Statistics Is The Science of Using Information Discovered From Studying Numbers
Statistics Is The Science of Using Information Discovered From Studying Numbers
Statistical methods
Experimental and observational studies
A common goal for a statistical research project is to investigate causality, and in particular to
draw a conclusion on the effect of changes in the values of predictors or independent
variables or dependent variables on response. There are two major types of causal statistical
studies: experimental studies and observational studies. In both types of studies, the effect of
differences of an independent variable (or variables) on the behavior of the dependent
variable are observed. The difference between the two types lies in how the study is actually
conducted. Each can be very effective.
An experimental study involves taking measurements of the system under study,
manipulating the system, and then taking additional measurements using the same procedure
to determine if the manipulation has modified the values of the measurements. In contrast, an
observational study does not involve experimental manipulation. Instead, data are gathered
and correlations between predictors and response are investigated.
An example of an experimental study is the famous Hawthorne studies, which attempted to
test the changes to the working environment at the Hawthorne plant of the Western Electric
Company. The researchers were interested in determining whether increased illumination
would increase the productivity of the assembly line workers. The researchers first measured
the productivity in the plant, then modified the illumination in an area of the plant and
checked if the changes in illumination affected the productivity. It turned out that the
productivity indeed improved (under the experimental conditions). (See Hawthorne effect.)
However, the study is heavily criticized today for errors in experimental procedures,
specifically for the lack of a control group and blindness.
An example of an observational study is a study which explores the correlation between
smoking and lung cancer. This type of study typically uses a survey to collect observations
about the area of interest and then performs statistical analysis. In this case, the researchers
would collect observations of both smokers and non-smokers, perhaps through a case-control
study, and then look for the number of cases of lung cancer in each group.
The basic steps of an experiment are;
1. Planning the research, including determining information sources, research
subject selection, and ethical considerations for the proposed research and
method.
2. Design of experiments, concentrating on the system model and the
interaction of independent and dependent variables.
3. Summarizing a collection of observations to feature their commonality by
suppressing details. (Descriptive statistics)
4. Reaching consensus about what the observations tell about the world
being observed. (Statistical inference)
5. Documenting / presenting the results of the study.