Lesson 5 - Stock Unit Trust
Lesson 5 - Stock Unit Trust
BUSINESS, FINANCE
&
INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY
• Represents ownership
• Ownership implies control
• Stockholders elect directors
• Directors elect management
• Management’s goal: Maximize the stock
price
10-
Facts about Preferred Stock
• Hybrid security.
• Like bonds, preferred stockholders receive
a fixed dividend that must be paid before
dividends are paid to common
stockholders.
• However, companies can omit preferred
dividend payments without fear of
pushing the firm into bankruptcy.
1
Intrinsic Value and Stock Price
• Outside investors, corporate insiders, and analysts
use a variety of approaches to estimate a stock’s
intrinsic value (P0).
• In equilibrium we assume that a stock’s price equals
its intrinsic value.
– Outsiders estimate intrinsic value to help
determine which stocks are attractive to buy
and/or sell.
– Stocks with a price below (above) its intrinsic value
are undervalued (overvalued).
1
Determinants of Intrinsic Value and Stock Prices
Managerial Actions, the Economic Environment,
Taxes, and the Political Climate
Stock’s Stock’s
Intrinsic Value Market Price
Market Equilibrium:
Intrinsic Value = Stock Price
1
Different Approaches for Estimating the Intrinsic
Value of a Common Stock
• Corporate valuation model
• Discounted dividend model
• P/E multiple approach
1
CORPORATE
VALUATION MODEL
Capital Asset
Pricing
Model
(CAPM)
CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL (CAPM)
• The line that reflects the combination of risk and return available
on alternative investments is referred to as the security market
line (SML).
• The slope of the SML indicates the return per unit of risk required
by all investors.
• Assuming a straight line, it is possible to select any point on the
SML and compute a risk premium (RP) for an asset through the
equation.
• SML shows the trade-off between risk and expected return as a
straight line intersecting the vertical axis (i.e., zero-risk point) at
the risk-free rate
SML – The line that reflect the attitude of investors
regarding the minimal acceptable return for a given level
Required of systematic risk. (SML)
rate of
return
13% .
11% Risk Premium
P = stock price
D = value of next year dividend
r = constant cost of equity capital
g = constant growth rate
1
Constant Growth Stock
• A stock whose dividends are expected to grow forever at
a constant rate, g.
D1 = D0(1 + g)1
D2 = D0(1 + g)2
Dt = D0(1 + g)t
• If g is constant, the discounted dividend formula
converges to:
ˆP0 = D0 (1 + g) = D1
rs − g rs − g
1
What happens if g > rs?
• If g > rs, the constant growth formula leads to
a negative stock price, which does not make
sense.
• The constant growth model can only be used
if:
rs > g.
g is expected to be constant forever.
1
Use the SML to Calculate the Required Rate of Return (rs)
1
Find the Expected Dividend Stream for the Next
3 Years and Their PVs
D0 = $2 and g is a constant 6%.
2(1 + 0.06)1
0 g = 6%
1 2 3
1
What is the stock’s intrinsic value?
Using the constant growth model:
D1 $2.12
P0 =
ˆ =
rs − g 0.13− 0.06
$2.12
=
0.07
= $30.29
What is the stock’s expected value, one year
from now?
• D1 have been paid out already. So, expected P1 is the
present value (as of Year 1) of D2, D3, D4, etc.
D2 $2.247
Pˆ1 = =
rs − g 0.13 − 0.06
= $32.10
P̂ = P (1.06) = $32.10
1 0
1
Find Expected Dividend Yield, Capital Gains Yield,
and Total Return During First Year
• Dividend yield
= D1/P0 = $2.12/$30.29 = 7.0%
• Capital gains yield
= (P1 – P0)/P0
= ($32.10 – $30.29)/$30.29 = 6.0%
• Total return (rs)
= Dividend yield + Capital gains yield
= 7.0% + 6.0% = 13.0%
1
What would the expected price today be, if g = 0?
The dividend stream would be a perpetuity.
0 rs = 13% 1 2 3
PMT $2.00
P̂0 = = = $15.38
r 0.13
1
Valuing Common Stock with Nonconstant Growth
D0 = $2.00.
0 rs = 13% 1 2 3 4
10-38
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Find Expected Dividend and Capital Gains Yields
During the First and Fourth Years
• Dividend yield (first year)
= $2.60/$54.11 = 4.81%
• Capital gains yield (first year)
= 13.00% – 4.81% = 8.19%
• During nonconstant growth, dividend yield and capital
gains yield are not constant, and capital gains yield ≠ g.
• After t = 3, the stock has constant growth and dividend
yield = 7%, while capital gains yield = 6%.
1
Nonconstant Growth: What if g = 0% for 3 years
before long-run growth of 6%?
D0 = $2.00.
0 r = 13% 1 2 3 4
s
g = 0% g = 0% g = 0% g = 6%
2.00 2.00 2.00 2.12
1.77
1.57
1.39
2.12
20.99 P̂3 = = $30.29
0.13 − 0.06
ˆ0
25.72 = P
1
Find Expected Dividend and Capital Gains Yields
During the First and Fourth Years
• Dividend yield (first year)
= $2.00/$25.72 = 7.78%
• After t = 3, the stock has constant growth and dividend yield = 7%, while capital gains
yield = 6%.
10-41
If the stock was expected to have negative growth (g = -6%), would
anyone buy the stock, and what is its value?
D1 D 0 (1 + g)
ˆ
P0 = =
rs − g rs − g
$2.00 (0.94) $1.88
= = = $9.89
0.13 −(-0.06) 0.19
1
Find Expected Annual Dividend and Capital
Gains Yields
• Capital gains yield
= g = -6.00%
• Dividend yield
= 13.00% – (-6.00%) = 19.00%
• Since the stock is experiencing constant growth,
dividend yield and capital gains yield are constant.
Dividend yield is sufficiently large (19%) to offset
negative capital gains.
1
what
If preferred iswith
stock theanpreferred stock’s
annual dividend of $5expected return?
sells for $50,
D
Vp =
rp
$5
$50 =
rp
$5
rp =
ˆ
$50
= 0.10 = 10%
1
PRICE EARNING
MULTIPLE APPROACH
a. Earning per share (EPS)
𝑵𝒆𝒕 𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆
𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝒖𝒏𝒊𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒐𝒓𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒓𝒚 𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒎𝒐𝒏 𝒔𝒉𝒂𝒓𝒆𝒔
• Earnings per share is an important financial measure, which indicates the profitability
of a company
• It is a tool that market participants use frequently to gauge the profitability of a
company before buying its shares
• It shows how much income could be earned by investors for every one share ($1)
invested in a company
• the higher the earnings per share of a company, the better is its profitability.
P/E Multiplier
• The price earnings ratio is the ratio of the market price per share to the earnings per
share.
• The PE ratio is consistently defined, with the numerator being the value of equity per
share and the denominator measuring earnings per share, both of which is a measure of
equity earnings.
PRICE EARNING
MULTIPLE APPROACH
a. Earning per share (EPS)
𝑵𝒆𝒕 𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆
𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝒖𝒏𝒊𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒐𝒓𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒓𝒚 𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒎𝒐𝒏 𝒔𝒉𝒂𝒓𝒆𝒔
• Earnings per share is an important financial measure, which indicates the profitability
of a company
• It is a tool that market participants use frequently to gauge the profitability of a
company before buying its shares
• It shows how much income could be earned by investors for every one share ($1)
invested in a company
• the higher the earnings per share of a company, the better is its profitability.
P/E Multiplier
• The price earnings ratio is the ratio of the market price per share to the earnings per
share.
• The PE ratio is consistently defined, with the numerator being the value of equity per
share and the denominator measuring earnings per share, both of which is a measure of
equity earnings.
UNIT TRUST
General definition
Equity Funds
• invest in liquid, low risk money market instruments
Money market that are in effect short-term deposits (loans) to
banks and other-low risk-financial institutions, and
Funds in short-term government securities.
• lower risk and provide stable income returns.
(REITS)
• Net Asset Value is the net value of assets and liabilities of a mutual fund or ETF
expressed on a per-share basis
• NAV is the price at which investors buy or sell units of the fund
• NAV is usually calculated daily during business days and trade orders placed before the
cut-off time are executed on a same-day NAV basis while orders placed after the cut-off
time are executed on the following day’s NAV
• Number of outstanding shares of the fund change constantly depending upon the supply
and demand of the fund’s units as on any particular day
• Slight difference in NAV pricing for ETFs during trading hours provide arbitrage
opportunities for ETF traders
• Other measures such as CAGR or total annual return provide a better measure of fund
performance rather than net asset value