Chapter 3 _ 4-Std
Chapter 3 _ 4-Std
.
Learning Objectives (1)
By the end of this module, you should be able to:
A. Identify the ways that firms obtain and use cash as
reported in the Statement of Cash Flows
B. Compute and interpret some common ratios,
C. Assess the determinants of a firm's profitability
D. Identify and explain some of the problems and pitfalls in
financial statement analysis,
Learning Objectives (2)
E. Understand what financial planning is and why firm
should use it
F. Discuss and be able to apply the percentage of sales
approach.
G. Compute the external financing needed to fund a firm’s
growth.
H. Assess the determinants of a firm’s growth -> Understand
how capital structure and dividend policy affect a firm’s
ability to grow
I. Identify and explain some of the problems in planning for
growth
Why do we need to use or
analyze Financial statements?
• Internal uses:
o performance evaluation (managers are frequently
evaluated and rewarded on the basis of accounting
measures of performance, such as revenue growth, profit
margin)
o planning for the future (financial projection, annual
planning, strategic planning, business case etc.)
• External uses:
o evaluation by outside parties (e.g., lenders, potential
investors, investment analysts, large customers)
o evaluation of main competitors
o identifying potential takeover targets or JV
How many reports do the
financial statements consist of?
1. Balance sheet
2. Income statement (or P/L statement)
3. Cash flows statement
CASE STUDY TODAY
•
o The quick ratio indicates a company's capacity to pay its
=
•
/ =
•
* measures the ratio of a company’s assets that are financed by its shareholders
=
•
* indication of the ability the company to service the debt obligations
=
•
* indication of how many years it would take to pay any outstanding interest-bearing debts
=
2. Capital Structure Ratios
B of SCD as at 01 Jan and 30 June 2022?
Net Debt/Equity????
30 Jun 01 Jan
Interest bearing debts (VND B) 253 174
(Less): Cash, including current & termed deposit -22 -45
Net Debt 231 129
Shareholders' equity (book value) 142 156
Net Debt/Equity 1.6 0.8
1. What would you think about the change in the Net Debt/Equity ratio
of SCD?
2. Why do they need to borrow additional VND80bn in the first 6
months of 2022?
• FS page 30:
https://static2.vietstock.vn/data/HOSE/2022/BCTC/VN/QUY%202/SCD_Baocaotaichinh_6T_2022_So
atxet.pdf
• BOD resolution dated 13 Jan 2022:
https://static2.vietstock.vn/data/HOSE/2022/NGHI%20QUYET%20DHCD/VN/20220127_20220126---
SCD---NQ01-HDQT-vv-trinh-DHDCD-phe-duyet-the-chap-tai-san-vay-von.pdf >>> Link
2. Capital Structure Ratios
B of SCD as at 01 Jan and 30 June 2022?
Equity multiplier???
30 Jun 01 Jan
Total assets 507 371
Shareholders' equity - book value 142 156
Equity multiplier 3.6 2.3
Net interest cover & Debt to Gross CF for half year (“HY”) 2022 vs HY21?
HY22 HY21
EBIT (VND B) -6.4 -6.7
Interest expense (VND B) 7.4 7.4
Net interest cover (times) -0.9x -0.9x
What do you think if you put yourself in the shoes of the lender of SCD?
B 3. Turnover Ratios
(or asset utilization ratios)
• =
• =
• =
• =
• =
• ( )=
• ( )=
B 5. Market Value Ratios
• / ( )=
• / ( )=
• / =
= × (1 + )
= ×
= × ×
The Du Pont
Identity
= × ×
= × ×
.
What is Financial Planning?
• Formulates the ways financial goals to be achieved.
Could you prepare a forecasted P&L & Balance sheet for next year?
Example: Plug (cont.)
Solution:
Pro-Forma Financial Statements
HOW TO DO?
Percentage of Sales Approach
“a quick and practical way of generating pro-forma FS”
Sales $1000
Costs 800 Let’s calculate
Taxable Income 200 1) Dividend payout
Less: Tax (30%) -60 ratio, and
Net profit $ 140 2) Retention ratio
$28
= = 20%
$140
=>
$
$
= 1 − 20% = 80% = 80%
Example: Pro-Forma
Financial Performance Statement
Assuming that: In the coming year
• Sales will grow by 25%
• Costs will continue to account for 80% of Sales
• Tax rate = 30%
$ 1,140 $ 140
$ 1,940 $ 140
$ 3,215 $ 215
$ 1,110 $310
$ 1,140 $ 140
$ 1,940 $ 140
Pro-Forma Financial
Performance Statement – Next steps
Scenarios analysis:
Key considerations:
• 25% growth in Sales would not be feasible.
• Need to raise new equity (from current shareholders or
new shareholders)
• Raise corporate bonds
External Financing and
Growth
• EFN and growth are obviously related.
• Assumed all other things being the same: the higher the
rate of growth in sales/assets => the greater the EFN.
It’s now
your turn to practice
Sales $ 500
Costs 400
Taxable Income $ 100
Tax (30%) 30
Net profit $ 70
Retained earnings $ 25
Dividends $ 45
Let’s calculate:
• Net profit margin (p)
• Retention ratio (R)
It’s now
your turn to practice
($) (% of ($) (% of
sales) sales)
Assets Liabilities
Let’s calculate:
• ROA
• ROE
• DE ratio
Ratios Calculated
$100
• Percentage increase in sales: = = 20%
$500
Changes in Assets
• Next question will be: How will the increase in assets be financed?
p = profit margin
R = retention ratio
EFN = − ∗ ∗R + A − ∗ ∗R ×g
= − + ×
= 4.75%
The firm can increase sales and assets at 4.75%/ year, without:
• issuing any additional equity and
• changing its debt ratio or payout ratio.
Summary of
Growth Rates
1. Internal growth rate
This growth rate is the maximum growth rate that can
be achieved with no external debt or equity financing.