FREE PMP Formula Study Guide7
FREE PMP Formula Study Guide7
The PM PrepCast™
PMP ® Exam
Formula Study Guide
Know the formulas, pass your exam.
Includes 160 formula sample questions
Learn the new 2022
"Interpretational Formula
Questions" style
For the 2022 PMP Exam
Get in touch:
OSP International LLC
8502 E Chapman Ave, Suite 349
Orange, CA 92869 USA
Email: [email protected]
Internet: www.osp-international.com
Every attempt has been made by OSP International LLC to ensure that the information presented
in this publication is accurate and can serve as basic information in preparation for the Project
Management Professional (PMP)® certification exam from Project Management Institute (PMI)®
using A Guide to The Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide).
However, OSP International LLC accepts no legal responsibility for the content herein. This
document or the course that it is part of should be used only as a reference and not as a
replacement for officially published material. Using the information from this document does
not guarantee that the reader will pass the PMI® PMP® certification exam. No such guarantees or
warranties are implied or expressed by OSP International LLC.
This publication is not intended for use as a source of legal, financial or human resource
management advice. Reproduction or translation of any part of this work without the permission
of the Publisher is against the law. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any
form or by any means, electronic, manual photocopying, recording, or by any information storage
or retrieval system, without prior written permission by the Publisher.
The Project Management PrepCast, The PM PrepCast, The Agile PrepCast, The PM Podcast,
The Project Management Podcast, The PDU Podcast, The PrepCast Exam Simulator and
The PM Exam Simulator are trademarks of OSP International LLC.
PMI, PMP, CAPM, PgMP, PMI-ACP, PMI-SP, PMI-RMP and PMBOK are trademarks of the Project
Management Institute, lnc. PMI has not endorsed and did not participate in the development
of this publication. PMI does not sponsor this publication and makes no warranty, guarantee or
representation, expressed or implied as to the accuracy or content.
www.pm-formulas.com 3
The Estimate to Complete Formula (ETC) 254
Understanding the To Complete Performance Index (TCPI) 254
The Formula for Standard Deviation 255
The Advantage of PERT Formula 256
How to Use the Communication Channels Formula 256
Recommendation: Practice. Practice. Practice! 257
Seven Tips for Preparing to Answer Formula-Based Questions 258
1. Study the correct PMP exam formulas 258
2. Develop a learning plan 258
3. Create a formula sheet 258
4. Make a cheat sheet 258
5. Put together your own flashcards 258
6. Know how to apply them 259
7. Practice using them at work 259
Got Questions? 260
4 www.pm-formulas.com
IN T R O D UCT IO N
Three major shifts have occurred on the PMP exam in recent years.
First, lessons learned from our students who passed their PMP exam have
shown that the main focus of formula-based questions has shifted from
calculation to interpretation. This means that you are now less likely to be
required to calculate the planned value (PV) on the exam. Instead, exam
candidates now have to understand how PV is used and what actions they
would take if, for example, the PV is negative. “What do you do now?”
PMI will ask.
Second, PMI added four more question types to the exam. In addition to
the familiar multiple-choice questions, the new question types of multiple
response, drag-and-drop, hotspot, and fill-in-the-blank have been added.
And finally, about 50% of the questions on the exam cover predictive project
management approaches, while the other 50% center around agile and hybrid
approaches. Yet, when it comes to formula-based questions, the predictive
project management approach still dominates.
With the above in mind, we have developed The PMP® Exam Formula Study
Guide that you hold in your hands and organized it into four parts for optimal
exam relevance. Here is what each of the four parts contains and how you
should divide your study time for the formulas:
www.pm-formulas.com 5
What each part contains How much time
to spend on it
35%
traditionally needed on the PMP exam. Even with the shift
from calculation to interpretation, you need to first and
foremost understand the concepts behind the formulas and
how they are used.
15%
Being able to correctly answer these questions means you
have gained a deep conceptual understanding of each
formula, which is the first step in being able to interpret the
result.
Part Four closes the guide with the Formula Pocket Guide as
well as a number of reference articles. 15%
Lastly, formulas are not affected by the PMBOK® Guide. For example, the
communications channels formula was developed decades ago and has not
changed once. Therefore, no matter which version of the PMBOK® Guide you
use, the formulas in this guide apply.
6 www.pm-formulas.com
PA RT ON E
L
et’s begin by laying the foundation and introducing you to all the formulas
you may need for the exam, with a particular emphasis on how to
interpret the results.
But there is really only one way to fully internalize the formulas and prepare
yourself for the math on the exam: you have to study and practice using them.
Here’s what that study and practice looks like: you must first review around
50 formulas, 20 important values, and close to 30 formula-related acronyms.
Armed with that knowledge you can then move on to apply the formulas to a
project scenario, or given the result of a formula, you must be able to interpret
what that figure means for your project.
www.pm-formulas.com 7
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Here is a tip: If you struggle with a formula concept, then take a look at the
“Complete Guide” in Part Four, where we explain in more detail many of the
concepts that students traditionally struggle with.
Important to Know
The Formula Table Explained
The next section contains a table with the essential formulas that you need
to know and apply in order to pass the PMP Exam. The formulas are listed in
a table with three columns. For each entry, we explain the concept, list the
formula(s), and – most importantly – explain how to interpret the result of the
calculation.
For example:
The first column contains the We list the actual formula The formula won’t do you
“concept” behind the formula. in the second column. For much good if you cannot
Instead of just giving you the some concepts, multiple explain what the result is
formula “CV = EV – AC” we formulas are needed so we or means. That is why we
want to make sure that you list them all. When helpful, include an interpretation
understand what the formula we also add examples for in the third column. Many
is trying to achieve. The best better understanding. PMP questions require
way to do that is by explaining interpretation.
its concept.
Example: Example: Example:
Cost Variance (CV) CV = EV – AC Negative = over budget
Provides cost performance of = over planned cost
the project. Helps determine Zero = on budget
if the project is proceeding as = on planned cost
planned.
Positive = under budget
= under planned cost
8 www.pm-formulas.com
PART ONE: The Formula Guide
Exponentiation
While it is unlikely that you will need to calculate exponentiation on your PMP
exam, we need to help you understand this concept (just in case, since you
never know what PMI will throw at you).
The exponent is usually shown as a superscript to the right of the base. For
instance: 34. This exponentiation can be read as 3 raised to the 4th power or
as 3 raised to the power of 4. And 34 would be calculated as 3 * 3 * 3 * 3 = 81.
The superscript notation 34 is convenient in handwriting but can lead to
errors when you are in a hurry like on the PMP exam. For instance, it is very
easy to forget to “raise” the exponent in a formula when you are hurriedly
typing or writing it out during the exam. So, it could easily happen that the
formula PV = FV / (1 + r)n gets written down as PV = FV / (1 + r)n. The difference
may seem trivial, but the result is disastrous. Therefore, we chose to use
an accepted, alternative way of expressing the exponentiation by using the
^ character.
www.pm-formulas.com 9
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
10 www.pm-formulas.com
PART ONE: The Formula Guide
Cost Performance Index (CPI) CPI = EV / AC <1 = over budget = over planned cost.
The measure of cost efficiency on a The project is getting <$1 for every $1
project. The ratio of earned value to spent.
actual cost. 1 = on budget = on planned cost.
The project is getting $1 for every $1
spent.
>1 = under budget = under planned
cost. The project is getting >$1 for
every $1 spent.
Schedule Performance Index (SPI) SPI = EV / PV <1 = behind schedule. The project
The measure of schedule efficiency is progressing at a slower rate than
on a project. The ratio of earned value originally planned.
to planned value. Used to determine 1 = on schedule. The project is
if a project is behind, on or ahead of progressing at the originally planned
schedule. Can be used to help predict rate.
when a project will be completed.
>1 = ahead of schedule. The project
is progressing at a faster rate than
originally planned.
www.pm-formulas.com 11
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Schedule Performance Index (SPI) SPI = ES / AT <1 = behind schedule. The project
(Alternative Method) is progressing at a slower rate than
Measure of schedule efficiency on a originally planned.
project in terms of Earned Schedule 1 = on schedule. The project is
(ES) and Actual Time (AT). progressing at the originally planned
rate.
>1 = ahead of schedule. The project
is progressing at a faster rate than
originally planned.
Estimate at Completion (EAC) EAC = BAC / CPI Original budget modified by the cost
Expected final and total cost of a Assumption: use this formula if the performance. The result is a monetary
project based on project performance. current cost performance is expected value.
Helps determine an estimate of the to remain the same for the remainder
total costs of a project based on actual of the project.
costs to date. There are several ways
to calculate EAC depending on the EAC = AC + Bottom-up ETC Actual cost plus a new bottom-up
current project situation and how the Assumption: use this formula if the estimate for the remaining work. The
actual work is progressing as compared original estimate was fundamentally result is a monetary value.
to the budget. Look for keywords in flawed or conditions have changed
the exam questions to determine what and invalidated original estimating
assumptions were made. assumptions.
EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI * SPI)] Actual cost to date (AC) plus unearned
Assumption: use this formula if budget (BAC – EV) modified by both
both the CPI and SPI influence the cost performance and schedule
remaining project work. performance. The result is a monetary
value.
12 www.pm-formulas.com
Pages 13 to 20 are not available in the
free version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
PART ONE: The Formula Guide
Formula Acronyms
Acronym Term Description
AC Actual Cost Total cost expended and reported during the accomplishment of a project
task or project. This can be labor hours alone; direct costs alone; or all costs,
including indirect costs.
AT Actual Time The time in calendar units between the actual start date of the project till the
project status date.
CBR Cost-Benefit Ratio A ratio that compares cost to benefit (inversion of BCR).
CPI Cost Performance Index Cost efficiency rating on a project, expressed as a ratio of EV to AC.
CV Cost Variance A measure of cost performance on the project, expressed as the difference
between earned value and actual cost.
EAC Estimate at Completion The expected total cost for a scheduled activity, a group of activities, or the
project when the work will be completed.
EMV Expected Monetary Value This is a statistical technique that calculates the probable financial results
of events.
www.pm-formulas.com 21
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
ETC Estimate to Complete ETC is the expected cost needed to complete all the remaining work for a
scheduled activity, a group of activities, or the project. ETC helps project
managers predict what the final cost of the project will be upon completion.
EV Earned Value EV is the value of completed work expressed in terms of the approved budget
assigned to that work for a scheduled activity or a work breakdown structure
component.
IRR Internal Rate of Return A capital budgeting metric used to decide whether an investment should be
made. It is an indicator of the efficiency of an investment.
JIT Just-in-Time An inventory strategy that strives to improve a business’s return on investment
by reducing in-process inventory and associated carrying costs.
NPV Net Present Value A standard method for the financial appraisal of long-term projects. Measures
the excess or shortfall of cash flows, in present value (PV) terms, once financing
charges are met.
PERT Program Evaluation and A method that allows the estimation of the weighted average duration of tasks.
Review Technique
PV Planned Value The authorized budget assigned to the scheduled work to be accomplished for
a scheduled activity or a work breakdown structure component.
ROI Return on Investment A ratio of money gained or lost on an investment relative to the amount of
money invested.
SPI Schedule Performance A ratio of work accomplished versus work planned, for a specified time period.
Index The SPI is an efficiency rating for work accomplishment, comparing work
accomplished to what should have been accomplished. It is a ratio of earned
value and planned value. Alternatively, it is also expressed as a ratio of earned
schedule to actual time.
SV Schedule Variance A measure of schedule performance on the project, expressed as the difference
between earned value and planned value. Alternatively, it is also expressed as
the difference between earned schedule and actual time.
TCPI To-Complete The calculated project cost performance that must be achieved on the
Performance Index remaining work to meet a specific project goal (e.g., BAC or EAC). It is the work
remaining divided by the funds remaining.
VAC Variance at Completion VAC forecasts the difference between the Budget-at-Completion and the expected
total costs to be accrued over the life of the project based on current trends.
22 www.pm-formulas.com
PA RT TWO
Interpretational
Questions
T
he PMP exam has changed with regards to formula-based questions: You
are now more likely to be asked to interpret numbers and figures in an
exam question scenario and to identify the proper action to take.
To help you with this review, the answers for many (but not all) of our
interpretational questions include the following:
www.pm-formulas.com 23
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Interpretational Questions
iQ1 Question 1
You are leading a hybrid project, and you have just updated the daily
burndown chart for the current sprint. A key stakeholder has expressed
concern that the project team may not meet their objectives for the iteration.
Based on the burndown chart, what is your best course of action to keep the
project on track?
Sprint Burndown
70
60
50 Points Remaining
Story Points
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Day
iQ2 Question 2
A project manager meets with company executives to apprise them of
value gain progress on the project. To make it easier for the executives to
understand the various earned value metrics without complex formulas and
calculations, the project manager draws a chart, as shown below. The date of
the meeting is indicated by “Today” on the X-axis.
24 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
(On the real PMP exam you may be asked to provide your answer by clicking
the correct area in the image. But here in the book, we are asking you to select
the answer below.)
C
A D
B
Today
Time
A) A
B) B
C) C
D) D
Question 3
Your project has a CV of -200.
iQ3
This means:
Question 4
An agile team uses Scrumban as the development approach and, after
iQ4
completing four out of eight planned sprints, has established a stable velocity
www.pm-formulas.com 25
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
of 30 story points per sprint. The team is confident in maintaining this velocity
for the remainder of the project. The current schedule performance index (SPI)
is 0.91, and the project has a fixed deadline.
Which of the following actions would be most appropriate for the project
leader to take? (Choose three.)
iQ5 Question 5
You are the project manager of the Sterling project. The goal is to explore two
possible new products for your company. Over €150,000 has been spent on
this exploratory project. Market studies with focus groups show that there
is a need for both products. Your sponsor is worried that only 60% of the
project work has been completed so far. The current ETC tells you that another
€175,000 is required to complete the project.
iQ6 Question 6
A project team has completed four out of eight planned sprints. The initial
project backlog consisted of 22 user stories of the same size and complexity,
of which the team has completed 10. Each user story has a budgeted value of
$1,000. $11,000 has been spent on the project thus far. A bottom-up estimate
to complete the remaining work yields $15,000 for an estimated $26,000
at completion. The agile coach has been asked to provide an estimate at
completion (EAC).
26 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
What options might the agile coach consider in deriving the estimate at
completion (EAC)? (In your exam, on a question like this, you would be asked to
drag and drop the items to create matching pairs. In this book, please arrange
the answers in the correct order.)
yy EAC = AC + BAC – EV
yy EAC = AC + bottom-up ETC
yy EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI * SPI)]
yy EAC = BAC / CPI
Question 7
Using the payback period as a means of project selection, which of the
iQ7
following projects would you select?
A) Gold
B) Silver
C) Platinum
D) Diamond
www.pm-formulas.com 27
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
iQ8 Question 8
A project team has established a stable velocity of 30 story points per sprint
and has completed 15 of 30 planned sprints. The team is confident they
can maintain this velocity for the remainder of the project. The project
has an SPI of 0.8 and a CPI of 1.2. The sponsor asks the scrum master for
recommendations to get the project back on track.
Which of the following actions would be most appropriate for the scrum
master to take? (Choose two.)
iQ9 Question 9
An agile coach is leading a project using Scrumban and has updated the
Kanban board below. He is currently exploring options for reporting metrics
that can be provided to key stakeholders.
How would the agile coach derive each of the metrics? (In your exam,
on a question like this, you would be asked to drag and drop the items to
create matching pairs. In this book, please arrange the answers in the
correct order.)
User story 21 User story 19 User story 17 User story 14 User story 11 User story 1
User story 22 User story 20 User story 18 User story 15 User story 12 User story 2
User story 23 User story 16 User story 13 User story 3
User story 24 User story 4
User story 25 User story 5
User story 26 User story 6
User story 27 User story 7
User story 28 User story 8
User story 29 User story 9
User story 30 User story 10
28 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
yy Response time
yy Lead time
yy Cycle time
yy Velocity
yy Schedule performance index (SPI)
Question 10
Using the internal rate of return as a means of project selection, which of the
iQ10
following projects would you select?
A) Gold
B) Silver
C) Platinum
D) Diamond
www.pm-formulas.com 29
Pages 30 to 56 are not available in the
free version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
Based on the burndown chart, what is your best course of action to keep the
project on track?
Sprint Burndown
70
60
50 Points Remaining
Story Points
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Day
www.pm-formulas.com 57
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
chart suggests that the team is on track to meet the sprint goal.
Therefore, there is no compelling reason to fast track user stories.
Explanation:
A burndown chart is a graphical representation of the work remaining versus
the time left in a timebox. When the curve representing completed work (story
points) is trending below the curve representing the planned work, the project
earns more than planned and/or is ahead of schedule. The burndown chart
in the scenario described indicates that the project team is slightly ahead of
the plan. Thus, there is no reason to believe that the sprint goal is in jeopardy.
The key stakeholder has expressed concern regarding the team achieving
the sprint goal, but there is no information presented in this scenario to
support the view that the goal is at risk. While stakeholders’ concerns should
not be ignored, the project leader might just need to explain the information
provided by the burndown chart. Regardless, the question is asking what
should be done to keep the team on track rather than how to address the
stakeholder’s concern. Given that the team is projected to achieve the sprint
goal and that no information has been provided to suggest that the goal is at
risk, the best course of action is to allow the project team to continue their
work as planned.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 226
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 62
58 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
Question 2: Answer
A project manager meets with company executives to apprise them of
iA2
value gain progress on the project. To make it easier for the executives to
understand the various earned value metrics without complex formulas and
calculations, the project manager draws a chart, as shown below. The date of
the meeting is indicated by “Today” on the X-axis.
(On the real PMP exam you may be asked to provide your answer by clicking
the correct area in the image. But here in the book, we are asking you to select
the answer below.)
C
A D
B
Today
Time
A) A
Correct. Area A represents the difference between the earned value (EV)
and the planned value (PV). The schedule variance (SV) of the project is a
measure of schedule performance expressed as the difference between
the earned value (EV) and the planned value (PV), making this choice the
best answer to the question asked.
B) B
Incorrect. Area B represents the earned value (EV) as of “Today”, the
date of the meeting. The question is asking to determine the schedule
variance (SV) of the project. The SV is the difference between the earned
value (EV) and the planned value (PV), rather than just the earned value.
Therefore, this choice is an incorrect answer.
www.pm-formulas.com 59
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
C) C
Incorrect. Area C represents the difference between the earned value
(EV) and the actual costs (AC). The difference between the earned value
(EV) and the actual costs (AC) is the cost variance (CV), not the schedule
variance (SV), as asked by the question. Hence, this choice represents an
incorrect answer.
D) D
Incorrect. Area D represents the actual costs (AC) as of “Today”, the
date of the meeting. The question is asking to determine the schedule
variance (SV) of the project. The SV is the difference between the earned
value (EV) and the planned value (PV), rather than just the actual costs,
making this choice an incorrect answer.
Explanation:
Earned value analysis (EVA) is an example of data analysis tools and techniques
that can be used on a project to analyze its performance in terms of budget
and schedule. The EVA compares the performance measurement baseline to
the actual cost and schedule performance. Earned value analysis is typically
associated with a more general term, earned value management (EVM), which
is a methodology that combines scope, schedule, and resource measurements
to assess project performance and progress.
To calculate its metrics, the EVA often uses various formulas. However,
operating with the formulas and values that result from them may sometimes
be difficult for project stakeholders (such as the executives in the scenario
described) who are less familiar with the formulas. Therefore, to make it easier
for such stakeholders, a visual representation of the value gain progress may
be useful.
The question is asking to find the schedule variance (SV) of the project. SV is a
measure of schedule performance expressed as the difference between the
earned value (EV) and the planned value (PV):
SV = EV – PV
On the chart, the SV can be determined by the height of the section on the
vertical dotted line (indicated by “Today”) between the curves representing
the planned value and the earned value. It can be seen that the EV is lower
than the PV, making SV a negative number. A negative SV means the project is
behind schedule.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 262
60 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
Question 3: Answer
Your project has a CV of -200.
iA3
This means:
Explanation:
Cost variance (CV) is calculated CV = EV – AC. Therefore, a negative cost
variance means that you have spent more Actual Cost than you have Earned
Value. Thus, you are spending more than is coming in and you are over budget.
Question 4: Answer
An agile team uses Scrumban as the development approach and, after
iA4
completing four out of eight planned sprints, has established a stable velocity
of 30 story points per sprint. The team is confident in maintaining this velocity
for the remainder of the project. The current schedule performance index (SPI)
is 0.91, and the project has a fixed deadline.
Which of the following actions would be most appropriate for the project
leader to take? (Choose three.)
C) Release one of the developers early to reduce cost since the project is
ahead of schedule
www.pm-formulas.com 61
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Incorrect. The question provides an SPI of 0.91, which means the project
is running behind schedule, and the current velocity is insufficient to
complete the project on time. Releasing one of the developers early
would likely decrease the team’s velocity and further exacerbate the
schedule issue, making this choice an incorrect answer.
E) Ask the product owner for additional features to take advantage of the
excess capacity
Incorrect. With an SPI of 0.91, the project is behind schedule, implying
there is no excess capacity. This means that the current velocity of 30
story points is insufficient to complete the project on time, let alone
adding more features. Adding scope to the project would likely cause
the project to run even further behind schedule.
Explanation:
The pertinent information provided in this scenario is that the schedule
performance index (SPI) is 0.91, and the project deadline is fixed. An SPI of 0.91
means that the project team only works at 91% of the planned rate. Since the
project is running behind schedule and the deadline is fixed, there are really
only two options to complete the project on time: to increase the velocity or
cut the project scope. Both of the incorrect answer choices represent actions
that would likely delay the project further. One might have selected one or
both incorrect answer choices if the SPI was incorrectly interpreted as the
project running ahead instead of behind schedule. All three correct answer
choices represent actions that might increase velocity or reduce scope, which
should help bring the project to completion sooner.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 263, 267
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 69,
108
62 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
Question 5: Answer
You are the project manager of the Sterling project. The goal is to explore two
iA5
possible new products for your company. Over €150,000 have been spent on
this exploratory project. Market studies with focus groups show that there
is a need for both products. Your sponsor is worried that only 60% of the
project work has been completed so far. The current ETC tells you that another
€175,000 is required to complete the project.
Explanation:
A decision on whether to continue with a project should be based on forward-
looking criteria. The sunk cost (= money that has been spent) should not be
a factor in the decision-making process. Take your car as an analogy: If you
learn that you need to have the flux capacitor replaced (at a cost of €750) then
you should not be thinking “Gee… I just replaced the intake valve for €250 last
month!” Instead you should look at the value of your car and whether this
investment/repair is worth the future usage of the vehicle. It is the same with
projects. Make forward-looking decisions and ignore sunk cost.
Question 6: Answer
A project team has completed four out of eight planned sprints. The initial
iA6
project backlog consisted of 22 user stories of the same size and complexity,
of which the team has completed 10. Each user story has a budgeted value of
$1,000. $11,000 has been spent on the project thus far. A bottom-up estimate
to complete the remaining work yields $15,000 for an estimated $26,000
at completion. The agile coach has been asked to provide an estimate at
completion (EAC).
What options might the agile coach consider in deriving the estimate at
completion (EAC)? (In your exam, on a question like this, you would be asked to
drag and drop the items to create matching pairs. In this book, please arrange
the answers in the correct order.)
www.pm-formulas.com 63
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Correct Answers:
Answer choices Answers
Both SPI and CPI influence the EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI * SPI)]
remaining work
Explanation:
The estimate at completion (EAC) is the expected total cost of completing
all work expressed as the sum of the actual cost to date and the estimate
to complete. There are various methods to determine the EAC for a project.
The appropriate formula to use will depend upon the assumptions that
one is willing to make regarding the project’s future performance. Changing
the assumptions may lead to a different value for EAC. In this scenario, the
necessary metrics are provided to calculate EAC with various methods.
64 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
yy In some cases, the current cost and schedule performance will continue
to affect the project going forward. To adjust the EAC to account for
cost and schedule performance, the cost performance index (CPI) and
schedule performance index (SPI) can be incorporated into the formula:
EAC = AC + [(BAC – EV) / (CPI * SPI)]. The CPI can be calculated as EV / AC.
The EV was calculated above as $10,000, and the AC was stated in the
question as $11,000. Thus, CPI = $10,000 / $11,000 = 0.91. The formula
for SPI is EV / PV. Earned value was previously calculated at $10,000.
Having completed four of eight planned sprints, the project is 50%
complete. Thus, the PV at this point in the project would be half of the
BAC or $11,000. Applying the formula for SPI would result in $10,000
/ $11,000 = 0.91. Thus, EAC = $11,000 + [($22,000 – $10,000) / (0.91 *
0.91)] = $25,520.
yy When the current cost performance is expected to remain the same
for the remainder of the project, the current CPI must be included in
the EAC calculation. Under this circumstance, the appropriate formula
would be EAC = BAC / CPI. We have previously determined BAC at
$22,000 and CPI at 0.91. Applying the formula yields $22,000 / 0.91
= $24,176.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 263-265, 267
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 61, 69
Question 7: Answer
Using the Payback Period as a means of project selection, which of the
iA7
following projects would you select?
A) Gold
B) Silver
C) Platinum
D) Diamond
www.pm-formulas.com 65
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Explanation:
To calculate the payback period, you divide the investment by the yearly
income. In this question, project Platinum has the shortest payback period of
3.125 years, calculated as follows: 2,000,000 / 640,000 = 3.125. The values in
the other columns (project team size and overall risk) are irrelevant. You have
to be able to spot the important information in the question and “tune out”
the rest.
Which of the following actions would be most appropriate for the scrum
master to take? (Choose two.)
B) Fast track some project activities that are off the critical path
Incorrect. The strategy of running tasks in parallel that were originally
planned to be performed sequentially is known as fast tracking.
Fast tracking is a viable option for shortening the schedule duration.
However, fast tracking will only be effective for activities that are on,
rather than off, the critical path.
66 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
E) No action is needed since SPI and CPI even out one another
Incorrect. One would select this answer if one mistakenly thought that
0.2 “missing” from the SPI of 1.0 could be compensated by the “extra”
0.2 of the CPI. However, SPI and CPI are independent earn value metrics.
Based on the scenario, the project is behind schedule and under
budget. While no action is required to modify project cost performance,
action should be taken to bring the project back on schedule.
Explanation:
With the schedule performance index (SPI) of 0.8 and a cost performance
index (CPI) of 1.2 provided in the scenario, the project is considered behind
schedule and under budget. Thus, the problem that needs to be addressed
is how to increase velocity to complete the deliverables on time. Both of the
correct answer choices are examples of crashing where resources are added to
shorten the schedule duration. Crashing increases costs, but with the project
running under budget, there is an opportunity to deploy some of the excess
funds to shorten the schedule without endangering the budget.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 267
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 61,
69
Question 9: Answer
An agile coach is leading a project using Scrumban and has updated the
iA9
Kanban board below. He is currently exploring options for reporting metrics
that can be provided to key stakeholders.
How would the agile coach derive each of the metrics? (In your exam, on
a question like this, you would be asked to drag and drop the items to
create matching pairs. In this book, please arrange the answers in the
correct order.)
www.pm-formulas.com 67
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
User story 21 User story 19 User story 17 User story 14 User story 11 User story 1
User story 22 User story 20 User story 18 User story 15 User story 12 User story 2
User story 23 User story 16 User story 13 User story 3
User story 24 User story 4
User story 25 User story 5
User story 26 User story 6
User story 27 User story 7
User story 28 User story 8
User story 29 User story 9
User story 30 User story 10
Correct Answers:
Answer choices Answers
Divide the number of story points completed Schedule performance index (SPI)
by the number of story points planned
Explanation:
The question indicates that Scrumban is being used as a project management
framework. As such, the project will be executed iteratively, and the work will
be tracked with a Kanban board. Many metrics can be used to track project
performance on an agile project. In this case, response time, lead time, cycle
time, velocity, and the schedule performance index (SPI) have been specifically
listed. To answer the question correctly, one must match the metric to a brief
description of how the metric might be derived.
68 www.pm-formulas.com
PART TWO: Interpretational Questions
Note that in some cases, there might be more than one method to derive the
metric, but only one example has been provided.
yy Response time is the time a work item waits until work begins on
that item. In this case, the “Ready” column lists user stories that are
ready for work to begin. Once work begins on a user story, it will be
pulled into the “Development” column. Thus, the response time can
be represented as the number of days the user story spends in the
“Ready” column.
yy Lead time represents the total time it takes to deliver a work item. In
other words, lead time can be measured from the moment a work
item is placed on the board until the work item is delivered to the
customer for deployment. In this case, lead time can be measured
from the moment a user story is placed in the “Ready” column until
the deliverable related to that user story is delivered to the customer.
Note: the “Done” column does not necessarily indicate the deployment
to the customer. It only suggests the work has been completed.
Delivery to the customer is typically outside the Kanban board
boundaries. Each team/project may implement the Kanban board
differently.
yy Cycle time can be measured from the moment work begins on a work
item until the work is completed. In this example, cycle time can be
derived from the time a user story is pulled into the “Development”
column until it arrives in the “Done” column.
yy Velocity can be defined as the sum of story points completed during
an iteration or the average number of story points completed per
iteration. Since the project management framework used in this
example is Scrumban (a combination of Scrum and Kanban), it is
reasonable to assume that the relative size of each user story will
be measured using story points, and the work will be completed
iteratively. Thus, velocity would be a viable metric to use.
yy Traditional earned value metrics can also be applied to agile projects.
The schedule performance index (SPI) can be calculated as the earned
value (EV) divided by the planned value (PV). When incorporating
scrum practices, the sprint goal will represent a certain number
of story points or planned value, and the number of story points
completed by the team would be the earned value. Dividing the
number of story points completed by the number of story points
planned would be one method of calculating the SPI on an agile
project.
The contents of the Kanban board are irrelevant for matching the items
correctly. The various user stories are provided for illustration purposes only.
www.pm-formulas.com 69
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Reference:
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 61-
69
https://www.projectmanagement.com/blog-post/7502/Kanban-is-the-new-Scrum
A) Gold
B) Silver
C) Platinum
D) Diamond
Explanation:
Project Gold has the highest internal rate of return (IRR), which is the project
selection criteria requested to be used by the scenario provided. Therefore,
other values can be ignored.
70 www.pm-formulas.com
Pages 71 to 142 are not available in the
free version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
PA RT T H RE E
Computational
Questions
R
ecent lessons learned from those who have taken the exam indicate that
there are fewer formula-based questions. Exam takers report it being
more common to get the type of computational question where they had
to perform a simple calculation, sometimes not even requiring a calculator.
However, PMI regularly updates the exam. New questions are added several
times per year, and no one can predict precisely what you will see on your test.
That is why here, in Part Three, we give you a good number of easy, medium,
hard and very hard computational questions to put your teeth into. Being
able to identify the right formula and calculate the correct answer is a good
indicator that you have mastered the theory. And that is the first step to
passing your exam.
Once you review the answers, you will notice that the explanations for the
computational questions are shorter than those for the interpretational
questions in Part Two. This is because computational questions usually only
have one correct answer. Once you know your formulas and understand
how to apply them in a given situation, there is only one correct answer.
And because 1 + 1 = 2, that means the explanations need to be less elaborate.
www.pm-formulas.com 143
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Computational Questions
cQ1 Question 1
A scrum master is leading a project with a total budget of $335,000. Up until
now, out of 335 story points planned for the entire project, the team has
completed 12 user stories worth 74 story points. The team has begun to work
on a user story, which is worth six story points.
A) $12,000
B) $74,000
C) $80,000
D) $335,000
cQ2 Question 2
Your sponsor would like to know how long it takes to build the prototype on
your project. The sponsor tells you that a similar project last year produced a
prototype in 28 days. Your engineer tells you that the design of the prototype
will take anywhere from 25 to 45 days and based on the design changes, the
engineer thinks it will probably be close to about 32 days.
A) 31 days
B) 32 days
C) 33 days
D) 34 days
cQ3 Question 3
The activity “Ship Container” in your network diagram has an early start of
Day 17, a late start of Day 22 and a late finish of Day 37.
A) 15 days
B) 16 days
C) 59 days
D) 14 days
144 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
Question 4
After the last project meeting your sponsor has asked you to give her a
cQ4
new estimate of the cost at the end of the project. This is because during
the meeting it was found that so much has gone wrong until now, that the
numbers are probably off. It is expected that from now on things will progress
normally. You gather all the necessary numbers from your PMIS.
Which formula will you use to create the expected total cost of the project?
Question 5
You are managing a project using Kanban as the development framework. The
cQ5
project has consumed $9,000 of the $30,000 budgeted for the planned work.
Based on the Kanban board below and assuming that each user story is of the
same size and value, what can be said of the project’s current status?
User story 21 User story 19 User story 17 User story 14 User story 11 User story 1
User story 22 User story 20 User story 18 User story 15 User story 12 User story 2
User story 23 User story 16 User story 13 User story 3
User story 24 User story 4
User story 25 User story 5
User story 26 User story 6
User story 27 User story 7
User story 28 User story 8
User story 29 User story 9
User story 30 User story 10
www.pm-formulas.com 145
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
cQ6 Question 6
Your project is budgeted at £500,000 with a schedule duration of eight months.
You are currently at the end of Month 4 and you know that you are £20,000
ahead of schedule. Your estimated earned value is £350,000.
A) 70%
B) 42%
C) 5%
D) 50%
cQ7 Question 7
PV = 100, EV = 105, BAC = 400, AC = 102, CV = 3, EAC = 390.
A) VAC = 205
B) VAC = 10
C) VAC = 3
D) VAC = -10
cQ8 Question 8
PV = 100, EV = 105, BAC = 400, AC = 102, CV = 3, ETC = 300.
How much is the EAC if the variances from the BAC are expected to continue at
the same rate?
A) 388
B) 402
C) 397
D) 400
cQ9 Question 9
Your development team just completed the first sprint. Based on the
burndown chart below, what can be said about the project’s schedule
performance?
146 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
Sprint Burndown
70
60
50 Points Remaining
Story Points
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Day
A) The SPI is 0.83 and the team failed to meet the sprint goal
B) The SPI is 1.0 and the team members met their commitment for the
sprint
C) The SPI is 1.17 and the team is ahead of schedule
D) The SPI is 0.83 and the team completed the sprint backlog before the
end of the sprint
Question 10
You are planning a networking event. The idea is to bring 50 top executives
cQ10
from local companies who don’t know each other together into one room and
give them three minutes to talk with each other and then move on to the next
person in the room. At the end of the event each attendee will have spoken to
each of the other attendees. The event begins at 5pm.
www.pm-formulas.com 147
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
cQ11 Question 11
A project will be carried out using one-week sprints. The steering committee
wants an estimate of how long the project will take. The project backlog has
been estimated at 500 story points. The team estimates the velocity per sprint
in the worst-case scenario as 10 story points, the best-case scenario with 25
story points, and the most likely scenario as 20 points.
A) 25 weeks
B) 32 weeks
C) 50 weeks
D) 64 weeks
cQ12 Question 12
PV = 100, EV = 105, BAC = 400, AC = 102, CV = 3.
What is the Estimate to Complete (ETC) if work will continue at the planned
rate?
A) 298
B) 300
C) 305
D) 295
cQ13 Question 13
The plan for the first iteration was to complete 100 story points. However,
the team was only able to complete 80. Each story point earns $1,000 for
the project. The actual cost of the iteration was $90,000. As the iteration
retrospective approaches, the scrum master requests that the team prepares
all the data required to calculate the various earned value metrics.
(On the real PMP exam you may be asked to provide your answer by filling in
the blank with the letter representing the correct answer. But here in the book,
we are asking you to select the answer below.)
A) On
B) Under
C) Over
D) Cannot be determined
148 www.pm-formulas.com
Pages 149 to 173 are not available in the
free version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
A) 437,000
B) 432,000
C) 494,117
D) 493,470
cQ90 Question 90
Your sponsor would like to know how long it takes to build the prototype on
your project. He tells you that a similar project last year produced a prototype
in 28 days. Your engineer tells you that the design of the prototype will take
anywhere from 25 to 45 days and based on the design changes he thinks it will
probably be close to about 32 days.
What is the simple average of the numbers that you have received?
A) 31 days
B) 32 days
C) 33 days
D) 34 days
A) $12,000
Incorrect. $12,000 could have resulted from multiplying the number of
the completed user stories (which is 12 according to the scenario) by
$1,000. However, the earned value should be based on the story points
that have been completed rather than the number of user stories that
have been completed.
B) $74,000
Correct. The team has completed 74 story points. The value of each
story point can be obtained from the project budget, which is $335,000,
and the total number of story points, which is 335. Therefore, the value
of each story point is $1,000. Hence, the current earned value of the
project is $74,000.
174 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
C) $80,000
Incorrect. This answer could have been a result of 74 completed
story points and 6 story points of the user story that is currently in
development. In agile projects, partially completed work does not
provide value to the customer. Therefore, no credit is given for partially
completed work. Thus, the 6 story points currently in development
would not be used to determine the earned value.
D) $335,000
Incorrect. $335,000 represents that total project budget. The team will
only realize this amount as the earned value once all user stories have
been developed, completed, and accepted. The question asks about the
‘current’ earned value rather than the total earned value at the end of
the project.
Explanation:
This scenario requires the calculation of earned value in an agile environment.
Earned value is the value of the work completed based on the budgeted value
for that work. In this case, the project budget is $335,000 and the total number
of story points is 335. Thus, the value for each story point can be calculated
as $335,000 / 335 which is $1,000 per story point. The project team has
successfully completed 74 story points. Therefore, the budgeted value of the
completed work is $74,000, which represents the earned value for the project.
Note: with projects carried out using the agile project management approach,
as in the scenario provided, partially completed work does not represent any
value for the customer and, therefore, is not counted towards the calculation
of the earned value. Therefore, the six story points of the user story that is
currently in development should not be taken into account.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 261
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 69
Question 2: Answer
Your sponsor would like to know how long it takes to build the prototype on
cA2
your project. He tells you that a similar project last year produced a prototype
in 28 days. Your engineer tells you that the design of the prototype will take
anywhere from 25 to 45 days and based on the design changes he thinks it will
probably be close to about 32 days.
www.pm-formulas.com 175
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
A) 31 days
B) 32 days
C) 33 days
D) 34 days
Explanation:
The formula for the PERT beta three-point estimate or weighted average is
[Pessimistic + (4 * Most Likely) + Optimistic] / 6. The numbers to use are
only those from your engineer. The sponsor’s value of 28 days is irrelevant.
Therefore, you calculate [45 + (4 * 32) + 25] / 6 = 33 days
A) 15 days
B) 16 days
C) 59 days
D) 14 days
Explanation:
The formula to calculate activity duration is Late Finish – Late Start + 1
Therefore, you calculate 37 – 22 + 1 = 16
Which formula will you use to create the expected total cost of the project?
Explanation:
The sponsor has asked you to calculate the estimate at completion (EAC).
Based on the information in the scenario we learn that the past variances
176 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
are not typical because things should be normal going forward from here.
Hence, we will use the EAC formula, which is used when it is assumed that past
variances will not happen again. We will calculate the actual cost to date plus
original budget for the remaining work. (BAC – EV) is the original budget for the
remaining work.
Question 5: Answer
You are managing a project using Kanban as the development framework. The
cA5
project has consumed $9,000 of the $30,000 budgeted for the planned work.
Based on the Kanban board below and assuming that each user story is of the
same size and value, what can be said of the project’s current status?
User story 21 User story 19 User story 17 User story 14 User story 11 User story 1
User story 22 User story 20 User story 18 User story 15 User story 12 User story 2
User story 23 User story 16 User story 13 User story 3
User story 24 User story 4
User story 25 User story 5
User story 26 User story 6
User story 27 User story 7
User story 28 User story 8
User story 29 User story 9
User story 30 User story 10
www.pm-formulas.com 177
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Explanation:
In order to answer this question correctly, one must calculate either the cost
performance index (CPI) or the cost variance (CV). The formulas for each are
CPI = EV / AC and CV = EV – AC, where EV is the earned value and AC is the
actual cost. The actual cost of the project to date is stated in the question
as $9,000. Earned value is the value of the work completed based on the
budgeted value for that work. With 30 total user stories and a budget of
$30,000, each user story can be calculated as $30,000 / 30 which is $1,000
per user story (note that the question stipulates that each user story is of the
same size and value). The earned value is represented by the 10 user stories
that have been deployed to production as seen in the far-right column of the
Kanban board. With 10 stories completed at a value of $1,000 each, the earned
value is $10,000. Applying the formulas, the CPI = $10,000 / $9,000, which is
1.1, and the CV = $10,000 – $9,000, which is $1,000. Therefore, the project is
running under budget.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 261-263, 267
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 65-
66, 69
178 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
A) 70%
B) 42%
C) 5%
D) 50%
Explanation:
The formula for calculating percent complete of a project budget is
(EV / BAC) * 100%. Therefore, you calculate (350,000 / 500,000) * 100% = 70%.
Note that the 20,000 schedule variance is irrelevant to this calculation.
Question 7: Answer
PV = 100, EV = 105, BAC = 400, AC = 102, CV = 3, EAC = 390.
cA7
How much is the VAC?
A) VAC = 205
B) VAC = 10
C) VAC = 3
D) VAC = -10
Explanation:
The formula for calculating the variance at completion (VAC) is
VAC = BAC – EAC. Therefore, you calculate 400 – 390 = 10.
Question 8: Answer
PV = 100, EV = 105, BAC = 400, AC = 102, CV = 3, ETC = 300.
cA8
How much is the EAC if the variances from the BAC are expected to continue at
the same rate?
A) 388
B) 402
C) 397
D) 400
Explanation:
When variances are expected to continue at the current rate, the formula for
calculating the estimate at completion (EAC) is: EAC=BAC / CPI. However, the
question does not provide the CPI.
www.pm-formulas.com 179
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Sprint Burndown
70
60
50 Points Remaining
Story Points
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Day
A) The SPI is 0.83 and the team failed to meet the sprint goal
Correct. The formula for calculating the schedule performance index
(SPI) is the earned value (EV) divided by the planned value (PV). The team
completed 50 story points (earned value), while the sprint goal was 60
story points (planned value). Thus, the SPI = 50 / 60 = 0.83. According to
the burndown chart, the sprint ended with 10 story points remaining,
which means the team failed to meet the sprint goal.
B) The SPI is 1.0 and the team members met their commitment for the
sprint
Incorrect. The burndown chart indicates that the team completed 50
story points of 60 planned for the sprint. Therefore, the team failed to
meet the sprint goal, making this choice an incorrect answer without the
need to calculate the SPI.
180 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
(PV) was 60 story points, while the team only completed 50 story points
(EV). Thus, the SPI = 50 / 60 = 0.83. Using the incorrect formula would
result in an incorrect SPI of 1.17.
D) The SPI is 0.83 and the team completed the sprint backlog before the
end of the sprint
Incorrect. While the value of the SPI has been correctly calculated in
this answer choice (50 / 60 = 0.83), the burndown chart indicates that
the team still had 10 story points remaining at the end of the sprint.
Therefore, the team failed to complete the planned 60 story points by
the end of the sprint, making this choice an incorrect answer.
Explanation:
Traditional earned value metrics, like the schedule performance index (SPI),
can be applied to agile projects. In this case, the sprint goal was 60 story points
(the first data point on the burndown chart). The sprint ended with 10 story
points remained (the last data point on the burndown chart). Thus, the team
completed 50 of the 60 planned story points and failed to achieve the sprint
goal. The SPI can be calculated as earned value (EV) divided by the planned
value (PV). In the burndown chart provided in the scenario, the earned value is
50 story points, and the planned value is 60 story points. Therefore, the SPI can
be calculated as follows:
SPI = EV / PV = 50 / 60 = 0.83
An SPI value less than 1.0 means the project is behind schedule or, in other
words, the team failed to meet the sprint goal.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 263, 267
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 62, 69
www.pm-formulas.com 181
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Explanation:
This is an interesting variation of the communications channels formula
designed to test your logical thinking. In fact, the goal of the question is not to
use the communication channels formula at all. If you use the formula you will
get the wrong answer. Why? Because the question isn’t asking you to calculate
the communication channels. Instead the question asks the following:
We have 50 executives. Each of them will speak to the 49 others for 3 minutes.
How long will it take?
A) 25 weeks
Incorrect. 25 weeks is the estimate calculated using the velocity
provided by the team for the most likely scenario. However, the
question is asking to find an estimate using a triangular distribution.
Triangular distribution takes the average of the three estimates rather
than just the estimate of the most likely scenario.
B) 32 weeks
Correct. The worst-case duration can be calculated as 500 / 10 which is
50 sprints. The most likely case can be calculated as 500 / 20 which is
182 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
C) 50 weeks
Incorrect. 50 weeks is the estimate calculated using the velocity
provided by the team for the worst-case scenario. However, the
question is asking to find an estimate using a triangular distribution.
Triangular distribution takes the average of the three estimates rather
than just the estimate of the worst-case scenario
D) 64 weeks
Incorrect. Although two-week sprints are typical, the question stipulates
that the sprint length will be one week for the project. If two-week
sprints are used in the calculation, then one might have arrived at 64
weeks instead of 32 weeks.
Explanation:
In this scenario, we are asked to provide a duration estimate for the project
using a triangular distribution. The formula for expected duration using a
triangular distribution would be (pessimistic + most likely + Optimistic) / 3.
The pessimistic duration can be calculated as 500 / 10 which is 50 sprints. The
most likely case can be calculated as 500 / 20 which is 25 sprints. The optimistic
duration can be calculated as 500 / 25 which is 20 sprints. Taking the average
number of sprints would be (50 + 25 + 20) / 3, which is 31.67 or, rounding up
to the next integer number, 32 sprints. Since each sprint is one week in length,
the duration estimate would be 32 weeks.
Reference:
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 201, 244-245
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 61
A) 298
B) 300
C) 305
D) 295
www.pm-formulas.com 183
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Explanation:
The formula for calculating the ETC is: ETC = EAC – AC
First, since estimate at completion does not exist, you must calculate it using
the formula: EAC = AC + (BAC – EV) = 102 + (400 – 105) = 397
Once you have the EAC, you plug the values into the formula: ETC = EAC – AC
giving you ETC = 397 – 102 = 295
(On the real PMP exam you may be asked to provide your answer by filling in
the blank with the letter representing the correct answer. But here in the book,
we are asking you to select the answer below.)
A) On
Incorrect. To understand project performance related to budget, the
CPI should be calculated first, and then its result interpreted. With the
details provided in the scenario: CPI = $80,000 / $90,000 = 0.89. A CPI of
less than 1.0 means that the project is over budget. The project would
have been on budget if its CPI was equal to 1.0.
B) Under
Incorrect. To determine how well the project is doing in terms of budget,
the CPI should be calculated first, and then its result interpreted. The
scenario provides 80 completed story points and the actual cost of
$90,000. This means that: CPI = $80,000 / $90,000 = 0.89. Since the CPI is
less than 1.0, the project is considered over, not under budget.
C) Over
Correct. To answer whether the project is on, under, or over budget,
the CPI should be calculated and its value interpreted. Based on the
information provided in the scenario, the CPI = $80,000 / $90,000 = 0.89,
which is less than 1.0, meaning that the project is over budget, making
this choice the best answer to the question asked.
184 www.pm-formulas.com
PART THREE: Computational Questions
D) Cannot be determined
Incorrect. There is sufficient information in the scenario to determine
whether the project is on, under, or over budget. This determination
can be made by calculating the CPI and interpreting its value. With the
details provided in the scenario: CPI = $80,000 / $90,000 = 0.89,
meaning the project is over budget, making this choice an incorrect
answer.
Explanation:
Earned value management (EVM) is typically associated with the predictive
(traditional) project management approaches. However, applying EVM
metrics to projects carried out using agile methods can be done similarly and
serve as an effective tool to measure team performance. For example, the
schedule performance index (SPI) is the number of story points (features)
completed divided by the number of the story points (features) planned. The
cost performance index (CPI) is the earned value (EV, which is the value of the
completed story points or features) divided by the actual costs incurred during
the period under measurement.
The interpretation of the SPI and CPI values in agile projects are made similarly
to the interpretation of those values in traditional projects. For example, an SPI
less than 1.0 means the project (or iteration) is behind schedule, or, in other
words, the team is working at a rate lower than planned. An SPI greater than
1.0 means the project (iteration) is ahead of schedule, i.e., the team is working
at a rate higher than planned. A CPI less than 1.0 means the project (iteration)
is over budget, or, in other words, the team earns less than a dollar compared
to each dollar spent. A CPI greater than 1.0 indicates the project (iteration) is
under budget, i.e., the team earns more than a dollar compared to each dollar
spent.
The question asks to determine how well the project is doing regarding its
adherence to the planned budget. To make this determination, one should
calculate the CPI and interpret its value. Based on the explanation above,
the CPI = $80,000 / $90,000 = 0.89. In other words, the team produced only
89 cents on the dollar compared to the plan (assuming the prediction is still
correct), which means the project is over budget.
Note: the scenario is talking about an iteration while the question is asking
about the project. However, according to the scenario, this was the first
iteration. Therefore, the determination of whether the project is on, under, or
over budget is essentially the same as for the iteration.
Reference:
Agile Practice Guide – First Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, Page(s) 69
www.pm-formulas.com 185
Pages 186 to 242 are not available in the
free version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
PA RT FOU R
In the PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide, we use the second approach, because
when your sponsor tells you that your project starts on the first day of
September, then that is September 1, not September 0. This is also the way
that all modern scheduling tools seem to work. You schedule your project
based on a calendar start date and not “on day 0”.
That is why there is a slight difference between the calculations: you have to
add/subtract 1 from the results in the second approach.
Of course, this often leads to confusion among PMP students who want to
know which formula they should use on the exam.
We have discussed this with several of our PMP trainer colleagues, and they
agree that the Project Management Institute (PMI)® does not “support” a
specific method of calculating a network diagram. (Remember that next to the
two options shown above you could also calculate a network path starting on
a specific calendar date in hours instead of days, making the calculations even
more complex).
www.pm-formulas.com 243
Page 244 (The Pocket Guide) is not
available in the free version of the
Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
PART FOUR: Formula Pocket Guide & Reference Articles
Both of these calculations will lead to the correct answer. However, in the
exam, the big difference is that the first approach (starting on day 0) involves
fewer calculations because you don’t have to “+1 or -1” each time. So, in order
to reduce your “risk” of doing a calculation wrong and saving time during the
exam, you might want to initiate the network diagram with day 0. However, in
“real life” starting with day 1 is more appropriate.
Since PMI is aware of these varying methods, you should not see a question
on the exam where only the application of one or the other leads to the correct
answer.
There’s no getting away from it. There are a lot of these formulas and
calculations that you may need to know on the exam.
In this (almost) complete guide we’ll go through the PMP formulas with
examples. Stick with me and by the end you’ll see that learning the PMI
formulas isn’t going to be that bad. Read on and you’ll learn a lot about how
to crack formula-based PMP questions to help pass your PMP exam.
As we saw earlier in the guide, these are the types of questions you have to
expect:
www.pm-formulas.com 245
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
So you can easily see that being “mathematically ready” for your PMP exam
means more than simply knowing your earned value (EV) formulas. Yes, you’ll
definitely see at least one EV question on your exam but there’s a lot more to
the test than simply that.
The thing that complicates it for many people is the question: “What on earth
is value?” For the earned value calculations you just have to remember that
value equals money. The total value of a project (in EVM terms) is equal to the
budget of the project. As you work through the project, you spend the budget
in order to achieve the project’s objectives, which in turn deliver business
value. You can assess how much value you have ‘earned’ (read: ‘achieved’) by
knowing how far through the project you are and how much you have spent.
246 www.pm-formulas.com
Pages 247 to 257 are not available in the
free version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
258 www.pm-formulas.com
Page 259 is not available in the free
version of the Formula Guide.
www.pm-formulas.com
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Got Questions?
If you are not sure about how exactly to use a formula then we have a forum
where you can post your question:
https://www.project-management-prepcast.com/forum
Over a dozen community moderators, and hundreds of students just like you
use this forum regularly to discuss PMP related topics. It’s the friendliest and
most helpful PMP community out there.
260 www.pm-formulas.com
AB O U T T HE AUT HO R
Cornelius Fichtner
PMP, CSM, PMI-OC Fellow
Founder and President
For Cornelius, no day is like the previous one. He answers student questions
in our forums and on email, develops sample exam questions and even edits
webpages if needed. During the development of our new products, websites
and services he always demands and expects that what we create is beyond
reproach. It simply has to be 100% correct but at the same time provide an
‘edutainment’ factor so that students and customers enjoy learning and using
our products.
www.pm-formulas.com 261
The PMP® Exam Formula Study Guide
Cornelius says: “I think the main way I help customers pass their exams is by
letting my enthusiasm for project management shine through in our training
lessons. Students often comment how I’m able to make a dry subject like PM
theory come alive. I’m able to motivate, excite and inspire them on this ‘dry’
subject, and so they keep going on the road to passing their exam. I’m able
to put myself into the shoes of our students and see our products from their
perspective. This enables me to create training material that has the customer
at heart and will help them to not only prepare for and pass their exams but
also helps them become better project managers. I’m the voice and face of
pretty much all our training lessons. However, I definitely have a face for
radio!”
Cornelius holds PMP and CSM credentials and lives in Tucson, Arizona, USA
with his wife, their two cats, and four computers. He is a member of the
American Wine Society Tucson Chapter. He enjoys juggling and says that he is
excellent with three balls, OK with four, but can only keep five balls in the air
for a couple of seconds.
262 www.pm-formulas.com
R E F E R ENCES
[1] Project Management Institute Inc., 2017, A Guide to the Project Management
Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Glossary
[2] Ibid
[3] Ibid
www.pm-formulas.com 263
F U RT HER RES O URCES
These additional resources will help you prepare for the exam.
264 www.pm-formulas.com
"The PM PrepCast™ Formula Study Guide was more
than just formulas. The Formula Study Guide includes
explanations on how to use the formulas and what
they mean. You still have to memorize the formulas,
but it is easier, once you understand their purpose."
Darcy Swope
PMP
Cornelius Fichtner
Author, course creator and podcast host.
Cornelius Fichtner, PMP is an author,
speaker, course creator and podcast
host. He is probably best known for his
PM Exam Simulator that provides PMP
practice exams to help students
effortlessly pass their PMP Exam. He
says that the main way he helps candidates pass their
exams is by letting his enthusiasm for project
management shine through during training. Students
often comment how he's able to make a dry subject like
PM theory come alive to motivate, excite and inspire
them on this 'dry' subject. He is a past President of the
PMI-OC Chapter and a PMI-OC Fellow and lives in
Tucson, Arizona, USA with his wife, their two cats, and
four computers.