Chapter3_Financial Statements Analysis
Chapter3_Financial Statements Analysis
Financial Statement
Analysis
To Thi Thanh Truc
Faculty of Finance and Banking
University of Economics and Law
3-1
Learning outcomes
After finishing this chapter you should be able to:
Explain why financial statement analysis is important to the
a Du Pont approach.
Explain the limitations of financial ratio analysis.
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Outline
Introduction to financial analysis
Common-size and index analysis
Ratio Analysis
Du Pont system
Effects of improving ratios
Limitations of ratio analysis
Qualitative factors 3-3
Introduction to financial
statement analysis
3-4
Introduction to financial
statement analysis
Will I
be paid?
Creditors
How
good is our
investment? How are we
performing?
Stockholders
Management
3-5
Analytical techniques
3-6
Financial statement analysis:
comparison
Company XYZ
1 intracompany basis
Year 1 Year 2
2 industry averages
3 intercompany basis
Co. A Co. C
Co. B
Co. ABC Co. XYZ
Co. D Co. E
3-7
Comparative financial
statement analysis
Reviewing consecutive financial
statements from period to period, involves a
review of changes in individual account balances
on a year-to-year or multiyear basis.
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Comparative financial
statement analysis (Horizontal analysis)
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Comparative FS analysis
3-10
Common-Size Statements Analysis
(Vertical or Standardized analysis)
3-11
Common-size statements analysis
3-12
A Case for Comparative &
common-Size analysis
3-13
Percentage Change Analysis:
Percentage Change from First Year (20X1)
3-15
Percentage Change Analysis:
Percentage Change from First Year (20X1)
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Common Size Income Statement
Divide all items by Sales
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Common Size Balance Sheets:
Divide all items by Total Assets
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Ratio Analysis
3-24
Ratio analysis: Definition
A ratio expresses a mathematic relation
between two quantities (two accounts on
financial statements).
A ratio must refer to an economically
important relation.
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Why are ratios useful?
Ratios standardize numbers and
facilitate comparisons.
Ratios are used to highlight
weaknesses and strengths.
Ratio comparisons should be made
through time and with competitors
Trend analysis
Peer (or Industry) analysis
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What are the major categories of ratios,
and what questions do they answer?
Give us an idea of:
1. Liquidity: the firm’s ability to pay off debts maturing within a
year.
2. Asset management: how efficiently the firm uses its assets,
whether the firm has the right amount of assets vs. sales.
3. Debt management: how the firm has financed its assets and
its ability to repay its long-term debt. Whether the firm has
the right mix of debt and equity.
4. Profitability: How profitably the firm is operating and
utilizing its assets.
5. Market value: what investors think about the firm and its
prospects.
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Ratio analysis
3-32
Liquidity ratio
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Liquidity Ratios
Will the firm be able to pay off its debts as they
come due and thus remains a viable organization?
Liquidity Ratios: show the relationship of a firm’s
cash and other current assets to its current liabilities
Current ratio
Quick ratio
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Liquidity Ratios
Current ratio (CR)
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Liquidity Ratios
Quick (acid test) ratio
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Calculate D’Leon’s forecasted current
ratio and quick ratio for 2019.
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Comments on D’Leon’s
liquidity ratios
2019E 2018 2017 Ind.
Current Ratio 2.34x 1.20x 2.30x 2.70x
Quick Ratio 0.84x 0.39x 0.85x 1.00x
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Assets Management ratio
A set of ratios that measure how effectively a
firm is managing its assets.
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Asset Management Ratios
Does the amount of each type of asset seem reasonable, too
high, or too low in view of current and projected sales?
If firm has too many assets, its cost of capital will be too high,
which will depress its profits. On the other hand, if its assets
are too low, profitable sales will be lost
Inventory turnover ratio
3-40
Asset Management Ratios
Inventory turnover ratio (ITR)
Calculated by dividing sales by inventories. It indicates how
many times inventory is turned over during the year
Indicates how many times per year inventory is sold and restocked.
ITR helps businesses make smarter decisions in a variety of areas
(pricing, manufacturing, marketing, purchasing and warehouse
management)
A low turnover implies weak sales and possibly excess inventory, also
known as overstocking
A high ratio implies either strong sales or insufficient inventory
Make an adjustment if the business is highly seasonal
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Asset Management Ratios
Days sales outstanding (Average
collection period)
Calculated by dividing accounts receivable by average sales per day. It
indicates the average length of time the firm must wait after making a
sale before it receives cash
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Asset Management Ratios
Total assets turnover ratio
The higher the asset turnover ratio, the better the company
is performing, since higher ratios imply that the company is
generating more revenue per dollar of assets
The TAT ratio tends to be higher for companies in certain
sectors than in others
The TAT ratio may be artificially deflated when a firm makes
large asset purchases in anticipation of higher growth. Also,
factors (seasonality) can affect a firm’s TAT ratio
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What is D’Leon’s inventory turnover
vs. the industry average?
Inv. turnover = Sales / Inventories
= $7,036 / $1,716
= 4.10x
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Comments on
D’Leon’s Inventory Turnover
Inventory turnover is below industry
average.
D’Leon might have old inventory, or
its control might be poor.
No improvement is currently
forecasted.
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Calculate D’Leon’s DSO
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Appraisal of D’Leon’s DSO
2019E 2018 2017 Ind.
DSO 45.6 38.2 37.4 32.0
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D’Leon’s Fixed assets and total assets
turnover ratios vs. the industry average
3-49
Evaluating D’Leon’s FA turnover
and TA turnover ratios
2019E 2018 2017 Ind.
FA TO 8.6x 6.4x 10.0x 7.0x
TA TO 2.0x 2.1x 2.3x 2.6x
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Debt Management Ratios
Decisions about the use of debt require firms to balance
higher expected returns against increased risk
We examine: (1) the proportion of total funds represented by
debt; (2) the extent to which interest is covered by operating profits
Total Debt ratio
Equity Multiplier
Times-interest-earned ratio
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Debt Management Ratios
The Impact of Debt on Return and Risk
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Debt Management Ratios
The Impact of Debt on Return and Risk
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Debt Management Ratios
Total Debt ratio
The total debt ratio takes into account all debts of all
maturities to all creditors. It can be defined in several
ways, the easiest of which is this:
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Debt Management Ratios
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Debt Management Ratios
All else being equal, the higher the debt ratios, the riskier
the company
Creditors prefer low debt ratios because the lower the
ratio, the greater the cushion against creditors’ losses in
the event of liquidation
Stockholders may want more leverage because it can
magnify expected earnings
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Debt Management Ratios
Times-Interest-Earned (TIE) ratio
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Debt Management Ratios
EBITDA coverage ratio
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Calculate Debt ratios for D’Leon
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Calculate the TIE and EBITDA coverage
ratios for D’Leon.
TIE = EBIT / Interest expense
= $492.6 / $70 = 7.0x
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How do D’Leon’s debt management
ratios compare with industry averages?
2019E 2018 2017 Ind.
D/A 44.2% 82.8% 54.8% 50.0%
TIE 7.0x -1.0x 4.3x 6.2x
EBITDA
5.9x 0.1x 3.0x 8.0x
coverage
3-63
Profitability Ratios
A group of ratios that show the combined effects of
liquidity, asset management, and debt on operating
results; reflect the net result of all of the firm’s
financing policies and operating decisions.
Profit margin (Return on sales)
Gross profit margin
Operating margin
(Net) profit margin
Return on Capital
ROA
RO(C)E
ROIC
BEP ratio
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Profit margin
Gross Profit margin
Gross profit as a percentage of net sales; Shows the amount of profit
made before deducting selling, general, and administrative costs.
Operating margin
Measures operating income, or EBIT, per dollar of sales
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Profit margin
Net Profit margin
This ratio measures net income per dollar of sales and is
calculated by dividing net income by sales
ROIC differs from ROA in two ways: (1) its return is based on
total invested capital (Total debt + equity) rather than total
assets; (2) it uses NOPAT rather than net income.
ROIC simply tells how well the firm is using its money to
generate profit. Besides, ROIC can be compared with WACC. If
ROIC > WACC, managers are creating value in the business.
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Return on Capital
Basic earning power (BEP) ratio
This ratio indicates the ability of the firm’s assets to generate
operating income; it is calculated by dividing EBIT by total
assets
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D’Leon’s Basic earning power (BEP)
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Appraising D’Leon’s profitability with the
profit margin and basic earning power
2019E 2018 2017 Ind.
PM 3.6% -2.7% 2.6% 3.5%
BEP 14.1% -4.6% 13.0% 19.1%
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Problems with ROE
ROE and shareholder wealth are correlated,
but problems can arise when ROE is the sole
measure of performance.
ROE does not consider risk.
ROE does not consider the amount of capital
invested.
Might encourage managers to make investment
decisions that do not benefit shareholders.
ROE focuses only on return and a better
measure would consider risk and return.
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Market value ratios
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Market Value Ratios
Ratios that relate the firm’s stock price to its earnings and
book value per share
The market value ratios are used in three primary ways:
P/E ratio indicates how much an investor is willing to pay for one
dollar of earnings
A high P/E ratio could mean that a company's stock is
overvalued, or else that investors are expecting high
growth rates in the future (indicates increased demand).
The P/E ratio can be used to determine the relative value of a
company's shares (valuation).
Firms with high P/E are considered to be growth stocks.
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Enterprise value / EBITDA
(EV/EBITDA) ratio
The ratio of a firm’s enterprise value relative to its EBITDA
3-82
Calculate D’Leon’s Price/Earnings,
Price/Cash flow ratios.
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Calculate D’Leon’s Market/Book ratio.
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Analyzing D’Leon’s market value
ratios
P/E: How much investors are willing to pay
for $1 of earnings.
P/CF: How much investors are willing to pay
for $1 of cash flow.
M/B: How much investors are willing to pay
for $1 of book value equity.
For each ratio, the higher the number, the
better.
P/E and M/B are high if ROE is high and risk
is low.
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The DuPont equation
Video
A formula that shows that the rate of return on equity
can be found as the product of profit margin, total
assets turnover, and the equity multiplier. It shows the
relationships among asset management, debt
management, and profitability ratios
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The DuPont equation
Profit Total assets Equity
ROE margin turnover
multiplier
ROE (NI/Sales) (Sales/TA) (TA/Equity)
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Extended DuPont equation:
Breaking down D’Leon’s Return On Equity
3-88
Effects of improving ratios
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An example:
The effects of improving ratios
A/R $ 878 Debt $1,545
Other CA 1,802 Equity 1,952
Net FA 817 _____
TA $3,497 Total L&E $3,497
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Effect of reducing receivables on
balance sheet and stock price
Added cash $ 261 Debt $1,545
A/R 617 Equity 1,952
Other CA 1,802
Net FA 817 ______
Total Assets $3,497 Total L&E $3,497
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Potential uses of freed up cash
Repurchase stock
Expand business
Reduce debt
All these actions would likely improve
the stock price.
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Limitation of ratios &
qualitative factors
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Potential problems and limitations
of financial ratio analysis
Comparison with industry averages is
difficult for a conglomerate firm that
operates in many different divisions.
“Average” performance is not necessarily
good, perhaps the firm should aim
higher.
Seasonal factors can distort ratios.
“Window dressing” techniques can make
statements and ratios look better.
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More issues regarding ratios
Different operating and accounting
practices can distort comparisons.
Sometimes it is hard to tell if a ratio is
“good” or “bad”.
Difficult to tell whether a company is,
on balance, in strong or weak position.
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Qualitative factors to be considered
when evaluating a company’s future
financial performance
Are the firm’s revenues tied to one key
customer, product, or supplier?
What percentage of the firm’s business
is generated overseas?
Competition
Future prospects
Legal and regulatory environment
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