cc1b97a26a829b4e905d48e50a5ffce7 (1)
cc1b97a26a829b4e905d48e50a5ffce7 (1)
ABSTRACT: The aggregate upsurge in carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) witnessed through environmental degradation and global
climate change is a call for great concern. This, therefore, calls for the enactment, utilization and implementation of provisions and
policies geared towards curbing this global economic bad without impeding global economic growth rates. This study ascertains
the extent to which renewable energy consumption (REC), economic growth (GDP), population growth (POP), globalization (GLO),
and financial development (FD) affect carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) in selected G7 economies (France, Germany, Canada, Italy,
and the United Kingdom) from 1990–2020. The Dynamic Fixed Effect Autoregressive Distributive Lag (DFE-ARDL) and the
Pooled Mean Group ARDL (PMG-ARDL) methods were employed for analysis. The empirical findings for DFE-ARDL showed
that REC, GDP, and POP have an adverse association with CO2 in the long-term. However, in the short-term, REC and FD improve
the environment, while GDP and POP drive CO2. It is observed that the result for REC in the short and long-run is consistent. The
PMG-ARDL results revealed that REC and GLO negatively affect CO2 in the long-run, and in the short-run, GDP spurs CO2, while
FD reduces it. The result summary of both methods employed demonstrates that REC, GLO, and FD benefit the environment. At
the same time, GDP and POP harm the environment in the short-run but reduce CO2 in the long-run. Conclusively, the research
recommends increasing the utilization of renewable energy and policies that enable economic growth and CO2 to move in the
opposite direction.
© 2024 The authors. This is an open access article under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
1. Introduction
In recent times, environmental degradation has increasingly gained popularity around the world. This increase is
justified because conducive environmental conditions are fundamental for our livelihood. Further bolstering the
relevance of the subject matter is confirmed by global warming, evidenced by climatic irregularities such as the decrease
in snow level cover, rising temperatures, rising sea levels, droughts as well as the manifestation of storms [1]. The 2012
results published by the World Health Organization (WHO) estimated environmental pollution to be one of the world’s
greatest threats, given that its estimated causalities stood at about seven million [2]. The most significant of all aspects
responsible for this degradation is the release of carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) caused by human activities associated
with non-renewable energy sources like fossil fuels.
It is essential to state that various social, economic, political, and cultural factors could reduce or accelerate CO2.
Some studies that have covered this broad scale of factors include [3–6]. Specifically, these factors include renewable
energy consumption (REC), economic growth (GDP), population growth (POP), globalization (GLO), and financial
development (FD).
Renewable energy is viewed as an important alternative for lowering CO2 and improving environmental quality
[7]. Renewable energy resources, such as hydropower, solar, and wind, do not emit greenhouse gases, as opposed to
fossil fuels [8]. Therefore, expanding the use of clean energy technologies has the potential to cut dramatically CO2
https://doi.org/10.70322/ces.2024.10020
Clean Energy and Sustainability 2024, 2, 10020 2 of 13
from the power sector and other energy-intensive industries [9]. Conversely, the role of GDP in influencing CO2 has
been well-explained by [10], who stated that when an economy is just starting out in its developmental phase, more
focus is on its growth rather than the quality of the environment. However, as the economy approaches a developed
state, ecological progress is observed due to the adoption of new technologies and an enlightened population.
Furthermore, globalization plays a crucial role in countries achieving their climate goals. Globalization means a country
can interact with other countries through trade, culture, politics, and finance. It also involves the movement of people
from one location to another. Globalization simply means a country’s economy is linked with the global economy.
Therefore, the economic interaction of a country with other countries will determine its environment, especially if the
trade dynamics, politics, and financial dealings are examined. Lastly, a well-developed financial system can increase a
country’s economic efficiency [11]. The argument regarding the FD-CO2 nexus comes in two folds: positive and
negative. Firstly, the positive association can be observed through three channels, namely, direct, business, and wealth
effects [12]. The direct effect is when consumers have access to finance (loans) due to lower rates, making them
purchase energy-consuming products that can drive CO2 upwards. The business effect relates to businesses expanding
their capacity due to cheap access to financial capital, thus spurring CO2. The wealth effect is when consumer and
business confidence increases due to the wealth-creating ability of the stock market, which could increase energy
demand and CO2 [13,14]. Secondly, the negative link between FD and CO2 occurs because firms and other energy
stakeholders are motivated due to a developed financial system to embrace innovative technologies. This occurs by
extensively investing in research and development (R&D) [15]. The inconsistencies in FD and CO2 nexus necessitate
further investigation.
Based on the G7 country classification, this article presents evidence from France, Germany, Canada, Italy, and
the United Kingdom. These countries were selected because they are highly industrialized developed countries, have
huge renewable energy potentials, and are among the largest groups of CO2 emitters. In addition, these countries are
economically advanced, and they further exert direct and indirect influences relative to the enactment of environmental
and technological advancements and global policy implementation. Ref. [16] stated that G7 economies are responsible
for 25% of energy system CO2. The report further revealed that these economies could set the global standard for
lowering emissions from heavy industries. Therefore, the information gleaned from these countries will contribute to
robust policy formulation that can apply to other economies.
Objectively, this study examines the relationship between REC, GDP, POP, GLO, FD and CO2 in selected G7
economies from 1990–2020 using methods such as the PMG-ARDL and DFE-ARDL. Therefore, the research questions
can simply be stated: Does REC, GDP, POP, GLO and FD have a positive, a negative, or no association with CO2?
Depending on the results, what are some of the reasons for this outcome?
The present research’s contribution to the existing literature can be witnessed from more than one perspective. To
begin with, the study accentuates the importance and relevance of REC policies as a tool in the CO2 reduction endeavors.
Secondly, this study further outlines a host of other factors that when simultaneously applied with REC, enhance
reduction in CO2. Thirdly, this research’s model (variables selected) is unique as it investigates the combined impact of
REC, GDP, POP, GLO, and FD on CO2, specifically in selected G7 economies—an area largely unexplored in existing
studies. Fourthly, this research employs robust second-generation econometric methods such as the PMG-ARDL and
DFE-ARDL, whose results account for scenarios relative to both static and dynamic eventualities. These methods are
suitable because (i) They both capture the true essence of the dynamic relationship between the variables; (ii) They
illustrate both the short and long-run estimation effects; (iii) They are characterized by efficiency and consistency in
model estimation; (iv) They address heterogeneity-related issues in the model; (v) they are suitable for panel data analysis
and most especially non-stationary data and; (vi) They establish clear and interpretable variable relationships.
2. Literature Review
2.1. REC and CO2 Relationship
REC is a by-product of R&D and technological advancements. These include solar, wind, tidal, and hydroelectric
energy sources. Ref. [17] studied how CO2 in BRICS countries affects REC and technological progress. The outcomes
suggest a negative relationship between both variables. Ref. [18] examined the extent to which REC, economic
globalization, and GDP influence CO2 in Turkey. Based on F-ARDL cointegration and the Fourier-Granger causality
test, the empirical results illustrate an inverse relationship between REC and CO2 and a positive relationship between
GDP, economic GLO, and CO2. Equally, the results show the existence of bidirectional causality linking economic
GLO to CO2 and GLO to REC.
Clean Energy and Sustainability 2024, 2, 10020 3 of 13
Ref. [19] explored the effects of REC, GDP, FD, and the control of corruption on CO2 in Asia Pacific Economic
Cooperation economics. Using the PMG-ARDL technique, the findings show that high CO2 significantly accelerates
GDP and REC, whereas FD and control of corruption significantly account for low CO2. Ref. [20] investigated the
impact of REC and oil prices on CO2 intensity in the Chinese transport sector. Based on the Bootstrap ARDL
methodology, their findings indicate that oil price and REC reduces CO2. Ref. [21] examined the effects of GDP,
urbanization, trade openness, FD, and REC on CO2 in Pakistan. The outcome of the fixed effect technique confirms
that urbanization, FD, and trade openness significantly increase CO2 while REC decreases CO2. Utilizing the GMM
method, ref. [22] established that technological innovation enhances the creation and development of REC, whose
consumption records an inverse effect on CO2 in BRICS economies.
Ref. [23] examined the dynamic linkages between CO2, energy utilization, financial growth, and GDP in SAARC
nations. Based on first and second-generation econometric approaches, the results show that energy consumption, FD,
export of products, and economic expansion positively enhance CO2. Using the quantile-on-quantile regression and
Fixed Effect Ordinary Least Squares methods, ref. [24] argued that all variables are positively associated with REC. At the
same time, FD and government stability positively impact CO2 in GCC countries. Ref. [25] also found that REC benefits the
environment in G7 economies. In Western and European economies, Ref. [26] opined that REC negatively links with CO2.
of CO2, while GDP and FD significantly enhance CO2 for the OECD countries. Employing the fixed effect model, ref.
[44] found that social globalization spurs CO2 in 170 countries.
Canada - CO2 France - CO2 Germ any - CO2 Italy - CO2 UK - CO2 Canada - REC
18 7 14 9 10 24
17 6 12 8
8 23
16 7
5 10
15 6
6 22
14 4 8 5
13 3 6 4 4 21
90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20
France - REC Germ any - REC Italy - REC UK - REC Canada - GDP France - GDP
18 20 20 16 28.2 28.6
16 15 15 12 28.0 28.5
14 28.4
10 10 8 27.8
12 28.3
5 5 4 27.6
10 28.2
8 0 0 0 27.4 28.1
90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20
Germ any - GDP Italy - GDP UK - GDP Canada - POP France - POP Germ any - POP
29.0 28.4 28.8 1.6 1.0 1
Italy - POP UK - POP Canada - GLO France - GLO Germ any - GLO Italy - GLO
1.2 0.8 85 88 90 85
0.8
80 84 85 80
0.4 0.6
0.0 75 80 80 75
-0.4 0.4
70 76 75 70
-0.8
-1.2 0.2 65 72 70 65
90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20 90 95 00 05 10 15 20
3.2. Methodology
3.2.1. Pooled Mean Group ARDL (PMG-ARDL)
This study employs the PMG-ARDL method proposed by [58]. The model is utilized when the variables under
analysis are stationary either at I(0) or I(1) or both but never at I(2). The reliability of this model is that it illustrates
variable result analysis for the SR and LR. The merits attributed to this model are buttressed by its ability to outplay
aspects relating to multicollinearity, autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity, and endogeneity-related issues. Three aspects,
including the Pooled mean Group (PMG), Mean Group (MG), and Dynamic Fixed effects (DFE), constitute the
aforementioned model. It is mathematically illustrated as follows:
(3)
where Δ𝑦 is the first difference of dependent variable for ith (unit of cross-section) and tth (time); Δ𝑥 , represents
the first difference of independent variables for ith (cross-section unit) and tth (time); p and q are the lag orders for the
dependent and independent variables; 𝑦 , are the lagged period of the dependent variable; 𝛼 is the constant; 𝛽
and ϒ𝑘 are short-run lagged differences on dependent and independent variables; δ1 represents the long-run.
(4)
where Δ𝑦 is the first difference of dependent variable for ith (unit of cross-section) and tth (time); Δ𝑥 , represents the
first difference of independent variables for ith (cross-section unit) and tth (time); p and q are the lag orders for the
dependent and independent variables; 𝑦 , are the lagged period of the dependent variable; 𝛼 represents each cross-
section’s fixed effects; 𝛽 and ϒ𝑘 are short-run lagged differences on dependent and independent variables; δ1
represents the long-run. The methodological workflow of this research is presented in Figure 2.
6.153% and 0.220%, respectively. GLO is not statistically significant and hence exerts no influence on CO2. The ECT
(–0.136) is negative and statistically significant, demonstrating a LR relationship between our variables of interest. This
illustrates the speed at which the model adjusts to the long-run equilibrium situation relative to the occurrence of shocks.
4.4.2. PMG-ARDL
The results retrieved from the PMG-ARDL analysis are illustrated in Table 7. The LR and SR analysis of the model
are presented. Based on the LR analysis, an average increase in one unit of REC and GLO will decrease CO2 by 0.225%
and 0.123%, respectively. The other variables, GDP, POP, and FD, are statistically insignificant and thus do not affect
CO2. Regarding the SR, an average increase in one unit of GDP and FD will lead to an increase in CO2 of about 5.854%
and a corresponding decrease of about 0.666%, respectively. REC, POP, and GLO are not statistically significant; hence,
they do not affect CO2. The ECT is statistically significant and negative, showing that the economy will return to
equilibrium at an adjustment speed of 0.24%.
4.5. Discussion
Based on DFE-ARDL analysis, both the SR and LR estimates illustrate a negative relationship between REC and
CO2. This suggests that the countries are intensely involved in the use of renewable energy as well as effective
environmental sustainability measures. This also confirms the environmentally friendly nature of clean energy sources.
The PMG-ARDL approach also showed that REC had a non-significant negative impact on CO2, while the LR results
are similar to the DFE-ARDL findings. The inherent demonstrated inverse relationship between REC and CO2 is backed
by existing literature [17,18,21,22,53].
Secondly, the SR estimates of DFE-ARDL analysis confirmed a positive association between GDP and CO2. This
implies that as the country grows, so does CO2 increase, given that the policies and frameworks geared towards the
Clean Energy and Sustainability 2024, 2, 10020 9 of 13
reduction of CO2 are still under either assessment or are yet to be fully implemented. However, a negative connection
between GDP and CO2 is established in the LR. This implies that the earlier set policies and frameworks geared towards
environmental sustainability have become effective. Hence, the growth of the country in no way harms the environment.
The PMG-ARDL results are also similar, except for the LR result, which is positive and insignificant. The positive link
between GDP and CO2 is supported by [29] for Pakistan, ref. [30] for SSA economies, and [31] for BRICS. On the
contrary, the inverse association between GDP and CO2 is confirmed by [27,32].
Furthermore, the DFE-ARDL results established that POP increases CO2 in the SR and reduces CO2 in the LR.
This means that as the economy grows, so does the population develop in terms of their level of education. This
educational attainment makes people more concerned about preserving their environment, thus avoiding energy sources
and policies that deplete their environment. In addition, this new knowledge enables the population to adopt birth control
measures and embrace and implement demographic related measures such as family planning, demographic
transitioning and urbanization, which significantly decrease CO2. This viewpoint is corroborated by [34] for East Asian
economies and [35] for China. On the contrary, the positive link between POP and CO2 is justified by the absence of
birth control measures and other measures associated with population demographics, which, in turn, accelerates CO2.
This corresponds with the studies of [42] for the global economy and [36] for China. The following studies also found
no link between POP and CO2 [33,38].
Based on the DFE-ARDL findings, this research also established that GLO reduces CO2 in the LR. The implication
is that the countries considered in this study are implementing GLO-related policies such as green finance, innovation
and technology transfer, and involvement in global environmental agreements, which benefit the environment. This
outcome is supported by [39,41–43,52].
Finally, estimations based on DFE-ARDL illustrate an inverse relation between FD and CO2 in the SR. However,
FD exerts no influence on CO2 in the LR, given that it is statistically insignificant. The estimations based on PMG-
ARDL also illustrate a negative relationship in the SR, which is justified by the implementation of some policies such
as carbon pricing and green investment. The negative FD-CO2 nexus is confirmed by [52] for APEC economies and [53] for
top renewable energy economies. The study outcome is further presented in Figure 3.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, A.A.E. and O.A.S.; Methodology, A.A.E. and O.A.S.; Software, A.A.E. and O.A.S.; Validation,
A.A.E., O.A.S and H.O.; Formal Analysis, A.A.E.; Investigation, A.A.E.; Resources, A.A.E. and O.A.S.; Data Curation,
A.A.E.; Writing—Original Draft Preparation, A.A.E. and O.A.S.; Writing—Review & Editing, A.A.E. and O.A.S.;
Visualization, O.A.S.; Supervision, H.E.; Project Administration, O.A.S. and H.O.; Funding Acquisition, None.
Ethics Statement
Not applicable.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Clean Energy and Sustainability 2024, 2, 10020 11 of 13
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