Chapter4(Final Version)
Chapter4(Final Version)
• The Heckscher-Ohlin theory argues that trade occurs due to differences in labor,
physical capital, or other factors of production across countries.
Supply Side (PPF and RS) Demand Side (U max and RD)
(1) Stolper-Samuelson Theorem about “trade and income distribution within a country”
(2) Rybczynski Theorem about “resources and output”
(3) Factor Price Equalization Theorem about “trade and factor prices across countries”
Production Possibilities
• With more than one factor of production, the opportunity cost in
production is no longer constant and the PPF is no longer a straight
line. Why?
• Numerical example:
Note: This is just an example to explain the non-linear PPF. In the full model of
Heckscher-Ohlin, mixes of capital and labor will be determined as optimal choices.
So, it will be an endogenous variable.
Production Possibilities
• Production possibilities describe different amounts of cloth and food that
can be produced, given factor endowments and technology.
• Labor Supplied (L) and Capital supplied (K) will be allocated to each sector as follows
Capital used to produce cloth and food cannot exceed the supply of
capital (K) available.
Labor used to produce cloth and food cannot exceed the supply of
labor (L) available.
• Max food production 1000 (point 1) fully uses capital, with excess labor.
• Max cloth 1000 (point 2) fully uses labor, with excess capital.
• Intersection of labor and capital constraints occurs at 500 calories of food and
750 yards of cloth (point 3).
Figure 5.1 The Production Possibility Frontier without Factor Substitution
LC = 2 ✕ QC and LF = 1✕ QF 2QC QF 2000
KC = 2 ✕ QC and KF = 3✕ QF 2QC 3QF 3000
(1) If KF = K = 3000,
Then, LF = 1000 should be combined, and available.
QF = 1000 and QC=0 point 1
But, labor is not fully used. (1000 work-hours are
unemployed)
If capital cannot be substituted for labor or vice versa, the production possibility frontier in the factor-
proportions model would be defined by two resource constraints: The economy can’t use more than the
available supply of labor (2,000 work-hours) or capital (3,000 machine-hours). So the production possibility
frontier is defined by the red line in this figure.
Figure 5.1 The Production Possibility Frontier without Factor Substitution
LC = 2 ✕ QC and LF = 1✕ QF
KC = 2 ✕ QC and KF = 3✕ QF
(3) If LC = L = 2000,
Then, KC = 2000 should be combined, and available.
QC = 1000 and QF=0 Point 2
But, capital is not fully used. (1000 machine-hours are
unemployed)
If capital cannot be substituted for labor or vice versa, the production possibility frontier in the factor-
proportions model would be defined by two resource constraints: The economy can’t use more than the
available supply of labor (2,000 work-hours) or capital (3,000 machine-hours). So the production possibility
frontier is defined by the red line in this figure.
Figure 5.1 The Production Possibility Frontier without Factor Substitution
LC = 2 ✕ QC and LF = 1✕ QF
KC = 2 ✕ QC and KF = 3✕ QF
If capital cannot be substituted for labor or vice versa, the production possibility frontier in the factor-
proportions model would be defined by two resource constraints: The economy can’t use more than the
available supply of labor (2,000 work-hours) or capital (3,000 machine-hours). So the production possibility
frontier is defined by the red line in this figure.
Production Possibilities
• The opportunity cost of producing 1 more yard of cloth, in terms of food,
is NOT constant !!!!!:
Segment
between Point 1 Low opportunity cost (= 2/3) when the economy produces
and Point 3 a low amount of cloth and a high amount of food
Segment
between Point 3 high (=2) when the economy produces a high amount of cloth and a low
amount of food
and Point 2
• If producers can substitute one input for another in the production process,
then the PPF is curved (bowed).
Opportunity cost of cloth continuously increases as producers make more
cloth.
If capital can be substituted for labor and vice versa, the production possibility frontier no
longer has a kink. But it remains true that the opportunity cost of cloth in terms of food rises
as the economy’s production mix shifts toward cloth and away from food.
Production Possibilities
• The PPF curve is defined as the efficient output combinations (𝑄𝐶 , 𝑄𝐹 ) when the production
functions and the factor endowments are given.
Mathematical Example: Suppose that Cobb-Douglas production functions and factor endowments are
given as follows.
2/3 1/3 1/3 2/3
𝑄𝐹 = 𝐹 𝐾𝐹 , 𝐿𝐹 = 𝐾𝐹 𝐿𝐹 and 𝑄𝐶 = 𝐺 𝐾𝐶 , 𝐿𝐶 = 𝐾𝐶 𝐿𝐶
𝐾 = 𝐾𝐶 + 𝐾𝐹 and 𝐿 = 𝐿𝐶 + 𝐿𝐹
These are specialization points in the PPF curve. (see next page)
𝑄𝐹 = 𝐹 𝐾, 𝐿 = 𝐾 2/3 𝐿1/3
and 𝑄𝐶 = 𝐺 0,0 = 0
𝑄𝐹 = 𝐹 0,0 = 0
and 𝑄𝐶 = 𝐺 𝐾, 𝐿 = 𝐾 1/3 𝐿2/3
Production Possibilities
(2) when all K and L are allocated in both industries,
then both goods are produced with positive amounts based on the production
functions.
What is the shape of all those possible combinations with positive amounts of output?
Question: As Qc is increased by 1 unit (= 𝑑𝑄𝐶 =1), how many unit of Food should be decreased?
Answer: 𝑑𝑄𝐹 , which is negative (-). Also, as Qc keeps increasing by 1 more unit (= 𝑑𝑄𝐶 =1), the
unit of Food that should be decreased will be larger. That is, the absolute value of 𝑑𝑄𝐹 should be
larger. (Why? Due to the assumption on marginal production of factors. )
So, MRT is “increasing” and thus the PPF is “convex” as shown in the Figure.
Compared to point A,
at point B, production of Food is smaller.
Production Possibilities
to produce 1 more cloth,
The economy should move labor and capital
𝑄𝐹 from Food industry to cloth industry.
Then, food production is reduced.
𝑑𝑄𝐶 =1
−𝑑𝑄𝐹 is smaller. However,
the reduced amount of Food production is larger.
𝑑𝑄𝐶 =1 (As shown in the figure.)
A
B Why?
The economy produces at the point that maximizes the value of production given the prices it faces;
this is the point on the highest possible isovalue line. At that point, the opportunity cost of cloth in
terms of food is equal to the relative price of cloth, PC PF .
𝑃𝐶
Suppose that 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐴 < at point A.
𝑃𝐹 𝐴
B At point B,
𝑃𝐶
= 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐵
𝑃𝐹 𝐵
• At that point, the relative price of cloth equals the slope of the PPF, which equals
the opportunity cost of producing cloth.
If the relative price increases, more cloth and less food are produced along the
line of PPF.
So, the relative supply curve has an upward slope. see figure in the next page.
Relative Supply curve
𝑃𝐶
𝑄𝐹 𝑃𝐹
𝑃𝐶 RS line
𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐴 =
𝑃𝐹 𝐴
𝑃𝐶
A 𝑃𝐹 𝐵
B 𝑃𝐶
𝑃𝐶
𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐵 = 𝑃𝐹 𝐴
𝑃𝐹 𝐵 𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐹
𝑄𝐶 𝑄𝐶 𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐹 𝑄𝐹 𝐵
𝐴
Demand Side
• Same as in the Ricardian Trade Model.
Max 𝑼 = 𝑼 𝑸𝑭 , 𝑸𝑪 , given 𝐼 = 𝑃𝐶 𝑄𝐶 + 𝑃𝐹 Q 𝐹
Note: MRS (marginal rate of substitution) can be obtained from the utility function as follow.
𝑑𝑄𝐹 𝑀𝑈𝐶 1 𝑄𝐹
𝑀𝑅𝑆 ≡ − = =
𝑑𝑄𝐶 𝑀𝑈𝐹 2 𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐹
If the Utility function is Cobb-Douglas,
𝑃 1𝑄
then 𝑃𝐶 = 2 𝑄𝐹
𝐼 𝐹 𝐶
𝑃𝐹
𝑃𝐶
𝑃𝐹
𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐹
[Relative Demand ]
[Utility Maximization]
Relative Prices and Relative Demand
Relative Demand
• The relative demand for goods from this example as follows. (See the Figure)
𝑃𝐶 1 𝑄𝐹
=
𝑃𝐹 2 𝑄𝐶
• Note
(1) The right hand side is nothing but just the MRS. So, the relative demand function can be
obtained from the MRS directly, by equating it with the relative price.
(2) The right hand side (i.e. MRS) is only a function of relative quantity of goods, without
Income level (I).
Closed Economy’s Equilibrium
Example:
What if the economy is not in equilibrium?
𝑃𝐶
𝑃𝐹
𝑄𝐹
𝑃𝐶
RS
𝑀𝑅𝑆𝐴 =
𝑃𝐹 𝐴𝐵
𝑃𝐶
A 𝑃𝐹 𝐴𝐵
𝑃𝐶
𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐵 =
𝑃𝐹 𝐴𝐵
B RD
𝑃𝐶
𝑃𝐹 𝐴𝐵 𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐶 𝑄𝐹
𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐶
𝑄𝐹 𝐴
𝑄𝐹 𝐵
Cloth market: Excess Supply price of cloth will fall. Eventually, the relative price will fall.
Food market: Excess Demand price of food will rise.
Approach to the equilibrium as in the previous page.
Trade in the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
Assumption on 2 trading countries – Home and Foreign
• The countries are assumed to have the same technology and the same tastes.
With the same tastes, the two countries will consume cloth to food in the
same ratio when faced with the same relative price of cloth under free
trade.
Trade in the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
We assume that
Foreign is capital abundant and Home is labor abundant
𝐾 𝐾∗
< ∗
𝐿 𝐿
This assumption makes the following PPF lines for Home and Foreign.
Max QF*
Max QF
Home is labor-abundant and Cloth is labor intensive. So, given the same production
production for cloth between Home and Foreign, Home’s Maximum production for
cloth should be greater than Foreign’s.
𝜕𝑄𝐹 𝜕𝑄𝐹∗
Or, 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐴 = − < − ∗ = 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐴∗
𝜕𝑄𝐶 𝐴
𝜕𝑄𝐶 𝐴
Why?
A
Since Home is labor abundant,
At point A, 𝜕𝑄𝐹
Home is using more labor per capital 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝐴 = −
𝜕𝑄𝐶 𝐴
than Foreign.
Therefore, producing 1 more cloth, Foreign’s food production must be reduced more than Home’s.
Trade in the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
Now, from PPF to Relative Supply Curve
So,
• Home will have a larger relative supply of cloth to food than Foreign.
Home’s relative supply curve lies to the right of Foreign’s.
Suppose that the price of cloth to food is given for both countries.
QC/QF in Home is greater than QC*/QF* in Foreign.
𝑃 𝑃𝐶∗
If − 𝑃𝐶 = − 𝑃∗ ∗
𝑃𝐶∗
𝐹 𝐹 𝑀𝑅𝑇 = ∗
QF * 𝑃𝐹
Then,
𝑃𝐶
Each country equates 𝑀𝑅𝑇 =
the price ratio to 𝑃𝐹
MRT, to choose QF
optimal production.
Then,
RS* RS
𝑃𝐶 𝑃𝐶∗
=
𝑃𝐹 𝑃𝐹∗
𝑄𝐶∗ 𝑄𝐶 𝑄𝐶∗
𝑄𝐶 ,
𝑄𝐹∗ 𝑄𝐹 𝑄𝐹∗
𝑄𝐹
Trade in the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
• Now, suppose that the 2 countries are under Free Trade system.
𝑃𝐶 𝑃𝐶∗
=
𝑃𝐹 𝑃𝐹∗
𝑄𝐶∗ 𝑄𝐶 𝑄𝐶∗
𝑄𝐶 ,
𝑄𝐹∗ 𝑄𝐹 𝑄𝐹∗
𝑄𝐹
𝑄𝐶 + 𝑄𝐶∗
𝑄𝐹 + 𝑄𝐹∗
Equilibrium under Trade in the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
• Without Trade:
Home: RD meets RS
Foreign: RD meets RS*
• Trade:
𝑃𝐶∗
𝑃𝐹∗
𝑃𝐶 𝑃𝐶∗
=
𝑃𝐹 𝑃𝐹∗
𝑃𝐶
𝑃𝐹
RD
Trade leads to a world relative price that lies between the pre-trade
prices
With trade, the relative price of cloth rises in the relatively labor
abundant (home) country and falls in the relatively labor scarce
(foreign) country.
Trade in the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
Relative prices and the pattern of trade:
• In Home, the rise in the relative price of cloth leads to a rise in the
relative production of cloth and a fall in relative consumption of cloth.
Home becomes an exporter of cloth and an importer of food.
• In Foreign, the fall in the relative price of cloth leads to a fall in the
relative production of cloth and a rise in relative consumption of cloth.
Foreign becomes an importer of cloth and an exporter of food.
Home: Before and After Trade
Before Trade:
After Trade:
After Trade:
In our 2 country-model,
Home is a labor abundant. Home becomes an exporter of labor intensive goods.
Foreign is a capital abundant. Foreign becomes an exporter of capital intensive goods.
𝒅𝒘 𝒅𝑷𝑪 𝒅𝑷𝑭 𝒅𝒓
Home: > > >
𝒘 𝑷𝑪 𝑷𝑭 𝒓
Production function 𝑄𝐶 = 𝐹 𝐿𝐶 , 𝐾𝐶 , 𝑄𝐹 = 𝐺 𝐿𝐹 , 𝐾𝐹 ,
Suppose 𝑄𝐶 = 1, 𝑄𝐹 = 1.
To produce 1 unit, producers can mix labor and capital.
Figure 5.4 shows “Iso-quant line” for Food, as an example.
Figure 5.4 Input Possibilities in Food Production
Example:
1/3 2/3
𝑄𝐹 = 𝐾𝐹 𝐿𝐹 = 1 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑒
A farmer can produce a calorie of food with
less capital if he or she uses more labor, and
vice versa.
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
MRTS = MRTS = a slope of tangent line
𝑘
Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution, along the “iso-quant line”
given a production level.
𝑑𝑘 𝑀𝑃𝐿
𝑑𝑙=+1 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆 ≡ − =
- If the production function is given,
𝑑𝑙 𝑀𝑃𝐾
Then MRTS can be defined as follows.
𝑑𝑘= - ???
𝑑𝑄 = 0
𝜕𝑓(𝑘,𝑙) 𝜕𝑓(𝑘,𝑙)
= × 𝑑𝑘+ × 𝑑𝑙
𝜕𝑘 𝜕𝑙
𝑸=𝟏
= 𝑀𝑃𝐾 × 𝑑𝑘 + 𝑀𝑃𝐿 × 𝑑𝑙
𝑑𝑘 𝑀𝑃𝐿 𝑙
− =
𝑑𝑙 𝑀𝑃𝐾
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
Now, Consider Cost-Minimization, given the iso-quant line
𝑀𝑃𝐿 𝑤
(i) 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆 ≡ =
𝑀𝑃𝐾 𝑟
(ii) 𝑓 𝑘, 𝑙 = 1
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
Unit Cost line:
𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖 𝑤
𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖 = 𝑟𝑘𝑖 + 𝑤𝑙𝑖 𝑘𝑖 = − 𝑙
𝑟 𝑟 𝑖
Figure shows the cost minimizing (ki, li) satisfies:
𝑀𝑃𝐿 𝑤
(i) 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆 ≡ =
𝑀𝑃𝐾 𝑟
(ii) 𝑓 𝑘𝑖 , 𝑙𝑖 = 1
What if w/r increases?
𝑘𝑖′
𝑘𝑖′ B
𝑙𝑖′
A 𝑘𝑖
𝑙𝑖
𝑙𝑖′ 𝑤
𝑤′ 𝑤′
𝑟′ 𝑟 𝑟′
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
• Their choice of inputs depends on the wage, w, paid to labor and the rental rate,
r, paid when renting capital.
• As the wage w increases relative to the rental rate r, producers use less labor and
more capital in the production of both food and cloth.
𝑤
if increases, choose less l and more k.
𝑟
𝑤
if decreases, choose more l and less k.
𝑟
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
• We have two goods, cloth and food
In each industry, the optimal mix of inputs should be determined by cost minimization
Remember:
• Assumption on sector characteristics (Heckscher-Ohlin Model)
At any given factor prices, cloth production uses more labor relative to capital than food
production uses:
𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐶
>
𝑙𝐹 𝑙𝐶
• Production of cloth is relatively labor intensive, while production of food is
relatively capital intensive.
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐶
𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐶
>
𝑙𝐹 𝑙𝐶
𝑘𝐹
𝑄𝐹 = 1 𝑘𝐶
𝑙𝐹 𝑄𝐶 = 1
𝑙𝐹 𝑤 𝑙𝐶 𝑤 𝑙𝐶
𝑟 Same factor price 𝑟
Same slope
Choosing the Mix of Inputs
𝑘𝑖
𝑙𝑖 Suppose w/r is given.
𝑤
𝑤 𝑟
𝑟
Figure 5.5 Factor Prices and Input Choices
𝑙𝐹 𝑙𝐶
𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐶
Then, the optimal inputs and the unit costs are calculated as follows.
Cloth:
𝑤 −1/3 𝑤 2/3
(i)𝑙𝐶 = ,𝑘𝐶 = ;
2𝑟 2𝑟
1/3 −2/3
(ii) unit-cost = 𝑟𝑘𝐶 + 𝑤𝑙𝐶 = 2 + 2 𝑤 2/3 𝑟1/3 = 𝐴 𝑤 2/3 𝑟1/3 ; and
𝑘𝐶 𝑤
(iii) =
𝑙𝐶 2𝑟
Food:
2𝑤 −2/3 2𝑤 1/3
(i)𝑙𝐹 = ,𝑘𝐹 = ;
𝑟 𝑟
1/3 −2/3
(ii) unit-cost = 𝑟𝑘𝐹 + 𝑤𝑙𝐹 = 2 + 2 𝑤 1/3 𝑟 2/3 = 𝐴 𝑤 1/3 𝑟 2/3 ; and
𝑘𝐹 2𝑤
(iii) =
𝑙𝐹 𝑟
(2) Zero-profit
• Under a perfect competition, profit should be 0.
For 1 unit of sales, Price = unit cost
𝑘𝐹 𝑑𝑟 + 𝑙𝐹 𝑑𝑤 = 0 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑘𝐶 𝑑𝑟 + 𝑙𝐶 𝑑𝑤=0
𝑑𝑟
− Industry characteristics assumed
𝑑𝑤 𝐹
𝑑𝑟 𝑙𝐹 𝑙𝐶 𝑑𝑟
B − = < = −
𝑑𝑤 𝐹
𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐶 𝑑𝑤 𝐶
𝑑𝑟
−
𝑑𝑤 𝐶
See the point B.
From 𝑃𝐹 = 𝑟𝑘𝐹 + 𝑤𝑙𝐹 , take the total differentiation with respect to, PF, w, and r.
From 𝑃𝐶 = 𝑟𝑘𝐶 + 𝑤𝑙𝐶 , take the total differentiation with respect to, PC, w, and r.
𝑑𝑘 𝑤
This is because of the cost minimization: 𝑀𝑅𝑇𝑆 ≡ − 𝑑𝑙 𝑖 = 𝑟
, for i=C, F
𝑖
Factor Prices and Goods Prices
Summary:
• In competitive markets, the price of a good should equal the unit cost of the production, which
depends on the factor prices.
• How changes in the wage and rent affect the cost of producing a good depends on the mix of
factors used.
An increase in the rental price of capital should affect the price of food more than the price
of cloth since food is the capital intensive industry.
An increase in the wage rate for labor should affect the price of cloth more than the price of
food since cloth is the labor intensive industry.
w
• Changes in are tied to changes in PC .
r PW
Figure 5.6 Factor Prices and Goods Prices
From our mathematical example:
w
As increases, 𝑃𝐶 𝑤 1Τ3
r 𝑃𝐹
=
𝑟
PC
. should increases as well.
PW
Alternatively,
PC
As . increases,
PW
w
should increase as well.
r
Because cloth production is labor-intensive while food
production is capital-intensive,
the higher the relative cost of labor, the higher must be the
relative price of the labor-intensive good.
Stolper-Samuelson theorem:
Now we are ready to understand the Stolper-Samuelson theorem:
Stolper-Samuelson theorem:
Free trade enhances real income for the abundant factor and deteriorates real
income for the scarce factor.
𝒅𝒘 𝒅𝑷𝑪 𝒅𝑷𝑭 𝒅𝒓
Home: > > >
𝒘 𝑷𝑪 𝑷𝑭 𝒓
Now we divide both sides by prices of goods or unit cost: 𝑃𝑖 = 𝐶𝑖 (= 𝑟𝑘𝑖 + 𝑤𝑙𝑖 )
𝑑𝑃𝐹 𝑑𝑟 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑋
= 𝜃𝐹𝐾 + 𝜃𝐹𝐿 Note: About
𝑃𝐹 𝑟 𝑤 𝑋
𝑑𝑃𝐶 𝑑𝑟 𝑑𝑤 𝑋2 −𝑋1
= 𝜃𝐶𝐾 + 𝜃𝐶𝐿
𝑃𝐶 𝑟 𝑤 𝑋1
Why?
(1) 0 < 𝜃𝐹𝐾 < 1; the percentage change of a product price is
0 < 𝜃𝐹𝐿 < 1; “weighted average” of percentage change of two factor prices (w, r).
0 < 𝜃𝐶𝐾 < 1; Percentage change of a price must be in between percentage
0 < 𝜃𝐶𝐿 < 1; changes in the two factor prices.
(2) Free trade system makes the price of Cloth increased and the price of Food decreased in Home.
𝑑𝑃 𝑑𝑃
That is, 𝑃 𝐶 > 0 > 𝑃 𝐹 as a result of free trade in Home.
𝐶 𝐹
+ -
PC increases and PF decreases in 𝑑𝑃𝐶 𝑑𝑃𝐹
Home due to Free Trade >0>
𝑃𝐶 𝑃𝐹
+ -
w increases and r decreases in Home 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑟
as a result of free trade >0>
𝑤 𝑟
Stolper-Samuelson theorem:
• How about Foreign? Mirror Image!!
- - + +
𝒅𝒘∗ 𝒅𝑷∗𝑪 𝒅𝑷∗𝑭 𝒅𝒓∗
Foreign: < <𝟎< <
𝒘∗ 𝑷∗𝑪 𝑷∗𝑭 𝒓∗
𝒅𝒘 𝒅𝑷𝑪 𝒅𝑷𝑭 𝒅𝒓
Home: > >𝟎> >
𝒘 𝑷𝑪 𝑷𝑭 𝒓
+ + - -
• Stolper-Samuelson theorem:
Free trade enhances real income for the abundant factor and deteriorates real
income for the scarce factor.
Stolper-Samuelson theorem: Mathematical example
• In our example: We prove the theorem for Home.
𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑟
we can solve the two equations with respect to and for Home country as follows.
𝑤 𝑟
𝑑𝑃𝐹 2 𝑑𝑟 1 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑃𝐶 1 𝑑𝑟 2 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑟
• = + and = + solve the system of equations for and
𝑃𝐹 3 𝑟 3 𝑤 𝑃𝐶 3 𝑟 3 𝑤 𝑤 𝑟
• We can repeat the same process for Foreign to prove the opposite inequality result.
Rybczynski theorem: Resources and Output
• How do levels of output change when the economy’s resources change?
• Rybczynski theorem:
Why?
(1) At a given relative price of cloth, the ratio of labor to capital used in both
sectors remains constant. (by the choice of “cost-minimization)
(2) To employ the additional workers, the economy expands production of the
relatively labor-intensive good cloth and contracts production of the relatively
capital-intensive good food.
Figure 5.8 Resources and Production Possibilities
Small expansion
Same price ratio given.
Rybczynski line
Large expansion
An increase in the supply of labor shifts the economy’s production possibility frontier outward
disproportionately in the direction of cloth production.
At an unchanged relative price of cloth, food production declines.
Rybczynski theorem
𝐾 = 𝐾𝐹 +𝐾𝐶 = 𝑘𝐹 𝑄𝐹 + 𝑘𝐶 𝑄𝐶
𝐿 = 𝐿𝐹 +𝐿𝐶 = 𝑙𝐹 𝑄𝐹 + 𝑙𝐶 𝑄𝐶
𝑑𝑄 𝑘
So, the Rybczynki line = 𝑑𝑄𝐹 = − 𝑘𝐶 < 0
𝐶 𝐹
Try: Can you find out the Rybczynski line when K increases in Home?
Rybczynski theorem
𝐾 = 𝐾𝐹 +𝐾𝐶 = 𝑘𝐹 𝑄𝐹 + 𝑘𝐶 𝑄𝐶
𝐿 = 𝐿𝐹 +𝐿𝐶 = 𝑙𝐹 𝑄𝐹 + 𝑙𝐶 𝑄𝐶
1∗𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐹 1∗𝑘𝐶 𝑘𝐶
For 𝑄𝐹 =1, Home uses = . And For 𝑄𝐶 =1, Home uses = .
1∗𝑙𝐹 𝑙𝐹 1∗𝑙𝐶 𝑙𝐶
𝑘𝐹 𝑄𝐹 𝑘𝐹 𝑘𝐶 𝑄𝐶 𝑘𝐶
For 𝑄𝐹 > 0, Home uses = . And For 𝑄𝐶 > 0, Home uses = .
𝑙𝐹 𝑄𝐹 𝑙𝐹 𝑙𝐶 𝑄𝐶 𝑙𝐶
𝐿 = 𝐿𝐹 +𝐿𝐶
= 𝑙𝐹 𝑄𝐹 + 𝑙𝐶 𝑄𝐶
Rybczynski theorem
• To understand the theorem, let us increase L. 𝑄𝐹 > 𝑄𝐹′ and 𝑄𝐶 < 𝑄𝐶′
𝑤 𝑤∗
(1) = ; and (2) 𝑤 = 𝑤 ∗ , 𝑟 = 𝑟 ∗ .
𝑟 𝑟∗
𝑃𝐶 𝑤 1Τ3
=
𝑃𝐹 𝑟
𝑃𝐶 𝑤 1Τ3
=
𝑃𝐹 𝑟
Foreign’s prices under Autarky
𝑤 = 𝑃𝐹 𝑀𝑃𝐿𝐹 = 𝑃𝐶 𝑀𝑃𝐿𝐶
𝑟 = 𝑃𝐹 𝑀𝑃𝐾𝐹 = 𝑃𝐶 𝑀𝑃𝐾𝐶
𝑘𝑖
Note: MPL and MPK are the function of 𝑙𝑖
In our mathematical example:
𝑘
(1) the marginal product of labor and capitals are the function of 𝑙 due to the constant returns to scale as
follows.
𝑘𝐶 𝑘𝐹
So, When 𝑙𝐶
is the same in both countries, and 𝑙𝐹
is also the same in both countries,
The MPL and MPK are also the same in both countries.
(2) Since the prices of cloth and food are the same in both countries,
𝑤 = 𝑤∗
𝑟 = 𝑟∗
Empirical Evidence
(1) Stolper-Samuelson Theorem
Did trade actually cause income inequality within a country?
Changes in relative prices can affect the earnings of labor and capital.
(1) A rise in the price of cloth raises the purchasing power of wage rate in terms of
both goods while lowering the purchasing power of rental price in terms of both
goods.
(2) A rise in the price of food raises the purchasing power of rental price in terms of
both goods while lowering the purchasing power of wage rate in terms of both goods.
Trade and the Distribution of Income
• Thus, theoretically, international trade can affect the distribution of
income, even in the long run:
Economists put most of the blame on technological change and the resulting
premium paid on education as the major cause of increasing income inequality in
the United States.
Regarding Trade:
• It would be better to compensate the losers from trade (or any economic change) than
prohibit trade.
• The economy as a whole does benefit from trade.
North-South Trade and Income Inequality
• Over the last 40 years, countries such as South Korea, Mexico, and China
have exported to the United States goods intensive in unskilled labor
(e.g., clothing, shoes, toys, assembled goods).
• At the same time, income inequality has increased in the United States,
as wages of unskilled workers have grown slowly compared to those of
skilled workers.
Examples: Mexico
• Wages of skilled labor have increased more rapidly in Mexico
than wages of unskilled labor.
• But compared to the United States and Canada, Mexico is
supposed to be abundant in unskilled workers.
North-South Trade and Income Inequality
3. Even if the model were exactly correct, trade is a small fraction of the
U.S. economy, so its effects on U.S. product prices and factor prices
(wages of skilled and unskilled workers) should be small.
In sum,
• The majority view of trade economists is that the villain is not trade
but rather new production technologies that put a greater emphasis on
worker skills (such as the widespread introduction of computers and
other advanced technologies in the workplace).
Sectors are grouped based on their skill intensity. The non-production–production employment ratio has
increased over time in all four sector groups.
Source: NBER-CES Manufacturing Productivity Database.
Capital-Skill Complementarity
• Next, Figure 5.12 shows that the trend toward lower labor income share
(and higher capital shares) is a worldwide phenomenon.
Experienced in labor-abundant countries (including China, India, and
Mexico) to the same extent as it has been for capital-abundant countries
such as the United States.
Logics summarized:
(1) Free trade equalizes relative output prices.
(2) Due to the connection between output prices and factor prices, factor
prices (in level and in ratio both) are also equalized.
(3) why? Trade increases the demand of goods produced by relatively
abundant factors, indirectly increasing the demand of these factors, raising
the prices of the relatively abundant factors.
Factor Price Equalization
• However, in the real world, we observe that factor prices are actually not equal
across countries.
See table 5.1
(1) The model assumes that trading countries produce the same goods, but
countries may produce different goods if their factor ratios radically differ.
(2) The model also assumes that trading countries have the same technology, but
different technologies could affect the productivities of factors and therefore the
wages/rates paid to these factors.
Table 5.1 Comparative International Wage Rates
Country Hourly Compensation of Manufacturing Workers 2016 (United States = 100)
Switzerland 154.64
Germany 110.63
United States 100.00
United Kingdom 72.79
Japan 67.80
South Korea 58.87
Argentina 42.97
Greece 40.22
Portugal 28.08
Czech Republic 27.43
Poland 21.83
Brazil 20.45
Turkey 15.61
Mexico 10.02
Philippines 5.27
(4) The model predicts outcomes for the long run, but after an economy
liberalizes trade, factors of production may not quickly move to the industries
that intensively use abundant factors.
In the short run, the productivity of factors will be determined by their
use in their current industry, so that their wage/rental rate may vary
across countries.
(3) Empirical Evidence on the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
• Tests on U.S. data
• Leontief found that U.S. exports were less capital-intensive than
U.S. imports, even though the United States is the most capital-
abundant country in the world: Leontief paradox.
blank
Imports Exports
Capital per million dollars $2,132,000 $1,876,000
Labor (person-years) per million dollars 119 131
Capital-labor ratio (dollars per worker) $17,916 $14,321
Average years of education per worker 9.9 10.1
Proportion of engineers and scientists in work force 0.0189 0.0255
Source: Robert Baldwin, “Determinants of the Commodity Structure of U.S. Trade,” American
Economic Review 61 (March 1971), pp. 126-145.
Empirical Evidence on the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
• Contrast the exports of labor-abundant, skill-scarce nations in the
developing world with the exports of skill-abundant, labor-scarce (rich)
nations.
The exports of the three developing countries to the United States are
concentrated in sectors with the lowest skill intensity.
The exports of the three skill abundant countries to the United States are
concentrated in sectors with higher skill intensity.
Figure 5.13 Export Patterns for a Few Developed and
Developing Countries, 2008–2012
Source: NBER-CES U.S. Manufacturing Productivity Database, U.S. Census Bureau, and Peter K.
Schott, “The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports,” Economic Policy (2008), pp. 5–49.
Empirical Evidence on the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
China’s export over time
• Or compare how exports change when a country such as China grows and becomes
relatively more skill-abundant:
In the most recent years, the greatest share of exports is transacted in the highest
skill-intensity sectors, whereas exports were concentrated in the lowest skill-
intensity sectors in the earlier years.
Figure 5.14 Changing Pattern of Chinese Exports over Time
Source: NBER-CES U.S. Manufacturing Productivity Database, U.S. Census Bureau, and Peter K.
Schott, “The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports,” Economic Policy (2008), pp. 5–49.
(4) Missing Trade
Now, Back to the Factor Price Equalization:
The model predicts that until factor prices are equalized between countries, factors
(workers and capital owners) will keep increasing and producing export products.
The theoretically predicted volume of trade is the maximized one when the factor
prices are equalized finally.
• But, in a real world because factor prices are not actually equalized across countries,
the theoretically predicted volume of trade is much larger than actually occurs.
Country
Bangladesh 0.03
Thailand 0.17
Hong Kong 0.40
Japan 0.70
West Germany 0.78
United States 1
Source: Daniel Trefler, “The Case of the Missing Trade and Other mysteries,” American
Economic Review (December 1995), pp. 1029–1046.
Empirical Evidence on the Heckscher-Ohlin Model
• An important study by Donald Davis and David Weinstein showed that
if relax the assumption of common technologies, along with assumptions
underlying factor price equalization (countries produce the same goods
and costless trade equalizes prices of goods):
then the predictions for the direction and volume of the factor content
of trade line-up well with empirical evidence and ultimately generate a
good fit.
Assumptions: (1) common technologies across countries; (2) countries produce the same set
of goods; and (3) costless trade equalizes goods prices.
Source: Donald R. Davis and David Weinstein, “An Account of Global Factor Trade,” American Economic
Review (2001), pp. 1423–1453.