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TUGAS SKB FORECASTING

The document presents a dataset with yearly registration figures alongside forecasting errors, absolute errors, and percentage errors. It includes calculations for Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for various years. Additionally, a linear regression equation is provided to model the relationship between the years and registrations.

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Harry Sapta
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2 views

TUGAS SKB FORECASTING

The document presents a dataset with yearly registration figures alongside forecasting errors, absolute errors, and percentage errors. It includes calculations for Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for various years. Additionally, a linear regression equation is provided to model the relationship between the years and registrations.

Uploaded by

Harry Sapta
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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x YEAR REGISTRATION FORECASTING ERROR ABS ERROR % ERROR % ABS ERROR

1 1 4 3.2727 -0.7273 0.7273 -18.18% 18.18%


2 2 6 4.3272 -1.6728 1.6728 -27.88% 27.88%
3 3 4 5.3817 1.3817 1.3817 34.54% 34.54%
4 4 5 6.4362 1.4362 1.4362 28.72% 28.72%
5 5 10 7.4907 -2.5093 2.5093 -25.09% 25.09%
6 6 8 8.5452 0.5452 0.5452 6.81% 6.81%
7 7 7 9.5997 2.5997 2.5997 37.14% 37.14%
8 8 9 10.6542 1.6542 1.6542 18.38% 18.38%
9 9 12 11.7087 -0.2913 0.2913 -2.43% 2.43%
10 10 14 12.7632 -1.2368 1.2368 -8.83% 8.83%
11 11 15 13.8177 -1.1823 1.1823 -7.88% 7.88%
12 14.8722 mad 1.385163636 mape 19.63%
13 15.9267
14 16.9812

ɑ 1-ɑ
0.2 0.8
x YEAR REGISTRATION FORECASTING MAD MSE MAPE
1 1 4 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
2 2 6 4 2 4 0.3333333
3 3 4 4.4 0.4 0.16 0.1
4 4 5 4.32 0.68 0.4624 0.136
5 5 10 4.456 5.544 30.735936 0.5544
6 6 8 5.5648 2.4352 5.93019904 0.3044
7 7 7 6.05184 0.94816 0.899007386 0.1354514
8 8 9 6.241472 2.758528 7.609476727 0.3065031
9 9 12 6.7931776 5.2068224 27.11099951 0.4339019
10 10 14 7.83454208 6.16545792 38.01287136 0.4403899
11 11 15 9.067633664 5.93236634 35.19297034 0.3954911
12 3.20705347 15.01138604 0.3139871
13 31.398707
14
Chart Title
16

14
f(x) = 1.05454545454545 x + 2.21818181818182
12

10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

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