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About the Author
vii
ix
xi
Organization
The fourteen chapters in this book are arranged in six parts. Part I (Chapters 1–3)
includes introductory chapters on the scientific method and the three claims,
four validities framework. Part II (Chapters 4–5) covers issues that matter for
any study: research ethics and good measurement. Parts III–V (Chapters 6–12)
correspond to each of the three claims (frequency, association, and causal). Part
VI (Chapters 13–14) focuses on balancing research priorities.
Most of the chapters will be familiar to veteran instructors, including chap-
ters on measurement, experimentation, and factorial designs. However, unlike
some methods books, this one devotes two full chapters to correlational research
(one on bivariate and one on multivariate studies), which help students learn
how to interpret, apply, and interrogate different types of association claims, one
of the common types of claims they will encounter.
There are three supplementary chapters: Statistics Review: Descriptive Sta-
tistics, Statistics Review: Inferential Statistics, and Presenting Results: APA-Style
Reports and Conference Posters. These chapters provide a review for students
who’ve already had statistics, and provide the tools students need to create re-
search reports and conference posters.
xii Preface
Preface xiii
1. Psychology Is a The language of “cycles” is no longer used here. The same content is presented, under the theory-data
Way of Thinking cycle, the peer review process, and journal-to-journalism. A new section focuses on how researchers
dig deeper—they don’t stop with a single study.
2. Sources of Chapter 2 retains the same recurring example of the catharsis hypothesis as a frame for “sources of
Information: Why information.”
Research Is Best In the section on intuitive reasoning, I omitted the subsection on overconfidence, and replaced
and How to Find it it with the bias blind spot—the sneaky tendency for us to think only other people are biased, not
ourselves.
3. Three Claims, The three claims, four validities framework is presented much the same, but with all new examples
Four Validities: taken from the popular press during the past year.
Interrogation Tools The long section and figure on using correlation for prediction was moved to Chapter 8 (Bivariate
for Consumers of Correlational Research).
Research
4. Ethical Guidelines No major changes here, except to include the recent example of social psychologist Diederik Stapel in
for Psychology the section on research fraud.
Research
5. Identifying Good While still focusing on measuring happiness, the discussion is amplified to clarify that each variable
Measurement in a study can be evaluated for construct validity. The chapter now shows what happens when we
investigate a claim such as “Religious people are more happy.” In such research, we can evaluate the
reliability and validity of two operationalizations: religiosity and happiness. Often we establish the
quality of each of our operationalizations in separate data collection, before testing the relationship
between them. Students struggle with this idea, and I hope the revision helps them understand it
better.
Because my own students tended to get unnecessarily confused by the difference between
predictive and concurrent validity, I replaced both terms with the single term, criterion validity,
which means that the measure correlates with a behavioral outcome of interest (either now or in
the future).
xiv Preface
7. Sampling: This material, on sampling, was previously combined with information on surveys and observations.
Estimating the Now it stands alone as its own chapter, with no other major changes.
Frequency of
Behaviors and
Beliefs
8. Bivariate There are two new examples and one modified example. The first new one is about how people
Correlational who meet their spouses online are happier (providing a new example of a correlation between a
Research categorical and quantitative variable, as well as a discussion of a study with a very small effect size).
The second new example is a negative correlation, in which people who multitask the most are the
worst at it. The third example is modified; it used to be “Small talk is associated with lower well-being.”
Now I present the complementary positive association in which “Deep talk is associated with higher
well-being.”
A second major change is removal of the section on subgroups; this confused students and fits better
under the sections on moderators and regression.
I added a section on restriction of range. This section sets students up for the idea of floor and ceiling
effects later on.
The material on using correlations for prediction was moved from Chapter 3 to this chapter.
9. Multivariate The examples for cross-lag panel designs and multiple-regression analyses are the same.
Correlational The only important change is in the section on mediation, in which I emphasize more strongly that to
Research establish mediation between variable A and B, temporal precedence is very important—the mediator
must be measured after variable A, and before variable B.
A helpful new figure distinguishes mediation, moderation, and third variables (Figure 9.13).
10. Introduction The red/green ink example is retained, because it provides a nice example of experimental design.
to Simple However, one author noted to me that he has failed to replicate a similar effect (Steele, 2014). I
Experiments mention this in Chapter 14 (on replication), but instructors might wish to discuss replicability with
students as they teach this chapter.
The example on rejection and feeling cold has been replaced with a new example on the effect of
serving bowl size on how much people eat.
(continued)
Preface xv
12. Experiments with I kept the cell phone example of a 2 × 2 factorial design. A set of new examples on alcohol and
More Than One aggression replaces the example on serving container size, which is now featured in Chapter 10.
Independent
Variable
13. Quasi-Experiments The example of burnout and vacation is replaced with an example on how judicial decision making is
and Small-N affected by food breaks for prisoners.
Designs I replaced the example of the StayWell program with a study on the effects of cosmetic surgery.
14. Replicability, I removed the section stating that statistically significant results are replicable, in response to a
Generalization, reviewer who pointed out the error of this reasoning. (For details, see Sohn, 1998, Replicability and
and the Real World statistical significance.)
The example of direct replication from the Bargh et al. walking study is replaced with a study on the
name-letter/birthday-number effect.
I replaced the psychotherapy meta-analysis example with a meta-analysis on video games. Note that
both meta-analysis examples in this chapter use r as the average effect size; instructors might wish to
provide an example of meta-analyses in class where d or g are used as the average effect size.
I added an example of the file-drawer problem, in which antidepressant trials that showed no effect
were less likely to be published.
Acknowledgments
Working on this textbook has been rewarding and enriching, thanks to the many
people who have smoothed the way. To start, I feel fortunate to have worked
with an author-focused company and an all-around great editor, Sheri Snavely.
She is both optimistic and realistic, savvy, and smart. She also made sure I got
the most rigorous reviews possible and that I was supported with great Norton
staff: Sujin Hong, Callinda Taylor, Eric Pier-Hocking, Hope Miller Goodell, and
Scott Sugarman. My developmental editor for the second edition, Betsy Dilernia,
refined each term, figure, and reference, making the book more consistent, tight,
and accurate. I also remain grateful to Beth Ammerman, who helped make every
aspect of the first edition well-organized and clear.
I am also thankful for the support and continued enthusiasm I have
received from the Norton sales management team: Michael Wright, Allen
Clawson, Annie Stewart, Dennis Fernandes, Dennis Adams, Katie Incorvia,
Jordan Mendez, Lauren Greene, Shane Brisson, and Dan Horton. I also wish
to thank my marketing manager Lauren Winkler for her creativity and drive to
ensure my book reaches a wide audience.
xvi Preface
Preface xvii
xviii Preface
Preface xix
Language: English
A constant stream of
pilgrims, largely blue-
clad coolies on foot,
passed up and down the
sacred stairway
WANDERING IN NORTHERN
CHINA
BY
HARRY A. FRANCK
Author of “A Vagabond Journey Around the World,” “Roaming
Through the West Indies,” “Vagabonding Down the Andes,”
“Working North from Patagonia,” etc., etc.
Printed in U. S. A.
To
CHAPTER PAGE
XX On to Sian-fu 366
FACING
PAGE
At the first suggestion of rain the Korean pulls out a little oiled-
paper umbrella that fits over his precious horsehair hat 17
A full load 48
This great cliff-carved Buddha, fifty feet high and thirty broad,
was done by Chinese artists centuries ago. Note my carrier, a
full-sized man, squatting at the lower left-hand corner 68
The carved Buddhas of Sam-pul-gam, at the entrance to the gorge
of the Inner Kongo, were chiseled by a famous Korean monk
five hundred years ago 69
The camera can at best give only a suggestion of the sheer white
rock walls of Shin Man-mul-cho, perhaps the most marvelous
bit of scenery in the Far East 69
The human freight horses of Tientsin, who toil ten or more hours
a day for twenty coppers, about six cents in our money 108
But cattle caravans also cross the Gobi, drawing home-made two-
wheeled carts, often with a flag, sometimes the Stars and
Stripes, flying at the head 109
The Mongol of the Gobi lives in a yourt made of heavy felt over a
light wooden framework, which can be taken down and packed
in less than an hour when the spirit of the nomad strikes him 129
A high lama dignitary on his travels, free from the gaze of the
curious, and escorted by mounted lamas of the middle class 145
A youthful lama turning one of the myriad prayer-cylinders of
Urga. Many written prayers are pasted inside, and each turn is
equivalent to saying all of them 152
Though it was still only September, our return from Urga was not
unlike a polar expedition 161
Our home in Peking was close under the great East Wall of the
Tartar City 176
A chat with neighbors on the way to the daily stroll on the wall 177
Street venders were constantly crying their wares in our quarter 177
At Chinese New Year the streets of Peking were gay with all
manner of things for sale, such as these brilliantly colored
paintings of native artists 192
A rich man died in our street, and among other things burned at
his grave, so that he would have them in after-life, were this
“automobile” and two “chauffeurs” 192
The devil dancers are usually Chinese street urchins hired for the
occasion by the languid Mongol lamas of Peking 208
The Forbidden City is for the most part no longer that, but open in
more than half its extent to the ticket-buying public 209
Mei Lan-fang, most famous of Chinese actors, who, like his father
and grandfather before him, plays only female parts 224
Over the wall from our house boats plied on the moat separating
us from the Chinese City 225
Just outside the Tartar Wall of Peking the night soil of the city,
brought in wheelbarrows, is dried for use as fertilizer 225
For three thousands miles the Great Wall clambers over the
mountains between China and Mongolia 240
One of the mammoth stone figures flanking the road to the Ming
Tombs of North China, each of a single piece of granite 240
A few of the 508 Buddhas in one of the lama temples of Jehol 256
The youngest, but most important—since she has borne him a son
—of the wives of a Manchu chief of one of the tomb-tending
towns of Tung Ling 256
Behind Tung Ling the great forest reserve which once “protected”
the tombs from the evil spirits that always come from the north
was recently opened to settlers, and frontier conditions long
since forgotten in the rest of China prevail 260
A Chinese inn, with its heated k’ang, may not be the last word in
comfort, but it is many degrees in advance of the earth floors of
Indian huts along the Andes 261
One of the countless beggar women who squat in the center of the
stairway to Tai-shan, expecting every pilgrim to drop at least a
“cash” into each basket 268
Some of the worst cases still out of bed in the American leper-
home of Tenghsien, Shantung, were still full of laughter 289
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