The SNA Group Project focuses on pricing under network effects in the real estate market, specifically near IIM Calcutta. Students are tasked with simulating the sale of plots in an under-developed area, considering factors such as reservation prices and network effects to maximize revenue. The project requires the use of specific functions and parameters, with a report and presentation due on November 18 and 19, 2024, respectively.
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2024-Term v-SNA Project Description
The SNA Group Project focuses on pricing under network effects in the real estate market, specifically near IIM Calcutta. Students are tasked with simulating the sale of plots in an under-developed area, considering factors such as reservation prices and network effects to maximize revenue. The project requires the use of specific functions and parameters, with a report and presentation due on November 18 and 19, 2024, respectively.
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SNA Group Project
Full Marks 50 (out of 100 for the course)
Groups (Four members per group): Already formed. Project Title: Pricing under network effects in the real estate context Learning Goal: To appreciate and demonstrate how positive network effect operates in the market.
The Problem Description (elaborated in class as well):
IIM Calcutta campus is located at the southern city boundary of Kolkata. If one goes further south along Diamond Harbour Road one would see the villages of the district of South 24 Parganas. Over time the real estate prices within Kolkata city limits have been skyrocketing. This led to real estate constructions at the city periphery and beyond. The amenities such as schools, hospitals, sewerage, good roads, public transportation, shopping complexes, spread of electrification etc at places beyond city limits are usually inferior to their city counterparts and consequently, the real estate prices reduce significantly as one moves away from the city. However, as a large number of housings are set up at a relatively remote location even with inadequate support infrastructure, the necessary utilities such as roads, shopping malls may get developed by the Government and/or interested private players depending on demand created by people who may buy properties there. If such infrastructure developments take places real estate prices in that area increase and initial investors see their property prices appreciate. In contrast, if not many people buy properties there then infrastructure development may slow down consequent to which real estate prices do not go up and may even come down as the place may not considered a very promising option for investment. In summary, the prospect of appreciation depends much on how many others would invest in land or properties of the region.
Suppose, as a business venture, in one such under-
developed area about ten kilometres further south of IIM Calcutta campus, you have purchased a huge area of land from local people and have demarcated plots for individual housing. Of course, you planned and kept necessary spaces for future roads and other common utilities for would be inhabitants. Considering your total cost of procurement, your average cost per saleable plot of land turned out to be INR 40,00000. There are 1000 such plots and your plan is to sell those plots and maximise your profit thereof. All plots are of equal size and value. Land price there is a matter of speculation on future infrastructure development prospects and consequent demand from other prospective buyers as explained.
There are 2,000 prospective buyers of plots each of
whom may buy a plot provided, of course, he finds the price acceptable. Each buyer has a reservation price, that is, the maximum price he is willing to pay, for a plot. A buyer buys a plot if and only if the offered sale price is no more than his reservation price. Assume no two buyers have the same reservation price. Imagine buyers have been sorted in descending order of their reservation prices and they have been identified by their serial numbers (1-2000) accordingly. That is, buyer 1 has the highest reservation price, buyer 2 has the second highest, and so on, buyer 2000 has the least reservation price. Suppose, buyer k is represented by the real number k/2000 along the x-axis, where k=1,2,…,2000. For example, buyer 5 will be represented by the point 5/2000=0.0025 on the x- axis. To get a sense of distribution of the reservation prices of buyers assume the function R(x) gives the reservation price of the buyer represented by the real number x. The highest reservation price, that is the reservation price of buyer 1, that R(0.0005) is Rmax, and the minimum reservation price, that is, reservation price of buyer 2000, that is R(1) is R min. For example, one may assume Rmin=25,00000 and Rmax=60,00000. You may assume R() is a monotonically decreasing continuous function in the interval [0,1]. Exact form of R() would depend on the prospective buyers and their thought process! Try out at least three functions for R(), including one quadratic, and two exponential functions (one decreasing fast initially and the other decreasing slowly, say) satisfying the boundary conditions. The price of a plot is subject to positive network effect – as more and more people buy plots the demand and hence market price of each plot increases. So, the effective reservation price of an individual for a plot a combination of both these factors. If R(x) is the reservation price of prospective buyer x as explained above, and f(z) is the network effect factor when z fraction of 1000 plots have been sold (that is, when 1000*z buyers have purchased a plot each; z is between 0 and 1) then the effective reservation price of buyer x for a plot becomes R(x)*f(z). Exact form of f() would depend on prospective buyers! Assume the function f() is a strictly monotonically increasing continuous function in the interval [0,1] with the property that f(0.0005)=fmin and f(1)=fmax. For example, one may assume fmin=1 and fmax=3 (try with other values of fmin and fmax during your simulation). Try at least three forms of f() including one quadratic, and two exponential functions (one increasing fast initially and the other increasing slowly, say) satisfying the boundary conditions. Pricing for your business proposition: Suppose, you propose the following pricing scheme: You will make an early bird offer price of p1 per plot valid for one week only. Buyers would have to make full deposit of p1 within the week for purchasing a plot and it’s non-refundable. People who buy plots within this week do so based on their reservation price R() without factoring in network effect. That is, assume the effective reservation price of buyer represented by x is same R(x), that is f() factor is 1 at this early bird offer stage. For example, you may take, p1= INR 35,00000 (later try with other values of p1 in the range INR 20,00000 to INR 60,00000 as well).
By the end of the early bird offer week the number
of plots sold has become known to everybody and so network effect kicks in. At this time you raise the price of a plot to p2 and advertise for continuing sale. For an example, you may set p2= INR 50,00000 (your challenge is to choose the best value for p2). Any prospective buyer this time onwards takes his purchase decision based on his effective reservation price. As soon as any new buyer buys a plot that too becomes public information (that is, z and hence effective reservation prices of prospective buyers change accordingly as the total number of plots sold so far remain known at any time thereafter). Buyers may assume this known sale and hence z or they may speculate a value of z. Once they have a z in their mind the effective reservation price gets computed accordingly. Try out various error margins of the speculated z against the true z in your simulations.
Scope of the Project: You need to do the following:
(a) Choose various functions R() and f(), and various parameters such as fmin, fmax, Rmin, Rmax, p1, and p2 satisfying the broad constraints mentioned. Also, try out different speculations on z. For a particular choice of functions and parameters, do the simulation and visually demonstrate the network effect, the number of plots that get sold and the buyers who buy in sequence, total number of plots eventually sold, and your net revenue from the sale and hence your profit (or loss). Find out from your simulation experiments what would be your best choice of p1 and p2 toward maximizing your revenue under realistic choice of all other problem parameters. For a superior contribution to the project you may try to demonstrate other pricing schemes (such as three stage or multistage pricing instead of two stage p1/p2 pricing as proposed above, and whether all prospective buyers speculate the same value of z or different values of z etc) for maximizing your revenue. Your superior performance would be demonstrated by your practical choice of functions and parameters, your demonstration of network effect, and hence your optimal pricing scheme. Feel free to make and state any minor addition or modification to the problem definition in the interest of your demonstration.
Evaluation related guidelines:
(i) All members of the team are expected to contribute to the project bearing comparable workloads. By default, all members would be given the same score in the project. However, any complaint received about deficient contribution by any group member will be dealt with appropriately which may lead to differential scores within a group. (ii) Netlogo will be the recommended software tool to use. Any other software(s) may be used as well. However, in that case the onus is on you to ensure the same is loaded and functional in the classroom PC. Source codes attached with the final report must be readily executable and the same code should be run in the final presentation. (iii) Group numbers and members’ names and registration numbers must be mentioned at the beginning of the project report. (iv) All submissions should be uploaded by the group leader keeping other group members duly informed.
Project Report Submission and Presentation Dates
and Guidelines
Project Report Submission: To be uploaded by 18
November 2024. The following are to be uploaded (the link for submission will be provided by Shovan later): (a) A pdf report of no more than five pages that describes your project experience (conception to implementation) detail addressing how you handled the Scope of the Project. Clearly mention different functions and parameters tried out and the price scheme that optimized your revenue demonstrating the sale sequence. (b) The executable source code(s) of software(s) used such as Netlogo etc that can be run and cross-verified at our end, if felt necessary. (c) The presentation (ppt file) that you will make on 19th November.
The Presentation (to be done in class on 19 November
2024): Prepare a presentation for five minutes only. All members must be present for Q&A. It’s not mandatory for each member to participate in the presentation particularly because of time restriction. To make best use of your precious five minutes please do the following: (i) Preload your .ppt file into the classroom machine before the class hours. (ii) Preload and test your demonstration in the classroom machine before the class hours. Any time you waste in handling (i) or (ii) during your presentation slot will eat up from your valuable five minutes. There is absolutely no need to spend any time describing the problem or any theory etc during your presentation. Without any prelude introduce your group members by name and start the demonstration and addressing the Scope of the Project mentioned above, elaborating and justifying the functions and parameters used, and your revenue maximization pricing scheme and outcome.
Support you may need
Please contact Mr. Shovan Dutta, Academic Associate, ([email protected]), for any issue regarding report submission logistics, group related issue etc. Please contact me ([email protected]) and seek an appointment in case you need any clarification regarding the project. You may find Network Effects (Chapter 17 of your Text Book and references therein) useful for a meaningful project. Caution Do not request for any extension or rescheduling of your submission or presentation. It will not be entertained except under any emergency for anyone that may be communicated to us by the MBA office. Plan your work schedule accordingly.
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