Complete Futures Beginners Guide
Complete Futures Beginners Guide
BEGINNER
FUTURES TRADING
GUIDE
• Determining Profits and Losses: Traders need to be aware of the tick size because it
affects the calculation of profits and losses. Each tick represents a specific monetary
value, and movements in the futures price are measured in terms of ticks.
• Price: The agreed-upon price at which the underlying asset will be bought or sold is
known as the futures price. This price is fixed when the contract is initiated and remains
constant until the contract expires.
2.3 Micro vs Mini Contracts
Micro Contracts:
1. Contract Size:
• They represent a fraction of the standard contract size, allowing for more
flexibility in position sizing.
2. Accessibility:
• Micro contracts are designed to attract retail traders and investors with limited
capital.
3. Tick Size:
• The tick size for micro contracts is generally smaller compared to standard
contracts.
• This allows for finer price granularity and smaller price movements.
4. Examples:
• Micro E-mini equity index futures contracts, such as the Micro E-mini S&P 500,
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100, Micro E-mini Dow Jones, and Micro E-mini Russell
2000.
Mini Contracts:
1. Contract Size:
• Mini contracts are larger than micro contracts but smaller than standard
contracts.
2. Target Audience:
• Mini contracts are often attractive to traders who want exposure to the futures
market but prefer a smaller contract size.
• They can be suitable for retail traders and institutions looking for a compromise
between the accessibility of micro contracts and the exposure of standard
contracts.
3. Tick Size:
• Tick size for mini contracts is generally larger than that of micro contracts but
smaller than standard contracts.
4. Examples:
• Mini-DAX futures, E-mini equity index futures (though larger than micro versions),
and mini-sized contracts in various commodities.
HOW FUTURES
TRADING WORKS
3.1 Long and Short Positions
In futures trading, taking a "long" or "short" position refers to the direction in which a trader
expects the price of the underlying asset to move. Here's an explanation of both terms:
Long Position:
• Expectation: Traders take a long position when they believe the value of the
asset will rise over time. Profits are realized if the asset's price increases, as the
trader can sell the futures contract at a higher price than the purchase price.
• Risk: The risk in a long position arises if the asset's price decreases, potentially
resulting in losses. However, the maximum loss is limited to the initial investment.
Short Position:
• Expectation: Traders take a short position when they believe the value of the
asset will fall. Profits are made by buying back the futures contract at a lower
price than the initial selling price.
• Risk: Short positions carry the risk of losses if the asset's price increases. Unlike
long positions, where the maximum loss is capped, losses in a short position can
theoretically be unlimited if the asset's price continues to rise.
• Process: When a trader decides to enter the market, they execute a buy order if
they anticipate a price increase (going long) or a sell order if they expect a price
decrease (going short).
• Purpose: Traders open positions based on their market analysis and trading
strategy, aiming to profit from price movements.
2. Closing Position:
• Purpose: Traders close positions to realize profits or cut losses. Closing a position
effectively ends the trader's exposure to further price movements in the asset.
Example:
• Suppose a trader buys 100 shares of a stock (opening a long position) at $50 per
share. If the stock's price rises to $60, the trader may decide to close the position
realizing a profit.
• On the other hand, if the trader sells short 50 shares of a stock at $70 per share
(opening a short position) and the stock's price falls to $60, the trader may close
the position realizing a profit.
RISK
MANAGEMENT
IN FUTURES TRADING
4.1 The Importance of Risk Management
1. Preservation of Capital:
• Key Aspect: Risk management is primarily about protecting your trading capital.
By implementing sound risk management practices, traders aim to minimize the
likelihood of substantial losses that could severely impact their account balance.
4.2 Stop-Loss
A stop-loss order is a risk management tool used in trading to limit potential losses on a
position. It is an order placed with a broker to automatically sell or buy a security once it
reaches a specified price level, known as the "stop price." The primary purpose of a
stop-loss order is to protect traders and investors from significant losses in the event
that the market moves against their position.
1. Stop Price:
• The specific price at which the stop-loss order is triggered. Once the
market price reaches or goes beyond this level, the stop-loss order is
activated.
2. Trigger Type:
• Stop-loss orders can have different trigger types, such as a market order or
a limit order. A market order is executed at the best available price once
the stop price is reached. A limit order is executed only at the specified
limit price or better.
3. Execution:
• Once triggered, the stop-loss order becomes a market order, and the
trade is executed at the prevailing market price. In fast-moving markets or
situations with low liquidity, the execution price may differ from the stop
price.
4. Risk Management:
• The stop-loss order is a crucial tool for managing risk. It allows traders to
define in advance the maximum amount they are willing to lose on a trade.
This helps traders adhere to their risk tolerance and maintain discipline.
Example: Suppose an investor buys a stock at $50 per share. To manage potential
losses, they set a stop-loss order at $45. If the stock price falls to $45 or below, the stop-
loss order becomes active, and the stock is sold automatically. This way, the investor
limits their potential loss to $5 per share.
2. Emotional Discipline:
3. Increased Confidence:
4. Long-Term Perspective:
• Risk management helps build emotional resilience by preparing traders for the
inevitable ups and downs in the market. Knowing that losses are controlled and
manageable allows traders to bounce back from setbacks more easily.
Trading Platforms
5.1 Charting Platform
• Bearish Candlestick: A bearish candlestick forms when the closing price is lower
than the opening price. It typically has a filled or black body. This signals that
sellers dominated during the given time period.
6.3 Different Types of Candlesticks
• Doji: A doji is a candlestick with a small body, indicating that the opening and
closing prices are very close or almost equal. It suggests market indecision and a
potential reversal.
• Hammer (aka Pinbar) and Hanging Man: These candlesticks have small bodies
with a long lower wick. A hammer occurs after a downtrend and suggests a
potential reversal to the upside. A hanging man appears after an uptrend and
may indicate a reversal to the downside.
Technical analysis is a method used in trading and investment that involves analyzing historical
price charts and trading volumes to forecast future price movements. Traders who use technical
analysis, often referred to as "technicians" or "chartists," believe that historical price data,
patterns, and other market indicators can provide insights into the potential future direction of
an asset's price.
*BEFORE we deep dive into this section, there are THOUSANDS of ways to trade
using different indicators, trendlines, strategies etc. If I wrote every possible way, I
wouldn’t finish this guide till Jan 1, 2050 haha. THEREFORE, I will cut to the chase
and tell you exactly how I use technical analysis to trade using these 3 key
concepts.*
▪ Supply & Demand
▪ Fair Value Gaps
▪ Liquidity
• These concepts put together allow me to trade with the big institutions (big
banks) who move the market.
Supply Zone:
• When identifying these zones, look for a strong move DOWN (long body
candlestick) and draw a box on the candlestick prior. That entire area will
be your supply zone.
• Once these supply zones are created, they leave an unfilled order in the
zone. Price likes to eventually come back and collect these unfilled orders
to continue in the direction it was headed.
• Unfilled Orders are areas where the buying and selling order may
remain.
• From the picture above, price came back into the supply zone, collected its
unfilled order that was left by the big institutions/ market players and
continued its way down.
Demand Zone:
• When identifying these zones, look for a strong move UP and draw a box
on the candlestick prior. That entire area will be your supply zone.
• Once these demand zones are created, just like the supply zones, they
leave unfilled orders. Price likes to eventually come back and collect these
unfilled orders to continue in the direction it was headed.
• From the picture above, price came back into the demand zone, collected
its unfilled order that was left by the big institutions/ market players and
continued its way up.
• Fair Value Gaps are created within a three-candle sequence and are commonly
visualized on the chart as a large candle whose neighboring candles’ upper and
lower wicks do not fully overlap the large candle.
• In this 3-candle sequence, the wick prior and the wick after the strong
impulse candle did not touch. The gap in-between creates the fair value
gap.
• Price came back into the fair value gap, collected it’s orders and headed in the
designated direction.
• This is the same concept, except on the sell side. We had a fair value gap created
and price came back to retest it and headed back down in its designated
direction.
7.4 Liquidity
‘Smart money’ players understand the nature of this concept and commonly will
accumulate or distribute positions near levels where many stops reside. It is, in part, the
sheer amount of stops at key levels that allow a larger player to fully realize their
position. Once the level at which many stops are placed has been traded through, it’s
often that the price will reverse course and head in the opposite direction, seeking
liquidity at the opposite extreme.
• Buy-side liquidity represents a level on the chart where short sellers will have
their stops positioned.
• Sell-side liquidity is just the opposite. It represents a level on the chart where
long-biased traders will place their stops.
• In both cases, these levels are often found at or near extremes as the tops
and bottoms of ranges are often viewed as areas where traders are
‘proven wrong’ and, therefore, will want to get out of their trades.
(Here’s the hack and my little secret… since I know a lot of traders have their stop
losses at these levels and the market likes to manipulate price to go to these
liquidity levels. I will find a supply/demand or fail value gap trade setup and use
these liquidity levels as my price targets and get out the trade )
• Some traders went long at these levels and place their stop loss below. This
created sell-side liquidity. Since the overall trend is down and we have a fair value
gap set up to the downside, price likes to target these liquidity levels.
• In the picture above, price took out those buyers stop losses and we took sells
based off the fair value gap.
Here’s another example
• There is a demand zone below, so I’m looking for buys. There is liquidity above,
because that move down created buy-side liquidity. Why? Because traders who
took sells (short position) at that level put their stop loss right above. The market
is manipulated, and prices likes to take those stop losses out.
• In the picture above, the setup played out and price took out the buy-side
liquidity.
TYPES OF MARKETS
8.1 Bull Market
• A bullish market, or a bull market, is characterized by rising prices and an overall
optimistic sentiment among market participants. During a bullish market, buyers
(bulls) dominate, and there is a strong demand for assets. Traders and investors
anticipate further price increases, leading to an upward trend. Bull markets are
often associated with economic growth and positive market conditions.
• Key characteristics:
• Trading strategy: Traders in a bullish market often look for buying opportunities,
such as trend-following strategies or buying on pullbacks.
8.2 Bear Market
• Key characteristics:
• Trading strategy: Traders in a bearish market often look for selling opportunities,
such as short-selling strategies or selling on rallies.
8.3 Ranging Market