Chapter Two risk mgmt (3)
Chapter Two risk mgmt (3)
Chapter Two
The Risk Management Process
b. Continued Operation: The second post loss objective is to continue operating. For some firms, the
ability to operate after a loss is extremely important. For example, a public utility firm must continue
to provide service like banks, post offices, dairies, and other competitive firms must continue to
operate after a loss. Otherwise, the firm/ business will lose its customers to competitors.
c. Stability of Earning: The third post loss objective is stability of earnings. Earnings per share can be
maintained if the firm continues to operate. However, a firm may incur substantial additional expenses
to achieve this goal (such as operating at another location), and perfect stability of earnings may not be
attained.
d. Continued Growth: The fourth post loss objective is continued growth of the firm. A company
can grow by developing new products and markets or by acquiring or merging with other companies.
The risk manager must therefore consider the effect that a loss will have on the firm’s ability to grow.
e. Social Responsibility: Finally, the objective of social responsibility is to minimize the effects that a
loss will have on other persons and on society. A severe loss can adversely affect employees,
suppliers, creditors and the community in general.
2.3 STEPS IN THE RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS
The risk management process involves four steps:
Step 1: Identifying potential losses (Risk Identification)
Step 2: Evaluate Potential losses (Risk Measurement)
Step 3: Select the appropriate techniques for treating loss exposure, and
Step 4: Implement and administer the program.
Step 1: Risk Identification:
The first step in the risk management process is to identify all major and minor loss exposures. This step
involves a painstaking analysis of all potential losses. Unless the sources of possible losses are recognized,
it is impossible to consciously choose appropriate, efficient methods for dealing with those losses should
they occur. A loss exposure is a potential loss that may be associated with a specific type of risk.
1. Loss Exposures (Sources of Risks):
Property Loss Exposures:
Buildings, Plants, Other Structures
Furniture, Equipment’s, Supplies
Electronic data processing equipment’s; Computer Software
Inventory
Accounts receivables, Valuable papers and records
Contract Analysis:
Many of an organization’s to risk arise from contractual relationships with other persons and organizations.
An examination of these contracts may reveal are of exposures that are not evident from the organization’s
operations and activities. In some cases, contracts may shift responsibility to other parties.
Interactions with other Departments:
Frequent interactions with other departments provide another source of information on exposures of risk.
These interactions may include oral or written reports from other departments on their own initiative or in
response to regular reporting system that keep the risk manager informed of developments. The importance
of such a communications network should not be underestimated. These departments are consistently
creating or becoming aware of exposures that might otherwise escape the risk manager’s attention. Indeed,
the risk manager’s success in risk identification is heavily dependent on the co-operation of other
departments.
Interactions with Outside Suppliers and Professional Organizations:
In addition to communicating with other departments, the risk manager normally interacts with outsiders
who provide services to the organizations. These outsiders, for example, accountants, lawyers, risk
management consultants, actuarie, or loss control specialists. The objective would be to determine whether
the outsiders have identified exposures that otherwise would be missed. Possibly, the outsiders themselves
may create new exposures.
Statistical Records of Losses:
Where it is available, statistical records of losses can be used to identify sources of risk. These records may
be available from risk management information systems developed by consultants or in some cases, the risk
manager. These systems allow losses to be analyzed according to cause, location, amount and other issues
to interest.
Statistical records allow the risk manager to assess trends in the organization’s loss experience and to
compare the organization’s loss experience with the experience of others. In addition, these records enable
the risk manager to analyze issues such as the cause, time and location of the accidents, identification of the
insured individual and the supervisions, and any hazards or other special factors affecting the nature of the
accident.
Step 2:Risk Measurement (Risk Evaluation)
The second step in the risk management process is to evaluate and measure the impact of losses on the firm.
This step involves on estimation of the potential frequency and severity of loss.
i. Loss frequency refers to the probable number of losses that may occur during the some given
period of time and
ii. Loss severity refers to the probable size of the losses that may occur.
Once the risk manager estimates the frequency and severity of loss for each type of loss exposure, the
various loss exposures can be ranked according to their relative importance. For example, a loss exposure
with the potential for bankrupting the firm is much more important in a risk management program than an
exposure with a small loss potential.
In addition, the relative frequency and severity of each loss exposure must be estimated so that the risk
manager can select the most appropriate technique or combination of techniques for handling each
exposure. For example, if certain losses occur regularly and are fairly predictable, they can be budgeted out
of a firm income and treated as normal operating expenses. If certain type of exposure fluctuates widely,
however, an entirely different approach is required.
Although the risk manager must consider both loss frequency and loss severity, severity is more important,
because a singly catastrophic loss could wipe out the firm. Therefore, the risk manager must also consider
all losses that can result from a singly events. Both the maximum possible loss and maximum probable loss
must be estimated.
The maximum possible loss is the worst loss that could possibly happen to the firm during its lifetime and
the maximum probable loss is the worst loss that is likely to happen to the firm during its lifetime.
The actual estimation of the frequency and severity of loses may be done in various ways. Some risk
manager considers these concepts informally in evaluation of identified risks. They may broadly classify
the frequency of various losses into categories such as “Slight”, “moderate”, and “certain” and many have
similarly broad estimates for loss severity. Even this type of informal evaluation is better than none at all.
But as risk management becomes increasingly sophisticated, most large firms, attempts to be more precise
in evaluation of risk. It is now common to use probability distributions and statistical techniques in
estimating both loss frequency and severity.
Step 3:Tools of Risk Management.
After identifying and evaluating exposures to risk, systematic consideration can be given to alternative
methods for managing each exposure. The appropriate techniques can be broadly classified as either risk
control or risk finance.
1. Risk control
Risk control refers to techniques that reduce the frequency or severity of losses. Major risk control
techniques include the following:
Risk Avoidance
Loss prevention
Loss reduction
A. Risk Avoidance:
Avoidance means certain loss exposure is never acquired, or an existing loss exposure is abandoned. Risk
avoidance is conscious decision not to expose oneself or one’s firm to a particular risk of loss. In this way,
risk avoidance can be said to decrease one’s chance of loss to zero.
Example: A pharmaceutical firm that markets a drug with dangerous side effects can withdraw the drug
from the market.
The major advantage of risk avoidance is that the chance of loss is reduce to zero if the loss exposure is
never acquired. In addition, if an existing loss exposure is abandoned, the chance of loss is reduced or
eliminated because the activity or product that could produce a loss has been abandoned.
Avoidance, however has two major disadvantages first, the firm may not be able to avoid all losses.
Example, a company may not be able to avoid the premature death of a key executive. Second, it may not
be feasible or practical to avoid the exposure. A paint factory can avoid losses arising from the production
of paint. Without paint production, however, the firm will not be in business.
B. Loss Prevention
Loss prevention refers to measures that reduce the frequency of a particular loss. For example, measures that
reduce truck accidents include driver examinations, zero tolerance for alcohol or drug abuse, and strict
enforcement of safety rules. Measures that reduce lawsuits from defective products include installation of
safety features on hazardous products, placement of warning labels on dangerous products, and institution of
quality control checks.
C. Loss Reduction
Loss reduction refers to measures that reduce the severity of a loss after it occurs. Examples include
installation of an automatic sprinkler system that promptly extinguishes a fire; segregation of exposure units
so that a single loss cannot simultaneously damage all exposure units, such as having warehouses with
inventories at different locations; rehabilitation of workers with job-related injuries; and limiting the amount
of cash on the premises.
2. Risk Financing
Risk financing refers to techniques that provide for the payment of losses after they occur. Major risk-
financing techniques include the following:
Retention
Noninsurance transfers
Commercial insurance
A. Risk Retention
Retention means that the firm retains part or all of the losses that can result from a given loss. Retention can
be Actives (Planned) or Passive (Unplanned). Active risk retention means that the firm is aware of the
loss exposure and plans to retain part or all of it, such as automobile crash losses to a fleet of company cars.
Passive risk retention, however, is the failure to identify a loss exposure, failure to act or forgetting to act.
For example, a risk manager may fail to identify all company assets that could be damaged in an earthquake.
Retention can be effectively used in a risk management program under the following conditions:
No other method of treatment is available
The worst possible loss is not serious
Losses are highly predictable.
Funding Losses:
If retention is used, the risk manager must have some method for paying losses. The following methods are
typically used:
1. Current Net Income:
The firm can pay losses out of its current net income and treat losses as exposure for that year. A large
number of losses could exceed current income, however, and other assets may then have to be liquidated to
pay losses.
2. Unfunded Reserve:
An unfunded reserve is a bookkeeping account that is charged with actual or expected losses from a given
exposure.
3. Funded Reserve:
A funded reserve is the setting aside of liquid funds to pay losses. Funded reserves are net widely used by
private employers, because the funds may yield a much higher rate of return by being used in the business.
Also, contributions to funded reserves are net income tax deductible losses, however, are tax deductible
when paid.
4. Credit Line: A credit line can be established with a bank, and borrowed funds may be used to pay
losses as they occur. Interest must be paid on the loan, however, and loan repayments can aggravate
any cash flow problems a firm may have.
Advantages of Retention:
1. Save Money: The firm can save money in the long run if its actual loses are less than the loss
component in the insurance’s premium.
2. Lower Expenses: The services provided by the insurer may be provided by the firm at a lower cost.
Some expenses may be reduced, including loss adjustment expenses, general administrative
expenses, commissions and brokerage fees, loss control expenses, taxes and fees and the insurer’s
profit.
3. Encourage Loss Prevention: Because the exposure is retained, there may be a greater incentive for
loss prevention.
4. Increase Cash Flow: Cash flow may be increased because the firm can use the funds that normally
would be paid to the insurer at the beginning of the policy period.
Disadvantages of Retention:
1. Possible higher losses: The losses retained by the firm may be greater than the loss allowance in the
insurance premium that is saved by net purchasing the insurance.
2. Possible higher expenses: Expenses may actually be higher outside experts such as safety engineers
may have to be hired. Insurers may be able to provide loss control and claim services less
expensively.
3. Possible higher taxes: Income taxes may also be higher. The premium paid to an insurer are
immediately income-tax deductible. However, if retention is used, only the amounts paid out for
losses are deductible, and the deduction cannot be taken until the losses are actually paid.
Contribution to a funded reserve is not income-tax deductible. Income taxes may also be higher.
B. Noninsurance Transfer
Noninsurance transfers are methods other than insurance by which a pure risk and its potential financial
consequences are transferred to another party. Example of non-insurance transfers includes contracts, leases,
and hold-harmless agreements. For example, a company’s contract with a construction firm to build a new
plant can specify that the construction firm is responsible for any damage to the plant while it is being built.
Hold-Harmless Agreements:
Provisions inserted into many different kinds of contracts can transfer responsibility for some types of losses
to a party different than the one that would otherwise bear it. Such provisions are called hold-harmless
agreements or sometimes indemnity agreements. The following are three different forms of hold-harmless
agreements.
(a) Limited Form: The limited form merely clarifies that all parties are responsibilities for liabilities
arising from their own activities/actions
(b) Intermediate Form: A second type of hold-harmless agreement is the intermediate form, in which the
transferee agrees to pay for any losses in which both the transferee and transferor are jointly liable.
(c) Broad Form: The broad form is the third type of hold-harmless agreements. It requires the transferee
to be responsible for all losses arising out of particular situations regardless of fault.
Incorporation: Another way for a business to transfer risk is to incorporate. In this way, the most that an
incorporated firm can ever lose is the total amount of its assets. Personal assets of the owners cannot be
attached to help pay for business losses, as can be the case with sole proprietorships and partnerships.
Through this act of incorporation, a firm transfers to its creditors the risk that it might net has sufficient
assets to pay for losses and other debts.
Hedging: Involves the transfer of speculative risk. It is a business transaction in which the risk of price
fluctuations is transferred to a third party known as a speculator.
Advantages of non-insurance transfers:
o The risk manager can transfer some potential losses that are not commercially insurable
o Noninsurance transfers often cost less than insurance
o The potential loss may be shifted to someone who is in a better position to exercise loss control.
Disadvantages of non-insurance transfers:
o The transfer of potential loss may fail because the contract language is ambiguous. Also, there may
be no court precedents for the interpretation of a contract tailor-made to fit the situation.
o If the party to whom the potential loss is transferred is unable to pay the loss, the firm is still
responsible for the claim.
o An insurer may not give credit for the transfer, and insurance costs may not always be reduced.
C. Commercial Insurance
The most widely used form of risk transfer is insurance. Insurance is appropriate for loss exposures that
have a low probability of loss but the severity of loss is high.
Five key areas to be emphasized in using insurance:
Selection of insurance coverage
Selection of an insurer
Negotiation of terms
Dissemination of information concerning insurance coverages
Periodic review of the program