immediately follows it
→ if an activity is an immediate predecessor to more than one activity, its lf is the minimum
of all ls values of all activities that immediately follow it
chapter 3 10
→ latest start time rule:
→ the latest start time (ls) of an activity is the difference of its latest finish time (lf) and its
activity time
→ slack is the length of time of an activity can be delayed without delaying the project
→ the critical path is a continuous path through the network from start to finish that include
only critical activities
chapter 3 11
example 2: perform a critical path analysis
→ aon
chapter 3 12
→ critical path
chapter 3 13
variability in activity times
→ cpm assumes we know a fixed time for each activity and there is no variability in activity
times
→ pert uses a probability distribution for activity times to allow for variability
→ three time estimates are required:
→ optimistic time (a) - if everything goes according to pan
→ pessimistic time (b) - assuming very unfavorable conditions
computing variance
chapter 3 14
project variance
→ project variance is computed by summing the variances of critical activities
chapter 3 15
probability of project completion
→ what is the probability this project can be completed on or befopre the 16 week deadline?
chapter 3 16
→ based on 2.33 standard deviation above the mean project completion time, what is the due
date with a 99% probability of on-time completion?
chapter 3 17
note: shortening the duration of the project is called project crashing
1. compute the crash cost per time period. if crash costs are linear overtime:
2. using current activity times, find the critical path and identify the critical activities
3. if there is only one critical path, then select the activity on this critical path that (a) can still
be crashed, and (b) has the smallest crash cost per period. if there is more than one critical
path, then select one activity from each critical path such that (a) each selected activity can
still be crashed, and (b) the total crash cost of all selected activities is the smallest. note that
the same activity may be common to more than one critical path
4. update all activity times. if the desired due date has been reached, stop. if not, return to step
2
chapter 3 18
advantages of pert/cpm
4. critical path and slack time analyses help pinpoint activities that need to be closely watched
5. project documentation and graphics point out who is responsible for various activities
limitations of pert/cpm
1. project activities have to be clearly defined, independent, and stable in their relationships
3. time estimates tend to be subjective and are subject to fudging by manager who fear the
dangers of being overly optimistic ot not pessimistic enough
4. there is an inherent danger of too much emphasis being placed on the longest, or critical
path
chapter 3 19