WESP_2025_ESA_PR_EN
WESP_2025_ESA_PR_EN
Robust consumption and trade boost regional prospects, despite looming risks
Bangkok/New Delhi, 9 January 2025 – East and South Asia register robust economic growth
underpinned by strong private consumption and exports, though tempered by rising geopolitical
and trade tensions, persistent debt challenges, and climate vulnerabilities, according to the UN
World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2025.
The UN flagship economic report projects that global growth will remain at 2.8 per cent in 2025,
unchanged from 2024. While the world economy has demonstrated resilience, withstanding a
series of mutually reinforcing shocks, growth remains below the pre-pandemic average of 3.2 per
cent, constrained by weak investment, sluggish productivity growth, and high debt levels.
The report notes that lower inflation and ongoing monetary easing in many economies could
provide a modest boost to global economic activity in 2025. However, uncertainty still looms
large, with risks stemming from geopolitical conflicts, rising trade tensions and elevated
borrowing costs in many parts of the world. These challenges are particularly acute for low-
income and vulnerable countries, where sub-par and fragile growth threatens to further
undermine progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
“Countries cannot ignore these perils. In our interconnected economy, shocks on one side of the
world push up prices on the other. Every country is affected and must be part of the solution—
building on progress made,” said António Guterres, United Nations Secretary-General, in the
foreword to the report. “We’ve set a path. Now it’s time to deliver. Together, let’s make 2025
the year we put the world on track for a prosperous, sustainable future for all.”
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engine, alongside significant contributions from growth in merchandise trade. Inflation in the
region is projected to stay muted at 1.4 per cent in 2025 and 1.5 per cent in 2026.
The Chinese economy is expected to continue the trend of a gradual moderation amid tepid
household consumption, lingering property sector weakness and rising trade tensions. Growth is
projected to be at 4.8 per cent in 2025, compared to an estimated 4.9 per cent in 2024. The
government has responded with a series of proactive measures including monetary easing and
fiscal support aimed at bolstering the property market, boosting manufacturing and
infrastructure investments, and addressing local government debt challenges.
India’s economy is projected to grow by 6.6 per cent in 2025, following an estimated expansion
of 6.9 per cent in 2024, largely driven by private consumption and investment. Additionally,
strong export growth in services and certain manufactured goods will bolster economic activity.
On the fiscal front, countries in the region are focusing on regaining fiscal space and supporting
economic activity through strategic public spending and reforms. East Asian economies are
prioritizing fiscal consolidation to curb budget deficits, with measures including tax increases,
subsidy cuts and targeted financial assistance. In South Asia, many countries are actively pursuing
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fiscal consolidation and reforms to strengthen fiscal positions and to foster macroeconomic
stability.
The report highlights the potential of critical minerals for the energy transition—such as lithium,
cobalt, and rare earth elements—and also for accelerating progress towards the SDGs in many
countries.
For resource-rich developing countries, including several in East and South Asia, rising global
demand for critical minerals presents a unique opportunity to boost growth, create jobs, and
increase public revenues for investment in sustainable development. However, the report warns
that these opportunities come with significant risks. Poor governance, unsafe labour practices,
environmental degradation, and over-reliance on volatile commodity markets could exacerbate
inequalities and harm ecosystems, undermining long-term development gains.
“Critical minerals have immense potential to accelerate sustainable development, but only if
managed responsibly,” said Li Junhua, United Nations Under-Secretary-General for Economic and
Social Affairs. “Governments must adopt forward-looking policies and comprehensive regulatory
frameworks to drive sustainable extraction, equitable benefit-sharing, and investments in
building productive capacities to maximize the development gains from these resources.”
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The report will be available on 9 January 2025, 12:30 pm EST
on https://www.bit.ly/UN_WESP2025 and desapublications.un.org once the embargo has been
lifted.
Hashtag: #WorldEconomyReport
Media Contacts:
Alex del Castello, UN Department of Global Communications, [email protected]
Helen Rosengren, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, [email protected]