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Rice Yearbook

The US 2007/08 season-average farm price for rice is projected to be the highest since 1980/81, primarily due to strong prices for other grains and high global rice prices. Despite a 3% decline in plantings, the US crop was up 2% from a year ago due to a record yield. Total US supplies are projected to increase slightly while exports are projected to increase 17% and ending stocks are forecast to decline 31%, resulting in the lowest stocks-to-use ratio since 2003/04. Globally, production reached a record in 2007/08 but supplies increased less than 1% and ending stocks are projected to decline to the lowest level since 1983/84 due to rising disappearance.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
78 views92 pages

Rice Yearbook

The US 2007/08 season-average farm price for rice is projected to be the highest since 1980/81, primarily due to strong prices for other grains and high global rice prices. Despite a 3% decline in plantings, the US crop was up 2% from a year ago due to a record yield. Total US supplies are projected to increase slightly while exports are projected to increase 17% and ending stocks are forecast to decline 31%, resulting in the lowest stocks-to-use ratio since 2003/04. Globally, production reached a record in 2007/08 but supplies increased less than 1% and ending stocks are projected to decline to the lowest level since 1983/84 due to rising disappearance.

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m76507084
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© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 92

Electronic Outlook Report from the Economic Research Service

United States
Department
of Agriculture

RCS-2007
November 2007

www.ers.usda.gov

Rice Situation and Outlook


Yearbook
Nathan Childs

Abstract

The U.S. 2007/08 season-average farm price for rice is projected at $10.75-$11.25 per
hundredweight (cwt), the highest since 1980/81, primarily due strong prices for other
grains, and high global rice prices. Despite an area decline, the U.S. crop was up 2
percent from a year ago, a result of a record yield. Total supplies are projected to be up
slightly from a year ago, as a larger crop and another year of record imports more than
offset a smaller carryin. Total use of U.S. rice is projected to increase 6 percent in
2007/08, a result of higher exports. Ending stocks are forecast to decline 31 percent
from a year ago, resulting in a stocks-to-use ratio of less than 12 percent. Long-grain
accounts for all of the projected decline in ending stocks.
Although global production is projected to be the highest on record, global supplies are
projected to increase less than 1 percent in 2007/08. With disappearance exceeding
production by 3 million tons, global ending stocks are projected to decline 4 percent to
the lowest level since 1983/84. Global rice trade in 2008 is projected to be the largest on
record. Bangladesh is projected to import more rice in 2008 due to crop damage from
devastating cyclones in November. Global trading prices are currently the highest since
January 1997, and have risen sharply since August. In addition to strong prices for other
grains, export bans implemented this fall by Vietnam and Indiaboth major exporters
have contributed to higher trading prices.

Keyworks: Rice, production, imports, disappearance, exports, stocks, food aid, global
trade, prices

Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook. Market and Trade Economics Division,
Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, November 2007, RCS-2007

Contents
Summary ........

U.S. Outlook for 2007/08


Average Field Highest on Record, Plantings Down 3 Percent .
U.S. Rice Exports Are Projected To Increase 17 percent in 2007/08 ...
U.S. 2007/08Average Farm Price Projected Highest Since 1980/81.....

6
13
17

International Outlook for 2007/08


Global Ending Stocks Projected To Drop, Despite a Record Crop . 20
Global Rice Trade is Projected To Be the Highest on Record in 2008 ... 26

List of Tables ...... 33


Report Coordinator
Nathan Childs (202) 694-5292

Economic Contributor
Nathan Childs (202) 694-5292
Managing Editor
Courtney Knauth (202) 694-5383

Layout, Text Design, and Graphics


Agnes Prentice (202) 694-5240

Rice Conversions
1 cwt = 100 pounds = 2.22 bushels = .0453 metric ton
1 metric ton = 2,204.6 pounds = 22.046 cwt = 48.992 bushels
1 cwt rough rice = .032 metric ton milled
1 metric ton milled = 31 cwt rough

Excel spreadsheet versions of the tables printed here in can be downloaded from the ERS
website at
http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1285

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board. Summary released November 27,
2007. The Rice Outlook and the text of the Rice Yearbook may be accessed electronically.
For details, call ERS Customer Service (202) 694-5050.

2
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Summary
U.S. 2007/08 Season-Average Farm Price
Projected Highest Since 1980/81
The 2007/08 U.S. season-average farm price (SAFP) is projected at $10.75-$11.25
per cwt, up from $9.74 a year earlier and the highest since 1980/81. This is the
third consecutive year of a higher U.S. SAFP for rice. The mid-October reported
cash price for rough-rice is the highest since September 1981. U.S. rough and
milled prices are being pushed higher by strong prices for other grains, rising world
rice prices, and the falling value of the dollar.
Price quotes for Thailands high-quality long-grain milled ricea benchmark for
global trading pricesare up more than 16 percent from a year earlier and 8 percent
higher than in August. The recent price strength in global markets has largely been
due to export bans invoked by Vietnam and India (non-basmati only), a stronger
baht, expectations of declining global stocks, and higher overall commodity prices.
For the week ending November 26, Thailands 100-percent grade B (FOB vessel,
Bangkok) was quoted at $361 per ton, the highest since January 1997. Thailands
prices would likely be higher if the Government of Thailand had not recently
released about a million tons of rice purchased in previous years under its
intervention program.
U.S. export prices have risen sharply since the start of the 2007/08 market year.
Price quotes for U.S. long-grain milled rice are up 24 percent since the beginning of
August. High prices for other grains and oilseeds, rising global rice prices, and a
weaker dollar are behind the recent rise in U.S. prices.

U.S. 2007/08 Average Field Yield


Projected at a Record 7,247 Pounds per Acre
The 2007/08 U.S. rough-rice crop is estimated at 197.9 million cwt, up 2 percent
from a year ago, but still 15 percent below the 2004/05 record. Medium/short-grain
accounts for all of the production increase. The long-grain crop is almost 3 percent
smaller than a year ago. California and Louisiana account for most of the 2007/08
increase in U.S. rice production.
This years larger rice crop is the result of a record yield. At 7,247 pounds per acre,
the 2007/08 average yield is almost 6 percent higher than a year ago. Yields are
higher in every reporting State except Texas, with record yields estimated for
Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Missouri. In contrast, U.S. plantings
declined 3 percent to 2.75 million acres, a result of strong prices for competing
crops and very high fuel and fertilizer prices. Arkansas and Missouri account for
the bulk of the area decline.
Total U.S. rice supplies in 2007/08 are projected to be up slightly from a year
earlier, as the larger crop and record imports more than offset a smaller carryin. At
258.7 million cwt, total supplies are 1.4 million cwt above last year. Medium/shortgrain account for all of the supply increase. Long-grain supplies are projected to
decline 4 percent.
3
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

At 39.3 million cwt, beginning stocks in 2007/08 are 9 percent below a year earlier,
with long-grain accounting for all of the decline. Imports are projected at a record
21.5 million cwt, up more than 4 percent from 2006/07, with both long- and
medium/short-grain imports the highest on record. Imports have more than doubled
over the last 10 years, and are growing as a share of the domestic market. Thailand
supplies more than 60 percent of all U.S. rice imports, with its high-quality jasmine
rice accounting for the bulk of sales to the United States.

U.S. Exports Projected To Increase 17 Percent;


Ending Stocks To Drop 31 Percent
Total exports of U.S. rice in 2007/08 are projected to increase 17 percent to 107.0
million cwt. Expanded global trade, tight supplies in other exporting countries, and
export bans by two major exporters are behind the stronger U.S. export forecast for
2007/08.
Milled-rice shipments (including brown rice) are projected to account for most of
the increase in U.S. exports. Rough-rice exports are projected to increase about 6
percent. Both long- and medium/short-grain U.S. exports are projected to be larger
in 2007/08, with long-grain accounting for the largest share of the increase.
Total domestic and residual use of rice is projected to decrease almost 2 percent in
2007/08 to 124.7 million cwt, still the second-highest on record. The residual
component includes unreported losses in processing, handling, and transporting, as
well as any statistical errors. The size of the residual can vary from year to year.
Total rice usedomestic and residual use plus exportsin 2007/08 is projected at
231.7 million cwt, up 6 percent from a year earlier.
U.S. ending stocks of all rice for 2007/08 are projected at 27.1 million cwt, down 31
percent from a year ago. The stocks-to-use ratio is calculated at 11.7 percent, down
from 18.0 percent a year ago. Both ending stocks and the stocks-to-use ratio are the
lowest since 2003/04. The ending stocks situation is projected especially tight for
long-grain rice.

Despite Record Global Production in 2007/08,


Global Stocks Are Projected To Be the Lowest Since 1983/84
World rice production is projected at a record 421.2 million tons (milled basis) in
2007/08, up less than 1 percent from a year ago. China accounts for the largest
share of the 2007/08 global production increase. In addition, Indonesia, Vietnam,
Brazil, Thailand, Japan, Argentina, the United States, and Uruguay are projected to
harvest larger crops in 2007/08. In contrast, India, Australia, North Korea, South
Korea, and Turkey are projected to harvest smaller crops.
This years larger global production is due to larger plantings; the average yield is
unchanged from a year earlier. Global yields have been nearly flat since late 1990s,
and growth rates achieved in the 1990s were much lower than those achieved in the
1970s and 1980s.

5
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Despite record global production, global rice supplies are projected to increase less
than 1 percent in 2007/08, to 498.4 million tons, the second consecutive year of
fractional growth in global rice supplies. Global supplies remain 9 percent below
the 2001/02 record of 546.6 million tons. A steady decline in carryin and only
modest production growth are behind the decline in global supplies since 2001/02.
Global rice disappearance is projected at a record 424.2 million tons, an increase of
more than 1 percent from a year earlier. China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines,
and Bangladesh account for most of the expected increase in global rice
disappearance. Global ending stocks for 2007/08 are projected at 74.1 million tons,
4 percent below a year earlier and the smallest since 1983/84. The global stocks-touse ratio is calculated at 17.5 percent, the smallest since 1976/77. Global stocks are
down almost 50 percent since the 2000/01 record of 147.3 million tons. China
accounts for most of the decline in global ending stocks since 2000/01.

Global Rice Trade in 2008 Projected To Be the Highest on Record


Global rice trade in 2008 is projected at 29.6 million tons, up 3 percent from a year
earlier and the highest on record. South Asia, East Asia, the Middle East, SubSaharan Africa, and Oceania are all projected to increase imports in 2008. In
contrast, Southeast Asia is projected to import less rice in 2008. Imports by Latin
America are projected to be virtually unchanged from 2007.
By country, Iraq, Bangladesh, Australia, Afghanistan, Cuba, China, and the
Philippines are all projected to increase imports by 100,000 tons or more in 2008.
The increases will partially be offset by weaker imports by Iran, Indonesia,
Malaysia, Turkey, and Haiti. Imports are projected to be unchanged in 2008 for
Nigeria, Cote dIvoire, and Senegal, all major buyers in Sub-Saharan Africa.
On the export side, Thailand, Vietnam, and China account for most of the expected
increase in global exports in 2008. In addition, Uruguay, Egypt, and the United
States are expected to export more rice in 2008. In contrast, India, Australia, and
Guyana are projected to reduce exports in 2008, with Australias shipments the
lowest since 1962. Exports by Cambodia are projected to remain at the 2006 nearrecord high. Argentinas exports are projected to be unchanged in 2008 as well.

5
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

U.S. Outlook for 2007/08

Average Field Yield Highest on Record, Plantings Down 3 Percent


Total U.S. rice supplies in 2007/08 are projected to be up slightly from a year
earlier, as a larger crop and record imports more than offset a smaller carryin. At
258.7 million cwt, total supplies are 1.4 million cwt above last year, but still 7
percent below the 2005/06 record. Despite smaller area, total rice production of
197.9 million cwt is 2 percent larger than a year earlier, a result of a record yield.
At 39.3 million cwt, beginning stocks are 9 percent below a year earlier. Imports
are projected at a record 21.5 million cwt, up more than 4 percent from 2006/07.
Imports have risen sharply over the last 2 decades. Medium/short-grain accounts
for all of the 2007/08 supply increase. Long-grain supplies are projected to decline
4 percent.

U.S. 2007/08 Rice Production Estimated


at 197.9 Million Cwt, up 2 Percent
The 2007/08 (August-July) U.S. rough-rice crop is estimated at 197.9 million cwt,
up 2 percent from a year ago, but still 15 percent below the 2004/05 record. This
years larger crop is the result of a record yield. At 7,247 pounds per acre, the
2007/08 average yield is almost 6 percent higher than a year ago. In contrast,
plantings declined 3 percent to 2.75 million acres.
Figure 1

The U.S. 2007 rough-rice field yield is estimated at a record


7,247 pounds per acre
Pounds/acre

Million cwt

250
Production 1/

7,000

Field Yield

200

6,000
5,000

150
4,000
100

3,000
2,000

50
1,000
0

0
1985 87

89

91

93

95

97

99 2001 03

05

07

2007 estimate. 1/ Rough rice.


Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats, U.S. & All States
Data--Crops. http://www.nass.usda.gov/Data_and_Statistics/Quick_Stats/index.asp.

6
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 2

Medium/short-grain accounts for all of the 2007 U.S production


increase
Million cwt.
200
180

Long grain

Medium/short grain

160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

1992

94

96

98

2000

02

04

06

August-July market year


2007 are estimates.
Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick
Stats data base .

Medium/short-grain accounts for all of the 2007/08 production increase. At 55.3


million cwt, medium/short-grain production is up 16 percent from a year ago. The
bulk of the U.S. medium/short-grain crop is grown in California. In contrast, longgrain production declined almost 3 percent to 142.6 million cwt. Virtually all U.S.
long-grain rice is grown in the South.
In 2007/08, rice acreage declined in all reporting States except Louisianawhere
plantings increasedand Mississippi, where plantings were unchanged from a year
ago. This is the second consecutive year of declining U.S. rice acreage. Very
strong prices for competing crops, as well as another year of high fuel and fertilizer
prices, are behind this years decline in rice acreage. In addition, tight seed supplies
caused by the loss of 2 widely-planted varieties and potential risks of marketing the
2007 long-grain crop may have discouraged some southern producers from planting
rice last spring. Tight seed supplies and potential marketing risks resulted from the
discovery of trace amounts of genetically-enhanced material in certain 2006 longgrain varieties.
Arkansas and Missouri account for the bulk of the decline in U.S. rice acreage.
Rice plantings in Arkansas decreased 5 percent to 1.33 million acres, the lowest
since 1996/97. Missouris plantings are estimated at 180,000 acres, a 17-percent
drop from a year earlier and the lowest since 2003/04. Texas rice plantings dropped
3 percent to 146,000 acres, the lowest since the 1930s. California plantings dropped
fractionally to 523,000 acres, despite near-record-high prices for medium-grain rice,
the bulk of California production. In contrast, in Louisiana rice plantings increased
28 percent to 378,000 acres. Plantings in 2006/07 in Louisiana were partially
constrained by saltwater intrusion caused by two severe hurricanes in 2005. At
190,000 acres, rice plantings in Mississippi were unchanged from a year ago.
7
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 3

Arkansas and Missouri accounted for most of the 2007


decline in plantings

Arkansas
California
Louisiana

2005

Mississippi

2006
2007

Missouri
Texas
0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Million acres
2007 are estimates.
Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service,
Quick Stats data base.

U.S. Average Field Yield Is Estimated at a Record 7,247 Pounds per Acre
In early November, the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) of the U.S.
Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecast an average field yield for 2007/08 of
7,247 pounds per acre, up almost 6 percent from a year ago. Yields are higher in
every reporting State except Texas, with record yields estimated for Arkansas,
Louisiana, Mississippi, and Missouri. This year, most growing regions experienced
generally favorable weather during critical growing months.
Californias rice yield increased 9 percent to 8,350 pounds per acre in 2007/08. In
both 2005/06 and 2006/07, California experienced abnormally cool, wet springs that
hindered yields. Louisianas average yield increased 7 percent to a record 6,250
pounds per acre. In Missouri, the average yield increased 6 percent to 6,800 pounds
per acre, equaling the 2004/05 record. The Arkansas rice yield increased 5 percent
to a record 7,200 pounds per acre. In Mississippi, average yields increased 5
percent to a record 7,350 pounds per acre. In contrast, the Texas yield dropped
nearly 7 percent to 6,700 pounds per acre. The Texas rice-growing region
experienced excessive rainfall in the spring.
California and Louisiana account for most of the 2007/08 U.S. production increase.
At 43.4 million cwt, rice production in California is 8 percent larger than a year
earlier, a result of a much higher yield. Despite this years increase, the California
crop is 14 percent smaller than the 2004/05 record. The Louisiana crop is estimated
at 23.3 million cwt, up 16 percent from a year ago, but still 25 percent smaller than
the 2005/06 record. Rice production in Mississippi is estimated at 13.9 million cwt,
up 5 percent from a year ago due to a higher yield.

8
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 4

California, Louisiana, and Mississippi harvested larger


crops in 2007

Arkansas
California
Louisiana

2005

Mississippi

2006
2007

Missouri
Texas
0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Million cwt (rough)


2007 are forecasts.
Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick
Stats data base.

Rice production declined in the remaining rice-growing States. The Missouri crop
declined 12 percent to 12.1 million cwt, a result of smaller plantings. The Texas
rice crop of 9.8-million cwt is 9 percent smaller than a year ago, mostly due to a
weaker yield. This is the smallest rice crop in Texas since 1947. In Arkansas, the
largest U.S. rice-growing State, production dropped 0.5 million cwt to 95.4 million
cwt, a result of smaller plantings. This is the smallest rice crop in Arkansas since
2000/01.

Total U.S. Rice Supplies in 2007/08 Are Projected


at 258.7 Million Cwt, up Slightly from a Year ago
Total U.S. rice supplies in 2007/08 are projected at 258.7 million cwt, up less than 1
percent from a year ago. Despite this years increase, total supplies are still 7
percent below the 2005/06 record. In 2007/08, a larger crop and record imports
more than offset a smaller carryin. By class, long-grain supplies are projected to
decline 4 percent to 186.2 million cwt; combined medium/short-grain supplies are
projected to increase 13 percent to 71.8 million cwt.
Based on data from NASS in the August 2007 Rice Stocks, beginning stocks of all
rice for 2007/08 are calculated at 39.3 million cwt, down almost 9 percent from a
year earlier, with long-grain accounting for all of the decline. Beginning stocks of
all rice were smaller in all reported States except Arkansas, where beginning stocks
were up 2 percent from a year earlier. Texas and Louisiana accounted for most of
the decline in beginning stocks. By class, long-grain beginning stocks are estimated
at 28.5 million cwt, a drop of 13 percent from a year earlier. In contrast, combined
medium/short-grain beginning stocks of 10.0 million cwt are 6 percent larger than a
year earlier.

9
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 5

Total U.S. rice supplies are projected to be slightly larger


in 2007/08
Million cwt (rough basis)

300
Beginning stocks

Production

Imports

250
200
150
100
50
0
90/91

92/93

94/95

96/97

98/99

00/01

02/03

04/05

06/07

August-July market year


2007/08 are forecasts.
Sources: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates,
http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/index.htm.

Figure 6

U.S. rice imports are projected to be the highest on record


in 2007/08
Million cwt (rough basis)

Percent

25

20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

U.S. rice imports 1/

20

Share of food, industrial,


and residual use

15
10
5
0
1982/83

87/88

92/93

97/98

02/03

07/08

August-July market year


1/ Includes imports by Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Sources: 1982/83-2006/07, Bureau of the Census import data converted to a
rough-rice basis using a 70 percent white rice milling rate and an 80 percent brown rice
milling rate; 2007/08 forecasts, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, World
Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA.

10
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 7

Thailand accounts for most of the increase in U.S. long-grain


Imports
1,000 tons

U.S. long-grain Imports

500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

Thailand

1995/96

97/98

India and Pakistan

99/00

Other

01/02

03/04

05/06

August-July market year


Shipment-weight.
Source: FAS ONLINE, Foreign Agricultural Service, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture,
http://www.fas.usda.gov/ustrade.

Figure 8

China accounts for most of the increase in U.S.


medium/short-grain imports
1,000 tons
200
Thailand 1/

China

Egypt

Other

160
120
80
40
0

1995/96

97/98

99/00

01/02

03/04

05/06

August-July market year


1/ May include specialty rice classified as medium- or short-grain rice by the U.S.
Census Bureau. Shipment-weight.
Sources: FAS ONLINE, Foreign Agricultural Service, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture,
http://www.fas.usda.gov/ustrade.

11
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

U.S. rice imports for 2007/08 are projected at a record 21.5 million cwt, up more
than 4 percent from a year earlier, with both long- and combined medium/shortgrain imports projected to be the highest on record. Long-grain imports are
projected at 15.0 million cwt, an increase of 5 percent from a year earlier. Thailand
is the largest supplier of rice to the United States, accounting for 75-80 percent of
U.S. long-grain imports. Jasmine riceThailands high-quality fragrant rice
accounts for nearly all of the long-grain rice imported by the United States from
Thailand. These imports increase almost every year. India and Pakistan supply
most of the remainder of U.S. long-grain imports, shipping mostly high-quality
basmati rice. Like the Thai jasmine rice, imports of basmati rice typically increase
each year. The United States does not currently grow aromatic varieties of the same
quality as those produced in Asia.
Combined medium/short-grain imports in 2007/08 are projected at a record 6.5
million cwt, an increase of 3 percent from a year earlier. Thailand currently ships
60,000-70,000 tons (2.00-2.25 million cwt on a rough-rice basis) of specialty rice to
the United States that is classified by the U.S. Census Bureau as medium- or shortgrain. Nearly all the rest of U.S. medium/short-grain imports are purchases by
Puerto Rico. China supplies most of the rice imported by Puerto Rico, with Egypt
also supplying some. Prior to 2000/01, Puerto Rico was largely a California
market. Lower prices from other sources and higher U.S. suppliers in this market.
The Jones Act requires require all commercial vessels transporting merchandise
between ports in the United States to be build, owned, operated, and staffed by U.S.
citizens and to be registered under the U.S. flag. Freight rates are typically higher
on U.S. flagged vessels than for vessels operated by many other countries. Italy
supplies a few-thousand tons of Arorio rice to the United States each year.

12
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

U.S. Rice Exports Are Projected To Increase 17 Percent in 2007/08


Total use of U.S. rice in 2007/08 is projected at 231.7 million cwt, up 6 percent
from a year ago. Exports account for all of the year-to-year increase in total use.
Total exports of U.S. rice in 2007/08 are projected at 107.0 million cwt, up 17
percent from a year ago. Milled rice shipments account for the bulk of the projected
increase in U.S. exports. Both long and medium/short-grain exports are projected
to increase in 2007/08. Total domestic and residual disappearance is projected at
a near-record 124.6 million cwt, down slightly from a year earlier. Ending stocks
of all rice are projected at 27.1 million cwt, a decline of 31 percent from a year
earlier. Long-grain accounts for all of the expected decline in U.S. ending stocks.

Total Use of U.S. Rice in 2007/08 Is Projected To Increase 6 Percent


Total rice use in 2007/08domestic and residual use, plus exportsis projected at
231.7 million cwt, up 6 percent from a year earlier, but still 3 percent below the
2002/03 record. Exports account for all of the expected increase in total use in
2007/08. Total exports of U.S. rice are projected to increase 17 percent to 107.0
million cwt, still 14 percent below the 2002/03 record. Expanded global trade, tight
supplies in other exporting countries, export bans recently invoked by two major
exporters, and slightly larger U.S. supplies are behind the stronger export forecast
for 2007/08. Milled-rice shipments (including brown rice) are projected to account
for most of the increase in U.S. exports. By class, both long- and medium/shortgrain U.S. exports are projected to be larger in 2007/08, with long-grain accounting
for the largest share of the increase.
Figure 9

Total use is projected to increase 6 percent in 2007/08


Million cwt (rough basis)

250
Domestic and residual use

Exports 1/

200
150
100
50
0
90/91

92/93

94/95

96/97

98/99

00/01

02/03

04/05

06/07

August-July market year


1/ Rough-equivalent of milled, brown, and rough rice exports. 2007/08 are forecasts.
Source: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, World Agricultural Outlook
Board, USDA.

13
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 10

Both rough-and milled-rice exports are projected to be


larger in 2007/08
Million cwt

125

Milled 1/

Rough

100
75
50
25
0
1990/91 92/93

94/95

96/97

98/99

00/01

02/03

04/05

06/07

August-July
Rough basis. 2007/08 are forecasts.
Source: World Agricultural Supply and Use Estimates, WAOB, USDA.

Milled-rice exports are projected at 73.0 million cwt, up 23 percent from a year
earlier but 10 percent below 2005/06. Expectations of larger shipments to the
Middle East, Oceania, and the Philippines (all sold under the PL 480 Title I
Program) account for the higher U.S. milled-rice export forecast. Rough-rice
exports are projected at 34.0 million cwt, up 6 percent from a year ago. Mexico and
Central America account for the bulk of U.S. rough-rice exports, with the United
States supplying almost all rice imported by these two markets. None of the major
Asian rice-exporting countries allow rough-rice exports, preferring to capture the
value-added from milling the rice.
By class, long-grain exports are projected at 84.0 million cwt, up 16 percent from a
year ago. Expanded shipments to Mexico, Central America, the Middle East, the
Philippines, and the Caribbean are behind the stronger long-grain export forecast.
Current export bans by Vietnam and India (non-basmati rice only) will likely
support stronger U.S. sales to some regions, primarily the Middle East, early in
2008. In addition, U.S. 2007/08 long-grain rice exports are boosted by a delayed
fiscal year 2007 Pl 480 Title I sale to the Philippines of 44,100 tons that was
purchased in October 2007. The original tender was held in September, but resulted
in a re-tender.
Also, some recovery in U.S. sales to the EU-27once a major market for U.S.
long-grain riceis expected. In 2006/07, this 250,000-300,000-ton annual U.S.
market dropped sharply due to the discovery of trace amounts of genetically
enhanced rice in some U.S. supplies of long-grain rice. Through late-November,
U.S. sales to the EU-27 were slightly ahead of a year earlier.

14
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 11

Both long- and medium/short-grain exports are projected


to be larger in 2007/08 1/
Million cwt (rough basis)

100

Long-grain

Medium/short-grain

75
50
25
0
1994/95

96/97

98/99

2000/01

02/03

04/05

06/07

August-July market year


2007/08 are forecasts. 1/ Total of milled, brown, and rough-rice exports on a
rough basis.
Sources:World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates,
http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/index.htm.

Medium/short-grain exports are projected at 23.0 million cwt, up 23 percent from a


year earlier. Expanded sales to Oceaniahistorically an Australian market
account for much of the expected increase in U.S. exports. Sales to South Korea
all part of South Koreas World Trade Organization (WTO) commitmentsand
shipments to some smaller markets in the Eastern Mediterranean are likely to be
larger as well.
Total domestic and residual use of rice is projected to decrease almost 2 percent in
2007/08 to 124.7 million cwt, still the second-highest on record. Long-grain
accounts for all of the expected decline. At 89.0 million cwt, long-grain domestic
disappearance is projected to be 3 percent below the year-earlier record. In
contrast, combined medium/short-grain domestic disappearance is projected to
increase almost 3 percent to 35.7 million cwt. The U.S. disappearance term
includes a substantial residual component that is impossible to estimate and can
vary substantially from year to year. The residual term includes unreported losses
in processing, marketing, and transportation, as well as any statistical errors in other
components of U.S. supply and use tables.

U.S. 2007/08 Ending Stocks Are Projected


To Decline 31 Percent to 27.1 Million Cwt
U.S. ending stocks of all rice for 2007/08 are projected at 27.1 million cwt, down 31
percent from a year ago. A 6-percent increase in total use is projected to more than
offset slightly larger total supplies. The resulting stocks-to-use ratio is calculated at
11.7 percent, down from 18.0 percent a year ago. Both ending stocks and the
stocks-to-use ratio are the lowest since 2003/04. The ending stocks situation differs
by class of rice.

15
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Long-grain accounts for all of the decline in U.S. ending stocks in 2007/08. Longgrain ending stocks are projected to decline 54 percent to 13.2 million cwt. A 6percent contraction in long-grain supplies, combined with a 5-percent increase in
long-grain use, accounts for the substantial decline in long-grain ending stocks. The
long-grain stocks-to-use ratio is calculated at 7.6 percent, down from 17.3 percent a
year ago. Both the long-grain ending stocks and the stocks-to-use ratio are the
lowest since 2003/04.
For medium/short-grain rice, ending stocks for 2007/08 are projected at 13.2
million cwt, up 31 percent from a year ago and the highest since 2004/05. A 13percent increase in total supplies is expected to more than offset a 10-percent
increase in medium/short-grain use. The resulting medium/short-grain stocks-touse ratio is 22.4 percent, up from 18.8 percent a year ago and the highest since
2003/04.
Figure 12

U.S. ending stocks are projected to decline 31 percent


in 2007/08
Million cwt (rough basis)

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1987/88

Percent
Ending stocks

60

Stocks-to-use ratio

50
40
30
20
10
0

90/91

95/96

00/01

04/05 06/07

August-July market year


2007/08 are forecasts.
Sources: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, World Agricultural Outlook
Board, USDA.

16
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

U.S. 2007/08 Average Farm Price Projected Highest Since 1980/81


The U.S. season-average farm price (SAFP) for 2007/08 is projected at $10.75$11.25 per cwt, up from $9.74 a year earlier and the highest since 1980/81.
Expectations of a substantially higher U.S. SAFP in 2007/08 are largely due to very
high prices for other grains and stronger global rice prices. This is the third
consecutive year of a higher U.S. SAFP for rice. Price quotes for U.S. long grain
rough rice have risen in every producing region since the start of the 2007/08
market year in August. Price quotes for California medium/short-grain rice
continue to increase from already high levels in 2006/07. Total U.S. food aid
purchases (including a Title I sale) in fiscal 2007 are estimated at 136,400 tons, up
from 96,100 tons a year earlier.

U.S. 2007/08 Season-Average Farm Price


Is Projected To Be the Highest Since 1980/81
The 2007/08 U.S. season-average farm price (SAFP) is projected at $10.75-$11.25
per cwt, up from $9.74 a year earlier and the highest since $12.80 in 1980/81. The
higher U.S. SAFP in 2007/08 is primarily due to strong prices for other grains and
higher global trading prices for rice. This is the third consecutive year of a higher
U.S. SAFP for rice.
Figure 13

The 2007/08 U.S. season-average farm price is the


highest since 1980/81
Million cwt (rough basis)

$/cwt

300

12

250

10

200

150

100

4
Total supplies

Season-average farm price 1/

50
0
1988/89

2
0
94/95

2000/01

06/07

August-July market year


1/ 2007/08 midpoint of $10.75-$11.25 projection range.
Sources: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates,
http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/index.htm.

17
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

The mid-October reported cash price of $10.70 per cwt was up 40 cents from the
September average and $1.05 higher than a year earlier. The October mid-month
price is the highest reported monthly cash price since September 1981. Average
U.S. monthly reported cash prices for rough rice have been higher than a year
earlier since November 2005. In addition, prices have increased each month since
July.
Price quotes for U.S. long-grain rough rice have risen in every producing region
since the start of the 2007/08 market year on August 1. Based on data from the
weekly Creed Rice Market Report, average price quotes from mills for long-grain
rough rice in the Deltawhich produces the largest share of the U.S. long-grain
cropincreased from about $9.00 per cwt at the start of the 2007/08 market year to
around $11.50 for the week ending November 27. In Southwest Louisiana, longgrain rough rice prices were also quoted at $11.50 for the week ending November
27, up from $10.00 in early August. In Texas, long-grain rough-rice prices were
quoted around $11.70 per cwt for the week ending November 27, up from around
$10.50 in early August. For all three long-grain producing regions, these are the
highest weekly price quotes reported by the Creed Rice Market Report since early
1994 when Japan began its emergency purchases due to a small harvest in 1993.
California medium-grain rough-rice prices for the week ending November 27 were
quoted at $13.34 per cwt, up from about $12.00 in late July. Like the southern
long-grain prices, these are the highest reported weekly prices for California
medium-grain rough rice reported in the Creed Rice Market Report since early
1994. California prices are being supported by extremely tight supplies in
Australia, a result of severe drought. Australia had been a major competitor of
California in the global medium/short-grain market. However, Australia has had
severe drought in 4 of the last 5 years and is currently exporting very little rice.
In the Delta, where most of the southern medium-grain crop is produced, price
quotes for medium-grain rough rice were reported at $11.33 per cwt for the week
ending November 27, up about 20 cents from early August and the highest ever
reported by Creed. The high southern medium-grain prices are primarily due to
strong California prices and only a modest increase in southern medium-grain
acreage in 2007/08.
California medium-grain prices are typically higher than southern medium-grain
prices. Most southern medium-grain rice is used in processed products in the
United States. Some processors will substitute southern medium-grain for
California medium-grain if the price difference is wide enough. On occasion, some
Middle Eastern markets have taken southern medium-grain rice if California prices
are too high.
U.S. producers are eligible for marketing loan benefits when foreign prices
(represented by USDAs weekly adjusted world price) fall below the loan rate for
rough rice. Loan rates vary by class of ricelong, medium, and short-grainwith
an all-rice average loan rate fixed at $6.50 per cwt. The adjusted world price is also
reported by class. The payment rate by class is the difference between the adjusted

18
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

world price (reported by USDA every Wednesday morning) and the loan rate.
Since mid-May 2006, the adjusted world price for long-grain rice has remained
above the loan rate each week, making U.S. long-grain producers ineligible for
marketing loan benefits. The adjusted world price has exceeded the loan rate for
medium- and short-grain rice since mid-January 2006.

The U.S. Donated 92,000-96,000 Tons of Rice in FY 2006 and FY 2007


Total U.S. food aid purchases of rice for donation in fiscal 2007 (October 2006 to
September 2007) are estimated at 92,000 tons, down about 4,000 tons from a year
earlier. In addition, U.S. exporters sold 44,100 tons of rice under Title I of the PL
480 Program to the Philippines in October 2007 that was authorized in fiscal 2007.
Unlike donations, Title I provides for the sales of U.S. agriculture commodities on
concessional credit terms to governments and private entities in developing
countries. In both the text and tables of this report, U.S. food aid donations are
assigned appropriate October-September fiscal years based on the month in which
invitations for commodity offers are announced. Shipment dates do not necessarily
fall within the same fiscal year in which the rice was purchased.
Food aid purchases (including Title I concessional sales) accounted for 4.1 percent
of total U.S. rice exports in fiscal 2007, up from 2.4 percent a year earlier. In fiscal
2006, total U.S. food aid purchases for donation totaled around 96,000 tons, down
36 percent from a year earlier. There were no Title I concessional sales for rice in
fiscal 2006.
U.S. rice is shipped under four food aid programs: PL 480 (Title I and Title II),
Section 416(b) surplus removal, Food for Progress, and Food for Education. In
fiscal 2007, there was only one sale under PL 480 Title I, a 44,100-ton sale to the
Philippines. The sale did not occur until October 2007 due to a re-tendering of the
original September 2007 tender.
Total purchases under PL 480 Title II, or food donations, totaled 53,000 tons in
fiscal 2007, almost unchanged from fiscal 2006. In addition, almost 11,000 tons of
rice was purchased in fiscal 2007 under the Food for Progress program, down from
about 28,000 tons in fiscal 2006. Purchases under the Food for Education program
totaled about 28,500 tons in fiscal 2007, up from almost 15,500 tons a year earlier.
There have been no Section 416(b) allocations or purchases since fiscal 2002.

19
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

International Outlook for 2007/08

Global Ending Stocks Projected To Drop, Despite a Record Crop


Global rice production is projected to increase less than 1 percent in 2007/08 to a
record 421.2 million tons, a result of larger planted area. China, Indonesia,
Vietnam, and Brazil account for the bulk of the projected increase in 2007/08
production. Total rice supplies in 2007/08 (carryin plus production) are forecast at
498.4 million tons, up less than 1 percent from a year ago. Despite the increase,
total supplies are 9 percent below the 2001/02 record. The decline in global
supplies since 2001/02 has largely been due to a steady decrease in carryin, and
only modest production increases. Global rice disappearance is projected at a
record 421.2 million tons, an increase of almost 1 percent from a year earlier.
China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Bangladesh account for most of the
expected increase in global rice disappearance. Global ending stocks for 2007/08
are projected at 74.1 million tons, 4 percent below a year earlier and the smallest
since 1983/84. Thailand, China, Indonesia, the Philippines, and the United States
account for most of the expected decline in ending stocks. Through November 27,
global trading prices were up 16 percent from a year earlier, the highest since
January 1997. High prices for other grains and oilseeds, and the tightening global
stocks situation are behind the rise in global prices over the past year. The U.S.
price difference over comparable grades of Thailands rice was almost $140 per
ton for the week ending November 27, up from $71 at the start of the 2007/08
market year on August 1.

Larger Area Boosts Global Production to Highest on Record;


Average Yield Remains Flat
World rice production is projected at a record 421.2 million tons (milled basis) in
2007/08, up less than 1 percent from a year ago. Global production was unchanged
from a year earlier in 2006/07. China accounts for the largest share of the 2007/08
global production increase. Indonesia, Vietnam, Brazil, Thailand, Japan, Argentina,
the United States, and Uruguay are projected to harvest larger crops in 2007/08 as
well. In contrast, India, Australia, North Korea, South Korea, and Turkey are
projected to harvest smaller crops in 2007/08.
Despite record global production and little change in carryin, global rice supplies
are projected to increase less than 1 percent in 2007/08 to 498.4 million tons, the
second consecutive year of fractional growth in global rice supplies. In addition,
global supplies remain 9 percent below the 2001/02 record of 546.6 million tons. A
steady decline in carryin, plus only modest production growth are responsible for
the decline in global supplies since 2001/02.
Global rice area is projected at 153.7 million hectares, up 0.8 million from a year
earlier, and the second highest record. In 2007/08, larger plantings in China,
Indonesia, Nigeria, Cambodia, Thailand, and Uruguay are projected to more than

20
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 14

Average field yields have increased very little over the last decade
Million tons (milled basis)

Percent

450
400

5
Production

Field Yield

350
300

250
200

150
100

50
0
1980/81

0
85/86

90/91

95/96

2000/01

05/06

2007/08 are forecasts.


Source: Production, Supply, and Distribution data base, Foreign Agricultural Service,
USDA, http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd.

offset smaller plantings in the United States, Australia, Japan, Pakistan, and Sri
Lanka. Despite this years increase in rice area, plantings remain below the
1999/2000 record of 155.3 million hectares. Global rice area is unlikely to surpass
the 1999/2000 record in the foreseeable future due to a lack of additional land
suitable for rice production (abundant water, a level surface for easy irrigation and
drainage, a hard-pan sub-surface to slow percolation, proper salinity), competition
for land from other crops and urban interests, as well as ecological concerns
associated with intensive rice production.
At 4.1 tons per hectare, the average global rough-rice yield is unchanged from
2006/07 and 2005/06. In fact, global yields have been nearly flat since the late
1990s, and growth rates achieved in the 1990s were much lower than those in the
1970s and 1980s. Yield growth has stagnated largely due to the lack of new varietal
development and the near total adoption of the modern high-yielding varieties on
the most favorable ecosystems (primarily the irrigated low-lands).

China Accounts for the Bulk of the


2007/08 Projected Global Production Increase
China, the worlds largest rice-producing country, accounts for the bulk of the
2007/08 global production increase, with rice production projected at 129.5 million
tons (milled basis), up more than 1 percent from a year ago. Despite this years
increase, Chinas production remains well below the record 140.5 million tons
produced in 1997/98. The larger crop is primarily due to expanded area; the yield
is projected unchanged from a year earlier. Chinas rice yields have been nearly flat
for the past decade.

21
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Among the top six exportersThailand, Vietnam, the United States, India,
Pakistan, and Chinaall except India are projected to produce larger crops in
2007/08. Thailandthe worlds largest rice-exporting countryis projected to
increase production less than 1 percent to a record 18.4 million tons due to larger
plantings. The average yield is unchanged. Vietnamthe second-largest rice
exporting countryis also expected to achieve record production in 2007/8. At
23.3 million tons, Vietnams 2007/08 production is almost 2 percent larger than a
year earlier, primarily due to a record average yield.
Pakistans 2007/08 crop is forecast at 5.3 million tons, up fractionally from a year
earlier, a result of a higher yield. Plantings are actually down. Despite this years
increase, Pakistans crop is 4 percent smaller than the 2005/06 record. The U.S.
2007/08 crop is estimated at 6.3 million tons, up more than1 percent from a year
ago, a result of a record yield. U.S. plantings were actually down 3 percent in
20007/08. In contrast, India is projected to harvest 92.0 million tons of rice in
2007/08, only fractionally below a year earlier, a result of a slightly lower yield.
The southern and eastern rice growing regions of India received excessive rain this
year.
Among the smaller exporters, Argentina, Uruguay, Burma, and Cambodia are
projected to harvest larger crops in 2007/08. Little change in production is
projected for the EU-27, Guyana, and Egypt. In contrast, Australia is projected to
harvest just 36,000 tons of rice in 2007/08, the smallest crop in more than 50 years.
Both area and yield are down from a year ago, a result of severe drought. Australia
is projected to export very little rice in 2008.
Several major importers are projected to harvest larger crops in 2007/08. Brazil,
Indonesia, Nigeria, Japan, and Iran are all projected to increase production by at
least 2 percent in 2007/08. Indonesiathe worlds third-largest rice-growing
countryis projected to harvest 34.0 million tons in 2007/08, up 0.7 million from a
year ago, a result of expanded area. Indonesias production remains below the
2003/04 record of 35.0 million tons. Brazil, the largest rice producer outside Asia,
is expected to harvest nearly 8.0 million tons of rice in 2007/08, up almost 0.3
million from a year ago, mostly due to a higher yield. Both Nigeria and Iran have
harvested record crops for several consecutive years. Both governments are trying
to reduce dependence on imports.
Other importers are projected to harvest smaller crops in 2007/08. Excessive
rainfall reduced rice production in both North and South Korea this year. Turkey is
expected to harvest 360,000 tons of rice in 2007/08, about 11 percent less than a
year ago, a result of slightly smaller area and a much lower yield. Parts of Turkey
experienced drought this year. The Philippines, one of the worlds largest rice
importing countries, is projected to harvest 10.0 million tons in 2007/08, just
fractionally below the year-earlier record. Bangladeshs production is projected at
29.0 million tons in 2007/08, unchanged from the earlier record. Since the
November forecasts were released, Bangladesh has received excessive rains and
experienced severe flooding due to powerful cyclones. The production forecast for
Bangladesh will be re-evaluated in December.

22
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Global Ending Stocks in 2007/08 Are Projected


To Be the Smallest Since 1983/84
World rice domestic disappearanceconsumption plus a residual component that
represents unaccounted losses and any statistical errorsis projected at a record
424.2 million tons in 2007/08, up more than 1 percent from a year ago. China and
India account for the largest share of the projected increase in domestic
disappearance in 2007/98. In addition, domestic disappearance is projected to be
higher in Indonesia, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Burma, Nigeria, Iran, and Egypt.
In contrast, domestic disappearance of rice is projected to decline in Japan, South
Korea, and Taiwana long-term trend in all three countries, a result of incomedriven diet diversification.
With domestic disappearance exceeding production in 2007/08 by 3.1 million tons,
global rice-ending stocks are projected to drop 4 percent to 74.1 million tons, the
smallest since 1983/84. China, Indonesia, and United States account for the largest
share of the projected decline in global ending stocks. Ending stocks are also
projected to decline in India, the Philippines, and Thailand.
The global stocks-to-use ratio is calculated at 17.5 percent, down from 18.5 percent
a year earlier and the smallest since 1976/77. Global stocks are down almost 50
percent since the 2000/01 record of 147.3 million tons. China accounts for most of
the decline in global ending stocks since 2000/01. Chinas ending stocks have
declined from an estimated record 97.4 million tons in 1999/2000, to 35.6 million
forecast in 20007/08. Much of this decline was due to a government policy
designed to reduce stocks from excessive levels. USDAs stock estimates for China
include only that portion of total rice supplies likely to enter commercial channels.
Components include rice held by the government, inventories in the commercial
sector, and a portion of the grain that Chinas farmers store for their own use.
Figure 15

Global ending stocks in 2007/08 are projected to be the lowest since


1983/84
Million tons (milled basis)

Percent

150

40

125

32

100

24

75
16

50

Ending stocks

Stocks-to-use ratio

25
0
1980/81

0
85/86

90/91

95/96

2000/01

05/06

2007/08 are forecasts.


Source: Production, Supply, and Distribution data base, Foreign Agricultural Service,
USDA, http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd.

23
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

International Price Quotes for High-Quality


Long-Grain Milled Rice Are up 16 Percent from a Year Earlier
For the week ending November 27, global price quotes for high-quality long-grain
milled rice were up more than 16 percent from a year earlier. Global prices have
been rising for about 6 years, mostly due to the decline in global rice stocks and
stronger demand. The recent price strength has largely been due to export bans
invoked this fall by Vietnam and India (non-basmati only), a stronger baht, and
higher overall commodity prices.
For the week ending November 27, Thailands 100-percent grade B (FOB vessel,
Bangkok) was quoted at $361 per ton, up 8 percent from late July. Thailands
prices would likely be higher if the government had not recently released about a
million tons of rice purchased under its intervention program, implemented for the
2004/05-2006/07 crops. Despite the release of intervention stocks, Thailands
prices are the highest since January 1997, about 6 months prior to the devaluation of
the Thai currency and the beginning of the Asian financial crisis.
In mid-September, the Government of Vietnam announced a ban on new sales of
rice because exporters were overcommitted. Vietnam is expected to begin making
new sales when the harvest of its main winter-spring crop begins in March.
Similarly, India announced a minimum export price for rice, which effectively
eliminates virtually all exports except for high-quality basmati rice. India is
expected to resume exports of non-basmati rice in the first half of 2008. The ban on
rice was invoked to ensure adequate rice availability in the domestic market and to
rebuild stocks.
U.S. export prices have risen sharply since the start of the 2007/08 market year,
primarily due to high prices for other grains and higher global rice prices. Price
quotes for U.S. long-grain milled riceNo. 2, 4-percent brokens, (FAS vessel, U.S.
Gulf port)were reported at $485 per ton for the week ending November 27, up 24
percent since the beginning of August. These are the highest price quotes for U.S.
long-grain rice since early 1994, when Japan made its substantial emergency
imports due to a very weak 1993 harvest. After increasing the U.S. free alongside
vessel (FAS) price to reflect an FOB price, the U.S. price difference over
comparable grades of Thailands rice was $139 per ton for the week ending
November 27, up from about $65 at the start of August. The current difference is
75 percent larger than the 1998-2007 average.
Price quotes for California milled rice continue to increase, despite a larger
California crop and expectation of a larger carryout in 2007/08. A major factor
boosting California prices is the expectation of a very small Australian harvest in
April and May 2008 that will sharply reduce Australias exports. In fact, Australia
is projected to be a net importer of rice in 2008. Australia has historically been a
major competitor of the United States in the global medium/short-grain market,

24
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Figure 16

U.S. export prices have risen 24 percent since early August


$/ton (milled rice)

500
U.S. long grain, No. 2, 4%

400
Thai 100% grade B

300
Vietnam, 5 percent 1/

200
100
0
Au

4
g-0

n-0
Ja

5
Au

5
g-0

n-0
Ja

6
Au

6
g-0

7
n-0
Ja

Au

7
7
g-0 ov-0
N

Monthly prices are simple average of weekly quotes. All prices quoted free-on-board
vessel. 1/ Double water-polished. No quotes for private sales November-December
2005, and mid-November 2006 through February 2007. Since mid-September 2007, the
government has sharply limited new sales.
Sources: Thai price quotes, Thailand Grain and Feed Weekly Rice Price Update, U.S. Ag
Counselor, Bangkok; U.S. and Vietnam price quotes, Creed Rice Market Report.

supplying most of the rice purchased by Oceania and accounting for a significant
share of the Northeast Asian WTO purchases. For the week ending November 27,
export prices for No. 1, 4-percent brokens California medium-grain milled rice
(sacked, FOB vessel, Oakland) were quoted at $584 per ton, up 10 percent from the
beginning of August and the highest since the spring of 1994 when Japan made its
emergency purchases.

25
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Global Rice Trade Is Projected To Be the Highest on Record in 2008


Global rice trade in 2008 is projected at 29.6 million tons, up 3 percent from a year
earlier and the highest on record. Asia, the Middle East, Sub-Saharan Africa, and
Oceania are all projected to increase imports in 2008, as production has not kept
pace with consumption growth. Iraq, Bangladesh, Australia, Afghanistan, Cuba,
China, and the Philippines are all projected to increase imports by 100,000 tons or
more in 2008. The increases will be partially offset by weaker imports by Iran,
Indonesia, Malaysia, Turkey, and Haiti. On the export side, Thailand, Vietnam,
and China account for most of the expected increase in global exports. In contrast,
India and Australia are projected to reduce exports in 2008.

Asia, Middle East, Oceania, and Sub-Saharan Africa


Are Projected To Increase Imports in 2008
By region, South Asia accounts for the largest share of the 0.9 million-ton increase
in global imports in 2008. Imports by South Asia are projected at nearly 1.2 million
tons in 2008, up 28 percent from a year earlier. Bangladesh, the largest importer in
the region, is projected to increase imports 150,000 tons to 800,000 tons, a result of
tight supplies and production concerns. The 2007/08 the Aus rice crop (planted in
March and April) was affected by floods during the harvesting season, while the
next cropthe Aman cropwas affected by repeated floods during planting in July
and August. Bangladeshs third cropits high-yielding Boro cropis not planted
until December-January. In addition, Afghanistan is projected to increase imports
100,000 tons to 250,000 tons due to declining supplies.
Figure 17

Global rice imports are projected to increase 3 percent


in 2008
Million tons (milled basis)

32

Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America 1/

Rest-of-world 2/

28
24
20
16
12
8
4
0
1992

94

96

98

00

02

04

06

08

1/ Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean, and South America. 2007 and 2008 are
forecasts. 2/ Includes imports not assigned a specific country.
Source: Production, Supply, and Distribution data base, Foreign Agricultural Service,
USDA, http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd.

26
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

In East Asia, imports are projected to increase 215,000 tons to 2.55 million tons.
Chinas imports are projected to increase 100,000 tons to 700,000, with Thailands
jasmine rice accounting for most of the increase. Japans imports are projected at
700,000 tons, up 50,000 from 2007, a result of the timing of Japans WTO imports.
Taiwans imports are projected to increase 65,000 tons to 166,000, also based on
the timing of its WTO purchases. South Koreas imports are forecast at 265,000
tons in 2008, unchanged from this year. All imports by Japan, South Korea, and
Taiwan are purchased under WTO commitments. North Koreas rice imports in
2008 are projected at 400,000 tons, unchanged from 2007. All of North Koreas
rice imports are donations.
Southeast Asia is second only to Sub-Saharan Africa as a rice-importing region. In
2008, Southeast Asia is projected to import 5.3 million tons of rice, down 300,000
from this year. Indonesia accounts for most of the declineat 1.6 million tons,
Indonesias imports are 300,000 tons below this year. Malaysias imports are
projected to drop 100,000 tons to 700,000 in 2008. In contrast, the Philippines are
projected to increase imports 100,000 tons to 1.9 million due to rising demand and a
slightly smaller crop.
Sub-Saharan Africa, the largest rice-importing region in the world, is projected to
import 7.64 million tons in 2008, up less than 2 percent from a year earlier.
Nigerias imports are projected to remain at 1.7 million tons, South Africas to
increase 50,000 tons to a near-record 950,000, Senegals to remain at 800,000 tons,
Cote DIvoires to remain at 750,000 tons, and Ghanas to remain at 450,000 tons.
These are the top buyers in the region. Record production in the region and high
global trading prices are behind the small increase in rice imports projected for SubSaharan Africa.
Figure 18

Sub-Saharan Africa, East and South Asia, and the Middle East are
projected to import more rice in 2008
Sub-Saharan Africa
Southeast Asia
Middle East
East Asia

2006

South Asia
2007

Latin America

2008

EU-27
North America
0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Million tons (milled basis)


2007 estimates. 2008 projections. These 8 regions account for about 99 percent of
global imports.
Source: Production, Supply, and Distribution data base, Foreign Agricultural Service,
USDA, http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd.

27
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

The Middle East is typically the third-largest global market for rice. The Middle
East is projected to increase imports 140,000 tons to 4.3 million in 2008. Iraqs
imports are projected to increase 400,000 tons to 1.1 million, partly due to slow
buying in 2007. Saudi Arabia is projected to import 1.15 million tons of rice in
2008, up more than 50,000 tons from 2007. Saudi Arabia produces no rice. In
contrast, Iran is projected to reduce imports 300,000 tons to 900,000, partly due to
record production and adequate supplies. Despite a smaller crop, Turkey is
projected to reduce exports 50,000 tons to 200,000 tons, also a result of adequate
supplies.
Rice imports by Latin America (South America, Central America, the Caribbean,
and Mexico) are projected nearly flat in 2008 at 3.55 million tons. Both South and
Central America are projected to import less rice in 2008. At 800,000 tons, Brazil
is the largest buyer in the region. Brazils rice imports are unchanged from 2007.
Cuba is projected to boost imports 100,000 tons to 700,000 tons in 2008, in the face
of rising consumption and stagnant production. Cuba accounts for virtually all of
the projected import expansion in the Caribbean. In contrast, Haitis imports are
projected to decline 50,000 tons to 300,000 tons, a result of higher trading prices
and adequate supplies. Mexicos exports are projected to continue a long-term
rising trend, increasing 25,000 tons to a record 625,000 tons. Imports account for a
growing share of Mexicos domestic disappearance.
EU-27 imports are projected at 1.1 million tons in 2008, unchanged from a year
earlier. Production and consumption are virtually unchanged as well. Oceania is
projected to increase imports 165,000 tons to a record 425,000 tons, with Australia
accounting for almost all of the increase. Australia is projected to import a record
275,000 tons of rice in 2008, based on expectations of a very small harvest. The
Figure 19

Iraqs imports are projected to increase 0.4 million tons in 2008


Major importers
Indonesia
Nigeria
Philippines
Iraq
2006

Iran
2007

Senegal

2008

Saudi Arabia
Brazil
0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Million tons (milled basis)


2007 estimates. 2008 projections. These eight countries account for about 35
percent of global imports.
Source: Production, Supply, and Distribution data base, Foreign Agricultural Service,
USDA, http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd.

28
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

countries of the former Soviet Union are expected to increase imports 80,000 tons to
436,000 tons, with Russia accounting for nearly all of the increase, the result of a
tightening supply situation. Finally, U.S. 2008 rice imports are projected at a record
700,000 tons, up 25,000 tons from a year earlier, mostly due to increasing demand
for Thailands jasmine rice.

Thailand, Vietnam, China, and Pakistan


Are Projected To Export More Rice in 2008
Among the top six rice exporting countriesThailand, Vietnam, India, the United
States, Pakistan, and Chinaonly India is projected to export less rice in 2008 than
a year earlier. The other five are all projected to boost exports in 2008.
Thailandthe world's largest rice-exporting countryis projected to export 9.0
million tons of rice in 2008, up 500,000 from this year. Despite the increase,
Thailands exports would still be more than 1.0 million tons below its 2004 record.
Thailand exports high-, medium-, and low-quality regular milled white rice, highquality parboiled rice, and its premium jasmine rice. Thailand is also an exporter of
glutinous rice, a specialty rice popular in specific markets, mostly in Asia.
Vietnam is the world's second-largest rice exporter and is projected to export 5.0
million tons in 2008, up 400,000 tons from this year, but still slightly below its
2005 record of 5.2 million tons. Vietnam almost exclusively exports long-grain
milled rice, mostly in the medium- and low-quality categories, and is a big supplier
to Southeast Asia and Cuba. However, Vietnam is working on improving the
quality of its rice exports and has increased shipments of its high-quality doublewater-polished 5-percent brokens to higher income buyers.
The United States, once the worlds largest rice exporting country, currently ranks
number four. In 2008, the United States is projected to export 3.4 million tons of
rice, up 100,000 tons from a year earlier, but still below the 2005 record of nearly
3.9 million tons. The United States ships long-, medium-, and short-grain rice into
global markets, with long-grain accounting for more than 75 percent of U.S.
shipments. Almost one-third of U.S. exports are shipped as rough (or unmilled)
rice. The United States is the only major exporter that allows rough-rice exports.
The U.S. also ships parboiled rice and brown rice (rice with the hull removed, but
the bran layer remaining).
Pakistan is projected to export 3.2 million tons of rice in 2008, up 200,000 from
2007, but still below the 2006 record of 3.6 million. Pakistan has increased
production and exports in recent years. Pakistan is the only major Asian country
where rice is not the staple of the diet for most citizens. This allows Pakistan to
export more than half its crop annually. Pakistan mostly exports low-quality longgrain milled rice (described as coarse rice due to its texture) to low-income markets,
mostly in East Africa. Pakistan also exports smaller quantities of its premium
basmati rice, with the EU-27 a major buyer.

29
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

China is projected to increase exports 300,000 tons in 2008 to 1.6 million, a result
of adequate supplies, a drought in Australia, and the impact in early 2008 of recent
export bans imposed by Vietnam and India. Despite the expected increase, Chinas
exports are well below levels shipped before 2004. Chinas exports decreased in
2004 and 2005 due to declining supplies. China reversed its grain policies in 2004
to encourage larger rice plantings, and the program was successful. Exports have
increased each year since 2006. China exports both high-quality medium/short
ricemostly to Japan and South Koreaand low-quality long-grain rice to SubSaharan Africa and some low-income Asian markets. Recently, China has shipped
japonica rice to markets in Oceania previously supplied by Australia.
In contrast to these exporters, India is projected to reduce exports 600,000 tons in
2008 to 3.4 million. Much of the reduction is due to the ban announced on October
9, on exports of rice priced less than $425 per ton (essentially allowing only basmati
exports). The ban was invoked to ensure adequate supplies of rice for the domestic
market and to rebuild stocks. India is expected to resume exports early in 2008.
India exports a premium-priced basmati rice to higher income countries, highquality parboiled rice to middle-income countries, and low-quality, non-aromatic
long-grain rice (described as coarse rice) to developing countries.
Among the smaller exporters, Egypt is projected to export a record 1.1 million tons
in 2008, up 100,000 from a year earlier. Egypt has likely reached a limit on its
exports, as rice area and yield are already the highest on record, with Egypts yields
the highest in the world. Egypt has a large and growing population to feed.
Irrigation water for rice is fully subsidized by the government of Egypt. Egypt
exports almost exclusively high-quality medium/short-grain rice.
Australia, once a major exporter of medium/short-grain rice, is projected to ship just
40,000 tons in 2008, down from 200,000 in 2007 and the smallest since 1962.
Australia exported more than 500,000 tons a year during much of the 1990s. Severe
drought during 4 of the last 5 years has cut Australias export potential.
Uruguay is projected to export a near-record 800,000 tons of rice in 2008, up
175,000 tons from this year, a result of record supplies and stronger demand from
Brazil, Uruguays major buyer. Argentinas exports are projected to remain at
500,000 tons in 2008. Like Uruguay, Argentina has large supplies and is dependent
on Brazil for much of its business. Both countries export the bulk of their rice crop
and have the potential to expand area if net returns are sufficient. Guyanas exports
are projected at 180,000 tons, down 50,000 from 2007, mostly due to a lack of price
competitiveness in global markets. The EU-27 and the Caribbean are the top
markets for Guyanas rice.
In Asia, Cambodia is projected to export 450,000 tons, unchanged from the 2007.
These are the largest exports for Cambodia since the early 1960s. Cambodia has
boosted production since 2005/06 after decades of decline, stagnation, and
lackluster growth. Burmas exports are projected at a paltry 50,000 tons, up just
10,000 from this year. Until the mid-1960s, Burma typically exported more than a
million tons of rice per year. The current policy in Burma does not support

30
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

significant rice exports. Japan is projected to export 200,000 tons of rice in 2008,
all as food aid and unchanged from this year. South Korea is projected to donate
150,000 tons of rice in 2008, mostly to North Korea, fractionally below this year.
Neither Japan nor South Korea are price competitive in the global rice markets.
Finally, the EU-27 is projected to export 150,000 tons of rice in 2008, virtually
unchanged from recent years. Except for the high-quality Italian Arboria rice, the
EU-27 is not price-competitive in most commercial markets. Most of the EU-27s
rice exports are donations, shipped to former colonies, or are subsidized.
Figure 20

Indias exports are projected to decline in 2007 and 2008

Major exporters
Thailand
Vietnam
2006

India
2007

United States

2008

Pakistan
China
0

10

Million tons (milled basis)


2007 and 2008 are projections. These six countries account for more than 85 percent of
global rice exports.
Source: Production, Supply, and Distribution data base, Foreign Agricultural Service,
USDA, http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd.

31
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

List of Tables

Tables
1. U.S. rice production, supply, use, and season-average farm price,
total rice and by class
2. Rough and milled rice (rough equivalent): Marketing year supply
and disappearance.
3. Long-grain rough and milled rice (rough equivalent): Marketing
year supply and disappearance..........
4. Medium/short-grain rough and milled rice (rough equivalent):
Marketing year supply and disappearance ....
5. Rough rice milled, total milled produced, and milling yields,
United States......
6. U.S. rice milling rates....
7. Rice stocks: Rough and milled..
8. State and U.S. rice production by class.....
9. State and U.S. rice acreage, yield, and production, by class.
10. State and U.S. rice area planted, by class..
11. U.S. rice acreage, yield, and production....
12. U.S. and State average rice yields per harvested acre...
13. Proportional distribution of rice production, by class,
United States..
14. Use and ending stocks for rice, United States...
15. Ending stocks, prices, and payment rates for rice..
16. Class loan rates and differentials...
17. Adjusted world rice price, loan rate basis.....
18. Rough rice: Acreage price received by farmers by month and
marketing year....
19. Milled rice: Average price, f.o.b. mills, selected milling
centers....
20. Rice byproducts: Monthly average price, Southwest
Louisiana........
21. Brewers prices: Monthly average price for Arkansas brewers
rice.....
22. Thailand milled rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok...
23. Milled rice export prices, major exporters.
24. World rice supply and utilization...
25. World rice trade (milled basis): Exports and imports for selected
countries and regions.....
26. U.S. rice exports by type............
27. U.S. rice exports by program.
28. Top-10 U.S. rice export markets....
29. U.S. rice imports by origin, market years..

33
34
35
36
37
38
39
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
59
60
67
70
71
78
87
88
89
90
91
92

32
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 1--U.S. rice production, supply, use, and season-average farm price, total rice and by class 1/
Item
Total rice:
Area planted
Area harvested
Yield
Beginning stocks 4/
Production
Imports
Total supply

Unit

Mil. acres
"
Pounds/acre
Mil. cwt
"
"
"

2000/01

2001/02

2002/03

2003/04

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

200708

2/

3/

3.060
3.039
6,281

3.334
3.314
6,496

3.240
3.207
6,578

3.022
2.997
6,670

3.347
3.325
6,988

3.384
3.364
6,636

2.838
2.821
6,868

2.748
2.731
7,247

27.477
190.872
10.850
229.199

28.484
215.270
13.191
256.945

38.979
210.960
14.834
264.773

26.768
199.897
15.042
241.707

23.683
232.362
13.204
269.490

37.710
223.235
17.134
278.079

42.992
193.736
20.588
257.316

39.309
197.911
21.500
258.720

Domestic & residual use 5/


Exports 6/
Total use

"
"
"

117.501
83.214
200.715

123.262
94.704
217.966

113.408
124.597
238.005

114.954
103.070
218.024

122.692
108.847
231.539

120.234
114.853
235.087

126.701
91.306
218.007

124.654
107.000
231.654

Ending stocks 4/

"

28.484

38.979

26.768

23.683

37.710

42.992

39.309

27.066

5.61

4.25

4.49

8.08

7.33

7.65

9.74

10.75-11.25

2.189
5,882

2.697
6,213

2.512
6,260

2.310
6,451

2.571
6,630

2.734
6,493

2.186
6,689

N/A
N/A

Mil. cwt
"
"

15.615
128.756
153.123

11.638
167.555
188.348

26.798
157.243
194.078

15.683
149.011
174.484

10.326
170.445
191.286

22.739
177.527
212.520

32.671
146.214
193.140

28.535
142.623
186.158

Domestic & residual use 5/


Exports 6/
Total use

"
"
"

76.165
65.320
141.485

87.722
73.828
161.550

78.893
99.502
178.395

83.430
80.728
164.158

84.735
83.812
168.547

87.857
91.992
179.849

91.960
72.645
164.605

89.000
84.000
173.000

Ending stocks 8/

"

11.638

26.798

15.683

10.326

22.739

32.671

28.535

13.158

5.84

4.10

4.15

7.60

7.34

7.30

NA

NA

0.850
7,308

0.617
7,733

0.695
7,729

0.687
7,407

0.754
8,212

0.630
7,255

0.635
7,484

NA
NA

Mil. cwt
"
"

10.428
62.116
74.829

15.599
47.715
67.087

10.672
53.717
68.883

9.281
50.886
66.227

12.361
61.917
76.818

13.826
45.708
64.682

9.445
47.522
63.419

10.016
55.288
71.805

Domestic & residual use 5/


Exports 6/
Total use

"
"
"

41.336
17.894
59.230

35.539
20.876
56.415

34.507
25.095
59.602

31.524
22.342
53.866

37.957
25.035
62.992

32.376
22.861
55.237

34.742
18.661
53.403

35.654
23.000
58.654

Ending stocks 8/

"

15.599

10.672

9.281

12.361

13.826

9.445

10.016

13.151

Average farm price price 7/


Long grain:
Area harvested
Yield
Beginning stocks 8/
Production
Total supply 9/

Average farm price price 10/


Medium/short grain:
Area harvested
Yield
Beginning stocks 7/
Production
Total supply 9/

$/cwt

Mil. acres
Pounds/acre

$/cwt

Mil. acres
Pounds/acre

Average farm price price 10/

$/cwt

5.15

4.82

5.90

9.94

7.29

9.49

NA

NA

Ending stocks difference 11/

Mil. cwt

1.25

1.51

1.80

1.00

1.15

0.88

0.76

0.76

NA = Not available. Note: All quantities are reported on rough-equivalent basis. Totals may not add due to rounding.
1/ August 1 to July 31 marketing year. 2/ Estimated. 3/ Projected as of November 2007. 4/ Includes broken kernels not included in
estimates of stocks by class. 5/ Residual includes unreported uses, processing losses, and estimating errors. 6/ Total of rough, milled,
and brown rice exports reported on a rough-equivalent basis. 7/ W eighted season-average farm price for rough rice.
8/ Does not included stocks of brokens. Broken stocks are not designated by class. 9/ Includes imports.
10/ Prices by class reported by NASS in January 2007. Price is the marketing year weighted average price received by farmers.
11/ Total reported ending stocks minus ending stocks reported by class. The difference equals ending stocks of broken rice.
Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats and W orld Agricultural Outlook Board, WASDE .

33
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 2--Rough and milled rice (rough equivalent): Marketing year supply and disappearance
Supply
Year
beginning
Aug. 1

Disappearance

Begin-

Ending stocks--July 31

Domestic use

ning

Produc-

stocks

tion

Imports

Total

Food, industrial
and residual

Exports
Seed

Total

Total

CCC

disap-

inven-

pearance

tory

Stocks-toFree

Total

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Million cwt - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

use ratio
Percent

1970/71

16.4

83.8

1.4

101.6

34.0

2.5

36.5

46.5

83.0

9.5

9.1

18.6

22.4

1971/72

18.6

85.8

1.1

105.5

34.7

2.5

37.2

56.9

94.1

2.7

8.7

11.4

12.1

1972/73

11.4

85.4

0.5

97.3

35.2

3.0

38.2

54.0

92.2

0.1

5.0

5.1

5.5

1973/74

5.1

92.8

0.2

98.1

37.0

3.6

40.6

49.7

90.3

0.0

7.8

7.8

8.6

1974/75

7.8

112.4

0.0

120.2

39.6

4.0

43.6

69.5

113.1

0.0

7.1

7.1

6.3

1975/76

7.1

128.4

0.0

135.5

38.6

3.5

42.1

56.5

98.6

18.7

18.2

36.9

37.4

1976/77

36.9

115.6

0.0

152.5

43.2

3.2

46.4

65.6

112.0

18.6

21.9

40.5

36.1

1977/78

40.5

99.2

0.1

139.8

35.3

4.3

39.6

72.8

112.4

10.8

16.6

27.4

24.4

1978/79

27.4

133.2

0.1

160.7

49.1

4.3

53.4

75.7

129.1

8.3

23.3

31.6

24.5

1979/80

31.6

131.9

0.1

163.6

49.8

4.8

54.6

83.3

137.9

1.7

24.0

25.7

18.6

1980/81

25.7

146.2

0.2

172.1

57.3

5.1

62.4

93.1

155.6

0.0

16.5

16.5

10.6

1981/82

16.5

182.7

0.4

199.6

63.9

4.4

68.3

82.3

150.7

17.5

31.5

49.0

32.5

1982/83

49.0

153.6

0.7

203.3

59.8

3.2

63.0

68.8

131.8

22.3

49.1

71.4

54.2

1983/84

71.4

99.7

0.9

172.0

51.5

3.3

54.8

70.3

125.1

25.0

21.9

46.9

37.5

1984/85

46.9

138.8

1.6

187.3

57.4

3.1

60.5

62.1

122.6

44.3

20.4

64.7

52.8

1985/86

64.7

134.9

2.2

201.8

62.9

2.9

65.8

58.7

124.5

43.6

33.7

77.3

62.1

1986/87

77.3

133.4

2.6

213.3

74.7

2.9

77.6

84.2

161.8

9.1

42.3

51.4

31.8

1987/88

51.4

129.6

3.0

184.0

76.8

3.6

80.4

72.2

152.6

0.0

31.4

31.4

20.6

1988/89

31.4

159.9

3.8

195.1

79.0

3.4

82.4

85.9

168.3

0.0

26.7

26.7

15.9

1989/90

26.7

154.5

4.4

185.6

78.3

3.6

81.9

77.4

159.3

0.0

26.3

26.3

16.5

1990/91

26.3

156.1

4.8

187.2

87.6

3.6

91.2

71.4

162.6

0.1

24.5

24.6

15.1

1991/92

24.6

159.4

5.3

189.3

91.4

3.9

95.3

66.5

161.9

0.4

27.0

27.4

16.9

1992/93

27.4

179.7

6.2

213.3

91.0

3.6

94.6

79.2

173.8

0.1

39.3

39.4

22.7

1993/94

39.4

156.1

6.9

202.5

93.8

4.1

98.0

78.6

176.6

0.0

25.9

25.9

14.7

1994/95

25.9

197.8

8.1

231.8

94.5

3.9

98.4

101.8

200.2

0.1

31.5

31.6

15.8

1995/96

31.6

173.9

7.7

213.2

101.4

3.5

104.9

83.2

188.2

0.0

25.0

25.0

13.3

1996/97

25.0

171.6

10.5

207.2

97.7

3.9

101.6

78.3

179.9

0.0

27.2

27.2

15.1

1997/98

27.2

183.0

9.3

219.5

99.9

4.1

103.9

87.7

191.6

0.0

27.9

27.9

14.6

1998/99

27.9

184.4

10.6

223.0

109.7

4.4

114.0

86.8

200.9

0.0

22.1

22.1

11.0

1999/00

22.1

206.0

10.1

238.2

118.1

3.8

121.9

88.8

210.7

0.0

27.5

27.5

13.0

2000/01

27.5

190.9

10.9

229.2

113.4

4.1

117.5

83.2

200.7

0.0

28.5

28.5

14.2

2001/02

28.5

215.3

13.2

256.9

119.3

4.0

123.3

94.7

218.0

0.0

39.0

39.0

17.9

2002/03

39.0

211.0

14.8

264.8

109.7

3.7

113.4

124.6

238.0

0.0

26.8

26.8

11.2

2003/04

26.8

199.9

15.0

241.7

110.8

4.1

115.0

103.1

218.0

0.0

23.7

23.7

10.9

2004/05

23.7

232.4

13.2

269.2

118.5

4.2

122.7

108.8

231.5

0.0

37.7

37.7

16.3

2005/06

37.7

223.2

17.1

278.1

116.7

3.5

120.2

114.9

235.1

0.0

43.0

43.0

18.3

2006/07

43.0

193.7

20.6

257.3

123.3

3.4

126.7

91.3

218.0

0.0

34.5

39.3

18.0

2007/08 1/

39.3

197.9

21.5

258.7

121.2

3.5

124.7

107.0

231.1

N/A

27.0

27.1

11.7

N/A = Not available.


1/ Projected as of November 2007.
Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats and World Agricultural Outlook Board, WASDE .

34
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 3--Long-grain rough and milled rice (rough equivalent): Marketing year supply and disappearance
Supply 1/
Year beginning
August 1

Disappearance

Beginning
stocks

Ending stocks 1/

Domestic and
Production

Total 2/

residual

Stocks-toExports

Total

Total

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Million cwt - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

use ratio
Percent

1982/83
1983/84

17.6
25.8

93.4
64.3

111.5
90.7

35.5
29.5

50.2
44.8

85.7
74.3

25.8
16.4

30.1
22.1

1984/85
1985/86

16.4
37.7

96.0
100.4

113.8
140.1

34.1
48.8

42.0
42.0

76.1
90.8

37.7
49.3

49.5
54.3

1986/87
1987/88

49.3
27.4

96.8
89.0

148.5
119.1

51.2
49.5

69.9
50.5

121.1
100.0

27.4
19.1

22.6
19.1

1988/89
1989/90

19.1
15.4

119.4
109.2

141.9
128.6

55.5
48.3

71.0
67.0

126.5
115.3

15.4
13.2

12.2
11.5

1990/91
1991/92

13.2
11.5

107.8
109.1

125.3
125.3

52.2
56.8

61.6
55.6

113.8
112.4

11.5
13.0

10.1
11.6

1992/93
1993/94

13.0
21.6

128.0
103.1

146.4
130.5

55.0
56.7

69.8
58.6

124.8
115.3

21.6
15.2

17.3
13.1

1994/95
1995/96

15.2
14.6

133.4
121.7

155.5
142.7

57.2
67.1

83.7
65.5

140.9
132.6

14.6
10.1

10.3
7.6

1996/97
1997/98

10.1
14.1

113.6
124.5

132.9
146.5

61.3
59.7

57.4
72.3

118.7
132.0

14.1
14.5

11.9
11.0

1998/99
1999/00

14.5
14.1

139.3
151.9

162.2
173.5

76.7
87.6

71.4
70.3

148.2
157.9

14.1
15.6

9.5
9.9

2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08 3/

15.6
11.6
26.8
15.7
10.3
22.7
32.7
28.5

128.8
167.6
157.2
149.0
170.4
177.5
146.2
142.6

153.1
188.3
194.1
174.5
191.3
212.5
193.1
186.2

76.2
87.7
78.9
83.4
84.7
87.9
92.0
89.0

65.3
73.8
99.5
80.7
83.8
92.0
72.6
84.0

141.5
161.6
178.4
164.2
168.5
179.9
164.6
173.0

11.6
26.8
15.7
10.3
22.7
32.7
28.5
13.2

8.2
16.6
8.8
6.3
13.5
18.2
17.3
7.6

1/ Stocks and total supply by grain size do not sum to total rice stocks or supply due to the exclusion of broken kernel rice in estimates of stocks
by grain size. 2/ Includes imports. 3/ Projected as of November 2007.
Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats and World Agricultural Outlook Board, WASDE .

35
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 4--Medium/short-grain rough and milled rice (rough equivalent): Marketing year supply and disappearance
Supply 1/
Year beginning
August 1

Disappearance

Beginning
stocks

Ending stocks 1/

Domestic and
Production

Total 2/

residual

Stocks-toExports

Total

Total

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Million cwt - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

use ratio
Percent

1982/83
1983/84

30.2
44.7

60.2
35.4

90.6
81.4

24.2
27.1

21.9
25.5

46.1
52.6

44.7
28.8

97.0
54.8

1984/85
1985/86

28.8
25.7

42.8
34.5

73.5
61.7

27.7
18.8

20.1
16.7

47.8
35.5

25.7
26.2

53.8
73.8

1986/87
1987/88

26.2
21.1

36.6
40.6

61.8
63.5

26.4
31.0

14.3
21.7

40.7
52.7

21.1
10.8

51.8
20.6

1988/89
1989/90

10.8
9.0

40.5
45.3

50.8
55.6

26.9
33.6

14.9
10.4

41.8
44.0

9.0
11.6

21.4
26.5

1990/91
1991/92

11.6
11.7

48.3
50.2

60.5
62.4

39.0
38.6

9.8
10.9

48.8
49.5

11.7
12.9

23.9
26.1

1992/93
1993/94

12.9
15.8

51.6
53.0

64.9
71.3

39.6
41.3

9.5
20.0

49.0
61.3

15.8
10.0

32.3
16.4

1994/95
1995/96

10.0
15.9

64.3
52.1

75.2
69.9

41.2
37.9

18.1
17.7

59.3
55.6

15.9
14.3

26.8
25.7

1996/97
1997/98

14.3
12.1

58.0
58.5

73.3
71.9

40.3
44.2

20.9
15.4

61.2
59.6

12.1
12.3

19.8
20.7

1998/99
1999/00

12.3
6.8

45.1
54.2

59.6
63.3

37.4
34.3

15.4
18.6

52.8
52.9

6.8
10.4

12.9
19.7

2000/01
2001/02

10.4
15.6

62.1
47.7

74.8
67.1

41.3
35.5

17.9
20.9

59.2
56.4

15.6
10.7

26.3
18.9

2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08 3/

10.7
9.3
12.4
13.8
9.4
10.0

53.7
50.9
61.9
45.7
47.5
55.3

68.9
66.2
76.8
64.7
63.4
71.8

34.5
31.5
38.0
32.4
34.7
35.7

25.1
22.3
25.0
22.9
18.7
23.0

59.6
53.9
63.0
55.2
53.4
58.7

9.3
12.4
13.8
9.4
10.0
13.2

15.6
22.9
21.9
17.1
18.8
22.4

1/ Stocks and total supply by grain size do not sum to total rice stocks or supply due to the exclusion of broken kernel rice in estimates of
stocks by grain rice. 2/ Includes imports. 3/ Projected as of November 2007.
Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats and World Agricultural Outlook Board, WASDE .

36
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook /RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 5--Rough rice milled, total milled rice produced, and milling rates, United States
Year beginning

Rough rice

Total milled rice

Total milling

Total head rice

Head rice

August 1

milled

produced 1/

rate

produced 1/

milling rate

Lb/cwt

1,000 cwt

Lb/cwt

1978/79
1979/80
1980/81

117,961
123,993
141,016

83,427
89,071
102,278

70.72
71.84
72.53

68,749
78,327
89,513

58.30
63.20
63.50

1981/82
1982/83
1983/84

131,841
118,726
111,151

95,129
84,517
79,012

72.15
71.19
71.10

82,022
73,713
68,237

62.20
62.10
61.40

1984/85
1985/86
1986/87

107,195
115,542
140,804

74,580
81,808
100,257

69.60
70.78
71.20

64,063
69,347
83,760

59.80
60.00
59.50

1987/88
1988/89
1989/90

130,818
145,639
136,994

91,481
104,119
99,453

69.93
71.49
72.60

76,863
86,820
85,188

58.80
59.60
62.20

1990/91
1991/92
1992/93

132,523
129,796
139,556

95,431
91,521
97,707

72.00
70.50
70.00

79,993
76,685
82,182

60.40
59.10
58.89

1993/94
1994/95
1995/96

144,602
161,177
146,541

103,184
114,689
104,569

71.36
71.16
71.36

88,372
97,455
91,073

61.11
60.46
62.15

1996/97
1997/98
1998/99

141,345
140,096
142,737

99,026
97,042
98,915

70.06
69.27
69.30

86,776
84,528
85,795

61.39
60.34
60.11

1999/00
2000/01
2001/02

153,679
148,274
147,138

106,940
101,745
101,174

69.58
68.62
68.76

91,735
86,291
86,527

59.69
58.20
58.81

2002/03
2003/04
2004/05

155,745
138,020
142,537

106,364
97,706
100,923

68.30
70.80
70.80

91,334
84,500
87,729

58.64
61.22
61.55

2005/06
2006/07 2/

154,111
125,414

108,257
89,043

70.25
71.00

93,257
77,055

60.51
61.44

- - - - 1,000 cwt - - - -

1/ Includes brown rice.

2/ U.S. milling rate revised from a preliminary 71.10 reported in November 2007.

Source: Rice Millers' Association.

37
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 6--U.S. rice milling rates 1/


Year beginning
August 1

South 2/

California

United States

Lb/cwt
1974/75
1975/76
1976/77

71.15
69.31
71.95

74.60
73.88
72.80

71.93
70.38
72.11

1977/78
1978/79
1979/80

69.28
70.50
70.88

69.56
71.69
74.43

69.33
70.72
71.84

1980/81
1981/82
1982/83

70.78
71.56
71.07

77.61
74.99
69.21

72.53
72.15
71.19

1983/84
1984/85
1985/86

71.07
70.50
70.44

71.62
66.90
71.90

71.10
69.60
70.78

1986/87
1987/88
1988/89

71.71
70.96
72.07

65.38
67.37
69.40

71.20
69.93
71.49

1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

72.66
72.38
70.80

72.36
70.59
69.53

72.60
72.00
70.50

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95

70.53
70.64
71.54

68.17
73.31
69.76

70.00
71.36
71.16

1995/96
1996/97
1997/98

71.53
70.38
69.80

70.79
69.26
67.76

71.36
70.06
69.27

1998/99
1999/00
2000/01

69.58
69.96
68.30

68.63
68.11
69.74

69.30
69.58
68.62

2001/02
2002/03
2003/04

69.41
68.64
70.53

66.28
66.90
72.05

68.76
68.30
70.80

2004/05
2005/06
2006/07 3/

71.13
70.27
71.08

68.66
70.23
70.76

70.80
70.25
71.00

1/ Milled rice--head rice and brokens--produced per 100 pounds of rough rice milled. 2/ Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri,
and Texas. 3/ U.S. milling rate revised from a preliminary 71.10 reported in November 2007.
Source: Rice Millers' Association.

38
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 7--Rice stocks: Rough and milled 1/


Rough

Milled

Off farm

Date

On farms

At mills and

Warehouses

or in farm

in attached

(not attached

warehouses warehouses

In ports or

Total

At mills and

Warehouses

in attached

(not attached

In ports or

Total

to mills)
in transit
Total
all positions
warehouses
to mills)
in transit
all positions
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Million cwt - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

December 1:
1990

37,662

9,548

65,905

52

75,505

113,167

4,046

605

1,180

1991

37,249

9,630

66,857

54

76,541

113,790

3,564

495

351

5,831
4,410

1992

39,966

14,434

76,887

196

91,517

131,483

3,580

855

1,882

6,317

1993

24,164

13,624

70,789

668

85,081

109,245

3,849

192

840

4,881

1994

41,223

15,682

83,713

693

100,088

141,311

3,290

511

1,044

4,845

1995

32,936

12,561

74,951

883

88,242

121,178

4,368

331

1,010

5,709

1996

32,719

13,228

72,321

801

86,350

119,069

4,056

280

1,315

5,651

1997

33,470

13,505

76,302

1,066

90,873

124,343

4,144

101

1,437

5,682

1998

35,584

10,631

74,532

231

85,394

120,978

3,861

128

1,427

5,416

1999

50,185

11,112

78,012

67

89,191

139,376

3,679

185

721

4,585

2000

38,085

13,174

81,613

1,055

95,842

133,927

4,373

115

1,874

6,362

2001

52,680

13,033

88,127

721

101,881

154,561

4,640

187

1,080

5,907

2002

53,220

14,251

88,421

1,178

103,850

157,070

4,814

117

2,550

7,481

2003

43,165

13,295

77,989

870

92,154

135,319

4,859

118

1,639

6,616

2004

57,545

15,232

92,534

1,349

109,151

166,696

3,379

48

1,214

4,641

2005

58,630

N/A

N/A

N/A

101,518

160,148

N/A

N/A

N/A

5,940

2006

52,420

N/A

N/A

N/A

97,706

150,126

N/A

N/A

N/A

4,004

April 1:
1983

23,778

22,307

62,649

299

85,255

109,033

3,295

492

3,165

1984

15,802

17,432

46,515

17

63,964

79,766

3,838

464

2,999

6,952
7,301

1985

18,709

16,438

60,188

707

77,333

96,042

3,538

481

2,101

6,120

1986

22,232

19,371

73,700

914

93,985

116,217

2,818

425

208

3,451

1989

27,266

12,704

49,439

641

62,784

90,050

5,589

189

1,502

7,280

1990

15,965

10,390

51,381

218

61,989

77,954

5,259

327

410

5,996

1991

19,345

9,404

43,554

124

53,082

72,427

4,002

408

858

5,268

1992

20,658

8,283

46,631

211

55,125

75,783

3,888

837

952

5,677

1993

22,397

11,900

57,197

187

69,284

91,681

3,474

643

1,075

5,192

1994

11,703

15,056

52,697

147

67,900

79,603

4,232

1,010

563

5,805

1995

23,239

12,793

59,271

622

72,686

95,925

4,078

349

1,192

5,619

1996

20,520

11,102

53,283

941

65,326

85,846

3,072

148

479

3,699

1997

16,003

13,112

49,519

1,510

64,141

80,144

3,590

381

640

4,611

1998

21,205

11,736

54,449

661

66,846

88,051

4,453

344

1,082

5,879

1999

22,290

9,745

47,409

806

57,960

80,250

3,700

172

472

4,344

2000

27,212

11,787

50,969

269

63,025

90,237

3,526

128

916

4,570

2001

18,715

10,838

53,814

2,653

67,305

86,020

4,057

129

798

4,984

2002

31,725

15,325

66,279

179

81,783

113,508

3,689

155

969

4,813

2003

27,505

11,869

61,514

1,690

75,073

102,578

4,494

110

2,023

6,627

2004

18,325

13,755

55,150

610

69,515

87,840

4,530

146

1,657

6,333

2005

37,590

12,690

6,791

566

81,193

118,783

3,320

52

2,047

5,419

2006

30,865

N/A

N/A

N/A

80,416

111,281

N/A

N/A

N/A

2007 2/

28,015

N/A

N/A

N/A

76,145

104,160

N/A

N/A

N/A

March 1:

See footnotes at end of table.

4,572
4,560
Continued--

39
Rice Situation and OutlookYearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 7--Rice stocks: Rough and milled 1/--Continued


Rough

Milled

Off farm

Date

On farms

At mills and

Warehouses

or in farm

in attached

(not attached

In ports or

to mills)

in transit

warehouses warehouses

Total

At mills and

Warehouses

Total

in attached

(not attached

In ports or

Total

all positions

warehouses

to mills)

in transit

all positions

1,000 cwt
August 1:
1984

1,250

11,017

27,425

14

38,456

39,706

3,976

50

1,095

5,121

1985

697

13,398

44,402

653

58,453

59,150

3,023

304

515

3,842

1986

2,031

15,432

52,476

1,008

68,916

70,947

3,033

398

1,099

4,530

1987

984

9,986

30,718

115

40,819

41,803

5,044

632

1,168

6,844

1988

1,242

7,714

14,789

22,506

23,748

4,461

189

679

5,329

1989

1,176

7,296

10,084

31

17,411

18,587

4,178

752

902

5,832

1990

599

5,370

13,133

51

18,554

19,153

3,650

548

998

5,196

1991

852

5,149

12,636

58

17,843

18,695

3,569

217

457

4,243

1992

1,109

6,166

13,179

77

19,422

20,531

3,833

486

529

4,848

1993

1,708

7,055

21,786

35

28,876

30,584

4,179

658

1,365

6,202

1994

517

5,601

14,674

115

20,390

20,907

2,710

188

697

3,595

1995

862

6,578

15,279

45

21,902

22,764

4,225

1,028

1,055

6,308

1996

486

5,542

13,818

125

19,485

19,971

3,296

269

49

3,614

1997

428

7,256

13,647

462

21,365

21,793

3,269

474

76

3,819

1998

1,136

6,401

13,287

167

19,855

20,991

3,598

329

868

4,795

1999

1,560

5,516

9,432

118

15,066

16,626

3,230

103

444

3,777

2000

1,141

5,909

14,899

21

20,829

21,970

3,129

155

548

3,832

2001

921

5,178

15,699

220

21,097

22,018

3,896

165

376

4,437

2002

5,180

6,599

19,728

302

26,629

31,809

3,581

88

1,261

4,930

2003

1,225

5,749

13,080

17

18,846

20,071

3,783

54

737

4,574

2004

571

6,085

12,819

40

18,944

19,515

2,591

105

255

2,951

2005

2,815

7,301

19,386

2,105

28,822

31,637

3,481

60

759

4,300

2006

1,553

NA

NA

NA

35,825

37,378

NA

NA

NA

3,944

2007 2/

1,220

NA

NA

NA

33,713

34,933

NA

NA

NA

3,111

NA = Category not reported after 2005.


1/ Does not include stocks located in areas outside the major rice producing States of Arkansas, California, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri,
and Texas. 2/ Preliminary.
Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats.

40
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 8--State and U.S. rice production by class


1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

1,000 cwt
Long grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States
Medium grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Missouri
Texas
United States
Short grain:
Arkansas
California
United States
Total grains:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States
State

68,160
567
19,413
18,467
6,396
20,442

61,218
600
21,022
15,552
5,936
17,402

55,055
360
22,687
12,480
5,162
17,885

65,192
693
24,731
13,804
6,095
13,970

73,644
537
26,727
15,544
7,280
15,596

79,417
340
29,050
18,250
9,828
14,978

68,478
639
23,114
12,862
9,576
14,087

133,445

121,730

113,629

124,485

139,328

151,863

128,756

12,666
39,827
10,035
52
810

11,682
33,972
5,187
1/
400

16,770
36,150
3,290
111
580

13,908
40,557
2,250
106
270

12,400
29,218
1,380
156
250

15,513
32,850
1,775
108
294

17,514
40,400
1,288
57
255

63,390

51,241

56,901

57,091

43,404

50,540

59,514

114
830

120
780

120
949

120
1,296

80
1,631

124
3,500

120
2,482

944

900

1,069

1,416

1,711

3,624

2,602

80,940
41,224
29,448
18,467
6,448
21,252

73,020
35,352
26,209
15,552
5,936
17,802

71,945
37,459
25,977
12,480
5,273
18,465

79,220
42,546
26,981
13,804
6,201
14,240

86,124
31,386
28,107
15,544
7,436
15,846

95,054
36,690
30,825
18,250
9,936
15,272

86,112
43,521
24,402
12,862
9,633
14,342

197,779

173,871

171,599

182,992

184,443

206,027

190,872

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007 2/ 3/

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

1,000 cwt
Long grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States
Medium grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Missouri
Texas
United States
Short grain:
Arkansas
California
United States
Total grains:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

93,178
1,001
29,590
16,698
12,360
14,728

86,162
448
28,875
16,192
11,011
14,555

85,140
483
25,241
15,912
10,421
11,814

97,720
511
28,080
16,146
13,192
14,796

101,945
639
30,385
16,832
14,058
13,668

88,837
290
19,497
13,230
13,632
10,728

167,555

157,243

149,011

170,445

177,527

146,214

9,620
35,939
424
60
62

10,530
41,085
525
0
61

10,988
35,907
1,156
63
66

10,780
47,080
650
69
110

6,787
34,957
598
66
0

7,020
36,090
596
64
32

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

46,105

52,201

48,180

58,689

42,408

43,802

50,702

60
1,550

60
1,456

60
2,646

60
3,168

60
3,240

60
3,660

N/A
N/A

1,610

1,516

2,706

3,228

3,300

3,720

4,586

102,858
38,490
30,014
16,698
12,420
14,790

96,752
42,989
29,400
16,192
11,011
14,616

96,188
39,036
26,397
15,912
10,484
11,880

108,560
50,759
28,730
16,146
13,261
14,906

108,792
38,836
30,983
16,832
14,124
13,668

95,917
40,040
20,093
13,230
13,696
10,760

95,400
43,420
23,313
13,892
12,104
9,782

215,270

210,960

199,897

232,362

223,235

193,736

197,911

N/A = Not available.


1/ No grain estim ates. 2/ Estim ated as of Novem ber 2007. 3/ State production by class of rice not available until January 2008.
Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats.

41
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

142,623

Appendix table 9--State and U.S. rice acreage, yield, and production, by class
Area harvested
State

2004

Yield

2005

2006

2004

- - - - 1,000 acres - - - -

2005

Production
2006

2004

- - - - Pounds/acre - - - -

2005

2006

- - - - 1,000 cwt - - - -

Long grain:
Arkansas

1,400

1,533

1,295

6,980

6,650

6,860

97,720

101,945

California

7,300

7,100

5,800

511

639

290

Louisiana

520

515

335

5,400

5,900

5,820

28,080

30,385

19,497

Mississippi

234

263

189

6,900

6,400

7,000

16,146

16,832

13,230

Missouri

194

213

213

6,800

6,600

6,400

13,192

14,058

13,632

Texas

216

201

149

6,850

6,800

7,200

14,796

13,668

10,728

2,571

2,734

2,186

6,630

6,493

6,689

170,445

177,527

146,214

Arkansas

154

101

104

7,000

6,720

6,750

10,780

6,787

7,020

California

535

463

458

8,800

7,550

7,880

47,080

34,957

36,090

Louisiana

13

10

10

5,000

5,980

5,960

650

598

596

Missouri

6,900

6,600

6,400

69

66

64

Texas

1/

5,500

1/

110

1/

32

705

575

574

8,325

7,375

7,631

58,689

42,408

43,802

United States

88,837

Medium grain:

United States

3,200

Short grain:
Arkansas

6,000

6,000

6,000

60

60

60

California

48

54

60

6,600

6,000

6,100

3,168

3,240

3,660

49

55

61

6,588

6,000

6,098

3,228

3,300

3,720

Arkansas

1,555

1,635

1,400

6,980

6,650

6,850

108,560

108,792

95,917

California

590

526

523

8,600

7,380

7,660

50,759

38,836

40,040

Louisiana

533

525

345

5,390

5,900

5,820

28,730

30,983

20,093

Mississippi

234

263

189

6,900

6,400

7,000

16,146

16,832

13,230

Missouri

195

214

214

6,800

6,600

6,400

13,261

14,124

13,696

Texas

218

201

150

6,840

6,800

7,170

14,906

13,668

10,760

3,325

3,364

2,731

6,988

6,636

6,868

232,362

223,235

193,736

United States
Total grains:

United States

1/ Not available. Updated November 2007.


Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats.

42
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 10--State and U.S. rice area planted, by class


Area planted
State

1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,000 acres - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2002

Long grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

1,168
9
535
240
120
255
2,327

1,293
9
595
270
142
280
2,589

1,378
5
585
325
184
254
2,731

1,138
9
460
220
169
210
2,206

1,480
13
540
255
210
215
2,713

1,350
7
530
255
190
205
2,537

Medium grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

230
493
50
1/
2
5
780

205
420
30
1/
3
5
663

250
455
35
1/
2
6
748

280
507
25
1/
1
5
818

150
435
8
1/
1
1
595

165
500
10
1/
1/
1
676

Short grain:
Arkansas
California
United States

2
16
18

2
31
33

2
50
52

2
34
36

1
25
26

1
26
27

Total grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

1,400
518
585
240
122
260
3,125

1,500
460
625
270
145
285
3,285

1,630
510
620
325
186
260
3,531

1,420
550
485
220
170
215
3,060

1,631
473
548
255
211
216
3,334

1,516
533
540
255
190
206
3,240

Area planted
State

2007 as share

2003
2004
2005
2006
2007 2/
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,000 acres - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2006

Long grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

1,300
7
435
235
175
180
2,332

1,405
7
525
235
195
220
2,587

1,540
9
520
265
215
202
2,751

1,300
6
340
190
215
149
2,200

1,185
9
355
190
179
143
2,061

0.91
1.50
1.04
1.00
0.83
0.96
0.94

Medium grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

165
460
20
1/
1
1
647

155
540
13
1/
1
2
711

102
465
10
1/
1
1/
578

105
460
10
1/
1
1
577

145
445
23
1/
1
3
617

1.38
0.97
2.30
1/
1.00
3.00
1.07

Short grain:
Arkansas
California
United States

1
42
43

1
48
49

1
54
55

1
60
61

1
69
70

1.00
1.15
1.15

Total grain:
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas
United States

1,466
509
455
235
176
181
3,022

1,561
595
538
235
196
222
3,347

1,643
528
530
265
216
202
3,384

1,406
526
350
190
216
150
2,838

1,331
523
378
190
180
146
2,748

0.95
0.99
1.08
1.00
0.83
0.97
0.97

1/ No m edium grain estim ated. 2/ Area estim ates from Septem ber 2007 Crop Production .
Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats and Septem ber 2007 Crop Production .

43
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 11--U.S. rice acreage, yield, and production


Crop year 1/

Planted

Harvested

- - - - - - 1,000 acres - - - - - -

Yield

Production

Pounds/acre

1,000 cwt

1959

1,607

1,586

3,382

53,647

1960

1,614

1,595

3,423

54,591

1961

1,618

1,589

3,411

54,198

1962

1,789

1,773

3,726

66,045

1963

1,785

1,771

3,968

70,269

1964

1,797

1,786

4,098

73,166

1965

1,804

1,793

4,255

76,281

1966

1,980

1,967

4,322

85,020

1967

1,982

1,970

4,537

89,379

1968

2,367

2,353

4,425

104,142

1969

2,141

2,128

4,318

91,904

1970

1,826

1,815

4,618

83,805

1971

1,826

1,818

4,718

85,768

1972

1,824

1,818

4,700

85,439

1973

2,181

2,170

4,274

92,765

1974

2,550

2,531

4,440

112,386

1975

2,833

2,818

4,558

128,437

1976

2,489

2,480

4,663

115,648

1977

2,261

2,249

4,412

99,223

1978

2,993

2,970

4,484

133,170

1979

2,890

2,869

4,599

131,947

1980

3,380

3,312

4,413

146,150

1981

3,827

3,792

4,819

182,742

1982

3,295

3,262

4,710

153,637

1983

2,190

2,169

4,598

99,720

1984

2,830

2,802

4,954

138,810

1985

2,512

2,492

5,414

134,913

1986

2,381

2,360

5,651

133,356

1987

2,356

2,333

5,555

129,603

1988

2,933

2,900

5,514

159,897

1989

2,731

2,687

5,749

154,487

1990

2,897

2,823

5,529

156,088

1991

2,884

2,781

5,731

159,367

1992

3,176

3,132

5,736

179,658

1993

2,920

2,833

5,510

156,110

1994

3,353

3,316

5,964

197,779

1995

3,121

3,093

5,621

173,871

1996

2,824

2,804

6,120

171,599

1997

3,125

3,103

5,897

182,992

1998

3,285

3,257

5,663

184,443

1999

3,531

3,512

5,866

206,027

2,000

3,060

3,039

6,281

190,872

2,001

3,334

3,314

6,496

215,270

2002

3,240

3,207

6,578

210,960

2003

3,022

2,997

6,670

199,897

2004

3,347

3,325

6,988

232,362

2005

3,384

3,364

6,636

223,235

2006

2,838

2,821

6,868

193,736

2007 2/

2,748

2,731

7,247

197,911

Table updated Novem ber 2007. 1/ August 1 to July 31 crop year. 2/ Prelim inary.
Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats and Novem ber 2007 Crop Production.

44
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 12--U.S. and State average rice yields per harvested acre
Crop year

United States

Arkansas

California

Louisiana

Mississippi

Missouri

Texas

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,000 acres - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1960

3,423

3,525

4,775

2,850

2,950

3,400

3,075

1961

3,411

3,500

4,800

2,925

3,300

3,300

2,900

1962

3,726

3,850

4,950

3,050

3,200

4,200

3,550

1963

3,968

4,300

4,325

3,325

3,900

4,200

4,125

1964

4,098

4,300

5,050

3,300

3,800

4,300

4,150

1965

4,255

4,300

4,900

3,550

3,700

4,500

4,600

1966

4,322

4,300

5,500

3,700

4,300

4,400

4,200

1967

4,537

4,550

4,900

3,900

4,300

4,600

5,000

1968

4,425

4,300

5,325

3,850

4,400

4,500

4,550

1969

4,318

4,750

5,525

3,500

4,450

4,600

3,950

1970

4,618

4,800

5,700

3,900

4,500

4,400

4,500

1971

4,718

5,050

5,200

3,800

4,600

4,800

5,100

1972

4,700

4,975

5,700

3,825

4,559

4,449

4,727

1973

4,274

4,770

5,616

3,451

4,306

4,346

3,740

1974

4,440

4,610

5,290

3,650

4,180

3,886

4,494

1975

4,558

4,540

5,750

3,810

3,900

4,210

4,560

1976

4,663

4,770

5,520

3,910

4,200

4,200

4,810

1977

4,412

4,230

5,810

3,670

4,000

3,700

4,670

1978

4,484

4,450

5,220

3,820

4,250

4,330

4,700

1979

4,599

4,320

6,520

3,910

4,050

3,810

4,220

1980

4,413

4,110

6,440

3,550

3,840

4,180

4,230

1981

4,819

4,520

6,900

4,060

4,390

4,080

4,700

1982

4,710

4,290

6,700

4,160

4,120

4,480

4,690

1983

4,598

4,280

7,040

3,820

4,000

4,090

4,340

1984

4,954

4,600

7,120

4,150

4,350

4,600

4,940

1985

5,414

5,200

7,300

4,370

5,350

4,810

5,490

1986

5,651

5,300

7,700

4,550

5,400

5,120

6,250

1987

5,555

5,250

7,550

4,550

5,100

5,400

5,900

1988

5,514

5,350

7,020

4,500

5,300

5,100

6,000

1989

5,749

5,600

7,900

4,430

5,700

5,200

5,700

1990

5,529

5,000

7,700

4,860

5,700

4,700

6,000

1991

5,731

5,300

8,500

4,850

5,600

5,100

6,000

1992

5,736

5,500

8,500

4,650

5,700

4,800

5,800

1993

5,510

5,050

8,300

4,550

5,300

4,900

5,400

1994

5,964

5,700

8,500

4,750

5,900

5,200

6,000

1995

5,621

5,450

7,600

4,600

5,400

5,300

5,600

1996

6,120

6,150

7,490

4,870

6,000

5,550

6,200

1997

5,897

5,700

8,250

4,630

5,800

5,300

5,500

1998

5,663

5,800

6,850

4,530

5,800

5,200

5,600

1999

5,866

5,850

7,270

5,000

5,650

5,400

5,900

2000

6,281

6,110

7,940

5,080

5,900

5,700

6,700

2001

6,496

6,350

8,170

5,500

6,600

6,000

6,850

2002

6,578

6,440

8,140

5,500

6,400

6,050

7,100

2003

6,670

6,610

7,700

5,870

6,800

6,130

6,600

2004

6,988

6,980

8,600

5,390

6,900

6,800

6,840

2005

6,636

6,650

7,380

5,900

6,400

6,600

6,800

2006

6,868

6,850

7,660

5,820

7,000

6,400

7,170

2007 1/

7,247

7,200

8,350

6,250

7,350

6,800

6,700

Updated Novem ber 2007. 1/ Prelim inary .


Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats.

45
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 13--Proportional distribution of rice production, by class, United States


Crop year

Long grain

Medium grain

Short grain

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Total production
1,000 cwt

1965

43.0

45.6

11.4

76,281

1966

41.6

46.5

11.9

85,020

1967

48.5

42.3

9.2

89,379

1968

46.8

42.1

11.1

104,142

1969

49.0

40.3

10.7

91,904

1970

49.3

40.4

10.3

83,805

1971

52.6

37.2

10.2

85,768

1972

50.0

40.0

9.9

85,439

1973

47.2

42.4

10.4

92,765

1974

53.3

36.8

9.8

112,386

1975

49.5

40.7

9.8

128,437

1976

60.6

31.8

7.6

115,648

1977

62.7

26.5

10.8

99,223

1978

63.7

27.4

9.0

133,170

1979

61.2

30.6

8.2

131,947

1980

59.4

35.2

5.4

146,150

1981

60.4

33.7

5.9

182,742

1982

60.8

33.4

5.8

153,637

1983

64.5

27.5

8.0

99,720

1984

69.2

25.4

5.4

138,810

1985

74.4

21.1

4.5

134,913

1986

72.6

24.2

3.3

133,356

1987

68.7

29.1

2.3

129,603

1988

74.7

23.1

2.3

159,897

1989

70.7

26.8

2.5

154,487

1990

69.1

30.3

0.6

156,088

1991

68.5

31.0

0.5

159,367

1992

71.3

28.2

0.6

179,658

1993

66.0

33.2

0.8

156,110

1994

67.5

32.1

0.5

197,779

1995

70.0

29.5

0.5

173,871

1996

66.2

33.2

0.6

171,599

1997

68.0

31.2

0.8

182,992

1998

75.5

23.5

0.9

184,443

1999

73.7

24.5

1.8

206,027

2000

67.5

31.2

1.4

190,872

2001

77.8

21.4

0.7

215,270

2002

74.5

24.7

0.7

210,960

2003

74.5

24.1

1.4

199,897

2004

73.4

25.3

1.4

232,362

2005

79.5

19.0

1.5

223,235

2006

75.5

22.6

1.9

193,736

2007 1/

72.1

25.6

2.3

197,911

1/ Estimated November 2007.

Sources: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stats .

46
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 14--Use and ending stocks for rice, United States
Crop

Food, industrial

year

and residual 1/

Seed

Exports

Total

Ending

Stocks-to-

use 2/

stocks

use ratio

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Million cwt - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Percent

1960

25.3

2.1

29.5

56.9

10.1

1961

27.9

2.3

29.2

59.4

5.3

17.8
8.9

1962

25.8

2.4

35.5

63.7

7.7

12.1

1963

26.2

2.5

41.8

70.5

7.5

10.6

1964

28.5

2.5

42.5

73.5

7.7

10.5

1965

30.5

2.7

43.3

76.5

8.2

10.7

1966

30.5

2.7

51.6

84.8

8.5

10.0

1967

31.0

3.2

56.9

91.1

6.8

7.5

1968

35.7

2.9

56.1

94.7

16.2

17.1

1969

32.5

2.5

56.9

91.9

16.4

17.8

1970

34.0

2.5

46.5

83.0

18.6

22.4

1971

34.7

2.5

56.9

94.1

11.4

12.1

1972

35.2

3.0

54.0

92.2

5.1

5.5

1973

37.0

3.6

49.7

90.3

7.8

8.6

1974

39.6

4.0

69.5

113.1

7.1

6.3

1975

38.6

3.5

56.5

98.6

36.9

37.4

1976

43.2

3.2

65.6

112.0

40.5

36.1

1977

35.3

4.3

72.8

112.4

27.4

24.4

1978

49.1

4.3

75.7

129.1

31.6

24.5

1979

49.8

4.8

83.3

137.9

25.7

18.6

1980

57.3

5.1

93.1

155.6

16.5

10.6

1981

63.9

4.4

82.3

150.7

49.0

32.5

1982

59.8

3.2

68.8

131.8

71.4

54.2

1983

51.5

3.3

70.3

125.1

46.9

37.5

1984

57.4

3.1

62.1

122.6

64.7

52.8

1985

62.9

2.9

58.7

124.5

77.3

62.1

1986

74.7

2.9

84.2

161.8

51.4

31.8

1987

76.8

3.6

72.2

152.6

31.4

20.6

1988

79.0

3.4

85.9

168.3

26.7

15.9

1989

78.3

3.6

77.4

159.3

26.3

16.5

1990

87.6

3.6

71.4

162.6

24.6

15.1

1991

91.4

3.9

66.5

161.9

27.4

16.9

1992

91.0

3.6

79.2

173.8

39.4

22.7

1993

93.8

4.1

78.6

176.6

25.9

14.7

1994

94.5

3.9

101.8

200.2

31.6

15.8

1995

101.4

3.5

83.2

188.2

25.0

13.3

1996

97.7

3.9

78.3

179.9

27.2

15.1

1997

99.9

4.1

87.7

191.6

27.9

14.6

1998

109.7

4.4

86.8

200.9

22.1

11.0

1999

118.1

3.8

88.8

210.7

27.5

13.0

2000

113.4

4.1

83.2

200.7

28.5

14.2

2001

119.3

4.0

94.7

218.0

39.0

17.9

2002

109.7

3.7

124.6

238.0

26.8

11.2

2003

110.8

4.1

103.1

218.0

23.7

10.9

2004

115.5

4.2

108.8

231.5

37.7

16.3

2005

116.7

3.5

114.9

235.1

43.0

18.3

2006

123.3

3.4

91.3

218.0

39.3

18.0

2007 3/

121.2

3.5

107.0

231.7

27.1

11.7

1/ Includes shipm ents to U.S. territories. 2/ Includes residual. 3/ Projected as of Novem ber 2007.
Source: W orld Agricultural Outlook Board, W orld Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report.

47
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 15--Ending stocks, prices, and payment rates for rice
Crop
year

Ending
stocks

Farm
price

Mill. cwt

Loan
rate

Target
price

Adjusted
world price

Direct
payment rate

Counter-cyclical
payment rate

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - $/cwt - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

1961\62
1962/63
1963/64
1964/65
1965/66
1966/67

5.30
7.70
7.50
7.70
8.20
8.50

5.14
5.04
5.01
4.90
4.93
4.95

4.71
4.71
4.71
4.71
4.50
4.50

-------------

-------------

-------------

-------------

1967/68
1968/69
1969/70
1970/71
1971/72
1972/73

6.80
16.20
16.40
18.60
11.40
5.10

4.97
5.00
4.95
5.17
5.34
6.73

4.55
4.60
4.72
4.86
5.07
5.27

-------------

-------------

-------------

-------------

1973/74
1974/75
1975/76
1976/77
1977/78
1978/79

7.80
7.10
36.90
40.50
27.40
31.60

13.80
11.20
8.35
7.02
9.49
8.16

6.07
7.54
8.52
6.19
6.19
6.40

------8.25
8.25
8.53

-------------

------0.00
0.00
0.78

-------------

1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84
1984/85

25.71
16.53
48.98
71.44
46.90
64.70

10.50
12.80
9.05
7.91
8.57
8.04

6.79
7.12
8.01
8.14
8.14
8.00

9.05
9.49
10.68
10.85
11.40
11.90

-------------

0.00
0.00
0.28
2.71
2.77
3.76

-------------

1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91

77.30
51.42
31.37
26.74
26.31
24.59

6.53
3.75
7.27
6.83
7.35
6.70

8.00
7.20
6.84
6.63
6.50
6.50

11.90
11.90
11.66
11.15
10.80
10.71

3.62
3.51
5.99
6.54
6.05
5.46

3.90
4.70
4.82
4.31
3.56
4.16

-------------

1991/92
1992/93
1992/93
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97

27.41
39.44
25.95
31.63
25.04
27.24

7.58
5.89
7.98
6.78
9.15
9.96

6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50

10.71
10.71
10.71
10.71
10.71
2/ ---

5.95
4.95
6.07
6.10
7.71
7.66

3.07
4.21
3.98
3.79
3.22
2.77

-------------

1997/98
1998/99
1999/00
2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08 1/

27.91
22.08
27.48
28.48
38.98
26.77
23.68
37.71
42.99
39.31
27.07

9.70
8.89
5.93
5.61
4.25
4.49
8.08
7.33
7.65
9.74
10.75-11.25

6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50
6.50

2/ --2/ --2/ --2/ --2/ --10.50


10.50
10.50
10.50
10.50
10.50

8.45
7.37
4.49
3.20
3.33
3.28
4.67
6.02
6.19
7.31
8.10

2.71
2.92
2.82
2.60
2.10
2.35
2.35
2.35
2.35
2.35
2.35

3/
3/
3/
3/
4/
4/
4/
4/
4/
4/

--- = Not applicable. NA = Not available.


1/ Forecast November 2007. 2/ Eliminated in 1996 farm act. 3/ Does not include supplemental AMTA payments of $1.45 per in 1998,
$2.82 in 1999, $2.82 in 2000, and $2.39 in 2001. 4/ Does not include counter-cyclical payments. 5/ Preliminary; 2007 final counter-cyclical
payment (CCP) rate will be announced in January 2008.
Sources: Ending stocks and farm price data, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service,
Quick Stats data base, http://www.nass.usda.gov/Data_and_Statistics/index.asp; target price, counter-cycle payment, loan rate, direct payments,
and announced world price, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, http://www.ers.usda.gov/Briefing/FarmPolicy/index.htm#data.

48
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

----------1.65
0.07
0.82
0.50 5/
0.00
NA

Appendix table 16--Class loan rates and differentials


Crop year
Item

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

$/cwt
Milled rice:
Long whole kernels

10.74

10.75

10.72

10.69

10.77

10.69

10.71

10.66

whole kernels

9.74

9.75

9.72

9.69

9.77

9.69

9.71

9.66

Broken kernels

5.37

5.37

5.36

5.35

5.38

5.35

5.35

5.33

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.66

6.67

6.64

6.68

6.68

6.67

6.67

6.67

6.13

6.11

6.13

6.12

6.17

6.14

6.14

6.12

6.13

5.89

6.02

5.99

6.02

6.07

6.04

6.04

2005

2006

2007

Medium and short

Differential
(milled basis) 1/

Rough rice 2/:


Average, all
classes
Average, long
grain
Average, medium
grain
Average, short
grain

Crop year
Item

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

$/cwt
Milled rice:
Long whole kernels

10.71

10.69

10.66

10.65

10.61

10.54

10.52

10.12

whole kernels

9.71

9.69

9.66

9.65

9.61

9.54

9.52

9.40

Broken kernels

5.35

5.35

5.33

5.33

5.31

5.27

5.26

6.81

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

0.72

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.50

6.66

6.67

6.66

6.64

6.66

6.66

6.64

6.59

6.12

6.09

6.09

6.09

6.04

6.04

6.07

6.20

6.16

6.13

6.12

6.18

6.12

6.07

6.10

6.28

Medium and short

Differential
(milled basis) 1/

Rough rice 2/:


Average, all
classes
Average, long
grain
Average, medium
grain
Average, short
grain

1/ The loan differential (milled basis) is the difference between the class whole kernel loan rates for long- and medium-grain rice.
2/ Announced farm-stored loan rates. Loan rates per hundredweight of rough rice are based on the yields of whole and broken
milled rice kernels from the milled-rice kernels from the milling process. The loan rate is the total of a) the quantity of whole-kernel
milled rice times the whole-kernel milled rice loan rate, plus b) the quantity of broken milled rice times broken rice loan rate.
Source: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Farm Service Agency, ftp://ftp.fsa.usda.gov/public/cotton/default.htm.

49
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--Adjusted world rice price, loan rate basis 1/


Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

---$/cwt--1987:
January 6 - January 13
January 20 - March 31
April 7 - April 21
April 28
May 5 - May 19
May 26 - June 23
June 30
July 7 - July 21
July 28
August 4
August 11
August 18
August 25
Septem ber 1
Septem ber 8
Septem ber 15
Septem ber 22
Septem ber 29 - October 6
October 13 - October 27
Novem ber 3 - Novem ber 10
Novem ber 17 - Novem ber 24
Decem ber 1 - Decem ber 8
Decem ber 15 - Decem ber 29

5.57
5.70
5.87
5.98
5.98
6.11
6.00
5.89
6.02
6.15
6.27
6.39
6.51
6.76
7.28
7.90
8.66
9.54
10.21
9.88
9.81
9.42
9.42

4.95
5.12
5.28
5.28
5.38
5.52
5.39
5.29
5.45
5.58
5.69
5.69
5.84
6.11
6.56
7.22
7.95
8.80
9.42
9.05
9.04
8.57
8.43

4.95
5.06
5.22
5.21
5.31
5.45
5.32
5.22
5.38
5.51
5.62
5.62
5.76
6.03
6.49
7.14
7.87
8.73
9.35
8.99
8.93
8.47
8.32

27.80
2.85
2.94
2.99
2.99
3.06
3.00
2.95
3.01
3.07
3.13
3.19
3.25
3.38
3.64
3.95
4.33
4.77
5.10
4.94
4.91
4.71
4.71

3.44
3.53
3.63
3.70
3.70
3.78
3.71
3.65
3.73
3.81
3.88
3.95
4.03
4.18
4.51
4.89
5.36
5.91
6.32
6.12
5.90
5.66
5.66

3.07
3.23
3.34
3.34
3.40
3.49
3.41
3.35
3.44
3.52
3.60
3.60
3.69
3.86
4.15
4.56
5.02
5.55
5.94
5.71
5.63
5.35
5.27

3.11
3.13
3.23
3.23
3.29
3.37
3.29
3.23
3.33
3.41
3.48
3.48
3.57
3.73
4.02
4.41
4.86
5.39
5.77
5.55
5.43
5.16
5.08

1988:
January 5
January 12
January 19 - January 26
February 2 - March 22
March 29
April 5 - April 19
April 26
May 3 - May 10
May 17 - May 31
June 7
June 14
June 21-28
July 5-12
July 19 - August 2
August 9
August 16
August 23 - Septem ber 6
Septem ber 13
Septem ber 20 - October 4
October 11 - October 25
Novem ber 1
Novem ber 8 - Decem ber 13
Decem ber 20 - Decem ber 27

9.42
9.90
11.22
11.66
11.61
11.83
11.56
11.02
10.58
10.09
10.28
10.69
10.98
11.13
10.85
10.55
10.68
10.43
10.30
10.13
10.03
9.87
9.55

8.43
8.84
9.72
10.24
10.25
10.46
10.31
9.97
9.72
9.28
9.44
9.87
10.17
10.33
9.99
9.72
9.82
9.57
9.43
9.30
9.23
9.08
8.80

8.32
8.73
9.61
10.14
10.15
10.36
10.21
9.88
9.62
9.18
9.34
9.77
10.08
10.25
9.91
9.64
9.74
9.48
9.34
9.21
9.16
9.01
8.74

4.71
4.95
5.61
5.83
5.80
5.92
5.78
5.51
5.29
5.04
5.14
5.35
5.49
5.56
5.42
5.27
5.34
5.22
5.15
5.07
5.01
4.94
4.77

5.66
5.95
6.74
7.01
6.98
7.12
6.95
6.63
6.37
6.07
6.19
6.43
6.61
6.69
6.52
6.34
6.42
6.28
6.19
6.10
6.20
6.10
5.90

5.27
5.52
6.10
6.41
6.41
6.54
6.44
6.22
6.05
5.78
5.88
6.14
6.32
6.42
6.22
6.05
6.11
5.96
5.87
5.79
5.78
5.69
5.51

5.08
5.34
5.90
6.21
6.22
6.35
6.25
6.03
5.86
5.59
5.69
5.95
6.13
6.23
6.03
5.87
5.93
5.78
5.69
5.61
5.53
5.44
5.27

1989:
January 3 - January 10
January 17 - January 24
January 31 - February 21
February 28 - March 7
March 14 - April 4
April 11
April 18

9.55
9.79
9.97
10.11
10.33
10.56
10.64

8.80
9.12
9.29
9.46
9.69
9.85
9.93

8.74
9.07
9.23
9.38
9.62
9.78
9.86

4.77
4.89
4.98
5.06
5.17
5.28
5.32

5.90
6.05
6.16
6.25
6.39
6.53
6.58

5.51
5.71
5.82
5.92
6.06
6.17
6.22

5.27
5.46
5.55
5.64
5.78
5.88
5.93

See footnote at end of table.

Continued--

50
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--W orld m arket rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

1989:
April 25 - May 2
May 9 - May 16
May 23
May 30
June 6 - June 20
June 27
July 5
July 11 - August 1
August 8
August 15
August 22 - Septem ber 5
Septem ber 12
Septem ber 19 - October 10
October 17 - October 24
October 31
Novem ber 7 - Novem ber 14
Novem ber 21 - Decem ber 26

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

---$/cwt--11.17
11.41
11.60
11.91
12.20
13.20
13.78
14.41
14.15
13.00
12.46
12.23
11.74
11.43
10.55
10.16
9.76

10.36
10.69
10.83
11.09
11.33
12.07
12.79
13.39
12.91
11.82
11.23
11.08
10.57
10.29
9.67
9.37
9.06

10.28
10.60
10.74
11.00
11.24
11.98
12.69
13.30
12.82
11.74
11.11
10.96
10.45
10.17
9.55
9.25
8.94

5.59
5.71
5.80
5.96
6.10
6.60
6.89
7.21
7.07
6.50
6.23
6.12
5.87
5.72
5.27
5.08
4.88

6.90
7.05
7.17
7.36
7.54
8.16
8.52
8.91
8.74
8.03
7.70
7.56
7.26
7.07
6.52
6.28
6.03

6.50
6.69
6.78
6.94
7.10
7.57
8.02
8.39
8.11
7.42
7.02
6.92
6.61
6.43
6.03
5.84
5.64

6.19
6.37
6.46
6.62
6.76
7.22
7.64
8.00
7.73
7.09
6.78
6.68
6.38
6.21
5.81
5.63
5.43

1990:
January 2 - February 13
February 20
February 27-March 27
April 3 - April 17
April 24
May 1
May 8 - May 22
May 29
June 5 - June 19
June 26 - August 7
August 14 - August 21
August 28 - Septem ber 25
October 2 - Decem ber 18
Decem ber 26 - January 22, 1991

9.76
9.54
9.41
9.31
9.11
8.87
8.63
8.53
8.45
8.36
8.31
8.18
8.28
8.30

9.06
8.70
8.46
8.25
8.10
7.95
7.77
7.66
7.58
7.48
7.38
7.22
7.32
7.23

8.94
8.59
8.35
8.14
7.99
7.84
7.66
7.60
7.52
7.41
7.31
7.16
7.27
7.24

4.88
4.77
4.70
4.66
4.56
4.43
4.32
4.26
4.22
4.18
4.16
4.09
4.14
4.15

6.03
5.90
5.81
5.75
5.63
5.48
5.34
5.36
5.31
5.25
5.22
5.14
5.20
5.09

5.64
5.43
5.29
5.17
5.07
4.97
4.86
4.93
4.88
4.82
4.75
4.65
4.72
4.47

5.43
5.23
5.10
4.98
4.89
4.79
4.68
4.91
4.86
4.79
4.73
4.63
4.70
4.40

1991:
January 29 - February 5
February 12 - March 5
March 12 - March 19
March 26 - April 9
April 16 - May 14
May 21 - July 30
August 6 - August 13
August 20 - Novem ber 19
Novem ber 26 - January 14, 1992

9.38
9.39
9.56
9.66
9.45
9.63
9.69
9.74
9.71

8.30
8.36
8.56
8.69
8.49
8.64
8.78
8.80
8.76

8.33
8.37
8.57
8.70
8.50
8.65
8.73
8.75
8.72

4.69
4.70
4.78
4.83
4.73
4.81
4.85
4.87
4.85

5.75
5.76
5.86
5.92
5.80
5.90
6.00
6.03
6.01

5.12
5.15
5.27
5.35
5.23
5.32
5.51
5.52
5.50

5.05
5.07
5.19
5.26
5.15
5.24
5.44
5.45
5.44

1992:
January 21 - January 28
February 4 - March 24
March 31 - May 5
May 12 - July 14
July 21 - July 28
August 4 - August 11
August 18
August 25 - Septem ber 8
Septem ber 15 - Septem ber 22
Septem ber 29 - October 6
October 13 - Novem ber 17
Novem ber 24 - Decem ber 1

9.81
9.98
9.62
9.43
9.53
9.65
9.50
9.34
9.15
9.04
8.88
8.73

8.82
9.03
8.70
8.46
8.64
8.76
8.64
8.46
8.25
8.16
7.96
7.80

8.76
8.95
8.57
8.32
8.50
8.74
8.63
8.45
8.24
8.14
7.93
7.78

4.91
4.99
4.81
4.71
4.76
4.82
4.75
4.67
4.57
4.52
4.44
4.37

6.05
6.15
5.93
5.81
5.87
5.98
5.89
5.79
5.67
5.60
5.50
5.41

5.57
5.70
5.49
5.34
5.45
5.52
5.44
5.33
5.20
5.14
5.02
4.92

5.21
5.32
5.10
4.96
5.06
5.49
5.42
5.31
5.18
5.12
4.99
4.90

See footnote at end of table.

Continued--

51
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--W orld market rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

---$/cwt---

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

1993:
December 8,1992-January 5, 1993
January 12
January 19 - February 9
February 16 - February 23
March 2 - March 9
March 16
March 23 - March 30
April 6 - April 13
April 20
April 27
May 4 - May 25
June 1 - July 27
August 3 - August 24
August 31 - September 21
September 28
October 5
October 12
October 19 - November 2
November 9
November 16 - November 30
December 7 - December 21
December 28

8.63
8.49
8.38
8.25
8.07
7.98
7.72
7.50
7.36
7.07
6.96
6.75
6.58
6.80
6.69
7.43
7.95
8.05
10.43
11.48
11.67
11.77

7.81
7.65
7.54
7.41
7.18
7.07
6.90
6.76
6.63
6.42
6.29
6.06
5.98
6.17
6.06
6.76
7.21
7.32
9.71
10.76
10.96
11.05

7.78
7.63
7.51
7.38
7.15
7.04
6.89
6.75
6.61
6.39
6.28
6.03
5.90
6.09
5.98
6.68
7.12
7.25
9.64
10.67
10.87
10.97

4.32
4.24
4.19
4.12
4.04
3.99
3.86
3.75
3.68
3.54
3.48
3.38
3.29
3.40
3.35
3.72
3.97
4.02
5.22
5.74
5.84
5.88

5.35
5.26
5.27
5.19
5.08
5.02
4.86
4.72
4.63
4.45
4.38
4.25
4.08
4.22
4.15
4.61
4.93
4.99
6.47
7.12
7.24
7.30

4.92
4.82
4.76
4.68
4.54
4.47
4.36
4.27
4.19
4.05
3.97
3.83
3.74
3.86
3.79
4.23
4.51
4.58
6.06
6.71
6.83
6.89

4.89
4.80
4.73
4.65
4.51
4.44
4.34
4.25
4.16
4.02
3.95
3.80
3.55
3.67
3.60
4.02
4.29
4.36
5.78
6.39
6.51
6.57

1994:
January 4 - January 11
January 18
January 25
February 1 - March 15
March 22
March 29
April 6
April 12 - April 19
April 26
May 3
May 10 - May 24
May 31
June 7 - June 28
July 5
July 12
July 19 - July 26
August 2
August 9
August 16
August 23
August 30
September 6
September 13
September 20
September 27
October 4
October 11 - October 18
October 25 - December 13
December 20 - December 27

11.77
11.88
12.09
12.20
11.42
11.32
10.54
10.78
10.12
9.89
9.76
8.94
8.67
8.67
8.44
8.44
8.47
8.47
8.60
8.71
8.71
9.06
9.06
9.06
9.06
9.06
9.26
9.43
9.34

11.05
11.17
11.41
11.52
11.53
11.54
11.55
11.55
11.56
11.56
11.57
11.36
11.37
10.61
10.03
9.76
9.31
9.31
8.94
8.95
8.95
8.94
9.12
9.12
9.12
9.12
8.91
8.91
8.92

10.97
11.09
11.27
11.38
11.38
11.40
11.40
11.41
11.42
11.43
11.43
11.20
11.22
10.47
9.89
9.62
9.16
9.16
8.79
8.79
8.79
8.79
8.96
8.96
8.96
8.96
9.76
8.77
8.77

5.88
5.94
6.04
6.10
5.71
5.66
5.27
5.39
5.06
4.94
4.88
4.47
4.33
4.33
4.22
4.23
4.23
4.23
4.30
4.35
4.35
4.53
4.53
4.53
4.53
4.53
4.63
4.72
4.67

7.30
7.37
7.42
7.49
7.01
6.95
6.47
6.62
6.21
6.07
5.99
5.49
5.32
5.32
5.18
5.18
5.25
5.25
5.33
5.40
5.40
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.74
5.85
5.79

6.89
6.96
7.24
7.31
7.28
7.28
7.25
7.26
7.23
7.22
7.22
7.06
7.05
6.61
6.26
6.10
5.76
5.76
5.56
5.57
5.57
5.59
5.69
5.69
5.69
5.69
5.58
5.59
5.51

6.57
6.64
7.13
7.20
7.15
7.15
7.10
7.12
7.08
7.07
7.06
6.88
6.87
6.45
6.11
5.96
5.43
5.43
5.25
5.26
5.26
5.29
5.38
5.38
5.38
5.38
5.29
5.31
5.27

See footnote at end of table.

Continued--

52
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--W orld market rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

---$/cwt--1995:
January 3
January 10
January 17 - January 24
January 31 - February 21
February 28 - April 25
May 2 - May 16
May 23 - May 30
June 6 - June 13
June 20 - June 27
July 4
July 11
July 18
July 25
August 1 - August 8
August 15 - August 22
August 29 - September 5
September 12
September 19
September 26
October 3
October 10 - October 17
October 24 - October 31
November 7
November 14 - November 21
December 5
December 12 - December 26

9.46
9.59
10.07
10.20
10.20
10.37
10.53
11.69
11.80
12.01
12.01
12.20
12.33
12.57
12.90
12.50
12.71
12.92
13.22
13.37
14.13
14.44
14.20
13.24
13.24
13.03

8.78
8.77
8.97
8.95
9.06
9.18
9.39
9.54
9.29
9.39
9.53
9.53
9.51
9.62
9.73
9.74
9.73
9.73
10.00
10.23
10.36
10.35
10.36
10.79
11.19
11.34

8.72
8.71
8.90
8.91
9.01
9.12
9.33
9.48
9.24
9.32
9.46
9.46
9.46
9.51
9.59
9.61
9.60
9.59
9.86
10.11
10.23
10.23
10.22
10.66
11.08
11.22

4.73
4.80
5.03
5.10
5.10
5.19
5.27
5.85
5.90
6.00
6.00
6.10
6.16
6.28
6.45
6.25
6.36
6.46
6.61
6.68
7.07
7.22
7.10
6.62
6.62
6.52

5.95
6.03
6.33
6.41
6.41
6.52
6.62
7.35
7.42
7.55
7.55
7.67
7.75
7.85
8.06
7.81
7.94
8.07
8.26
8.35
8.83
9.02
8.87
8.27
8.27
8.14

5.54
5.54
5.68
5.68
5.74
5.82
5.95
6.10
5.96
6.03
6.11
6.12
6.12
6.18
6.26
6.24
6.25
6.26
6.43
6.57
6.69
6.70
6.69
6.88
7.11
7.18

5.49
5.49
5.63
5.64
5.70
5.77
5.90
6.06
5.93
5.99
6.07
6.08
6.09
6.02
6.09
6.07
6.08
6.09
6.26
6.40
6.53
6.55
6.53
6.68
6.90
6.96

1996:
January 2 - January 16
January 23-January 30
February 6
February 13 - February 27
March 5 -March 12
March 19 - March 26
April 2
April 9
April 16 - May 7
May 14
May 21 - May 28
June 4
June 11 - June 18
June 25 - July 2
July 9 - July 23
July 30
August 6
August 13 - August 20
August 27 - October 1
October 8
October 15
October 22
October 29 - November 19
November 26 - December 10
December 17 - December 24
December 31

13.03
13.20
13.00
12.91
12.91
13.20
12.87
12.61
12.46
11.96
11.96
12.14
12.64
12.64
12.81
12.71
12.75
12.62
12.39
12.29
12.18
11.99
11.65
11.53
11.74
12.05

11.34
11.44
11.99
11.98
11.76
11.77
11.77
11.53
11.54
11.26
11.60
11.60
11.70
12.58
12.58
12.59
12.78
12.60
12.61
12.62
12.61
12.40
12.29
12.29
12.41
12.41

11.22
11.45
11.99
11.98
11.77
11.76
11.78
11.54
11.54
11.26
11.61
11.59
11.70
12.59
12.59
12.58
12.63
12.46
12.48
12.47
12.47
12.25
12.16
12.15
12.27
12.26

6.52
6.60
6.50
6.45
6.45
6.60
6.44
6.31
6.23
5.98
5.98
6.07
6.32
6.32
6.40
6.35
6.37
6.31
6.19
6.15
6.09
5.99
5.82
5.77
5.87
6.03

8.14
8.06
7.94
7.88
7.88
8.06
7.86
7.70
7.61
7.30
7.30
7.41
7.72
7.72
7.82
7.76
7.88
7.80
7.66
7.60
7.53
7.41
7.20
7.13
7.26
7.45

7.18
7.21
7.50
7.49
7.37
7.39
7.37
7.22
7.22
7.03
7.22
7.23
7.32
7.81
7.82
7.82
8.01
7.90
7.89
7.89
7.88
7.75
7.67
7.66
7.74
7.76

6.96
7.38
7.68
7.67
7.55
7.56
7.55
7.40
7.39
7.20
7.40
7.40
7.49
8.01
8.02
8.01
7.71
7.61
7.60
7.59
7.58
7.45
7.37
7.36
7.44
7.46

See footnote at end of table.

Continued--

53
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--World market rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

---$/cwt--1997:
January 7 - January 21
January 28
February 4 - March 4
March 11
March 18
March 25
April 1
April 8 - April 15
April 22
April 29
May 6 - May 20
May 27 - June 3
June 10
June 17 - July 15
July 22 - July 29
August 5
August 12 - August 19
August 26
September 2 - September 9
September 16 - September 23
September 30 - October 21
October 28
November 4 - November 18
November 25 - December 30

12.05
12.37
12.23
11.80
11.66
11.36
11.15
11.15
11.15
11.95
13.28
13.28
13.43
13.59
13.59
13.97
13.50
13.26
12.59
12.59
12.88
12.70
13.07
13.38

12.41
12.20
12.20
12.22
12.21
11.77
11.77
11.58
11.45
11.43
11.41
11.01
11.15
11.14
10.29
11.35
11.36
11.26
11.18
12.02
12.01
12.01
12.01
12.17

12.26
12.19
12.18
12.19
12.19
11.76
11.74
11.56
11.42
11.41
11.39
10.99
11.14
11.12
10.28
11.28
11.31
11.21
11.11
11.94
11.94
11.95
11.94
12.10

6.03
6.19
6.12
5.90
5.83
5.68
5.58
5.58
5.58
5.97
6.64
6.64
6.72
6.80
6.80
6.98
6.75
6.63
6.30
6.30
6.44
6.35
6.54
6.69

7.45
7.81
7.72
7.45
7.36
7.17
7.04
7.04
7.04
7.54
8.38
8.38
8.48
8.58
8.58
8.71
8.42
8.27
7.85
7.85
8.03
7.92
8.15
8.34

7.76
7.68
7.67
7.66
7.65
7.38
7.37
7.26
7.18
7.21
7.27
7.04
7.13
7.13
6.64
7.27
7.25
7.18
7.10
7.58
7.59
7.58
7.60
7.71

7.46
7.54
7.53
7.51
7.50
7.24
7.22
7.12
7.04
7.08
7.15
6.93
7.02
7.02
6.55
7.15
7.13
7.06
6.96
7.42
7.44
7.43
7.45
7.56

1998:
January 6
January 13 - January 27
February 3 - March 10
March 17 - March 24
March 31
April 7 - April 21
April 28
May 5 - May 12
May 19
May 26
June 2 - June 23
June 30 - July 21
July 28
August 4 - August 25
September 1 - September 15
September 22
September 29
October 6
October 13 - October 20
October 27 - November 3
November 10 - November 17
November 24 - December 1
December 8
December 15 - December 29

13.63
14.19
14.94
15.18
15.18
15.56
15.56
13.99
13.86
13.99
14.56
14.69
14.51
14.07
14.37
14.23
14.02
13.83
13.43
13.33
12.80
12.59
11.89
12.00

12.28
12.27
12.42
12.41
12.17
12.34
12.64
12.39
12.39
12.39
12.51
12.52
12.52
12.13
12.36
12.01
11.91
11.91
11.91
11.92
11.83
11.75
11.34
11.35

12.22
12.22
12.32
12.31
12.06
12.24
12.55
12.29
12.29
12.29
12.41
12.41
12.42
12.06
12.28
11.93
11.83
11.84
11.83
11.84
11.77
11.66
11.26
11.26

6.82
7.10
7.47
7.59
7.59
7.78
7.78
6.99
6.93
6.99
7.28
7.34
7.26
7.03
7.19
7.11
7.01
6.91
6.71
6.67
6.40
6.30
5.94
6.00

8.50
8.85
9.41
9.56
9.56
9.80
9.80
8.81
8.73
8.81
9.17
9.25
9.14
8.77
8.96
8.87
8.74
8.62
8.37
8.31
7.98
7.85
7.41
7.48

7.79
7.81
7.88
7.89
7.75
7.87
8.04
7.81
7.80
7.81
7.91
7.92
7.91
7.71
7.86
7.65
7.58
7.57
7.55
7.55
7.47
7.41
7.14
7.15

7.64
7.68
7.72
7.73
7.60
7.72
7.89
7.63
7.62
7.63
7.74
7.75
7.74
7.56
7.70
7.50
7.43
7.42
7.39
7.39
7.31
7.24
6.97
6.98

See footnote at end of table.

Continued--

54
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--W orld m arket rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date
Milled kernel rates
Long
Medium
Short

Broken

Long

---$/cwt--1999:
January 5
January 12
January 19
January 26
February 2 - February 9
February 16 - February 23
March 2
March 9
March 16
March 23 - March 30
April 6 - April 20
April 27 - May 4
May 11 - May 18
May 25 - June 15
June 22 - July 27
August 3 - August 17
August 23 - Septem ber 14
Septem ber 21
Septem ber 28 - October 12
October 19
October 26
Novem ber 2 - Novem ber 23
Novem ber 30
Decem ber 7 - Decem ber 21
2000:
Decem ber 28, 1999 - January 11
January 18 - January 27
February 1 - February 29
March 7 - March 14
March 27 - April 18
April 25
May 2 - May 30
June 6 - July 5
July 11
July 18 - July 25
August 1 - August 22
August 29 - Septem ber 26
October 3
October 10 - October 17

Rough rates
Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

12.00
11.81
12.37
12.22
11.95
11.73
11.52
11.32
11.10
10.68
10.42
10.32
10.50
10.60
10.60
8.67
8.53
8.38
8.19
8.00
7.74
7.45
7.45
7.33

11.23
11.23
11.23
11.22
11.14
11.15
11.15
10.85
10.70
10.72
10.60
10.61
10.73
10.73
10.57
8.06
7.88
7.74
7.51
7.51
7.20
6.87
6.76
6.77

11.15
11.16
11.14
11.14
11.10
11.10
11.10
10.81
10.66
10.66
10.57
10.56
10.68
10.67
10.54
7.98
7.78
7.66
7.43
7.43
7.12
6.77
6.68
6.68

6.00
5.90
6.18
6.11
5.98
5.86
5.76
5.66
5.55
5.34
5.21
5.16
5.25
5.30
5.30
4.33
4.26
4.19
4.09
4.00
3.87
3.73
3.73
3.66

7.48
7.36
7.71
7.62
7.40
7.26
7.13
7.01
6.87
6.61
6.45
6.39
6.50
6.56
6.56
5.42
5.33
5.24
5.12
5.00
4.84
4.66
4.66
4.58

7.08
7.07
7.10
7.09
7.09
7.08
7.07
6.89
6.79
6.78
6.70
6.70
6.78
6.78
6.69
5.09
4.98
4.89
4.75
4.74
4.55
4.34
4.28
4.28

6.92
6.91
6.94
6.93
7.15
7.14
7.13
6.95
6.85
6.83
6.76
6.75
6.83
6.83
6.75
4.99
4.87
4.79
4.65
4.64
4.45
4.24
4.19
4.18

7.60
7.42
7.42
7.16
7.01
7.01
6.70
6.70
6.70
6.70
6.53
5.93
5.84
5.73

7.03
7.03
6.95
6.75
6.46
6.20
5.66
5.34
5.54
5.54
5.38
4.97
5.19
5.20

6.94
6.94
7.00
6.80
6.52
6.25
5.72
5.40
5.60
5.59
5.34
4.93
5.15
5.16

3.80
3.71
3.71
3.58
3.51
3.51
3.35
3.35
3.35
3.35
3.26
2.97
2.92
2.86

4.75
4.64
4.53
4.37
4.28
4.28
4.09
4.09
4.09
4.09
4.06
3.69
3.63
3.56

4.44
4.43
4.34
4.21
4.04
3.90
3.58
3.40
3.51
3.51
3.43
3.16
3.28
3.28

4.34
4.33
4.51
4.38
4.21
4.05
3.72
3.53
3.65
3.64
3.43
3.16
3.28
3.28

October 24-Novem ber 14

5.60

5.30

5.26

2.80

3.48

3.33

3.33

Novem ber 21- Novem ber 28

5.47

5.22

5.19

2.73

3.40

3.28

3.28

Decem ber 5-Decem ber 26

5.47

5.07

5.01

2.73

3.40

3.19

3.18

January 2-January 16

5.47

5.07

5.01

2.73

3.40

3.19

3.18

January 23-January 30

5.37

4.97

4.94

2.69

3.34

3.13

3.13

2001:

February 6-March 6

5.39

4.94

4.94

2.70

3.34

3.12

3.10

March 13-April 24

4.83

4.16

4.14

2.41

2.99

2.64

2.62

May 1-May 22

4.73

4.01

3.99

2.37

2.93

2.55

2.53

May 29-June 12

4.84

4.14

4.12

2.42

3.00

2.63

2.61

June 19-July 31

4.73

4.01

3.99

2.37

2.93

2.55

2.53

August 7

4.76

3.97

3.97

2.38

2.97

2.52

2.53

August-15-August 29

4.76

4.10

4.09

2.38

2.97

2.59

2.60

Septem ber 4-Septem ber 18

4.92

4.22

4.20

2.46

3.07

2.67

2.67

Septem ber 25-October 16

5.04

4.37

4.36

2.52

3.14

2.76

2.77

See footnote at end of table.

Continued--

55
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--W orld m arket rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date
Milled kernel rates
Long
Medium
Short
2001:

Broken

Long

---$/cwt---

Rough rates
Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

October 23-October 30

5.18

4.53

4.52

2.59

3.23

2.86

Novem ber 6

5.04

4.35

4.34

2.52

3.14

2.75

2.87
2.76

Novem ber 13-Novem ber 27

5.21

4.58

4.57

2.61

3.25

2.89

2.90

Decem ber 4-Decem ber 26

5.40

4.79

4.76

2.70

3.37

3.02

3.02

2002:
January 2-January 15

5.40

4.79

4.76

2.70

3.37

3.02

3.02

January 22-January 29

5.53

4.96

4.93

2.77

3.45

3.12

3.12

February 5

5.55

4.94

4.95

2.78

3.45

3.14

3.18

February 12

5.74

5.18

5.19

2.87

3.57

3.29

3.33
3.45

February 19-February 26

5.90

5.38

5.39

2.95

3.67

3.41

March 5-March 19

5.69

5.12

5.13

2.85

3.54

3.25

3.29

March 26-April 16

5.58

4.99

5.00

2.79

3.47

3.17

3.21

April 23-May 14

5.69

5.12

5.13

2.85

3.54

3.25

3.29

May 21-June 11

5.82

5.26

5.27

2.91

3.62

3.34

3.38

June 18

5.98

5.46

5.46

2.99

3.72

3.46

3.50

June 25

6.13

5.60

5.62

3.07

3.81

3.55

3.60

July 2-July 30

5.97

5.44

5.45

2.99

3.71

3.45

3.49

August 6-August 20

5.38

4.80

4.79

2.69

3.36

3.03

3.04

August 27-Septem ber 3

5.14

4.56

4.55

2.57

3.21

2.88

2.89

Septem ber 10-October 8

5.32

4.74

4.72

2.66

3.32

2.99

3.00

October 15

5.16

4.58

4.56

2.58

3.22

2.89

2.90

October 22-Novem ber 5

5.25

4.67

4.66

2.63

3.28

2.95

2.96

Novem ber 12-Decem ber 3

5.16

4.58

4.56

2.58

3.22

2.89

2.90

Decem ber 10-Decem ber 31

5.16

4.67

4.65

2.58

3.22

2.94

2.95

2003:
January 7

5.05

4.46

4.47

2.53

3.15

2.82

2.84

January 14-January 28

5.35

4.77

4.76

2.68

3.34

3.01

3.02

February 4-March 11

5.35

4.75

4.75

2.68

3.40

3.01

3.03

March 18

5.15

4.56

4.56

2.58

3.27

2.89

2.91

March 25-April 1

5.27

4.69

4.69

2.64

3.35

2.97

2.99

April 8-May 6

5.15

4.56

4.56

2.58

3.27

2.89

2.91

May 13

5.24

4.57

4.57

2.62

3.33

2.90

2.92

May 20-May 27

5.24

4.65

4.66

2.62

3.33

2.95

2.97

June 3-June 10

5.40

4.80

4.82

2.70

3.43

3.04

3.07

June 17-July 1

5.92

5.32

5.34

2.96

3.76

3.37

3.40

July 8-July 29

6.03

5.44

5.45

3.02

3.83

3.44

3.47

August 5-Septem ber 2

6.45

6.02

6.03

3.23

4.02

3.79

3.85

Septem ber 9-Septem ber 16

6.35

5.94

5.94

3.18

3.96

3.74

3.79

Septem ber 23-Septem ber 30

6.24

5.83

5.83

3.12

3.89

3.67

3.72

October 7-Novem ber 4

6.35

5.94

5.94

3.18

3.96

3.74

3.79

Novem ber 11-Novem ber 25

6.49

6.07

6.08

3.25

4.05

3.82

3.88

Decem ber 2-Decem ber 16

6.70

6.29

6.30

3.35

4.18

3.96

4.02

Decem ber 23-Decem ber 30

6.70

6.29

6.30

3.35

4.18

3.96

4.02

2004:
January 6-January 13

6.57

6.17

6.16

3.29

4.10

3.88

3.93

January 20-January 28

6.69

6.28

6.29

3.35

4.17

3.95

4.01

February 3-February 10

6.83

6.42

6.41

3.42

4.31

4.13

4.15

February 17-February 24

7.12

6.68

6.67

3.56

4.49

4.30

See footnote at end of table.

4.32
Continued--

56
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--World market rice prices, loan rate basis 1/--Continued
Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

---$/cwt---

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

2004:
March 2-March 9

7.32

6.89

6.87

3.66

4.62

4.43

4.45

March 16

7.66

7.21

7.20

3.83

4.83

4.64

4.66

March 23-March 30

8.32

7.85

7.83

4.16

5.25

5.05

5.07

April 6-April 20

8.72

8.23

8.22

4.36

5.50

5.29

5.32

April 27

9.10

8.60

8.57

4.55

5.74

5.53

5.55

May 4

9.37

8.85

8.84

4.69

5.91

5.69

5.72

May 11-June 22

9.27

8.74

8.73

4.64

5.85

5.62

5.65

June 29-July 20

9.38

8.87

8.85

4.69

5.92

5.70

5.73

July 27

9.61

9.08

9.07

4.81

6.06

5.84

5.87

August 3

9.40

8.58

8.59

4.70

5.90

5.39

5.46

August 10

9.51

8.69

8.70

4.75

5.97

5.46

5.54

August 17-August 24

9.34

8.51

8.51

4.67

5.86

5.35

5.42

August 31

9.48

8.68

8.67

4.74

5.95

5.45

5.52

September 7-September 14

9.72

8.88

8.89

4.86

6.10

5.58

5.66

September 21-October 5

9.34

8.51

8.51

4.67

5.86

5.35

5.42

October 12-October 19

9.46

8.62

8.64

4.73

5.94

5.42

5.50

October 26-November 2

9.58

8.75

8.77

4.79

6.01

5.50

5.58

November 9-November 30

9.82

8.98

8.99

4.91

6.16

5.64

5.72

December 7

10.20

9.20

9.21

5.10

6.40

5.79

5.87

December 14-December 28

10.29

9.28

9.29

5.15

6.46

5.84

5.92

January 4-January 11

10.10

9.11

9.12

5.05

6.34

5.73

5.81

January 18-January 25

10.21

9.20

9.21

5.11

6.41

5.79

5.87

February 1-February 8

10.10

9.14

9.13

5.05

6.46

5.82

5.86

2005:

February 15-February 22

9.99

9.04

9.02

5.00

6.39

5.76

5.79

March 1-March 15

9.79

8.84

8.83

4.90

6.26

5.63

5.67

10.10

9.12

9.11

5.05

6.46

5.81

5.85

March 22
March 29-April 5

9.82

8.87

8.84

4.91

6.28

5.65

5.68

April 12-May 31

9.91

8.95

8.94

4.96

6.34

5.70

5.74

June 7-June 14

9.77

8.82

8.81

4.89

6.25

5.62

5.66
5.45

June 21-July 5

9.43

8.49

8.49

4.72

6.03

5.41

July 12

9.04

8.15

8.13

4.52

5.78

5.19

5.22

July 19-July 26

8.90

8.00

8.00

4.45

5.69

5.10

5.14

August 2-August 9

9.13

8.23

8.21

4.57

5.77

5.21

5.23

August 16-September 6

9.02

8.13

8.12

4.51

5.70

5.15

5.17

September 13-September 20

9.02

8.26

8.24

4.51

5.70

5.22

5.24

September 27-November 1

9.26

8.48

8.46

4.63

5.85

5.36

5.38

November 8

9.35

8.81

8.80

4.68

5.91

5.55

5.58

November 15-December 20

9.35

9.21

9.19

4.68

5.91

5.78

5.80

December 27

9.45

9.31

9.30

4.73

5.97

5.84

See footnote at end of table.

5.87
Continued--

57
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 17--World market rice prices, loan rate basis 1/-Continued
Date

Milled kernel rates


Long

Medium

Rough rates
Short

Broken

Long

Medium

Short

---$/cwt---

---$/cwt--2006:
January 3-January 10

9.70

9.55

9.54

4.85

6.13

5.99

6.02

January 17-January 31

10.05

9.90

9.89

5.03

6.35

6.21

6.24

February 7

10.22

10.10

10.04

5.11

6.35

6.50

6.51

February 14-April 11

10.46

10.35

10.29

5.23

6.50

6.66

6.67
6.67

April 18-May 16

10.46

10.35

10.29

5.23

6.50

10.72

May 23-July 11

10.62

10.50

10.44

5.31

6.60

6.76

6.77

July 18

10.89

10.78

10.72

5.45

6.77

6.94

6.95

July 25

11.02

10.89

10.85

5.51

6.85

7.01

7.03

August 2-August 9

10.79

10.65

10.63

5.40

6.81

6.74

6.76

August 16-October 11

10.89

10.74

10.72

5.45

6.87

6.80

6.82

October 18-October 25

11.06

10.90

10.88

5.53

6.98

6.90

6.92

October 31 - November 8

10.92

10.77

10.76

5.46

6.89

6.82

6.84

November 15-December 27

11.13

10.98

10.96

5.57

7.02

6.95

6.97

2007:
January 4-January 24

11.47

11.34

11.32

5.74

7.24

7.18

7.20

January 31

11.62

11.47

11.45

5.81

7.33

7.26

7.28

February 7

11.61

11.44

11.47

5.81

7.28

7.49

7.64

February 14-February 21

12.05

11.87

11.90

6.03

7.55

7.77

7.93

February 28-May 9

12.36

12.18

12.22

6.18

7.55

7.97

8.14

May 16-July 4

12.08

11.90

11.93

6.04

7.57

7.79

7.95

July 11

11.82

11.66

11.68

5.91

7.41

7.63

7.78

July 18-July 25

12.11

11.92

11.95

6.06

7.59

7.80

7.96

August 1-August 8

11.47

11.30

11.28

7.72

7.47

7.41

7.49

August 15-September 5

11.70

11.55

11.52

7.87

7.62

7.57

7.65

September 12-October 3

11.90

11.73

11.72

8.01

7.75

7.69

7.78

October 10-October 17

12.01

11.85

11.82

8.08

7.82

7.77

7.85

October 24

12.24

12.06

12.05

8.24

7.97

7.91

8.00

October 31- November 7

12.47

12.29

12.27

8.39

8.12

8.06

8.15

November 14

12.79

12.61

12.59

8.61

8.33

8.27

8.36

November 21

13.25

13.07

13.04

8.92

8.63

8.57

8.66

November 28

13.76

13.57

13.56

9.26

8.96

8.90

9.00

1/ Reduced repayment rates for 1985 crop loans were available beginning April 15, 1986. The repayment rate was the lower of the loan
rate or the 'prevailing world market price. For the 1986 through 1995 crops, the repayment rate was the lower of (a) the loan level for the
crop, or (b) the higher of the prevailing world market price or the minimum loan repayment level. The minimum loan repayment levels were
established at 50 percent of the loan level for the 1986 and 1987 crops; 60 percent of the loan level for the 1988 crop; and 70 percent for
the 1989 through 1995 crops. The minimumloan repayment level has been eliminated effective for 1996-crop loans, and loans are
repayable at the lower of the loan level or the prevailingworld price.
Source: USDA, Farm Service Agency, Economic and Policy Analysis, Food Grains Analysis, RICE PRICES;
ftp://ftp.fsa.usda.gov/public/cotton/default.htm.

58
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 18--Rough rice: Average price received by farmers by month and marketing year 1/
Item
1990/91
1991/92
1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96

1996/97

1997/98

1998/99

Month:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Season average price:

6.66
6.21
6.02
6.29
6.13
6.39
6.75
7.07
7.43
7.44
7.43
7.21
6.70

7.16
7.67
7.65
7.84
7.98
7.84
7.97
7.78
7.46
7.18
6.97
6.99
7.58

6.60
6.41
6.40
6.40
6.38
6.35
6.06
5.63
5.50
5.23
5.02
4.90
5.89

5.14
5.16
6.01
7.94
8.78
8.92
9.99
10.10
9.80
9.90
8.76
7.69
7.98

6.87
6.82
6.52
6.63
6.60
6.83
6.74
6.67
6.75
6.87
7.06
7.19
6.78

7.77
8.01
8.84
9.21
9.45
9.36
9.19
9.20
9.35
9.73
9.77
9.81
9.15

10.10
10.00
9.66
9.41
9.82
9.95
10.10
10.20
10.30
10.20
9.90
10.00
9.96

9.94
9.92
10.00
9.82
9.77
9.57
9.75
9.67
9.40
9.38
9.58
9.58
9.70

9.01
9.42
9.31
9.02
9.10
9.09
9.02
8.93
8.49
8.21
8.25
8.26
8.89

State: 2/
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas

6.75
5.93
6.73
6.99
7.21
7.41

7.69
6.65
7.67
8.48
7.81
8.15

5.93
5.64
5.88
5.82
5.91
6.17

7.97
8.27
7.65
8.37
8.03
7.60

6.52
6.97
6.71
7.00
6.72
7.12

9.14
8.79
9.09
9.25
9.06
9.73

10.20
7.91
10.60
10.50
10.30
10.80

9.87
7.95
10.20
10.40
10.00
10.90

8.87
9.19
8.87
8.99
8.75
9.32

6.94
6.19

7.83
7.00

5.87
5.91

7.93
8.09

6.87
6.70

9.37
8.82

10.60
8.37

10.20
8.52

8.79
9.18

2000/01

2001/02

2003/04

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

2007/08

Type:
Long grain
Medium &
short grain
Item

1999/00

2002/03

Month:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

6.91
6.17
5.91
5.96
6.01
5.98
5.82
5.64
5.75
5.62
5.69
5.59

5.72
5.53
5.57
5.72
5.69
5.86
5.72
5.66
5.68
5.40
5.14
5.32

5.01
4.67
4.39
4.25
4.29
4.30
4.16
3.99
3.94
3.98
3.92
3.81

3.94
4.09
4.03
4.24
4.46
4.66
4.24
4.31
4.61
4.84
5.43
5.31

5.93
6.56
7.15
7.80
8.55
8.57
8.23
8.45
8.65
8.82
9.30
9.37

8.93
8.46
7.59
7.38
7.37
7.39
6.90
6.97
6.98
6.98
6.96
6.82

Season average price:

5.93

5.61

4.25

4.49

8.08

7.33

7.65

9.74

State: 2/
Arkansas
California
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Texas

5.71
6.97
5.99
5.49
5.60
6.04

5.60
4.99
5.82
5.68
5.40
5.82

3.93
5.28
4.47
4.15
3.70
4.61

4.16
6.32
4.14
4.94
3.90
4.16

7.70
10.40
7.68
7.34
7.20
7.35

7.13
7.34
7.77
7.48
6.98
7.96

7.27
10.10
7.47
7.36
6.87
7.77

9.30
11.60
10.00
9.15
8.90
9.90

NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

Type:
Long grain
Medium & short grain

5.70
6.62

5.84
5.15

4.10
4.82

4.15
5.90

7.60
9.94

7.34
7.29

7.30
9.49

NA
NA

NA
NA

6.59
6.77
7.02
7.56
7.54
7.80
8.02
8.05
8.16
8.03
8.11
8.18

8.81
9.03
9.65
10.10
9.91
9.87
9.97
10.10
9.96
9.77
9.80
9.84

NA = Not available.
1/ August 1 to July 31 marketing year. 2/ / Marketing year for Arkansas and Mississippi--August-July; California--October-September;
Louisiana and Texas--July-June. 3/ Season-average price reported in the November 2007 WASDE, WAOB, USDA.
Sources: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Quick Stat data base and Agricultural Prices.

59
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

10.00
10.30
10.70
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
10.75-11.25 3/

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: Average price, f.o.b. mills, at selected milling centers 1/
Year and

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Simple

4/

average
- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - Southwest Louisiana

Long grain 2/:


1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84

21.50
20.75
26.40
17.50
19.38

21.50
22.00
24.30
17.40
19.75

22.05
23.40
23.25
17.50
19.35

22.50
25.00
21.90
17.55
19.50

21.00
26.75
20.75
18.40
19.50

20.60
27.00
19.80
18.35
19.50

22.50
27.25
18.60
17.50
19.25

24.30
27.70
18.00
17.50
19.25

24.00
28.25
17.55
18.50
19.25

23.25
28.00
17.60
18.50
19.25

21.80
27.90
17.20
18.60
19.25

20.90
27.50
17.00
18.75
19.25

22.16
25.96
20.20
18.00
19.38

1984/85
1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

18.25
17.50
10.63
10.76
16.80
16.38
14.69
16.38

18.25
17.50
10.25
12.69
16.06
15.94
13.94
16.48

17.60
17.50
10.25
17.94
14.50
15.56
13.75
16.56

18.00
17.50
9.94
19.90
14.50
14.97
13.94
17.13

18.00
17.50
10.13
19.50
14.00
14.63
14.00
17.31

18.00
17.50
10.13
20.38
14.00
15.33
14.15
17.31

18.00
17.50
9.88
24.45
14.19
15.63
15.44
17.28

18.00
17.50
9.93
24.50
13.81
15.38
15.75
16.56

18.00
15.50
10.38
24.00
13.69
15.73
16.25
16.44

18.00
12.69
10.44
20.25
15.32
15.84
16.50
15.69

18.00
12.75
10.50
18.69
15.50
15.63
17.25
15.10

17.75
12.25
10.50
17.88
16.45
15.30
16.95
15.19

17.99
16.10
10.24
19.24
14.90
15.52
15.22
16.45

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00

14.95
12.05
14.30
17.25
20.75
20.06
18.35
14.68

14.75
12.59
14.63
17.81
20.70
19.40
17.50
14.38

14.69
15.71
14.15
20.25
20.13
18.94
17.50
14.00

14.45
23.75
14.00
19.88
19.75
19.25
17.63
13.85

14.17
26.25
13.25
19.00
19.75
19.15
17.63
13.58

13.38
26.25
13.35
18.55
19.88
19.00
17.50
13.00

13.00
24.88
13.75
18.44
20.44
19.00
17.06
12.69

12.60
23.44
13.88
18.19
20.50
18.55
16.53
12.63

12.13
22.75
13.88
18.60
20.50
18.38
16.13
12.31

11.88
21.00
15.02
19.50
20.50
18.31
15.56
11.88

11.75
17.50
17.03
19.50
20.70
18.50
15.13
11.47

11.75
16.13
17.28
19.70
20.50
18.50
14.91
11.43

13.29
20.19
14.54
18.89
20.34
18.92
16.78
12.99

2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08

11.69
12.19
9.13
13.44
17.65
13.63
18.31
18.75

11.91
10.97
9.25
14.00
15.69
13.50
19.00
18.75

12.38
10.57
9.25
14.88
15.23
13.95
19.00
19.38

12.66
10.41
9.25
15.36
15.13
14.47
19.00
20.75

12.75
10.25
9.25
15.88
15.00
14.69
19.00

12.75
9.97
9.25
16.13
14.92
15.75
19.00

12.75
9.88
9.25
16.10
14.38
16.38
19.00

12.72
9.81
9.38
16.50
14.38
16.50
18.97

12.60
9.25
11.19
17.03
14.00
16.55
18.82

12.47
9.13
11.63
17.78
14.00
16.88
18.75

12.38
9.13
11.95
19.00
14.00
17.00
18.88

12.38
9.13
12.13
19.00
13.94
17.05
18.75

12.45
10.06
10.07
16.26
14.86
15.53
18.87
19.39

Continued--

See footnotes at end of table.

60
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: Average price, f.o.b. mills, at selected milling centers 1/--Continued
Year and

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

4/

Simple
average

- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - Houston, Texas


Long grain 2/:
1979/80

21.10

21.25

22.30

22.10

21.10

20.10

22.75

24.80

24.10

23.00

21.00

21.00

22.05

1980/81

21.00

21.70

23.10

24.75

26.55

26.55

25.75

27.10

27.75

28.00

27.40

27.00

25.55

1981/82

25.00

24.85

23.50

22.60

22.00

21.75

20.20

19.20

19.00

19.00

18.75

17.75

21.13

1982/83

18.25

18.75

18.00

18.00

18.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.10

19.40

18.71

1983/84

19.50

19.67

20.00

20.00

20.00

20.20

20.25

20.25

20.10

19.50

19.50

19.50

19.87

1984/85

19.38

18.69

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.75

18.80

1985/86

18.63

18.25

18.25

18.25

18.25

17.75

17.50

17.30

17.25

13.75

13.60

13.00

16.81

1986/87

13.00

13.00

13.00

13.00

13.00

11.13

10.50

10.50

10.50

10.50

10.50

10.50

11.59

1987/88

10.50

11.90

19.60

21.00

21.00

21.00

23.92

24.06

24.00

21.20

20.50

20.50

19.93

1988/89

18.20

16.00

15.25

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.13

15.50

16.50

15.55

1989/90

16.50

16.50

16.50

16.00

15.67

15.50

15.69

16.25

16.25

16.25

16.25

16.25

16.13

1990/91

15.81

14.50

14.50

14.50

14.50

14.50

16.00

16.00

16.00

16.50

17.00

17.00

15.57

1991/92

17.00

17.00

16.63

17.00

17.67

17.50

17.50

17.50

17.50

17.25

16.70

16.50

17.15

1992/93

16.50

16.50

16.50

16.10

15.75

15.25

14.92

15.00

15.00

14.31

13.60

13.50

15.24

1993/94

13.50

13.50

16.13

23.45

25.50

25.50

25.50

24.88

23.25

21.40

19.25

17.25

20.76

1994/95

15.80

15.50

13.90

13.75

13.75

13.75

13.75

13.75

13.75

14.33

16.38

17.90

14.69

1995/96

17.75

18.13

20.25

20.50

19.50

19.10

18.56

18.25

18.70

19.69

19.75

19.75

19.16

1996/97

20.94

20.75

20.44

19.94

19.75

20.06

21.19

21.75

21.75

21.75

21.75

21.38

20.95

1997/98

21.00

20.55

19.75

19.75

19.75

19.75

19.75

19.05

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.61

1998/99

18.85

18.63

18.25

18.50

18.50

18.44

18.22

18.07

17.75

17.31

17.05

17.00

18.05

1999/00

16.48

16.00

16.00

15.80

15.75

15.55

15.25

15.00

14.84

14.48

14.38

14.43

15.33

2000/01

14.50

14.56

14.95

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

14.92

2001/02

14.81

14.25

14.00

13.63

12.75

12.75

12.25

11.92

12.30

12.30

11.74

11.93

12.88

2002/03

11.93

12.33

11.17

10.75

10.75

10.75

10.75

10.80

12.18

12.96

13.15

13.59

11.76

2003/04

14.96

15.51

16.07

16.52

17.14

18.07

18.00

18.07

18.20

19.43

19.75

19.75

17.60

2004/05

19.75

18.81

17.85

17.75

17.75

17.42

17.38

17.06

16.50

16.50

16.50

16.13

17.45

2005/06

16.00

16.00

16.20

16.25

16.31

18.17

18.25

18.50

18.50

18.63

18.75

18.75

17.53

2006/07

19.13

21.00

21.27

21.38

21.38

21.38

21.38

21.31

21.25

21.25

21.25

21.25

21.10

2007/08

21.25

21.25

22.05

22.63

21.80
Continued--

See footnotes at end of table.

61
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: Average price, f.o.b. mills, at selected milling centers 1/--Continued
Year and

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

4/

Simple
average

- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - Arkansas


Long grain 2/:
1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84

21.50
20.60
26.40
17.10
18.50

23.50
22.00
24.30
17.00
18.50

24.00
23.40
23.05
17.00
18.85

23.00
24.90
22.30
17.55
19.00

21.35
26.10
20.85
18.40
19.00

20.10
26.10
19.60
18.35
19.00

22.40
25.75
19.00
17.50
18.50

24.00
26.70
18.20
17.50
18.50

23.75
27.50
17.55
18.00
18.50

22.25
28.00
17.40
18.40
18.50

21.50
27.90
17.20
18.50
18.50

20.50
27.50
16.60
18.50
18.50

22.32
25.54
20.20
17.82
18.65

1984/85
1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

18.38
17.75
12.00
11.95
18.30
17.19
15.38
16.83

18.25
17.50
11.55
13.56
16.88
16.63
14.75
16.55

18.25
17.38
11.75
18.81
15.13
15.94
14.50
16.50

18.25
17.25
11.88
20.50
15.25
15.69
14.63
17.38

18.13
17.25
11.88
20.17
15.08
15.75
14.75
17.29

18.00
17.25
11.88
20.88
14.80
15.90
14.75
17.25

18.00
17.25
11.88
24.00
14.75
16.00
15.75
17.25

17.94
17.25
11.88
24.06
14.75
16.00
15.75
17.00

17.75
15.50
11.59
24.00
14.88
16.00
15.88
16.91

17.81
13.25
11.50
22.50
15.57
16.00
16.81
16.22

17.94
13.10
11.75
20.81
15.80
16.00
17.25
15.70

17.75
12.50
11.75
19.00
17.04
16.00
17.25
15.50

18.04
16.10
11.77
20.02
15.69
16.09
15.62
16.70

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00

15.65
13.00
14.30
17.50
21.00
20.19
18.60
14.70

15.41
13.25
14.25
18.13
21.00
19.60
17.75
14.38

15.38
16.13
14.05
20.25
16.60
19.13
17.75
14.22

15.38
23.85
13.63
19.75
19.94
19.25
17.88
13.88

14.92
25.00
13.50
19.50
19.75
19.25
17.88
13.50

13.81
25.00
13.50
18.85
20.31
19.25
17.81
13.25

13.58
24.50
13.63
18.38
21.25
19.13
17.31
12.88

13.50
23.63
13.50
18.13
21.50
18.52
16.48
12.33

13.50
22.69
13.69
18.70
21.50
18.50
16.22
11.94

12.94
20.20
14.70
19.75
21.31
18.50
15.66
11.70

12.75
18.00
17.00
19.75
21.20
18.70
15.15
11.13

12.75
15.63
17.40
19.90
20.63
18.75
15.13
11.30

14.13
20.07
14.43
19.05
20.50
19.06
16.97
12.93

2000/01
11.75
12.22
2001/02
11.88
11.16
2002/03
8.75
8.84
2003/04
13.19
14.20
2004/05
18.55
16.75
2005/06
14.00
14.03
2006/07
18.44
19.19
2007/08
19.25
19.28
See footnotes at end of table.

12.85
10.57
8.88
14.50
15.82
14.25
19.25
19.73

12.69
10.41
8.88
15.58
15.33
14.69
19.25
20.81

13.13
10.25
8.88
16.63
14.54
15.00
19.25

13.45
10.00
9.34
16.50
14.60
15.67
19.25

13.00
9.50
10.00
16.54
14.25
16.84
19.25

12.88
9.20
10.03
17.00
14.25
17.25
19.25

12.45
8.75
11.06
17.50
14.25
17.25
18.88

11.81
8.75
12.25
18.50
14.25
17.25
18.88

11.88
8.56
12.75
19.00
14.25
17.38
19.00

12.00
8.75
12.88
19.13
14.19
17.52
19.25

62
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

12.51
9.83
10.21
16.49
15.09
15.93
19.10
19.75
Continued--

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: average price, f.o.b. mills at selected milling centers 1/--Continued
Year and
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
Type
4/
- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - -

May

June

July

Simple
average

Southwest Louisiana
Medium grain 2/:
1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84

19.40
20.50
26.40
16.50
17.50

20.00
20.80
24.20
16.50
17.50

20.40
21.60
22.90
16.45
17.50

20.50
24.40
21.15
16.65
17.50

19.60
26.40
20.00
17.75
17.50

20.00
27.00
18.75
17.30
17.50

22.60
27.10
17.75
16.50
17.50

23.80
27.50
16.10
16.50
17.50

24.00
27.55
15.95
16.50
17.50

23.60
28.00
16.40
17.10
17.50

21.80
28.00
16.20
17.50
17.50

20.90
27.75
16.00
17.50
17.50

21.38
25.55
19.32
16.90
17.50

1984/85
1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

16.00
16.00
10.00
11.07
16.40
15.56
14.75
15.83

16.00
16.00
10.00
12.44
16.19
15.19
13.88
16.00

15.50
16.00
10.00
16.75
14.50
14.80
13.56
16.00

15.50
16.00
10.00
17.35
14.50
14.28
13.50
16.00

15.50
16.00
10.00
16.50
14.00
14.04
13.50
16.00

15.50
16.00
10.00
17.75
13.90
14.78
13.65
16.00

15.50
15.75
10.00
19.65
13.75
15.13
14.94
15.88

16.00
15.50
10.50
20.13
13.50
15.13
15.06
15.50

16.20
14.56
11.25
20.04
13.44
15.55
15.88
15.50

16.31
11.94
11.13
17.80
14.46
15.72
16.25
15.13

16.50
12.00
11.21
17.38
14.63
15.63
16.50
14.50

16.25
10.67
11.18
16.69
15.67
15.30
16.35
14.50

15.90
14.70
10.44
16.96
14.58
15.09
14.82
15.57

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00

14.40
12.25
18.30
15.44
19.50
18.25
18.35
18.60

14.00
12.44
15.88
17.50
19.50
18.35
18.75
17.50

14.50
15.63
15.00
20.25
19.25
18.63
19.00
14.88

14.05
21.95
15.00
20.13
19.25
19.00
19.00
14.70

13.83
24.00
14.00
20.00
19.00
19.00
20.00
14.67

13.38
24.00
13.80
20.00
18.81
19.00
20.00
14.35

13.00
23.75
14.16
19.88
19.19
19.00
20.00
14.00

12.75
23.88
14.38
19.25
19.25
18.20
20.00
13.83

12.38
24.00
14.38
19.13
19.25
18.00
20.00
13.75

11.94
23.70
14.70
19.38
19.25
18.13
20.00
13.40

12.00
22.00
14.75
19.38
18.40
18.50
20.00
12.50

12.00
20.00
14.55
19.40
19.00
18.50
20.00
12.63

13.19
20.63
14.91
19.14
19.14
18.55
19.59
14.57

2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08

13.00
11.06
11.13
16.75
18.60
17.00
21.94
23.50

12.34
11.50
11.50
17.70
15.69
17.50
22.00
23.50

12.48
11.50
12.25
19.00
15.23
18.45
22.00
23.30

12.41
11.50
12.25
19.95
15.13
20.13
23.50
23.25

12.38
11.08
12.25
21.25
15.13
21.38
23.50

12.38
11.50
12.63
21.38
16.31
22.50
23.50

12.25
11.50
13.50
22.30
14.88
22.50
23.50

12.00
11.43
14.05
22.46
14.88
22.50
23.50

11.82
10.94
14.25
22.50
14.88
22.50
23.50

11.53
11.13
14.44
23.00
14.88
22.50
23.50

11.25
11.13
14.50
21.50
14.88
22.50
23.50

11.25
11.13
14.88
21.50
14.94
22.35
23.50

See footnotes at end of table.

63
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

12.09
11.28
13.13
20.77
15.45
20.98
23.12
23.39
Continued--

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: Average price, f.o.b. mills, at selected milling centers 1/--Continued
Year and

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

4/

Simple
average

- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - Arkansas


Medium grain 2/:
1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84

19.50
20.60
26.40
16.10
17.50

22.25
21.30
24.10
16.50
17.50

22.50
22.50
22.95
16.10
17.50

22.40
24.00
21.30
16.65
17.50

21.50
25.75
19.85
17.75
17.50

21.40
26.10
18.60
17.10
17.50

22.60
25.75
17.90
16.50
17.50

24.00
26.70
17.05
16.50
17.50

23.90
27.40
16.50
16.60
17.15

22.25
28.00
16.40
17.10
17.00

21.55
28.00
15.90
17.50
17.00

20.50
27.50
15.60
17.50
17.00

22.03
25.30
19.38
16.83
17.35

1984/85
1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

16.88
16.00
12.33
12.25
17.30
17.19
15.13
16.58

16.69
16.00
11.60
12.88
16.25
16.63
14.75
16.10

16.35
16.25
12.00
16.69
14.75
15.94
14.50
16.09

16.22
16.50
12.00
18.00
15.00
15.44
14.50
16.69

16.13
16.50
12.00
17.83
15.00
15.25
14.75
16.63

15.75
16.50
12.00
18.44
14.70
15.40
14.75
16.63

16.25
16.50
12.63
20.50
14.75
15.50
15.75
16.63

16.44
16.27
12.63
20.50
14.75
15.50
15.75
16.34

16.30
14.81
12.63
20.50
14.81
15.50
15.83
16.38

16.25
12.38
12.34
19.00
15.25
15.50
16.63
15.81

16.25
12.50
12.25
18.88
15.44
15.50
17.00
15.35

16.13
12.50
12.25
18.00
16.92
15.50
17.00
15.25

16.30
15.23
12.22
17.79
15.41
15.74
15.53
16.21

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00

15.50
13.25
15.90
15.63
20.13
18.00
18.13
18.70

15.41
13.50
15.44
16.94
19.95
18.20
18.69
17.50

15.38
16.06
14.98
20.00
18.75
18.56
19.00
15.50

15.38
23.90
14.13
19.69
18.50
18.50
19.00
15.25

14.92
25.00
14.00
19.50
18.50
18.50
19.38
14.75

13.81
25.00
13.80
19.50
18.50
18.50
19.50
14.50

13.58
24.88
13.78
19.38
18.75
18.50
19.38
14.50

13.70
24.63
13.75
18.75
19.50
17.70
19.00
14.50

13.75
24.19
13.94
19.13
19.38
17.50
19.00
14.38

13.38
23.70
14.25
20.13
19.06
17.56
19.00
13.75

13.25
21.50
14.69
20.13
19.00
18.05
19.25
13.38

13.25
18.00
14.95
20.15
18.25
18.13
19.13
13.43

14.98
21.13
14.47
19.03
19.02
18.14
19.04
15.01

2000/01
13.50
13.06
2001/02
10.50
11.50
2002/03
11.00
11.50
2003/04
17.00
19.40
2004/05
17.30
15.19
2005/06
15.90
18.00
2006/07
21.00
21.00
2007/08
22.50
22.50
See footnotes at end of table.

12.50
11.50
11.75
20.00
14.93
19.45
21.60
23.80

12.56
11.50
11.94
21.00
14.79
20.81
22.50
24.00

12.33
11.50
12.25
21.70
14.33
21.63
22.50

11.88
11.25
13.00
23.25
15.25
21.50
22.50

11.56
11.25
13.00
23.25
13.63
21.50
22.50

11.50
11.25
13.50
23.25
13.63
21.50
22.50

11.38
11.25
15.00
22.75
13.63
21.50
22.50

10.06
11.25
15.75
21.50
13.63
21.50
22.50

10.13
11.19
16.00
20.50
13.63
21.50
22.50

10.50
11.00
16.00
20.50
13.63
21.40
22.50

64
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

11.75
11.25
13.39
21.18
14.46
20.52
22.18
23.18
Continued--

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: average price, f.o.b. mills at selected milling centers 1/--Continued
Year and
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
Type
4/
- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - -

May

June

July

Simple
average

California
Medium grain 3/:
1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84

22.50
23.00
30.00
16.25
15.63

23.00
23.20
27.60
16.10
15.50

23.00
24.75
24.50
15.55
15.70

23.00
25.00
22.80
15.50
15.50

23.00
26.75
21.40
15.50
15.50

23.00
30.00
20.50
16.50
15.50

25.10
30.00
19.10
16.00
15.50

24.70
30.00
18.45
16.00
15.38

23.00
30.00
16.90
16.00
15.25

23.00
30.00
16.90
15.90
15.25

23.00
30.00
16.70
15.95
15.25

23.00
30.00
16.40
15.75
15.25

23.28
27.73
20.94
15.92
15.44

1984/85
1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

15.25
15.25
15.00
12.50
17.85
18.44
14.81
17.63

15.25
15.60
14.50
13.30
17.75
18.25
14.88
17.40

15.25
16.00
13.75
16.13
16.95
17.60
14.35
17.00

15.25
15.94
12.63
16.83
15.75
16.56
15.25
17.81

15.25
15.94
12.50
17.00
15.75
16.00
15.25
18.00

15.25
16.00
12.50
16.90
15.50
15.75
15.42
18.00

15.25
15.81
12.50
18.50
15.50
15.75
16.25
18.06

15.25
15.75
12.50
18.50
16.38
15.69
16.25
18.25

15.25
15.75
12.50
18.50
16.25
15.45
16.25
18.25

15.25
15.50
12.50
18.00
17.00
14.81
18.13
18.25

15.25
15.25
12.50
18.00
17.25
14.94
18.25
18.35

15.25
15.25
12.50
17.97
18.08
15.25
17.92
18.50

15.25
15.67
12.99
16.84
16.67
16.21
16.08
17.97

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00

18.25
16.80
21.10
17.06
20.75
19.00
19.80
25.10

18.25
16.22
19.44
18.13
20.50
19.00
20.69
24.50

18.25
16.25
18.50
20.40
20.13
19.00
21.88
22.38

18.25
19.00
18.31
21.00
20.00
19.00
21.20
20.60

18.25
22.50
18.13
23.00
20.00
19.00
21.75
20.75

18.25
22.50
17.02
23.25
19.88
18.81
21.69
20.75

18.25
22.75
16.75
22.44
19.25
18.75
21.50
20.75

18.10
23.63
16.63
22.13
19.00
18.25
21.60
20.75

17.50
26.75
16.63
21.90
19.00
18.00
26.25
20.75

17.50
27.50
16.63
21.50
19.00
18.00
22.25
20.75

17.30
26.75
16.63
21.50
19.00
18.70
24.32
20.75

17.00
24.25
16.63
20.75
19.00
19.00
25.25
20.55

17.93
22.07
17.03
21.09
19.63
18.71
22.35
21.53

2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08

20.25
12.13
12.75
20.56
25.56
18.55
24.50
26.25

20.00
11.50
12.75
22.10
23.13
19.63
25.50
26.63

17.90
14.25
12.75
24.13
22.55
22.70
25.60
27.25

16.25
14.25
12.75
24.25
22.17
24.00
25.69
27.25

15.79
14.17
12.75
25.13
21.50
24.38
25.75

15.43
14.06
13.00
26.06
21.50
24.50
26.05

14.81
14.00
13.69
25.75
20.75
24.17
26.25

13.25
14.00
14.13
25.75
19.38
24.00
26.25

12.85
13.06
14.13
27.25
19.31
24.00
26.25

12.50
12.75
14.13
26.85
18.80
24.13
26.25

12.50
12.75
16.40
26.25
18.50
24.50
26.25

12.50
12.70
18.94
25.75
18.50
24.50
26.25

See footnotes at end of table.

65
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

15.34
13.30
14.01
24.99
20.97
23.26
25.88
26.85
Continued--

Appendix table 19--Milled rice: Average price, f.o.b. mills, at selected milling centers 1/--Continued
Year and

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

4/

Simple
average

- - - - - - - - - -$/cwt, bagged - - - - - - - - - California


Short grain 3/:
1979/80
1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84
1984/85

20.50
23.00
30.00
17.20
15.75
15.25

21.00
23.20
28.25
16.70
15.50
15.25

21.00
24.75
25.75
15.55
15.70
15.25

21.00
25.00
23.90
15.50
15.50
15.25

21.00
26.75
22.00
15.50
15.50
15.25

21.00
30.00
22.00
16.90
15.50
15.25

23.00
30.00
20.25
16.00
15.50
15.25

23.00
30.00
19.50
16.00
15.38
15.25

23.00
30.00
18.25
16.00
15.25
15.25

23.00
30.00
18.25
16.00
15.25
15.25

23.00
30.00
18.25
16.00
15.25
15.25

23.00
30.00
18.10
16.00
15.25
15.25

21.96
27.73
22.04
16.11
15.45
15.25

1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92
1992/93

15.25
15.00
12.50
17.85
18.19
14.81
17.63
18.25

15.60
14.50
13.30
17.75
18.25
14.88
17.40
18.25

16.00
13.75
16.13
16.95
17.60
14.35
17.00
18.25

15.94
12.56
16.83
15.75
16.56
15.25
17.81
18.25

15.94
12.50
17.00
15.75
16.00
15.25
18.00
18.25

16.00
12.50
16.90
15.50
15.60
15.42
18.00
18.25

15.81
12.50
18.50
15.50
15.75
16.25
18.06
18.25

15.75
12.50
18.50
16.25
15.69
16.25
18.25
18.10

15.75
12.50
18.50
16.25
15.45
16.25
18.25
17.50

15.50
12.50
18.00
17.00
14.81
18.13
18.25
17.50

15.25
12.50
18.00
17.25
14.94
18.25
18.25
17.30

15.25
12.50
18.00
18.08
15.25
17.92
18.25
17.00

15.67
12.98
16.85
16.66
16.17
16.08
17.93
17.93

1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00
2000/01

16.80
21.10
18.75
22.00
20.75
21.30
26.50
21.25

16.22
19.44
20.13
22.00
20.75
22.19
26.00
21.25

16.25
18.50
21.80
21.81
20.75
23.50
23.63
18.90

19.00
18.31
23.00
21.69
20.75
22.90
21.60
17.25

22.50
18.13
24.17
21.50
20.75
23.25
21.75
16.79

22.50
18.13
24.75
21.50
20.56
23.19
21.75
16.43

22.75
18.22
24.75
21.00
20.50
23.00
21.75
15.81

23.63
18.25
23.63
20.75
19.80
23.10
21.75
13.44

26.75
18.25
23.50
21.00
19.50
23.63
21.75
12.85

27.50
18.25
23.50
20.88
19.50
23.69
21.75
12.50

26.75
18.25
23.50
20.75
20.20
25.70
21.75
12.50

24.25
18.25
22.00
20.75
20.50
26.50
21.55
12.50

22.07
18.13
22.79
21.30
20.36
23.49
22.63
15.96

2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08

12.13
14.00
20.88
25.50
18.60
25.00
26.75

11.81
14.00
21.75
24.00
21.00
25.00
27.25

14.25
14.00
23.75
23.55
22.30
25.85
28.05

14.25
14.00
23.98
23.08
24.50
26.25
28.25

14.25
14.00
25.13
22.25
24.88
26.25

14.06
14.00
26.69
22.21
25.00
26.65

14.00
15.19
27.50
21.50
25.00
26.75

14.00
16.38
27.50
20.63
25.00
26.75

14.00
16.38
27.50
20.44
25.00
26.75

14.00
16.38
26.50
19.80
25.00
26.75

14.00
18.48
26.25
19.13
25.00
26.50

14.00
20.09
26.06
19.03
25.00
26.75

13.73
15.57
25.29
21.76
23.86
26.27
27.58

NQ = No quote. 1/ Monthly average of the midpoint for reported weekly low and high quotes. 2/ U.S. No. 2--broken not to exceed 4 percent.
3/ U.S. no. 1. 4/ Preliminary.
Source: USDA, Agricultural Marketing Service, Rice Market News .

66
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 20--Rice byproducts: Monthly average price, Southwest Louisiana 1/


Year

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

and type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Simple

2/

average
$/cwt, bagged 3/

Second heads
f.o.b. mills:
1979/80

8.25

8.45

9.00

9.50

9.50

10.10

11.00

11.90

12.50

12.50

12.50

12.25

10.62

1980/81

11.05

10.70

11.00

11.15

12.45

12.90

12.75

13.55

13.40

14.45

14.55

14.10

12.67

1981/82

13.00

11.90

11.00

11.00

11.00

10.60

10.00

8.60

9.25

10.00

10.00

10.00

10.53

1982/83

10.00

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.75

9.77

1983/84

9.75

10.25

10.25

10.25

10.25

10.25

10.25

10.81

10.20

10.00

10.00

10.00

10.19

1984/85

8.50

8.75

8.80

8.00

8.00

8.00

9.00

9.19

9.25

10.00

10.25

10.25

9.00

1985/86

10.25

10.25

10.17

10.00

10.00

10.00

10.25

10.25

8.81

7.75

7.75

7.75

9.44

1986/87

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.63

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.70

7.63

7.63

5.83

5.63

7.38

1987/88

5.73

6.05

7.00

7.54

7.50

7.63

7.65

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.88

8.25

7.37

1988/89

8.15

8.13

8.50

8.00

8.00

8.00

10.06

9.73

10.01

10.70

10.63

10.40

9.19

1989/90

9.94

9.63

9.01

8.09

8.00

8.00

8.25

8.50

8.50

8.50

8.50

8.40

8.61

1990/91

7.75

7.50

7.50

7.50

7.50

7.50

7.88

7.50

8.40

8.63

9.00

9.15

7.98

1991/92

8.75

8.50

9.19

9.50

9.50

9.50

9.13

8.75

8.78

8.75

9.00

9.00

9.03

1992/93

9.00

9.00

8.91

8.88

8.75

8.38

7.38

7.75

7.63

7.72

7.35

7.35

8.17

1993/94

7.35

7.35

7.71

8.05

8.25

8.25

8.13

8.19

9.00

8.70

9.00

9.00

8.25

1994/95

9.30

9.50

9.50

9.50

9.50

9.55

9.88

10.25

10.25

10.25

10.25

10.65

9.86

1995/96

11.00

11.13

11.80

12.00

12.17

13.10

13.44

13.25

13.00

13.00

13.13

13.65

12.55

1996/97

13.75

13.75

14.25

14.33

14.50

15.19

15.25

15.25

15.00

14.75

14.55

14.50

14.59

1997/98

13.94

13.75

13.50

13.00

13.00

13.00

13.00

13.00

13.13

14.25

14.25

14.25

13.51

1998/99

14.25

14.25

14.25

13.50

13.38

13.31

13.13

13.00

12.50

12.06

10.40

10.00

12.84

1999/00

10.00

9.63

8.75

8.75

8.50

8.50

8.50

8.50

8.38

7.55

7.50

7.70

8.52

2000/01

8.00

8.00

8.00

7.63

7.50

6.90

6.50

6.72

7.22

7.31

7.50

7.50

7.40

2001/02

7.50

6.41

6.93

7.44

7.00

7.13

7.25

7.10

7.25

7.25

7.25

7.05

7.13

2002/03

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

2003/04

7.00

7.00

7.00

8.30

11.75

12.50

12.85

12.84

13.75

14.25

14.25

14.25

11.31

2004/05

13.55

12.00

12.00

12.00

12.00

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.84

2005/06

11.50

11.50

9.80

9.50

9.50

9.50

9.88

10.00

10.00

10.00

10.00

10.10

10.11

2006/07

10.88

11.38

12.50

13.50

13.75

14.20

14.31

15.13

15.25

15.25

15.25

15.25

13.89

2007/08

15.25

15.50

16.05

16.06

See footnotes at end of table.

15.72
Continued--

67
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 20--Rice byproducts: Monthly average price, Southwest Louisiana 1/--Continued
Year

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

and type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Simple

2/

average

Rice bran,

$/ton 4/

f.o.b. mills:
1979/80

58.00

61.50

79.80

85.90

88.85

94.15

60.75

51.60

52.00

62.75

65.50

66.75

68.96

1980/81

76.90

84.70

86.40

95.50

1981/82

51.50

49.60

52.75

59.90

73.65

N.Q. 101.90
82.50

73.60

59.10

57.50

60.00

71.60

69.15

76.03

64.35

50.40

55.50

57.50

61.10

NQ

1982/83

52.80

53.00

54.00

77.65

85.00

59.89

77.50

52.15

47.25

59.65

70.30

61.25

NQ

62.78

1983/84

63.75

70.00

89.75

108.35

1984/85

69.17

49.50

45.13

53.75

120.85

98.50

57.50

50.00

67.50

60.00

60.00

59.50

75.48

68.75

85.00

67.50

53.25

40.50

45.67

45.00

47.50

1985/86

43.33

40.00

20.00

55.89

42.50

65.00

88.75

65.00

51.67

25.75

20.00

17.50

1986/87

16.25

23.80

43.59

26.50

34.00

53.13

50.00

35.63

28.38

23.50

20.63

18.80

17.00

28.97

1987/88

20.60

1988/89

64.00

29.25

46.50

54.90

53.33

68.13

49.63

47.25

60.00

40.90

47.25

85.00

50.23

58.13

63.50

63.75

70.67

71.40

52.25

64.13

54.63

45.71

47.00

49.17

58.70

1989/90

55.75

57.38

60.25

69.00

76.17

84.40

51.88

49.63

58.00

72.50

75.25

75.90

65.51

1990/91

72.00

52.38

51.50

51.88

55.67

66.70

51.75

48.63

56.30

46.75

50.25

57.50

55.11

1991/92

42.83

36.80

43.00

54.50

72.00

75.00

56.50

44.63

41.38

40.88

42.20

45.38

49.59

1992/93

42.80

38.25

41.13

60.70

75.50

79.25

52.83

51.50

49.38

31.50

40.00

43.88

50.56

1993/94

37.10

41.88

49.25

62.50

76.00

87.40

93.50

76.71

56.38

59.60

58.88

48.25

62.29

1994/95

52.30

49.13

46.30

49.38

52.00

53.50

41.38

34.13

31.63

31.20

34.88

45.70

43.46

1995/96

60.63

55.75

68.00

86.00

105.67

123.00

103.13

90.75

106.60

111.00

88.63

103.25

91.87

1996/97

95.75

93.00

85.13

82.25

94.00

101.63

80.13

57.70

57.25

64.00

78.50

67.50

79.74

1997/98

50.50

45.80

62.00

80.63

79.50

72.50

71.63

63.10

65.13

38.25

45.60

64.63

61.61

1998/99

53.20

32.50

32.63

32.60

48.00

60.25

45.50

30.40

39.63

37.00

28.40

26.25

38.86

1999/00

27.40

23.13

36.50

47.40

53.33

59.00

49.75

46.83

43.00

42.30

42.25

36.90

42.32

2000/01

25.38

25.88

36.00

38.75

46.50

65.50

61.25

47.50

43.50

45.63

50.00

56.50

45.20

2001/02

32.13

28.25

41.17

46.00

48.67

NQ

57.17

43.88

34.20

24.88

35.88

41.33

39.41

2002/03

33.13

41.13

61.88

65.88

67.50

74.38

69.63

53.10

34.13

40.00

50.00

56.00

53.89

2003/04

50.88

57.10

61.33

64.20

76.25

89.83

95.50

78.88

73.88

65.50

63.63

64.25

70.10

2004/05

63.40

66.00

66.10

71.33

73.50

72.08

71.88

60.38

49.88

39.70

33.75

35.88

58.66

2005/06

40.50

35.67

38.70

43.63

60.00

69.00

60.25

54.00

53.50

44.50

45.00

60.00

50.40

2006/07

63.75

67.50

80.00

91.25

95.00

97.50

98.13

100.00

90.00

72.63

73.13

81.00

84.16

2007/08

83.75

88.13

96.60

95.00

NQ

See footnotes at end of table.

90.87
Continued--

68
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 20--Rice byproducts: Monthly average price, Southwest Louisiana 1/--Continued
Year

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

and type

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

2/

Sim ple
average

Rice m illfeed,

$/ton 4/

f.o.b. m ills:
1975/76

24.65

32.20

30.50

28.25

40.25

48.10

41.25

28.10

17.50

17.85

23.70

33.35

30.50

1976/77

23.90

22.10

22.50

30.90

38.35

25.25

25.25

19.10

14.50

11.25

11.00

9.50

21.15

1977/78

9.85

8.90

7.00

15.50

18.50

15.75

12.40

12.40

9.90

11.70

15.50

15.50

12.75

1978/79

13.25

6.40

8.10

19.50

24.15

24.10

23.00

18.15

8.50

17.15

16.25

1979/80

20.35

19.25

25.90

30.25

40.65

45.65

18.15

13.50

11.00

11.25

11.10

15.25

21.85

1980/81

29.50

37.40

35.00

36.90

48.40

54.00

15.00

11.00

14.95

17.00

27.00

31.40

29.80

1981/82

22.60

10.90

17.75

22.00

30.65

29.75

16.50

13.15

13.40

15.40

19.40

1982/83

16.00

16.75

15.25

26.15

35.00

45.00

13.50

15.25

19.35

23.60

22.10

23.00

22.60

1983/84

24.00

25.38

33.30

42.13

61.67

66.25

22.50

24.75

31.20

21.25

25.50

27.20

33.75

1984/85

23.50

18.75

18.63

19.50

23.75

31.75

31.50

22.00

17.00

16.88

15.00

14.50

21.05

1985/86

13.00

13.00

8.00

15.38

21.88

35.38

19.50

20.83

8.50

5.00

4.25

15.00

1986/87

5.13

10.00

10.00

11.25

15.00

13.75

6.13

4.50

3.50

3.60

4.25

7.95

NQ
8.00

N.Q.

N.Q.

N.Q.

19.25

1987/88

8.50

10.38

22.25

22.90

21.50

28.25

17.38

18.83

22.50

16.00

19.50

40.00

20.70

1988/89

21.50

17.88

18.60

15.75

24.00

23.60

20.00

19.00

19.33

15.50

16.00

16.00

18.95

1989/90

17.13

16.75

14.00

22.63

23.67

27.70

14.50

14.63

16.70

23.63

25.00

25.00

20.10

1990/91

28.63

19.00

19.13

19.50

21.50

24.90

17.00

18.50

17.80

13.75

14.25

16.30

19.20

1991/92

12.17

11.20

13.38

19.88

39.50

37.13

17.50

14.63

14.75

14.13

14.90

16.13

18.80

1992/93

14.15

13.63

14.50

18.00

30.33

37.13

23.83

18.70

17.00

8.88

8.80

8.75

17.80

1993/94

10.50

11.75

12.63

19.70

26.67

44.00

50.63

40.63

27.13

26.20

25.88

21.13

26.40

1994/95

19.60

18.25

17.50

17.75

19.17

20.20

16.38

13.00

13.25

12.40

12.25

13.50

16.10

1995/96

15.63

15.38

20.70

35.13

48.67

66.00

50.50

35.88

42.70

43.50

33.75

41.38

37.45

1996/97

43.50

44.00

43.00

41.13

42.70

45.88

41.00

28.30

20.25

25.63

29.80

22.50

35.64

1997/98

20.75

20.00

24.88

29.50

31.60

32.00

30.50

26.20

24.63

15.00

14.00

18.13

23.93

1998/99

17.60

14.63

10.75

10.50

13.31

20.13

18.25

12.00

16.88

11.63

9.00

8.13

13.57

1999/00

6.30

6.50

8.00

12.00

15.50

15.00

14.13

11.50

10.38

10.10

10.13

8.80

10.69

2000/01

7.00

7.75

9.90

10.50

13.17

25.75

31.50

23.50

21.25

18.83

20.00

21.50

17.55

2001/02

14.63

14.13

14.20

14.00

16.50

23.33

26.50

17.50

9.75

7.50

14.58

2002/03

9.00

12.88

18.63

20.00

22.50

25.63

24.38

20.40

10.25

NQ

2003/04

13.00

16.10

18.75

24.00

34.00

35.67

38.40

26.38

20.88

19.20

NQ

NQ

24.02

2004/05

19.20

21.50

22.50

25.33

27.00

26.42

NQ

23.33

20.88

14.20

14.25

16.00

20.96

2005/06

15.00

15.33

17.50

18.00

30.00

28.33

22.75

21.33

21.20

NQ

NQ

20.00

20.94

2006/07

21.50

21.00

32.50

35.00

38.75

NQ

33.00

NQ

NQ

31.14

2007/08

NQ

30.00

37.70

43.00

NQ

NQ

36.20

7.88

7.50
NQ

NQ

18.18

36.90

NQ = Not quoted.
1/ Monthly average of the m idpoint for reported weekly low and high quotes. 2/ Novem ber 2007 data are prelim inary. 3/ U.S. No. 4 or better.
4/ Prices quoted as bulk.
Source: USDA, Agricultural Marketing Service, Rice M arket New s.

69
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 21--Brewers' prices: Monthly average price for Arkansas brewers' rice 1/
Year & State

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Simple
average

- - - - - - - - - - $/cwt - - - - - - - - Arkansas
1974/75
1975/76
1976/77
1977/78
1978/79
1979/80

8.50
7.10
5.75
5.50
7.40
7.05

9.10
7.40
5.75
5.50
7.10
7.30

9.50
7.50
5.75
5.50
7.50
7.90

9.50
6.60
5.75
5.50
7.40
8.25

9.50
6.20
5.65
6.50
7.10
8.50

11.25
6.25
5.40
6.90
6.80
9.00

9.95
5.75
5.10
8.00
6.75
9.40

9.40
5.80
5.10
9.55
6.60
9.65

9.00
5.80
5.60
9.10
6.75
9.75

8.75
5.85
6.00
9.00
6.90
9.75

8.00
5.85
6.00
9.00
7.00
9.75

7.35
5.75
5.50
8.70
7.00
9.75

9.15
6.32
5.61
7.40
7.03
8.84

1980/81
1981/82
1982/83
1983/84
1984/85
1985/86

9.75
9.30
6.55
6.50
7.25
6.75

9.75
9.00
6.50
6.75
7.30
6.70

9.80
8.55
6.50
7.00
7.30
6.50

10.10
8.25
6.50
7.00
7.30
6.50

10.00
8.25
6.50
6.90
7.30
6.50

10.00
8.20
6.50
6.76
NA
6.25

10.00
7.60
6.50
6.63
7.30
6.00

10.00
7.40
6.50
6.50
7.30
6.00

10.00
7.30
6.50
6.62
7.15
5.75

10.00
7.00
6.50
6.70
7.00
5.50

9.60
7.00
6.50
6.85
6.81
5.50

9.50
6.80
6.50
7.10
6.75
5.50

9.88
7.89
6.50
6.78
7.16
6.12

1986/87
1987/88
1988/89
1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

5.19
4.00
8.50
9.64
7.01
8.00

5.00
4.25
8.69
9.00
6.11
8.40

4.81
6.19
8.75
8.50
6.10
8.70

4.75
6.28
8.75
7.97
6.45
9.00

4.63
6.10
8.75
7.75
6.23
9.00

4.42
6.10
8.60
7.75
6.04
8.88

4.20
6.97
10.43
7.75
6.65
8.50

4.20
7.25
10.20
7.43
7.10
8.66

4.20
7.25
10.40
6.80
7.93
8.25

4.20
6.93
11.00
6.60
8.00
8.25

4.11
7.46
11.00
6.60
8.00
8.25

3.75
8.38
10.54
7.05
8.00
8.25

4.45
6.43
9.63
7.74
6.97
8.51

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98

8.25
6.00
7.35
10.22
12.88
13.91

8.25
6.02
7.22
10.09
13.13
13.49

8.25
6.49
7.15
9.78
13.50
11.91

7.70
6.72
7.25
10.25
14.56
10.88

7.29
6.88
7.25
10.96
15.50
11.31

7.19
6.88
7.80
12.80
15.47
11.41

6.96
6.97
9.59
12.60
15.19
12.01

6.88
7.39
8.94
12.61
15.03
13.13

6.41
7.50
8.29
12.80
14.84
13.75

6.25
7.20
8.16
12.66
14.41
14.25

6.00
7.19
8.56
12.59
14.40
14.32

6.04
7.25
9.71
12.80
14.16
14.34

7.12
6.87
8.11
11.68
14.42
12.89

1998/99
1999/00
2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04

14.18
6.84
6.00
7.13
6.46
7.06

13.75
6.67
6.00
6.09
6.38
7.05

13.28
6.88
5.65
6.58
6.13
7.05

13.08
7.03
5.38
6.63
6.00
8.53

12.88
7.21
5.21
6.63
6.00
9.50

12.88
7.88
5.17
6.73
6.15
12.50

13.00
8.25
5.69
6.88
6.30
12.50

12.75
7.71
5.97
6.83
6.30
12.84

11.56
6.94
6.22
6.90
6.38
13.75

10.84
6.20
6.41
6.85
6.56
14.45

8.80
6.13
6.59
6.85
6.70
15.75

8.06
6.05
6.81
6.63
6.97
14.44

12.09
6.98
5.93
6.73
6.36
11.29

2004/05
200506
200607
200708

14.00
10.65
10.56
15.25

11.59
10.41
10.91
15.50

11.73
9.53
11.70
15.90

11.58
9.38
12.75
15.63

11.50
9.56
12.75

10.83
9.63
13.10

10.84
9.78
14.75

10.75
9.88
15.56

10.72
9.88
14.93

10.98
9.88
14.88

11.09
10.00
15.13

11.00
10.18
15.25

11.38
9.90
13.52
15.57

NA = Not available. 1/ Simple average of mid-point of weekly price ranges.


Source: USDA, Agricultural Marketing Service, Rice Marketing News.

70
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 22--Thailand milled rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/

Month

100-percent

5-percent

Grade B

parboiled

5-percent

15-percent

35-percent

A.1

broken

broken

broken

Special 2/

- - - - - - - - $/metric ton - - - - - - - 1985/86:


August

193

179

NA

NA

NA

NA

September

197

181

NA

NA

NA

NA

October

213

180

NA

NA

NA

NA

November

202

176

NA

NA

NA

NA

December

202

175

NA

NA

NA

NA

January

191

158

NA

NA

NA

98

February

188

142

NA

NA

NA

97

March

186

139

NA

NA

NA

100
97

April

178

131

NA

NA

NA

May

177

135

NA

NA

NA

98

June

179

140

NA

NA

NA

101

July

185

153

181

167

NA

107

Average

191

157

NA

NA

NA

NA

1986/87:
August

191

173

186

173

NA

122

September

179

161

173

161

NA

113

October

180

162

175

161

NA

113

November

180

157

174

159

136

105

December

172

153

167

154

132

100

January

178

153

173

162

137

107

February

193

168

187

176

153

120

March

204

179

198

189

167

131

April

204

183

199

189

167

133

May

202

189

198

187

166

136

June

198

189

196

186

167

142

July

196

187

191

180

164

148

Average

190

171

185

173

154

122

1987/88:
August

208

207

204

193

181

168

September

255

257

250

240

223

195

October

272

268

267

257

228

210

November

260

247

254

242

224

189

December

261

236

256

242

216

168

January

297

279

292

276

253

207

February

311

295

306

294

262

214

March

299

285

294

282

256

213

April

294

282

288

276

256

220

May

262

252

257

247

235

211

June

273

262

269

259

248

226

July

279

268

274

265

252

232

Average

273

261

267

256

236

See footnotes at end of table.

204
Continued--

71
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 22--Thailand milled rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/--Continued

Month

100-percent

5-percent

Grade B

parboiled

5-percent

15-percent

35-percent

A.1

broken

broken

broken

Special 2/

- - - - - - - - $/metric ton - - - - - - - 1988/89:


August

274

264

269

260

NA

217

September

279

268

273

261

246

221

October

279

266

273

263

249

226

November

278

265

272

263

248

227

December

265

259

260

251

237

223

January

268

259

264

255

243

231

February

276

265

271

262

251

235

March

282

264

277

267

253

233
239

April

298

273

293

283

266

May

316

294

311

299

281

246

June

337

309

331

314

NA

244

July

359

332

351

329

289

246

Average

292

276

287

275

256

232

1989/90:
August

337

314

332

309

288

221

September

328

290

321

302

257

205

October

314

275

304

279

234

183

November

279

248

270

240

207

166

December

279

253

272

252

219

174

January

284

258

276

256

218

170

February

307

266

300

276

229

176

March

297

259

289

271

215

169

April

284

255

276

253

210

164

May

268

231

260

239

196

151

June

264

226

255

234

184

140

July

265

229

256

235

183

142

Average

292

259

284

262

220

172

1990/91:
August

268

243

260

236

192

149

September

269

251

259

237

192

150

October

290

265

281

256

210

163

November

280

255

272

248

202

153

December

272

243

264

239

194

147

January

311

277

303

273

222

165

February

337

303

327

297

243

187

March

321

285

311

281

232

175

April

295

272

286

263

221

176

May

298

274

288

262

219

173

June

303

281

293

263

214

163

July

313

287

303

275

225

174

Average

296

270

287

261

214

See footnotes at end of table.

165
Continued--

72
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 22--Thailand milled rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/--Continued

Month

100-percent

5-percent

Grade B

parboiled

5-percent

15-percent

35-percent

A.1

broken

broken

broken

Special 2/

- - - - - - - - $/metric ton - - - - - - - 1991/92:


August

309

286

298

273

228

184

September

300

277

290

271

225

193

October

284

265

277

253

223

191

November

283

262

274

253

218

185

December

276

258

268

250

218

184

January

286

266

277

258

226

188

February

287

267

278

259

224

189

March

286

263

277

258

225

186

April

287

262

279

262

226

186

May

282

251

272

253

217

178

June

278

243

268

249

216

171

July

289

251

279

260

224

173

Average

287

263

278

258

222

184

1992/93:
August

279

249

270

250

221

182

September

266

244

255

238

212

176

October

260

247

250

233

204

172

November

262

245

253

235

206

172

December

265

240

256

238

207

162

January

270

238

262

240

208

166

February

267

234

254

233

203

172

March

243

229

230

211

189

161

April

216

211

206

191

175

153

May

194

188

185

172

158

145

June

199

190

189

177

162

147

July

209

205

201

186

171

149

Average

244

227

234

217

193

163

1993/94:
August

218

214

210

196

179

156

September

216

213

206

192

177

158

October

272

222

257

237

207

162

November

337

264

323

288

242

167

December

334

272

318

282

234

155

January

376

272

354

305

241

151

February

390

266

363

313

238

155

March

330

248

274

240

207

155
157

April

331

238

269

242

205

May

259

235

235

213

190

160

June

232

228

216

200

186

165

July

237

251

226

211

197

178

Average

294

244

271

243

209

See footnotes at end of table.

160
Continued--

73
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 22--Thailand milled rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/--Continued

Month

100-percent

5-percent

5-percent

15-percent

35-percent

A.1

Grade B

parboiled

broken

broken

broken

Special 2/

- - - - - - - - $/metric ton - - - - - - - 1994/95:


August

259

271

250

237

222

200

September

267

265

260

246

233

210

October

272

262

262

249

238

216

November

272

263

264

249

236

215

December

270

259

262

250

237

222

January

282

264

275

265

252

232
226

February

289

266

282

270

255

March

292

269

285

272

253

222

April

290

269

282

271

254

226

May

299

274

291

279

262

239

June

333

305

326

314

297

276

July

353

341

347

335

321

297

Average

290

276

282

270

255

232

1995/96:
August

346

343

340

327

310

288

September

368

354

360

346

322

285

October

393

373

386

372

340

293

November

354

342

346

334

315

296

December

347

337

340

326

307

278

January

372

355

364

350

321

271
256

February

377

357

367

348

307

March

373

350

360

344

301

260

April

342

316

328

310

272

245

May

347

318

331

312

272

244

June

360

339

342

322

275

240

July

370

347

358

335

281

229

Average

362

344

352

335

302

265

1996/97:
August

346

330

336

314

265

213

September

341

331

332

311

264

216

October

324

330

313

293

250

208

November

325

327

315

293

248

206

December

330

325

320

298

253

205

January

367

334

356

332

277

218

February

359

321

347

320

270

226

March

341

315

328

302

261

231

April

319

301

306

285

252

220

May

335

315

324

300

257

215

June

335

324

323

299

256

221

July

332

327

321

296

256

215

Average

338

323

327

303

259

See footnotes at end of table.

216
Continued--

74
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 22--Thailand m illed rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/--Continued

Month

100-percent

5-percent

5-percent

15-percent

35-percent

A.1

Grade B

parboiled

broken

broken

broken

Special 2/

- - - - - - - - $/m etric ton - - - - - - - 1997/98:


August

296

314

285

265

237

209

Septem ber

280

304

271

254

231

203

October

275

280

266

249

224

192

Novem ber

261

261

252

237

213

181

Decem ber

274

269

267

255

228

193

January

299

279

294

278

236

186

February

307

290

297

279

235

187

March

305

284

296

278

235

193

April

326

296

316

296

249

199

May

328

299

318

299

248

197

June

338

315

330

311

256

209

July

337

315

324

304

255

211

Average

302

291

293

275

237

197

1998/99:
August

334

318

323

305

264

229

Septem ber

332

317

322

304

269

241

October

306

298

298

282

264

252

Novem ber

278

275

271

260

248

234

Decem ber

282

281

275

261

245

232

January

308

303

300

283

252

234

February

287

279

280

263

234

212

March

263

254

256

239

213

197

April

242

240

236

221

199

184

May

252

249

244

229

202

184

June

262

251

254

240

217

200

July

259

248

253

241

220

209

Average

284

276

276

261

236

217

1999/00:
August

253

249

246

237

216

204

Septem ber

235

256

229

217

198

186

October

223

257

217

205

186

170

Novem ber

236

268

229

216

194

172

Decem ber

240

252

234

221

192

155

January

248

248

241

228

194

158

February

252

248

242

225

191

158

March

235

238

225

209

180

152

April

225

229

214

200

173

148

May

211

219

199

186

164

144

June

210

218

196

183

161

140

July

199

216

190

178

161

142

Average

230

242

222

209

184

161

2000/01:
August

193

208

187

175

160

144

Septem ber

185

189

179

169

158

143

October

192

199

187

175

156

136

Novem ber

191

189

185

173

153

128

Decem ber

190

188

184

173

153

129

January

190

188

184

174

153

135

February

190

184

185

174

152

134

March

182

174

175

165

142

See footnotes at end of table.

126
Continued--

75
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 22--Thailand milled rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/--Continued

Month

100-percent

5-percent

Grade B

parboiled

5-percent

15-percent

35-percent

A.1

broken

broken

broken

Special 2/

- - - - - - - - $/metric ton - - - - - - - April


May
June
July

170
172
177
177

164
171
180
198

163
164
168
169

154
154
158
160

135
138
144
148

121
123
130
137

Average

184

186

177

167

149

132

174
178
174
179
184
197
201
198
196
207
208
205

202
214
213
198
197
193
195
190
188
192
195
194

168
173
171
175
179
192
195
189
191
201
201
200

160
167
165
168
173
184
187
182
183
192
192
190

149
157
155
157
160
170
168
166
167
172
177
175

141
148
146
134
134
143
144
146
149
148
148
152

192

198

186

178

164

144

197
192
192
193
191
206
204
201
200
204
208
205

195
192
195
196
190
196
196
193
190
193
200
202

191
186
186
187
187
201
199
197
195
198
203
199

183
179
179
180
180
193
191
188
186
189
194
189

171
169
171
173
171
182
179
177
175
177
183
178

149
149
157
158
154
152
150
146
141
143
151
150

199

195

194

186

175

150

201
202
201
198
203
220
220
244
247
238
234
236

200
204
204
200
198
209
214
241
253
251
244
240

195
197
196
193
198
213
213
238
241
232
229
231

186
187
187
185
190
204
205
231
234
225
222
225

175
177
178
176
182
195
197
222
226
219
218
219

151
155
157
158
163
171
182
207
215
213
212
210

220

221

215

207

199

2001/02:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average
2002/03
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average
2003/04
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average
See footnotes at end of table.

76
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

183
Continued--

Appendix table 22--Thailand m illed rice prices, f.o.b. Bangkok 1/--Continued


Month

100-percent
Grade B

5-percent
parboiled

5-percent
15-percent
broken
broken
- - - - - - - - $/m etric ton - - - - - - - -

35-percent
broken

A.1
Special 2/

2004/05
August

244

253

239

233

225

212

Septem ber

240

251

235

229

222

206

October

260

264

255

247

235

205

Novem ber

266

266

261

254

243

214

Decem ber

283

281

278

271

257

220

January

294

289

289

280

266

224

February

296

292

290

280

268

232

March

298

295

293

283

270

230

April

302

301

297

287

272

226

May

300

294

294

283

267

220

June

291

286

285

273

258

211

July

282

279

278

266

252

207

Average

280

279

275

266

253

217

2005/06
August

289

285

283

272

259

214

Septem ber

291

288

286

275

262

216

October

292

289

286

275

262

218

Novem ber

283

278

278

267

255

210

Decem ber

286

277

281

269

254

207

January

298

285

293

280

264

211

February

307

297

302

290

272

215

March

308

298

303

290

271

215

April

309

299

303

290

270

218

May

314

302

308

294

273

218

June

319

306

313

298

276

216

July

321

314

315

301

279

217

Average

301

293

296

283

2006/07
August

319

313

313

299

278

218

Septem ber

318

313

312

299

278

224

October

307

309

300

288

269

222

Novem ber

301

300

295

284

263

218

Decem ber

312

309

306

296

275

228

January

320

314

313

302

279

242

February

323

317

315

305

285

255

March

327

326

319

309

293

261

April

324

322

316

307

290

257

May

325

321

318

308

282

254

June

331

327

324

314

293

255

July

355

333

269

319

297

257

Average

322

317

308

302

282

241

2007/08
August

334

331

328

317

298

261

Septem ber

332

330

325

315

301

269

October

336

338

330

320

313

292

Novem ber

349

328

342

334

327

308

Average 3/

336

338

330

320

308

NA=Not available. 1/ Sim ple average of weekly indicative price quotes. Includes cost of bags.
2/ 100-percent brokens. 3/ Prelim inary.
Sources: Thailand Grain and Feed W eekly Rice Price Update , U.S. Em bassy, Bangkok.

77
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

281

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, m ajor exporters 1/

Country/m onth

5-percent

5-percent

10-percent

15-percent

25-percent

DW P 2/

brokens

brokens

brokens

brokens

$/m etric ton


Vietnam :
1997/98:
August
Septem ber
October
Novem ber
Decem ber
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

260
258
242
246
275
267
260
285
300
NQ
309
310

253
253
237
241
270
262
255
280
295
NQ
304
305

241
245
233
236
260
256
250
271
290
NQ
299
298

231
233
224
231
255
248
245
262
280
NQ
294
291

223
225
211
218
243
236
233
249
270
NQ
259
258

274

269

262

254

239

320
316
300
283
263
250
244
233
226
234
243
235

315
311
295
278
258
245
239
228
221
229
238
230

305
301
288
273
253
240
233
223
216
224
231
225

295
291
281
265
245
230
228
217
211
219
226
220

270
279
271
253
238
220
215
204
196
204
215
214

262

257

251

244

232

235
223
206
222
232
234
215
198
180
178
180
187

230
218
201
217
227
229
210
194
175
173
175
183

225
211
196
212
222
224
205
189
170
167
170
178

220
206
191
207
213
219
200
183
164
159
162
173

215
198
186
195
198
199
188
173
159
149
148
155

208

203

197

191

180

187
180
184
181
174
170
166
154
150
153
156
161

183
176
179
176
170
168
163
151
148
151
154
159

178
171
174
171
165
164
160
147
145
147
150
156

173
165
168
164
160
160
155
141
140
142
145
151

158
152
158
154
149
149
144
134
131
134
136
142

Average 3/
168
See footnotes at end of table.

165

161

155

Average 3/
1998/99:
August
Septem ber
October
Novem ber
Decem ber
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
1999/00:
August
Septem ber
October
Novem ber
Decem ber
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2000/01:
August
Septem ber
October
Novem ber
Decem ber
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

145
Continued--

78
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, major exporters 1/--Continued
Country/month

5-percent

5-percent

10-percent

15-percent

25-percent

DWP 2/

brokens

brokens

brokens

brokens

$/metric ton
Vietnam:
2001/02:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

178
175
178
193
194
194
187
174
187
190
198
191

176
173
176
191
192
192
185
172
185
188
196
189

170
167
172
186
188
188
180
169
180
185
190
185

165
163
168
181
182
182
175
165
176
180
185
174

154
153
159
170
170
170
166
158
166
170
175
167

187

185

180

175

165

192
193
190
188
184
175
174
177
179
188
187
183

190
191
188
186
182
173
172
175
177
185
185
181

186
187
181
181
176
168
169
171
173
181
179
174

178
180
175
176
172
165
165
167
169
176
173
168

170
174
170
171
166
161
159
162
163
169
167
162

184

182

177

172

166

184
188
193
200
202
199
201
232
243
238
235
229

182
186
191
197
200
197
199
230
241
236
232
227

176
182
187
192
195
193
196
223
235
232
229
225

169
177
183
189
190
188
192
218
230
228
225
221

162
168
173
180
185
183
186
213
223
223
222
217

212

210

205

201

195

232
225
221
231
240
253
268
264
257
252
241
242

230
224
219
230
239
251
266
263
256
251
240
241

228
221
217
229
236
249
262
260
253
247
236
237

225
217
214
225
230
244
257
256
248
242
230
229

220
212
209
219
224
240
248
251
244
238
224
220

Average 3/
244
See footnotes at end of table.

243

240

235

Average 3/
2002/03:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2003/04:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2004/05:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

229
Continued--

79
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, major exporters 1/--Continued
5-percent
10-percent
15-percent
5-percent
Country/month
DWP 2/
brokens
brokens
brokens
$/metric ton
Vietnam:

25-percent
brokens

2005/06:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

256
256
266
NQ
NQ
265
264
253
243
259
264
264

255
255
264
NQ
NQ
263
262
251
241
257
262
262

252
252
260
NQ
NQ
258
259
248
236
252
257
258
253

245
245
252
NQ
NQ
250
252
242
231
247
252
250
247

238
236
245
NQ
NQ
244
245
237
221
239
243
243

259

257

253

247

239

August

268

266

262

254

247

September

272

270

264

259

249

October

278

276

273

268

253

November

297

295

290

285

280

December

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

January

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

February

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

March

303

300

294

287

282

April

303

NQ

298

290

285

May

300

NQ

295

290

285

June

303

NQ

295

290

285

July

307

NQ

300

295

289

292

281

286

280

273

August

316

NQ

310

301

295

September

320

NQ

315

305

300

October

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

November

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

Average 3/
318
See footnotes at end of table.

NQ

313

303

298

Average 3/
2006/07:

Average 3/
2007/08

Continued--

80
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, major exporters 1/--Continued

Country/month

5-percent

10-percent

brokens

brokens

15-percent

25-percent

5-percent

brokens

brokens

parboiled

$/metric ton
India:
1997/98:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

300
300
290
280
278
273
270
277
280
280
283
288

283
280
274
270
268
263
260
272
275
275
274
278

271
270
248
250
250
250
250
257
260
260
260
265

255
255
233
235
238
238
235
242
245
245
249
254

315
315
308
290
290
285
280
280
268
280
280
283

283

273

258

244

290

290
290
290
281
268
264
276
283
274
268
263
260

280
280
280
271
260
253
263
270
263
260
256
255

265
265
265
255
246
244
255
258
250
250
243
240

250
250
250
244
231
228
238
243
236
240
231
230

285
285
285
283
274
280
290
287
278
270
263
260

276

266

253

239

278

261
265
265
269
270
270
270
270
270
268
270
270

255
255
255
259
260
260
260
260
260
258
260
260

240
240
240
248
250
250
250
250
250
248
250
250

230
230
230
238
240
240
240
240
240
238
240
240

260
260
265
270
270
270
270
270
270
252
250
250

Average 3/
268
See footnotes at end of table.

259

247

237

Average 3/
1998/99:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
1999/00:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

263
Continued--

81
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, major exporters 1/--Continued
5-percent
10-percent
15-percent
25-percent
brokens
brokens
brokens
brokens
Country/month
$/metric ton
India
2000/01:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

5-percent
parboiled

264
265
260
243
240
240
240
240
240
240
NQ
NQ

257
255
250
233
230
230
230
230
230
230
NQ
NQ

249
245
240
223
220
220
220
220
220
220
NQ
NQ

237
225
222
213
210
210
210
210
210
196
140
135

246
240
240
233
230
230
230
230
230
220
180
170

247

238

228

202

223

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
168
168
170
177

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
145
145
160
165

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
140
140
145
150

136
139
138
135
132
132
131
130
130
130
134
137

171
170
168
167
165
165
165
165
165
165
168
169

171

154

144

134

167

180
180
180
179
175
178
175
175
183
187
195
197

170
170
170
170
170
173
170
170
174
177
185
187

153
153
153
153
153
156
155
155
163
168
177
182

139
138
138
142
144
148
150
150
154
158
175
176

171
178
178
179
180
184
185
185
187
188
195
195

182

174

160

151

184

200
200
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

190
190
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

185
185
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

175
175
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

195
195
NQ
NQ
195
195
195
195
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

200
Average 3/
See footnotes at end of table.

190

185

171

Average 3/
2001/02:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2002/03:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2003/04:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

195
Continued--

82
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, major exporters 1/--Continued
10-percent
15-percent
25-percent
5-percent
Country/month
brokens
brokens
brokens
brokens
$/metric ton
India
2004/05:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/

5-percent
parboiled

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

225
225
225
216
218
228
240
245
238
235
229
228

NQ
NQ
NQ
271
271
282
292
295
290
285
286
286

NQ

NQ

NQ

229

284

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

228
238
235
235
235
237
238
238
236
232
229
228

280
264
267
273
273
270
268
268
266
265
265
262

NQ

NQ

NQ

233

274

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

228
232
238
240
240
239
241
263
261
268
273
291

262
260
262
265
265
265
268
273
268
279
283
300

251

271

2005/06
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2006/07
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2007/08
August
September
October
November
Average 3/

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

301
301
305
NQ

315
311
315
NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

303

314

See footnotes at end of table.

Continued--

83
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export price quotes, major exporters 1/--Continued

Country/month

5-percent

10-percent

15-percent

20-percent

25-percent

brokens

brokens

brokens

brokens

brokens

$/metric ton
Pakistan:
1997/98:
August
September

NQ
240

NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ

NQ
220

NQ
NQ

October
November

234
NQ

228
230

NQ
224

NQ
219

210
214

December
January
February
March

265
265
NQ
NQ

255
256
256
272

245
243
243
254

240
238
240
254

233
231
234
246

April
May

285
NQ

260
NQ

NQ
NQ

260
NQ

255
NQ

June
July

NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ

258

251

242

239

232

August
September

NQ
NQ

NQ
255

NQ
NQ

NQ
252

NQ
245

October
November

NQ
NQ

273
255

258
239

258
239

250
230

December
January
February
March

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

246
240
NQ
NQ

229
215
220
222

229
215
220
216

223
210
215
208

April
May

NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ

213
223

208
219

203
211

June

NQ

248

238

225

221

July

NQ

250

240

230

225

NQ

252

230

228

222

Average 3/
1998/99:

Average 3/
1999/00:
August

NQ

250

240

230

225

September
October

NQ
220

241
209

231
198

221
194

213
188

November
December

205
205

195
200

190
182

185
177

180
172

January
February

206
210

201
202

181
185

176
179

171
174

March
April

NQ
NQ

198
187

180
177

176
167

171
161

May
June

NQ
NQ

186
191

176
180

166
172

158
162

July

NQ

198

188

183

178

209

205

192

186

179

August
September

NQ
NQ

202
194

188
176

182
169

176
162

October
November

NQ
NQ

190
166

176
160

166
154

156
148

December
January

NQ
NQ

163
161

155
155

150
150

147
146

February
March

NQ
NQ

162
160

155
151

150
146

144
141

Average 3/
2000/01:

See footnotes at end of table.

Continued--

84
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export prices, major exporters 1/--Continued


5-percent
10-percent
15-percent
Country/month
brokens
brokens
brokens
$/metric ton
Pakistan:

20-percent
brokens

25-percent
brokens

2000/01:
April
May
June
July

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

156
158
165
175

146
150
160
166

141
145
155
156

136
140
151
151

NQ

171

162

155

150

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
198

173
173
164
159
160
160
162
160
163
165
180
195

165
168
159
151
155
155
159
155
158
160
175
190

160
158
155
148
150
150
154
152
154
157
170
184

155
150
152
145
145
145
147
147
151
155
165
179

198

168

163

158

153

193
185
184
177
170
169
174
178
188
200
200
200

184
170
179
172
166
165
169
173
183
193
195
195

178
165
172
163
159
161
164
168
177
188
190
188

174
162
162
161
156
158
161
165
174
184
186
184

170
160
158
158
153
155
159
162
170
182
183
178

185

179

173

169

166

206
209
197
188
198
223
230
256
270
263
268
269

197
199
191
181
192
213
223
251
260
253
257
257

193
194
186
179
188
206
218
246
250
243
251
248

190
191
181
177
185
203
214
241
246
239
248
244

187
187
176
176
183
200
210
236
242
237
244
242

Average 3/
231
See footnotes at end of table.

223

217

213

Average 3/
2001/02:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2002/03:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2003/04:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July

85
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

210
Continued--

Appendix table 23--Milled rice export prices, m ajor exporters 1/--Continued


5-percent
10-percent
15-percent
Country/month
brokens
brokens
brokens
$/m etric ton
Pakistan:

20-percent
brokens

25-percent
brokens

2004/05:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/

263
258
254
254
262
269
270
270
270
265
264
265

251
248
243
241
248
258
260
260
260
255
254
255

241
238
231
224
241
252
254
255
252
245
244
245

236
233
228
221
234
245
248
250
247
240
239
240

233
229
226
219
232
243
245
248
244
237
236
238

264

253

243

238

236

265
264
259
260
256
256
256
254
254
260
258
265

255
255
254
254
245
249
250
248
248
255
253
260

245
246
246
245
227
229
230
230
230
244
241
250

240
241
243
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

237
235
226
224
219
218
214
216
223
236
235
244

259

252

239

241

227

270
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

265
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

255
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

249
243
229
224
222
229
253
263
260
270
283
291

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

251

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

NQ
NQ
NQ
NQ

293
298
310
336

NQ

NQ

NQ

NQ

309

2005/06:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2006/07:
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
Average 3/
2007/08:
August
September
October
November
Average 3/

-- = Not reported. NQ = No quote.


1/ Simple average of weekly price quotes. 2/ Double W ater Polished.
3/ Simple average of m onthly prices. All prices F.O.B. vessel, corresponding home port.
Source: All weekly prices reported in the Creed Rice Market Report , Creed Rice Co., Inc., Houston, Texas.

86
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 24--W orld rice supply and utilization


Area
Year

Production 2/

harvested

Yield 1/

Mill. Ha.

Mt/ha

Rough

Milled

Exports 3/

Total

Ending

Stocks-to-

use 4/

stocks 5/

use ratio 6/

---Million metric tons---

1960/61
1961/62
1962/63
1963/64
1964/65

120.1
115.8
119.7
121.2
125.4

1.8
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.1

220.6
215.6
228.1
248.3
264.5

150.8
147.3
155.1
169.0
180.7

6.5
6.3
7.3
7.7
8.2

156.6
149.3
151.1
165.3
179.8

10.5
8.5
12.5
16.3
17.2

6.7
5.7
8.3
9.8
9.6

1965/66
1966/67
1967/68
1968/69

124.0
125.7
127.0
128.6

2.0
2.1
2.2
2.2

253.5
262.1
276.9
285.8

172.9
179.0
188.9
194.9

7.9
7.8
7.2
7.5

172.0
178.5
186.1
191.6

18.1
18.6
21.3
24.6

10.5
10.4
11.4
12.8

1969/70
1970/71
1971/72
1972/73

131.4
132.7
134.8
132.7

2.2
2.4
2.3
2.3

295.2
312.5
316.6
306.2

201.1
213.0
215.8
208.9

8.2
8.6
8.7
8.3

199.2
210.6
215.9
213.5

26.4
28.8
28.7
24.2

13.3
13.7
13.3
11.3

1973/74
1974/75
1975/76
1976/77

136.3
137.8
142.9
141.4

2.5
2.4
2.5
2.5

333.8
331.1
357.4
346.8

227.6
225.7
243.1
235.8

7.5
7.2
8.1
10.3

222.4
226.2
232.5
236.4

29.3
28.8
39.4
38.8

13.2
12.7
16.9
16.4

1977/78
1978/79
1979/80
1980/81

143.4
143.6
141.2
144.4

2.6
2.7
2.7
2.7

368.8
385.4
376.6
397.0

250.6
262.4
256.8
269.9

9.5
11.8
12.0
11.9

244.7
252.3
257.6
271.2

44.8
54.8
54.0
52.6

18.3
21.7
21.0
19.4

1981/82
1982/83
1983/84
1984/85

144.4
140.5
144.6
144.2

2.8
3.0
3.1
3.2

408.3
418.3
450.9
464.9

277.9
285.0
306.9
316.8

11.3
11.2
11.9
11.0

280.0
278.7
294.4
298.4

50.5
56.8
69.3
87.7

18.0
20.4
23.5
29.4

1985/86
1986/87
1987/88
1988/89

144.8
144.8
141.7
146.5

3.2
3.3
3.3
3.4

467.3
481.9
465.0
491.0

318.0
316.0
315.3
332.2

11.8
12.9
11.4
14.0

307.9
310.4
313.3
325.8

97.7
103.3
105.3
111.7

31.7
33.3
33.6
34.3

1989/90
1990/91
1991/92
1992/93

147.6
146.7
147.5
146.5

3.5
3.5
3.5
3.6

510.4
518.9
522.9
524.2

345.3
351.0
353.3
354.0

11.7
12.3
14.4
14.9

336.4
345.0
353.1
357.5

120.6
126.7
126.8
123.3

35.9
36.7
35.9
34.5

1993/94
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97

145.3
147.4
148.2
149.9

3.6
3.7
3.7
3.8

526.4
539.5
547.2
564.5

354.9
363.9
368.8
380.9

16.6
20.8
19.7
18.9

359.1
365.2
368.1
378.7

119.1
117.8
118.4
120.6

33.2
32.2
32.2
31.8

1997/98
1998/99
1999/00
2000/01

151.2
152.6
155.3
151.7

3.8
3.8
3.9
3.9

574.5
586.5
608.2
593.4

387.0
394.6
408.9
398.8

27.6
24.8
22.8
24.4

379.7
388.1
399.7
395.1

127.9
134.4
143.5
147.3

33.7
34.6
35.9
37.3

2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08 7/

150.6
145.9
148.2
150.5
152.6
152.9
153.7

3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
4.1
4.1
4.1

594.2
562.4
584.2
596.6
622.7
622.7
627.4

399.3
377.8
391.7
401.0
418.1
418.0
421.2

27.9
27.6
27.2
29.0
28.9
28.7
29.6

413.2
407.7
413.1
408.2
415.6
418.3
424.2

133.4
103.5
82.1
74.9
77.4
77.2
74.1

32.3
25.4
19.9
18.3
18.6
18.5
17.5

1/ Yields are based on rough production. 2/ Production is expressed on both rough and m illed basis; stocks, exports, and utilization are on
a milled basis. 3/ Exports reported on a calendar year basis. Trade data have been adjusted since July 1993 to exclude Intra-EC trade
for the years 1980 to the present. 4/ For countries for which stock data are not available, utilization estim ates represent apparent utilization,
I.e., they include annual stock level adjustm ents. 5/ Stocks data are based on an aggregate of different m arket years and should
not be construed to represent world stock levels at a fixed point in tim e. Stocks data are not available for all countries .
6/ Stocks-to-use represents the ratio of m arketing year ending stocks to total utilization. 7/ Forecast as of Novem ber 2007.
Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, Grain: W orld Markets and Trade, (Grain Circular).

87
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 25--World rice trade (milled basis): Exports and imports of selected countries or regions
Calendar year
Country

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

or region

1/
- - - - - - - - 1,000 tons - - - - - - - -

Exporters:
Argentina

530

559

674

474

368

224

170

249

345

487

500

Australia

646

547

667

617

617

366

141

131

52

317

200

40

Brazil

10

46

26

19

29

19

37

272

291

150

100

Burma

15

94

57

159

670

1,002

388

130

190

47

40

50

10

300

200

350

450

450

China

938

3,734

2,708

2,951

1,847

1,963

2,583

880

656

1,216

1,300

1,600

Egypt

201

426

320

500

705

468

579

826

1,095

958

1,000

1,100

309

265

359

220

187

201

144

150

150

Cambodia

European Union-25 2/

N/A

N/A

N/A

European Union-15 2/

372

346

348

Guyana

285

249

252

167

209

193

200

243

182

170

230

180

2,087

4,666

2,752

1,449

1,936

6,650

4,421

3,172

4,687

4,537

4,000

3,400

30

642

137

250

501

43

200

200

200

200

200

200

358

442

105

400

91

160

150

India
Japan
Republic of Korea

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

500

N/A

N/A

Pakistan

1,775

1,994

1,838

2,026

2,417

1,603

1,958

1,986

3,032

3,579

3,000

3,200

Thailand

5,216

6,367

6,679

6,549

7,521

7,245

7,552

10,137

7,274

7,376

8,500

9,000

United States

3,400

2,304

3,174

2,644

2,847

2,541

3,295

3,834

3,090

3,862

3,307

3,300

Uruguay

638

628

681

642

806

526

675

804

762

812

625

800

Vietnam

3,327

3,776

4,555

3,370

3,528

3,245

3,795

4,295

5,174

4,705

4,600

5,000

521

1,088

642

697

1,018

717

1,059

1,054

1,497

301

285

277

18,855

27,648

24,817

22,757

24,448

27,856

27,575

27,184

29,009

28,888

28,690

Other
World total

29,597
Contined--

See footnotes at end of table.

Appendix table 25--World rice trade (milled basis): Exports and imports of selected countries or regions--Continued
Calendar year
Country

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

or region

1/
- - - - - - - - 1,000 tons - - - - - - - -

Importers:
Bangladesh

60

2,520

1,220

638

401

313

1,112

801

785

531

650

Brazil

827

1,555

781

569

670

554

1,063

762

547

691

800

800

Canada

240

245

248

251

255

229

242

285

321

333

350

365

China

322

261

178

278

270

304

258

1,122

609

654

600

700

Cote d'Ivoire

470

520

600

450

654

716

750

867

850

750

750

750

Cuba

267

336

431

415

481

538

371

639

736

594

600

700

1,187

1,295

1,289

1,040

1,184

1,058

1,083

1,100

1,100

European Union-27 2/

N/A

N/A

N/A

European Union-15 2/

844

787

784

N/A

Indonesia

839

5,765

3,729

Iran

1,288

844

1,313

1,100

Iraq

744

630

779

1,274

1,500

N/A
1,500

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

800

N/A

N/A

3,500

2,750

650

500

539

1,900

1,600

765

964

900

950

983

1,251

1,200

900

959

1,178

672

889

786

1,306

700

1,100

Japan

559

468

633

656

680

616

654

706

787

681

650

700

Korea, North

272

250

159

400

537

654

633

366

191

41

400

400

36

55

140

155

84

136

179

188

120

231

265

265

Malaysia

Korea, South

638

630

617

596

633

480

500

700

751

886

800

700

Mexico

289

295

342

415

388

530

582

521

553

586

600

625

Nigeria

731

900

950

1,250

1,906

1,897

1,448

1,369

1,777

1,600

1,700

1,700

Philippines

814

2,185

1,000

900

1,175

1,250

1,300

1,100

1,890

1,791

1,800

1,900

Russia

290

224

580

400

247

406

385

350

350

324

180

260

Saudi Arabia

660

775

750

992

1,053

938

1,150

1,500

1,357

1,448

960

1,015

Senegal

575

600

621

589

874

858

750

850

518

1,113

800

800

South Africa

561

529

514

523

572

800

725

818

850

963

900

950

Syria

222

160

200

150

172

204

190

200

232

250

250

285

Turkey

200

281

276

321

309

231

342

320

151

298

186

250

U.A. Emirates

75

75

75

75

75

80

80

80

80

80

80

80

United States

317

299

358

308

413

420

458

477

419

633

675

700

Yemen

185

111

217

210

202

210

250

275

250

250

250

250

Other

4,213

4,403

4,121

3,705

4,800

4,618

6,837

7,512

9,347

8,185

7,962

8,179

Unaccounted 3/

1,118

975

1,578

1,731

1,578

1,916

1,976

1,872

2,064

1,908

1,518

1,773

17,737

26,673

23,239

21,026

22,870

25,940

27,575

27,184

29,009

28,888

28,690

29,597

World total
NA = Not available.

1/ Projected as of November 2007. 2/ Excludes intra-EU trade. 3/ This represents exports not accounted for in reports from importing countries. Because this is recurring, it is taken in the assessment of the year ahead.

88
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 26--U.S. rice exports by type 1/


Crop

Regular milled

Brown

year

white rice

rice

Parboiled

Brokens

Rough

Processed

rice

products 2/

Total 3/

- - - - - - - - 1,000 metric tons - - - - - - 1977/78


1978/79
1979/80

1,315.2
1,416.6
1,537.4

264.5
313.7
540.3

502.5
627.1
598.4

87.1
20.8
40.1

184.1
125.8
75.8

NA
NA
NA

2,353.4
2,504.0
2,792.0

1980/81
1981/82
1982/83

1,011.7
976.9
993.2

1,366.7
571.1
402.7

781.7
1,000.9
846.5

18.0
12.7
5.9

18.8
262.4
26.0

NA
NA
NA

3,196.9
2,823.9
2,274.3

1983/84
1984/85
1985/86

972.7
1,010.0
950.7

379.4
192.0
308.8

821.8
630.8
523.8

37.6
46.8
80.1

146.8
145.3
75.2

NA
NA
NA

2,358.4
2,024.9
1,938.6

1986/87
1987/88
1988/89

1,541.9
1,280.4
784.5

277.9
201.6
278.9

659.7
642.9
582.5

5.7
152.9
75.6

371.9
52.6
77.8

NA
NA
1.1

2,857.1
2,330.4
2,876.8

1989/90
1990/91
1991/92

1,164.8
872.5
751.9

353.9
480.9
357.2

948.6
823.3
776.5

65.3
42.7
74.4

72.3
218.5
287.2

0.8
1.5
2.4

2,600.8
2,440.5
2,254.9

1992/93
1993/94
1994/95

915.8
1,060.4
1,451.9

375.8
464.4
307.2

882.8
808.5
929.1

147.3
127.7
73.0

233.4
165.4
839.4

3.0
3.3
3.8

2,636.4
2,643.5
3,562.2

1995/96
1996/97
1997/98

1,203.5
936.8
850.5

412.5
419.6
491.2

725.2
723.5
594.1

46.8
51.1
61.7

484.6
577.5
1,184.4

4.9
4.2
4.4

2,877.8
2,713.6
3,184.5

1998/99
1999/00
2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07

814.3
957.7
890.0
1,054.8
1,416.4
1,359.5
1,625.3
1,772.5
1,340.1

594.8
468.2
447.3
364.4
575.6
442.6
383.3
371.3
281.9

517.4
496.2
519.4
500.2
512.4
352.8
370.5
421.3
257.4

54.3
137.5
79.7
76.4
104.0
94.7
64.8
63.8
50.9

1,168.1
1,144.0
1,033.9
1,458.8
1,942.7
1,558.2
1,533.6
1,517.2
1,456.6

9.4
9.5
7.8
6.1
9.0
8.0
9.9
10.2
9.7

3,168.5
3,213.1
2,978.2
3,460.7
4,560.1
3,815.9
3,987.4
4,156.4
3,397.0

1/ Shipments reported on a product-weight basis. 2/ Rice flour, groats, and meal. This category was not reported separately until 1988/89.
3/ Categories may not sum to totals due to overlapping classifications.
Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, U.S.Trade Exports-Fatus Commodity Aggregations.

89
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 27--U.S. rice exports by program 1/


CCC
Food
Fiscal
year

Pl 480 2/

Food

Exports

African

Total

Section

for

for

relief

food aid

416(b)

Education

Progress

exports

shipments

EEP 3/

Export

outside

Total

Export

specified

U.S. rice

a share of

programs 4/

export programs

exports

total exports

---1,000 metric tons---

programs as

Percent

1975
1976
1977
1978

747.0
509.0
676.0
502.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

747.0
509.0
676.0
502.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

747.0
509.0
676.0
502.0

1,467.0
1,374.4
1,584.8
1,695.4

2,214.0
1,883.4
2,260.8
2,197.4

33.7
27.0
29.9
22.8

1979
1980
1981
1982

442.0
500.0
320.0
332.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

442.0
500.0
320.0
332.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

442.0
500.0
320.0
332.0

1,891.0
2,359.0
2,677.0
2,444.0

2,333.0
2,859.0
2,997.0
2,776.0

18.9
17.5
10.7
12.0

1983
1984
1985
1986

429.0
366.0
500.0
411.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
49.0
180.0
0.0

429.0
415.0
680.0
411.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
22.7

429.0
415.0
680.0
433.7

1,780.0
1,797.4
1,228.0
1,803.3

2,209.0
2,212.4
1,908.0
2,237.0

19.4
18.8
35.6
19.4

1987
1988
1989
1990

370.0
338.0
355.0
276.0

59.6
29.2
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

429.6
367.2
355.0
276.0

28.0
120.5
20.0
0.0

457.6
487.7
375.0
276.0

1,954.4
1,637.3
1,875.0
2,221.7

2,412.0
2,125.0
2,250.0
2,497.7

19.0
23.0
16.7
11.1

1991
1992
1993
1994

210.0
228.5
198.8
222.0

4.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
16.1
137.0
10.2

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

214.0
244.6
335.8
232.2

75.6
358.1
278.5
46.4

289.6
602.7
614.3
278.6

2,136.3
1,668.9
2,188.4
2,165.8

2,425.9
2,271.6
2,802.7
2,444.5

11.9
26.5
21.9
11.4

1995
1996
1997
1998

195.8
178.5
114.9
178.3

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

13.5
12.0
14.4
11.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

209.3
190.5
129.3
189.3

112.7
23.0
0.0
0.0

322.0
213.5
129.3
189.3

3,406.2
2,617.5
2,435.6
3,124.2

3,728.2
2,831.0
2,564.9
3,313.5

8.6
7.5
5.0
5.7

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007 5/

541.8
208.7
144.3
241.1
262.7
129.4
125.5
52.7
97.1

0.0
147.2
29.7
56.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
21.6
31.5
0.0
29.4
3.2
15.5
28.5

44.9
37.0
30.3
27.4
46.9
55.3
20.9
28.0
10.9

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

586.7
392.9
231.0
356.0
309.6
214.1
149.6
96.1
136.4

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

586.7
392.9
231.0
356.0
309.6
214.1
149.6
96.1
136.4

2,499.6
2,922.5
2,834.6
3,186.8
4,168.6
3,484.5
4,108.3
3,927.6
3,181.0

3,086.3
3,315.4
3,065.6
3,542.8
4,478.2
3,698.6
4,257.9
4,023.7
3,317.4

19.0
11.9
75.0
10.0
6.9
5.8
3.5
2.4
4.1

1/ Exports (program and nonprogram) are reported on a product-weight basis. Program shipments are assigned appropriate fiscal years based on purchase dates,
not shipment date. 2/ Titles I, II, and III. 3/ Sales, not actual shipments. 4/ Adjusted for estimated overlap between CCC export credits and EEP shipments. 5/ Preliminary.
Sources: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Farm Service Agency, Commodity Operations, Solicitation Information, http://www.fsa.usda.gov;
U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States, http://www.fas.usda.gov.

90
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 28--Top-10 U.S. rice export markets 1/


2006/07
Rank

Country

2005/06
Exports

Country

2004/05
Exports

Country

2003/04
Exports

Country

2002/03

2001/02

Exports

Country

Exports

Country

Exports

738.7

Mexico

802.5

Mexico

643.3
363.5

- - - - - - - - 1,000 - - - - - - - 1

Mexico

797.5

Mexico

786.3

Mexico

707.1

Mexico

Iraq

314.8

Japan

387.4

Japan

351.9

Japan

379.7

Japan

341.3

Japan

Japan

302.6

Iraq

385.2

Haiti

266.6

Haiti

273.1

Brazil

327.5

Haiti

259.7

Haiti

295.1

Haiti

349.1

Canada

228.3

Brazil

215.6

Haiti

314.4

Canada

179.7

Canada

237.5

Canada

238.4

Nicaragua

182.4

Canada

200.0

Turkey

234.1

Nicaragua

178.5

Honduras

154.6

Cuba

186.3

Costa Rica

178.1

Cuba

181.7

Canada

170.5

Honduras

160.9

Costa Rica

147.0

Nicaragua

173.5

Ghana

165.4

Costa Rica

154.7

Nicaragua

163.9

Turkey

155.0

Nicaragua

134.8

United Kingdom

138.7

Honduras

138.7

Honduras

131.4

Costa Rica

161.7

El Salvador

141.3

Panama

108.3

Honduras

136.5

Cuba

125.2

Philippines

111.1

Honduras

144.6

Saudi Arab

114.6

10

Guatemala

89.0

Costa Rica

126.0

Iraq

123.6

Nicaragua

108.0

United Kingdom

127.2

United Kingdom

102.3

Sub-total

2,581.2

Sub-total

2,907.5

Sub-total

2,467.1

Sub-total

2,494.0

Sub-total

2,787.7

Sub-total

2,298.8

Total exports

3,387.2

Total exports

4,146.1

Total exports

3,977.5

Total exports

3,807.9

Total exports

4,551.1

Total exports

3,454.5

1/ August-July crop year. Exports are reported on a milled-equavalent basis. Note: some historic data were revised..
Source: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, http://www.fas.usda.gov/ustrade/USTExFatus.asp?QI=.

91
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

Appendix table 29--U.S. rice imports by origin, market years 1/


Country of origin

1997/98

1998/99

1999/00

2000/01

2001/02

Thailand
India
Pakistan
Vietnam
China

220,289
33,459
9,380
20,116
94

243,844
33,510
9,348
1,324
12,989

240,676
40,454
9,849
41
25,056

265,011
47,843
10,828
129
1,240

287,848
47,257
11,388
257
539

3,872
42
5,489
2
0

4,133
0
0
5,294
11,576

4,627
137
0
55
104

3,921
20
0
63
10,900

4,175
296,918

17,641
339,659

3,697
324,696

8,282
348,237

2002/03

2003/04

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

315,827
53,483
12,259
106
39,890

300,880
52,531
13,779
105
97,318

331,683
56,817
16,253
237
1,139

349,094
70,345
16,668
261
50,753

394,276
71,037
16,715
1,162
120,028

3,793
59
0
127
62,258

4,466
84
19
55
37,765

3,609
146
0
81
17

4,724
178
1
281
0

5,175
13,673
0
27,485
0

6,096
2,578
0
19,307
1,604

8,512
422,038

10,051
474,005

12,299
480,765

12,084
423,397

15,033
548,487

24,388
657,191

- - - - - - - Metric tons - - - - - - -

Italy
Argentina
Uruguay
Egypt
Australia
Other
Total

1/ Product-weight basis. Includes imports of rice flour, meal, and groats.


Source: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, http://www.fas.usda.gov/ustrade/USTImFatus.asp?QI=.

92
Rice Situation and Outlook Yearbook/RCS-2007/November 2007
Economic Research Service, USDA

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