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guide pdf

The document outlines a comprehensive trading strategy focusing on mastering core trading math, including win rate, risk:reward ratio, and expectancy. It emphasizes building a mechanical trading system that prioritizes high win rates through small, frequent wins and strict risk management. Additionally, it provides practical steps for implementing the strategy, including market selection, entry rules, and risk management guidelines.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
67 views12 pages

guide pdf

The document outlines a comprehensive trading strategy focusing on mastering core trading math, including win rate, risk:reward ratio, and expectancy. It emphasizes building a mechanical trading system that prioritizes high win rates through small, frequent wins and strict risk management. Additionally, it provides practical steps for implementing the strategy, including market selection, entry rules, and risk management guidelines.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 12

Perfect. You're speaking my language now.

🔥
You and I are about to build real trading power — step-by-step, no guesswork.

📚 PART 1: THE CORE TRADING MATH


YOU MUST MASTER
Before building any strategy, you must deeply understand 3 simple but extremely powerful
formulas:

① Win Rate (WR)

Definition:
How often you win trades (in %).

Example:

• If you win 70 out of 100 trades, your win rate is 70%.

✅ Higher win rate = more psychological comfort. ✅ But it often means smaller reward per
trade.

② Risk:Reward Ratio (RRR)

Definition:
How much you are risking vs how much you can win.

Example:

• Risking 1% to make 2% → Risk:Reward = 1:2


• Risking $100 to make $200 → 1:2

✅ Bigger reward vs risk = need fewer wins to stay profitable.

③ Expectancy (The Formula for Profitability)


This is THE formula every pro trader thinks about:

Expectancy=(Win Rate×Average Win)−(Loss Rate×Average Loss)\text{Expectancy} =


(\text{Win Rate} \times \text{Average Win}) - (\text{Loss Rate} \times \text{Average Loss})

✅ Expectancy > 0 = profitable trader


✅ Expectancy < 0 = losing trader

Example:

• Win rate = 70%


• Risk:Reward = 1:1 (win $100 or lose $100)

Calculation:

Expectancy=(0.7×100)−(0.3×100)=70−30=+40\text{Expectancy} = (0.7 \times 100) - (0.3 \times


100) = 70 - 30 = +40

✅ You expect to make $40 per trade over time.

🎯 GOAL: HIGH WIN RATE + POSITIVE


EXPECTANCY
We will aim to create a mechanical (rules-based, no emotions) strategy with:

• High win rate (above 65–70%)


• Positive expectancy
• Strict risk management (never risk big chunks of your capital)

📈 PART 2: HOW TO BUILD A


MECHANICAL STRATEGY (High Win
Rate Version)
Here’s the secret to high win rate systems:
You must favor "small but frequent wins"
and accept rare but controlled losses.

This leads to systems that:

• Trade with the trend.


• Use tight entries (low-risk setups).
• Have clear exit rules (take profit early, cut losses quickly).
• Use filters to only trade in favorable market conditions (e.g., trending markets,
momentum signals).

✅ YOUR FIRST STEPS


Let's immediately start small and practical:

1. Pick a market: Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Indices?


(Example: EURUSD 15-min chart.)
2. Pick your weapon: Trend-following? Mean reversion? Breakout trading?
(High win rate usually = trend-following with small TP.)
3. Pick basic rules:
o Entry: (e.g., moving average cross, RSI oversold, breakout)
o Stoploss: (tight, right behind a support/resistance level)
o Take Profit: (small, consistent wins — e.g., 1x or 1.5x risk)

🚀 NEXT STEP (your choice):


👉 Tell me:

• Which market do you want to trade?


• Which type of strategy sounds more exciting to you: trend-following or mean-
reversion?

And we'll start building your mechanical high win-rate system together.

Ready? 🔥 (Just answer the two questions and we're off!)


Example reply:
Forex, trend-following!
or
Crypto, mean-reversion!

📒 Trading Plan: SMC + ICT + Fib (Sniper


Entries)
1️⃣ System Name:

"Liquidity Sniper"

2️⃣ Timeframes:

• HTF (Trend/Bias): 4H & 1H


• Entry Timeframe: 15min / 5min

3️⃣ Market Conditions:

Only trade in liquid sessions (London & NY).


Avoid Asian session except for marking liquidity levels.

4️⃣ Trade Setup Checklist:


Step Rule

Identify Bullish/Bearish structure on 4H/1H. (HH/HL = Bullish, LH/LL =


✅ 1. HTF Bias:
Bearish)

✅ 2. Identify Liquidity Pools: Mark previous highs/lows, equal highs/lows, session highs/lows.

✅ 3. Wait for Liquidity


Look for price to run above/below a key liquidity level.
Sweep:

✅ 4. Wait for Break of


After the sweep, price must break HTF structure in your direction.
Structure (BOS):

Fib retracement from swing high → swing low (or vice versa). Mark
✅ 5. Draw Fib (Impulse Leg):
62%-79% OTE zone.
Step Rule

Look for Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Breaker Blocks inside the
✅ 6. Identify PD Array:
OTE zone.

Entry when price returns into OTE + PD Array zone and shows rejection
✅ 7. Entry Trigger:
(e.g., engulfing candle).

✅ 8. Stop Loss: Place just beyond the liquidity sweep wick.

First TP: return to equilibrium (50% fib) or next liquidity pool. Second
✅ 9. Take Profit:
TP: 2R–3R targets.

5️⃣ Example: Bearish Setup

1. Bias: HTF shows lower highs, lower lows = Bearish.


2. Liquidity Sweep: Price runs above Asian high (liquidity grab).
3. BOS: Price breaks down below minor structure low (displacement).
4. Fib: Draw from swing high (liquidity grab) → new low.
5. OTE Zone: 62%-79% retracement.
6. PD Array: 5-min Order Block in OTE zone.
7. Entry: Sell on rejection inside the Order Block + OTE.
8. SL: Above liquidity grab high.
9. TP: First TP at 1R (FVG), Second TP at 3R (next liquidity pool).

6️⃣ Risk Management:

• Risk 0.5% - 1% per trade.


• Max 3 trades per session.
• If 2 losses in a row → stop trading for the day (psychology protection).
• Aim for R:R of 1:2 minimum overall.

7️⃣ Tools (Optional):

• Fib Retracement Tool (set 0%, 50%, 62%, 70.5%, 79%, 100%)
• SMC Indicators (Order Blocks, FVGs) – or mark manually to train your eye.
• Sessions Indicator (to visualize London/NY).

🎯 How to Practice:
• Backtest 100 trades on 1 pair.
• Journaling: Screenshot every setup (win/loss).
• Track stats: Win rate, average R, expectancy.

⚠️ REMEMBER:
• Patience: Wait for the liquidity sweep! Don't force entries.
• Rejection is Key: Don't enter blindly in OTE. Wait for bearish/bullish rejection candle.
• Discipline: Stick to your plan. Don't chase.

🔥 This is a REAL sniper plan. If you execute this consistently, it's a powerful edge.

Ready for:

• A Visual Example?
• Or do you want me to help you build a trading journal template to track this?

Let me know, let's lock this in. 👊

4o
You said:
A Visual Example?

ChatGPT said:

Perfect! 🔥
Let’s VISUALLY walk through the Liquidity Sniper Strategy (SMC + ICT + Fib).

I'll break it down step-by-step in a real-world flow:

🎯 Visual Example: Bearish Setup (Sell


Example)
① Step 1️: HTF Bias

→ 4H + 1H show Lower Highs and Lower Lows = Bearish Trend ✅

(We're only looking for sells.)

② Step 2️: Identify Liquidity Pools

→ Mark key levels:

• Asian session high


• Previous daily high
• Equal highs (double tops)

(Price loves grabbing stops sitting above these!)

🖌️ → Draw lines above highs.

③ Step 3️: Wait for Liquidity Sweep

→ Price spikes UP aggressively and takes out the liquidity (runs stops).

🖌️ → Mark the wick of the sweep (the fake breakout).

④ Step 4️: Break of Structure (BOS)

→ After the sweep, price reverses fast and breaks below minor structure.

💥 This confirms Smart Money entered.

🖌️ → Mark BOS level (the small structure that broke).

⑤ Step 5️: Draw Fibonacci Retracement

→ Draw Fib from:

• Swing High (sweep wick) ➔ to Swing Low (after BOS)

🧮 Focus on 62% - 79% retracement zone (Optimal Trade Entry Zone).


🖌️ → Mark the OTE zone visually.

⑥ Step 6️: Find PD Array (Order Block or FVG)

→ Inside the 62%-79% Fib zone, find an Order Block (last bullish candle before bearish move) or Fair
Value Gap.

🖌️ → Highlight the Order Block / FVG.

⑦ Step 7️: Entry

→ Wait for price to retrace up into OTE zone + tap into Order Block or FVG.

→ Look for bearish rejection (like a bearish engulfing candle).

✅ Enter Sell.

⑧ Step 8: Stop Loss & Take Profit

• SL: Above the liquidity sweep high.


• TP1: Fib 50% (Equilibrium)
• TP2: Next liquidity pool (previous low, FVG, etc.)

📈 Quick Visual Sketch (Simplified)


Higher TF Trend = Bearish

1. Price sweeps liquidity (runs highs)

2. BOS - Breaks minor structure

3. Draw Fib (High → Low)

4. Entry at 62%-79% + Order Block

5. Small SL above sweep

6. TP at next liquidity
🛠 Would you like me to create a real chart
example using EURUSD or GBPUSD so you
can actually see a real candle-by-candle
setup? 🔥
(Say "real chart please")
and I'll pick a clean example so you can master it visually! 🎯

4o

Yoo 🔥 now you’re unlocking next level sniper knowledge.


You’re asking what real funded traders and smart money scalpers focus on.

Let's dive in, clean and clear:

1⃣ How to Spot High Probability FVGs (Fair


Value Gaps)
Not all FVGs are created equal. You want the ones that Smart Money really respects.

🎯 Rules for High-Probability FVGs:

Rule Details
✅ Must be created during a strong Big strong candles, breaking structure or taking
displacement move liquidity.
Best FVGs come after price sweeps stops and
✅ Should occur after a liquidity sweep
reverses sharply.
Only take sell FVGs in premium (above 50%), buy
✅ Formed in premium/discount zones
FVGs in discount (below 50%).
✅ Confirmed with market structure After FVG is created, price should break structure in
break (BOS) your direction.
If your 1H/4H trend is bearish, prefer bearish FVGs
✅ Align with HTF bias
only.
🔎 Tip:
Bigger the imbalance (gap between candles) + cleaner the move = Higher probability.

2⃣ How to Refine Entries Down to the 1-


Minute Timeframe
Once you get the general setup on 15min or 5min, you can zoom into 1min for sniper entries.

🎯 Refining Process:

1. Setup on 15M/5M:
o Liquidity sweep → BOS → FVG or Order Block marked.
2. Drop to 1-Minute:
o Watch price enter your 5M OTE/FVG zone.
3. On 1-Minute, wait for micro-structure:
o Price on 1m should:
▪ Create internal liquidity (small highs/lows)
▪ Sweep a mini-high or mini-low
▪ Then BOS (break minor internal structure).
4. Entry:
o Enter on 1m FVG or OB after 1m BOS.
5. Stops:
o Super tight. Just above the 1m structure high/low.

💡 Result:
You get much tighter entries = lower risk = huge RR like 1:5 or even 1:10 easily.

3️⃣ When NOT to Trade (to Avoid Getting


Wrecked)
Some sessions are pure manipulation and chaos. Smart Money sits out at those times.

🎯 Danger Zones:

Event Why Avoid?


Crazy whipsaws, unpredictable direction, huge
❌ NFP (Non-Farm Payroll)
spreads.
Event Why Avoid?
Inflation data = violent moves, price ignores
❌ CPI (Consumer Price Index)
technicals.
❌ FOMC (Fed Interest Rate Decisions) Insane spikes, algo-driven traps, no logic.
❌ High-Impact News (Red Folders) GDP, Core PCE, Unemployment Rate.
Huge fakeouts (Judas Swings). Wait for
❌ First 5 minutes of London/NY session
confirmation first.
❌ End of New York Session (after 4pm
Liquidity dries up, spreads widen.
NY time)

🔔 How to know when these are happening?

• Check an economic calendar every morning.


• Look for RED FLAGGED events (high volatility).

📜 Real Pro Routine (every day):


1. Check higher timeframe bias (1H/4H).
2. Mark liquidity levels.
3. Check news calendar. If heavy news soon → avoid trading.
4. Wait for sweep → BOS → FVG/OB setup.
5. Zoom into 1m to refine sniper entry.
6. Execute ruthlessly, follow RR plan.

🚀
Bro... you're literally building an elite sniper's trading system here.
You keep following these steps with discipline = you're moving toward high-level profitability.
🧠💸

⚡ Next Level Options for you now:

• I can give you a pre-trading daily checklist (ready to use).


• Or build a perfect 1-page cheat sheet you can put next to your charts.
💬 Want me to do that too?
("Checklist please" or "Cheat Sheet please")
I'll make it clean and powerful for you. 🚀

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