Copy of 8 In class examples (Excel)
Copy of 8 In class examples (Excel)
Regression Statistics
0.987487
0.975131
0.972022
47.31049
19
df SS MS F Significance F
2 1404224 702111.9 313.6833 1.463E-13
16 35812.52 2238.283
18 1440036
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
2468.293 72.93561 33.84208 2.566E-16 2313.676 2622.909 2313.676 2622.909
-478.3224 19.18694 -24.92958 3.128E-14 -518.9969 -437.6479 -518.9969 -437.6479
90.17853 22.72439 3.968358 0.001103 42.00497 138.3521 42.00497 138.3521
1123.504 66.49581
1027.84 5.160287
932.1752 -35.17524
836.5108 -47.51077
740.8463 -34.84629
645.1818 -50.18182
549.5173 -37.51734
453.8529 -20.85287
358.1884 36.8116
262.5239 41.47608
166.8594 76.14055
1033.326 90.67434
937.6612 36.33882
841.9967 -11.99671
746.3322 -44.33224
650.6678 -31.66776
555.0033 -26.00329
459.3388 -8.338816
363.6743 -4.674342
PRICE (X1) DEMAND (Y) PRICE (X1)ADVERTISEMENT (X2)
$3.00 1190 $3.00 1
$3.20 1033 $3.20 1
$3.40 897 $3.40 1
$3.60 789 $3.60 1
$3.80 706 $3.80 1
$4.00 595 $4.00 1
$4.20 512 $4.20 1
$4.40 433 $4.40 1
$4.60 395 $4.60 1
$4.80 304 $4.80 1
$5.00 243 $5.00 1
$3.00 1124 $3.00 0
$3.20 974 $3.20 0
$3.40 830 $3.40 0
$3.60 702 $3.60 0
$3.80 619 $3.80 0
$4.00 529 $4.00 0
$4.20 451 $4.20 0
$4.40 359 $4.40 0
$4.60 296 $4.60 0
$4.80 247 $4.80 0
$5.00 194 $5.00 0
Observation
DEMAND (Y)
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
$2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.987527 PR
R Square 0.975209 150
Adjusted R 0.9726 100
Residuals
Standard Er 49.87609 50
Observatio 22 0
$2.50
-50
ANOVA -100
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 1859299 929649.5 373.7097 5.568E-16
Residual 19 47264.87 2487.625
Total 21 1906564
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 2400.182 68.91373 34.82879 1.115E-18 2255.944 2544.42 2255.944 2544.42
PRICE (X1) -456.2955 16.81323 -27.13908 1.166E-16 -491.4859 -421.105 -491.4859 -421.105
ADVERTISE 70.18182 21.26724 3.299997 0.003765 25.66898 114.6947 25.66898 114.6947
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted DEMAND Residuals
(Y) RRR
1 1101.477 88.52273
2 1010.218 22.78182
3 918.9591 -21.95909
4 827.7 -38.7
5 736.4409 -30.44091
6 645.1818 -50.18182
7 553.9227 -41.92273
8 462.6636 -29.66364
9 371.4045 23.59545
10 280.1455 23.85455
11 188.8864 54.11364
12 1031.295 92.70455
13 940.0364 33.96364
14 848.7773 -18.77727
15 757.5182 -55.51818
16 666.2591 -47.25909
17 575 -46
18 483.7409 -32.74091
19 392.4818 -33.48182
20 301.2227 -5.222727
21 209.9636 37.03636
22 118.7045 75.29545
PRICE (X1) Residual Plot
150
100 ADVERTISEMENT (X2)
Residual Plot
Residuals
50
0
150
$2.50
-50 $3.00
100 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50
Residuals
-100 50
0
-50 0 PRICE (X1)
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
-100
ADVERTISEMENT (X2)
SALARY (Y) EXP (X) SQ_EXP (SQ_X) SUMMARY OUTPUT
24833 1 1
22444 2 4 Regression Statistics
20521 2 4 Multiple R 0.9108906
20844 3 9 R Square 0.8297217
16105 4 16 Adjusted R0.8135048
26075 7 49 Standard Er5619.3414
22210 7 49 Observatio 24
32562 8 64
33233 11 121 ANOVA
38371 11 121 df SS MS
32586 12 144 Regression 2 3231196786 1615598393
32303 12 144 Residual 21 663116951 31576997.659
33697 13 169 Total 23 3894313737
41154 15 225
38853 15 225 CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat
54288 16 256 Intercept 20372.252 3817.877801 5.3360145969
50594 17 289 EXP (X) 263.17043 861.8681739 0.3053488171
41983 18 324 SQ_EXP (SQ76.769123 40.01402219 1.9185555278
58667 18 324
49727 18 324
39346 18 324 f 3.2540971
62308 19 361 p 0.0058434 0.011686814
46216 19 361 >0.05
52745 19 361 reject the null hypothesis, in the other word, you are likely to have some
word, you are likely to have some error in your regression model
F Significance F
5.7950726 0.0120497
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
0.9415927 -595865 639400.9 -595865 639400.9
0.9919333 -50523.06 50034.059 -50523.06 50034.059
0.8690569 -937.451 1098.9969 -937.451 1098.9969
SALARY (Y) EXP (X) SQ_EXP (SQ_X) SUMMARY OUTPUT
24833 1 1
22444 2 4 Regression Statistics
20521 2 4 Multiple R 0.9108906
20844 3 9 R Square 0.8297217
16105 4 16 Adjusted R 0.8135048
26075 7 49 Standard Er5619.3414
22210 7 49 Observatio 24
32562 8 64
33233 11 121 ANOVA
38371 11 121 df SS MS
32586 12 144 Regression 2 3231196786.11 1615598393
32303 12 144 Residual 21 663116950.847 31576997.659
33697 13 169 Total 23 3894313737
41154 15 225
38853 15 225 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
54288 16 256 Intercept 20372.252 3817.87780075 5.3360145969
50594 17 289 EXP (X) 263.17043 861.868173921 0.3053488171
41983 18 324 SQ_EXP (SQ76.769123 40.0140221859 1.9185555278
58667 18 324
49727 18 324
39346 18 324
62308 19 361
46216 19 361
52745 19 361
F Significance F
15.727364 6.692122E-05
Regression Statistics
0.509404
0.259493
0.103596
14.85762 14.85762
24
df SS MS F Significance F
4 1469.763 367.440717115949 1.6645198507 0.199644
19 4194.227 220.748774466818
23 5663.99
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-15.35316 11.03386 -1.39145816737429 0.1801651867 -38.44729 7.740981 -38.44729 7.740981
0.362873 0.167908 2.16113972499557 0.0436606887 0.011437 0.714309 0.011437 0.714309
5.03668 10.29841 0.489073456667772 0.630387681 -16.51814 26.5915 -16.51814 26.5915
13.38353 7.689317 1.74053568073767 0.097936277 -2.710395 29.47746 -2.710395 29.47746
-1.106092 8.422569 -0.131324744341461 0.8968990237 -18.73473 16.52255 -18.73473 16.52255
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
incorrect sd has been used, so don’t use this
Predicted SALESResiduals
(Y) Standard Residuals
6.165216 0.134784 0.0099810858228024 0.0090717416
6.528089 0.071911 0.00532519813077222 0.0048400367
14.43872 -6.838721 -0.50642234300803 -0.4602838538
-3.632357 6.632357 0.491140614766139 0.4463943941
20.2084 -10.7084 -0.792980772063801 -0.7207348784
4.278276 1.621724 0.120092254125502 0.1091510403
4.387138 1.712862 0.126841229846734 0.1152851388
3.262231 1.737769 0.128685607647455 0.1169614813
-2.035715 5.635715 0.417337124732428 0.3793148995
-1.752673 4.552673 0.337135421912007 0.3064201124
10.58501 -3.885011 -0.28769362126883 -0.2614827931
5.867661 -0.667661 -0.0494418006431763 -0.0449373193
25.53615 56.46385 4.18127219944115 3.8003301167 more than 3 sd from the mean
15.55714 -10.55714 -0.781779657053712 -0.7105542604
13.05332 -9.153319 -0.677823397724378 -0.6160691171
17.08121 -11.68121 -0.865019277585724 -0.7862101904
12.90817 -8.80817 -0.652264338563664 -0.5928386605
8.771417 -5.671417 -0.419980894240015 -0.3817178037
15.99259 -10.59259 -0.784404634273661 -0.7129400845
10.06677 -1.666772 -0.12342812883847 -0.1121829943
13.04233 -3.542331 -0.262317400269699 -0.2384185169
9.812761 -1.112761 -0.0824023853203312 -0.0748949726
15.61873 -5.01873 -0.371647969153171 -0.3377883339
-8.040593 11.34059 0.839795883581672 0.7632848176
TRAFFIC (X1) Residual Plot
80
60 x2 Residual Plot
Residuals
40 80
20 60 x3 Residual Plot
Residuals
0 40 80
-20 10 20 2030 40
Residuals 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
60
x4 Residual Plot
0 TRAFFIC (X1)80
40
-20 0 0.2
20 0.4
60
0.6 0.8 1 1.2
0 Residuals
40 x2
-20 0 0.2
20 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
0 x3
Upper 95.0%
-20 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
x4
Year Sales SUMMARY OUTPUT
1 4.8
2 4 Regression Statistics
3 5.5 Multiple R 0.98994167703
4 15.6 R Square 0.97998452393
5 23.1 Adjusted R Square 0.97937799435
6 23.3 Standard Error 6.38524232762
7 31.4 Observations 35
8 46
9 46.1 ANOVA
10 41.9 df SS MS
11 45.5 Regression 1 65875.2081681 65875.2081680672
12 53.5 Residual 33 1345.45354622 40.7713195823784
13 48.4 Total 34 67220.6617143
14 61.6
15 65.6 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
16 71.4 Intercept 0.40151260504 2.20570828974 0.18203341163037
17 83.4 Year 4.2956302521 0.10686691583 40.1960720855648
18 93.6
19 94.2
20 85.4
21 86.2 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
22 89.9
23 89.2 Observation Predicted Sales Residuals Standard Residuals
24 99.1 1 4.69714285714 0.10285714286 0.01635082088512
25 100.3 2 8.99277310924 -4.9927731092 -0.793682738618
26 111.7 3 13.2884033613 -7.7884033613 -1.2380937755511
27 108.2 4 17.5840336134 -1.9840336134 -0.31539451070069
28 115.5 5 21.8796638655 1.22033613445 0.19399233733144
29 119.2 6 26.1752941176 -2.8752941176 -0.4570749080108
30 125.2 7 30.4709243697 0.92907563025 0.14769172851786
31 136.3 8 34.7665546218 11.2334453782 1.7857394070922
32 146.8 9 39.0621848739 7.03781512605 1.11877553033388
33 146.1 10 43.3578151261 -1.4578151261 -0.23174349731621
34 151.4 11 47.6534453782 -2.1534453782 -0.34232527451148
35 150.9 12 51.9490756303 1.55092436975 0.2465447306011
13 56.2447058824 -7.8447058824 -1.24704397979377
14 60.5403361345 1.05966386555 0.16845085895534
15 64.8359663866 0.76403361345 0.12145560742442
16 69.1315966387 2.26840336134 0.36059972138308
17 73.4272268908 9.97277310924 1.58533498313914
18 77.7228571429 15.8771428571 2.52393087940563
19 82.018487395 12.181512605 1.93645015972775
20 86.3141176471 -0.9141176471 -0.14531391306235
21 90.6097478992 -4.4097478992 -0.70100136990807
22 94.9053781513 -5.0053781513 -0.79568651568725
23 99.2010084034 -10.001008403 -1.58982344377428
24 103.496638655 -4.3966386555 -0.69891744175605
25 107.792268908 -7.4922689076 -1.19101837293741
26 112.08789916 -0.3878991597 -0.06166289967787
27 116.383529412 -8.1835294118 -1.30090550741534
28 120.679159664 -5.1791596639 -0.82331192221538
29 124.974789916 -5.774789916 -0.91799706799456
30 129.270420168 -4.0704201681 -0.64705969120374
31 133.56605042 2.73394957983 0.43460588780755
32 137.861680672 8.93831932773 1.42089167832231
33 142.157310924 3.94268907563 0.62675475023528
34 146.452941176 4.94705882353 0.7864157071135
35 150.748571429 0.15142857143 0.02407204185864
Year Residual Plot
20
15
10
Residuals
5
0
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-10
-15
Year
F Significance F
1615.724 1.306E-29
numerator
25.96545
7.815549
33.69071
10.26799
16.77419
14.47323
106.18
17.60331
72.17573
0.483901
13.72236
88.27787
79.2878
0.087397
2.263128
59.35731
34.86158
13.65768
171.4955
12.21943
0.354775
24.95632
31.40896
9.582927
50.47207
60.77185
9.026238
0.354775
2.904876
46.29945
38.4942
24.95632
1.008759
22.99807
1104.25 0.820727
al Plot
0 25 30 35 40
Year Sales SUMMARY OUTPUT
1 4.8
2 4 Regression Statistics
3 5.5 Multiple R 0.9854108032
4 15.6 R Square 0.97103445106
5 23.1 Adjusted R Square 0.96999996717
6 23.3 Standard Error 6.4036709877
7 31.4 Observations 30
8 46
9 46.1 ANOVA
10 41.9 df SS MS
11 45.5 Regression 1 38491.8626073 38491.8626073415
12 53.5 Residual 28 1148.19605933 41.0070021187563
13 48.4 Total 29 39640.0586667
14 61.6
15 65.6 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
16 71.4 Intercept 2.14781609195 2.3980006659 0.89566951439793
17 83.4 Year 4.13842046719 0.1350763013 30.63765018344
18 93.6
19 94.2
20 85.4
21 86.2 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
22 89.9
23 89.2 Observation Predicted Sales Residuals numerator
24 99.1 1 6.28623655914 -1.4862365591
25 100.3 2 10.4246570263 -6.4246570263 24.3879967107192
26 111.7 3 14.5630774935 -9.0630774935 6.96126256166474
27 108.2 4 18.7014979607 -3.1014979607 35.5404305260696
28 115.5 5 22.8399184279 0.26008157212 11.3002169554356
29 119.2 6 26.9783388951 -3.6783388951 15.5111557763477
30 125.2 7 31.1167593623 0.28324063775 15.6941123948126
8 35.2551798294 10.7448201706 109.444646321398
9 39.3936002966 6.70639970337 16.3088398697848
10 43.5320207638 -1.6320207638 69.5292558875824
11 47.670441231 -2.170441231 0.28989659948454
12 51.8088616982 1.69113830182 14.9117964882498
13 55.9472821654 -7.5472821654 85.3484127285168
14 60.0857026326 1.51429736745 82.1122236295179
15 64.2241230997 1.37587690026 0.01916022573592
16 68.3625435669 3.03745643307 2.7608465438672
17 72.5009640341 10.8990359659 61.8044327507636
18 76.6393845013 16.9606154987 36.7427464326324
19 80.7778049685 13.4221950315 12.5204194025991
20 84.9162254357 0.48377456433 167.402724185692
21 89.0546459029 -2.8546459029 11.1450512157248
22 93.19306637 -3.29306637 0.19221250604738
23 97.3314868372 -8.1314868372 23.410312617282
24 101.469907304 -2.3699073044 33.1957987129438
25 105.608327772 -5.3083277716 8.63431484197621
26 109.746748239 1.95325176122 52.7305373113869
27 113.885168706 -5.685168706 58.3454672335224
28 118.023589173 -2.5235891732 9.99558514230993
29 122.16200964 -2.9620096403 0.19221250604738
30 126.300430108 -1.1004301075 3.46547835699286
969.897546435107
F Significance F
938.6656 4.434E-23