AIDS On The Crossrode EXE SUMM
AIDS On The Crossrode EXE SUMM
THE URGENCY
OF NOW
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
AIDS AT A
CROSSROADS
2024 GLOBAL AIDS UPDATE
EMBARGOED UNTIL 22 JULY 2024, 10:00AM CET / 08:00AM GMT
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UNAIDS/JC3116E—Executive summary
Story writers for Asia Pacific, Latin America and eastern and southern Africa: Fifa Rahman and
Gisa Dang (Matahari Global Solutions)
Design: Blossom
EMBARGOED UNTIL 22 JULY 2024, 10:00AM CET / 08:00AM GMT
THE URGENCY
OF NOW
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
AIDS AT A
CROSSROADS
2024 GLOBAL AIDS UPDATE
EMBARGOED UNTIL 22 JULY 2024, 10:00AM CET / 08:00AM GMT
FOREWORD
WINNIE BYANYIMA
UNAIDS Executive Director
The report also shows that, right now, the world is not on track to succeed,
and the inequalities that drive the HIV pandemic are not being addressed
sufficiently. It shows that due to the lack of progress on prevention, global
numbers of new HIV infections are not declining fast enough, and in three
regions of the world numbers of HIV infections are rising. It shows that almost
a quarter of people living with HIV are not receiving lifesaving treatment, and
consequently a person dies from AIDS-related causes every minute.
We know what enables success. Progress against HIV has been strongest
in the countries that have invested as required in their responses and
reformed their policies to enable people to access the services they need.
To accelerate the end of AIDS as a public health threat, and to ensure
services and systems are in place to meet the needs of the millions of
people living with HIV for decades to come, resourcing needs to be both
sufficient and sustainable. Building a legal environment that facilitates
access to effective, equitable and person-centred HIV services—including
removing harmful criminalizing laws and tackling discrimination—is key to
advancing and sustaining progress on prevention and treatment.
A widening funding gap is holding back the HIV response in low- and
middle-income countries, with fiscal space being tightened even further by
the debt crisis. The recent surge in the promotion of anti-rights, anti-gender
and anti-democracy policies is generating justified fear among people
from marginalized communities who most need HIV prevention, testing,
treatment and care services, and among the heroic frontline workers who
provide them.
The HIV response is at a crossroads. Whether the world ends AIDS depends
on the path that leaders take. The path that ends AIDS is not a mystery. It is
a political and financial choice.
Some are reluctant to provide the scale of resourcing needed for ending
AIDS. But, as the report demonstrates, the costs of not ending AIDS would
be exponentially higher.
Some might like to walk away from the HIV response because the end is
now in reach. But, as this report sets out, we cannot partly end a pandemic.
Leaders can end AIDS as a public health threat only by overcoming it
everywhere, for everyone.
Some imply that investments and reforms to end AIDS would detract
from addressing other challenges. But, as the report illustrates, the
actions needed to end AIDS will help advance the achievement of all
the Sustainable Development Goals, ensure countries are prepared to
overcome the pandemics of the future, and help secure a safer, fairer world
for everyone.
We can end AIDS, but only if leaders choose the right path now. We the
people will ensure they do.
3
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EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
Midway to the 2025 milestone set at the United Nations General Assembly
in June 2021 (1), the global HIV response has moved closer to the goal of
ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030, a commitment enshrined in
the Sustainable Development Goals.
Fewer people acquired HIV in 2023 than at any point since the late 1980s.
Almost 31 million people were receiving lifesaving antiretroviral therapy in
2023, a public health success that has reduced the numbers of AIDS-related
deaths to their lowest level since the peak in 2004 (Figures 0.1 & 0.2)1.
In sub-Saharan Africa, these successes have led to a rebound in average life
expectancy from 56.3 years in 2010 to 61.1 years in 2023 (2).
Figure 0.1 Number of new HIV infections, global, 1990–2023, and 2025 target
4 500 000
Number of New HIV infections
4 000 000
3 500 000
3 000 000
2 500 000
2 000 000
1 500 000
2025
1 000 000
target
500 000
0
1990 2023
Figure 0.2 Number of AIDS-related deaths, global, 1990–2023, and 2025 target
3 000 000
Number of AIDS-related deaths
2 500 000
2 000 000
1 500 000
1 000 000
2025
500 000 target
0
1990 2023
1 For more information on UNAIDS data in this report see Annex 2 on Methods.
The progress is highly uneven, however. The global HIV response is moving
at two speeds: relatively swiftly in sub-Saharan Africa, but hesitantly across
the rest of the world. The numbers of people acquiring HIV are rising in at
least 28 countries, some of which already have substantial epidemics.
Many HIV programmes still neglect people from key populations,2 exposing
them to high risks of acquiring HIV. Programmes are also missing
9.3 million [7.4 million–10.8 million] people who need lifesaving treatment,
with children and adolescents living with HIV especially affected. AIDS is not
over—a great deal of unfinished work lies ahead.
Now is the time to invest in ensuring that the 2025 targets are met and a
sustainable response is built for the decades to come. The HIV response
needs to adjust to become a sustainable, integrated pillar of health and
social services with communities and human rights at the centre.
2 People from key populations include sex workers, gay men and other men who have sex with men,
people who inject drugs, transgender people, and people in prisons and other closed settings
5
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For the first time in the history of the HIV pandemic, more new infections
are occurring outside sub-Saharan Africa than in sub-Saharan Africa. This
reflects both the prevention achievements in much of sub-Saharan Africa
and the lack of comparable progress in the rest of the world, where people
from key populations and their sex partners continue to be neglected in
most HIV programmes.
Far fewer children aged 0–14 years are acquiring HIV, a trend that is due
largely to successes in eastern and southern Africa, where the annual
number of new HIV infections in children fell by 73% between 2010 and
2023. The overall decline in vertical HIV infections,3 however, has slowed
markedly in recent years, particularly in western and central Africa. An
estimated 120 000 [83 000–170 000] children acquired HIV in 2023,
bringing the total number of children living with HIV globally to
1.4 million [1.1 million–1.7 million], 86% of whom are in sub-Saharan Africa.
3 Vertical transmission of HIV occurs during the pregnancy and breastfeeding period.
Figure 0.3 Percentage change in annual number of AIDS-related deaths between 2010 and 2023, global and by region
40
34
20
0
Per cent
–6
–20
–28
–40 –34
–51 –51
–60 –57 –57 –55
Global Eastern Caribbean Western Asia and Western and Latin Middle East Eastern
and southern and central the Pacific central Europe America and Europe and
Africa Africa and North America North Africa central Asia
The scale of the HIV pandemic is so large, however, that even these
accomplishments still left about 9.3 million [7.4 million–10.8 million] people
living with HIV without treatment in 2023, almost half (4.7 million [3.8
million-5.4 million]) of whom were in sub-Saharan Africa. Treatment coverage
continued to be lower among men and among people from key populations
especially in sub-Saharan Africa (3), and it was especially low among children.
Approximately 630 000 [500 000–820 000] people around the world lost
their lives to AIDS in 2023, including 76 000 [53 000–110 000] children aged
0–14 years—one in eight people who died due to AIDS in 2023 was a child.
At least half of all people from key populations are not being reached
with prevention services, according to data reported to UNAIDS. Men
and women who inject drugs, gay men and other men who have sex with
men, and transgender people are particularly neglected. In addition, more
than half of the areas with high or moderately high HIV incidence4 in sub-
Saharan Africa are not being served by prevention programmes tailored for
adolescent girls and young women.
4 High HIV incidence denotes one or more new infections per 100 person-years. Moderately high incidence denotes
0.3–0.99 new infections per 100 person-years.
7
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Condom use remains the most effective low-cost HIV prevention method
(4, 5), but condom programmes have been defunded and social marketing
schemes cut back in many countries (6). Household survey data suggest
condom use has declined in recent years, including among young people
aged 15–24 years, and it is highly infrequent during sex with non-regular
partners. About 36% of adults in eastern and southern Africa and 25% in
western and central Africa used a condom at last sex.
Sex workers in some countries report high levels of condom use with
clients, but their access to potent prevention tools such as pre-exposure
prophylaxis (PrEP)5 is minimal. The same is true for gay men and other men
who have sex with men and for transgender people, except in a few high-
income countries. Access to harm reduction services for people who inject
drugs is extremely low in all but a few countries.
Rapid, wider access to PrEP could massively reduce the numbers of new
HIV infections, especially among people from key populations and among
women in areas where HIV incidence is currently high. The total number
of people using oral PrEP rose from a little over 200 000 in 2017 to about
3.5 million in 2023 but is far short of the global 2025 target of 21.2 million
people. Only the two regions in sub-Saharan Africa are making progress
to reaching the 2025 PrEP targets (Figure 0.4). A six-month long-acting
injectable PrEP product, lenacapavir, has shown extremely high efficacy in
preventing HIV among adolescent girls and women in Africa. If this PrEP
option is made available rapidly and affordably to potential users, it could
herald a breakthrough for HIV prevention (7).
Figure 0.4 Number of people who used pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) at least once in 2023, by region,
and 2025 target
9
Number of people who received PrEP at least once (millions)
0
Asia and Eastern Europe Eastern and Latin America and Middle East and Western and Western and
the Pacific and central Asia southern Africa the Caribbean North Africa central Africa central Europe
and North America
Number of people who received PrEP at least once 2025 target
Figure 0.5 Number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, 2010–2023, global, and 2025 target
40
2025
35 target
30
Number of people on treatment (millions)
25
20
15
10
0
2010 2023
9
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The 95–95–95 targets set for 2025 are within reach.7 Approximately
86% [69–>98%] of people living with HIV worldwide knew their HIV status
in 2023. Among them, approximately 89% [71–>98%] of people were
receiving antiretroviral therapy and 93% [74–>98%] of people on treatment
had a suppressed viral load (Figure 0.6). Some of the biggest gains have
occurred in sub-Saharan Africa, often in unfavourable conditions.
Health and community systems have become better at offering HIV tests
to people who may have been exposed to HIV, and at linking them to
reliable treatment and care services. More tolerable and effective treatment
regimens are making it easier for people to keep taking their antiretroviral
medicines and have suppressed viral loads.
Figure 0.6 Percentage of people living with HIV who know their HIV status, of people who know their
HIV status and are receiving antiretroviral therapy, and of people on HIV treatment who have suppressed
viral load, global, 2023
100
2025 target
90
80
70
60
Per cent
50
40
30
20
10
86 89 93
(69–>98) (71–>98) (74–>98)
0
People living with HIV People who know their HIV People living with HIV on treatment
who know their status status and are on treatment who have a suppressed viral load
6 A viral load is undetectable when it is so low that a polymerase chain reaction test cannot measure it.
A suppressed viral load is defined as equal to or below 1000 copies/mL.
7 95% of people living with HIV know their HIV status; 95% of people who know they are living with HIV receive
antiretroviral therapy; and 95% of people receiving antiretroviral therapy have suppressed viral loads.
Figure 0.7 Testing and treatment cascade among children, women and men, global, 2023
100
91
(72–>98)
90 83 83
(66–96) (65–97)
78
80 (70–87)
72
(56–84)
66 67
70 (47–87) (60–75)
57
60 (41–57)
Per cent
48
50 (39–60)
40
30
20
10
0
Children (aged 0–14 years) Women (aged 15+ years) Men (aged 15+ years)
living with HIV living with HIV living with HIV
People living with HIV who know their HIV status People living with HIV who are on treatment People living with HIV who have a suppressed viral load
Across much of the world, adult men (aged 15+ years) living with HIV
are less likely than their female counterparts to know their HIV status and
receive HIV treatment; their treatment outcomes also tend to be poorer.
Antiretroviral therapy coverage among some key populations may have
increased in recent years (13), but people from key populations living with
HIV still have lower antiretroviral therapy coverage and worse treatment
outcomes than other people living with HIV, particularly in sub-Saharan
Africa (3).
Consequently, one quarter (23% [19–27%]) of all people living with HIV
were not receiving antiretroviral therapy in 2023. Access to treatment was
especially low in eastern Europe and central Asia and the Middle East
and North Africa, where only about half of the 2.1 million [1.9 million–2.3
million] and 210 000 [170 000–280 000] people living with HIV, respectively,
were receiving antiretroviral therapy.
11
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There are other challenges too. It is estimated that about 12.2 million
[11 million–13.6 million] people have advanced HIV disease (AIDS). AIDS
used to be seen mainly as a problem of late diagnosis and treatment of
HIV infection. These concerns remain, but AIDS is now most common
among people who have received antiretroviral therapy and stopped HIV
treatment (14, 15). This puts their health at risk, increases the risk of HIV
transmission, and adds to the burden on health systems (16, 17). There is
an urgent need for effective interventions and support so people can stay
on HIV treatment and those who have interrupted their treatment can be
re-engaged in care.
The success of HIV treatment has led to a rise in the average age of
people living with HIV. As people living with HIV grow older, they
are likely to encounter a growing range of comorbidities, including
noncommunicable diseases such as hypertension and diabetes, that
require care. Closer integration of HIV and other health services,
equipment and supply chains, and upgraded training for health workers,
will be needed to deal with these changes.
Across 42 countries with recent survey data, in median almost half (47%) of
people harboured discriminatory attitudes towards people living with HIV
(21). These attitudes are found even at health facilities. Almost one quarter
of people living with HIV reported experiencing stigma when seeking
non-HIV-related health-care services in the previous year, according to an
analysis of Stigma Index surveys conducted in 25 countries (22).
These prejudices are reversible, but very few countries are close to
achieving the 2025 target of reducing to less than 10% the percentage
of people living with HIV and people from key populations experiencing
stigma and discrimination.
Figure 0.8 Number of countries with discriminatory and punitive HIV-related laws, global, 2024
Criminalization or prosecutions
based on general criminal laws
of HIV nondisclosure, exposure
or transmission
Criminalization of
transgender people
Criminalization of any
aspect of sex work
Criminalization of same–sex
sexual acts in private
Criminalization of possession
of small amounts of drugs
2025 target
Number of countries
Source: National commitments and policy instrument 2017–2024, supplemented by additional sources; 2024 (see references in regional factsheets and http://lawsandpolicies.unaids.org/).
Note: This figure does not capture where key populations may be de facto criminalized through other laws, such as vagrancy or public morality laws, or the use of the above laws for
different populations.
13
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Integration of HIV
and other services
is making an impact
When integrated, HIV and other health services can improve health
outcomes, strengthen health systems, and support progress towards
universal health coverage (30). Integration across sectors has also been
a feature of HIV responses, with the advancement of gender equality
and women’s empowerment, workplace interventions, humanitarian
programmes, and social protection schemes being linked progressively with
HIV-related interventions.
There has been a marked shift towards the integration of HIV and other
health-care services in recent years. Although still in a minority, an increasing
number of countries have national strategic HIV plans that are integrated with
other health issues or diseases, and with broader health strategies or plans.
Thirty-nine of the 151 reporting countries have national health strategies or
policies that integrate the HIV response (seven more than in 2022). Of the 60
countries that have adopted universal health coverage schemes, 38 include
antiretroviral therapy and 21 include pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in their
health benefit and financing packages (31).
These changes are making a mark. Often, both HIV and other health
outcomes are better within integrated services than in separated services
and the uptake of non-HIV services also tends to rise (30). Linked
or integrated tuberculosis (TB) and HIV treatment for people living
with both HIV and TB, for example, averted an estimated 6.4 million
[5.5 million–7.3 million] deaths between 2010 and 2022 (32). Interventions
that prevent and treat HIV, sexually transmitted infections and viral hepatitis
can be both cost-effective and cost-saving, especially when combined
(33). Recent rapid emergence of mpox has reiterated the importance of
integrated care, which has proved successful in some settings in North
America and western Europe.
A growing funding
shortfall is holding
back quicker progress
A widening funding gap is holding back the HIV response. Approximately
US$ 19.8 billion (2019 United States dollars) was available in 2023 for HIV
programmes in low- and middle-income countries—almost US$ 9.5 billion
short of the amount needed in 2025. Total resources available for HIV, adjusted
for inflation, are at their lowest level in over a decade. The regions with the
biggest funding gaps—eastern Europe and central Asia and the Middle East
and North Africa—are making the least headway against their HIV epidemics.
Most funding for HIV comes from domestic resources (about 59%), but
both international and domestic HIV funding are under stress. Adjusted for
inflation, domestic HIV funding declined in 2023 for the fourth year in a row,
and international resources were almost 20% lower than at their peak in 2013.
Financing support from bilateral donors has dwindled dramatically. The overall
reductions in external HIV resources would be much steeper were it not for
sustained and high levels of funding from the Global Fund to Fight AIDS,
Tuberculosis and Malaria and the United States Government. Development
assistance for HIV will continue to be crucial.
An estimated US$ 1.8 billion–2.4 billion was available for primary prevention
programmes in low- and middle-income countries in 2023, compared
with the US$ 9.5 billion that will be needed in 2025. Spending on societal
enabler programmes amounted to US$ 0.9 billion–1.1 billion, far short of
the US$ 3.0 billion needed in 2025.
15
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Figure 0.9 Percentage of total HIV resources spent on programmes for people from key populations and percentage
of new HIV infections occurring among members of key populations and their sex partners, by region, 2023
Latin America
Caribbean
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Per cent
Per cent of new HIV infections among people from all key populations, clients of sex workers, and partners of people from key populations
Per cent of total HIV spending on prevention interventions among people from key populations
Source: Korenromp EL, Sabin K, Stover J, Brown T, Johnson LF, Martin-Hughes R, et al. New HIV infections among key populations and their partners in 2010 and 2022, by world region: a
multisources estimation. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2024;95(1S):e34–e45. doi:10.1097/QAI.0000000000003340.; UNAIDS financial estimates, July 2024 (http://hivfinancial.unaids.org/
hivfinancialdashboards.html).
The prices of vital HIV products are a major factor in countries’ abilities
to sustainably finance their HIV programmes with domestic resources.
Although the prices of many antiretroviral medicines have continued
to decline in recent years, low- and middle-income countries spent
approximately US$ 3 billion on antiretroviral medicines in 2020–2022.
These procurement prices still vary drastically across regions and country
income groups.
Looking beyond
the crossroads
If HIV programmes remain on their current course, UNAIDS projections
show that about 46 million people will be living with HIV in 2050. Even if
the world achieves the 2025 targets and sustains these gains, there will be
almost 30 million people living with HIV in 2050. Each of them will need
lifelong treatment and support for HIV. In the absence of an effective and
universally accessible vaccine or cure, there will also continue to be new
HIV infections. Neither of these scenarios amounts to “the end of AIDS”—
the world will still be contending with a major public health challenge.
But a constantly evolving AIDS pandemic calls for other changes too.
As the population living with HIV ages, the risk of acquiring HIV will
shift towards older age groups, and prevention strategies will have to
adjust to this. HIV programmes will need to make common cause with
broader health programmes by responding to the growing impact of
noncommunicable diseases, including among people living with HIV, and
the ongoing toll exacted by other infectious diseases (34, 42).
17
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CLOs deliver 80% of HIV prevention services for populations at high risk of HIV infection and women 80%
CLOs deliver 60% of programmes to support societal enablers 60%
UNIVERSAL HEALTH COVERAGE AND INTEGRATION TARGET 2023 STATUS
Systems for health and social protection that provide
90%
90% of people living with, at risk of and affected by HIV with integrated HIV services
90% of people in humanitarian settings access integrated HIV services. 90%
45% of people living with, at risk of and affected by HIV and AIDS have access to social protection benefits. 90%
INVESTMENTS AND RESOURCES TARGET 2023 STATUS
Fully fund the HIV response by increasing annual HIV investments in low- and middle income countries to
$29.3 billion $19.8 billion
US$ 29 billion
Progress is off track Moderate progress 2025 are within reach No data is available
Note: SW Sex workers - MSM Gay men and other men who have sex with men - PWID People who inject drugs - TG Transgender persons
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