NHTSA-ClickitOrTicket
NHTSA-ClickitOrTicket
9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)
DTNH22-05-D-15043
Task Order No. 001
12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address 13. Type of Report and Period Covered
John Siegler served as the NHTSA Contracting Officer's Technical Representative for the study.
The Click It or Ticket seat belt enforcement programs conducted between 2000 and 2006 were an important
factor in increasing seat belt use nationwide and in virtually all States. This was the case for observed belt use,
belt use in fatalities, and self-reported seat belt use. As enforcement programs continued across the country and
belt use increased, public awareness and attitudes changed as well, with growing support for primary belt laws
and belt enforcement. Among States with secondary seat belt enforcement laws, where an officer must first
stop a vehicle for some other violation before issuing a seat belt citation, the States that increased seat belt use
the most had greater levels of enforcement. Primary law States (where an officer can issue a belt citation upon
observing an unbelted motorist like all other traffic laws) had substantially higher seat belt use and higher lev-
els of enforcement than secondary States. States that converted from secondary to primary laws during the pe-
riod showed the greatest increase in belt use. The five States that had the greatest increase in belt use (Utah,
Michigan, North Dakota, Alabama, and Alaska) were compared with the five States with the smallest increases
(Louisiana, North Carolina, Virginia, South Carolina, and Montana). While average media expenditures were
similar, enforcement rates were almost twice as high in the States showing the greater increases. Support for
Click It or Ticket programs remains high in most States, and it is likely that continuation of State programs with
high enforcement intensity will be capable of producing further increases in belt use. The key to increasing seat
belt use beyond 83% nationally are likely Click It or Ticket programs aimed at the general driving population,
supplemented by special programs targeting low-use groups such as occupants of pickup trucks, residents of
rural areas, and nighttime drivers.
22. Key Words 18. Distribution Statement
Seat belt , Click It or Ticket, High-Visibility Enforcement Document is available to the public from the
National Technical Information Service www.ntis.gov
19. Security Classif.(of this report) 20. Security Classif.(of this page) 21. No. of Pages 22. Price
i
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
NATIONAL HIGHWAY TRAFFIC SAFETY ADMINISTRATION
TECHNICAL SUMMARY
CONTRACTOR CONTRACT NUMBER
R E P O R T T IT LE REPORT DATE
Analyzing the First Years of the Click It or Ticket Mobilizations January 2010
REPORT AUTHORS
BACKGROUND
High-visibility seat belt enforcement mobilizations showed early signs of success in the 1980s in
Canada. The first Statewide Click It or Ticket campaign took place in North Carolina in 1993, followed
by South Carolina in 2000. The success was such that the program was implemented in 8 Southeastern
States in 2001, followed by 18 additional States across the country in 2002. The campaign, which be-
came nationwide in 2003, is ongoing. The national campaigns typically last several weeks and begin with
earned media generated at the national, State, and local levels. Paid media follow a week or so later, fol-
lowed by high-visibility enforcement lasting for two weeks. The campaigns have generally been success-
ful, with 43 of 50 States and Territories showing increased belt use between 2003 and 2006.
OBJECTIVE
The objective of this report is to summarize the overall effects of these mobilizations over the
period 2000 to 2006. This report explores changes in belt use and attitudes towards seat belt enforcement
throughout the years. It examines whether those attitudes differ between States with primary and secon-
dary seat belt enforcement and between States with high and low seat belt use rates. Also of interest is
the correspondence between levels of enforcement, paid media dollars spent, and seat belt use rates, and
the relationship between observed seat belt use and seat belt use in fatal crashes. This report assesses the
status of the Click It or Ticket program and discusses steps necessary for increasing seat belt use.
METHODS
The analysis was based largely on archival data, including belt use, dollars spent on advertise-
ments, enforcement activity, as well as surveys of public awareness and attitudes. Belt use was assessed
in various ways. Nationwide seat belt use was obtained from NHTSA’s National Occupant Protection
Use Survey (NOPUS). Statewide rates were obtained from State Belt Use Surveys usually conducted in
the three weeks following the Click It or Ticket mobilization. Finally, belt use in fatal crashes was ob-
tained from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS). Since Click It or Ticket is mostly carried out
during the daytime hours, nighttime fatal crashes were excluded from the data. Thus, FARS belt use only
included front-seat outboard occupants of passenger vehicles, 15 and older, as was the case with existing
Click It or Ticket evaluation reports. Daytime crashes were defined as crashes occurring between the
hours of 4 a.m. and 8:59 p.m. Belt use rates were based on known and proper use only. Telephone calls
to officials in select States addressed issues such as change in funding and general questions regarding the
implementation of Click It or Ticket mobilizations.
Case studies of Idaho and Ohio, two secondary law States that performed well, provided addi-
tional insight into enforcement strategies and officials’ (including law enforcement personnel) attitudes
about belt use enforcement in secondary States.
ii
RESULTS
National Trends
Over the course of 16 years (1991-2007), belt use rates increased by about 20 percentage points
(+23 points in observed belt use, +20 points in percentage of belted fatalities). Overall, nationwide
(NOPUS) observed belt use increased in the early 1990s, and then stagnated between 66 and 69% in the
years 1993 to 1999. Belt use began to rise again in 2000 and increased each year from 2001 to 2005,
reaching 82% before declining slightly to 81% in 2006. In 2007, belt use rose to 82%, reaching 83% in
2008, the highest daytime rate observed to date. Belt use among occupant fatalities showed the same rise
in the early 1990s, with little change in the years 1996-1999, and a gradual rise in the 2000s, peaking at
52% and remaining at that level between 2004 and 2006. Level of media activity followed a similar pat-
tern, increasing from 2001 to 2005, only to drop slightly in 2006.
Telephone surveys were conducted nationwide, before and after the May Mobilizations in 2003,
2004, and 2007. Data from the surveys were used to examine changes and trends in attitudes and aware-
ness of belt use and belt use enforcement. Self-reported belt use showed an increase over time, associated
with increasing belief in the safety aspect of seat belts. Although enforcement activity was stable, percep-
tion of the strictness of enforcement increased, as did support for enforcement. For instance, there was
increasing support for primary laws as well as higher agreement that belt enforcement is a worthwhile
venture. Media awareness remained high throughout the period and the Click It or Ticket slogan became
well known, increasing by 44 percentage points from 35% in 2003 to 79% in 2007.
iii
In your opinion, should police be allowed to stop a vehicle if
they observe a seat belt violation when no other traffic laws
are being broken? (% yes)
76% 75%
74%
74%
72%
70% 70%
70%
68% 67% pre
66%
66% post
64%
62%
60%
2003 2004 2007
The average seat belt use in the years 1997 to 1999 was used as a baseline and increases in seat
belt use between the baseline and 2006 were computed. States with the highest and lowest increases in
seat belt use showed a clear-cut difference in their levels of enforcement but were quite similar on paid
media activity. General changes in attitudes were evident across years but there were only minor differ-
ences between top and bottom States. Self-reported belt use rates and the perceived risk of being ticketed
increased over time. Support for primary enforcement also increased between 2003 and 2007. Top and
bottom States showed similar patterns of responses.
iv
Percent Belt Use by Law Type, 1998-2007
% Belted (Observed) % Belted (Daytime FARS)
Primary Secondary Primary Secondary
1998 75% 61% 53% 40%
1999 76% 64% 50% 38%
2000 78% 65% 51% 40%
2001 80% 67% 53% 40%
2002 83% 70% 55% 41%
2003 84% 73% 57% 43%
2004 86% 75% 59% 45%
2005 87% 77% 57% 43%
2006 87% 78% 58% 45%
2007 87% 81% 56% 49%
Based on type of seat belt law, three groups of States were created to examine changes in atti-
tudes between 2003 and 2007. The States were grouped based on existing belt laws at the time the sur-
veys were conducted: primary States (primary law throughout), secondary States (secondary throughout)
and conversion States (secondary law in 2003 with change to primary law by 2007). Responses to the
survey showed important changes over time in most aspects reviewed (i.e., attitudes toward belts, percep-
tion of enforcement severity, and attitudes toward enforcement). Self-reported belt use increased over
time and was higher in primary and conversion States than in secondary States. There were significant
attitudinal differences between primary, secondary, and conversion States, especially on the issue of en-
forcement. Both perception of enforcement severity and support for primary enforcement of seat belt
laws were stronger in primary and conversion States than they were in secondary States.
During the period 2000 to 2006, the seat belt use improvement rates varied substantially among
States. Enforcement appears to be the key factor, especially in secondary enforcement States. Correla-
tions between belt use change, media, and enforcement level were investigated based on primary, secon-
dary, and conversion States separately. Change in seat belt use was measured according to rank, with the
State with the greatest increase in seat belt use ranked lowest. One would therefore expect correlations
between number of citations and amount for paid media to be negatively correlated with belt change rank.
The conversion States showed no pattern (r = .22 for media and r=-.16 for enforcement, neither was close
to significance). For primary enforcement States, there was a correlation of r = -0.46 between belt use
change and media dollars, and the correlation with citations was r = -0.24. Neither was statistically sig-
nificant. For secondary States, there was no significant relationship between belt use change and media
dollars (r = .05), but the correlation with enforcement presence was significant (r = -0.65, p = .001).
When looking at changes in belt use over time, States that converted seat belt law from secondary
to primary enforcement tended to show a larger increase than either primary or secondary States. En-
forcement activity was higher in primary and conversion States than in secondary States while media
tended to be higher in secondary and conversion States than it was in primary States. Overall, people in
conversion States had a tendency to show more support for primary law and reported a higher risk of be-
ing ticketed.
SUMMARY
During the 2000-to-2006 period when high-visibility seat belt enforcement mobilizations were in
operation in the United States, belt use increased nationwide and in virtually all States. This was the case
for observed belt use, belt use in fatalities, and self-reported seat belt use. As enforcement programs con-
tinued across the country and belt use increased, public awareness and attitudes changed as well. Tele-
phone surveys indicated that awareness of enforcement activities increased over this period, and favorable
attitudes toward enforcement increased as well.
v
Over the period 2000 to 2006, seat belt use has risen overall, and in most occupant subgroups.
For instance, belt use increased among all the fatally injured driver groups between 1999 and 2006, but it
remained relatively low among nighttime drivers (33%), drivers in rural areas (44%), drivers with high
blood alcohol concentrations (BACs) (31%), pickup truck drivers (32%), and drivers of the oldest vehi-
cles (42%). In recent years, NHTSA has taken steps to reach these more resistant populations. Special
high-visibility enforcement programs conducted in recent years have targeted rural residents, pickup truck
occupants, and nighttime belt use.
It is clear that Click It or Ticket seat belt enforcement programs conducted from 2000 to2006
have been important factors in increasing seat belt use in the United States. Because the level of en-
forcement maximizes the effectiveness of these programs, the overall drop in enforcement in 2006 is a
concern. The clearest and most consistent finding in this study was that secondary States with the greatest
improvements in seat belt use had much greater levels of enforcement than secondary States with the least
change; 3 to 4 times as many citations per capita. In contrast, media expenditures were inconsistently
related to seat belt use changes.
Support for Click It or Ticket programs remains high in most States, and it is likely that if States
continue with high-intensity enforcement programs, they are capable of producing further increases in
belt use. Penalties for nonuse of seat belts are low in many States, and there is suggestive evidence that
augmented penalties would also help to increase belt use. However, the centerpiece of efforts to increase
seat belt use beyond 80% nationally are Click It or Ticket programs aimed at the general driving popula-
tion, supplemented by special programs targeting low-use groups.
vi
TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 1
EARLY EFFECTS OF LAWS ................................................................................................................... 1
THE CANADIAN EXPERIENCE............................................................................................................... 1
THE U.S. ADOPTS CANADIAN-STYLE PROGRAMS ............................................................................ 2
SPREAD OF CLICK IT OR TICKET PROGRAMS................................................................................... 3
OBJECTIVES............................................................................................................................................ 4
II. EVALUATION METHODS........................................................................................................ 5
OBSERVATIONAL SURVEYS OF BELT USE......................................................................................... 6
PAID MEDIA ............................................................................................................................................. 6
ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITIES ................................................................................................................. 7
ATTITUDE AND AWARENESS SURVEYS ............................................................................................. 7
FATALITY ANALYSIS REPORTING SYSTEM (FARS) ........................................................................... 8
TELEPHONE POLLS AND CASE STUDIES ........................................................................................... 8
III. RESULTS .............................................................................................................................. 10
NATIONAL TRENDS IN BELT USE....................................................................................................... 10
NATIONAL TRENDS IN MEDIA AND ENFORCEMENT, 2000-2006 ................................................... 14
NATIONAL TRENDS IN ATTITUDE AND AWARENESS ...................................................................... 23
MEASURES OF CHANGES IN BELT USE............................................................................................ 32
CHANGES IN BELT USE, BY STATE ................................................................................................... 33
PRIMARY VERSUS SECONDARY STATES......................................................................................... 45
THE REMAINING LOW BELT USE GROUPS....................................................................................... 52
IV. THE FUTURE OF CIOT ........................................................................................................ 55
FACTORS AFFECTING THE FUTURE OF ENFORCEMENT PROGRAMS ........................................ 55
MAXIMIZING ENFORCEMENT IN SECONDARY STATES.................................................................. 56
V. CASE STUDIES ..................................................................................................................... 58
IDAHO..................................................................................................................................................... 58
OHIO....................................................................................................................................................... 62
VI. DISCUSSION ........................................................................................................................ 68
STATE DIFFERENCES AND THE IMPORTANCE OF ENFORCEMENT............................................. 68
THE IMPORTANCE OF PRIMARY LAWS............................................................................................. 68
CUMULATIVE EFFECTS ....................................................................................................................... 69
CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................................................ 70
VII. REFERENCES ..................................................................................................................... 71
APPENDIX A. STATEWIDE OBSERVED BELT USE RATES, 2000-2006 .............................. 74
APPENDIX B. BELT USE RATE IN DAYTIME FATALITIES, BY STATE 2000-2006 .............. 75
APPENDIX C. ARIMA ANALYSES............................................................................................ 76
APPENDIX D. PAID MEDIA DOLLARS (IN THOUSANDS) AS REPORTED BY STATES,
2000-2006...................................................................................................................................77
APPENDIX E. BELT CITATIONS AS REPORTED BY STATES, 2000-2006 ........................... 78
APPENDIX F CREATIVE MATERIAL........................................................................................ 79
vii
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1. National Changes in Belt Use.................................................................................................... 10
Table 2. Observed Seat Belt Use Pre- and Post-CIOT* – Select States............................................... 12
Table 3. Media Dollars Spent and Citations Issued............................................................................... 14
Table 4. Earned Media Activity, 2003 to 2006......................................................................................... 17
Table 5. Enforcement Activity, 2003 to 2006 .......................................................................................... 17
Table 6. Source of Special Effort Information, 2003, 2004, and 2007 .................................................. 29
Table 7. Source of Belt Message Information, 2003, 2004, and 2007 .................................................. 31
Table 8. Slogan Recognition, 2003, 2004, and 2007 .............................................................................. 32
Table 9. Observed Belt Use Rate and Percentage Belted Daytime Fatalities, 1997-99 and 2006 ..... 35
Table 10. Percentage Change in Belt Use Between 1997-1999 and 2006, by State............................ 36
Table 11. Variation in Amount of Media and Enforcement, 2000-2006................................................ 38
Table 12. Belt Use Change – Rankings on Three Measures................................................................. 40
Table 13. State Rankings on Belt Use Changes 1997-99 to 2006, Best to Worst. .............................. 41
Table 14. Five States With the Most Belt Use Change versus the Five States With the Least
Change: Media and Enforcement Levels (based on State averages) .................................................. 43
Table 15. Belt Use by Law Type, 1998-2007 ........................................................................................... 45
Table 16. Conversion States: Effective Date of Primary Law ............................................................... 46
Table 17. Belt Use Change, Media and Enforcement by State, 1997/99-2006..................................... 50
Table 18. Media Dollars and Enforcement Level by State Type, 2000-2006........................................ 51
Table 19. Changes in Belt Use by State Type, 1997-99 to 2006............................................................ 51
Table 20. Percentage Belted in Selected Subgroups of Fatally Injured Drivers, 1999 and 2006 ...... 53
Table 21. Funds Expended and Seat Belt Use ....................................................................................... 59
Table 22. Seat Belt Mobilizations ............................................................................................................ 60
Table 23. Seat Belt Use Rate, 1999-2008................................................................................................. 63
Table 24. Seat Belt Mobilization Results ................................................................................................ 64
Table 25. Media Expenditures.................................................................................................................. 65
viii
LIST OF FIGURES
ix
I. INTRODUCTION
Seat belts are highly effective in reducing deaths and serious injuries to motor vehicle oc-
cupants. Belts are available in virtually all passenger vehicles on U.S. roads and are easy to use.
Despite these factors encouraging use, many motorists do not take advantage of the protection
seat belts provide.
Before the passage of seat belt use laws, voluntary use of belts in the United States was
abysmally low. Laws improved use but by themselves have been insufficient. The best method
for increasing seat belt use has been intensive, short-term, highly publicized seat belt enforcement
campaigns. The purpose of the present report is to summarize and comment on seven years of
enforcement programs that took place in the United States in the years 2000 to 2006.
Observational surveys conducted in major cities in the 1970s indicated that belt use hov-
ered around 10% (Robertson, 1978). In a survey of student drivers arriving at high schools in
1982, driver belt use was 5% or less at four out of six schools (Williams, Wells, & Lund, 1983).
A 19-city survey conducted in major cities around the country found belt use rates of 11% in
1982, 14% in 1983, and 14% in 1984 (Goryl & Cynecki, 1984).
As seat belt use laws began to be enacted, initial effects on use rates were positive but
limited. The typical pattern was that the highest rates were attained right after the laws went into
force, that is, in the first month, and the effects were often dramatic. However, these initial jumps
were followed inevitably by declines within a few months – though not to the levels that existed
before the laws – and eventual stabilization (Williams, Wells, & Lund, 1987). Some people obey
seat belt laws because it is the law, whereas others comply because they do not want to pay a
penalty. Because there was little enforcement, the threat of a penalty dwindled over time, and
publicity about the laws subsided.
The same type of slow progress took place in Canada, where laws were enacted about a
decade before they appeared in the United States. Initial experience in Canada mirrored that of
the United States. For example, in Ontario, driver belt use was 23% in late 1975, just before the
law took effect, and 75% right after. Six months later use had dropped to 50% and it remained
there (Robertson, 1978a). The same pattern was found in other provinces (Williams & Robertson,
1979). Overall, the initial experience with belt use laws was mediocre. Laws in Ontario and Que-
bec went into effect in 1976; the British Columbia law became effective in 1977. In 1980, belt
use was 39% in Quebec, 44% in Ontario, and 49% in British Columbia.
In response to these disappointing use rates, provincial officials launched special en-
forcement programs in the early 1980s that substantially increased belt wearing. These programs
varied, but they all had the same core components: increased publicity about the importance of
using seat belts, greatly increased law enforcement, and publicity aimed at heightened visibility
and awareness of the enforcement (Jonah, Dawson, & Smith, 1982; Jonah & Grant, 1985; Lamb,
1982; Manduca, 1983). Campaigns continued in Canada to solidify and extend the gains created
by the initial publicity and enforcement efforts, and these programs are credited with increasing
seat belt use to the 90% level, first achieved in 1994 and since maintained. The success of com-
bined publicity and enforcement programs to increase seat belt use also have been documented in
France, the Netherlands, and New Zealand (Hagenzeiker, 1991).
1
Publicized enforcement programs are firmly grounded in deterrence theory. Given a law,
if people believe they are likely to be detected and meaningfully punished for violations, they will
be more likely to comply. Publicity alone or enforcement alone is insufficient; the two are
needed in combination. To establish a climate of deterrence, it is better if a State has primary
(standard) enforcement, rather than making seat belt enforcement contingent on another violation
(secondary enforcement) as is the case in about half the States.
Canadian-style publicity and enforcement programs to increase seat belt use subsequently
were adopted and used successfully in the United States. Initially, their use was confined to small
and medium-sized cities including Elmira, New York (Williams, Lund, Preusser, & Blomberg,
1987); Albany and Greece, New York (Rood, Kraichy, & Carman, 1987); Rock Falls/Sterling,
Galesburg, and Danville, Illinois (Mortimer et al., 1990); and Modesto, California, (Lund, Stuster,
& Fleming, 1989). These programs differed in style and content, but they all included highly
visible enforcement and resulted in increased belt use. The Elmira program, for example, con-
sisted of three phases: a week of publicity including television and radio spots featuring local en-
forcement officials, a week of publicity and warnings, and a week of ticketing. Seat belt use in-
creased from 49% to 77%. A supplemental program the following year increased belt use to 80%
(Williams, Preusser, Blomberg, & Lund, 1987).
These programs showed that Canadian-style enforcement programs would work in the
United States in both primary and secondary States. During the campaigns, California and Illi-
nois were secondary States and New York was a primary State. However, enforcement programs
in primary States had greater success. For example, the Elmira, New York, and Modesto, Cali-
fornia, programs used similar techniques, but there were greater gains in belt use in Elmira. The
greater success of belt enforcement programs in primary States has been borne out in later evalua-
tions, although percentage gains have sometimes been larger in secondary States when they are
starting from a low baseline of belt use (Solomon, 2002; Solomon, Nissen, & Preusser, 1999).
The Elmira program was the model for North Carolina’s Click It or Ticket. The Elmira
program succeeded but left some important questions unanswered. Elmira had a population of
nearly 35,000 and a concentrated media market. Was it possible to mount a successful seat belt
enforcement program across an entire State? Second, whereas belt use spurted right after the
program, it faded over time. Four months after the first program, belt use had dropped from 77%
to 66%. Could a program be sustained over a period of years so that belt use would increase and
stay increased?
North Carolina is considered a benchmark program and a model for subsequent seat belt
enforcement programs. In the 1990s, these included the National Highway Traffic Safety Ad-
ministration’s 70% by ’92 Operation Buckle Down Program implemented in 1991 and 1992,
which resulted in increased seat belt usage in most participating States (Nichols, 1993). In addi-
tion, more than a dozen multi-year statewide enforcement campaigns were funded by NHTSA
from 1993 to 1997 (Solomon et al., 1999). These programs were less intense than Elmira, North
2
Carolina-style programs and their reported impact was positive but limited (Dinh-Zarr et al.
(2001).
In 1997, enforcement programs became one of the primary components of the National
Automotive Occupant Protection Campaign (NAOPC), a public-private coalition formed to ad-
dress the problem of air bag injuries to children. NAOPC later became the Air Bag & Seat Belt
Safety Campaign (AB&SBSC). Beginning in May 1997, AB&SBSC, in cooperation with
NHTSA, conducted a series of mobilizations to increase seat belt use at the national level. Thou-
sands of police agencies were contacted to gain their pledged participation in intensified en-
forcement activities.
In 2003, 45 States participated; in subsequent years, there was full participation. Each of
these mobilizations has followed the Canadian model combining enforcement with publicity
about the enforcement. The South Carolina campaign was conducted in November, but in subse-
quent years, campaigns have taken place in May. The national campaigns have typically lasted
several weeks, starting with earned media generated at the national, State, and local level, paid
media (primarily television and radio) starting a week or so later, enforcement starting a week
later and lasting for two weeks, with both earned and paid media continuing throughout the pe-
riod. States typically followed the same schedule, conveying a unified national enforcement
presence.
In general, the campaigns have been successful, as evidenced by the fact that between
2003 and 2006, observed belt use rate has increased in 43 States (including DC and Puerto Rico).
A 2008 report by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) highlights some of the chal-
lenges faced by NHTSA and State officials. For instance, belt use has traditionally been lower
among pickup truck drivers and in rural areas. In response to these issues, special emphasis pro-
grams addressing belt use in pickup trucks were added in 2004, 2005, and 2006. Programs focus-
ing on rural belt use were added in 2005 and 2006. An additional challenge faced by NHTSA,
according to the GAO (2008) report, has been in the annual evaluations of the CIOT mobilization
campaigns. NHTSA’s evaluations are limited by the data available. From year to year, data re-
porting has been somewhat inconsistent and far from comprehensive, especially about earned
media and number of hours worked by law enforcement officers. This is due, in part, to that fact
that although States are encouraged to do so, they are not required to submit full sets of data.
Thus, NHTSA’s ability to evaluate the overall effectiveness of the campaign is hindered by the
absence or incompleteness of some important information (e.g., enforcement and advertising ac-
tivities).
3
OBJECTIVES
The purpose of the present report is to examine the effects of these 2000-2006 Mobiliza-
tions, excluding the pickup truck and rural belt use programs. Each campaign was evaluated and
documented separately (Solomon & Preusser, in process; Solomon, 2002; Solomon, Ulmer, &
Preusser, 2002; Solomon, Chaudhary, & Cosgrove, 2004; Solomon, Chaffe, & Cosgrove, 2007;
Solomon et al., 2007; and Tison et al., 2008). The intention in this report is to summarize the
overall effects of the seven years of programs, assess the status of national seat belt enforcement
programs, and to discuss future steps for increasing belt use.
There is ample evidence that belt use has increased during the 2000-2006 period. Forty-
eight out of 50 States (including Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia) that have available
data show an increase in observed belt use between 2000 and 2006 (the average change is a 13-
percentage point increase). Although the CIOT campaigns have positively affected behavior,
many questions remain regarding possible corresponding changes in attitudes toward belt use and
enforcement. Essentially, are people buckling up more simply for fear of being ticketed or is in-
ternalization of the safety benefits of being belted also part of the equation? This report will ex-
plore changes in attitudes throughout the years, and will examine whether those attitudes differ
between primary and secondary enforcement States. Another issue of interest is the correspon-
dence between levels of enforcement, paid media dollars spent, and belt use rates. The link be-
tween observed belt use and belt use in fatal crashes also is explored.
Particular attention is paid to the best and worst performing States, that is, States that
showed the largest and the smallest increases in seat belt use. This report will attempt to identify
factors common to the success stories and contrast them to factors commonly associated with low
levels of change. It will also explore the effect that the recent changes in funding (i.e., from Sec-
tion 157 to SAFETEA-LU) have had on the implementation of the States’ Click It or Ticket cam-
paigns. Information on these and other issues will be obtained through telephone interviews con-
ducted with officials from 22 primary and secondary States representing different regions of the
country and site visits with officials in two States of interest.
4
II. EVALUATION METHODS
Archival data were collected in order to evaluate the cumulative effects of the Click It or
Ticket programs. Data of interest include public awareness and attitudes, as available through
Driver Licensing Office surveys and nationwide phone surveys, as well as observed belt use, and
proportion of belted fatalities.
Observational surveys of belt use were used to track belt use across time and across
States. Data obtained from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) provided an addi-
tional measure of belt use, namely belt use in fatally injured passenger vehicle occupants. These
two sets of data are independent of each other and are collected in completely different ways. As
such, they represent two distinct measures of belt use: belt used as observed in passing vehicles
and belt use in fatally injured crash victims. Belt use rates in fatal crashes are lower than observed
rates, in part because belts prevent some fatalities, but also because individuals more likely to be
in potentially fatal crashes are less likely to use seat belts. As such, belt use based on FARS data
are closely related to seat belt use rates in potentially fatal crashes, which are the situations where
belt use is most important. These two sets of data, observed belt use and belt use in fatal crashes,
were used for classification and subsequent comparison between States. Furthermore, changes in
level of belt use across the period were computed and best and worst performing States were
identified and compared. Changes in belt use were also compared between primary and secon-
dary law States.
Information on amount of money spent on media was available from most States partici-
pating in the Click It or Ticket mobilizations. These data were used to explore associations be-
tween amount of paid media and level of belt use, and belt use change in the States. The differen-
tial impact of paid media on States with high and low belt use, and between primary and secon-
dary law States were investigated. Details about the amount of enforcement (i.e., number of cita-
tions) were also provided by most participating States across the period reviewed. Not unlike the
information on paid media, the link between belt use rate and enforcement level was assessed
across States and across years.
National telephone surveys were conducted for some campaigns during the 2000-2007
periods. Changes in attitude were examined by looking at changes in response patterns across the
years. Where data were available for specific States, differences in attitudes toward belt use and
enforcement in primary and secondary States were explored. The differences between States that
are high and low performing were assessed in a similar fashion.
Telephone calls to select States were also conducted to get answers to more specific ques-
tions. For instance, issues such as enforcement policies and challenges specific to secondary
States were considered. The topics of changes in funding, the general implementation of the
CIOT campaigns and their impact on the States were approached during these discussions. In-
depth case studies were carried out in two States, Idaho and Ohio. Idaho was a particularly inter-
esting case, being the secondary law State with the highest level of seat belt enforcement activity.
It also showed the second largest increase nationwide in observed belt use between the years
2002 and 2006 (from 62.9% to 79.8%). Ohio has shown a sustained high level of seat belt en-
forcement activity during Click It or Ticket mobilizations and had steady increases in belt use be-
tween the years 2002 and 2006 (from 70.3% to 81.7%).
5
OBSERVATIONAL SURVEYS OF BELT USE
National seat belt use measures come from NHTSA’s National Occupant Protection Use Sur-
vey, a probability-based observational survey conducted annually by NHTSA’s National Center
for Statistics and Analysis. NOPUS is considered the most reliable measure of national belt use.
Over the period of interest, nearly every State conducted and reported on statewide surveys of
belt use following the period of stepped up enforcement. These surveys followed NHTSA guide-
lines for conducting statewide surveys. These surveys followed NHTSA guidelines for conduct-
ing statewide surveys, which requires (a) the seat belt survey to have a probability-based design;
(b) the data must be collected by directly observing seat belt use; (c) the relative error of the esti-
mated seat belt use must not exceed 5%; (d) at least 85% of the State’s population and (e) all day-
light hours for all days of week must be eligible for inclusion in the sample. Observational sur-
veys of belt use were:
x Compared across years to identify States showing the largest and lowest increase in
belt use;
x Used to examine relationships between high/low belt use and attitudes and awareness
of seat belt enforcement;
x Used to examine differences between primary and secondary law States as well as
those converting from secondary to primary law.
Statewide observed belt use rates were correlated with statewide belt use in fatally in-
jured passenger vehicle occupants (data obtained from FARS – see detailed description of FARS
at the end of this chapter). Also, the extent to which changes in belt use occurred in States over
the course of the CIOT programs was examined using three measures of change: the percentage
change in observed belt use (statewide surveys), a “conversion” measure that assesses the extent
to which nonusers are converted to users (also based on statewide observed belt use), and the per-
centage change in belt use among fatally injured daytime front-seat occupant of passenger vehi-
cles as reported in FARS. In order to give each measure equal weighting, a composite ranking
score was created and used to rank order the States from highest to lowest increase in belt use.
PAID MEDIA
Information on amount of money spent on paid advertisement was used to examine the
relationship between belt use rates, changes in belt use rate, and enforcement activity. The
Preusser Research Group (PRG) tracked the money that NHTSA and participating States spent on
advertisement for the years 2000 to 2006. Advertisement data were obtained directly from
NHTSA’s national media contractor, the Tombras Group. These data indicate dollar amounts
spent by each participating State and the nature of the advertisement (i.e., radio, television, and
other media). Information regarding paid media was used to assess:
x Amount of dollars spent each year on the national and State level;
x Dollar amounts related to changes in belt use;
x Variation among States in dollar amount spent on media as it relates to belt use; and
x Differential effects of media on primary and secondary law States.
Dollars spent per capita over the period reviewed were compiled and used as a basic
measure of amount of media in each State. Correlations were computed between belt use change
and amount of paid media. Data on paid media were also correlated with level of enforcement.
Three groups of States were created (primary law, secondary law, and those converted from sec-
ondary to primary) and correlations between paid media and belt use change were computed for
each group.
6
ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITIES
Seat belt citation data were used to track trends in seat belt enforcement and examine
variation across years and between States. Law enforcement agencies participating in the high-
visibility enforcement generally provide their State Highway Safety Offices (SHSOs) with stan-
dard report form indicating enforcement activity during the heightened enforcement period. Each
SHSO tabulated the reported enforcement and submitted mobilization reports to NHTSA. The
reports indicate, among other things, the number of seat belt citations issued during the program
period. Enforcement activity information for participating States was tracked by PRG for the pe-
riod 2000 to 2006. Enforcement activity data were used to assess:
x Levels of enforcement that occurred over the period of interest;
x Variation among States in level of enforcement;
x Differences on enforcement level between high-belt-use-change States and low-belt-
use-change States;
x Links between enforcement levels, attitudes and awareness, and belt use.
Total number of citations issued per 10,000 residents was computed for each State and
used as a measure of enforcement level. Enforcement level was correlated with both amount of
media and change in belt use. States were split into three groups (primary law, secondary law,
and those converted from secondary to primary) and correlations between belt use change and
enforcement levels were computed for each group.
A random sample of municipal and State law enforcement agencies was also drawn for
the purposes of tracking seat belt enforcement actions between 2002 and 2006. The sample in-
cluded representation of municipalities of various sizes in all 10 NHTSA Regions. PRG also
gathered annual counts of seat belt citations issued from approximately one-third of State Police
agencies. Primary and secondary law locations were equally included in the samples. Counts of
citations were examined for trends in seat belt ticket writing. Dependent variables of population
size served and type of law were examined for differences over time.
Awareness surveys were collected from motorists visiting driver licensing (DL) offices in
a number of States participating in the CIOT program. These one-page surveys were conducted
before and immediately after the mobilization’s publicity and enforcement. The surveys are de-
signed to assess issues such as public knowledge and awareness, changes in motorists’ seat belt
use behavior, perception of severity of enforcement, etc.
Random dial telephone surveys were conducted before the enforcement program’s pub-
licity began and after heightened enforcement had ended. Nationwide surveys were conducted in
2003 and 2004. Regional/Statewide surveys were conducted in 2004 and 2005. Although the
year 2007 falls outside the immediate scope of this project, data obtained from 2007 nationwide
telephone survey were used to assess changes over time, as it was the most recent nationwide data
available. Telephone surveys were used to compare the changes in awareness and attitudes
across time, and how these changes differ between States that have high and low belt use im-
provement. Additional uses of both DL Offices and telephone surveys include:
x Analysis of how attitudes toward, and awareness of, enforcement have evolved over
the course of multiple years of Click It or Ticket Mobilizations;
x Examining the differential effects on awareness in States showing a high level of
change in belt use versus States showing a low level of change in belt use;
7
x Examining the differences in attitudes between secondary and primary law States;
x Examining the changes in attitudes in States that converted from secondary to pri-
mary law.
Once States were grouped into high versus low belt use change, changes in attitudes and
awareness were explored using binary logistic regressions. States were also grouped based on
existing seat belt law (primary, secondary, and converted). Using secondary States as a base, bi-
nary logistic regressions were computed to look at the differential impact of seat belt law on
changes in attitudes.
Rates of belt use among fatally injured front-seat passenger vehicle occupants (daytime
only) were used as an additional estimate of belt use and were compared to observed belt use
rates. FARS data were used to identify changes in belt use over the period 2000 to 2006 and pro-
vided an additional measure of changes in belt use. Belt use among fatalities was also used in the
following fashion:
x To identify high change and low change States in regard to belt use;
x To create a composite measure of belt use change by combining changes in belt use
rates in fatalities with observed belt use.
FARS data were used to examine change in the proportion of belted fatalities over the
course of the CIOT program. FARS data were classified into two equal periods, “pre-CIOT”
(November 1999 to May 2003) and “post-CIOT” (June 2003 to December 2006). A simple T-test
was used to compare the pre- and the post- periods. An ARIMA time series analysis was also
conducted on the same data to test for a significant increase in the proportion of belted fatally in-
jured occupants in the 43-month period following the first nationwide Click It or Ticket campaign
(June 2003) compared to what would have been expected from the trend of the preceding 43-
month period
One of the measures of belt change was percentage change in belted fatalities. Statewide
percentage change in belted fatalities was correlated with percentage change in statewide ob-
served belt use and with the conversion rate computed from observed belt use. Percentage of belt
use change in fatalities was used to create the composite ranking score used to rank order the
States from highest to lowest increase in belt use. When assessing changes in belt use in fatal
crashes, the selection criteria in FARS were matched to the criteria used in previous Click It or
Ticket evaluation reports. As such, the FARS queries included front-seat outboard occupants of
passenger vehicles 15 and older. Moreover, since Click It or Ticket is mostly a daytime program,
only daytime fatal crashes were included and were defined as crashes occurring between 4 a.m.
and 8:59 p.m., when most daytime activities take place. Belt use rates were based on known and
proper belt use only.
Telephone polls were conducted by PRG with officials from 22 States. These polls were
used to explore how States differ on issues such as enforcement policies and practices. Based on
these interviews, two States were selected for in-depth analysis. Three main issues of concern:
x Enforcement policies and practices in States that have secondary enforcement;
8
x How seat belt enforcement practices have changed since the inception of
SAFETEA-LU;
x States’ perceptions and attitudes regarding continuing with CIOT programs.
Information obtained from the phone interviews was collected and summarized. Two
well-performing secondary law States were further selected for participation in a case study.
PRG staff met with officials in Idaho and Ohio, collecting information on seat belt law, enforce-
ment strategies, media message, management, and feelings toward the CIOT program.
9
III. RESULTS
The most reliable estimates of national belt use come from the NOPUS, a probability-
based observational survey that has been conducted since 1994. Since the late 1990s, almost all
States have conducted annual observational surveys in June using probability based sampling
schemes approved by NHTSA. However, omission of up to 15% of low-population areas is per-
mitted in State surveys, so NOPUS provides the most accurate tally of nationwide seat belt use.
However, given that State-by-State comparisons are at the heart of this report, results of the State-
based surveys are used extensively in this study.
Changes in belt use can also be assessed by examining changes belt use rates among fatal
crash victims. Belt use in fatal crashes is assessed via the FARS, a census of fatal crashes occur-
ring on public roads in the United States. Belt use rates based on FARS are far lower than ob-
served rates, partly because belts prevent some fatalities, and partly because those individuals
more likely to be in potentially fatal crashes are less likely to use seat belts. FARS rates are thus
closely related to use rates in potentially fatal crashes, which are the situations where belt use is
most important. Since Click It or Ticket programs run during daytime hours, and observational
studies are done during the day, in the present report nighttime fatal crashes were excluded.
10
Figure 1. Changes in Belt Use, 1991-2006
% Belted (Observed) % Belted (Daytime FARS)
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
The substantial rise in belt use that coincided with 2000-2006 Click It or Ticket programs
is surely due to multiple factors. The separate contribution of enforcement programs cannot be
isolated, but it is notable that the major gains took place during the early 2000s when national
penetration of the programs was limited. However, enhanced enforcement clearly had a role. In
the 2000 South Carolina program, statewide observed belt use increased from 66.5% to 73.9%,
much more of an increase than in neighboring States during this time period. In three South
Carolina counties in which surveys were done just before and just after the enforcement phase,
observed belt use rates increased from 65.4% to 78.9%. In the 8-State program in 2001, observed
belt use rates increased substantially in all States, from 4 points in North Carolina to 20 in Ten-
nessee. Region-wide, the average increase in belt use was about 9%.
During the 2002 Mobilization, in the 10 States that had “full implementation” of media
and enforcement the average observed seat belt use increased 8.6 percentage points, from 68.5%
to 77.1%. In the 4 “partial implementation” States (less media, less enforcement), seat belt use
rose an average of 2.7 percentage points; in 4 States with no media and similar enforcement as in
the “full implementation” States, seat belt use increased only 0.5 percentage points. This illus-
trates the necessity of combining media and enforcement rather than relying on either alone.
Once the national programs began in 2003, there were no more studies comparing States
with and without enforcement programs. However, many States have conducted small-scale sur-
veys (just before and just after enforcement) that illustrate the power of enforcement programs in
producing spurts in belt use. A mini-survey, which can be completed in a few days’ time, uses a
representative subset of observation sites from a larger statewide survey, which normally take
weeks to complete. Data from selected States that have such data available are presented in Table
2. All data are based on outboard front-seat occupants of passenger vehicles. States that had pre-
and post-mobilization data available for at least three years were selected for inclusion. The data
illustrate the “saw blade” pattern characteristic of high-visibility enforcement mobilization: a no-
ticeable increase right after enforcement followed by a drop and another rise, with each wave be-
ing incrementally higher than the last. It is interesting to note that the three States with the high-
est belt use rates (Alabama, Connecticut, and North Carolina) were primary States throughout the
11
period reviewed. These three States show a pattern particularly similar to the nationwide rates,
with belt use rates slowing their advance, only to peak in 2005 and 2006. Nationwide, belt use in
fatalities were at their highest in 2004 to 2006 but remained unchanged during this period.
Table 2. Observed Seat Belt Use Pre- and Post-CIOT* – Select States
Primary 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Law
State Effective^ Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post
Alabama 12/9/1999 68% 76% 70% 79% n/a 77% n/a 80% 81% 86% 82% 85%
Connecticut 1/1/1986 n/a 78% n/a 78% 65% 78% 79% 83% 73% 82% n/a 84%
Florida Secondary 61% 69% 67% 75% n/a 73% n/a 76% 76% 75% n/a 81%
Mississippi 5/27/2006 49% 62% 54% 62% n/a 62% n/a 63% 62% 64% 66% 76%
North Carolina 10/1/1985 80% 83% n/a 84% n/a 86% n/a 86% 89% 90% 90% 91%
South Carolina 12/9/2005 65% 70% n/a 66% n/a 73% n/a 66% 70% 72% 74% 76%
Tennessee 7/1/2004 53% 69% n/a 67% n/a 69% n/a 72% 77% 77% 80% 82%
*Except in CT, data from 2005 and 2006 were obtained from observations done as part of demonstration programs
^Source: Insurance Institute for Highway Safety htttp://.iihs.org/laws/SafetyBeltUse.aspx
Thus, over the course of the 2000 to 2006 period, nationwide observed belt use increased
in the early 1990s, and then stagnated between 66 and 69% in the years 1993-1999. Belt use be-
gan to rise again in 2000 and increased each year from 2001 to 2005, peaking at 82% before de-
clining slightly to 81% in 2006. Belt use among occupant fatalities showed the same rise in the
early 1990s, with little change in the years 1996 to 1999, and a gradual rise in the 2000s, peaking
at 52% and remaining at that level from 2004 to 2006.
NHTSA (2005) estimates that for “each percentage point increase in seat belt use, an ad-
ditional 2.8 million people are buckled up, and about 270 lives are saved.” In the seven years
since the CIOT program began (2000 to 2006), observed belt use increased by 10 percentage
points (71% to 81%), thus approximating 2,700 lives saved. A National Cooperative Highway
Research Program report (Preusser et al, 2008) estimates that for each front-seat occupant fatal
injury, there are 156 non-fatal injuries; highway loss estimates are $1.1 million for each fatal in-
jury and an average of $28.7 thousand per non-fatal injury (in 2006 dollars). Had belt use re-
mained at the 2000 level, a modest estimate of the savings associated with that 10-point increase
in belt use is in the range of $15.1 billion (saving approximately 2,700 lives and close to 422,000
injuries).
Using a period of 43 months from before the program implementation (November 1999 to
May 2003), and 43 months after the program implementation (June 2003 to December 2006),
allowed the maximum data during the follow-up period.
12
Figure 2. Proportion Belted per Month, 1999-2006 (FARS)
.52
.50
Proportion of Belted Fatalities
.48
.46
.44
.42
.40
.38
JAN 2000
MAR 2000
MAR 2000
JUL 2000
SEP 2000
JAN 2001
MAR 2001
MAY 2001
JUL 2001
SEP 2001
JAN 2002
MAR 2002
MAY 2002
JUL 2002
SEP 2002
JAN 2003
MAR 2003
MAY 2003
JUL 2003
SEP 2003
JAN 2004
MAR 2004
MAY 2004
JUL 2004
SEP 2004
JAN 2005
MAR 2005
MAY 2005
JUL 2005
SEP 2005
JAN 2006
MAR 2006
MAY 2006
JUL 2006
SEP 2006
NOV 1999
NOV 2000
NOV 2001
NOV 2002
NOV 2003
NOV 2004
NOV 2005
NOV 2006
Date
An ARIMA time series analysis was conducted confirming that the results of the t-test
were not due simply to a pre-existing increasing trend in belt use. Using the model (1,0,1) (1,0,0)
to control for systematic fluctuations in the data series produced a significant effect of the imple-
mentation of the CIOT campaign. The ARIMA estimated a 3.8-percentage-point monthly in-
crease in seat belt use among fatally injured front-seat occupants of passenger vehicles after the
CIOT campaign, compared to what would have been expected from the existing trend before the
campaign (see Appendix C).
The FARS database only contains data for fatal crashes, which are the most serious type
of crashes. Fatal crashes may be very different from nonfatal crashes in terms of belt use and
other factors.
13
NATIONAL TRENDS IN MEDIA AND ENFORCEMENT, 2000-2006
Media and enforcement are the “twin engines” that drive seat belt programs, necessary in
combination to achieve maximum success. It is difficult to summarize the yearly and total
amounts of media and enforcement that took place from 2000 through 2006. Within the Click It
or Ticket programs, there was incomplete reporting, sometimes inconsistent reporting over time,
and in some cases different styles of reporting among States (available data, by State, is shown in
Appendix D for Media and Appendix E for enforcement, for years 2000 to 2006). Moreover,
since the first nationwide mobilization started in 2003, the majority of States only have data avail-
able for the years 2003 to 2006. With these considerations, Table 3 provides a rough estimate of
media and enforcement in the Click It or Ticket programs over the years 2000 to 2006 in partici-
pating jurisdictions. Note: Table 3 does not report all the enforcement activity that occurred dur-
ing these years. In the early 2000s, law enforcement agencies in many States were conducting
mobilizations in May and November. The numbers of tickets issued in these efforts is not docu-
mented. Also not included are tickets issued in routine patrol activities, outside of special pro-
grams.
The peak years for funding were 2004 and 2005, and then in 2006 there was a drop-off.
The Federal buy was $10 million in 2004, $9.7 million in 2005, and $9.2 million in 2006, so most
of the drop was in State funding. In contrast, enforcement intensity has been relatively constant
throughout 2001-2006, between 21 and 24 citations per 10,000 populations.
Media
In the early years of the CIOT campaign, paid media expenditures were relatively mod-
est. In the 2000 South Carolina campaign, approximately $0.12 per capita was spent and every
major media market in the State was targeted. In 2001, the campaign extended to the 8 States in
Region IV (Southeast Region), and the paid media expenditures reached approximately $3.6 mil-
lion, or $0.06 per capita. The Click It or Ticket slogan was used extensively in all 8 participating
States. Furthermore, media buys (i.e., TV and radio spots) were strategically placed to reach at-
risk population such as youth, pickup truck drivers, rural populations, minority groups, etc.
A similar strategy was used in 2002 and an estimated $0.08 per capita was spent on par-
ticipating States. The 2002 campaign consisted of three groups of States: 10 States with full im-
plementation, 4 States with “other” implementation (full enforcement, but limited media), and 4
“comparison” States (enforcement without specific paid media advertisement). Nine of the 10
full implementation States, 3 of the “other”, and only 1 of the “comparison” States (New York)
used the Click It or Ticket slogan. Given some States’ secondary law status, the use of the CIOT
slogan was prohibited/judged improper in some jurisdictions.
14
In 2003, the first nationwide paid media campaign spent more than $23 million on paid
media ($0.09 per capita). Extra efforts were taken to target advertisements to men 18 to 34. In-
deed, TV network programming was bought on shows that men 18 to 34, including African-
American and Hispanic men, were watching. These included NASCAR’s Coca-Cola 600, Ameri-
can Idol, Cops, Mr. Personality, Fear Factor, Dog Eat Dog, Law & Order SVU, Saturday Night
Live, Conan O’Brien, Last Call with Carson Daly, Tonight Show, Everwood, Smallville, Jamie
Kennedy, WB Movie of the Week, Charmed, Black Sash, WWF Smackdown, Buffy the Vampire
Slayer, Twilight Zone, Platinum, Enterprise, UPN Move, Sportscenter, NHL Conference Playoffs,
NBA, Major League Baseball, Auto Racing Weekend, Pardon the Interruption, MAAD Sports,
Black Star Cinema, Comic View, Way We Do It, BET News, Top 25 Countdown, Real TV, Late
Nite, Car & Driver, Prime Trucks, Horsepower TV, WWF, Seinfeld, Friends, Dawson’s Creek,
Drew Carey, X-Files, Law & Order, Heat Night Predator, NBA Playoffs, Novelas, Cristina Edi-
cion Especial, Cine de Estrellas, Gran Musical, Ver Par Cree, Mujer Casos – Vida Real and La
Hora Pico. Network radio programming was bought on ESPN Morning Show, Tony
Kornheiser Show, Dan Packard Show, NBA Playoffs, Major League Baseball, Doug
Banks, Tom Joyner, Don & Mike, Tom Leykis, NHL Final, Gen X, and The Edge.
The national television shot showed four different cars driving in a variety of locations
(mountains, small towns, urban center, and near a beach) and officers in a variety of uniforms
approaching the cars, with sirens and lights. The intent was to capture a variety of American lo-
cations. The narrative announced “From coast to coast… starting May 19th... if you don’t click
it… expect a ticket. Cops write tickets because seat belts save lives. So click it... or ticket.” The
voice-over was accompanied by graphics of drivers reacting to getting a ticket, four drivers put-
ting on their seat belts, and footage of crash test dummies (one belted, one unbelted). The last
graphic showed the Click It or Ticket logo and sponsoring identification of the U.S. Department
of Transportation. The television video was also produced in Spanish: “De costa a costa..... em-
pezando el 19 de mayo.... si no se abrocha el cinturón… le daran una multá. La policía impone
multas porque los cinturones de seguridad salvan vidas. Así qu abrochado …o multado.”
A 30-second national radio advertisement used the voice of a male in his 20s with music
throughout: “All right, everybody knows ‘seat belts save lives,’ I mean we’ve been hearing that
for years – I’m just tellin’ ya your seat belt can save your money and a whole lot of hassle too.
Because from coast to coast, cops are cracking down. They have this whole…campaign – ‘Click
It or Ticket.’ Pretty simple, you buckle up…or you pay up. Consider this a friendly warning, be-
cause cops won’t be giving warnings. Remember, Click It…or Ticket. DISCLAIMER: Paid for
by the U.S. Department of Transportation and National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.”
The Spanish version played Latin music throughout: “Bien, todos saben que “los cinturones de
seguridad salvan vidas”. Yo solo les digo que el cinturón de seguridad puede ahórrales dinero y
un montón de problemas también. La policía tiene una campaña – “Abrochado o Multado”. Es
super sencillo, se abrochan el cinturón o pagan la multa. Consideren est une advertencia amiga-
ble, porque la policía no va a estar dando advertencies. Recuerden, Abrochado o Multado. DIS-
CLAIMER: Patrocinado por el Departamento de Transporte.”
In 2004 and 2005, the paid media campaign used similar strategies to target males 18 to
34, teens, and young adults. NHTSA and the States spent at least $30 million on paid media each
year, equating $0.10 per capita in 2004 and $0.11 per capita in 2005. However, it is notable that
during the nationwide programs, some States resisted or forbid the Click It or Ticket slogan since
they judged it improper given their current seat belt use law. For instance, Idaho has never used
Click It or Ticket as a campaign slogan due to widespread belief that a solely enforcement-based
15
slogan would be ineffective in a secondary law State. Instead, Idaho used the slogan Click It
Don’t Risk It as an alternate.
The 2006 media campaign included the usual two weeks of paid media, consisting of tar-
geted television and radio advertisements, newsprints and billboards. Radio and TV advertise-
ments aired extensively and at strategic times during shows that attracted target audiences, pri-
marily adult males 18 to 34. Other targets of interest were pickup drivers 18 to 34, as well as
Hispanic and African-American males 18 to 34. The national media buy consisted of 45% broad-
cast television, 25% cable television, 15% radio, 10% to Hispanic media, and 5% alternative me-
dia. Examples of television purchases that attract the target audience include; the Indy Time Tri-
als and the Indy 500 Race, CSI: Miami; Comedy Central, Two and a Half Men, Baseball Tonight,
ESPN Sports Center, Poker, Mike & Mike, the Simpsons, Cops, America’s Most Wanted, NAS-
CAR Prime, MTV and MTV2, Conan O’Brian, Tonight Show, Law & Order SVU, Movie of the
Week, Las Vegas, NHL Finals, ER, Noticiero Univision, Novelas, Veronica Mars, Smackdown,
and UPN Movie Night, among many others. Examples of alternative media include video-game
advertising and Internet advertising on specific sites, such as www.NASCAR.com.
NHTSA developed radio and television media and implemented the nationwide place-
ment of television and radio advertisements. States implemented local purchases at their own
discretion, unlike previous years’ mobilizations where NHTSA had greater oversight in mobiliza-
tion advertisement purchases. The 30-second television advertisement that NHTSA used clearly
indicated to the viewer that police would issue tickets for not wearing seat belts. The advertise-
ment showed young adult males of differing races in a variety of settings (e.g., urban, suburban,
and rural locations). The advertisement’s narrator indicates that, all across America, police are
stepping up seat belt enforcement (for advertisement storyboard and other creative material, see
Appendix F).
The media campaign developed several radio spots of differing time lengths (5, 10, 15,
and 30 seconds) in English and Spanish. All the radio spots had an enforcement-centered mes-
sage. Several radio scripts are in Appendix F.
A variety of poster and billboard advertisement art were also developed, all of which car-
ried an enforcement-centered message (see Appendix F).
Earned Media
In addition to the paid media, the States’ earned media typically started two weeks prior
to the start of the enforcement, and continued for the duration of the program and beyond. States
generally ask community level participants to report on the number of TV, radio, and print news
stories publicized. Table 4 shows a summary of earned media information as reported by the
States, for years 2003 (the first nationwide program) through 2006. It should be noted that there
was some confusion on exactly what to report, especially in the early years of mobilization re-
porting. For instance, the number reported for TV news in 2004 is most likely an anomaly. Thus,
the totals in this table must be considered with extreme caution given the lack of standardization
in capturing earned media data.
16
Table 4. Earned Media Activity, 2003 to 2006
Earned Media 2003 2004 2005 2006
Enforcement
The number of seat belt citations that the police issued during the CIOT program was one
of the few enforcement activities reported every year. Reports on hours worked, numbers of
checkpoints, and number of participating law enforcement, were also available, albeit often in-
complete. Agencies’ reports have been sporadic, especially in the early years of the program.
Once the program became national, reporting of activities was somewhat better but still far from
ideal. As such, this section includes data reported between 2003 and 2006.
Between 2003 and 2006, law enforcement agencies reported more than 1.7 million hours
worked on the CIOT mobilizations, and included more than 34,000 checkpoints. During this pe-
riod, police issued more than 2.5 million seat belt citations and close to 129,000 child restraint
violations. Police also issued a large number of speeding tickets during the mobilization – over
1.6 million speeding citations between 2003 and 2006 – and more than 99,000 DWI arrests (see
Table 5). Because a number of States failed to report their data each year, the data reported in
Table 5 under-reports the actual figures.
17
Law Enforcement Agency Sample, 2002-2006
A stratified random sample of municipal and State law enforcement agencies was drawn
to track seat belt enforcement citations between 2002 through 2006. The sample included com-
munities of various sizes in primary and secondary law States from all NHTSA Regions.
Municipal Agency Enforcement: The municipal sampling process included random selection of
one primary law and one secondary law location from each of the 10 NHTSA Regions (2 cities *
10 NHTSA Regions = 20) and stratified by four categories of city size: (1) <50K; (2) 50K to
100K; (3) 100K to 250K; (4) >250K. As such, the planned sample was to include 80 sites. Mu-
nicipal police departments serving the cities randomly chosen for the sample were contacted and
a request was made for monthly totals of citations issued for non-compliance with the adult seat
belt law, for the period 2002 through 2006. Multiple attempts were made to collect citation data
from contacts in the sample cities. Agencies were given ample time to return calls and fulfill the
request. Some cities took little time to fulfill the request; others took several weeks. Some cities
failed to provide information, either because they ignored the request or were unable to provide
the information (the information was not available or there was no system in place for easily pro-
viding the information). Those cities that did not or could not fulfill the requests for data were
replaced with other randomly chosen cities. More than 200 municipal agencies were contacted,
82 of which were able to provide information in response to requests for seat belt citation data.
Fifty-five municipal law enforcement agencies provided complete annual information for all five
years requested; 38 were able to provide complete month-by-month information for all five years.
Data presented in Figures 3, 4, and 5 are based on the same 55 municipal agencies.
The annual seat belt citations issued by the sample of municipal agencies is graphed in
Figure 3. From 2002 to 2006, there was a downward trend in the number of seat belt citations
issued. The number of tickets dropped 30% from 98,778 in 2002 to 68,654 in 2006.
18
Figure 3. Number of Seat Belt Citations Issued by Year, Municipal Agencies
100,000
98,778 Total Municipal Locations (55)
90,000
86,740
70,000
68,654
60,000
50,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Both primary law and secondary law locations contributed to the decline in seat belt cita-
tions issued (Figure 4). Primary law locations ticketing decreased 34% and secondary law loca-
tions decreased 23% between 2002 and 2006.
Figure 4. Number of Seat Belt Citations Issued by Type of Law and Year,
Municipal Agencies
Primary Law (27) Secondary Law (28)
80,000
70,000 71,390
63,028
60,000
53,258 55,864
50,000 47,472
40,000
27,388
30,000
23,712 23,109 23,261
21,182
20,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Figure 5 displays the number of tickets issued per year for municipal agencies represent-
ing communities of different sizes. Ticketing levels over time have remained relatively level for
law enforcement agencies serving communities with less than 100k population. Law enforcement
agencies serving larger populations indicated a decline in ticketing from 2002 through 2006. All
size categories reported issuing fewer tickets in 2006 than in 2005. This decrease was significant
for mid-size departments only (paired t-test, p<.05). Moreover, the average number of seat belt
19
tickets issued between 2002 and 2005 was higher than the number of citations in 2006. This de-
crease was significant (p<.05) in both mid-size and large departments. There were no significant
changes for small departments.
Figure 5. Number of Seat Belt Citations Issued per Year, Municipal Agencies 2002-2006
<100K (n=32)
60,000 59,098 100K to 249K (n=13)
>250K (n=10)
51,873
50,000
40,642 38,192
40,000
37,714
30,000
22,477 22,118
19,491 19,151
20,000 16,026
18,815
17,203 16,574 14,911
15,376
10,000
-
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Thirty-eight municipal law enforcement agencies provided counts of tickets issued per
month. Figure 6 shows the total number of tickets issued per month for the years 2002 through
2006. In general, seat belt ticketing declined over time and was most common during May. This
is not surprising given the level of planning, coordination, and recruitment put into May Mobili-
zations. Noticeable spikes in ticketing also occurred around November and December during
years 2003, 2004, and 2005 and around September 2006. These months can also be associated
with significant special enforcement efforts organized at the national level by NHTSA, facilitated
by the State Highway Safety Offices, and carried out by thousands of local law enforcement
agencies like those represented in the graph below. Conversely, the number of tickets issued was
typically at its lowest level during mid-winter (i.e., February).
20
Figure 6. Seat Belt Citations Issued per Month, Municipal Agencies 2002 - 2006
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
Jan_02 Jan_03 Jan_04 Jan_05 Jan_06
Figure 7 shows the proportional distribution of seat belt tickets issued by month each year
2002 - 2006. Clearly, May and June have the highest distribution of seat belt tickets and that is
due to Mobilization enforcement. The graph shows that two to three times the normal distribution
of ticketing occurs during May.
Figure 7. Proportion of Seat Belt Ticketing per Month of Year, Municipal Agencies 2002 2006
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Jan_02 Jan_03 Jan_04 Jan_05 Jan_06
21
State Police Enforcement: A random sample of 17 State law enforcement agencies provided
annual counts of seat belt citations for 2002 through 2006. This included 7 State agencies operat-
ing under primary enforcement laws in 2006 and 10 operating under a secondary enforcement
law.
The annual seat belt citations issued by the State agencies are shown in Figure 8. From
2002 to 2004, there was a downward trend in the number of seat belt citations issued, represent-
ing a 22-percent decrease. After 2004, ticketing did not decrease any further but remained lower
compared to 2002 and 2003. The decrease in the number of tickets the State police issued be-
tween 2002 and 2004 was much greater in secondary law States compared to primary law States
(33% versus 9% - see Figure 9). A decrease in ticketing continued in the primary law States until
2005. Both primary and secondary law States experienced an increase in ticketing between 2005
and 2006.
States with populations less than 6 million showed no significant decreases in ticketing
over time. In contrast, States with populations over 6 million showed a significant decrease
(paired t-test, p=.014) between the average of 2002-2005 and year 2006, and no difference be-
tween 2005 and 2006.
1,282,894
1,300,000
1,182,350
1,068,771
1,100,000 1,002,884
1,006,538
900,000
700,000
500,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
22
Figure 9. Number of Seat Belt Citations Issued by Type of Law and Year, State Agencies
800,000
Primary Law (7)
Secondary Law (10)
700,000
666,003
616,891
599,619 583,113
600,000
560,016
582,731
538,568
485,658
500,000
464,316
446,522
400,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Telephone surveys were conducted nationwide, before and after the May Mobilization, in
2003, 2004, and 2007. Data from the surveys were used to examine changes/trends in attitudes
and awareness of belt use and belt use enforcement. The survey results can be summarized on
three categories of questions: attitudes toward belt use, perception of enforcement severity, atti-
tudes toward enforcement, and media awareness.
Other questions inquired on people’s beliefs about seat belts. Individuals were asked to
indicate their level of agreement or disagreement with a series of statements. Across time, there
was increasing disagreement with the statement Seat belts are just as likely to harm you as help
you (Figure 11). An average of 41% strongly disagreed with the statement in 2003, 45% in 2004,
and reaching an average of 47% in 2007. The proportion of respondents who would want their
seat belt on in case of an accident were high (at least 84%) throughout the period, and increased
over time (from an average of 86% in 2003 to an average of 89% in 2007, see Figure 12). The
proportion of respondents who strongly disagreed with the statement Putting on a seat belt makes
me worry more about being in an accident remained stable over time, with an average of 69% in
2003 and 2004 and 70% in 2007 (Figure 13). These data suggest that in addition to increasing belt
use, attitudes toward belt use have also become increasingly positive over the course of the first
years of the Click It or Ticket mobilizations.
23
Figure 10. Self-Reported Belt Use, 2003, 2004, and 2007
Figure 11. Seat Belts: Harm or Help, 2003, 2004, and 2007
20%
10%
0%
2003 2004 2007
24
Figure 12. Want Belt in Case of Accident (% Strongly Agree), 2003, 2004, and 2007
Figure 13. Seat Belts – Worry About Accident, 2003, 2004, and 2007
60%
2003 2004 2007
25
Figure 14. Risk of Being Ticketed for Nonuse, 2003, 2004, and 2007
Assume that you do not wear your seat belt AT ALL
while driving over the next six months. How likely do
you think you will be to receive a ticket for not
wearing a seat belt? (% very likely)
40%
34% 36% 37% 36%
35% 32%
30% 28%
25%
20% pre
15% post
10%
5%
0%
2003 2004 2007
Figure 15. Police Don’t Bother Ticketing for Nonuse, 2003, 2004, and 2007
5%
0%
2003 2004 2007
26
Figure 16. Support for Primary Law, 2003, 2004, and 2007
When asked if it was important for police to enforce seat belt laws, an average of 63%
strongly agreed in 2003 and 2004. This proportion increased to 71% in 2007 (Figure 17). Fur-
thermore, when asked how important it was to strictly enforce seat belt laws, results indicated a
slow but steady increase in percentage of respondents judging the issue very important (Figure
18).
Figure 17. Important to Enforce Seat Belt Law, 2003, 2004, and 2007
27
Figure 18. Importance of Strict Enforcement of Seat Belt Law, 2003, 2004, and 2007
Awareness of special efforts by police to ticket drivers for not using their seat belts in-
creased dramatically from pre- to post-CIOT mobilization in each year surveyed. The post meas-
ure of awareness in the year 2007 was the highest (by at least 8 percentage point) of the available
measures (Figure 19). When asked to indicate where they had seen or heard about special efforts,
the most popular answer – by far – was television. In the post measure, approximately 50% of
respondents indicated TV as the source of information; the second most popular answer was
radio, which hovered between 20 and 25% (See Table 6 for detailed set of data).
28
Figure 19. Awareness of Special Efforts, 2003, 2004, and 2007
30% pre
17% post
20% 16%
16%
10%
0%
2003 2004 2007
Participants were asked about the nature of the source of information, specifically
whether the special effort message was a commercial/advertisement or whether they had
seen/heard it as part of a news program. In all three years surveyed, there was an increase from
pre to post in percentage of respondents indicating commercial/advertisement as the source of
information. Responses to news program showed the opposite pattern in 2003 and 2004, but not
in 2007 (Figure 20). Overall, the proportion of respondents indicating news program as a source
of information was much lower in 2007 than in previous years.
29
Figure 20. Nature of Special Efforts Message (% Yes), 2003, 2004, and 2007
Participants were also asked about awareness of messages encouraging the use of seat
belts. As was the case with awareness of special efforts, there were large increases from pre- to
post-CIOT in all three years surveyed. In each of the three years, at least 80% reported seeing or
hearing such a message after the mobilization (Figure 21).
75% 74%
73% pre
70%
70% post
65%
60%
2003 2004 2007
When asked to report on the source of that message, the two most popular answers were
TV (at least 65% in the post measure) and billboard/sign (over 30% in the post). Responses to TV
showed an increase from pre to post whereas answers to billboard showed a decrease. Coming
third was radio, which generally showed an increase from pre to post (see Table 7 for details).
Overall, the majority of respondents indicated commercial/advertisement as the source of the
message, in both the pre- and the post-CIOT portions of the survey. The year 2007 showed a
large increase from pre to post in percentage reporting commercial as the nature of the message;
much smaller increases were found in 2003 and 2004. The proportion responding news program
30
showed a small increase from pre to post in 2003 and 2007. The reverse was found in 2004 (see
Figure 22).
Figure 22. Nature of Belt Message (% Yes), 2003, 2004, and 2007
31
Table 8. Slogan Recognition, 2003, 2004, and 2007
Do you recall seeing or hearing the following slogans in the past 30 days?
2003 2004 2007
Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post
Buckle Up [State] 51% 57% 56% 59% 47% 41%
Buckle Up America 39% 42% 42% 48% 32% 30%
Click It or Ticket [State] 28% 52% 40% 59% 50% 57%
Click It or Ticket 35% 61% 49% 70% 65% 79%
Get the Keys 20% 23% 19% 22% 13% 15%
You Drink, You Drive, You Lose 50% 54% 60% 64% 58% 49%
Friends Don't Let Friends Drive Drunk 81% 83% 81% 82% 72% 61%
Looking at national trends shows that belt use indeed increased between 2000 and 2005,
only to decrease slightly in 2006. The belt use rate in fatalities showed a similar pattern, increas-
ing between 2000 and 2004 and remaining stable through 2005 and 2006. Over the course of the
past 16 years (1991-2006), belt use has increased by about 20 percentage points (+22 in observed
belt use, +19 in percentage of belted fatalities). Self-reported belt use in nationwide phone survey
also show an increase over time, associated with increasing belief in the safety aspect of belt use.
Although enforcement activity has remained stable, perception of severity of enforcement has
increased, along with support for enforcement. For instance, there is increasing support for pri-
mary laws as well as higher agreement that belt enforcement is a worthwhile venture. The level of
media activity has followed a similar pattern, increasing from 2001 to 2005, only to drop slightly
in 2006. Media awareness has remained high throughout the period and the Click It or Ticket slo-
gan has gained in recognition, increasing by 44 percentage points from pre CIOT 2003 to post
CIOT 2007.
Categorizing States on current belt use rates shows us how different they are at a particu-
lar moment in time and is only one of several possible measures of success. Looking at change in
belt use over time may be a better tool for identifying factors associated with degree of improve-
ment across States. Similar to what was observed nationally, State survey data also showed evi-
dence of a slowdown in use rate increases during the latter part of the 2000-2006 period. Figure
23 shows the amount of annual improvement averaged across statewide surveys for the years
2002 through 2006. Annual average improvement was greatest from 2002 to 2003 (3.4 percent-
age points) but it decreased thereafter. Improvement was lowest from 2005 to 2006 (0.3 percent-
age points) although belt use increased in all but 11 States between 2005 and 2006.
States are known to vary substantially in belt use. For example, the range in observed seat
belt use in 2006 was from 63.5% in Wyoming to 96.3% in Washington; the range in belt use in
occupant fatalities was from 30.8% in Mississippi to 72.8% in Michigan. These two measures are
highly correlated as would be expected (+0.73 in 2006), that is, States with higher observed use
tend to have higher use rates in the fatally injured population.
32
Figure 23. Improvement across Statewide Use Rates, 2002-2006
4
3.4 Percentage-point change
3
2.3
1.9
2
1
0.3
0
2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006
The small changes in national belt use data hide the fact that there were very substantial
differences in the extent to which changes in belt use occurred in States over the course of the
CIOT programs. Three measures of change were used in making this assessment: the percentage
change in observed belt use based on the June Statewide surveys, a “conversion” measure that
assesses the extent to which nonusers are converted to users, and the percentage change in belt
use among fatally injured daytime front-seat occupant of passenger vehicles as reported in FARS.
In computing the percentage change in belt use, States starting at a lower baseline have
an advantage. For example, a State with 85% belt use that has a gain of 10 percentage points has
a percentage increase of 12% (95-85/85) and is close to a ceiling. In contrast, a 10-percentage
point gain in a State with 40% belt use yields a percentage increase of 25% (50-40/40), in addi-
tion to extra room to have growth. The conversion rate (current belt use minus baseline belt
use/100 minus baseline) takes away this advantage, giving more credit to closing in on 100%. In
the above example, the State with belt use going from 85% to 95% has a conversion rate of 67%
(95-85/100-85), whereas the State going from 40% to 50% has a conversion rate of 17%.
Given these multiple measures of change in belt use, identifying the highest and lowest
performing States can become a challenge since the rankings from best to worst differ depending
on the measure used. To address this issue and to give each measure equal weighting, a composite
ranking score was created. Each State was ranked on each of the three scores and the average
rank was computed. As a final stage, States were rank ordered on this average, with the State
showing the most change given the lowest rank (#1).
The central question addressed in this report has to do with the cumulative effects of
Click It or Ticket programs on a national basis over the entire 2000-2006 period. For these analy-
ses, the baseline period was computed as the average of 1997-1999, using three years in order to
have a more stable rate of belt use among occupant fatalities (because of small numbers for single
years in some States) as well as a more stable base for observed use. The year 2006 by itself is
33
considered the post-CIOT period. Most States showed linear increases during these years, and
there were few major fluctuations in either direction. Table 9 shows the observed belt use rate,
and belt use in fatalities, for States in 1997-1999 and 2006.
Table 10 shows the changes in belt use by State for each of the three change measures be-
tween 1997-1999 and 2006. New Hampshire, Maine, and the District of Columbia were excluded
from all State analyses: New Hampshire because it has no seat belt use law, Maine because of the
lack of State surveys in the baseline period, and DC because there were too few occupant fatali-
ties to calculate reliable rates.
34
Table 9. Observed Belt Use Rate and Percentage Belted Daytime Fatalities,
1997-99 and 2006
35
Table 10. Percentage Change in Belt Use Between 1997-1999 and 2006, by State
36
All States had increases in observed belt use from 1997-1999 to 2006, by as little as 3.8%
(New Mexico, 86.3% to 89.6%) to as much as 74.1% (North Dakota, 45.4% to 79.0%). Conver-
sion rate changes ranged from 19.2% (Wyoming) to 82.2% (Washington). In terms of belted fa-
talities, all States had positive changes except for Montana, Hawaii, Missouri, and South Dakota;
the biggest increase (87.3%) was in Utah (37.3% to 69.9%).
There were modestly positive correlations among the change measures: percentage
change in observed use and conversion (r = 0.55, p <.0001), percentage change in observed use
and percentage change in belted fatalities use (r = 0.34, p <.05), and conversion and percentage
changed in belted fatalities use (r = 0.26, p< .10). That is, States that ranked high on one measure
tended to rank high on the others too.
37
Table 11. Variation in Amount of Media and Enforcement, 2000-2006
38
State Rankings in Belt Use Change Measures
Using measures of belt use change (data shown in Table 10), States were ranked on belt
use changes, from most change (#1) to least. Rankings for the three separate measures (percent-
age change and conversion in observed belt use, percentage change in FARS) are shown in Table
12, presented alphabetically by State. A summary category was also created based on the average
of rankings on percentage increase in belt use, the conversion rate, and the percentage increase in
belted fatalities. The summary rankings, best to worst, are in Table 13.
39
Table 12. Belt Use Change – Rankings on Three Measures
Rank
Observed Belt Use FARS
State % Change Conversion % Change
ALABAMA 2 12 13
ALASKA 7 18 3
ARIZONA 34 33 37
ARKANSAS 17 37 21
CALIFORNIA 48 31 32
COLORADO 22 28 41
CONNECTICUT 27 26 4
DELAWARE 10 13 9
FLORIDA 11 23 43
GEORGIA 19 8 35
HAWAII 40 15 47
IDAHO 5 22 2
ILLINOIS 12 9 11
INDIANA 4 11 22
IOWA 36 21 18
KANSAS 26 36 14
KENTUCKY 33 44 38
LOUISIANA 43 45 26
MARYLAND 25 25 30
MASSACHUSETTS 39 19 40
MICHIGAN 18 41 8
MINNESOTA 13 2 25
MISSISSIPPI 9 32 36
MISSOURI 28 35 46
MONTANA 47 48 45
NEBRASKA 37 42 19
NEVADA 32 10 23
NEW JERSEY 6 3 34
NEW MEXICO 49 47 12
NEW YORK 46 39 27
NORTH CAROLINA 44 29 44
NORTH DAKOTA 1 16 7
OHIO 16 24 20
OKLAHOMA 8 17 10
OREGON 41 7 31
PENNSYLVANIA 20 20 29
PUERTO RICO 24 5 n/a
RHODE ISLAND 35 40 15
SOUTH CAROLINA 42 46 39
SOUTH DAKOTA 23 38 48
TENNESSEE 15 27 6
TEXAS 30 14 28
UTAH 14 6 1
VERMONT 31 30 5
VIRGINIA 45 43 33
WASHINGTON 29 1 17
WEST VIRGINIA 3 4 42
WISCONSIN 21 34 16
WYOMING 38 49 24
40
Table 13. State Rankings on Belt Use Changes 1997-99 to 2006, Best to Worst.
Rank
Belted
Observed Belt Use Fatalities Combined
Summary
Law* State % Change Conversion % Change Avg. Rank Rank
Sec UTAH 14 6 1 7.0 1
Conv MICHIGAN 18 41 8 7.7 2
Sec NORTH DAKOTA 1 16 7 8.0 3
Conv ALABAMA 2 12 13 9.0 4
Conv ALASKA 7 18 3 9.3 5
Sec IDAHO 5 22 2 9.7 6
Conv DELAWARE 10 13 9 10.7 7
Conv ILLINOIS 12 9 11 10.7 7
Prim OKLAHOMA 8 17 10 11.7 9
Conv INDIANA 4 11 22 12.3 10
Conv NEW JERSEY 6 3 34 14.3 11
Conv WASHINGTON 29 1 17 15.7 12
Conv TENNESSEE 15 27 6 16.0 13
Sec WEST VIRGINIA 3 4 42 16.3 14
Prim CONNECTICUT 27 26 4 19.0 15
Sec OHIO 16 24 20 20.0 16
Prim GEORGIA 19 8 35 20.7 17
Sec NEVADA 32 10 23 21.7 18
Sec VERMONT 31 30 5 22.0 19
Sec PENNSYLVANIA 20 20 29 23.0 20
Sec WISCONSIN 21 34 16 23.7 21
Prim TEXAS 30 14 28 24.0 22
Sec ARKANSAS 17 37 21 25.0 23
Prim IOWA 36 21 18 25.0 23
Sec MINNESOTA 13 2 25 25.0 23
Sec KANSAS 26 36 14 25.3 26
Sec FLORIDA 11 23 43 25.7 27
Conv MISSISSIPPI 9 32 36 25.7 27
Prim OREGON 41 7 31 26.3 29
Prim MARYLAND 25 25 30 29.3 30
Sec RHODE ISLAND 35 40 15 30.0 31
Sec COLORADO 22 28 41 30.3 32
Sec NEBRASKA 37 42 19 32.7 33
Sec MASSACHUSETTS 39 19 40 33.0 34
Prim HAWAII 40 15 47 34.0 35
Sec ARIZONA 34 33 37 34.7 36
Prim NEW MEXICO 49 47 12 36.0 37
Sec MISSOURI 28 35 46 36.3 38
Sec SOUTH DAKOTA 23 38 48 36.3 38
Prim CALIFORNIA 48 31 32 37.0 40
Sec WYOMING 38 49 24 37.0 40
Prim NEW YORK 46 39 27 37.3 42
Prim LOUISIANA 43 45 26 38.0 43
Sec KENTUCKY 33 44 38 38.3 44
Prim NORTH CAROLINA 44 29 44 39.0 45
Sec VIRGINIA 45 43 33 40.3 46
Conv SOUTH CAROLINA 42 46 39 42.3 47
Sec MONTANA 47 48 45 46.7 48
Prim PUERTO RICO 24 5 n/a n/a n/a
* Law Type: Primary (Prim), Secondary (Sec), Converted from Secondary to Primary (Conv)
41
It is notable that had the non-law State of New Hampshire been included, it would have
ranked dead last in Table 13, with an increase in belt use from 57.7% to 63.5% (10% belt in-
crease, 14% conversion) coupled with a decrease in belted fatalities from 31.8% to 21.9% (-31%).
In terms of the rankings themselves, the primary States did somewhat better overall. Of
course, those converting from secondary at baseline to primary in 2006 had a clear advantage in
achieving increased belt use, and most such States were near the top. However, some of the States
that had the greatest changes in seat belt use had secondary laws, some of the States that had the
smallest improvements in seat belt use had primary laws, and South Carolina, a conversion State,
was next to last.
The correlation between belt use change and amount of enforcement (defined as number
of belt citations per 10,000 population) was statistically significant (r = -0.44, p = .002). Thus the
lower the rank (and thus, the more change), the higher the enforcement. Similar findings were
obtained when using a rank measure of enforcement (more enforcement, lower rank). There was a
significant positive correlation between belt use change rankings and enforcement level ranking (r
= .43, p =.002). Since the key to a successful CIOT campaign is the combination of enforcement
and media, a composite score was created based on the average rankings of media and awareness.
The combined rank of media + enforcement was also significantly correlated with the belt use
change rank (r = .47, p = .001).
There is a suspicion that the relationship between belt use change and enforcement levels
could be due to the States changing from secondary to primary law. These States have an advan-
tage in achieving higher belt use during this period combined with higher enforcement levels. It is
possible for the relationship between belt use change and greater enforcement to be strongly re-
lated to the switch to primary law. To examine that possibility, the 11 conversion States were
eliminated from the data and the correlation was re-computed. Results indicated that the link was
still there (r = -0.42, p=.01) so the switch to primary is not the main force behind the correlation.
Similar results were obtained when using the enforcement rank measure (r = .41, p =.013). With-
out the conversion States, the correlation between belt use change and media totals remained
small (r = -0.21) and the size of the correlation between belt use change and media rank was simi-
lar as with all the States included (r = .33, p = .047).
42
States With the Largest and Smallest Increases in Seat Belt Use
Next, five States that had the greatest increases in seat belt used were compared with five
States that had the smallest increases in seat belt use. Table 14 shows the relationships between
States with the best and worst seat belt use changes, and States' media and enforcement levels.
According to Table 13, the five States that increased seat belt use the most were Utah, Michigan,
North Dakota, Alabama, and Alaska; the five States that had the smallest increases in seat belt use
were Louisiana, North Carolina, Virginia, South Carolina, and Montana. The data in Table 14
were based on the average amounts of media and enforcement per State, in order to give each
State equal weighting.
Table 14. Five States With the Most Belt Use Change versus the Five States With the Least
Change: Media and Enforcement Levels (Based on State Averages)
Media Enforcement
$ per Capita Citations per 10,000 Pop.
MOST CHANGE $0.46 102.8
LEAST CHANGE $0.48 67.8
Table 14 results are in line with the correlation data based on all States, that is, belt use
change was associated with high levels of enforcement, but was unrelated to media dollars spent.
The responses of two groups, 10 States with the greatest increase in seat belt use and 10
States with the smallest increase in seat belt use, were compared. The 10 States with the greatest
increase in seat belt use were Utah, Michigan, North Dakota, Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Delaware,
Illinois, Oklahoma, and Indiana. The 10 States with the smallest increases in seat belt use were
South Dakota, California, Wyoming, New York, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, Virginia,
South Carolina, and Montana.
The survey results can be summarized on three categories of questions: attitudes toward
belt use, perception of enforcement severity, and attitudes toward enforcement. The analyses ex-
plored if the level of change in belt use was paralleled by the level of change in attitudes, as as-
sessed by a set of binary logistic regression. Since the available 2003 survey data did not include
questions on awareness, changes over time cannot be explored for this issue.
43
belt use rates than top change States, and reported belt use rates were higher in 2007 than they
were in 2003. The State by year interaction was not significant.
Three additional questions assessed attitudes toward belt use and required participants to
indicate their level of agreement or disagreement with a series of statements. There was general
disagreement with the statement Seat belts are just as likely to harm you as to help you. In both
categories of States, the percentage of people disagreeing (strongly/somewhat disagree) with the
statement increased over time, from 64% to 71% in the top change States and from 64% to 72%
in the bottom change States. The binary logistic regression revealed a main effect of year (p
=.01), with 2007 rates of disagreement being higher than the 2003 rates. No other effect reached
significance. Overall, more than 90% indicated strong agreement (strongly agree) with the
statement If I was in an accident, I would want my seat belt on and the responses increased over
time (from 87% to 92% from 2003 to 2007 in the top change States and from 90% to 93% in the
bottom change States). The regression analysis showed no significant main effect or interaction
for this item. There was general disagreement with the statement Putting on a seat belt makes me
worry about being in an accident. Seventy one% of respondents in the top change States strongly
disagreed with the statement in 2003, compared to 66% in 2007. In the bottom change States,
70% strongly disagreed in 2003 compared to 72% in 2007. The regression analysis revealed no
significant main effects or interaction for this statement.
In reaction to the Statement ‘Police in my community generally will not bother to write
tickets for seat belt violations’, 49% of respondents in the top change States reported strongly or
somewhat agreeing with the statement in 2003. This figure decreased to 42% by 2007. The bot-
tom change States also showed a decrease in agreement from 52% to 34%. The binary logistic
regression indicated no main effect of State type, but did indicate a significant main effect of
Year (p <.0001), suggesting that in 2007, more people believed that police will ticket for nonuse
than they did four years earlier. The interaction between year and State type approached signifi-
cance (p=.06), suggesting that the decrease in the bottom change States may have been greater
than the change in the top change States.
44
Summary of Attitude Changes in States With the Largest and Smallest
Increases in Belt Use
Using 1997-1999 as baseline, the States with the highest and lowest belt use change
showed a clear-cut difference in level of enforcement but were quite similar on paid media activ-
ity. Changes in attitudes were evident across years but there were only minor differences be-
tween top and bottom States.
One major split among States is in terms of whether they permit standard enforcement of
belt use violations or whether the belt violation must be secondary to another violation. Gener-
ally, belt use is higher in primary States than in secondary States. Data in Table 15 show this to
be the case for both observed belt use and belt use in daytime fatalities. Belt use has generally
increased between 1998 and 2005 and has leveled off between 2005 and 2006. Other than the
higher belt use rate in primary States, both primary and secondary law States show a very similar
pattern of change over time. The following section will explore variations in attitudes across
primary and secondary States. The differential effects of the CIOT mobilizations on belt use
change, media, and enforcement levels of primary and secondary States were also explored using
the 1997 to 1999 baseline.
45
Table 16. Conversion States: Effective Date of Primary Law
State Initial Effective Date*
ALASKA 05/01/2006
DELAWARE 06/30/2003
ILLINOIS 07/03/2003
KENTUCKY 07/20/2006
MISSISSIPPI 05/27/2006
SOUTH CAROLINA 12/09/2005
TENNESSEE 07/01/2004
* Source: http://www.iihs.org/laws/SafetyBeltUse.aspx
On the question of whether seat belts are as likely to harm you as to help you, all three
groups of States showed increases in percentage of respondents indicating strongly disagree
(from 65% to 72% in primary States, from 62% to 72% in secondary States, and from 61% to
68% in conversion States). The binary logistic regression showed a significant main effect of
Year (p<.0001), with more respondents indicating disagreement in 2007 than they did in 2003.
No other effect or interaction was significant. The primary, secondary, and conversion States
showed small increases in agreement in response to the statement If I was in an accident, I would
want to have my seat belt on. Ninety percent of primary States respondents indicated strongly
agree in 2003 compared to 93% in 2007; secondary States showed an increase from 87% to 91%
and conversion States went from 86% to 90% between 2003 and 2007. The binary logistic re-
46
gression indicated a significant main effect of year (p<.05) but no significance on the main effect
of State type or the interaction. Between 2003 and 2007, there were only minor changes when
respondents were asked whether putting on a seat belt made them worry about being in an acci-
dent. Respondents in primary States showed a 1-percentage-point increase in percentage re-
sponding strongly disagree, compared to a 4percentage-point drop in secondary States and a 3-
point drop in conversion States. There were no significant main effects or interaction.
47
Figure 26. Police Don’t Bother Ticketing for Belt Violations, by State Type
0%
Primary Secondary Conversion
48
Summary of Attitudes in Primary and Secondary States
Primary States on average have higher belt use rates than secondary States. Results of
the attitude survey show that there are important changes over time in almost every question re-
viewed. Self-reported belt use increased over time and is higher in primary and conversion States
than in secondary States. Moreover, they were significant attitudinal differences between pri-
mary, secondary, and conversion States, especially on the issue of enforcement. Both perception
of enforcement severity and support for primary enforcement of seat belt laws were stronger in
primary and conversion States than they were in secondary States.
Belt Use Change, Media, and Enforcement in Primary and Secondary States
In the 1997-to-2006 period, there were States that were primary throughout (14 in total),
those that were secondary throughout (24), and 11 that were secondary during the baseline period
but primary in 2006. These conversion States are Alaska, Alabama, Delaware, Illinois, Indiana,
Michigan, Mississippi, New Jersey, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Washington. Table 17 shows
the 1997-1999-to-2006 belt use change summary rank, along with media dollars and amount of
enforcement over the 2000-2006 period for the three types of States. Table 18 indicates average
media dollars spent and the amount of enforcement in the 2000-to-2006 period. Table 19 shows
the 1997-1999-to-2006 average belt use changes.
49
Table 17. Belt Use Change, Media and Enforcement by State, 1997/99-2006
50
Table 18 indicates that secondary States have the lowest level of enforcement. States that
switched to primary during the study period showed the highest average enforcement, which is
impressive since most of these States were secondary for some part of 2000-2006. The enforce-
ment bulge did not translate to media dollars; both secondary and conversion States had compa-
rable levels while the “pure” primary States were somewhat lower in amounts spent per capita.
Table 18. Media Dollars and Enforcement Level by State Type, 2000-2006*
Media Dollars Citations
per 10,000 Pop. per 10,000 Pop.
Average of States Average of States
PRIMARY LAW $0.33 104.6
SECONDARY LAW $0.43 69.6
CONVERTED TO PRIMARY LAW $0.43 113.2
* Note that the majority of States began media in 2003, when the first nationwide campaign began
Table 19 indicates that primary States had baseline use rates about 14percentage points
higher than secondary States. All States had increases in use during the study period, with posi-
tive changes in both observed use and use among fatally injured occupants highest in the States
converting from secondary to primary. Secondary States, starting from a lower base, had higher
percentage increases than pure primary States; the pure primary States had higher conversion
rates than secondary States.
The correlations between belt use change, media and enforcement level were investigated
with correlations based on primary, secondary, and conversion States separately. The belt use
change measure was ranked, with most change getting the lowest rank (Table 17). Thus, one
would expect correlations between number of citations and amount for paid media to be nega-
tively correlated with belt change rank. These analyses were based on small numbers. The con-
version States showed no pattern (r = .22 for media and r=-.16 for enforcement, neither was close
to significance). For primary enforcement States, there was a correlation of r = -0.46 between
belt use change and media dollars, and the correlation with citations was r = -0.24. Neither was
close to standard statistical significance most likely because of the small number of States in-
volved (14). For secondary States, there was no significant relationship between belt use change
and media dollars (r = .05), but the correlation with enforcement presence was r = -0.65, which
was significant (p= .001).
As an alternate measure of media and enforcement activity levels, ranks were computed,
with States spending the most and ticketing the most getting the lowest ranking. In addition, a
composite rank of media plus enforcement was computed to explore the combined effect of me-
dia and enforcement and its relation to belt use change. Given that States with the highest change
have the lowest ranking, any association between media and belt use would be indicated by a
positive correlation. No significant pattern emerged for the conversion States (media r = -.21,
enforcement, r = .18, combined r = .01). In primary States, using the rank variable showed no
significant association between belt use change and media or between belt use change and cita-
tions. However, the combined media and enforcement measure was positively correlated with
51
belt use change (r = .56, p = .046). Finally, in secondary States, there were no significant pattern
for media (r = .20), but both citations (r = .65, p =.001) and the combined measure (r = .47, p =
.022) showed a significant correlation with belt use change. Overall, belt use change was related
to enforcement in secondary States only and was related to the combined media and enforcement
measure for both primary and secondary States.
Top and Bottom Primary Law States and Secondary Law States
Table 17 ranks the primary, secondary, and conversion States based on belt use change
from 1997-1999 to 2006. Within each category, the 5 top-ranked States are green and the 5 bot-
tom-ranked States are in red. The 5 top primary States -- Oklahoma, Connecticut, Georgia,
Texas, and Iowa -- have higher average levels of media ($0.57 per capita) than the bottom pri-
mary States - New Mexico, California, New York, Louisiana, and North Carolina ($0.17). Pri-
mary seat belt enforcement States that had the highest and lowest seat belt use rates had indistin-
guishable levels of enforcement (average of 119.5 citations per 10,000 residents in top States ver-
sus 114.3 in bottom States). In the top 5 secondary States -- Utah, North Dakota, Idaho, West
Virginia, and Ohio -- the average number of citations per 10,000 residents was 133.9; in the bot-
tom 5 secondary States -- South Dakota, Wyoming, Kentucky, Virginia, and Montana -- the aver-
age was 34.3. The bottom secondary States had slightly higher levels of media activity ($0.49)
than the top secondary States ($0.43).
Primary and secondary States thus show opposite patterns. Whereas top and bottom
primary States show large differences in levels of media, top and bottom secondary States do not.
Conversely, top and bottom secondary States show large differences in numbers of citations but
top and bottom primary States do not. Thus, it would appear as though level of media is one
component that distinguishes primary States with high and low belt use change, while in secon-
dary States level of enforcement differentiates high from low change States.
The above analyses, which were run using the 1997-1999 baseline, were also run using
only the 1999 baseline. One reason for this was Maryland and Oklahoma converted from secon-
dary to primary in late 1997. Since they were primary States for two out of the three 1997-to-
1999 years, they were placed in the primary States group. When this was done, all of the rela-
tionships reported based on 1997-1999 data remained intact.
Summary of Belt Use Change, Media, and Enforcement in Primary and Secondary
States
Belt use is generally higher in primary States than in secondary States. When looking at
changes in belt use over time, States that changed seat belt law from secondary to primary en-
forcement tend to show a larger increase than either primary or secondary States. Enforcement
activity is higher in primary and conversion States than in secondary States while media tend to
be higher in secondary and conversion States than it is in primary States. Compared to other
State types, conversion States have a tendency to show more support for primary law and higher
perceived risk of being ticketed.
In the 21st century, in association with Click It or Ticket programs, seat belt use has risen
overall, and in most occupant subgroups. This “rising tide lifts all boats” phenomenon is illus-
trated in Table 20 based on belt use among fatally injured motorists.
52
Table 20. Percentage Belted in Selected Subgroups of Fatally Injured Drivers,
1999 and 2006
Percent Belted
Subgroups Drivers
1999 2006
TIME
DAY 44% 51%
NIGHT 26% 33%
ROAD TYPE
RURAL 37% 44%
URBAN 43% 49%
ALCOHOL
ZERO BAC 51% 60%
.08+ BAC 26% 31%
VEHICLE TYPE
CARS 46% 52%
SUVS 30% 38%
PICKUPS 23% 32%
VANS 39% 51%
AGE OF VEHICLE
CURRENT MODEL YEAR 41% 56%
1-5 YEARS OLD 43% 50%
6-10 YEARS OLD 43% 44%
11+ YEARS 30% 42%
As indicated in Table 20, belt use increased among all the fatally injured driver sub-
groups between 1999 and 2006, but it remained relatively low among nighttime drivers (33%),
drivers in rural areas (44%), drivers with high BACs (31%), pickup truck drivers (32%), and
drivers of the oldest vehicles (42%).
Thus despite its general success, the Click It or Ticket mobilizations have had difficulty
reaching some portions of the driving population. A report by the GAO (2008) suggests that the
belt use message has had trouble reaching populations such as pickup truck drivers and motorists
in rural areas. Also, belt use at night, although 27% higher than in 1999, remains relatively low,
which is not surprising since Click It or Ticket is a daytime program.
In recent years, steps have been taken to reach out to these more resistant populations.
Special high-visibility enforcement programs have recently targeted rural residents, pickup truck
occupants, and nighttime belt use. Programs in 2005 and 2006 in the Great Lakes Region have
provided encouraging results. Over the two-year period, targeted rural areas showed a
9.2percentage point increase in observed belt use (Nichols et al., under review). Programs ad-
dressing pickup truck occupants have been carried out in a few NHTSA regions. The Buckle Up
in Your Truck program was undertaken in the South Central Region in 2005 and 2006, and region
wide median belt use in pickups increased from 60% in 2004 to 76% in 2006. The Central Re-
gion implemented the program in 2006 and belt use in pickups advanced from 57% to 65% (Ti-
son et al., 2008). Enforcement programs focusing on nighttime belt use have been shown to in-
crease enforcement and to have the capability of producing modest gains in belt use. One such
program in North Carolina and West Virginia cities resulted in an increase in belt use at night
from 83% to 91% in Asheville, North Carolina, but minimal changes in Greenville, North Caro-
53
lina, and Charlestown, West Virginia (Solomon et al., under review). A nighttime enforcement
program in Reading, Pennsylvania, raised nighttime use from 50% to 56% (Chaudhary, Alonge,
& Preusser, 2005). Smaller scale programs such as these suggest that even resistant populations
can be influenced by high-visibility programs.
54
IV. THE FUTURE OF CIOT
Two factors were explored that could affect how programs are implemented and/or their
intensity level. One is structural, a change from 157 Grant Funding to SAFETEA-LU funding,
starting in 2006, which gave States more authority to plan their Click It or Ticket mobilizations.
The other concerns how several years of Click It or Ticket has affected the capacity of States to
enforce seat belt laws. There may be enforcement fatigue, for example. Alternatively, States may
welcome having a familiar “tried and true” program that they can turn to every year.
Some information on these issues was obtained through telephone interviews conducted
with representatives from 22 States representing different regions of the country and including a
sampling of primary and secondary States. Contacts were made with NHTSA regional adminis-
trators and regional program managers, who suggested names of people to interview in the se-
lected States. Interviewees generally included occupant protection managers or highway safety
program managers. States providing information were Colorado, Connecticut, Idaho, Illinois,
Kansas, Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, North Dakota, Penn-
sylvania, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wiscon-
sin, and Wyoming.
SAFETEA-LU Funding
Under prior funding arrangements, States were obliged to follow a seat belt mobilization
program that spelled out guidelines for media activities, enforcement participation and tech-
niques, belt use surveys, public awareness surveys, and reporting requirements. States have more
autonomy and flexibility under SAFETEA-LU (the Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Trans-
portation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users) in how they participate in seat belt enforcement pro-
grams. Instead of a dedicated grant to support the mobilizations, grants are provided to States to
administer two high-visibility enforcement campaigns each year to reduce impaired driving and
increase belt use. States can use these funds to develop, produce, and broadcast media supporting
their campaigns. States provide resources for the seat belt campaign using funding available un-
der S.402 State highway safety grants for programs. Additional funds are available through
S.405 occupant protection programs. The S.406 seat belt performance grants encourage the en-
actment and enforcement of laws requiring seat belt use. Under this grant, a State may use funds
for any safety purpose under this title for any project that corrects or improves a hazardous road-
way location or feature or proactively addresses highway safety problems. At least $1 million of
the amount received by each State must be obligated for behavioral highway safety issues.
The interviews were not intended to provide full details of any program changes that took
place in 2006 (and also 2007 and 2008), but rather to gather overall impressions of the impact of
the funding change. Most States have continued to follow the Click It or Ticket model recom-
mended by NHTSA, with adjustments in some cases. The main issue for many of the States is
that there is less money available for seat belt enforcement under the new funding scheme. In 6
of the 22 States, this was an issue. In most of these States, this meant some cutback in media, and
two States noted cuts in money spent on overtime patrols as well. Other States reported no ef-
fects on program activities, in some cases indicating that alternative funds to supplement seat belt
enforcement had been identified and used. Several States favored the new funding rules, in par-
ticular noting the increased flexibility provided and the relaxed reporting requirements.
55
Attitudes Toward Click It or Ticket Programs
Concerning thoughts about Click It or Ticket-oriented programs, States were generally
supportive, sometimes enthusiastically so. Only in 3 States was there sentiment that the program
was no longer of sufficient interest. Some States that supported the approach did note that there
were issues. For example, in one State it was reported that officers were less interested than pre-
viously because belt use was up and there were now fewer opportunities to give tickets. In an-
other State, it was noted that it was more difficult now to attract media interest in the program
because it was “old hat.” However, most States endorsed the program, liking its repetitive nature,
noting that it had become a “brand,” officers were used to it and knew the drill, and that the pub-
lic was supportive. Some States did point out that they made changes each year to maintain inter-
est among officers and the public, often involving changes in how the program was advertised.
North Carolina maintains interest among officers by holding planning meetings in attractive loca-
tions, such as at a speedway or on a battleship.
In summary, the changes in Federal funding have not weakened program intensity or
make less available media dollars for the majority of States. However, for those States that were
negatively affected by the change in funding, this weakening is avoidable, as illustrated by the
experience of several States. Most States are strongly interested in the Click It or Ticket model.
To increase seat belt use further, it is important to apply the lessons from this study and
from Hedlund et al. (2008), which examined States with high seat belt use. Specifically, en-
forcement: is important. The more seat belt enforcement, the higher the seat belt use rate. En-
forcement is particularly important in secondary seat belt enforcement States. Enforcement on a
secondary basis is, of course, more of a challenge. States included in the telephone surveys dis-
cussed above were chosen to include secondary States with high levels of enforcement (Idaho,
North Dakota, Utah, West Virginia, and Minnesota) and those with low levels of enforcement
(Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Virginia, and Wyoming). Idaho, Utah, and West Virginia ranked in
the top 10 States in citations per capita, besting most primary enforcement States.
Given the constraints of secondary seat belt enforcement, it is important to have laws and
policies that facilitate enforcement to the extent possible. In Pennsylvania, the State with the low-
est level of enforcement intensity, the law states that tickets have to be written on the primary
violation that triggered the stop before a seat belt citation can be issued. In Virginia, another State
with weak enforcement, the law does not require the officer to write a ticket for the primary stop-
ping charge. However, it is State Police policy to do this and many other law enforcement agen-
cies have adopted this practice. Whether accomplished by law or policy, this practice greatly in-
hibits seat belt enforcement (see the case studies in the next section).
In all the other secondary States surveyed, tickets do not have to be written on the pri-
mary stop. In such cases, enforcement levels appear to be primarily a matter of how high a prior-
ity belt use is, effective belt program management, relationships with law enforcement command
and officers Statewide, and police leadership. In West Virginia and Minnesota, competition
among police officers and agencies is fostered. West Virginia in 2003 gave out over $100,000 in
awards in their belt use competition. Creative techniques are also used for stopping vehicles in
high use States. In Utah, vehicles with unbelted occupants and no front license plates were
stopped and ticketed, although this practice has stopped since lack of a license plate is no longer
considered a primary offense. More typically, vehicles going somewhat over the speed limit are
stopped so that a seat belt citation can be issued.
56
While it is difficult to achieve high enforcement levels in secondary States, it is not im-
possible. Instead, as several States have shown, it is a matter of priority.
Unfortunately, in several secondary States that have achieved high belt use, the telephone
interviews indicated that this accomplishment has been put forth as rationale for remaining a sec-
ondary State. The second lesson learned from the present study is the importance of moving from
secondary to primary status as a means of producing further increases in seat belt use.
57
V. CASE STUDIES
IDAHO
Background
Idaho has a population of about 1.5 million. Median age is 34.3 years with 27% of the
population under 18 and 12% being 65 or older. Ninety-three percent of people reporting only
one race declared themselves as White, 1% as Native, and 0.5% as African American. Two per-
cent reported two or more races and 10% reported a Latino/Hispanic background (of any race).
Less than a third of the population lives in cities of over 40,000 people. Population cen-
ters are Ada/Canyon Counties (Boise area) (363,000), Idaho Falls and Pocatello in Eastern Idaho
(110,000), Coeur d’Alene in Northern Idaho (37,000), and Twin Falls in South Central Idaho
(37,000). A large part of the State’s economy is resource-based including agriculture, forest prod-
ucts and mining. High-tech industries, tourism, health care and business services are growing in
importance. Average commute time is approximately 20 minutes.
Occupant protection programs are administered by the Highway Safety Office within the
Office of Highway Operations and Safety within the Idaho Transportation Department. The
Highway Safety Manager and Coordinator have responsibility for occupant protection.
The State’s first seat belt law was enacted in 1986. It was a secondary law with many ex-
emptions and a $5 fine. There were many attempts to improve the law over the years, but the first
significant improvement was in 2003. Improvements included removal of the requirement to is-
sue a citation for the stopping violation, application to all seating positions, requiring that court
costs be paid by drivers under 18, and increasing the fine to $10. The additional $5 goes to the
State Catastrophic Health Care Cost Fund. Subsequent attempts to make further improvements
have been unsuccessful.
There is no majority political support for a primary law and the current political climate
is resistant to heavy enforcement messages. Because of this political climate, Idaho's theme is
Click It, Don’t Risk It instead of Click It or Ticket.
As measured by seat belt citations issued during May mobilizations, Idaho was the sec-
ondary State with the highest level of seat belt enforcement activity from 2003 to 2006, and was
second in the Nation for belt use increase between 2002 and 2006 based on belt use observation
surveys.
58
Table 21. Funds Expended and Seat Belt Use
Daytime Belt Use
Year Funding Observed FARS
1999 $293,383 57.9% 30.9%
2000 $447,514 58.6% 41.0%
2001 $274,000 60.4% 38.0%
2002 $325,809 62.9% 42.9%
2003 $507,522 71.7% 49.6%
2004 $1,013,209 74.0% 53.8%
2005 $924,175 76.0% 44.0%
2006 $469,391 79.9% 54.1%
2007 $345,720 78.5% 53.8%
2008 n/a 76.9% n/a
Enforcement personnel stress the importance of relief from the need to ticket for the
stopping charge when the seat belt law is a secondary law. When officers must write for the prob-
able cause of the traffic stop, the threshold for enforcement of the seat belt law is much higher
since many officers do not typically cite for minor violations such as going one or two miles over
the speed limit. Under the new law, an officer can make traffic stops for going one mph over the
limit, and cite for nonuse of belts. This provided a big boost to enforcement in Idaho, and there is
evidence that police officers were able to make good use of this law change.
Partnerships built in the several years preceding the change in the law may have contrib-
uted to its adoption. One noteworthy partnership was with the Injury Prevention Program at the
Idaho Department of Health and Welfare that conducted a major media advocacy effort making
seat belt nonuse a societal issue, not a personal choice issue. Health districts staged events, gave
presentations to businesses and community groups, and wrote op-ed pieces or letters to the editor.
The dominant theme of the effort was “Seat Belts are a matter of dollars and sense”.
Mobilizations
From 2000 through February 2003, the Highway Safety Office funded monthly saturation
patrols by State, city, and county law enforcement agencies as well as funding the national mobi-
lizations. A temporary drop in Section 157 Innovative and Incentive Funds in Federal fiscal year
2002 and a change in strategy to make enforcement more visible through use of paid media led to
a shift of support to fewer, more highly publicized mobilizations. Monthly saturation patrols were
dropped while more paid media and enforcement were focused on the national mobilizations.
Statewide mobilizations have been expanded to DUI and aggressive driving mobilizations
throughout the year.
There were three mobilizations in calendar 2003 – one that coincided with the national
campaign in May, one concurrent with the effective date of the new law in July, and a third mobi-
lization in November. In 2004, there were two campaigns – one in May and the next in Septem-
59
ber. The September mobilization was coordinated with Washington State, Oregon, and British
Columbia. The next mobilization was six months later in February 2005. This was followed by
the largest mobilization ever, in May 2005, and a smaller effort in November 2005. The next was
in May 2006. Cumulatively, the eight mobilizations between May 2003 and December 2005 gen-
erated an unprecedented level of high-visibility enforcement (see Table 22). In that span of time,
there were over 34,000 hours of enforcement that generated more than 49,000 seat belt citations.
In recent years, the Highway Safety Office has been able to supplement the law enforce-
ment effort on seat belt mobilizations beyond grant-funded overtime patrols through an equip-
ment incentive program. Agencies earn points for providing dedicated enforcement hours on non-
overtime patrols during mobilizations. During the May 2005 mobilization, for example, the ma-
jority of enforcement hours were paid for as overtime, but the office also provided 31 radars, 6
laser radars, and 6 speed monitors. Of 77 agencies that participated in the campaign, 49 were
grant-funded and the rest were voluntary.
Idaho officers have no problem finding probable cause for traffic stops. One officer said
that he seldom sees a seat belt violation where he can’t find probable cause for a stop. Speed is
the most frequent violation but there are many other violations to look for including having a re-
newal sticker in the wrong location on the license plate, excessively tinted glass, or a cracked
windshield. Actually, a seat belt violation is the only Idaho traffic law violation that does not al-
low for primary enforcement. One interesting patrol tactic was a stationary patrol at a corner
where motorists frequently committed lane violations while turning. Another interesting tactic
was the use of two officers in a car, one looking at seat belt use and the other looking for probable
cause for a stop. According to the officers who used this tactic, they were more productive than
they would have been working separately.
60
Media Support
While it appears that there has been a great deal of effort to generate earned media cover-
age of Idaho’s seat belt mobilizations and paid media is concentrated during the mobilizations,
enforcement has seldom been the sole primary message of the State’s paid media efforts. The
conventional wisdom in Idaho is that messages based solely on enforcement would not be effec-
tive because the State has a secondary law with a low fine. Before 2002, the message was Start
Smart…Buckle Your Belt. While the theme changed to Click It, Don’t Risk It in 2002, Click It or
Ticket has never been used. In 2002, TV and radio ads featured a weightlifter who talked about
how he could not protect himself in a crash without a seat belt. Advertising in 2003 was more
enforcement-oriented, focusing on the new seat belt law. A family values message – the impor-
tance of setting a good example to children by buckling up – was used in 2004. In 2005, the
theme was the societal cost of not buckling up.
One of the coalition’s activities was a display of 167 pairs of empty shoes representing all
the people who were killed in car crashes the previous year. Events at which the shoes were dis-
played were held at six regional locations around the State to promote media interest. A local vic-
tim’s story or “saved by the belt” story was featured at each location. One of the events was on
the statehouse steps.
The coalition may have been influential in the passage of an improved child passenger
safety law in 2006 that increased the age requirement for safety seats to 6 years and removed
weight from the criteria. In 2007, the group advocated a bill that would have removed the nursing
baby exemption and another that would have increased the fine to $25. Although both bills passed
the Senate, they were not heard in the House. The group is currently being reactivated as a
broader Highway Safety Coalition with a statewide steering committee and regional task forces.
There are several theories about why the observed belt use rate continued to rise in 2006.
One theory is that the rate continued to rise on the momentum created in 2004 and 2005. There
were three seat belt mobilizations in 2005, resulting in nearly 20,000 seat belt tickets, the last of
them in November. Despite lower citations in May 2006 than in the prior two years, Idaho was
still ranked second among States in citations per capita. An Aggressive/Youthful Driver mobiliza-
tion, which occurred between the May seat belt mobilization and the 2006 survey, may have af-
fected results. Another theory is that although there was a good deal less paid media in 2006,
there were many earned media stories because of the Seat Belt Coalition’s efforts and the empty
shoes events.
61
The reduction in expenditures for Idaho’s seat belt program reflects the change in Federal
funding when SAFETEA-LU replaced TEA-21. The funding for the large expenditures on occu-
pant protection under TEA-21 came primarily from Section 402 funds, which were supplemented
by Section 157 innovative, and incentive grants. These were further augmented by a Section 403
Demonstration Project to increase seat belt use in rural areas of the State. Under SAFETEA-LU,
Idaho does not qualify for Section 405 money (because the fine is not $25 or higher, the law is
not primary, and there is a nursing-baby exemption in the child passenger safety law). It also does
not qualify for Section 406 money because it does not meet the requirement of having a primary
law or achieving 85% belt use for two successive years.
Idaho is one of the lowest funded States in the country for NHTSA highway safety funds
(the third lowest in 2007 and 2008). This is large part due to its inability to qualify for occupant
protection funds under SAFETEA-LU. Because its funds are so limited and the seat belt fine is so
nominal, Idaho has shifted some of its Section 402 funds to the aggressive driving program. With
a significant fine structure starting at $75, the Highway Safety Office believes that aggressive
driving enforcement has a higher likelihood of achieving results. As evidence that this may have
been a good strategy, the State argues that traffic deaths hit their lowest number in 13 years with
252 fatalities in 2007 (down from 269 in 2006), and the fatality rate was the lowest in the last 30
years. Still, 65% of occupants killed in traffic crashes in Idaho in 2007 were not buckled up and
the percentage of unbelted fatalities is increasing once again.
The extent to which support for seat belt mobilizations has declined can be seen in the
statistics for the May 2008 mobilization. Only 32 agencies participated, compared to 77 in May
2005. Only 2,293 seat belt tickets were issued, compared to over 10,000 in 2005.
OHIO
Background
Ohio has a population of 11.5 million. Median age is 37.6 years with 24% of the popula-
tion under 18 and 13% being 65 or over. Eighty-four percent of people reporting only one race
declared themselves as White, 12% as African-American, and 1.5% as Asian-American. One and
a half percent reported two or more races and 2% reported a Latino/Hispanic background (of any
race).
Although Ohio is a highly industrialized State with several major population centers,
large proportions of the land area and public roads are in rural areas. Eighty-four% of Ohio work-
ers drove to work alone in 2005. Only 8% carpooled and 2% used public transportation. The re-
mainder either worked at home or used other means of transportation to work. Average commute
time is about 22 minutes.
The Ohio Traffic Safety Office – formerly the Governor’s Highway Safety Office – re-
ports through the Ohio Department of Public Safety, which also has responsibility for the Emer-
gency Management Agency, Emergency Medical Services, Ohio Homeland Security, Ohio Inves-
tigative Unit, Office of Criminal Justice Services, Ohio Highway Patrol, and the Bureau of Motor
Vehicles. Organizational components of OTSO include Federal programs, driver training, the
Motorcycle Ohio Program, traffic statistics, and administration.
The Ohio seat belt law has been in effect since 1986. It is a secondary law, and the fine
for a seat belt violation is $30 for drivers and $20 for passengers. Although a few attempts have
been made to make the law primary, there has been relatively little legislative activity over the
years. One recent change was part of the graduated driver licensing law. The GDL requires young
62
passengers to be buckled up in any seating position. A 2007 law change prohibits police from
issuing citations for violations witnessed at checkpoints in the absence of a primary violation.
Ohio improved its observed belt use rate from 65.3% in 2000 to 82.7% in 2008. Ohio
ranked 28th in the country on 2006 observed belt use rate and ranked 15th on the level of change
from 2002 to 2006. Belt use rate in fatalities also increased between 1999 and 2006, before drop-
ping off slightly in 2007 (see Table 23).
Since the advent of Click It or Ticket, the State has followed a strategy of dual branding
of occupant protection programs. Click It or Ticket is promoted mostly during enforcement mobi-
lizations and What’s Holding You Back is used throughout the year.
Mobilizations
Ohio launched its first seat belt campaign in over a decade in 2001. At the time, the slo-
gan Click It or Ticket was not deemed appropriate for Ohio, so the State emulated the Oklahoma
Highway Safety Office theme of What’s Holding You Back. The campaign components included
paid media, earned media, law enforcement waves, and evaluation – all the elements of the Click
It or Ticket concept. The first wave, in May 2001, included 452 participating agencies and re-
sulted in 2,546 adult restraint citations. The second wave, conducted in August/September 2001,
included 569 participating agencies and resulted in 3,673 adult seat belt citations.
Two waves of What’s Holding You Back Mobilizations were implemented in 2002. The
number of participating agencies reached 758. The May mobilization resulted in 14,718 seat belt
tickets and the August wave resulted in 16,354 citations, totaling more than 31,000 seat belt cita-
tions across all waves.
63
From 2003 on, consistent citation statistics are available only for the May mobilizations
(see Table 24 for details), although seat belt enforcement has been one of the objectives for DUI,
speed, and other mobilizations throughout the year. In addition, seat belt enforcement is always a
high priority for the Ohio State Highway Patrol. In 2001, for example, it accounted for 11,000 of
the 19,000 tickets issued by all agencies.
The hiring of Law Enforcement Liaison (LEL) personnel to recruit and motivate police
departments across the State has been a major factor in activating agency participation in the seat
belt mobilizations. The first LEL came on board in 2002. At present, there are four regional LELs
and an LEL coordinator, all retired police officers who have been on the job since 2003. Their
influence has grown markedly over the years, resulting in increased participation.
Relatively few (less than 100) of the 1,093 law enforcement agencies in the State receive
funding for extra seat belt patrols. Over 800 don’t qualify for any kind of funding based on prob-
lem identification. To get as many agencies as possible to participate, the Highway Safety Office
allocates about $300,000 for participation incentives. Agencies that participate in both the seat
belt mobilization and the DUI crackdown are eligible for these incentives. For instance, two po-
lice cruisers are given away at a drawing held at an interesting venue such as a baseball game.
Agencies that satisfy criteria set by the office are entered into the drawing. The rest of the money
is used to buy equipment such as speed radars and portable breath testers that are distributed to
other agencies that qualify. The equipment is distributed fairly equally among the participating
agencies that meet the requirements of signing up and reporting enforcement hours and results.
Some agencies choose to participate without any incentives.
Questioned about techniques used to issue as many seat belt tickets as possible during the
mobilizations, the LELs said that police look for any kind of violation that will give probable
cause for the stop. As a practical matter, the most frequent stopping violation is speed, because it
is the most frequent violation seen. Stops are only rarely made for speeds that are less than 10
mph over the speed limits. On the interstate highways, most of the tickets are for speeding over
80 mph (the limit is 65 mph).
64
Until 2007, a large number of seat belt tickets were issued at DUI checkpoints during the
fall crackdown. However, legislation was passed in 2007 that expressly prohibits such an action,
unless there is another offense. Agencies relying on this strategy for their nighttime seat belt en-
forcement no longer have this option, resulting in a lower number of citations issued during night-
time enforcement of belt use.
Problem Identification
Ohio pays a lot of attention to data collection and analysis in order to get detailed infor-
mation that allows it to target enforcement and educational efforts to the groups at greatest risk.
As part of their contract, all grantees are required to conduct seat belt use observations. Each Safe
Community grantee is required to do observations at 19 sites at specified times during the year.
The number of observations was determined as the minimum number to represent a county by the
State’s contractor for the official observations. Law enforcement agencies must also do observa-
tions, but only at three sites. The purpose of these observations, which are in addition to the offi-
cial State survey, is to give detail at the county level (some counties are not included in the S-
tate’s official sample sites) and to facilitate goal setting and results measurement for the grantee.
Paid Media
Since the beginning of the May Mobilizations in 2002, Ohio has supported enforcement
efforts with media expenditures ranging from $500,000 to $850,000 (Table 25). When the change
in Federal funding legislation allowed the State more flexibility in deciding how much funding
should support seat belt mobilizations, NHTSA encouraged Ohio to maintain the level of en-
forcement and media expenditures that they had under the previous funding legislation. For the
most part, Ohio has done that. In 2008, media expenditures for the May mobilization were cut
back slightly, but were shifted toward more year-round seat belt advertising.
OTSO believes that paid media has been one of the crucial factors resulting in increased
seat belt use during the Click It or Ticket years. The State’s media carefully targets audiences
with low belt use. In addition to conventional mass media such as radio and TV, OTSO used less
conventional media tailored to the audiences it is trying to reach. Affiliations with professional
sports teams have been particularly useful. Professional teams often give over 10 times the expo-
sure paid for, compared to more traditional media like TV and radio. The demographics of the
Ohio baseball teams are also particularly good. Cincinnati Reds fans are heavy on rural pickup
drivers and the Cleveland Indians fan base is richer in inner city residents, who also have low seat
belt use. Other elements in the media mix to reach targeted audiences are bus shelters and theatre
trailers in rural areas.
Earned Media
The Traffic Safety Office has its own media relations director, who puts a lot of effort
into obtaining news coverage on both local and State levels. She personally does as many inter-
views as possible with radio and TV outlets. Law enforcement agencies and Safe Community
65
Programs also contact the media in their areas and each grantee is required to report on its local
news coverage. The media relations director believes coverage is obtained on just about all of the
major TV and radio outlets, although it is reportedly more difficult to get coverage for seat belt
enforcement than DUI enforcement. She attributes the difficulty getting media interest in seat belt
enforcement to the fact that Ohio has a secondary law.
Click It or Ticket gets a lot of exposure through distribution of collateral material by par-
ticipating law enforcement agencies and Safe Community Programs. One of the popular items in
2008 was a magnetic CIOT sign that could be applied to vehicles such as police cars or used as
refrigerator magnets. About 25,000 were distributed last year and many of them went on UPS
trucks and fleet vehicles belonging to other partners. Next year, they plan to buy large magnetic
signs using the CIOT Day/Night logo.
The primary targets of the rural demonstration project were occupants of pickup trucks.
This group has a significantly lower observed belt use rate than the general population. The chal-
lenge was to change the widely held beliefs that you are safer in a pickup than in a car and that
country roads are safer than highways or city streets. It led to use of the “Buckle Up in Your
Truck” message in rural areas.
It is difficult and expensive to target rural populations. A unique and efficient method
was the use of rural school bus shelters equipped with a retro-reflective Buckle Up in Your Truck
billboard showing the message at all times. Showing Buckle Up In Your Truck movie trailers in
rural theatres was another unique approach to get the message to rural population. This strategy
was also used for Click It or Ticket videos that NHTSA provided.
It should be noted that the Ohio State Highway Patrol placed special emphasis on seat
belt enforcement and law enforcement liaisons enlisted participation of local enforcement agen-
cies in the targeted counties during the period that rural media was running. However, no specific
funds were provided for overtime patrols during the period. Pre- and post-campaign observational
surveys indicated an 8-percentage-point increase in the targeted counties in 2005, and a 5-
percentage-point increase in 2006.
Partnerships
In addition to law enforcement agencies, an important partner to promote seat belt use is
the Safe Community Program. Ohio has 30 Safe Community Programs, mostly in health depart-
ments or hospitals that have Highway Safety grants from the Highway Safety Office. When these
programs first began, each program more or less proposed its own agenda. Over the years, the
program has evolved to be much more prescriptive with the Highway Safety Office specifying
what must be done to get a grant. The programs are very valuable in organizing community
66
events and getting local earned media. They also are major distributors of Highway Safety mate-
rial such as brochures and banners.
A new demonstration program, initiated in 2008, targeted a low-seat belt use county
(Cuyahoga) through a $50,000 grant to the Safe Community Program at the Injury Prevention
Center at University Hospitals Case Medical Center. Cuyahoga County has a population of 1.4
million, the largest in the State. The OTSO funding is leveraged by in-kind contributions by the
Injury Prevention Program’s partners in the community. The grant funds enhanced media and
traffic enforcement during the 2008 Click It or Ticket mobilization
The John Deere Company has been one of the many private partners that helped promote
belt use in Ohio during the Rural Demonstration project. In addition to in-store promotion in their
136 rural dealerships, John Deere gave away a tractor at a Cleveland Indians/Cincinnati Reds
game, to appeal to all parts of the State. The way the promotion worked was by issuing “good
citations” to people who were spotted wearing seat belts. About 4,000 such citations were sent
out to rural law enforcement agencies that promised to participate in the event. The “good tickets”
could be brought to a dealer to enter a drawing for game tickets and a chance to win the tractor.
A partnership with a faith-based group was used to target racial minorities in urban areas.
The group was affiliated with over 100 churches in urban areas throughout the State. Promotional
material included posters to be shown in and around the churches and bookmarks for Bibles that
said Buckle Up Religiously. Pastors were encouraged to imbed the importance of seat belt use in
their sermons.
Uniformed police officers from local law enforcement agencies made 30-minute presen-
tations to third grade students about the importance of wearing seat belts. Each student received
material including a pledge card, activity book, bookmark, and a seat belt badge. Upon complet-
ing the class, each student was sworn in as an Ohio Seat Belt Deputy. The program has been in
the State’s Traffic Safety action plan for approximately 20 consecutive years. The annual cost of
about $250,000 is State-funded by seat belt fines.
67
VI. DISCUSSION
During the 2000-2006 period when high-visibility seat belt enforcement mobilizations
were in operation in the United States, belt use increased nationwide and in virtually all States.
This was the case for observed belt use, belt use in fatalities, and self-reported seat belt use. As
enforcement programs continued across the country and belt use increased, public awareness and
attitudes changed as well. Further, telephone surveys indicated that awareness of enforcement
activities increased over this period.
A major task of the study was to identify States that had the largest increases in seat belt
use over the study period, based on observed belt use and belt use in fatalities, and to understand
why some States did better than others did. There was substantial variation among States in belt
use improvement rates during 2000-2006, and thus it is important to learn what the factors are
that distinguish the more successful States. Amount of enforcement appears to be the key factor,
especially in secondary enforcement States. The clearest and most consistent finding in this study
was that secondary States with the greatest improvements in seat belt use had much greater levels
of enforcement than secondary States with the least change; three to four times as many citations
per capita. In contrast, the amount of dollars spent for media was at best inconsistently related to
improvements in belt use. In most comparisons, there was no difference in changes in seat belt
use in relation to the dollars spent on media. In one case, there was a positive correlation between
the ranking of change in seat belt use and the ranking of media dollars per capita. The weight of
the evidence indicates that dollars spent for media is not as influential as enforcement in achiev-
ing improvements in belt use.
Note, however, that the media dollars referred to here are the additional dollars that the
States spent over and above the national campaign. Very different findings could have emerged
had the national media campaign, which carried the Click It or Ticket message, not been in place
across all States. An additional limitation lies in the fact that estimates for the States media pur-
chases are vague at best. Tison et al. (2008) note that “a dollar spent in a particular designated
media market area (DMA) for a given period of time would not necessarily be as valuable in an-
other DMA.” Other troubles with assessing the impact of media on awareness include the possi-
bility of paid media in one area “bleeding” over to surrounding geographical areas. Moreover, the
overall awareness of the program is undoubtedly related to both paid and earned media. Although
it is generally agreed that paid media makes a stronger impact, the additional impact of earned
media on awareness has not been assessed in this report due to lack of standardization in report-
ing.
Study results also affirm the importance of laws that have primary enforcement status.
Both primary and secondary States experienced quite similar increases in belt use over the 2000-
2006 periods, and the States ranking highest on improvements in belt use included about an equal
mixture of primary and secondary States. However, primary States began with substantially
higher seat belt use on average than secondary States, and levels of enforcement (though not me-
dia) were greater in primary States. Telephone surveys indicated that residents of primary States
were more likely to think they would be ticketed for nonuse, and there were larger increases in
recognition of enforcement likelihood in primary States over the study period.
68
Comparison With the “Best States” Study
It is informative to consider the results of a recent study that identified States with the
highest belt use and attempted to ascertain how these high rates were achieved (Hedlund et al.,
2008). Using 2005 data, 16 States with the highest rates were selected, based on observed use and
use among fatally injured occupants, and compared with the 15 States with the lowest rates. This
was largely a comparison of primary States with high rates (13 of the 16 in the top group were
primary) and low-use secondary States (14 of 15 were secondary). There was some overlap
among the low-use States in the Hedlund et al. study and the least-change 2002-2006 groups in
the present study, with 8 of the 15 States on both lists. However, only 4 of the 16 States that were
in the highest use group were in the top 16 most-change group in the present study. Interestingly,
the conclusions of what produced the differences in high- and low-belt-use groups are similar in
the two studies. According to Hedlund et al., “The statistical analyses suggest that the most im-
portant difference between the high- and low-belt-use States is enforcement, not demographics or
funds spent on media.” In fact, media dollars spent per capita were higher in the low-use States
than in the high-use ones. However, enforcement levels as measured by citations per capita were
about twice as high in the top group of States. These studies point to the importance of enforce-
ment in achieving high seat belt use, in general, and in increasing seat belt use in secondary
States.
CUMULATIVE EFFECTS
The results discussed above document the changes in State seat belt use rates that took
place during the 2000 to 2006 period and the factors influencing these changes. However, the in-
tent of the study was to determine the cumulative effects of the successive mobilizations under-
taken from 2000 to 2006. Summed up, what was the overall effect of these programs and how
does the result match up with expectations?
In posing the question of what the “cumulative” effects are, there is clearly expectation in
this term that effects on seat belt use should be building. Ideally, a ratcheting effect on seat belt
use is created, wherein seat belt use rises during the special enforcement, drops back some under
normal enforcement, then ratchets higher with subsequent enforcement waves. There is some evi-
dence from State data that this occurred (see Table 2), and the gradual rise in the national use rate
over the period is compatible with this effect, until 2006 when program intensity declined and
belt use did not increase from the prior year.
An alternative view is that successive enforcement programs can get a State to a certain
level and then sustain that level. In truth, the United States achieved remarkable gains in seat belt
use in the 21st century, from the mid-60% range in observed belt use in the late 1990s to 83% cur-
rently.
It is interesting and perhaps instructive to note that other jurisdictions running successive
seat belt enforcement programs have hit the 80% barrier. This happened in Elmira, New York,
and in North Carolina, the original Click It or Ticket State. After the first round of Click It or
Ticket in North Carolina, belt use reached 80%, but it barely went past that in the next several
years of intensive enforcement waves, generally reaching 82 to 83% and dropping back to the
high 70% range in interim periods. The same pattern occurred in Canada during initial years of
enforcement, prompting one of the leaders of these programs to comment that “an 80% wearing
rate may be all that can be expected of enforcement alone” (Jonah & Grant, 1985).
Yet, the Canadians continued enforcement programs and eventually broke through the
80% barrier. Therefore, the optimistic view is that enforcement programs in the United States
69
have not run their course, they still have more potential, and the lesson to be learned is that you
have to keep at it. More recently, Iowa continued intensive waves of CIOT enforcement beyond
the May mobilization and was able to move belt use from the mid-80% range to over 90%
(Chaudhary et al., under review). The proviso is that the programs have to remain intense.
CONCLUSION
The Click It or Ticket seat belt enforcement programs conducted between 2000 and 2006
were an important factor in increasing belt use in the United States. It is also clear that higher
level of enforcement intensity maximizes the effectiveness of these programs, and the overall
drop in enforcement in 2006 is a concern. Support for Click It or Ticket programs remains high in
most States, and it is likely that continuation of State programs with high enforcement intensity is
capable of producing further increases in belt use. This is the case in both primary and secondary
States, and converting secondary States to primary enforcement status would be expected to add
to these gains. Penalties for nonuse of seat belts are low in many States, and there is suggestive
evidence that augmented penalties would also help to increase belt use. The increasing presence
of belt reminder systems in vehicles and their eventual penetration into the older vehicle fleet will
also help. However, the centerpiece of efforts to increase seat belt use beyond 80% nationally are
Click It or Ticket programs aimed at the general driving population, supplemented by special pro-
grams targeting low-use groups.
70
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73
Appendix A. Statewide Observed Belt Use Rates,* 2000-2006
(Source: National Center for Statistics and Analysis, NHTSA)
74
Appendix B. Belt Use Rate* in Daytime Fatalities, by State 2000-2006
(Source: FARS)
75
Appendix C. ARIMA Analyses
Table 1. Time Series ARIMA for United States and Fatally Injured: FARS November 1999-
December 2006
An interrupted time series was run on FARS fatality data with equal pre- and post- time periods
(43 months before and 43 months after the CIOT campaign). The model for this ARIMA used
AR1, MA1, and SAR1, making the final model (101,100). These results show that FARS fatally
injured, front-seat, outboard occupants of passenger vehicles 15 and older have higher re-
straint use following the implementation of the 2003 CIOT. The time series analysis was con-
ducted with SPSS 11.5 using the trends module.
Table 2. Time Series ARIMA for United States and All Injury Levels: FARS November 1999-
December 2006
Model: 100 100 Estimates Std Error t Approx Sig
Non-Seasonal Lags AR 1 .642 .082 7.816 <0.001
Seasonal Lags SAR 1 .254 .120 2.120 0.037
Regression Coefficient 2003 .040 .007 5.652 <0.001
Constant .617 .006 108.223 <0.001
An interrupted time series was run on FARS data with equal pre- and post- time periods (43
months before and 43 months after the CIOT campaign) for all injury levels including uninjured.
These results show that FARS injured (at all levels), front-seat, outboard occupants of passen-
ger vehicles aged 15 and older have higher restraint use following the implementation of the
2003 CIOT. Stationarity for this interrupted time series analysis was achieved by adding two pa-
rameters, AR 1 and SAR 1. Thus, the final model was (1,0,0) (1,0,0).
Table 3. Time Series ARIMA for United States Fatally Injured: FARS January 1994 –
December 2006
Model: 101 100 Estimates Std Error t Approx Sig
Non-Seasonal Lags AR1 .992 .009 104.570 <0.001
MA1 .788 .054 14.665 <0.001
Seasonal Lags SAR1 .214 .082 2.600 0.010
Regression Coefficient 2003-2005 .070 .021 3.398 <0.001
2006 Effect .046 .013 3.495 <0.001
Constant .353 .032 11.140 <0.001
The data used for this analysis were the same fatality data used for the first ARIMA (see Table
1) except the years 1994 to 2006 were used instead of the 43 months before and after CIOT.
Interruption series were designed to compare the 2006 effect to the 2003-2005 effect. These
results suggest that there was an effect of the 2006 campaign even when accounting for the
2003-2005 campaigns. The model for this ARIMA used AR 1, MA 1, and SAR 1, making the
final model (1,0,1) (1,0,0).
76
Appendix D. Paid Media Dollars (in Thousands) as Reported by States, 2000-2006
State or Territory 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 total
Alabama $500.0 $251.5 $379.6 $441.7 $434.0 $356.4 $2,363.2
Alaska $116.2 $131.9 $75.0 $323.1
Arizona $200.0 $2.0 $202.0
Arkansas $313.2 $444.0 $700.0 $364.9 $1,822.2
California $1,502.5 $1,281.3 $3,000.0 $5,783.8
Colorado $100.0 $302.3 $363.9 $423.6 $175.6 $1,365.3
Connecticut $824.0 $725.0 $797.3 $3,688.9 $6,035.2
Delaware $129.6 $217.4 $154.5 $501.5
Dist. Of Columbia $141.6 $68.0 $209.6
Florida $708.0 $2,112.9 $2,623.4 $1,912.8 $2,047.0 $9,404.1
Georgia $500.0 $500.0 $883.5 $0.0 $1,883.5
Hawaii $300.0 $200.0 $500.0
Idaho $32.9 $189.0 $186.6 $83.3 $491.8
Illinois $1,000.0 $1,067.8 $795.4 $630.1 $495.3 $3,988.6
Indiana $963.1 $524.5 $434.2 $435.8 $418.2 $2,775.8
Iowa $111.5 $91.0 $94.0 $296.5
Kansas $305.0 $249.2 $145.3 $699.4
Kentucky $600.0 $351.2 $400.0 $896.1 $253.0 $2,500.3
Louisiana $542.1 $747.9 $520.3 $1,810.3
Maine $194.1 $126.6 $77.0 $397.7
Maryland $600.0 $480.0 $422.0 $441.0 $1,943.0
Massachusetts $436.6 $452.0 $410.0 $420.5 $1,719.1
Michigan $650.0 $434.3 $743.3 $748.6 $982.3 $3,558.5
Minnesota $350.0 $350.0 $406.1 $1,106.1
Mississippi $250.0 $330.0 $238.5 $362.4 $300.0 $174.7 $1,655.6
Missouri $275.0 $184.0 $134.0 $593.0
Montana $155.4 $924.7 $107.1 $1,187.2
Nebraska $100.0 $100.5 $97.5 $115.9 $413.9
Nevada $290.0 $135.0 $200.0 $188.9 $220.0 $1,033.9
New Hampshire $0.0
New Jersey $500.0 $537.0 $300.0 $1,337.0
New Mexico $172.0 $75.0 $0.1 $247.1
New York $120.0 $350.0 $470.0
North Carolina $250.0 $25.0 $452.0 $197.9 $924.9
North Dakota $52.3 $152.2 $91.7 $176.4 $472.6
Ohio $433.3 $590.0 $850.0 $608.6 $637.3 $3,119.3
Oklahoma $264.5 $266.8 $494.0 $315.8 $1,341.1
Oregon $50.0 $235.9 $312.9 $598.7
Pennsylvania $900.0 $687.0 $441.8 $237.9 $2,266.7
Rhode Island $27.0 $100.1 $176.5 $215.7 $233.2 $752.5
South Carolina $500.0 $250.0 $300.0 $328.5 $571.2 $77.6 $2,027.3
South Dakota $30.7 $13.5 $18.5 $69.5 $132.2
Tennessee $500.0 $700.0 $227.6 $306.3 $414.3 $2,148.2
Texas $1,045.9 $1,685.9 $1,795.5 $2,051.2 $2,481.9 $9,060.4
Utah $46.6 $125.4 $145.1 $132.5 $449.6
Vermont $200.0 $150.0 $196.3 $217.8 $184.0 $948.1
Virginia $299.3 $399.9 $699.2
Washington $500.0 $289.0 $500.0 $398.0 $455.0 $2,142.0
West Virginia $250.0 $115.0 $181.8 $281.8 $277.3 $1,105.9
Wisconsin $150.0 $550.0 $500.0 $293.6 $1,493.6
Wyoming $6.0 $86.5 $46.2 $138.7
Puerto Rico $87.8 $180.2 $268.0
Rates in jurisdictions with primary belt enforcement during the calendar year of the survey are shaded.
77
Appendix E. Belt Citations as Reported by States, 2000-2006
State or Territory 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 total
Alabama 12,257 13,664 14,016 11,218 10,716 8,543 70,414
Alaska 700 750 1,026 2,476
Arizona 5,219 6,914 5,298 2,092 19,523
Arkansas 2,233 2,703 3,838 3,630 12,404
California 73,299 93,414 144,104 145,437 456,254
Colorado 3,026 5,490 7,461 10,060 9,019 35,056
Connecticut 9,360 11,320 13,308 16,002 49,990
Delaware 505 3,614 3,315 2,930 10,364
Dist. Of Columbia 8,025 268 730 508 9,531
Florida 29,724 37,063 42,423 37,639 35,216 32,692 214,757
Georgia 33,208 29,861 23,415 11,844 15,699 114,027
Hawaii 3,057 3,169 2,483 3,337 12,046
Idaho 2,031 9,902 10,282 6,427 28,642
Illinois 22,073 15,606 34,057 39,537 45,450 156,723
Indiana 24,697 11,227 14,539 16,419 14,401 81,283
Iowa 3,033 6,206 6,222 4,563 20,024
Kansas 1,741 3,091 4,310 3,760 12,902
Kentucky 5,806 8,325 6,587 6,089 4,704 31,511
Louisiana 5,679 4,292 13,061 2,970 26,002
Maine 2,061 2,549 1,571 6,181
Maryland 3,298 10,836 11,001 25,135
Massachusetts 818 5,965 6,184 7,894 6,401 27,262
Michigan 5,463 21,260 33,966 30,931 23,653 115,273
Minnesota 9,859 10,915 12,102 11,711 44,587
Mississippi 2,450 2,486 1,109 2,486 2,462 3,203 14,196
Missouri 3,948 3,778 4,525 3,369 15,620
Montana 768 1,222 972 596 3,558
Nebraska 1,556 1,261 876 661 4,354
Nevada 3,570 2,294 1,598 2,706 1,639 11,807
New Hampshire 0 0 0 0 0 0
New Jersey 22,941 69,498 65,577 56,360 214,376
New Mexico 3,216 4,797 7,760 5,902 21,675
New York 69,034 54,597 56,360 58,737 55,622 294,350
North Carolina 20,055 14,902 21,152 23,803 17,738 97,650
North Dakota 1,141 1,463 1,161 1,491 5,256
Ohio 21,790 20,650 14,203 17,025 39,963 113,631
Oklahoma 5,765 20,779 15,794 12,024 54,362
Oregon 5,745 5,031 7,331 6,855 24,962
Pennsylvania 2,479 3,761 4,500 5,274 16,014
Rhode Island 1,301 1,388 2,388 1,945 2,024 9,046
South Carolina 19,815 7,115 3,086 2,818 3,173 10,007 46,014
South Dakota 1,006 437 510 1,953
Tennessee 9,190 4,569 8,759 9,757 9,021 41,296
Texas 27,260 45,256 42,319 57,271 50,610 222,716
Utah 8,414 7,490 6,475 6,758 29,137
Vermont 1,304 1,166 1,234 1,263 988 5,955
Virginia 1,522 3,209 7,470 12,201
Washington 5,505 16,779 4,003 9,967 9,820 46,074
West Virginia 3,104 3,067 9,535 7,845 4,823 28,374
Wisconsin 7,572 8,380 10,750 10,892 37,594
Wyoming 0 220 175 325 720
Puerto Rico 13,310 18,583 31,893
Rates in jurisdictions with primary belt enforcement during the calendar year of the survey are shaded
78
Appendix F. Creative Material
79
80
:30 Radio Spot
Client: NHTSA
Job No.: NHTS-18729
JobTitle: :05 CIOT Liner
VO: Alright, everybody knows that safety belts save lives. Blah, blah, blah.
We’ve been hearin’ that for years. I’m just lettin’ you know that your safety
belt can save you a whole lot of hassle too.
Because from coast to coast, cops are cracking down. They’ve got this
enforcement effort––Click It or Ticket. Pretty simple, you buckle up...
or you get a ticket.
Anncr: Paid for by the U.S. Department of Transportation and the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration.
81
:30 Radio Spot
Client: NHTSA
Job No.: NHTS-18173
JobTitle: Night & Day
SFX: CRICKETS
VO: Some of you don’t use safety belts at night because it’s dark out so you
think you can hide. You think you won’t get caught.
VO: Law enforcement is on the lookout 24 hours a day to catch safety belt
violators. It doesn’t matter when or where you drive, if you’re not buckled
up you will get a ticket. So, remember. When it comes to safety belt en-
forcement, there is no difference between night and day. Click It or Ticket.
82
:10 & :15 CIOT Radio Liners
Client: NHTSA
Job No.: NHTS-18729
JobTitle: :10 & :15 CIOT Liners
_________________________________________________________________________________________________
All across America, cops are stepping up safety belt enforcement. If you don't
buckle up expect a ticket. Click It or Ticket:
83
:05 CIOT Radio Liner
Client: NHTSA
Job No.: NHTS-18729
JobTitle: :05 CIOT Liner
All across America, cops are stepping up safety belt enforcement. Click It or
Ticket.
NOTE: The sponsor ID for all billboards should be “Brought to you by the
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration” or “Brought to you by the
U.S. Department of Transportation.”
84
Radio
Client: NHTSA
All across America, cops are stepping up safety belt enforcement. If you don't buckle up
expect a ticket. Click It or Ticket:
85
86
87
88
DOT HS 811 232
January 2010