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Assesment 1

The document outlines an assessment for a statistics course, detailing various probability problems related to binomial and Poisson distributions. It includes tasks such as calculating probabilities of hitting a target, car entries at a safari park, and task completion times, with specific questions and required calculations. The assessment is to be completed within 1 hour and 30 minutes, with a total mark of 40.

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16 views

Assesment 1

The document outlines an assessment for a statistics course, detailing various probability problems related to binomial and Poisson distributions. It includes tasks such as calculating probabilities of hitting a target, car entries at a safari park, and task completion times, with specific questions and required calculations. The assessment is to be completed within 1 hour and 30 minutes, with a total mark of 40.

Uploaded by

anu
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Assessment 1

Statistics
Total mark: 40
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
Tutor: Anu P Joseph Date: 09/03/2024 Submission date: 09/03/2024

You must have:

Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Yellow), calculator

1. George throws a ball at a target 15 times.


Each time George throws the ball, the probability of the ball hitting the target is 0.48
The random variable X represents the number of times George hits the target in 15 throws.

(a) Find
(i) P (X = 3)

(ii) P (X ≥5) (3)

George now throws the ball at the target 250 times.

(b) Use a normal approximation to calculate the probability that he will hit the target more than 110 times.
(3)
2. The number of cars entering a safari park per 10-minute period can be modelled by a Poisson distribution
with mean 6.

(a) Find the probability that in a given 10-minute period exactly 8 cars will enter the safari park.
(2)
(b) Find the smallest value of n such that the probability that at least n cars enter the safari park in 10
minutes is less than 0.05
(3)
The probability that no cars enter the safari park in m minutes, where m is an integer, is less than 0.05

(c) Find the smallest value of m


(2)
A car enters the safari park.

(d) Find the probability that there is less than 5 minutes before the next car enters the safari park.
(3)
Given that exactly 15 cars entered the safari park in a 30-minute period,

(e) find the probability that exactly 1 car entered the safari park in the first 5 minutes of the 30-minute
period.
(4)

3. The probability that a person completes a particular task in less than 15 minutes is 0.4

Jeffrey selects 20 people at random and asks them to complete the task. The random variable, X, represents
the number of people who complete the task in less than 15 minutes.

(a) Find P(5 ≤ X < 8)

(3)

Mia takes a random sample of 140 people.

Using a normal approximation, the probability that fewer than n of these 140 people complete the task in less
than 15 minutes is 0.0239 to 4 decimal places.

(b) Find the value of n

Show your working clearly.

(6)

4. A manufacturer produces plates. The proportion of plates that are flawed is 45%, with flawed plates
occurring independently.

A random sample of 10 of these plates is selected.

(a) Find the probability that the sample contains

(i) fewer than 2 flawed plates,

(ii) at least 6 flawed plates.

(4)

George believes that the proportion of flawed plates is not 45%. To assess his belief George takes a random
sample of 120 plates. The random variable F represents the number of flawed plates found in the sample.

(b) Using a normal approximation, find the maximum number of plates, c, and the minimum number of
plates, d, such that

P(F ≤ c) ≤ 0.05 and P(F ≥ d) ≤ 0.05

where F ~ B (120, 0.45)

(7)

END

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