CU-FYUGP_2nd Semester_Science of Mental Processes_Module 1
CU-FYUGP_2nd Semester_Science of Mental Processes_Module 1
B. Sc. Psychology
Semester 2
Module 1: Cognition
2. Inductive Reasoning
Inductive reasoning is the process of reasoning from specific facts or observations to reach
a likely conclusion that may explain the facts. The inductive reasoner then may use that
probable conclusion to attempt to predict future specific instances (Johnson-Laird, 2000).
The key feature distinguishing inductive from deductive reasoning is that, in inductive
reasoning, we never can reach a logically certain conclusion. We only can reach a
particularly well-founded or probable conclusion. With deductive reasoning, in contrast,
reaching logically certain—deductively valid—conclusions is possible.
For example, suppose that you notice that all the people enrolled in your cognitive
psychology course are on the dean’s list (or honor roll). From these observations, you could
reason inductively that all students who enroll in cognitive psychology are excellent
students (or at least earn the grades to give that impression). However, unless you can
observe the grade-point averages of all people whoever have taken or ever will take
cognitive psychology, you will be unable to prove your conclusion. Furthermore, a single
poor student who happened to enroll in a cognitive psychology course would disprove your
conclusion. Still, after large numbers of observations, you might conclude that you had
made enough observations to reason inductively.
Psychological Theories of Reasoning
There are a wide variety of theoretical approaches to the psychology of human reasoning.
The main theoretical approaches are : mental logic,mental models and the probabilistic
approach. These are all general theories of reasoning in that they are intended to apply to
most reasoning tasks.
1. Mental Logic
The mental logic group of theories (there are several different versions of the basic account
[Braine and O’Brien, 1998; Rips, 1994]) are also known as formal rule theories. As the
name suggests, these accounts are close in spirit to Piaget’s view that adult human thought
is the operation of formal logic (Inhelder and Piaget, 1958). The idea behind these theories
is that people possess a system of formal mental logic that contains inference rules.Without
a particular rule, some inferences will be more difficult to make than others.
2.Mental Models
Mental models theory (Johnson-Laird, 1983; Johnson-Laird and Byrne, 1991) shares the
intuition with mental logic that people are in principle capable of logical reasoning.
However, rather than applying formal rules, mental models theory argues that people
reason over pictorial representations of what sentences mean. These representations
concern the different possibilities that a logical expression may allow.However, the limited
capacity of working memory ,people may not be able to represent all of the possibilities at
once. Rather, there may be a preferred initial representation or interpretation. This idea is
the core of the mental models theory. In this account each possibility is referred to as a
‘mental model’. How people manipulate these mental models explains their reasoning
performance.
3.The probabilistic Approach
According to the probabilistic approach, logic simply does not provide the right framework
for understanding people’s everyday inferences (Oaksford and Chater,1994,1998).The
probabilistic approach to reasoning suggests that people's reasoning is influenced by their
everyday, uncertain reasoning strategies, leading to biases and errors.
Reference
Sternberg, J.R., Sternberg, K,. & Mio,J. (2012). Cognitive psychology. 6th edition.
Wordsworth Cengage Learning
Prepared By
Sahla Sherin K
Assistant Professor
PG Department of Psychology
Perinthalmanna