KT_Yield_Notes
KT_Yield_Notes
1. Introduction ...........................................................................................................................................................2
2. Modified Duration ...............................................................................................................................................2
3. Money Duration and Price Value of a Basis Point ...................................................................................5
4. Properties of Duration .......................................................................................................................................7
Summary................................................................................................................................................................... 11
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Version 1.0
1. Introduction
This learning module covers:
Measures of interest rate risk: Modified duration, money duration, and the price value
of a basis point (PVBP)
How a bond’ maturity, coupon, and yield levels affect its interest rate risk
2. Modified Duration
The duration of a bond measures the sensitivity of the bond’s full price (including accrued
interest) to changes in interest rates. In other words, duration indicates the percentage
change in the price of a bond for a 1% change in interest rates. The higher the duration, the
more sensitive the bond is to change in interest rates.
There are two categories of duration: yield duration and curve duration.
Yield duration measures a bond’s price sensitivity to changes in its own yield-to-
maturity and assumes underlying cash flows are certain.
Curve duration measures a bond’s price sensitivity to changes in a benchmark yield
curve and accounts for the possibility that a bond may default.
As indicated in the diagram above, the main yield duration measures are: Macaulay duration,
modified duration, money duration, and the price value of the basis point (PVBP). Curve
duration measures are covered in later learning modules.
Macaulay duration is a weighted average of the time to receipt of the bond’s promised
payments, where the weights are the shares of the full price that correspond to each of the
bond’s promised future payments.
Modified duration provides an estimate of the percentage price change for a bond given a
change in its yield to maturity. It represents a simple adjustment to Macaulay duration as
shown in the equation below:
Macaulay duration
Modified duration =
1 + r
where: r is the yield per period.
Therefore, percentage price change for a bond given a change in its YTM can be calculated
as:
%ΔPV FULL ≈ −AnnModDur x ΔYield
The AnnModDur term is the annual modified duration, and the ΔYield term is the change
in the annual yield to maturity. The ≈ sign indicates that this calculation is estimation. The
minus sign indicates that bond prices and yields to maturity move inversely.
Example: Calculating the modified duration of a bond
A 2-year, annual payment, $100 bond has a Macaulay duration of 1.87 years. The YTM is 5%.
Calculate the modified duration of the bond.
Solution:
Modified duration = 1.87/(1 + 0.05) = 1.78
The percentage change in the price of the bond for a 1% increase in YTM will be:
-1.78 * 0.01 * 100 = -1.78%.
Approximate Modified Duration
Modified duration is calculated if the Macaulay duration is known. But there is another way
of calculating an approximate value of modified duration: estimate the slope of the line
tangent to the price-yield curve. This can be done by using the equation below:
(PV− ) − (PV+ )
Approximate Modified Duration =
2 ∗ ∆yield ∗ PV0
where:
PV_ = price of the bond when yield is decreased;
PV0 = initial price of the bond
PV+ = price of the bond when yield is increased
duration for this Treasury bond assuming a 50bps change in the yield to maturity.
Solution:
The yield to maturity per semiannual period is 5% (=10/2). The coupon payment per period
is 3% (= 6/2). When the bond is purchased, there are 3 years (6 semiannual periods) to
maturity. The fraction of the period that has passed is 0.5 (=92/184).
The full price (including accrued interest) at an YTM of 5% is 92.07 per 100 of par value.
3 3 3 3 3 103 92
( )
PV0 = [ + + + + + ] ∗ (1.05) 184
(1.05)1 (1.05)2 (1.05)3 (1.05)4 (1.05)5 (1.05)6
⇒ 89.85 × (1.05)0.5 = 92.07
Increase the yield to maturity from 10% to 10.5% - therefore, from 5% to 5.25% per
semiannual period, and the price becomes 90.97 per 100 of par value.
3 3 3 3 3 103
PV+ = [ + + + + + ]
(1.0525)1 (1.0525)2 (1.0525)3 (1.0525)4 (1.0525)5 (1.0525)6
92
∗ (1.0525)(184)
⇒ 88.67 × (1.0525)0.5 = 90.97
Decrease the yield to maturity from 10% to 9.5% - therefore, from 5% to 4.75% per
semiannual period, and the price becomes 93.19 per 100 of par value.
3 3 3 3 3 103
PV_ = [ + + + + + ]
(1.0475)1 (1.0475)2 (1.0475)3 (1.0475)4 (1.0475)5 (1.0475)6
92
∗ (1.0475)(184)
⇒ 91.05 × (1.0475)0.5 = 93.19
The approximate annualized modified duration for the Treasury bond is 2.41
93.19 − 90.97
ApproxModDur = = 2.41
2 ∗ 0.005 ∗ 92.07
The approximate annualized Macaulay Duration is 2.53
ApproxMacDur = 2.41 ∗ 1.05 = 2.53
Therefore, from these statistics, the investor knows that the weighted average time to
receipt of interest and principal payments is 2.53 years (the Macaulay Duration) and that the
estimated loss in the bond’s market value is 2.41% (the Modified Duration) if the market
discount rate were to suddenly go up by 1.0%.
3. Money Duration and Price Value of a Basis Point
Money Duration
The money duration of a bond is a measure of the price change in units of the currency in
which the bond is denominated, given a change in annual yield to maturity.
Money Duration = AnnModDur x PVFULL
Interpretation of the Macaulay duration between coupon payments with a constant yield to
maturity:
Note: Read the diagram from right to left. As time passes between coupon periods,
duration decreases in value.
Once the coupon is paid, it jumps back up creating a saw tooth pattern.
Time to maturity
The following exhibit illustrates the relationship between Macaulay duration and the time to
maturity for premium, discount, zero-coupon and perpetual bonds.
and more interest rate risk than a bond with a higher YTM.
This is because lower coupons and lower yields increase the weight of the maturity value or
final cash flow and reduce the weight of the nearer-term cash flows in the calculation for
Macaulay duration.
The relationship between a bond’s duration and its features are summarized in Exhibit 4 of
the curriculum.
Summary
LO: Define, calculate, and interpret modified duration, money duration, and the price
value of a basis point (PVBP).
Macaulay duration is the weighted average of the time to receipt of coupon interest and
principal payments.
Modified duration is a linear estimate of the percentage price change in a bond for a 100
basis points change in its yield to maturity.
Macaulay Duration
Modified duration =
(1 + r)
FULL
% ∆ PV ≈ −AnnModDur ∗ ΔYield
(PV − ) − (PV + )
Approximate Modified Duration =
2 ∗ ∆ yield ∗ PV0
The money duration of a bond is a measure of the price change in units of the currency in
which the bond is denominated, given a change in annual yield to maturity.
Money Duration = AnnModDur ∗ PV FULL
∆ PV FULL ≈ −MoneyDur ∗ Δyield
The PVBP is an estimate of the change in the full price, given a 1bp change in the yield to
maturity.
PV− − PV+
PVBP =
2
LO: Explain how a bond’s maturity, coupon, and yield level affect its interest rate risk.
All else equal, a longer time-to-maturity, a lower coupon rate, or a lower YTM results in a
higher duration and higher interest rate risk.
Conversely, a shorter time-to-maturity, a higher coupon rate, or a higher YTM results in a
lower duration and lower interest rate risk.