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2.5 The relative merits of the different types of sampling units depends on the availability of a sampling
frame for individuals, the desired precision of the estimates from the sample to the population, and the
budgetary and time constraints of the project.
2.6 She could conduct a stratified random sample in which the states serve as the stratum. A simple random
sample could then be selected within each state. This would provide information concerning the
differences between the states along with the individual opinions of the employees.
2.7
a. All residents in the county.
b. All registered voters.
c. Survey nonresponse – those who responded were probably the people with much stronger opinions
than those who did not respond, which then makes the responses not representative of the responses
of the entire population.
2.8
a. In the first scenario, people would be more willing to lie about using a biodegradable detergent
because there is no follow up to verify and individuals usually prefer to appear environmentally
conscious. The second survey has a check in place to verify the answers given are truthful.
b. The first survey would likely yield a higher percentage of those who say they use a biodegradable
detergent. The second may anger the individuals who tell the truth as if their honesty is being
tested.
2.9
a. Alumni (men only?) who graduated from Yale in 1924.
b. No. Alumni whose addresses were on file 25 years later would not necessarily be representative of
their class.
c. Alumni who responded to the mail survey would not necessarily be representative of those who
were sent the questionnaires. Income figures may not be reported accurately (intentionally), or may
be rounded off to the nearest $5,000, say, in a self-administered questionnaire.
d. Rounding income responses would make the figure $25,111 unlikely. The fact that higher income
respondents would be more likely to respond (bragging), and the fact that incomes are likely to be
exaggerated, would tend to make the estimate too high.
2.10
a. Simple random sampling.
b. Stratified sampling.
c. Cluster sampling.
2.11
a. Simple random sampling.
b. Stratified sampling.
c. Cluster sampling.
2.12
a. Stratified sampling. Stratify by job category and then take a random sample within each job
category. Different job categories will use software applications differently, so this sampling
strategy will allow us to investigate that.
b. Systematic random sampling. Sample every tenth patient (starting from a randomly selected patient
from the first ten patients). Provided that there is no relationship between the type of patient and
the order that the patients come into the emergency room, this will give us a representative sample.
2.13
a. Stratified sampling. We should stratify by type of degree and then sample 5% of the alumni within
each degree type. This method will allow us to examine the employment status for each degree
type and compare among them.
b. Simple random sampling. Once we find 100 containers we will stop. Still it will be difficult to get a
completely random sample. However, since we don’t know the locations of the containers, it would
be difficult to use either a stratified or cluster sample.
2.14
a. Water temperature and Type of hardener
b. Water temperature: 175 F and 200 F; Type of hardener: H1, H2, H3
c. Manufacturing plants
d. Plastic pipe
e. Location on Plastic pipe
f. 2 pipes per treatment
g. Covariates: None
h. 6 treatments: (175 F, H1), (175 F, H2), (175 F, H3), (200 F, H1), (200 F, H2), (200 F, H3)
2.15
This is an example where there are two levels of Experimental units, and the analysis is discussed in Chapter
18.
To study the effect of month:
a. Factors: Month
b. Factor levels: 8 levels of month (Oct - May)
c. Block = each section
d. Experimental unit (Whole plot EU) = each tree
e. Measurement unit = each orange
f. Replications = 8 replications of each month
g. Covariates = none
h. Treatments = 8 treatments (Oct – May)
2.16
a. Factors: Type of drug
b. Factor levels: D1, D2, Placebo
c. Blocks: Hospitals
d. Experimental units: Wards
e. Measurement units: Patients
f. Replications: 2 wards per drug in each of the 10 hospitals
g. Covariates: None
h. Treatments: D1, D2, Placebo
6
2.17
a. Factors: Type of treatment
b. Factor levels: D1, D2, Placebo
c. Blocks: Hospitals, Wards
d. Experimental units: Patients
e. Measurement units: Patients
f. Replications: 2 patients per drug in each of the ward/hospital combinations
g. Covariates: None
h. Treatments: D1, D2, Placebo
2.18
a. Factors: Type of school
b. Factor levels: Public; Private – non-parochial; Parochial
c. Blocks: Geographic region
d. Experimental units: Classrooms
e. Measurement units: Students in classrooms
f. Replications: 2 classrooms per each type of school in each of the city/region combinations
g. Covariate: Measure of socio-economic status
h. Treatments: Public; Private – non-parochial; Parochial
2.19
a. Factors: Temperature, Type of seafood
b. Factor levels: Temperature (0 C, 5 C, 10 C); Type of seafood (oysters, mussels)
c. Blocks: None
d. Experimental units: Package of seafood
e. Measurement units: Sample from package
f. Replications: 3 packages per temperature
g. Treatments: (0 C, oysters), (5 C, oysters), (10 C, oysters), (0 C, mussels), (5 C, mussels), (10
C, mussels)
2.20
Randomized complete block design with blocking variable (10 orange groves) and 48 treatments
in a 3 × 4 × 4 factorial structure.
Experimental Units: Plots
Measurement Units: Trees
2.21
Randomized complete block design with blocking variable (10 warehouses) and 5 treatments (5
vendors)
2.22
Randomized complete block design, where blocked by day
2-factor structure (where the factors are type of glaze, and thickness)
2.23
a. Design B. The experimental units are not homogeneous since one group of consumers gives
uniformly low scores and another group gives uniformly high scores, no matter what recipe is used.
7
Using design A, it is possible to have a group of consumers that gives mostly low scores randomly
assigned to a particular recipe. This would bias this particular recipe. Using design B, the
experimental error would be reduced since each consumer would evaluate each recipe. That is, each
consumer is a block and each of the treatments (recipes) is observed in each block. This results in
having each recipe subjected to consumers who give low scores and to consumers who give high
scores.
b. This would not be a problem for either design. In design A, each of the remaining 4 recipes would
still be observed by 20 consumers. In design B, each consumer would still evaluate each of the 4
remaining recipes.
2.24
a. “Employee” should refer to anyone who is eligible for sick days.
b. Use payroll records. Stratify by employee categories (full-time, part-time, etc.), employment
location (plant, city, etc.), or other relevant subgroup categories. Consider systematic selection
within categories.
c. Sex (women more likely to be care givers), age (younger workers less likely to have elderly
relatives), whether or not they care for elderly relatives now or anticipate doing so in the near future,
how many hours of care they (would) provide (to define “substantial”), etc. The company might
want to explore alternative work arrangements, such as flex-time, offering employees 4 ten-hour
days, cutting back to 3/4-time to allow more time to care for relatives, etc., or other options that
might be mutually beneficial and provide alternatives to taking sick days.
2.25
a. Each state agency and some federal agencies have records of licensed physicians, professional
corporations, facility licenses, etc. Professional organizations such as the American Medical
Association, American Hospital Administrators Association, etc., may have such lists, but they may
not be as complete as licensing records.
b. What nursing specialties are available at this time at the physician’s offices or medical facilities?
What medical specialties/facilities do they anticipate adding or expanding? What staffing
requirements are unfilled at this time or may become available when expansion occurs? What is
the growth/expansion time frame?
c. Licensing boards may have this information. Many professional organizations have special
categories for members who are unemployed, retired, working in fields not directly related to
nursing, students who are continuing their education, etc.
d. Population growth estimates may be available from the Census Bureau, university economic
growth research, bank research studies (prevailing and anticipated load patterns), etc. Health risk
factors and location information would be available from state health departments, the EPA,
epidemiological studies, etc.
e. Licensing information should be stratified by facility type, size, physician’s specialty, etc., prior to
sampling.
2.26
If phosphorous first: [P,N]
[10,40], [10,50], [10,60], then [20,60], [30,60] or
[20,40], [20,50], [20,60], then [10,60], [30,60] or
[30,40], [30,50], [30,60], then [10,60], [10,60]
8
If nitrogen first: [N,P]
[40,10], [40,20], [40,30], then [50,30], [60,30] or
[50,10], [50,20], [50,30], then [40,30], [60,30] or
[60,10], [60,20], [60,30], then [40,30], [50,30]
2.27
Factor 2
Factor 1 I II III
A 25 45 65
B 10 30 50
2.28
a. Group dogs by sex and age:
Group Dog
Young female 2, 7, 13, 14
Young male 3, 5, 6, 16
Old female 1, 9, 10, 11
Old male 4, 8, 12, 15
2.29
a. Bake one cake from each recipe in the oven at the same time. Repeat this procedure r times. The
baking period is a block with the four treatments (recipes) appearing once in each block. The four
recipes should be randomly assigned to the four positions, one cake per position. Repeat this
procedure r times.
b. If position in the oven is important, then position in the oven is a second blocking factor along with
the baking period. Thus, we have a Latin square design. To have r = 4, we would need to have each
recipe appear in each position exactly once within each of four baking periods. For example:
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4
R1 R2 R4 R1 R3 R4 R2 R3
R3 R4 R2 R3 R1 R2 R4 R1
9
c. We now have an incompleteness in the blocking variable period since only four of the five recipes
can be observed in each period. In order to achieve some level of balance in the design, we need to
select enough periods in order that each recipe appears the same number of times in each period
and the same total number of times in the complete experiment. For example, suppose we wanted
to observe each recipe r = 4 times in the experiment. If would be necessary to have 5 periods in
order to observe each recipe 4 times in each of the 4 positions with exactly 4 recipes observed in
each of the 5 periods.
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 Period 5
R1 R2 R5 R1 R4 R5 R3 R4 R2 R3
R3 R4 R2 R3 R1 R2 R5 R1 R4 R5
2.30
a. The 223 plots of approximately equal sized land from Google Earth (excluding water)
b. If there is some reason to believe the trees in the ‘watery’ regions differ from those in the other
regions, this discrepancy may cause a divide in our sampling frame and the population of all trees
in the region.
c. Again, if trees in the watery region tend to have larger trunk diameter, we would underestimate the
number of trees with diameter of 12 inches or more.
2.31
a. All cars (and by extension, their tires) in the state.
b. Cars registered in the 4 months in which the sample was taken.
c. 2 potential concerns arise: not all cars in the region are registered and the time of year may lead to
ignoring some cars (some people leave the area for the winter). Unregistered cars may have a
higher proportion of unsafe tire tread thickness.
2.32
a. All corn fields in the state.
b. All corn fields in the state (if a list is available).
c. Stratified sampling plan in which the number of acres planted in corn determine the strata.
d. No biases appear present.
2.33
a. People are notoriously bad at recall. A telephone interview immediately following the time of
interest would likely be best, but nonresponse is often high. Mailed questionnaires would likely be
administered too late to be of use and personal interviewing would be intractable to interview in a
timely manner.
b. All three are potential avenues. Interviews are more personal but more time consuming. Mailing
questionnaires should also work as the editor has a list of his/her clientele, but if he wants to garner
information about perspectives of those not reading his/her paper, he/she may need to blanket the
city with questionnaires. Telephone interviews may be difficult as finding the numbers of those in
the area may be difficult.
c. Again, all three methods would be viable. A mailed questionnaire would be the easiest and cheapest
but the response rate would likely be lower.
d. If the county believes they have an accurate list of those with dogs, a mailed questionnaire or
telephone interview would work, but using a list of registered dogs may be underrepresenting those
who haven’t taken good care of their dogs (and thereby underrepresenting the proportion with
rabies shots).
10
2.34
People who cheat on their taxes are unlikely to admit to it readily. Therefore, the poll likely
underestimates the true percentage of people who cheat on their taxes. Garnering truthful
responses, even if anonymity is guaranteed, on questions of a personal nature can be a challenge.
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whom we expected to meet, some of them we found in the saloon
before retiring for the night.
Trips by ocean steamers have much the same features, and,
while the changes and vicissitudes of fog, rain and fine weather are
all important in the little floating community, they have little concern
for the outer world. To sufferers from sea-sickness, an ocean trip is a
terror. Medical men say, in a general way, that the infliction should
be welcomed, for it brings health, but I have seen those prostrated
by it who have been so depressed that I can not but think that if this
theory be true the improvement to health will be dearly purchased
by the penalty. Such, however, are the exceptions. With most people
one or two days’ depression is generally the extent of the infliction.
Personally I cannot complain. Nature has made me an excellent
sailor. With no remarkable appetite, I have never missed a meal on
board ship, nor ever found the call to dinner unwelcome.
Our first morning commenced with fog, but it cleared away as
we coasted along the somewhat bold shore of Gaspé in smooth
water. There is always divine service on these vessels on Sunday.
The Church of England form is as a rule adhered to, which is read by
the captain or doctor if no clergyman be present. If a clergyman be
found among the passengers he is generally invited to conduct
divine service, and any Protestant form is admitted. On the present
occasion the Rev. C. Hall, Presbyterian minister of Brooklyn, N. Y.,
officiated. The service was simple and appropriate, and the sermon
admirable. The day turned out fine, and the water so smooth that in
the afternoon every passenger was on deck. Our course being to the
south of the Island of Newfoundland, we passed the Magdalen
Islands and the Bird Rocks, and we think of the vast number of ships
which have ploughed these waters on their way to and from Quebec
and Montreal. It is now fifty years since “The Royal William” steamed
homewards on the same course we are now following. Much interest
begins to centre in “The Royal William.” It is claimed that she was
one of the pioneers of steamers, if not the very first steamer which
crossed the Atlantic under steam the whole distance. She was built
in Canada. She left Quebec on the 18th August, 1833, coaled at
Pictou, in Nova Scotia, and arrived at Gravesend on the 11th
September. She did not return to Canada, as she was sold by her
owners to the Spanish Government. Her model is preserved by the
Historical Society of Quebec. Some of these particulars I had from
the lips of one of the officers of “The Royal William,” who died a
quarter of a century ago.
There is but one counter claim to the distinction. A ship named
the “Savannah” crossed the Atlantic from the port of that name in
the Southern United States to Liverpool in 1819. She had machinery
for propulsion of a somewhat rude description, which seemed to be
attached as an auxiliary power to be used when the wind failed.
There is nothing to show that it was continuously employed. I have
recently heard from a friend in Savannah on the subject, and I quote
from his letter: “She was 18 days on the voyage. She resembled
very much in mould an old United States war frigate. The hull was
surmounted with a stack and three masts—fore, main and mizzen—
and was provided with side wheels of a primitive pattern, left wholly
exposed to view, and so arranged that they could at any time be
unshipped and the vessel navigated by sails only.”
On Monday before 2 a.m. we pass out of the Gulf by the Strait
of St. Paul into the open Atlantic, and still the water continues
perfectly smooth. There is a slight fog, which passes away, and we
behold nothing but the world of waters around us. The moon
appears, and we have an evening on deck long to be remembered.
Everything stands out clear and distinct, but the shadows are dark
and heavy. The moon casts its line of rippling light across the waves,
and the ship glides onward, almost weird-like in its motion.
One of the pleasures, as well as penalties, of travelling is to be
asked to make one at whist. It is a pleasure to take part in a single
rubber if played without stakes, but to one indifferent to cards, who
does not want to win his friend’s money or lose his own, to join such
a party is often no little of a sacrifice. Your reply when asked to play
may take the conventional form, “With pleasure,” and in a way you
feel pleasure, for you like to oblige people you care for, and you may
be in an extra genial mood; but how often I have wished some other
victim could have been found at such times. On this occasion I left
the deck when I would have willingly remained, and took my seat at
the card table.
The fog returned, and the ship went at half speed for the night.
When next day came there was no fog, but there was some little
rocking, which, to me, during the previous night, was but a pleasant
incentive to sleep, for I did not once hear the fog whistle in its
periodic roar—no pleasant sound—nor was I sensible of the dreaded
rattling of the ashes emptied overboard, a nightly and unavoidable
duty, and by no means a musical lullaby.
I find that several ladies are absent from breakfast this morning.
A breeze springs up; a sail is hoisted; and occasionally we have fog,
and now and then a cold blast, with alternations of damp and moist
air. Such is the general experience in crossing the Banks. As one
passenger remarked, “It is hungry weather.” The breakfast in most
cases had been sparing, an enforced necessity in some instances,
but the general feeling is one of being ravenous for lunch. The day
passes pleasantly, possibly idly, and in the evening the whist table
has its votaries. We leave the fog behind us, but the next day is
cloudy. There is a light wind, and the sea is a little disturbed. Most of
the passengers keep the deck. We fancy we see a whale. There is
too much cloud for the moon to penetrate, so the passengers
generally leave the deck to enjoy themselves quietly in the saloon.
We have a bright midsummer day this 21st June after a glorious
morning, and we advance eastward with all sail set. The spirits of all
on board seem to rise, the sky is so blue, and the sea so bright.
There is but slight motion, with which, most of the passengers are
becoming familiar.
We are now half way across. We begin to calculate when we
shall arrive, and what trains we shall take at Liverpool. I have many
times crossed the Atlantic, but I never could understand the
restlessness with which so many look for the termination of the
voyage. If there were some urgent necessity for immediate action on
the part of those who are travelling this impatience could be
accounted for. The majority, however, are tourists for pleasure or for
health, and, as for business or professional men, I never could see
how a few hours one way or the other could influence their
operations. To some the voyage is simply imprisonment; the
condition of being at sea is a penalty they pay at the sacrifice of
health and comfort. These are the exceptions. There are a large
number who feel as I do, and for my part, while it would be
affectation to profess to be fond of storm and tempest, a sea voyage
in ordinary fine weather is one of the most pleasurable experiences
of my life. I have good digestion and good spirits, and I am satisfied
with the pleasant change from a life on shore. I can generally read,
and I can always remain on deck, and I always have a certain
feeling of regret when I think that the voyage is soon coming to an
end. We are all well cared for, we form pleasant associations, and
anyone who can study human nature finds no little opportunity for
doing so on shipboard.
Our library, it is true, is somewhat limited, but it has a few good
books. I was somewhat struck on reading during this voyage almost
the last words of the celebrated Mary Somerville, who, after a most
distinguished career in science, died eleven years ago at Naples.
These words appear more striking to me when read on board ship.
“The blue peter has long been flying at my foremast, and, now that I
am in my 92nd year, I may soon expect the signal for sailing.”
We discuss our progress on all occasions. There is a general
thankfulness as we advance. Towards evening the motion of the ship
has increased, but we can all walk the deck. On the following day we
put on more canvas, for the breeze has increased and is more
favorable, and our progress is much greater. There is now
considerable motion, but we have all got familiar with it, and, as
sailors say, we have our sea-legs. The wind is at north-west; the day
clear and bright, with a warm-looking sky, speckled with fleecy
clouds. The decks are dry. We appear to be achieving wonders in
speed, and we are entering into all sorts of calculations as to what
extent we shall make up the seven hours’ detention by fog on the
Banks of Newfoundland. Our run yesterday was 342 miles in 23½
hours. Reckoning by observed time, we lose half an hour daily by
the advance made easterly. During the afternoon we have a fair
breeze, with all sail set, followed by the same pleasant and
agreeable evening. The passengers talk of leaving with much
readiness. Well is it said that much of the pleasure of life is
retrospective. “We are approaching land” is now the cry, and we
commence early the next morning calculating when we shall reach
Moville. Saturday afternoon is delightful. Bright gleams of sunshine
appear in the intervals of occasional showers. In the evening there is
a concert with readings from eight to ten. The collection is for the
“Sailors’ Orphanage” at Liverpool. On account of the concert our
lights are allowed to burn until midnight, and many of us remain on
deck nearly to that hour. The moon is three-quarters full; we have all
sail set, and we can see the reflected light of the sun in the northern
sky at midnight. To me there is a strange fascination in a scene of
this character, with all its accompaniments. There is a movement in
the sea and a freshness in the air which give a tingle to the blood,
and we seem to walk up and down the deck with an elasticity we
cannot explain to ourselves.
Next morning was Sunday. I was on deck half an hour before
breakfast. The land on the west coast of Ireland was in sight. The
morning was most fair, and it seemed to give additional zest to the
excitement produced by the approaching termination of the voyage.
We learn that we shall be at Moville at 2 o’clock. We have again
divine worship. A Methodist minister read the Church of England
service and delivered an admirable sermon. We reach Moville, and
find we have been seven days and ten hours making the run from
Rimouski. I took the opportunity here to send a cablegram home; it
consisted of one word, but that word contained a page of family
meaning.
We passed the Giant’s Causeway, at which the passengers
intently looked. We could also see Islay and the Mull of Kintyre.
In the evening we have a second service. Our eloquent friend
from Brooklyn satisfied us so well the previous Sunday that we
begged of him to give us another sermon. He complied with our
wishes, and with equal success.
It is our last night on board; to-morrow we are to separate.
Many of us on this voyage have met for the first time, and in all
human probability few of us will again come side by side. There is
always a feeling of sadness in thinking you do something for the last
time. I can fancy even a convict leaving his cell where he has passed
some years pausing upon the threshold while a rush of the old
recollections, the long, sad hours cheered by gleams of hope, crowd
upon him, when he will feel some strange sentiment of regret that it
is the last time he looks upon the place. The feeling may last but a
second, but it is an impulse of our nature which is uncontrollable.
On board ship, with a certainty of gaining port to-morrow, the
last hours are passed in packing up and preparing to leave, and a
feeling of regret creeps in that now so many pleasant associations
are to end, and in spite of yourself some of the good qualities of
those who are set down as disagreeable people come to the surface
in your memory. Some few friendships are formed at sea which are
perpetuated, but generally the pleasantest of our relations terminate
with the voyage. It is too often the case, as in the voyage of life,
that those we have learned to esteem are seen no more.
We had to lose no time in order to pass the troublesome bar at
the mouth of Liverpool harbour. With vessels of the draught of the
American steamers it can only be crossed at high water. The officers
generally calculate what can be done from the hour they leave
Moville, and regulate their speed accordingly, so as to approach it at
the right moment.
No one knows better than the occupants of the cabin
corresponding with our own on the opposite side of the vessel that a
great many tons of ashes have been thrown overboard during the
voyage: we all know that a large volume of smoke has passed out of
the funnel, a proof of the great weight of fuel which has been
expended in keeping the screw revolving. The draught of the ship is
consequently considerably less than when we left the St. Lawrence.
There is now no fog; the weather is fine; there is everything to
encourage the attempt to run in, and it proves successful. On this
occasion, had we been twenty minutes later, we should have had to
remain outside until another tide. The lights of Galloway and the Isle
of Man were passed before the most of us retired last night. We all
awoke early; at a quarter to five we had crossed the bar; the
“Parisian” was in the Mersey; the tender came alongside the ship,
and very soon afterwards I stood again on English ground.
CHAPTER III.
ENGLAND.
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