Feasibility_of_Advanced_Reflective_Cracking_Predic
Feasibility_of_Advanced_Reflective_Cracking_Predic
1 Department of Highway & Transportation Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building
Technology, 283 Goyandae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10233, Republic of Korea; [email protected]
2 Pavement Research Division, Korea Expressway Corporation Research Institute, Dong-tansunhwan-daero
Abstract: This research manuscript presents a comprehensive investigation into the prediction and
detection of reflective cracking in pavement infrastructure through a combination of machine learn-
ing approaches and advanced image detection techniques. Leveraging machine learning algorithms,
reflective cracking prediction models were developed and optimized for accuracy and efficiency.
Additionally, the efficacy of image detection methods, particularly utilizing Mask R-CNN, was ex-
plored for robust and precise identification of reflective cracking on pavement surfaces. The study
not only aims to enhance the predictive capabilities of pavement management systems (PMSs)
through machine learning-based models but also seeks to integrate advanced image detection tech-
nologies to support real-time monitoring and assessment of pavement conditions. By providing ac-
curate and timely detection of reflective cracking, these methodologies contribute to the optimiza-
tion of pavement maintenance strategies and the overall improvement of pavement infrastructure
Citation: Shin, S.-P.; Kim, K.; Le, management practices. Results indicate that the developed machine learning models achieve an
T.H.M. Feasibility of Advanced average predictive accuracy of over 85%, with some models achieving accuracies exceeding 90%.
Reflective Cracking Prediction and Moreover, the utilization of a mask region-based convolutional neural network (Mask R-CNN) for
Detection for Pavement image detection demonstrates exceptional precision, with a detection accuracy of over 95% on av-
Management Systems Using erage across different pavement types and weather conditions. The results demonstrate the prom-
Machine Learning and Image ising performance of the developed machine learning models in predicting reflective cracking,
Detection. Buildings 2024, 14, 1808.
while the utilization of Mask R-CNN showcases exceptional accuracy in the detection of reflective
h ps://doi.org/10.3390/
cracking from images. This research underscores the importance of leveraging cu ing-edge tech-
buildings14061808
nologies to address challenges in pavement infrastructure management, ultimately supporting the
Academic Editor: Pengfei Liu sustainability and longevity of transportation networks.
Received: 10 May 2024
Revised: 2 June 2024
Keywords: reflective cracking prediction; machine learning algorithms; image detection techniques;
Accepted: 13 June 2024 mask R-CNN; pavement management systems
Published: 14 June 2024
temperature fluctuations, traffic loading, and moisture infiltration [5]. The formation of
reflective cracks is a complex phenomenon influenced by various factors, including pave-
ment design, material properties, construction practices, and environmental conditions
[6]. Asphalt overlays placed on existing pavements, especially those with jointed or se-
verely cracked substrates, are particularly susceptible to reflective cracking over time [7].
These cracks not only compromise the structural integrity of the pavement but also serve
as pathways for water penetration, leading to further deterioration and pavement degra-
dation [8]. Managing reflective cracking is critical for ensuring the longevity and function-
ality of road networks, as untreated cracks can result in increased roughness, reduced ride
quality, and safety hazards for road users [9]. Therefore, developing effective detection
and mitigation strategies for reflective cracking is essential for the sustainable manage-
ment of pavement assets and the efficient allocation of maintenance resources within
pavement management systems (PMSs).
Managing reflective cracking is paramount for the effectiveness of pavement man-
agement systems (PMSs) [10,11], which are responsible for optimizing the allocation of
maintenance and repair (M&R) funds to ensure the longevity and functionality of road
networks. Identifying and addressing reflective cracking promptly is essential to prevent
further deterioration and costly repairs [12,13]. However, traditional detection methods
may not always be efficient or accurate in identifying reflective cracking, especially in di-
verse environmental conditions [14].
To support PMS in effectively managing reflective cracking, there is a growing need
for smarter detection techniques that leverage advanced technologies such as deep learn-
ing and image processing [14]. By developing automated and intelligent systems capable
of detecting reflective cracking with high accuracy and efficiency [15,16], government
agencies can streamline maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) efforts and allocate re-
sources more effectively [17,18]. A smarter way to navigate and track reflective cracking
not only enhances road safety but also optimizes the utilization of public funds, ensuring
sustainable infrastructure management for the long term [19,20].
Advances in inexpensive and excellent-quality imaging sensors have played a major
role in the remarkable development of the application of computer vision approaches in-
side civil engineering research in recent years [18,21]. With the use of these methods, it is
possible to take precise digital pictures of pavement surfaces [22], which presents chances
to identify important markers for evaluating the state of the pavement, such as corrosion,
debonding, fractures, and spalling. The capacity of machine vision to perform compre-
hensive, non-contact, economical, unbiased, and computerized state evaluations is one of
its main benefits in this situation [23].
Recent advancements in deep learning algorithms have transformed vision-based
pavement damage detection [24,25], offering improved efficiency and reliability [26].
These advancements have enabled the development of sophisticated image segmentation
techniques that can accurately identify and classify various types of pavement distress,
including reflective cracking [27,28]. Technique features include automated crack detec-
tion and reduction in human biases and errors [29,30]. Object detection, crucial for civil
engineering infrastructure maintenance and safety, has seen significant progress with al-
gorithms like YOLOv6, v7, and v8, each introducing new features and improved perfor-
mance [31–34]. Deep learning-based techniques, such as Faster R-CNN, have shown suc-
cess in various applications, including road deterioration classification. Diverse augmen-
tation methods are recommended to further enhance accuracy [34–36].
This research manuscript presents a comprehensive investigation into the prediction
and detection of reflective cracking in pavement infrastructure through a combination of
machine learning approaches and advanced image detection techniques. Leveraging ma-
chine learning algorithms, reflective cracking prediction models were developed and op-
timized for accuracy and efficiency [22]. Additionally, the efficacy of image detection
methods, particularly utilizing Mask R-CNN [22], was explored for robust and precise
identification of reflective cracking on pavement surfaces. The study not only aims to
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 3 of 24
enhance the predictive capabilities of PMS through machine learning-based models but
also seeks to integrate advanced image detection technologies to support real-time moni-
toring and assessment of pavement conditions [37–39]. By providing accurate and timely
detection of reflective cracking, these methodologies contribute to the optimization of
pavement maintenance strategies and the overall improvement of pavement infrastruc-
ture management practices [40–42].
This study proposes the use of an advanced learning model to classify images of “re-
flective cracking zones” across various pavement textures and weather conditions. The
aim is to enhance pavement management systems (PMSs) by monitoring reflective crack-
ing for maintenance purposes, thereby reducing associated risks. This approach covers
different pavement types, including both asphalt and concrete conditions. The primary
goal is to develop a robust computational model capable of handling a wide range of in-
spection tasks while remaining resilient to variations in photographic conditions. To
achieve this, a dataset comprising 1280 images was utilized for algorithm training. These
images were sourced from multiple platforms, including the Internet, on-site pavement
surveys conducted in South Korea, and Google Street View. Data augmentation tech-
niques were employed to enhance diversity, and the dataset was split into 80% for training
and 20% for cross-validation. The research progressed through two pivotal stages: first
through the development of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture for the
classification of reflective cracking, and second through the implementation of an image
segmentation technique for reflective cracking detection, followed by an analysis of the
training dataset.
2. Methodology
2.1. Development of Deep Learning Prediction Models for Reflective Cracking in Highways
2.1.1. Overview
This section explores the development of deep learning prediction models for reflec-
tive cracking in highways, focusing on both empirical and analytical approaches. The ob-
jective is to forecast reflective crack occurrences by considering weather and traffic statis-
tics. The predictive model, which combines separate variables and coefficients, is designed
to assess and manage the risk of reflective cracking, crucial for enhancing pavement
maintenance strategies. Supervised learning methods for machine learning forecasting,
including decision trees, multiple regression, support vector machines (SVMs), and
Gaussian process analysis, are examined to provide a comprehensive analysis of the data
and improve forecasting accuracy.
Previous research efforts have focused on enhancing forecasts of pavement defor-
mation and fractures through weather-specific adjustments. However, in this study, situ-
ated within the uniform meteorological framework of the Seoul Metropolitan Govern-
ment, we chose not to implement such modifications, capitalizing on the consistent envi-
ronmental conditions present across the examined sites. Using both empirical and analyt-
ical approaches, the prior research aimed to develop a reliable technique for forecasting
reflective cracking on specific expressways in Seoul. The empirical model concentrated on
variables such as average temperature, precipitation, and traffic volume, while the analyt-
ical model included variables like maximum temperature, precipitation, and minimum
relative humidity. Despite having a similar computational structure, these models exam-
ined different sets of independent factors [22].
The simulations were designed to help authorities plan maintenance and repair ac-
tivities more efficiently by offering insights into the likelihood of reflective cracking de-
velopment through regression modeling and variable normalization.
large vehicles. Multiple regression analysis was then used to assess the relationship be-
tween these variables and monthly reflective crack.
= − = [ ]− [ ]
(2)
=( )
where ̂ stands for the residual sum of squares and N is the number of independent var-
iables. Regression analysis was used to obtain the value, which led to the prediction
model.
Validation
Pavement Types Weather Types Train Data Test Data Total
Data
Clear 256 32 32 320
Asphalt pavement
Multiple weather 256 32 32 320
Clear 256 32 32 320
Concrete pavement
Multiple weather 256 32 32 320
Total 1024 128 128 1280
2.2.6. Applications
The main programming language used in this study was Python, and Google Colab
provided the GPU environment—a Nvidia Tesla P100/K80/T4—for the development of all
deep learning systems [52]. The popular data-flow computing and neural network crea-
tion tools TensorFlow and Keras were used to create the Mask R-CNN approach to reflec-
tive cracking identification. A model that was trained from the Common Objects in
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 8 of 24
Context (COCO) database modified to fit the reflective cracking database was used for
training.
2.2.7. Hyperparameters
After network topologies and datasets are finalized, it is imperative to set network
hyperparameters before training. These parameters were found via heuristics as opposed
to direct dataset estimates because they are not dependent on any particular dataset [48].
Although Mask R-CNN provides a wide range of hyperparameters to be adjusted during
training, it can take a lot of time and resources to explore every possible configuration.
Because of this, class numbers in the current study were designated as reflective cracking
zones, and default se ings were mostly employed. The default se ings from Detectron2
were kept, while the parameters of the model, such as the learning algorithm, were ad-
justed using Optuna, a hyperparameter tuning tool [48].
Table 2 outlines the key hyperparameters for Mask R-CNN, crucial for its perfor-
mance. These include a base learning rate of 0.00027, five images per batch, a gamma value
of 0.06 for learning rate adjustment, and a maximum of 2000 iterations [47]. It also specifies
18 regions of interest per image and handles three distinct classes. Additionally, parame-
ter cfg.MODEL.ROI_HEADS.SCORE_THRESH_TEST is set at 0.6 to balance recall and
precision during evaluation. These se ings collectively ensure the model’s robustness and
effectiveness across various computer vision tasks [47].
input size of 300 × 300, utilizes a momentum of 0.9 alongside a decay rate of 0.00005 and
a learning rate of 0.0013, employing Leaky ReLU activation. In contrast, Yolov5 adopts a
larger input dimension of 416 × 416, maintaining a momentum of 0.9 [38], a slightly higher
decay of 0.0005, and a learning rate of 0.001, employing the ReLU activation function.
Lastly, Yolov8 [53], also with a size of 416 × 416, employs a momentum of 0.85, a decay
rate of 0.0003, and a learning rate of 0.002, utilizing the Mish activation function. These
distinct configurations highlight the nuanced choices made in adjusting hyperparameters,
catering to the specific requirements and architectural intricacies of each model, ulti-
mately impacting their performance in object detection tasks.
Learning
Model Width × Height Momentum Decay Activation
Rate
Yolov4 300 × 300 0.9 0.00005 0.0013 Leaky ReLU
Yolov5 416 × 416 0.9 0.0005 0.001 ReLU
Yolov8 416 × 416 0.85 0.0003 0.002 Mish
TP
IoU= (4)
TP+FP+FN
To account for the uneven distribution of background and reflective cracking pixels,
a weighted binary cross-entropy loss function is introduced. The weighted loss function
is defined as
L(y, ) = −[ log( ) + (1 − )log(1 − )], (6)
where
is the true label (0 for background, 1 for reflective cracking);
is the predicted probability;
is the weight assigned to the reflective cracking pixels;
is the weight assigned to the background pixels;
log denotes the natural logarithm.
By assigning different weights and to the different types of pixels, this
weighted loss function be er accommodates the uneven distribution in the dataset, im-
proving the model’s performance in identifying reflective cracking.
Table 5 uses multiple linear regression and correlation analysis to illustrate how dif-
ferent factors affect the prediction of reflective cracking. Both analyses highlight the strong
positive relationships between reflective cracking frequency and traffic volume and pre-
cipitation, as well as the significant positive influence of the lowest temperature. The cor-
relation and regression studies indicate that the maximum continuous precipitation day
and average temperature are positively correlated with the occurrence of reflective crack-
ing.
Additionally, there are further positive relationships between reflective cracking oc-
currence and variables such as maximum snowfall, maximum day of precipitation, and
maximum amount of fresh snowfall. Regression analysis also supports the moderate pos-
itive associations between reflective cracking occurrence and minimum relative humidity,
as well as the weaker positive relationships between evaporation loss and maximum tem-
perature and reflective cracking occurrence. Overall, temperature-related factors, traffic
volume, and precipitation appear to be the main determinants of the likelihood of reflec-
tive cracking.
According to the multilinear regression analysis, the key predictors for reflective
cracking are monthly minimum temperature, traffic volume, total precipitation, highest
consecutive days with precipitation, and average temperature. Each of these variables has
a significant correlation of 50% or more. The monthly minimum and average tempera-
tures, relative humidity, and precipitation appear to be independent in terms of collinear-
ity among the independent variables. Additionally, a distinct group is formed by the low-
est relative humidity, the greatest number of consecutive days with precipitation, and the
maximum depth of newly fallen snow.
The lowest temperature has the highest correlation with the occurrence of reflective
cracking, followed by relative humidity, precipitation, and traffic volume, as indicated by
the standardization coefficient ranking. Despite its strong link with reflective cracking,
minimum relative humidity is not selected because it overlaps with other variables. In-
stead, the ultimate independent factors chosen are the greatest number of consecutive
days with rainfall and the maximum depth of newly fallen snow.
Model Metric NH19 Empirical NH19 Analytical NH23 Empirical NH23 Analytical
RMSE 0.278 0.295 0.238 0.248
MSE 0.077 0.087 0.057 0.062
Linear
MAE 0.195 0.198 0.164 0.184
Regression
T.V (n/s) 2000 2100 2100 1800
T.T (s) 1.467 1.563 1.476 1.524
RMSE 4.737 0.948 2.815 0.496
MSE 22.439 0.898 7.923 0.246
Stepwise
MAE 1.115 0.583 0.926 0.383
Linear Reg.
T.V (n/s) 3100 2900 2800 3000
T.T (s) 101.97 110.48 113.97 114.96
RMSE 0.413 0.429 0.432 0.353
MSE 0.171 0.184 0.186 0.125
Decision Tree MAE 0.298 0.323 0.318 0.244
T.V (n/s) 4300 3600 3200 3800
T.T (s) 0.81 1.016 0.876 0.938
RMSE 0.368 0.359 0.334 0.331
Support
MSE 0.136 0.129 0.112 0.109
Vector
MAE 0.248 0.241 0.229 0.231
Machine
T.V (n/s) 4400 3600 4700 3700
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 12 of 24
(a) (b)
Figure 3. The numbers of predicted reflective cracking: (a) NH19 Roadway and (b) NH23 Express-
way.
(a)
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 14 of 24
(b)
Figure 4. Assessment of predictive model performance for NH19 and NH23. (a) Prediction results
from NH19 roadway zone. (b) Prediction results from NH23 roadway zone.
Figure 4a displays the prediction outcomes from the NH19 roadway area, whereas
Figure 4b showcases the prediction outcomes from the NH23 roadway area. This finding
presents the performance evaluation of the developed prediction models, with the empir-
ical method showing proper performance, particularly on NH19 and NH23 expressways.
Given its efficiency across locations, the empirical approach is recommended for stand-
ardized reflective cracking prediction in pavement management systems. Additionally,
the recalibrated model can aid in cost analysis by accurately predicting reflective cracking
occurrences, facilitating optimal budget allocation, and preventing budgetary discrepan-
cies.
Furthermore, Table 8 provides a comprehensive assessment of the developed predic-
tion models, considering both the standardization method and the methodologies used
(empirical versus analytical). The performance metrics evaluated include Root Mean
Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), coeffi-
cient of determination (R2), and the p-value.
For the NH19 district, both empirical and analytical approaches demonstrate com-
petitive results, with slight variations observed in RMSE, MAE, and MSE values. How-
ever, the R2 values indicate be er explanatory power for the analytical approach, suggest-
ing a stronger fit to the data. The corresponding p-values underscore the statistical signif-
icance of the models, further validating their reliability.
Similarly, for the NH23 district, both approaches yield comparable results in terms
of RMSE, MAE, and MSE. However, the analytical approach exhibits higher R2 values,
indicating superior predictive performance. Additionally, the significantly low p-values
emphasize the statistical significance of the analytical model in capturing the underlying
pa erns of reflective cracking occurrence.
In summary, both empirical and analytical approaches demonstrate promising per-
formance in predicting reflective cracking in the NH19 and NH23 districts. However, the
analytical approach appears to offer slightly be er predictive accuracy and statistical sig-
nificance, particularly evident in the R2 values and p-values. These findings highlight the
importance of considering both methodological approaches and standardization tech-
niques in developing robust predictive models for reflective cracking.
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 15 of 24
Standardization
Empirical Approach Analytical Approach
RMSE MAE MSE R2 p-Value RMSE MAE MSE R2 p-Value
NH19 0.5355 0.4217 0.2867 0.5612 5.81 × 10−6 0.5743 0.4182 0.3299 0.7151 0.0003
NH23 0.6138 0.4549 0.3767 0.4314 0.4548 0.5691 0.4619 0.3239 0.4302 9.68 × 10−10
Reflective cracking Prediction
Empirical Approach Analytical Approach
RMSE MAE MSE R2 p-Value RMSE MAE MSE R2 p-Value
NH19 344 272 118,598 0.5613 0.2495 369 269 136,390 0.7148 0.0869
NH23 490 363 239,995 0.4314 0.0231 454 369 206,142 0.4303 0.0040
3.1.3. Limitations
Although our finding has provided valuable insights into predictive modeling for
pavement reflective cracking using multilinear regression, it is important to acknowledge
its limitations. One notable limitation is the exclusive reliance on polynomial functions
within the regression model, neglecting the potential benefits of non-polynomial func-
tions. Non-polynomial functions, particularly in the context of mechanics of cracked me-
dia, offer a more nuanced representation of complex phenomena, including possible sin-
gularities that may arise in pavement degradation processes. Therefore, in the next stage
of the research, the aim is to address this limitation by considering non-polynomial func-
tions and leveraging insights from this method [56]. This expansion of modeling tech-
niques will enable a more comprehensive understanding of reflective cracking mecha-
nisms and pave the way for enhanced predictive accuracy and robustness in pavement
management practices.
No. Machine Learning Methods Pavement Types Precision Clear (%) Multiple Weather (%)
1 Image classification Concrete pavement 95.9 91.4
2 Image classification Asphalt pavement 92.7 82.6
(a)
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 17 of 24
(b)
(c)
Buildings 2024, 14, 1808 18 of 24
(d)
(e)
Figure 5. Results from the trained model for detecting reflective cracking. (a) Original photo of re-
flective cracking on urban road; (b) Classified photo of reflective cracking on urban road; (c) Original
vs. classified photo of reflective cracking on a rural road; (d) Original photo of reflective cracking on
concrete road; (e) Classified photo of reflective cracking on concrete road.
(a) (b)
Figure 6. Bounding box-based object identification method training outcomes are shown as (a) Total
loss versus Iterations and (b) Mask-RCNN accuracy versus Iterations.
for IOU = 0.5 (AP50). These results imply that different contexts may have an effect on
reflective cracking identification by picture segmentation. Furthermore, the incorporation
of concrete pavement brings uncertainty to the accuracy of the model.
Since the segmentation may mistakenly see reflected cracking as a pa ern on the
pavement surface, the “black” color of asphalt pavement could lead to errors throughout
training. Once reflective cracking occurs throughout the training period, it could be mis-
taken for the black pa ern on the road surface. These findings demonstrate how difficult
it can be to recognize reflective cracking in practical environments.
4. Conclusions
This study investigates predictive and detection methods for reflective cracking in
pavement infrastructure, combining machine learning and advanced image detection
techniques. By employing algorithms such as linear regression and Mask R-CNN, predic-
tive models and precise detection methods were developed. These approaches aim to en-
hance pavement management systems by enabling automatic monitoring and assessment
of pavement conditions, ultimately improving maintenance strategies.
The refined multilinear regression model exhibited improved predictive perfor-
mance for reflective cracking occurrences. By integrating data from weather, traffic
volume, and reflective cracking surveys spanning 2014 to 2018, the model achieved
heightened accuracy. Standardization of variables was crucial for accuracy enhance-
ment, particularly given the diverse ranges in traffic and temperature. Comparative
analysis between analytical and empirical approaches further validated the model’s
efficacy, as it successfully forecasted reflective cracking numbers for 2019, a period
not included in its initial training.
The comprehensive evaluation of prediction models highlights the competitive per-
formance of both empirical and analytical approaches across the NH19 and NH23
districts. For the NH19 district, the empirical approach yielded RMSE, MAE, and
MSE values of 0.5355, 0.4217, and 0.2867, respectively, while the analytical approach
demonstrated slightly improved values of 0.5743, 0.4182, and 0.3299, indicating a
stronger fit to the data.
The findings highlight the effectiveness of image classification techniques in catego-
rizing reflective cracking across various pavement types and weather conditions, as
evidenced by precision rates derived from extensive datasets. Notably, for concrete
pavement, image classification achieved remarkable precision rates of 95.9% under
clear weather and 91.4% under various weather scenarios. Conversely, for asphalt
pavement, slightly lower but still impressive average precision scores of 92.7% under
clear weather and 82.6% under multiple weather conditions were a ained. Concrete
pavement’s superior detection effectiveness can be a ributed to several factors, in-
cluding its high contrast with cracks against the background, smoother surface tex-
ture aiding segmentation, and durability leading to well-defined cracks.
The Mask R-CNN model showed strong performance in detecting reflective cracking,
maintaining a total loss below 0.3 and a precision above 0.9. While convergence typ-
ically happens after 2000 iterations, datasets with varied weather conditions may re-
quire up to 4000 iterations for optimal training. The impact of climate data on training
is significant, with diverse weather conditions correlating with lower results. The
model’s effectiveness was validated by achieving over 80% accuracy in all testing sce-
narios, despite slight performance variations, indicating its reliability across different
conditions.
The AP50 results illustrate segmentation accuracy for reflective cracking identifica-
tion, revealing varied reliability across contexts. “Clear se ings” exhibited the high-
est reliability, while the “multiple weather” scenario displayed the least reliability.
Mean accuracies for these conditions were 94.7% and 82.4%, respectively, for IOU =
0.5 (AP50). The integration of the “black” color of asphalt pavement poses challenges,
potentially leading to mistaken identification. These findings underscore the practi-
cal difficulty in recognizing reflective cracking.
Mask R-CNN and Yolov8 exhibited top performance in pavement damage detection,
with AP50 scores of 92.5% and 91.3%, respectively, under clear weather conditions
for asphalt pavement.
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