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Science, Strategy and War
John Boyd is often known exclusively for the so-called ‘OODA’ loop model he
developed. This model refers to a decision-making process and to the idea that
military victory goes to the side that can complete the cycle from observation to
action the fastest. This book aims to redress this state of affairs and re-examines
John Boyd’s original contribution to strategic theory. By highlighting diverse
sources that shaped Boyd’s thinking, and by offering a comprehensive overview
of Boyd’s work, this volume demonstrates that the common interpretation of the
meaning of Boyd’s OODA loop concept is incomplete. It also shows that
Boyd’s work is much more comprehensive, richer and deeper than is generally
thought. With his ideas featuring in the literature on Network Centric Warfare, a
key element of the US and NATO’s so-called ‘military transformation’ pro-
grammes, as well as in the debate on Fourth Generation Warfare, Boyd con-
tinues to exert a strong influence on Western military thinking. Dr Osinga
demonstrates how Boyd’s work can help us to understand the new strategic
threats in the post-9/11 world, and establishes why John Boyd should be
regarded as one of the most important (post)modern strategic theorists.
Frans P.B. Osinga is a serving officer of the Royal Netherlands Air Force, a
former F-16 pilot, and a graduate of the Royal Netherlands Military Academy
and the Netherlands Defence College. He completed this study while serving as
the Netherlands MoD Senior Research Fellow at the Clingendael Institute of
International Relations in The Hague. He is currently stationed at the NATO
Headquarters of the Supreme Allied Command Transformation in Norfolk,
Virginia.
Series: strategy and history
Edited by Colin Gray and Williamson Murray
ISSN: 1473-6403
This new series will focus on the theory and practice of strategy. Following
Clausewitz, strategy has been understood to mean the use made of force, and the
threat of the use of force, for the ends of policy. This series is as interested in
ideas as in historical cases of grand strategy and military strategy in action. All
historical periods, near and past, and even future, are of interest. In addition to
original monographs, the series will from time to time publish edited reprints of
neglected classics as well as collections of essays.
4 Astropolitik
Classical geopolitics in the space age
Everett C. Dolman
6 Pure Strategy
Power and principle in the space and information age
Everett C. Dolman
List of figures xi
List of boxes xii
Acknowledgments xiii
1 Introduction 1
Introducing A Discourse 1
‘A towering figure’ 3
‘Deeply flawed’ 5
Aim and argument 6
A note on strategy 8
A note on strategic theory 11
The formative factors of strategic theory 15
Organization of this study 18
Annexes 258
Notes 260
Select bibliography 292
Index 304
Figures
This book took off during my stay at the School of Advanced Airpower Studies
in 1998–99. Thanks in particular to professor Dennis Drew, my mentor at SAAS
who said ‘I think you’re on to something’, thus providing me with the necessary
dose of self-confidence for embarking on the academic trail. The Clingendael
Institute of International Relations in The Hague has been my home from 2000
till 2005. A special word of appreciation for Professor Alfred van Staden, then
director of the Clingendael Institute, for maintaining faith in the project, for his
broad perspective, as well as for his patience. From the head of the research
department, Professor Jan Rood, I received more latitude to conduct research in
a wide variety of topics than I could have wished for. Professor Rob de Wijk,
director of the Clingendael Center for Strategic Studies, has assisted me
throughout the development of this book with frequent pointed remarks. I have
also sincerely benefited from the personal encouragement and support I received
from the senior leadership of the Royal Netherlands Air Force in the past
decade. I am deeply indebted to LtGen Droste, LtGen Berlijn, LtGen Starink,
MGen Hilderink, MGen Melker, and MGen Meulman. I am grateful also to
LtCol. Paul Ducheine and Col. Peter Wijninga, who have been brothers in intel-
lectual arms in the past years. I would like to thank Barry Watts, Chet Richards
and Dick Safranski for providing me with very valuable comments and sugges-
tions on various drafts of this book, based on their personal acquaintance with
John Boyd. Mary Holton-Boyd was very kind in permitting me to incorporate
slides from Boyd’s work, which greatly help in explaining his ideas. The final
word of gratitude goes to professor Grant Hammond, of the Center for Strategy
and Technology of the Air War College, and author of the first Boyd biography.
He has been the mental and moral driving force in the development of this book
since 1999. Indeed, I even owe the title of the book to him.
1 Introduction
To flourish and grow in a many-sided uncertain and ever changing world that
surrounds us, suggests that we have to make intuitive within ourselves those
many practices we need to meet the exigencies of that world. The contents that
comprise this ‘Discourse’ unfold observations and ideas that contribute towards
achieving or thwarting such an aim or purpose.
John Boyd, A Discourse, p. 1
Introducing A Discourse
This book aims to provide a better understanding of the strategic thought
developed by John Boyd. He has exerted a very substantial influence on recent
military thinking in the western world, and continues to do so. On the other
hand, his work has invited dismissive critique. Despite this situation, however,
there is as of yet no comprehensive study concerning his ideas.
Most people associate Boyd with the so called ‘OODA loop’, where ‘OODA’
is generally understood to stand for observation, orientation, decision and action.
The idea has gained currency that the OODA loop is the equivalent of a decision
cycle. Subsequently, war can be construed of as a collision of organizations
going through their respective OODA loops, or decision cycles. In the popular-
ized interpretation, the OODA loop suggests that success in war depends on the
ability to out-pace and out-think the opponent, or put differently, on the ability
to go through the OODA cycle more rapidly than the opponent. In simplified
form, it looks like Figure 1.1.
Few are familiar with the source of the OODA loop: A Discourse on Winning
and Losing. A Discourse consists of four briefings and an essay. The set has also
been labelled as The Green Book. It was completed in 1987, although subse-
quently frequently the specific wording on slides was revised. The essay
Destruction and Creation was written in 1976. It is a window to Boyd’s mind,
according to Robert Coram, one of his two biographers.1 In it Boyd states that
uncertainty is a fundamental and irresolvable characteristic of our lives, no
matter how good our observations and theories for explanation are.
Patterns of Conflict forms the historical heart of the work. First draft com-
pleted in 1977, it has turned into the opus of Boyd’s research on conflict and
2 Introduction
Action Observation
Decision Orientation
‘A towering figure’
Some regard Boyd as the most important strategist of the twentieth century, or
even since Sun Tzu.4 James Burton claims that ‘A Discourse on Winning and
Losing will go down in history as the twentieth century’s most original thinking
in the military arts. No one, not even Karl von Clausewitz, Henri de Jomini, Sun
Tzu, or any of the past masters of military theory, shed as much light on the
mental and moral aspects of conflict as Boyd.’5 Colin Gray has ranked Boyd
among the outstanding general theorists of strategy of the twentieth century,
along with the likes of Bernard Brodie, Edward Luttwak, Basil Liddell Hart and
John Wylie, stating that
John Boyd deserves at least an honorable mention for his discovery of the
‘OODA loop’ . . . allegedly comprising a universal logic of conflict. . . .
Boyd’s loop can apply to the operational, strategic, and political levels of
war. . . . The OODA loop may appear too humble to merit categorization as
grand theory, but that is what it is. It has an elegant simplicity, an extensive
domain of applicability, and contains a high quality of insight about stra-
tegic essentials. . . .6
Boyd’s influence first became apparent during the late 1970s and 1980s in the
development of what later turned out to be the AirLand Battle concept.7 Later,
the US Marine Corps incorporated Boyd’s ideas into their new fighting manuals.
In the US Joint Chiefs of Staff Publication, JP 3–13.1, Joint doctrine for
Command and Control Warfare (C2W) the OODA loop is included in Appendix
A (without however mentioning Boyd’s name anywhere). Outside the US too,
his influence is demonstrable. For instance, the UK military doctrine description
of the doctrinally preferred method of war fighting, ‘the maneuvrist approach’ is
also pure Boyd (and fully in line with the US Marines doctrine):
His influence extends into weapon systems and recent military operations.
The 1991 Gulf War air campaign employed F-16, F-18 and F-15 aircraft,
fighters that Boyd helped create during the 1960s and 1970s. The war itself is by
some considered a validation of the innovation in operational theory and praxis
that matured in AirLand Battle.9 In fact, Boyd has been credited with directly
influencing the design of the military ground campaign through his association
with Dick Cheney, then US Secretary of Defense, a former member of the so-
called Military Reform Group, who was well versed in Boyd’s military thinking.
In the May 6, 1991 issue of US News & World Report Boyd was mentioned,
together with two officers who were directly influenced by Boyd, as the persons
who determined the tactics employed during the Gulf War.10
In the aftermath of the terrorist attacks of September 11 2001, US Secretary
of State and former chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff Colin Powell
implicitly honored Boyd by talking of a response involving multiple thrusts and
getting inside the adversary’s decision cycle.11 In the 1990s his ideas were incor-
porated in various European military doctrines, while the concept of Network
Centric Warfare, a key theme of US and NATO military transformation initi-
atives ongoing since 2002, surfaces many themes central to Boyd’s work.
Looking back on the stunning victory of Operation Iraqi Freedom (2003) against
substantial Iraqi armed forces, the commander of the coalition troops, General
Tommy Franks also referred explicitly to Boyd’s idea of getting inside the
enemy’s decision cycle.12 This indicates that Boyd’s concepts and terminology
have become mainstream in the Western militaries, and will also be employed
for the security challenges of the twenty-first century.13
And his fame has not been confined to military strategy. The OODA Loop
has even been discussed in Forbes and Harvard Business Review.14 In fact,
Figure 1.1 and a discussion of the OODA loop appear in Competing Against
Time, a book on management.15 In addition, Tom Peters, author of Thriving on
Chaos, a book that revolutionized management theories in America, talks of cre-
ating and exploiting chaos, of shaping the marketplace and of mutual trust.
Peters admitted that his book had been shaped by Boyd’s ideas. Since then
Boyd’s ideas have been applied by consultants and have been taught at business
schools, with the active endorsement of Boyd, who considered this an affirma-
tion of the fact that his intellectual legacy encompassed more than war fighting;
his ideas were universal, timeless, and could be applied to any form of conflict.16
Introduction 5
The tribute written two days after Boyd’s death by General C.C. Krulak, then
Commandant of the US Marine Corps, reflects the view shared by many that
Boyd was
‘Deeply flawed’
Controversy and misperception nevertheless surround Boyd’s work. Like
Clausewitz and Sun Tzu, his work is more heard of than read or understood.
Very few people have actually worked their way through the presentations.
Instead, the neat graphical depiction of the OODA loop has become the symbol
of Boyd’s entire work, indeed, it is often regarded as the concise representation
of his ideas. One expert, for instance, asserts that ‘Boyd’s theory claims that the
key advantage to success in conflict is to operate inside the opponent’s decision
cycle. Advantages in observation and orientation enable a tempo in decision
making and execution that outpaces the ability of the foe to react effectively in
time.’18 And in 1996 this interpretation of the OODA loop was incorporated in,
and elevated to, long-term US defense policy when the Joint Chiefs of Staff
1996 document Joint Vision 2010 stated that US Forces will gain ‘OODA-loop
dominance’, being able to ‘observe, orient, decide, and act much more quickly
than our opponents’.19
This particular view on Boyd’s work has inspired critique. To be sure, some
offer assessments based on a somewhat wider appreciation of Boyd. Colin Gray
regards the ideas of Boyd as constituting a general theory of conflict. Others
discuss his ideas in particular within the framework of operational level doctrine
of warfare, regarding his work as the conceptual foundation of maneuver
warfare.20 Some others dismiss Boyd’s ideas on the grounds that they are rather
underdeveloped and too theoretical, pointing to the fact that, unlike Baron de
Jomini or, more recently, air-power theorist John Warden, Boyd’s notions
remain too vague to amount to anything other than a moving target of little use
in structuring a debate or attempting to educate one’s mind on the nature of war
before arriving at the battlefield.21
But frequently, discussions concerning the merits of Boyd’s work focus
solely on the merits of the OODA cycle idea, with one school suggesting that
Exploring the Variety of Random
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The Project Gutenberg eBook of Physiology
and histology of the Cubomedusæ
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Author: E. W. Berger
Language: English
PHYSIOLOGY AND
HISTOLOGY
OF
THE CUBOMEDUSÆ
INCLUDING
Dr. F. S. Conant’s Notes on the Physiology
BY
E. W. BERGER
BALTIMORE
The Johns Hopkins Press
1900
PRINTED BY
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