Fundamentals of MEL
Fundamentals of MEL
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Quiz
1. Which of the following should not be a 3. Which research method is a bottom-up approach
criterion for a good research project? to research?
2. Cyber bullying at work is a growing threat to 4. How much confidence should you place in a
employee job satisfaction. Researchers want to find single research study?
out why people do this and how they feel about it.
The primary purpose of the study is: a) You should trust research findings after different
researchers have replicated the findings
a) Description b) You should completely trust a single research
b) Prediction study
c) Exploration c) Neither a nor b
d) Explanation d) Both a and b
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Quiz
5. Monitoring should ideally be conducted: 7. What are indicators?
a) 27 percent
b) 13 percent
c) 59 percent
d) Can’t say 4
Research + MEL Buzzwords!
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Project
Activity Time
• Set of activities
• Implemented with specific resources
• Within a specific time
• Towards achievement of specific Objective Resources
objective
Project Objective
High poverty
incidence
(core problem)
Reduction in
poverty
(Objective)
Project Cycle
Stage 1: Situation Analysis
To identify what is ‘wrong’
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Why MEL?
Maximizing benefits per INR spent
Learning Accountability
How can the investment Whether services
be better? are being
delivered as per
mandate?
Intersection
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India a popular destination for intervention and evaluations
Source: Drew B. Cameron, Anjini Mishra & Annette N. Brown (2015). https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/19439342.2015.1034156
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Demand for MEL
Civil Society Government
To advocate grassroot solutions for govt. To enhance accountability & learnings for policy
Examples: Examples:
• Capacity building of community platforms • Evaluation of central sector and centrally sponsored
(i.e., SHGs) schemes, State schemes
• Nurturing leadership skills in communities
• Fact-findings missions on relevant sectors/
policies/ schemes, etc.
Private Sector/Donors
Evidence creation for field building
Examples:
• Education/health/ nutrition/ renewable/technology/energy-based pilots
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The Logic of Logic Model
Program Planning, Implementation and Program Management Tool
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Is logical framework different from logic model?
• Logic model provides a big picture while logframe illustrates implementation detail
• Logic model follows a flow, logframe is built as a matrix
• Logic model could include change pathways external to program, logframe only depicts
Yes components directly connected to program
• Logic model can begin at the top (impact), Logframe starts at the bottom (inputs)
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What is an Indicator?
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Monitoring and Evaluation
Monitoring Evaluation
▪ Systematically tracks down the key elements • Sequential validation of change in the results
in the performance of a given program/project proposed that may be attributed to the
▪ Focuses on activities and outputs program/project
▪ Generally, an internal activity • Focuses on outcomes and impacts
▪ Systematic activity • Generally, an external activity
▪ Is more frequent, basis of evaluation • Episodic activity, not very frequent
• Requires more resources and time
M E
PE 16
Role of MEL in
Policy Making and
Designing
Government
Programs
“Process by which governments,
organizations, or institutions develop
and implement policies or plans to
achieve specific goals or address
Policy Making particular issues. It involves
identifying problems, analyzing
information, and developing and
implementing strategies to address
the identified issues.”
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Multi-dimensionality – ACROSS
different areas AT various levels
Policy INVOLVING various stakeholders
making AND IN various forms
Evaluation
What is a Program Cycle
Problem/Gap Analysis: Ascertain the causes of the
situation or the problem. Identify the gap between the
current situation and the desired situation
Problem/Gap
Analysis
Conducting a needs assessment to determine the context and the needs of the target population or
community.
Identifying the program goals and objectives based on the needs assessment and the problem identified.
Developing program strategies and activities that are based on evidence-based practices, proven
interventions, or innovative approaches.
Developing a program budget, including resources needed for program implementation, monitoring, and
evaluation.
Identifying potential partners and stakeholders who may be involved in program implementation or support.
Developing a monitoring and evaluation plan to track program performance and measure impact.
Being (financially) accountable
Improving operations
Learning
Readjusting strategy
Purposes
for M&E in Strengthening capacity
Advocacy
Evaluation
Monitoring Learning
•Understand factors that
• Enables to identify contribute to success, • Sharing knowledge and
potential problems inform decisions on the best practices between
and challenges in the continuation or different stakeholders –
formulation and modification of policies & help build a collective
implementation of provide recommendations understanding on what
policies for future policy works and what doesn't
development.
Breaking in Down – Developing Government Programs
Help in identifying the needs & priorities of the target population - gather data on the current situation,
Needs Assessment identify gaps and challenges, and develop an evidence-based approach to program design
Understanding the context, target population, and available resources to design programs that are
Program Design tailored to the needs of the intended beneficiaries, ensure the effective use of resources, and maximize
program impact.
Help in monitoring the implementation of programs - setting up monitoring systems, track program
Implementation progress, identify challenges, and make timely adjustments to program design to achieve better
outcomes.
Evaluation Evaluating the effectiveness of programs and their impact - whether programs are achieving their
intended outcomes, identify areas for improvement, and adjust program design to maximize impact.
Help in learning from experience to improve program design and implementation - continuously
Learning learning & improving their approach to program design, implementation, and evaluation
Design Implementation Evaluation Learning
We monitor the
Promote learning and
implementation of the Evaluating the impact by
continuous
program by setting up a conducting
Conducting baseline improvement in the
robust monitoring independent
and needs assessment program by sharing
framework and evaluations to assess
through a survey to best practices and
mechanism such as a program effectiveness.
understand the current lessons learned among
dashboard. The The results of these
situation and identify stakeholders. Create a
framework can include evaluations can be used
areas for improvement. knowledge
indicators to measure to identify strengths and
This data can be used to management system to
progress towards weaknesses of the
develop the program's share information, best
program objectives and program and make
objectives, strategies, practices, and conduct
targets & conduct recommendations for
and targets. capacity building
regular data collection program improvement
workshops to promote
to track program such as focus on
learning and innovation.
implementation.
d)Has a vested interest in destroying the organization, that is, competitors, etc.
4. Indicate each stake holder’s interest in the M&E results, that is, whether a stakeholder
a) Will use the results for planning;
c) Will use the M&E results to design new programs, introduce change, or develop future
strategies, etc
nutrition of children below 6 years’ Do the designed strategies meet needs of the beneficiaries?
Areas of improvement
• A performance-based management How can results information help make effective management
approach decisions?
Identification of KPIs
How can progress of expected results be monitored?
• Defines result as a describable or
measurable change Fidelity of assumptions
• Product of a cause-effect relationship How can risks be identified & managed?
Reporting on results
To what extent has the goal been achieved by utilizing x% of resources
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Results chain
Articulating a project, addressing the what, when, why, how, who & where
Hierarchy Of Results
HOW DO I RBM?
LOGIC MODEL/RESULTS CHAIN -> THEORY OF CHANGE
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What is a Theory of Change?
• A theory of change is an articulation of what change is
sought to be achieved and how is it to be effected through
the project
• Depicting pathways of change based on sound cause-
effect/means-end logic.
• TOC is a flexible tool that can be used before, during and
after an intervention. But it is most effective at the design
stages of an intervention.
• A strong theory of change requires surfacing
hidden assumptions and challenges from
Theory of people in different roles, levels, and
perspectives, facilitating agreement between
Change (ToC) them, and negotiating shared commitment
among them.
also includes • A theory of change also highlights the
iterative learning process embedded in the
program.
It matters because:
Why do • It is explicit- describes program inputs,
activities, indicators, direct and indirect results
we need a etc.
Outputs are the immediate effect of the activities implemented (and not the
completed activities) in a project and form the deliverables of the project.
Impact is the goal to be contributed or the long –term objective of the project
Components of a
Theory of Change
• The core of the theory of change focuses on the links
between activities and results
• How the particular contexts in which the intervention is
implemented affect activities and results
• Potential unintended results, both positive and
negative,
• Assumptions on conditions based on which or how the
change happens and major Risks that may affect it
• Area of Control and Sphere of Influence
How to create a Theory of Change?
Identify stakeholders and agree intended impact
Identify inputs
Identify risks
Precise
Value Neutral
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Indicators are Not
• Just anything you can think of to measure. Every measure is not an indicator (#
of school desks).
• Indicators are not objectives or targets, but the actual results.
• Indicators are not biased rather neutral worded i.e. they do not specify a
particular level of achievement -- the words, improved, increased, gained, etc
do not belong in an indicator. Indicators measure if there has been an increase
or a decrease.
Concepts and Definitions
An indicator can be a:
• Number
• Ratio
• Percentage
• Average
• Rate
• Index (composite of indicators)
SMART Results and Indicators
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Do we need specific How many indicators should
indicators for each specific we have for one output or
project or M&E level? outcome?
Yes. Specific indicators for each For each level of result, we should
output, outcome have at least one indicator
Can indicators be
Can indicators qualitative and
change over time? Quantitative in Nature?
No. Set of indicators would Yes. Based on the nature of
measure the same thing and information that a particular indicator
would not change over time
relates to, it can be Quantitative or
Qualitative
Indicator
• Let’s define some Indicators for evaluation, based on your understanding and the criteria mentioned
above, mark the indicators given below as good bad or worst indicators.
Markers
Indicators
Good Bad Worst
Reduction in the number of open defecation
Positive change in the cleanliness index
Improved access to Swachh Bharat scheme
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Exercise
1. Draw a simpler Theory of Change on your area of interest
Input Activity Output Outcomes Impact
Quantifiable What you do to Immediate results Longer-term Long-term,
resources going accomplish your from your activity expected population level
in to your objectives? results related result. Can
activities – the to changes relate to a
things you Related to program or
budget for. program Goal organization
vision / mission
statement
Assumptions
Exercise
1. Under each column, let’s add at least one indicator -
Input Activity Output Outcomes Impact
Quantifiable 1) What you Immediate Longer-term change in Long-term,
resources going in do to results from your attitude, behaviour, etc. population level
to your activities – accomplish activity Related to program change. Can relate
Level the things you your - people trained, Goal to a program or
budget for. objectives? services organizations vision
provided / mission statement
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Qualitative Quantitative
• Interpretation • Prediction
• Causal explanations
• Understanding peoples’ perspectives
Design Design
• Flexible and emergent • a priori and inflexible
Qualitative Quantitative
Approach Approach
• Ends with hypotheses and a theory • Begins with hypotheses and theories
• Emergence and portrayal • Manipulation and control
• Naturalistic • Experimentation
• Inductive • Deductive
• Searches for patterns • Component analysis
• Seeks pluralism, complexity • Seeks consensus, the norm
• Minor use of numerical indices • Reduces all data to numerical
indices
• Thick description through writing
• Precise technical language,
numerical presentation
Impact Evaluation
➔ Both randomization & quasi-experiment draw
Evaluator’s task counterfactual to estimate this difference
➔ Key principles:
◆ Choosing similar groups (balance)
◆ Creating a baseline and following up with an end-
line
◆ Keep a track of the adequacy of “dose” and effect
of any alternate “doses” that exist
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Popular evaluative designs in the market today
Summative or outcome evaluations:
Cluster randomized trials: Treatment receives the project and control receives the placebo.
Difference-in-differences: Drawing a “matched” comparison group to your project group. Capturing
baseline and end-line results and estimating difference between them.
Repeated measures on large samples: Used for national surveys (NFHS, NSSO), includes assessing the
target population multiple times, cross-sectionally/longitudinally, to estimate trends over time. In case we
can’t draw a counterfactual.
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The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Development Assistance Committee (DAC) Evaluation Criteria
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List of Readings
OECD. (2002). Glossary of Key Terms in Evaluation and Results Based Management. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
https://www.oecd.org/development/evaluation/qualitystandards.pdf
OECD. (2010). Quality Standards for Development Evaluation. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
https://www.oecd.org/development/evaluation/qualitystandards.pdf
Gugerty, MK., Karlan, D., Welsh, D. (2016). Guiding Your Program to Build a Theory of Change. Innovations for Poverty Action. https://www.poverty-
action.org/sites/default/files/publications/Goldilocks-Deep-Dive-Guiding-Your-Program-to-Build-Theory-of-Change_2.pdf
Chandurkar, D., Sen, Nidhi. (n.d.). Development Monitoring and Evaluation Framework for Budget Work Projects. National Foundation for India.
http://nfi.org.in/sites/default/files/publication/Developing%20Monitoring%20and%20Evaluation%20Framework%20for%20Budget%20Work%20Projectspdf.
pdf
Davidson, JE. (2009). Causal inference: Nuts and bolts. Better Evaluation.
https://www.betterevaluation.org/en/resources/guides/causal_inference_nuts_and_bolts
Gertler, PJ., Martinez, S., Premand, P., Rawlings, LB., Vermeersch, CMJ. (2016). Impact Evaluation in Practice, Second Edition. The World Bank Group.
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/25030/9781464807794.pdf?sequence=2&isAllowed=y
Khandker, SR., Koolwal, GB., Samad, HA. (2010). Handbook on Impact Evaluation, Quantitative Methods, and Practices. The World Bank Group.
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/2693/520990PUB0EPI1101Official0Use0Only1.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Lopez Acevedo, G., Krause P., Mackay, K. (2012). Building Better Policies, The Nuts and Bolts of Monitoring and Evaluation Systems. The World bank Group.
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/6015/681660PUB0EPI004019020120Box367902B.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Kusek, JZ., Rist, RC. (2004). Ten Steps to a Results-Based Monitoring and Evaluation System. The World Bank Group.
http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/638011468766181874/pdf/296720PAPER0100steps.pdf
UNDG. (2011). Results-based Management Handbook. The United Nations Development Group. https://unsdg.un.org/sites/default/files/UNDG-RBM-Handbook-
2012.pdf
Mehrotra, S. (2013). The Government Monitoring and Evaluation System in India: A Work in Progress. The World Bank Group.
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/19000/884180NWP0Box300ecd0wp280india0me00.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
AusAID. (2005). The Logical Framework Approach. Commonwealth of Australia.
https://sswm.info/sites/default/files/reference_attachments/AUSAID%202005%20The%20Logical%20Framework%20Approach.pdf
UNAIDS. (n.d.). An Introduction to Indicators. Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS. https://www.unaids.org/sites/default/files/sub_landing/files/8_2-
Intro-to-IndicatorsFMEF.pdf
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Fundamentals of Monitoring,
Evaluation and Learning
Day 3
May 17, 2023
Recap of Day 1 and Day 2
Exercise 1
Steps –Exercise 1
• We will show you a group of pictures showing
MEL in a Project with numbers
• After all the images have been shown – you
have to put them in the correct sequence
IFRC
IFRC
https://www.flaticon.com/
https://www.annmurraybrown.com/
Exercise 1 – Correct Sequence
Steps –Exercise 1
• We will show you a group of pictures depicting
a Theory of Change with numbers
• After all the images have been shown – you
have to put them in the correct sequence
Exercise 2 – Theory of Change
New Yorker
Exercise 2 – Correct Sequence
Exercise
• Problem - 35% of children <5 years in India are
stunted
• Very few have good dietary diversity or feeding
practices
• Donor Zen decides to make a grant to make and
distribute nutritious food & dietary behaviour
change communication
• Zen wants an independent evaluation of the grant
• Implementer Goodthoughts proposes solutions
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Exercise
- What approach would you adopt to get the results would you want to see?
- What type of data would you collect to check on these results?
- How will you report on results?
- Can you think of any indicators to report on?
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