Novartis 2024 Meet-Novartis-Management-2024-Ceo-Presentation
Novartis 2024 Meet-Novartis-Management-2024-Ceo-Presentation
Investor Event
London, November 21, 2024
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that can generally be identified by words such as
“potential,” “expected,” “will,” “planned,” “pipeline,” “outlook,” “confident,” or similar expressions, or by express or implied discussions regarding potential new products, potential new indications for
existing products, potential product launches, or regarding potential future revenues from any such products; or regarding results of ongoing clinical trials; or regarding potential future, pending or
announced transactions; regarding potential future sales or earnings; or by discussions of strategy, plans, expectations or intentions, including discussions regarding our continued investment into new
R&D capabilities and manufacturing; or regarding our capital structure; or regarding the consequences of the spin-off of Sandoz and our transformation into a “pure-play” innovative medicines company.
Such forward-looking statements are based on the current beliefs and expectations of management regarding future events and are subject to significant known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual resu lts may vary materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.
You should not place undue reliance on these statements. There can be no guarantee that the investigational or approved products described in this presentation will be submitted or approved for sale or
for any additional indications or labeling in any market, or at any particular time. Nor can there be any guarantee that such products will be commercially successful in the future. Neither can there be any
guarantee expected benefits or synergies from the transactions described in this presentation will be achieved in the expected timeframe, or at all. In particular, our expectations could be affected by,
among other things: uncertainties regarding the success of key products, commercial priorities and strategy; uncertainties in the research and development of new products, including clinical trial results
and additional analysis of existing clinical data; uncertainties regarding the use of new and disruptive technologies, including artificial intelligence; global trends toward healthcare cost containment,
including ongoing government, payer and general public pricing and reimbursement pressures and requirements for increased pricing transparency; uncertainties regarding our ability to realize the
strategic benefits, operational efficiencies or opportunities expected from our external business opportunities; our ability to realize the intended benefits of our separation of Sandoz into a new publicly
traded standalone company; our ability to obtain or maintain proprietary intellectual property protection, including the ultimate extent of the impact on Novartis of the loss of patent protection and
exclusivity on key products; uncertainties in the development or adoption of potentially transformational digital technologie s and business models; uncertainties surrounding the implementation of our new
IT projects and systems; uncertainties regarding potential significant breaches of information security or disruptions of our information technology systems; uncertainties regarding actual or potential legal
proceedings, including regulatory actions or delays or government regulation related to the products and pipeline products described in this presentation; safety, quality, data integrity, or manufacturing
issues; our performance on and ability to comply with environmental, social and governance measures and requirements; major p olitical, macroeconomic and business developments, including impact of
the war in certain parts of the world; uncertainties regarding future global exchange rates; uncertainties regarding future demand for our products; and other risks and factors referred to in Novartis AG’s
most recently filed Form 20-F and in subsequent reports filed with, or furnished to, the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Novartis is providing the information in this presentation as of this date
and does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
All trademarks in this presentation are the property of their respective owners.
This presentation includes non-IFRS financial measures, including constant currencies (cc), core results and free cash flow. An explanation of non-IFRS measures can be found on page 46 of the 3Q24
Interim Financial Report.
+71
Apr 2019 (+36%)
Spun Alcon
267
20
Nov 2021 42
Exited Roche stake 196
1. Source: Bloomberg for market capitalizations of Alcon and Sandoz, own calculations for market capitalization of Novartis. 2. In addition, Novartis paid out USD 50bn in dividends over the period of 2018 – 2024.
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E
1. As defined on page 35 of the Interim Financial Report, Continuing operations include the retained business activities of Novartis, comprising the Innovative Medicines Division and the continuing Corporate activities. 2. Core results and
constant currencies are non-IFRS measures. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the Interim Financial Report. Unless otherwise noted, all growth rates refer to same period in PY.
13.7
13.2
12.4 12.6
11.8 12.2 12.1
~12%
~8%
As %
26.3% 25.6% 25.4% 26.5% 28.7% 29.0% 34.0%
of Sales
1. 2018 to 2022 figures reflecting revised free cash flow definition. Free cash flow is a non-IFRS measure. An explanation of non-IFRS measures can be found on page 46 of the Interim Financial Report. 2. ROIC calculated as per Bloomberg
definition using reported (non-core) financials, adjusted to reflect Novartis post Sandoz spin-off.
Deliver high-value medicines that alleviate society’s greatest disease burdens through technology leadership
in R&D and novel access approaches
2 + 3 technology platforms
Chemistry, Biotherapeutics
xRNA, Radioligand, Gene & Cell Therapy
4 priority geographies Deliver high-value Unleash the power of Driving efficiencies and
US, China, Germany, Japan medicines (including our people agile resource allocation
launch excellence)
Scale data science Improving R&D
and technology productivity
Build trust with society
Biotherapeutics
+25% China
1. Based on 2023 sales actuals. 2. 9M 2024 sales growth vs PY in constant currencies. Constant currencies is a non-IFRS measure. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the 3Q24 Interim Financial Report.
Our approach:
Chemistry Biotherapeutics xRNA RLT Cell Gene
• Broad applicability
Oncology • Sustained competitive
advantage
CRM • Scalability to build pipeline
• Advancement of disease
area strategy
Immunology
• Integration of diverse
expertise
Neuroscience
35.2
1 2
+5% cc 40%+
CAGR by 2027
Core results and constant currencies are non-IFRS measures. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the Interim Financial Report.
+5% CAGR
Mainly
remibrutinib
OAV101 IT
atrasentan
ianalumab
pelacarse n
Mainly Mainly
Entresto® Kisqali ®
Promacta ® Leqvio®
Tasigna ® Plu victo ®
Xol air® Fabhalta®
San dostatin LAR ® Scemblix ®
Jakavi ® Kesimpta ®
All figures reflecting Continuing Operations. 1. Constant currencies is a non-IFRS measure. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the 3Q24 Interim Financial Report. 2. For forecasting purposes, we
assume Entresto US LoE in 2025. Timing of Entresto US generic entry is subject to ongoing patent and regulatory litigation. 3. Including indication expansion.
2024 YTD
~47% leader in metastatic
breast cancer 1 ~27% in early breast cancer2
~2 weeks post launch
#4 China7
leader in post-
~62% leader in hidradenitis
suppurativa3 ~35% taxane mCRPC,
all lines4
#1 Germany
~41% leader in
3L+ CML5 ~48% leader in
PNH6 #4 Japan7
1. Of CDK4/6 mBC market, US rolling 3 months ending September 2024, IQVIA Breast Cancer Market Sizing report. 2. Of CDK4/6 eBC market, US September 2024, IQVIA Breast Cancer Market Sizing report. 3. IQVIA National Source of
Business (NSOB) September 2024. 4. Claims Data Stack, September 2024. Data adjusted for United cyber attack impact. 5. US: July US IQVIA CML market sizing report. 6. VEEVA claims data, July 2024. 7. Rank among
pharmaceutical multinational companies.
Upgrade vs.
previous guidance
Q3’24 sales
annualized 7.5bn 3.4bn 1.5bn 0.7bn
Q3 growth +26%cc +28%cc +50%cc +72%cc
Peak sales
(approx.)
7bn+ 6bn+ 5bn+ 3bn+
assuming US
Existing & expected LoE in mid 20252
future indications1
Q3’24 sales
annualized 6.8bn 3.4bn 0.8bn 0.2bn
Q3 growth +28%cc +43%cc +119%cc nm
Peak sales
(approx.)
8bn+ 8bn+ 4bn+ 3bn+
assuming US
Existing & expected LoE in 2029
future indications1
Constant currencies are non-IFRS measures. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the Interim Financial Report. 1. Existing marketed indications and expected future Indications currently in development
and/or registration. 2. Timing of Entresto US generic entry is subject to ongoing patent and regulatory litigation.
remibrutinib OAV101 IT
Q3’24 sales
annualized 7.5bn 3.4bn 1.5bn 0.7bn N/A N/A
Q3 growth +26%cc +28%cc +50%cc +72%cc
Peak sales
7bn+ 6bn+ 5bn+ 3bn+
(approx.) assuming US multi-bn multi-bn
Existing & expected LoE in mid 20252
future indications1
pelacarsen ianalumab
Q3’24 sales
annualized 6.8bn 3.4bn 0.8bn 0.2bn N/A N/A
Q3 growth +28%cc +43%cc +119%cc nm
Peak sales
8bn+ 8bn+ 4bn+ 3bn+
(approx.) assuming US multi-bn multi-bn
Existing & expected LoE in 2029
future indications1
Constant currencies are non-IFRS measures. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the Interim Financial Report. 1. Existing marketed indications and expected future Indications currently in development
and/or registration. 2. Timing of Entresto US generic entry is subject to ongoing patent and regulatory litigation.
Key assets with submission-enabling readouts through 2026 (expected) Post readout
1. Event-driven trial readout. 2. ORION-4 expected readout in 2026 and VICTORION-2-PREVENT in 2027.
Select assets
Assets are shown in the phase of the most advanced indication (listed first). High-value potential based on unprobabilized estimated peak sales of all indications currently in development. 1. Novartis is developing minzasolmin jointly in
collaboration with UCB; DLX313 is the Novartis compound code for UCB0599. 2. Novartis has an exclusive, global license agreement with Legend Biotech for LB2102. 3. Novartis has signed an exclusive global license agreement with Monte
Rosa Therapeutics. This transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory clearance.
Selected projects (indication) Pre-clinical Phase I Phase II Phase III Registration Next milestone/status
Immunology Cosentyx (GCA) Readout H1 2025
Cosentyx (PMR) Readout H2 2025
Disease areas (selected) Remibrutinib (CSU) Submission in H1 2025
• Psoriasis, Psoriatic Arthritis
Remibrutinib (CINDU) Readout 2026
• Spondylitis/Spondyloarthritis
Remibrutinib (HS) Advancing into PhIII in 2025
• HS, CSU, CINDU, AtD
Remibrutinib (FA) Readout H2 2025
• Sjögren’s, SLE, LN
Ianalumab (SjD) Readout H2 2025
Ianalumab (LN) Readout 2027
Anchor assets
Ianalumab (SLE) Readout 2027
ianalumab (HS) Readout 2025
Ianalumab (SSc) Readout 2027
YTB323 (srSLE/LN) Readouts from 2026
YTB323 (SSc) Trial recruiting
Advanced platform
YTB323 (IIM) Trial recruiting
capabilities Disease area
YTB323 (AAV) Starting PhII in 20252
• Immune reset Rheumatology
• Bi-/tri-specific antibodies GIA632 (IL-15 mAb) (multiple) PhII initiation H2 2025
Dermatology
T-cell engagers (SLE) Readouts from 2027
Other
Bi-specific antibodies (AtD) Readouts from 2027
Selected projects (indication) Pre-clinical Phase I Phase II Phase III Registration Next milestone/status
CRM Leqvio® (CVRR-LDLC, secondary Readouts
and primary prevention) 2026-2027
Disease areas (selected) Pelacarsen (CVRR-Lp(a))
Readout 2025
(event-driven)
• Heart Failure and Hypertension
LTP001 (SMURF1 inhibitor) (PAH)1 Trial recruiting
• Atherosclerosis
• Arrhythmia QCZ484 (rHTN) Advancing into PhII in 2025
• Rare Renal, Acute Kidney Injury Multiple assets in
Arrhythmia (multiple assets)
clinic 2025
Inflammation (multiple modalities) First asset in clinic 2025
Anchor assets
Several entering clinic in
Multiple siRNA assets
2025-2026
Atrasentan (IgAN) Approval expected 2025
1. Phase I / II.
Selected projects (indication) Pre-clinical Phase I Phase II Phase III Registration Next milestone/status
Neuroscience
Remibrutinib (MS) Readout 2026
Anchor assets
(FSHD, DM1) Lead optimization/Discovery
1. Phase I / II. 2. Novartis is developing minzasolmin jointly in collaboration with UCB; DLX313 is the Novartis compound code for UCB0599. 3. Direct to Phase II.
Selected projects (MoA/indication)1 Pre-clinical Phase I Phase II Phase III Registration Next milestone/status
Oncology Kisqali + oral SERD2,4 Advancing into PhIII
Ac-PSMA-617 (1st gen α-emitting PSMA RLT) 8 Advancing into PhIII in H1 2025
Ac-PSMA-R2 (2 nd
gen α-emitting PSMA RLT) 4,9 Readout expected 2026
• RLT • Bi-/tri-specific FXX489 (multiple including NSCLC, PDAC, CRC) Prostate cancer Trial ongoing
• ADC antibodies GIZ943 (FOLR1R)11 (NSCLC, ovarian cancer) Trial ongoing
Other RLT programs
• CAR-T Studies ongoing
Emerging (next-gen FAP, HER2, DLL3, B7H3) (multiple)
1. Bars show most advanced phase per project row. 2. Ongoing combination study shown is sponsored byOlema Pharmaceuticals. 3. Ongoing combination study shown is sponsored by Scorpion Therapeutics. 4. Phase I / II.
5. Code: AAA603. 6. Name: Lu-FAP-2286. 7. Name: Lu-NNS-309. 8. Code: AAA817. 9: Code: AAA802. 10. Code: DZR123. 11. Name: Lu-EVS-459. 12. Event-driven trial readout.
Select initiatives
Trial execution
Target ID Chemistry Preclinical Trial design Study start-up
and analysis
9 Intelligent Decision
AI-powered System (IDS)
drug design
AI-powered trial transformation
4 Predictive
safety
Select 1
partners
1. Novartis has signed a research collaboration and license agreement with Schrödinger. This transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory clearance.
AAA614 Solid tumors, including NSCLC, PDAC Ivrea & Saluggia (IT)
RLT 17 Ac-PSMA-617 Prostate cancer 18 6 Zaragoza (ES) ~29bn3
Ac-PSMA-R2 Prostate cancer Baarle-Nassau (NL)
4 expected new sites
Lu-NeoB Solid tumors, breast cancer, Glioblastoma multiforme
(US, CN, JP)
OAV101 IT SMA IT Stein (CH)
Cell &
Gene 11 YTB323
srSLE/LN, HRLBCL, Adult ALL, RMS, PPMS, IIM, SSc,
gMG, AAV 16 3 Durham (US) ~55bn2
DFT383 Cystinosis Morris Plains (US)
1. From Exploratory to Preclinical. 2. Source Evaluate Pharma estimate for the year 2030. 3. SourceMEDraysintell Nuclear Medicine Report & Directory Edition 2024, Radiotherapeutics market estimate for the year 2033.
CRM
xRNA xRNA
1
Immunology
Neuroscience
Gene therapy Gene therapy
Gene therapy xRNA
Oncology
RLT RLT RLT RLT Cell therapy RLT
3
Cross-TA
& AI/ML
Select C&BD transactions are shown in the phase of the most advanced indication for multiple asset deals. 1. Novartis hassigned an exclusive global license agreement with Monte Rosa Therapeutics. This transaction is subject to customary
closing conditions, including regulatory clearance. 2. Novartis has signed an exclusive worldwide license and collaboration agreement with Ratio Therapeutics Inc. This transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory
clearance. 3. Novartis has signed research collaboration and license agreement with Schrödinger. This transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory clearance.
1 Continuing operations growth in constant currencies. Constant currencies is a non-IFRS measure. Details regarding non-IFRS measures can be found starting on page 46 of the 3Q24 Interim Financial Report. 2. Pharmaceuticals subindustry
group. Copyright Morningstar Sustainalytics. All rights reserved.