Forwards & Futures
Forwards & Futures
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DERIVATIVES OVERVIEW
• Derivative is a financial contract that derives its value from the values of an underlying.
• Derivative contracts include Forwards, Futures, Options & Swaps.
• The underlying of a derivative contract could be a stock price, bond price, index level, interest
rate, exchange rate, commodities price, weather etc.
• Basic features of a derivative include the underlying, the price specified in the contract,
contract size, settlement date etc.
• Futures & Options are Exchange traded derivative contracts - standardized and backed
by a central clearinghouse guaranteeing the settlements
• Largest exchanges by volume of trades are the National Securities Exchange (India), the B3
market exchange (Brazil), and the CME Group exchange (US)
• Forward & Swaps are OTC traded derivative contracts - customized as per the needs of
the counterparties, largely unregulated and less transparent as compared to exchange traded
contracts.
• These contracts are traded by dealers in a market with no central location
FORWARD CONTRACTS
• OTC traded derivative contract, wherein two parties agree to buy/sell the underlying asset at a
fixed price in future (forward price) on a fixed future date (settlement date).
Long position
• One who commits to buy the physical or financial asset is said to have taken a long position in
the forward contract.
Short position
• One who commits to sell the physical or financial asset is said to have taken a short position in
the forward contract.
• Gains of one party equal the losses of the other party at settlement.
• On 23 Aug 2023, BlackRock advisors (hedge fund) is bullish on apple shares & expects it to be
much higher than $240 after 3 months (23 Nov 2023)
• On 23 Aug 2023, two sigma investments (hedge fund) is bearish on apple shares & expects it to
be much lower than $240 after 3 months (23 Nov 2023)
• Two parties with opposite views (or needs) on an underlying can enter into the forward contract
by taking opposite positions
FORWARD CONTRACTS
Deliverable contract
• Actual delivery or transfer of asset takes place on the settlement date
"Blackrock advisors" ------- $240,000 --------> "two sigma investments"
<---- 1,000 shares ------
Cash settled contract
• No delivery (or transfer) of the underlying asset happens from seller to the buyer
• Net gain/loss is calculated and that net amount is transferred from the losing party to the party in gain
Scenario 1: on 23 nov 2023, spot price of apple shares is $280
Forward Payoff
• Long Position : Spot price – Future Price ( Contract Price )
Speculation
• When a position in the market is taken with the intention to make profits
Example:
• A tile making company expects crude oil prices to go down
• Wants to make profits based on their expectation of decrease in crude oil prices
• Takes a short position in the forward contract of crude oil with a counterparty
• Would opt for cash settlement
Hedging
• When a position in the market is taken with the intention to reduce of eliminate the existing risk
Example:
• Infosys would receive $10m from the us client after 6 months
• Infosys is facing risk (uncertainty) about USD/INR exchange rate after 6 months
• To hedge against this risk – they can enter into a currency forward contract to freeze an exchange rate
(let’s say USD/INR = 75 after 6 months) with a counterparty
• Would opt for delivery settlement
• Future contracts are quite similar to a forward contract, but these are standardized, and
exchange traded.
• Exchange traded derivative contract between the two parties, to buy/sell the underlying asset
at a fixed price in future (future price) on a fixed future date (settlement date).
1. Trade on exchange (active secondary market) - More liquid than forward contracts which
trade in OTC markets
2. Standardized contracts (rather than negotiated / customized between counterparties)
3. More transparency as they are subject to greater regulation than forward contracts
4. Backed by a central clearinghouse - Guaranteed settlement - Require daily settlement of
gains and losses, so that counterparty credit risk is minimized
5. Margin requirements which act as collateral (provides protection for clearinghouse)
6. Counterparty is unknown
Futures Forward
• Buying/Selling based on Order • Buying/Selling based on Quote
• Regulated • Non-regulated
• No Counterparty Risk • Counterparty Risk
• Settlement guaranteed • Settlement not guaranteed
• Highly Liquid • Low Liquid
• Standardized • Customized
• Counterparty is unknown • Counterparty is known
• On 23 Aug 2023, party "x" enters into a long position in futures contracts of co. Alpha shares, that
expire on 30 Sep 2023.
• Futures price at the time of entering into the contract = 7600 per share
• Now, let’s assume, on 24 Aug 2023, end of the trading day futures price of co. Alpha shares,
that expire on 30 Sep 2023, is 7,200
• Margin balance of party “x”, which took long position would decline by (400 * 80 = 32,000), i.e.
Now it becomes (= 2,12,800 - 32,000 = 1,80,800)
• Now, let’s assume at the end of a trading day, if margin balance of party “x” got reduced to
1,00,000, then party “x” needs to deposit additional funds to bring its margin balance back up
to the initial margin.
• So, in this case, party “x” would need to deposit 1,12,000 (= 2,12,800 - 1,00,000)
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