Demand ANALYSIS
Demand ANALYSIS
UNIT-II
BY Dr. RAVI KUMAR GUPTA
TABLE OF CONTENT
Concepts of Demand and Supply:
Demand Analysis
Law of Demand
Determinants of Demand
Elasticity of Demand: Price, Income and cross Elasticity
Uses of concept of elasticity of demand in managerial decision
Demand Forecasting: Meaning, significance and methods of demand
forecasting,
Law of Supply
Determinants of supply
Elasticity of supply
DEMAND
Demand refers to the willingness and ability of consumers to purchase a given
quantity of a good or service at a given price, at a point of time and at given
place.
Where,
Qx= Quantity Demanded of X
Px= Price of commodity X
Py= Price of Substitute goods
Pz= Price of complementary goods
I = Income of the Customer
T = Taste of the consumer
DEMAND SCHEDULE
Demand schedule is a tabular statement showing various quantities of a
commodity being demanded at various levels of price, during a given period of
time. It shows the relationship between price of the commodity and its quantity
demanded.
A demand schedule can be determined both for individual buyers and for the
entire market. So, demand schedule is of two types:
1. Individual Demand Schedule:- Individual demand schedule refers to a tabular
statement showing various quantities of a commodity that a consumer is willing
to buy at various levels of price, during a given period of time.
Producers’ goods and consumers’ goods: demand for goods that are directly
used for consumption by the ultimate consumer is known as direct demand
(example: Demand for T shirts).
On the other hand demand for goods that are used by producers for producing
goods and services. (example: Demand for cotton by a textile mill)
When a produce derives its usage from the use of some primary product it is
known as derived demand. (example: demand for tyres derived from demand
for car)
Durable goods are those that can be used more than once, over a period of time
(example: Microwave oven)
Firm demand is the demand for the product of a particular firm. (example: Dove
soap)
The sum total of the demand for laptops by various segments in India is the total
market demand. (example: demand for laptops in India)
Short run demand refers to demand with its immediate reaction to price changes
and income fluctuations.
Long run demand is that which will ultimately exist as a result of the changes in
pricing, promotion or product improvement after market adjustment with
sufficient time.
CONTINUED…..
7. Joint demand and Composite demand:
When two goods are demanded in conjunction with one another at the same time
to satisfy a single want, it is called as joint or complementary demand.
(example: demand for petrol and two wheelers)
A composite demand is one in which a good is wanted for several different uses.
( example: demand for iron rods for various purposes)
Px Dx
Px Dx
Where,
Px= Price of Commodity X
Dx= Demand of Commodity X
ASSUMPTIONS TO LAW OF DEMAND
VI. There should not be any change in the quality of the product; and
(i) War:- If shortage is feared in anticipation of war, people “may start buying
for building stocks or for hoarding even when the” price rises.
(ii) Depression:- During a depression, the prices of commodities are very low and
the demand for them is also less. This is because of the lack of purchasing
power with consumers.
(iii) Ignorance Effect:- Consumers buy more at a higher price under the influence
of the “ignorance effect”, where a commodity may be mistaken for some other
commodity, due to deceptive packing, label, etc.
CONTINUED…..
3. Tastes and Preferences:- The demand for a product depends upon tastes and
preferences of the consumers. If the consumers develop taste for a commodity
they buy whatever may be the price.
1. Price of the Product:- The law of demand states that if other things remain
the same when price falls, demand increases and vice-versa.
7. Future Expectation:- People are not sure about their future, because future is
uncertain. If the consumers expect a rise in prices of products, they buy more
at present and preserve the same for the future, thereby the market demand
would be affected.
CONTINUED…..
8. Tax Rate:- High tax rate would generally mean a low demand for the goods.
At certain times the government restricts the consumption of a commodity and
uses the tax as a weapon.
10. Weather Conditions:- Seasonal factors also affect the demand. The demand
for certain items purely depends on climatic and weather conditions. For
example, the growing demand for cold drinks during the summer season and
the demand for sweaters during the winter season.
CONTINUED…..
12. Pattern of Saving:- If people begin to save more, their demand will decrease.
It means the disposable income will be less to purchase the goods and
services. On the contrary, if saving is less their demand will increase.
Total utility is the sum of utility derived from different units of a commodity
consumed by a consumer at any point of consumption.
Ux = U1+ U2+U3+………Ux
MARGINAL UTILITY
The Marginal Utility is the utility derived from the additional unit of a commodity
consumed. The change that takes place in the total utility by the consumption of an
additional unit of a commodity calls marginal utility.
According to Chapman,
“Marginal utility is the addition made to total utility by consuming one more unit
of commodity.”
The marginal utility can measure with the help of the following formula
MUnth = TUn – TUn-1
Here;
MUnth= Marginal utility of nth unit.
TUn= Total utility of “n” units, and.
TUn-1 = Total utility of n-1 units.
THE LAW OF DIMINISHING MARGINAL UTILITY
This is an important law under Marginal Utility Analysis. Alfred Marshall, British
Economist defines the law of diminishing marginal utility as follows:
“The additional benefit which a person derives from a given increase in the stock
of a thing diminishes with every increase in the stock that he already has.”
This law is based on the fundamental tendency of human nature. Human wants are
virtually unlimited. However, every single want is satiable. Hence, as we
consume more and more units of a good, the intensity of our want for the good
decreases. Eventually, it reaches a point where we no longer want it.
In other words, as we consume more units of a good, the extra satisfaction that we
derive from the extra unit keeps falling. However, it is important to remember
that the marginal utility declines not the total utility.
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
If price changes we know the demand changes, but by how many percentage?
Means what is the elasticity of that demand?
Elasticity measures the extent to which demand will change. Elasticity of
demand is a measure to responsiveness of change in quantity demanded of a
commodity due to change in a particular factor of demand.
Elasticity of Demand=
Ep=
Where,
∆q= Change in quantity demanded of commodity x
∆p= Change in price of commodity x
p= price of commodity x
q= quantity demanded of commodity x
TYPES OF PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
Ey=
Where,
∆q= change in quantity demanded of commodity x
∆y= change in the income of the consumer
q= quantity demanded of commodity x
y= income of the consumer
TYPES OF INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
Ec=
Where,
∆qx= change in quantity demanded of commodity ‘x’
∆px = change in Price of related commodity ‘y’
qx = quantity demanded of commodity ‘x’
px = Price of related goods ‘y’ (substitute or complementary goods)
TYPES OF CROSS ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
8. Joint Product Prices:-Certain goods, being products of the same process are
jointly supplied, e.g. milk and butter. Here if the demand for milk is inelastic
compared to the demand for butter, a higher price for milk can be charged with
advantage.
10. Others:- Product dumping, deciding of price strategy, Public utility pricing
etc.
DEMAND FORECASTING
Demand forecasting is a combination of two words;
the first one is Demand and another forecasting. Demand means outside
requirements of a product or service. In general, forecasting means making an
estimation in the present for a future occurring event.
Sales forecasting helps with business planning, budgeting, and goal setting.
Anticipating demand means knowing when to increase staff and other resources
to keep operations running smoothly during peak periods.
a. TREND PROJECTION METHOD:- Under this method, the time series data
on the under forecast are used to fit a trend line or curve either graphically or
through statistical method of Least Squares. The trend line is worked out by
fitting a trend equation to time series data with the aid of an estimation
method. The trend equation could take either a linear or any kind of non-linear
form.
Law of Supply
States that, all other factors being equal, “as the price of a good or service
increases, the quantity of goods or services that suppliers offer will
increase, and vice versa.” The law of supply says that as the price of an item
goes up, suppliers will attempt to maximize their profits by increasing the
quantity offered for sale.
LAW OF SUPPLY
States that, all other factors being equal, “as the price of a good or service
increases, the quantity of goods or services that suppliers offer will
increase, and vice versa.” The law of supply says that as the price of an item
goes up, suppliers will attempt to maximize their profits by increasing the
quantity offered for sale.
Assumptions:-
No change in cost of production
No change in technology
No change in prices of substitutes
No change in price of capital goods
No change in tax policy
No change in climate
DETERMINANTS OF SUPPLY
1. Change in Factors Prices:-There are various factors which are used in the
production of commodities. The prices of those factors affect the cost of
commodity. If the prices of the factors increase, the supply of a commodity
decreases due to increased in the cost of production. And if the prices of these
factors decrease, it will result in decreasing the cost of production and the
supply of a commodity will increase.
4. Trade Policy:- The government announces its trade policy every year. If the
government announces some concessions in trade policy, then the quantity
supplied increases.
11. Change in the Prices of Substitutes:- If the. Prices of substitutes decrease the
purchasing tendency of buyers will divert to that commodities and the supply
of commodity will decrease.
ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY
Responsiveness of producers to changes in the price of their goods or services.
As a general rule, if prices rise so does the supply.
Elasticity of supply is measured as the ratio of proportionate change in the
quantity supplied to the proportionate change in price. High elasticity indicates
the supply is sensitive to changes in prices, low elasticity indicates little
sensitivity to price changes, and no elasticity means no relationship with price.
Also called price elasticity of supply.
Price elasticity of supply measures the relationship between change in
quantity supplied and a change in price.
4. Elastic: The change in quantity supplied is more than the change in price.
Es>1
5. Perfectly elastic: Suppliers are willing to supply any amount at a given price.
Es=∞