Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics: The Science of Assessing Performance, Predicting Future Outcomes, Interpreting Statistical Models, and ... Market Value of Athletes 1st Edition Lorena Martin - eBook PDF download
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Sports Performance
Measurement and Analytics
The Science of Assessing Performance,
Predicting Future Outcomes,
Interpreting Statistical Models,
and Evaluating the Market Value of Athletes
L ORENA M ARTIN
Publisher: Paul Boger
Editor-in-Chief: Amy Neidlinger
Executive Editor: Jeanne Glasser Levine
Cover Designer: Alan Clements
Managing Editor: Kristy Hart
Project Editor: Andy Beaster
Manufacturing Buyer: Dan Uhrig
Consulting Editor: Thomas W. Miller
For information about buying this title in bulk quantities, or for special sales opportunities
(which may include electronic versions; custom cover designs; and content particular
to your business, training goals, marketing focus, or branding interests), please contact
our corporate sales department at [email protected] or (800) 382-3419.
For questions about sales outside the U.S., please contact [email protected].
Company and product names mentioned herein are the trademarks or registered
trademarks of their respective owners.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any
means, without permission in writing from the publisher.
ISBN-10: 0-13-419330-X
ISBN-13: 978-0-13-419330-4
Preface v
Figures ix
Tables xi
Exhibits xiii
5 Touchdown Analytics 69
iii
iv Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics
Bibliography 247
Index 289
Preface
“Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it
easier to live in the world they’ve been given than to explore the power they
have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It’s an opinion. Impossible is not
a declaration. It’s a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary.
Impossible is nothing.”
—M UHAMMAD A LI
I have played sports my entire life. I began playing the sport of tennis at the
age of thirteen, too late in the eyes of many tennis experts to become a top
professional tennis player. I trained six hours a day from the first day that I
won a match against a boy at a neighborhood tennis court. In an instant, I
was addicted to the sport.
I dreamed of becoming a professional tennis player. I spent countless hours
on the court, skipping hangouts, holidays, and dates just to hit tennis balls.
I went on to play high school and college tennis. I dropped out of college
to play professional tennis. I worked for an airline so I could travel inex-
pensively to compete in professional tennis tournaments around the world.
Tournaments were (and still are) scattered across the globe, giving a person
of lower socioeconomic status a very slim chance of making it. Through
my tennis training and competition, I reached a Florida state ranking of
number three and a top 200 women’s professional ranking in the USA.
As an undergraduate, I majored in psychology. I wanted to learn about the
psychological and behavioral profiles of successful professional athletes. I
went on to get a master’s degree in psychology.
v
vi Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics
practical introduction to the field. Data sets and programs in the book are
available from the book’s website http://www.ftpress.com/martin/.
Many thanks to Thomas W. Miller, my consulting editor, for making this
book happen, as it would not have been possible to complete without him.
And special thanks go to my editor, Jeanne Glasser Levine, and publisher,
Pearson/FT Press, for giving me the opportunity to publish my first book.
Of course, any writing issues, errors, or items of unfinished business are
my responsibility alone.
I want to give a special thank you to my brother and professional tennis
player, Juan J. Martin Jr., who constantly provides me with insightful infor-
mation based on his experience in professional sports and exercise physiol-
ogy. I would also like to thank the Dallas Cowboys’ Director of Football Re-
search, Tom Robinson, for his instrumental remarks and comments. Thanks
to Roy Sanford, a lead faculty member in Northwestern University’s Mas-
ter’s Program in Predictive Analytics, who provided constructive critiques
on statistical methods. I want to thank my mother, Estela Martin, for being
there day and night and offering continued support. Tambien, gracias a mi
padre, Juan J. Martin Sr., for providing me with a sports-like motivation, im-
pelling me to complete this book. In addition, I would like to mention my
dogs, which are always there for me and brought a smile to my face while
working on this book.
Most of all, I want to thank God for making this possible.
Lorena Martin
San Diego, California
December 2015
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Figures
ix
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Tables
xi
xii Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics
xiii
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1
Anatomy and Physiology
“A muscle is like a car. If you want it to run well early in the morning, you
have to warm it up.”
—F LORENCE G RIFFITH J OYNER
1
2 Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics
Let us review the basic bone structure and anatomical information you
should be aware of. The human body is made up of 206 bones and more
than 430 skeletal muscles. The topic of anatomy alone could take several
books to do it justice. We will cover the part of human anatomy and physi-
ology most relevant to sports performance.
The study of bones is called osteology. Osteologists dedicate their lives to
understanding how bones function. Bones are responsible for providing
constant renewal of red and white blood cells, and are vital not only to our
organs, but to gaining a competitive edge in sports performance. There are
several types of bones: long bones, short bones, flat bones, irregular bones,
and sesamoid bones. Long bones are associated with greater movement
due to the lever length, compared to short bones which have limited mo-
bility, but are known to be stronger. Please refer to table 1.1 for examples of
each type of bone.
The musculoskeletal system is integral to human movement, as it is com-
prised of ligaments that connect bone to bone and tendons that connect
muscles to bone. Consequently, when the muscle pulls on the bone, motion
occurs. Depending on the method of classification or grouping, estimates
of the number of muscles in the body range between 430 to over 900. In
fact, each skeletal muscle is considered an organ that contains muscle tis-
sue, connective tissue, nerves, and blood vessels. Much of the debate is a
matter of definition in terms of how the muscles are quantified.
Chapter 1. Anatomy and Physiology 3
External Obliques located above and superficial to the internal utilized for sideways bending and rotation of the
obliques on each side of the trunk torso; integral for tennis strokes
Internal Obliques located underneath the external abdominal utilized for flexion of the spine, sideways bending,
oblique on each side of the trunk trunk rotation and compression of the abdomen;
relevant for all sports
Transversus Abdominis located in the deepest layer of abdominal muscles utilized for respiration and core stabilization;
that wraps around the torso relevant for all sports
Hamstrings located in posterior part of thigh consisting of responsible for flexion and bending of the knee;
three muscles relevant for all sports
Gluteus Maximus, Gluteus located in the area usually called the buttocks utilized in explosive first step movements;
Medius, and Gluteus Minimus integral for lower body strength and power
Gastrocnemius located in the lower leg area and typically referred utilized in jumping and tip-toe motions including
to as part of the calf muscle being on the ball of your feet
Soleus located in the lower leg area and typically referred utilized in jumping and tip-toe motions including
to as part of the calf muscle being on the ball of your feet
Chapter 1. Anatomy and Physiology 5
It is evident that anatomy and physiology play a major role in sports perfor-
mance. A sprinter may benefit from a greater number of fast twitch muscle
fibers, whereas a long-distance runner will benefit much more from having
a greater distribution of slow twitch muscle fibers. Refer to table 1.4 for
Type I and Type II muscle fiber contribution in a variety of sports.
In addition to the controversy over the number of muscle fiber types, there
also remains the question of whether one can train and modify one’s own
fiber type through conditioning. Several animal studies have shown that
enzymes that would otherwise be dormant are activated through physical
training, implying that there is a possibility of changing the fiber type to a
certain degree.
Now that we have the basics of the skeletal and muscular system, let us
consider the physiology of sports performance. First, we must realize that
human metabolism includes both anabolic and catabolic processes that are
ongoing in our bodies. Anabolic processes involve the synthesis of larger
molecules from smaller molecules. Conversely, catabolic processes involve
the breakdown of larger molecules into smaller ones, and are associated
with the release of energy. Energy released in a biological reaction is quan-
tified by the amount of heat that is generated. The amount of heat required
to raise one kilogram of water one degree Celsius is called a kilocalorie.
This corresponds to the energy found in food that is broken down within
our bodies and stored in the form of adenosine triphosphate (ATP).
Chapter 1. Anatomy and Physiology 7
In the body, energy systems are responsible for providing the ATP (energy)
that is utilized under varying intensities and durations of sport perfor-
mance. There are three main energy systems at play during sports perfor-
mance. They are the phosphagen (ATP-PCr) system, the glycolytic system,
and the oxidative phosphorylation system. All three systems are constantly
at work and interacting with each other, functioning on some level as they
are not “all or nothing” systems. The predominance of one system is largely
determined by the intensity and duration of the sporting activity, as well as
the substrate (food source) that the athlete has consumed. Substrate uti-
lization is a fancy term for the food that is being consumed by the athlete.
Correspondingly, these three energy systems are also sometimes referred to
as bioenergetics systems.
The athlete’s ability to perform is based on his or her muscles’ capacity
to function and depends on the oxygen or glucose (substrate) availability.
What does this mean? Well, if an athlete is sprinting, muscles within the
body do not necessarily have the time required to be able to utilize oxygen,
as a body at rest does. This causes the body to shift into an anaerobic state
in which it can extract energy in the form of ATP, without the use of oxy-
gen. However, when the human machine is running at a slower pace, the
standard metabolic processes that utilize oxygen are allowed to occur in the
mitochondria (the engine of the cell). Some might say that the human body
is inherently intelligent and can be compared to a computer, in that after
the program is built and algorithm established, it knows what to do on its
own.
To simplify, the three energy systems will be referred to as the phosphagen,
glycolytic, and oxidative systems. These systems produce ATP and replen-
ish ATP stores within the human body. The body naturally stores ATP suf-
ficient for basic cellular functions, not the amount necessary for sports. The
phosphagen system utilizes an enzyme, creatine kinase, to maintain ATP
levels during intense, explosive movements of short duration, allowing for
the release of one mole of ATP or the equivalent of 0.6 kilocalories. The
phosphagen system is heavily involved in sports that consist of high inten-
sity, short-term explosive movements. This system is used in all sports at
the point of initiation of activity—at the shift from sedentary to active.
8 Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics
Table 1.7 describes the limiting factors of the bioenergetics systems. It shows
how athletes, depending on the sport they play, involuntarily utilize bioen-
ergetics systems. If we take a look at the discus thrower, it is important for
their performance to have enough ATP and creatine phosphate in order to
throw the discus in a powerful manner. On the other hand, if we take a
look at marathon runners, they are much more limited by the amounts of
glycogen (large amounts of glucose grouped together) stored in the muscles
and liver because of its role in glycolysis and oxidative phosphorylation.
Thereby, if they are limited in muscle or liver glycogen their performance
will be hindered greatly.
Table 1.8 describes the primary system that will be utilized by percent max-
imum power and duration of exercise (sport). With this information we can
learn to train our bodies to utilize different systems. For example, if you are
an athlete that wants to improve utilization of the phosphagen system, then
you would train one time (sprint) at 90 percent intensity for five seconds in
Chapter 1. Anatomy and Physiology 11
Percent Range of
Maximum Primary System Typical Work-to-rest
Power Utilized Exercise Time Period Ratios
90-100 Phosphagen 5-10 seconds 1:12 to 1:20
75-90 Fast Glycolysis 15-30 seconds 1:3 to 1:5
30-75 Fast Glycolysis and Oxidative 1-3 minutes 1:3 to 1:4
20-30 Oxidative > 3 minutes 1:1 to 1:3
duration at a work to rest ratio of one to twenty, meaning you would rest
(5 × 20) 100 seconds, or a minute forty. If however, you would want to im-
prove your cardiorespiratory endurance, you would train at 20–30 percent
for longer duration at a work to rest ratio of one to three at most.
Table 1.9 details physiological markers of performance outcomes. It is well
documented in the literature that testosterone, growth hormone, and IGF-1
are strongly related to muscle mass development and maintenance as well
as bone density. Lactate levels are commonly used to assess whether the
athlete is fatigued. Training that requires high level of technique or skill
should not be performed since coordination is significantly decreased and
risk of injury is increased when high amounts of lactate are present in the
blood. Additionally, the hormone cortisol is known to be extremely ele-
vated when an athlete is overtraining causing inflammation and stress in
the body, which chronically, may lead to injury.
More recently there has been extensive research on delaying aging. Telom-
eres are located at the end of our chromosomes within our DNA. You may
ask, “Why is this relevant to sport?” Professional athletes are interested in
prolonging their athletic careers and since telomeres have been shown to be
strongly related to physical aging, this is a relevant marker of having an ex-
tended athletic career. Many studies have already shown that longer telom-
eres are associated with healthier and longer lifespans in both animal and
human models. A newer method of assessing aging is Methylome analysis.
It has been shown to have an even stronger correlation to physical aging
than telomere length. It is now recognized as a measure of biological age
and can have major implications for injury prevention and the extension of
athletic careers.
12 Sports Performance Measurement and Analytics
Physiological Performance
Outcomes Markers
“The five Ss of sports training are: stamina, speed, strength, skill, and spirit;
but the greatest of these is spirit.”
—K EN D OHERTY
As a sports performance analyst, you will serve your clients best if you
are aware of the measurement methods for physical performance variables.
This chapter focuses on physical variables: body composition, muscular
strength, power and endurance, flexibility, balance, anaerobic power, aero-
bic power, reaction time, agility, and level of sport-specific skill.
Years ago physicality measures were associated with only five fundamen-
tals of fitness: muscular strength, muscular endurance, flexibility, cardiores-
piratory fitness, and body composition. These measures were used to assess
fitness across the general population.
More recently, exercise physiologists and fitness experts have come to agree
that other factors, such as muscular power, coordination, balance, and anaer-
obic power should be included, so that physicality is measured as accu-
rately as possible. This is not a novel idea.
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