DOC-20240330-WA0010.
DOC-20240330-WA0010.
Manpower planning is the process of estimating the optimum number of people required for completing
a project, task or a goal within time. Manpower planning includes parameters like number of personnel,
different types of skills, time period etc. It consists of putting right number of people, right kind of
people at the right place, right time, doing the right things for which they are suited for the
achievement of goals of the organization. It is a never ending continuous process to make sure that the
business has the optimized resources available when required taking into consideration the upcoming
future projects and also the replacement of the outgoing employees. It is also called as Human Resource
Planning.
(ii) Anticipation of deficient or surplus manpower and taking the corrective action.
(v) To manage the challenges in the organization due to modernization, restructuring and
reengineering.
(vi) To facilitate the realization of the organization’s objectives by providing right number and
types of personnel.
Human Resource Planning has both macro and micro level issues. Macro level includes demographic
changes, legal central, policies and markets technology etc. Micro level includes organizational
restructuring, skill, strategic objective, trade unions etc. Macro is uncontrollable factor and Micro
level is controllable factor.
Micro Level HRP:-
1. Demand Forecasting :- Uses historical and current operations data to identify future
needs and Analyzing the current workforce to identify potential shortage and surpluses in
various job categories in future
2. Manpower supply Analysis :- Scanning the current labor market to determine the
workforce available and analyzing any gaps between the kind of workforce needed with
what is available.
3. Manpower Planning:- Set priorities and develop plans for employee recruitment,
retention and development and workforce reductions.
1. HRP Focuses on aligning human resources administration with the organization’s mission
and overall strategic plan.
2. Examines employee-management policies and procedures and their effect on HRM.
HRP has always a linkage with all the HR function starting from the recruitment to Retirement.
(i) Type and strategy of organization :- The type of organization is an important consideration
because it determines the production processes involved, number and type of staff needed, and
the supervisory and managerial personnel required.(e.g. Manufacture or service, etc.)
(ii) Organizational growth cycles and planning :- Need for planning is felt when the organization
enters into the different stage like growth stage, Initiation stage, decline stage etc.
(iii) Environmental uncertainties :- Political, social and economic changes affect all organizations.
Balancing mechanisms are built into the HRM programme through succession planning,
promotion channels, layoffs, flexi time, job sharing, retirement, VRS and other personnel related
arrangements.
(iv) Time horizons :- A plan cannot be for too long on a time horizon as the operating environment
itself may undergo changes. On one hand, there are short-term plans spanning six months to
one year. On the other hand, there are long-term plans -which spread over three to twenty
years. The exact time span, however, depends on the degree of uncertainty prevailing in an
organization’s environment.
(v) Type and quality of forecasting information :- The quality and accuracy of information depend
upon the clarity with which the organizational decision makers have defined their strategy,
organizational structure, budgets, production schedules and so forth.
(vi) Labor market :- Labor market comprises people with skills and abilities that can be
tapped as and when the need arises. When one talks about labor supply, the following
deserve due consideration:
Demand Forecasting
Forecasting human resource demand is the process of estimating the future human resource
requirement of right quality and right number.
This technique is very common technique of demand forecasting. This approach is applied by
small as well as large scale organisations. This technique involves two types of approaches i.e.
“Bottom-up-approach” and “Top-down approach”. Under the “Bottom-up approach, line
managers send their departmental requirement of human resources to top management. Top
management ultimately forecast the human resource requirement for the overall organization on
the basis of proposals of departmental heads. Under the “Top-down approach”, top management
forecasts the human resource requirement for the entire organization and various departments.
This information is supplied to various departmental heads for their review and approaval.
However, a combination of both the approaches i.e. “Participative Approach” should be applied
for demand forecasting. Under this approach, top management and departmental heads meet and
decide about the future human resource requirement. So, demand of human resources can be
forecasted with unanimity under this approach.
(B)Work-Study Technique :
This technique is also known as “work-load analysis”. This technique is suitable where the
estimated work-load is easily measurable. Under this method, estimated total production and
activities for a specific future period are predicted. This information is translated into number of
man-hours required to produce per units taking into consideration the capability of the
workforce. Past-experience of the management can help in translating the work-loads into
number of man-hours required. Thus, demand of human resources is forecasted on the basis of
estimated total production and contribution of each employee in producing each unit items.
Example :-
Let us assume that the estimated production of an organization is 3,00,000 units. The standard
man-hours required to produce each unit are 2 hours. The past experiences show that the work
ability of each employee in man-hours is 1500 hours per annum. The work-load and demand of
human resources can be calculated as under
The example clearly shows that 400 workers are needed for the year. Further, absenteeism rate,
rate of labor turnover, resignations, deaths, machine break-down, strikes, power-failure etc.
should also be taken into consideration while estimating future demand of human
resources/manpower.
( E ) Delphi Technique :
It is also a very important technique used for estimating demand of human resources. This
technique takes into consideration human resources requirements given by a group of experts i.e.
managers. The human resource experts collect the manpower needs, summarizes the various
responses and prepare a report. This process is continued until all experts agree on estimated
human resources requirement.
( F ) Other Techniques:-
The other techniques of Human Resources demand forecasting as specified as under.
The most important techniques for forecasting of human resource supply are succession analysis
and Markov Analysis.
Succession Analysis
Once a company has forcast the demand for labor, it needs an indication of the firm’s labor
supply. Determining the internal labor supply calls for a detailed analysis of how many people
are currently in various job categories or have specific skills within the organization. The
planner then modifies this analysis to reflect changes expected in the near future as a result of
reirements, promotions, transfers, voluntary turnover and terminations.
Demand forecasting helps in determining the number and type of personnel/human resources
required in future. The next step in human resource planning is forecasting supply of human
resources. The purpose of supply forecasting is to determine the size and quality of present and
potential human resources available from within and outside the organization to meet the future
demand of human resources. Supply forecast is the estimate of the number and kind of potential
personnel that coud be available to the organization.
The above figure illustrates that internal supply forecasting can be estimated based on the
following:
(d) Forecasting Accuracy forecasting is always a means to an end, not the end itself. We need to
keep in mind that a forecast is relevant only in its capacity of enabling us to achieve other goals,
Although forecasting is an important part of any planning activity, it still represents only one
cogwheel in the planning machinery, meaning that there are other factors that may have a significant
impact on the outcome. Oftentimes the importance of accurate forecasting is truly crucial, but from
time to time other factors are more important to attaining the desired results. However, to get truly
valuable insights from measuring forecast accuracy you need to understand:
1. The required number of staff shall be recruited at each level in the hierarchy.
2. Staffing requirements can be better balanced and movement of staff can be made easier by
manpower planning.
3. Manpower planning can be uncertain even for at few years ahead. Particularly, in a dynamic
business situation it is really difficult to foresee the future with maximum accuracy.
- To recruit, develop and place the talent required to meet future company needs
Here are five steps for creating a staffing plan that will assist your organization to keep up
with its potential and ambitions.
A Job can be described as a group of tasks which assigned to the individual employees for
ensuring achievement of the organizational goals. When this job is analyzed in terms of
determination of the skills, duties and knowledge required for completion of tasks, it is regarded
a Job Analysis. In the words of Geisler(2006), the entire process of HRP essentially involve four
crucial aspects in it.
▪ Controlling or monitoring the policies for ensuring that the right kind of people in right
numbers are selected for the right position and in right time
A sound HRP process in an organization must be strategically aligned with overall corporate
strategy and essentially depends on the availability of a robust HRIS for making accurate
projections regarding the manpower requirements and availability of information readily
regarding crucial parameters.
Job Analysis
Job Analysis involves gathering information and analysis of crucial information about a job. In
this analysis judgment are made on the data collected of a job. Job Analysis involves both Job
Description and Job Specification, which includes an assessment of the nature of the job as well
as the knowledge skills, and attitude of the jobholder. In other words, Job Description provides
details regarding the content of the job in a written format and Job Specification is written
record of the qualities and qualifications which a Jobholder should be having for handling a job.
The job analysis is useful in developing selection, training, and performance evaluation. Job
analysis is the process of studying and collecting information about the responsibilities and
operations of a given job. Specifically, job analysis involves the steps: ▪ Analyzing the
Job interrelationship with the organizational strategies and vision.
▪ Determining the Uses of Job Analysis like Recruitment & Selection, Compensation,
Training & Development, etc.
▪ Identification of Job which would be analyzed
▪ Collection of Data for Job Analysis through observation, Interviews and Questionnaire
Administration.
▪ Preparing the Job Description which is essentially a written account of the job.
▪ Preparing the Job Specifications which should essentially provide details regarding the
specific skills, qualities and qualifications which a job holder should possess.
▪ Reviewing and updating the information ideally in every three years and the
interrelationship collecting job information.
Problems in HRP
1. People perceive that people are available in abundance in our labour surplus economy.
Then, why to spend time and money in forecasting human resources? Surprisingly, this
perception about human resource planning is also held by the top management.
2. Another problem in human resource planning is that the demand for and supply of human
resources is not cent percent accurate. Experience suggests that longer the time horizon for
forecasting human resource requirements, greater is the possibility of inaccuracy in estimates of
human resource needs.
4. Sometimes human resource planning suffers from a conflict between quantitative and
qualitative approaches used for it. Some people view human resource planning as a mere
numbers game to track the flow of people across the departments and in and out of the
organisation. Conversely, others take a qualitative approach focusing on the quality of human
resources like career planning development, skill, morale, etc.
6. As human resource planning is based on data relating to human resources, the same is not
maintained in a proper manner in some of the industrial organisations. Then, in the absence of
reliable data, it becomes difficult to develop effective human resource plans.
For the HR individuals, it implies understanding the consequences of recent human resource
planning and management changes and trends:
• Globalization
• Changing ability requirements
• Corporate cutting back
• Ceaseless change activities
• Re-building
• Sudden work power and, employee involvement.
The HR office needs to guarantee that the proper blend of workers regarding information,
abilities and social versatility is accessible to handle worldwide assignments.
Keeping in mind this objective, the companies must prepare its employees to meet the difficulties
of globalization.
Human resource management should likewise create systems that will help multicultural people
cooperate. The main challenge is to avoid the signs of a worker struggling with increment.
HRM is also required to prepare the administration to be more adaptable in its practices.
Since tomorrow’s manpower will come in various hues, nationalities etc., managers will be
required to change their way of life.
In this case, a development plan to get their performance back on track is the best
solution. Salary shouldn’t increase for these people as you don’t necessarily want to
retain them.
To create such a four-by-four, you need to assess people on their performance and potential. The
performance-potential matrix is thus a great strategic workforce planning tool, not only to assess
talent but also to manage it.
HR Dashboarding
A third workforce planning tool that a lot of companies are actively investing in, is the HR
dashboard. The HR dashboard is a very effective instrument to show current workforce
capabilities.
There’s a lot to tell about the HR dashboard. On a conceptual level, the dashboard is filled with
information from different source systems, like a payroll system, applicant tracking system, and
other Human Resources Information Systems. Based on this data, metrics are calculated and
displayed.
The model below shows this process. Systems are extracted, data is transferred and loaded into a
data lake or data warehouse. Reporting software uses this data to report on it.
First of all, compensation and benefit data is highly structured and accurate. Secondly, it is
directly related to a financial outcome and thus bottom line performance.
You want your overperforming people to be overpaid and your underperforming people to be
underpaid. If there’s a difference in the two you either run the risk of losing top performers
because of underpay or not losing bad performers because of overpay. The latter is referred to as
the golden cage.
This data can be enriched by labor market statistics. You can use payment benchmarks from
outside your organization to adjust for internal payment discrepancies.
You can also use job market information to control for external demand and projected demand
for certain jobs. These kind of numbers are available for any industry and can be very beneficial
in anticipating and adjusting to future workforce needs.
Scenario planning
Scenario planning is the ultimate workforce planning tool. It helps to anticipate multiple possible
futures so that you won’t be caught off-guard. In the words of futurist Peter Schwartz: “if you
haven’t thought about it, you’re unlikely to see it in time”.
In scenario planning, you imagine different potential futures that have a severe impact on your
business and that you will be unlikely to see coming. These scenarios can involve technological
innovation, new legislation, natural disasters, changes in attitudes of the general public, etc.
By thinking about these scenarios, analyzing them and describing how they will make an impact
on day to day business, you can develop a strategy for unlikely but impactful events.
One of the early pioneers in this approach was Shell. According to Schwartz´s book the art of the
long view, Shell used scenario planning to develop strategies for dealing with the 1973 energy
crisis, the 1979 oil price shock, the fall of the Soviet Union, and the increasing pressure on
companies to address environmental issues.
If you think about the figure that we started with, scenario planning is really about imagining the
future – or imagining multiple possible futures. For a full overview of how to do a scenario
planning exercise, check appendix A in this document. I included a summarized version below.
• First of all, you want to analyze the focal issue of concern for the workforce. This is the
issue that the planning exercise centers on.
• Secondly, you want to identify driving forces of change. These can be external and
internal. Examples are the specific demographic driver, environmental drivers,
sociopolitical drivers, market drivers, and so on. The challenge is to make these drivers as
specific as possible. For example, don’t use ‘global warming’ as a driver but define it as
the increasing of drought periods in California (or any specific region).
• Thirdly, you want to rank these specific driving forces on their importance and
uncertainty. Importance refers to the impact the driver will make on the workforce.
Uncertainty refers to the uncertainty of your estimation. This step is required to select the
most relevant and divergent conditions.
• Next, the two most uncertain and important driving forces are selected and two polar
opposites are selected. These are mapped on a 2×2 grid.
• This creates four distinctly different and impactful workforce challenges. For each of
these scenarios, a name and story are created related to how they will play out and impact
the workforce. In the final step, strategies are created to resolve these challenges.
This exercise is not something you do in half an hour. It usually takes a team at least half a day
up to a few days, depending on the level of complexity. However, it can be a very useful one!
You have now had a description of 5 essential workforce planning tools. They are essential tools
for any HR professional working in a larger organization. Most of these tools are described in
much more detail in our HR analytics course. If you want to learn more about it and also
practically apply them to real employee data
Gap Analysis
Definition: Gap Analysis can be understood as a strategic tool used for analyzing the gap
between the target and anticipated results, by assessing the extent of the task and the ways, in
which gap might be bridged. It involves making a comparison of the present performance level
of the entity or business unit with that of standard established previously.
Gap Analysis is a process of diagnosing the gap between optimized distribution and integration
of resources and the current level of allocation. In this, the firm’s strengths, weakness,
opportunities, and threats are analyzed, and possible moves are examined. Alternative strategies
are selected on the basis of:
• Width of the gap
• Importance
• Chances of reduction
If the gap is narrow, stability strategy is the best alternative. However, when the gap is wide, and
the reason is environment opportunities, expansion strategy is appropriate, and if it is due to the
past and proposed bad performance, retrenchment strategies are the perfect option.
Types of Gap
The term ‘strategy gap’ implies the variance between actual performance and the desired one, as
mentioned in the company’s mission, objectives, and strategy for reaching them. It is a threat to
the firm’s future performance, growth, and survival, which is likely to influence the efficiency
and effectiveness of the company. There are four types of Gap:
1. Performance Gap: The difference between expected performance and the actual
performance.
2. Product/Market Gap: The gap between budgeted sales and actual sales is termed as
product/market gap.
3. Profit Gap: The variance between a targeted and actual profit of the company.
4. Manpower Gap: When there is a lag between required number and quality of workforce
and actual strength in the organization, it is known as manpower gap.
For different types of gaps, various types of strategies are opted by the firm to get over it.
In case, gaps are discovered the company’s management has three alternatives:
• Redefine the objectives: If there is any difference between objectives and forecast, first and
foremost the company’s top executives need to check whether the objectives are realistic and
achievable or not. If the objectives are intentionally set at a high level, the company should
redefine them.
• Change the strategy: Lastly, to bridge the gap between the company’s objectives and
forecast, the entity can go for changing strategy, if the other two alternatives are considered
and rejected.
Before making any change in the strategy, one must consider that the gap exists between the
present and proposed state of affairs. It is too wide to be noticed, and the organization is
encouraged to reduce it. The company’s management is of the opinion that something can be
done to reduce it.
Stages in Gap Analysis
1. Ascertain the present strategy: On what assumptions the existing strategy is based?
2. Predict the future environment: Is there any discrepancy in the assumption?
3. Determine the importance of gap between current and future environment: Are
changes in objectives or strategy required?
Whether it is anticipated sales, profit, capacity or overall performance, they are always based on
the past, and present figures and some amount of guess are also involved in it. So, the occurrence
of the gap is quite natural, but if the gap is large, then it is a point to ponder because it might
have an adverse affect on the company’s future.
Legal Framework
Beginning with the basic premise of fair employment practices, your human resources planning
strategy starts with the legal framework. Companies that seek guidance from federal, state and
local regulations concerning employee and employer rights are on the right track. Establishing
relationships with agency staff from the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, U.S.
Department of Labor, the National Labor Relations Board and U.S. Citizen and Immigration
Services will work to your advantage. These are the primary federal agencies that enforce
employment actions. When you create an employee handbook, your understanding of, and
commitment to, fair employment practices must be expressed in writing.