Lecture 3-Time value for money
Lecture 3-Time value for money
If I gave you apples, one per year, then you can easily conclude that I
have given you a total of three apples.
Visually this would look like:
The di¤erence between money and fruit is that money can work for you
over time, earning interest.
A is better because you get all of the $300 today instead of having to wait
two years.
Receiving money one year from now, or two years from now, is di¤erent
than getting all the money today.
So going back to the fruit analogy, receiving money over time is like
receiving di¤erent fruits over time.
Present Value
earlier money on a time line
Future Value
later money on a time line
Interest rate
Discount rate
Cost of capital
Opportunity cost of capital
Required return or required rate of return
Present Value
FV
PV =
(1 + r )n
where PV is the present value, FV is the future value r the discount
rate and n is period in years.
For a given interest rate – the longer the time period, the lower the
present value.
For a given time period – the higher the interest rate, the smaller the
present value.
Example 1
Problem
A business owner wishes to replace her machinery in 5 years time and
would like to invest an amount today that will earn interest at 8% p.a.
compounded annually. How much must she set aside today if the
projected cost in 5 years time is c/450,000?
Solution
FV
PV =
(1 + r )n
450, 000
PV =
(1 + 0.08)5
450, 000
PV =
1.4693
PV = 306, 268
Example 2
Problem
Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is now worth
c/19,672. If the fund earned 7% per year, how much did they set aside?
Solution
FV
PV =
(1 + r )n
19, 672
PV =
(1 + 0.07)10
19, 672
PV =
1.9672
Future Value
FV = (1 + r )n PV
where all the notations are as before
Finance uses “compounding” as the verb for going into the future and
“discounting” as the verb to bring funds into the present.
Example 1
Problem
A college student recently received a c/40,000 gift from her grandparents
and has decided to invest the amount in a fund that earns 7.5% interest
compounded yearly. How much can she expect to receive after 10 years?
Solution
FV = (1 + r )n PV
FV = 82, 440
Example 2
Problem
Suppose you had a relative deposit c/10 at 5.5% 200 years ago? How
much will you have today?
Solution
FV = (1 + r )n PV
FV = (1 + 0.055)200 10
FV = 44, 719 10
FV = 447, 190
Given the Future Value(FV) and Present Value (PV), as well as the
number of periods, the rate of compounding or discounting can be derived
as follows:
1/n
FV
r= 1
PV
Example
Problem
If you invested c/35,000 at one point in time and received c/60,000 after 5
years, what annual rate of interest (or growth rate) would you have
obtained?
Solution
1/n
FV
r= 1
PV
1/5
60, 000
r= 1
35, 000
r = (1.7143)1/5 1
r = 1.1138 1
r = 0.1138 = 11.38%
Given the Future Value(FV) and Present Value (PV), as well as the
rate of compounding or discounting, the number of periods can be
calculated as follows:
log(FV /PV )
n=
log(1 + r )
Problem
You want to purchase a new car, and you are willing to pay c/20,000. If
you can invest at 10% per year and you currently have c/15,000, how long
will it be before you have enough money to pay cash for the car?
Solution
log(FV /PV )
n=
log(1 + r )
log(20, 000/15, 000)
n=
log(1 + 0.1)
log(1.3333)
n=
log(1.1)
0.1249
n =
0.0414
n = 3.02
Problem
How long will take c/30,000 to double in value if it grows at an annual
compound rate of 10%?
Solution
log(FV /PV )
n=
log(1 + r )
log(60, 000/30, 000)
n=
log(1 + 0.1)
log(2)
n=
log(1.1)
0.3010
n =
0.0414
n = 7.27
It is expressed as follows:
72
DT =
r
where DT is the time it takes for the initial sum to double its value
and r is rate in percent.
Problem
Using the rule of 72, how long will take c/30,000 to double in value if it
grows at an annual compound rate of 10%?
Solution
72
DT =
10
DT = 7.2 years
FV
PV =
(1 + r )n
Example 1
Problem
You are considering an investment that will pay you c/1,000 in one year,
c/2,000 in two years and c/3,000 in three years. If you want to earn 10% on
your money, how much would you be willing to pay?
Solution
1000 2000 3000
PV = 1
+ 2
+
(1 + 0.1) (1 + 0.1) (1 + 0.1)3
PV = 4, 816
Example 2
Problem
Your broker calls you and tells you that he has this great investment
opportunity. If you invest c/100 today, you will receive c/40 in one year and
c/75 in two years. If you require a 15% return on investments of this risk,
should you take the investment?
Solution
40 75
PV = +
(1 + 0.15)1 (1 + 0.15)2
PV = 34.78 + 56.71
PV = 91.49
Solution
40 75
PV = +
(1 + 0.15)1 (1 + 0.15)2
PV = 34.78 + 56.71
PV = 91.49
No! – the broker is charging more than you would be willing to pay
(c/100 versus the PV of c/91.49)
BREAK TIME
Ordinary annuit
the cash ‡ow occurs at the end of each period.
Annuity due
the cash ‡ow occurs at the beginning of each period.
1 !
1 (1 +r )n
PV = PMT
r
where PMT is the periodic amount, r the discount rate and n is time
Example
Problem
A tenant o¤ers to sign a lease paying a rent of c/12,000 per annum in
arrears for 5 years. What is the present value of the lease if the discount
rate is 10 p.a%?
Solution
1 !
1 (1 +r )n
PV = PMT
r
1 !
1 (1 +0.1 )5
PV = 12, 000
0.1
PV = 45, 490
1 !
1 (1 +r )n
PV = PMT (1 + r )
r
where PMT is the periodic amount, r the discount rate and n is time
Example
Problem
A tenant o¤ers to sign a lease paying a rent of c/12,000 per annum in
advance for 5 years. What is the present value of the lease if the discount
rate is 10% p.a?
Solution
1 !
1 (1 +r )n
PV = PMT (1 + r )
r
1 !
1 (1 +0.1 )5
PV = 12, 000 (1 + 0.1)
0.1
PV = 50, 039
This answers the question; what annuity (or periodic payments) will
an amount today give over a speci…ed period of time and at a given
rate of interest?
where PMT is the periodic amount, r the discount rate and n is time
Example
Problem
A couple has recently been awarded c/500,000 as a compensation for an
accident. They have decided to purchase an annuity from an insurance
company that bears interest at 6% p.a. How much can they expect to
receive every year over a 10 year period?
Solution
!
r
PMT = PV 1
1 (1 +r )n
!
0.06
PMT = 500, 000 1
1 (1 +.06 )10
0.06
PMT = 500, 000
0.4416
This answers the question; how much will a periodic equal payments
amount to over a period of time if it earns interest at a certain rate?
(1 + r )n 1
FV = PMT
r
Example
Problem
In anticipation of his retirement in 12 years time, a business executive has
decided to set aside c/50,000 from his pro…ts at the end of every year in a
retirement fund. How much will he have in the account if he earns 9.5%
interest p.a.?
Solution
(1 + r )n 1
FV = PMT
r
!
(1 + 0.095)12 1
FV = 50, 000
0.095
1.9715
FV = 50, 000
0.095
FV = 1, 037, 630
(1 + r )n 1
FV = PMT (1 + r )
r
Example
Problem
In anticipation of his retirement in 12 years time, a business executive has
decided to set aside c/50,000 from his pro…ts at the beginning of every year
in a retirement fund. How much will he have in the account if he earns
9.5% interest p.a.?
Solution
(1 + r )n 1
FV = PMT (1 + r )
r
!
(1 + 0.095)12 1
FV = 50, 000 (1 + 0.095)
0.095
1.9715
FV = 50, 000 (1.095)
0.095
FV = 1, 136, 205
PMT
PV =
r
Example
Problem
Abigail decides to take a life assurance policy with her husband as the
bene…ciary. If she decides to pay c/1,000 every year forever, what is the
present value of that annuity if her required rate of return is 5% p.a.?
Solution
PMT
PV =
r
1, 000
PV =
0.05
PV = 20, 000
Example
Problem
A tenant o¤ers to sign a lease paying a rent of c/1,000 per month in
arrears for 5 years. What is the present value of the lease if the discount
rate is 10 p.a%?
Solution
PMT = 1, 000 n=5 12 = 60 r = 0.1/12 = 0.0083
1 !
1 (1 +0.0083 )60
PV = PMT
0.0083
1 !
1 (1 +0.0083 )60
PV = 1, 000
0.0083
0.3910
PV = 1, 000
0.0083
PV = 1, 000 (47.1084)
PV = 47, 108
Example
Problem
A tenant o¤ers to sign a lease paying a rent of c/3,000 per quarter in
arrears for 5 years. What is the present value of the lease if the discount
rate is 10 p.a%?
Solution
PMT = 3, 000 n=5 4 = 20 r = 0.1/4 = 0.025
1 !
1 (1 +0.025 )20
PV = PMT
0.025
1 !
1 (1 +0.025 )20
PV = 3, 000
0.025
0.3897
PV = 3, 000
0.025
PV = 3, 000 (15.588)
PV = 46, 764
Continuous Compounding
FV = PV e rn
E¤ective Annual Rate (EAR)
r m
EAR = 1 + 1
m
Sinking Fund
r
PMT = FV
(1 + r )n 1
Annuity certain
an annuity paid over a guaranteed number of periods
Problem
A business owner wishes to replace her machinery in 5 years time. How
much must she set aside every year from now to meet the cost of the
machinery if the projected cost in 5 years time is c/450,000 and her
required rate of return is 8% p.a. compounded annually?
Solution
r
PMT = FV
(1 + r )n 1
!
0.08
PMT = 450, 000
(1 + 0.08)5 1
QUESTION TIME