Advanced Decision Sciences Based On Deep Learning And Ensemble Learning Algorithms A Practical Approach Using Python Paneerselvam pdf download
Advanced Decision Sciences Based On Deep Learning And Ensemble Learning Algorithms A Practical Approach Using Python Paneerselvam pdf download
https://ebookbell.com/product/advanced-decision-sciences-based-on-
deep-learning-and-ensemble-learning-algorithms-s-sumathi-36373830
https://ebookbell.com/product/advances-in-decision-sciences-image-
processing-security-and-computer-vision-international-conference-on-
emerging-trends-in-engineering-icete-vol-1-1st-ed-suresh-chandra-
satapathy-10489154
https://ebookbell.com/product/advances-in-decision-sciences-image-
processing-security-and-computer-vision-international-conference-on-
emerging-trends-in-engineering-icete-vol-2-1st-ed-2020-suresh-chandra-
satapathy-10798180
12th International Conference On Information Systems And Advanced
Technologies Icisat 2022 Intelligent Information Data Science And
Decision Support System Mohamed Ridda Laouar
https://ebookbell.com/product/12th-international-conference-on-
information-systems-and-advanced-technologies-icisat-2022-intelligent-
information-data-science-and-decision-support-system-mohamed-ridda-
laouar-49114548
https://ebookbell.com/product/advanced-multicriteria-decision-making-
for-addressing-complex-sustainability-issues-prasenjit-
chatterjee-22043392
https://ebookbell.com/product/advances-in-decision-science-and-
management-proceedings-of-third-international-conference-on-decision-
science-and-management-icdsm-2021-taosheng-wang-43027772
https://ebookbell.com/product/advances-in-optimization-and-decision-
science-for-society-services-and-enterprises-ods-genoa-italy-
september-47-2019-1st-edition-massimo-paolucci-10788824
https://ebookbell.com/product/advanced-technologies-systems-and-
applications-v-papers-selected-by-the-technical-sciences-division-of-
the-bosnianherzegovinian-american-academy-of-arts-and-
sciences-2020-1st-ed-samir-avdakovi-22500460
COMPUTER SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND APPLICATIONS
A PRACTICAL APPROACH
USING PYTHON
No part of this digital document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or
by any means. The publisher has taken reasonable care in the preparation of this digital document, but makes no
expressed or implied warranty of any kind and assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. No
liability is assumed for incidental or consequential damages in connection with or arising out of information
contained herein. This digital document is sold with the clear understanding that the publisher is not engaged in
rendering legal, medical or any other professional services.
COMPUTER SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY
AND APPLICATIONS
A PRACTICAL APPROACH
USING PYTHON
S. SUMATHI, PHD
SURESH RAJAPPA, PHD
L. ASHOK KUMAR, PHD
AND
SUREKHA PANEERSELVAM, PHD
Copyright © 2021 by Nova Science Publishers, Inc.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted
in any form or by any means: electronic, electrostatic, magnetic, tape, mechanical photocopying,
recording or otherwise without the written permission of the Publisher.
We have partnered with Copyright Clearance Center to make it easy for you to obtain permissions to
reuse content from this publication. Simply navigate to this publication’s page on Nova’s website and
locate the “Get Permission” button below the title description. This button is linked directly to the title’s
permission page on copyright.com. Alternatively, you can visit copyright.com and search by title, ISBN,
or ISSN.
For further questions about using the service on copyright.com, please contact:
Copyright Clearance Center
Phone: +1-(978) 750-8400 Fax: +1-(978) 750-4470 E-mail: [email protected].
Independent verification should be sought for any data, advice or recommendations contained in this
book. In addition, no responsibility is assumed by the Publisher for any injury and/or damage to persons
or property arising from any methods, products, instructions, ideas or otherwise contained in this
publication.
This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information with regard to the subject
matter covered herein. It is sold with the clear understanding that the Publisher is not engaged in
rendering legal or any other professional services. If legal or any other expert assistance is required, the
services of a competent person should be sought. FROM A DECLARATION OF PARTICIPANTS
JOINTLY ADOPTED BY A COMMITTEE OF THE AMERICAN BAR ASSOCIATION AND A
COMMITTEE OF PUBLISHERS.
Additional color graphics may be available in the e-book version of this book.
Preface vii
Acknowledgments ix
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
Chapter 2 Deep Learning 37
Chapter 3 Convolutional Neural Networks 89
Chapter 4 Recurrent Neural Networks 145
Chapter 5 Ensemble Learning 177
Chapter 6 Implementing DL and Ensemble Learning Models:
Real World Use Cases 217
Appendix 333
Suggested Reading 343
About the Authors 349
Index 355
PREFACE
Deep Learning and Data sciences were an academic discipline with only
a theoretical approach to real-world problems. The applications such as
computer vision, face recognition, and speech recognition were the
prominent ones for which artificial neural networks and machine learning
components were too narrow. In addition, neural networks were considered
to be almost outdated for these applications. In the past seven to eight years,
Deep Learning and Data sciences have grown massively, diving into diverse
application areas such as statistical modeling, speech recognition, voice-to-
text conversion, natural language processing, computer vision, and many
more. Any engineering application, you name it, and deep learning is applied
there, from gaming to medical to physics and many more. It has almost made
scientists and research aspirants feel that survival is impossible without these
sophisticated learning mechanisms.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The authors are always thankful to the Almighty for perseverance and
achievements.
The authors owe their gratitude to Shri L. Gopalakrishnan, Managing
Trustee, PSG Institutions, and gratitude to Dr. K. Prakasan, Principal In
Charge, PSG College of Technology, Coimbatore, India, for their
wholehearted cooperation and great encouragement in this successful
endeavor.
Dr. Sumathi owes much to her daughter, S. Priyanka, who contributed a
great deal of time and assumed much responsibility in helping to complete
this book. She is grateful and proud of the strong support given by her
husband, Mr. Sai Vadivel. Dr. Sumathi would like to extend wholehearted
thanks to her parents, who have reduced the family commitments and
offered constant support. She is incredibly thankful to her brother Mr. M. S.
Karthikeyan who has always been a “stimulator” for her progress. Finally,
wishes to thank her Parents-in-Law for their great moral support.
Dr. Suresh Rajappa would like to thank his wife, Mrs. Padmini
Govindarajan, for her unconditional support and time whenever needed
during the book's writing. Dr. Suresh also thanks his twin daughters Ms.
Dharshini Suresh and Ms. Varshini Suresh, for their continued
encouragement for the book. He would also like to extend his gratitude to
his present and former colleagues at KPMG, especially Mr. Vimal Kumar
x S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
Mehta, for his advice. Finally, Dr. Suresh would thank Mr. Srihari
Govindarajan, Principal at Kloudlogic Inc., for helping him to proofread the
materials for this book and keeping his sanity.
Dr. L. Ashok Kumar would like to take this opportunity to acknowledge
those people who helped me in completing this book. I am thankful to all
my research scholars and students who are doing their projects and research
work with me. But the writing of this book is possible mainly because of the
support of my family members, parents, and sisters. Most importantly, I am
very grateful to my wife, Y. Uma Maheswari, for her constant support during
writing. Without her, all these things would not be possible. I want to express
my special gratitude to my daughter, A. K. Sangamithra, for her smiling face
and support. I want to dedicate this work to her.
Dr. Surekha P. would like to thank her parents, husband, Mr. S.
Srinivasan, and daughter Saisusritha who shouldered extra responsibilities
during the months contributed in writing this book. They did this with a
long-term vision, depth of character, and positive outlook that are truly
befitting of their name. Dr. Surekha offers her humble pranams at the lotus
feet of Amma, Mata Amritanandamayi.
The authors wish to thank all their friends, colleagues, and research
assistants who have been with them in all their endeavors with their
excellent, unforgettable help and assistance in successfully executing the
work.
Chapter 1
INTRODUCTION
LEARNING OUTCOMES
1.1. INTRODUCTION
1.2. RATIONALE
With these resources, deep learning has gained more popularity and
application in diverse disciplines throughout the technological community.
0 1 0
𝐴=[ 3 0 2]
−12 −7 −6
Let us see the Python code for computing the Eigenvalues and
Eigenvectors for the above example:
import numpy as np
import scipy.linalg as la
A = np.array([[0,1,0],[3,0,2],[-12,-7,-6]])
print(‘The given square matrix is\n’, A)
# finding eigenvalues and eigenvectors for the given square matrix
EigVal, EigVect = np.linalg.eig(A)
# printing Eigenvalues
print(‘The Eigenvalues for the given square matrix:\n’, EigVal)
# printing Eigenvectors
print(‘The Eigen Vector for the given square matrix:\n’, EigVect )
[[0 1 0]
[3 0 2]
6 S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
[-12 -7 -6]]
import numpy as np
import scipy.linalg as la
A:
[[0 4 0 4 3]
[3 0 4 2 1]
[4 1 0 0 2]
[3 4 1 2 1]
[3 1 2 2 1]]
# finding eigenvalues and eigenvectors for the given square matrix
EigVal, EigVect = np.linalg.eig(A)
# printing Eigenvalues
Introduction 7
(-0.002449896777988918-0.024875274571690694j)
8 S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
The dot product of two Eigenvectors is close to zero, and hence can be
concluded that they satisfy the principle of orthogonality.
In machine learning and data science, many data are operated using the
concept of Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors. For example, the Principal
Component Analysis (PCA) algorithm in machine learning, one of the best
feature extraction algorithms, works on the concept of Eigenvectors. In
PCA, when a large number of data is involved, there is a need for
dimensionality reduction since too much data may have redundant features.
In addition, a large number of features lead to poor algorithmic efficiency
and occupy ample memory space. So to identify the predominant
characteristics, there is a need for Eigenvectors. The flowchart in Figure 2
illustrates the reduction of dimensions in PCA using Eigenvectors.
The data is first normalized by finding the zero mean of each column
and then subtracting the mean from each row for every column in the data
set. To obtain a specific range of data, we divide by the standard deviation
throughout. Then the covariance matrix is evaluated. This is done by
Introduction 9
Machine learning can forecast better and accurate output. It builds the
algorithms which use the input data statistics to predict the result. All social
media websites use machine learning to display the data on the feed. A
simple illustration is given in Figure 3.
The procedure of machine learning involves searching through data to
look for patterns and program it accordingly. Some machine learning
examples include ads displayed as a suggestion, fraud detection.
Some of the machine learning methods are:
Ground
Truth
Answer
Key
finds all the possible scenarios, and fits in the best Example games
like hangman.
Traditional Programming has become oscillate now; developers
use many advanced types of programming. Machine learning is one
of them. Machine learning is all about implementing algorithms.
Input and output are entered into the algorithm to create a program.
This program decreases the code complexity and predicts accurate
outcomes.
For example, in an online product purchasing application,
whenever a client places an order, we will first check either the
client will give payment on time based on old transactions done by
the customer. Input will be client personal and purchase detail, and
its output will be client pay on time or late. Machine Learning will
predict the output based on historical information of the client.
Deep Learning is a branch of artificial intelligence that uses the
working pattern of the human brain for processing and manipulating
the data for processes. Deep learning uses the neural network to
predict the output patterns
Starting point
Destination
Neurons have three layers, namely input layer, hidden layer, and output
layer, as shown in Figure 4.
Input Layer: This layer consist of the records entered by the user,
i.e., starting point and destination.
Hidden Layer: This layer contains all the calculations and
implementation, i.e., w.r.t to the user starting point and destination
calculate the shorted path which covers minimum time and
Kilometers. The hidden layer can be one or multiple—deep learning
implements here, which have more than one hidden layer.
Output Layer: This layer consists of the final user output. I.e., it will
display the shortest route to the user.
Introduction 13
ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE (AI)
Early AI breakthroughs in rule
based systems, heuristic search, MACHINE
formal knowledge representation and LEARNING (ML)
inference. Statistical algorithms enable
machines to learn from data DEEP
patterns and anomalies and then LEARNING (DL)
make predictions, classifications, Enhanced Neural Networks pre-learn data
and decisions. features without human engineering. Multi-
layered “deep” architectures enable learning at
many abstraction levels with accuracy and error
rates comparable to humans for image
recognition and language understanding.
Figure 5. AI vs ML vs DL
Figure 5. AI vs ML vs DL.
So, the picture says it all (Figure 5); AI is comprehensive that initially
exploded in the late 1950s, which was a drastic change in the data science
industry. Then, in the late 1980s, machine learning was introduced, which
enhanced the features technologies used by artificial intelligence. Lastly,
deep learning was introduced that brings artificial intelligence and machine
learning to the next level.
14 S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
Year Model
1943 The first mathematical model of a neural network – McCullochPits
Neural Network
1950 The prediction of machine learning – Turing
1952 First machine learning programs - Arthur Samuel
1957 Setting the foundation for deep neural networks - Frank Rosenblatt
1960 Control theory – Backpropagation of errors - Henry J. Kelley
1965 The earliest working model of deep learning networks - Alexey
Ivakhnenko and V.G. Lapa
1979-80 An ANN learns how to recognize visual patterns - Kunihiko
Fukushima
1982 The creation of the Hopfield Networks - John Hopfield
1985 A program learns to pronounce English words - Terry Sejnowski
1986 Improvements in shape recognition and word prediction - David
Rumelhart, Geoffrey Hinton, and Ronald J. Williams
1989 Machines read handwritten digits - Yann LeCun
1989 Q-learning - Christopher Watkins
1993 A ‘very deep learning’ task is solved - Jürgen Schmidhuber
1995 Support vector machines - Corinna Cortes and Vladimir Vapnik
1997 Long short-term memory was proposed - Jürgen Schmidhuber and
Sepp Hochreiter
1998 Gradient-based learning - Yann LeCun
2009 Launch of ImageNet - Fei-Fei Li
2011 Creation of AlexNet - Alex Krizhevsky
2012 The Cat Experiment
2014 DeepFace
2014 Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) - Ian Goodfellow
2016 Powerful machine learning products
In 2014, the social media’s deep learning systems were developed and
released, known as the DeepFace, used for human face recognition with
97.35% accuracy. During the same year, Ian Goodfellow and his team
introduced the Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN). He claims GAN to
be one of the most exciting ideas over a decade in Machine Learning. GANs
enable models to tackle unsupervised learning, which is more or less the end
goal in the artificial intelligence community. GAN uses two competing
networks: the first takes in data and attempts to create indistinguishable
samples. In contrast, the second receives both the data and created samples
and determines if each data point is genuine or generated.
Introduction 17
Cray Inc., in 2016, offered powerful machine and deep learning products
and solutions based on Microsoft’s neural-network software on its XC50
supercomputers with 1,000 Nvidia Tesla P100 graphic processing units.
They have proved to perform deep learning tasks on data in a fraction of the
time they used to take – hours instead of days.
Today, DL is present among us in ways we may not even have imagined.
For instance, Google’s voice and image recognition, Netflix and Amazon’s
recommendation engines, Apple’s Siri, automatic email and text replies,
chatbots, and many more. Table 1 summarizes the evolution of DL over the
past 60 years.
Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are models that replicate the neural
structure of the brain. This class of machine learning models has been
biologically inspired and used in several computation applications. They
have gained popularity due to their capability in terms of less sensitivity to
noise, low-cost implementation, and ability to provide satisfactory results in
several real-world problems. ANNs have almost evolved in duplicating the
complex, versatile and robust structure of the human brain. The fundamental
processing element of an ANN is a neuron, which is configured to receive
inputs, process them, perform a non-linear operation on them, and obtain the
final result. This process in the artificial neuron is analogous to the neuron
in the human brain. From an application perspective, inputs are given to the
network comprised of a set of neurons. Every input is, in turn, multiplied by
a connection weight. Finally, the summation of the resulting products is fed
through a transfer function (activation function) to produce an output.
A simple neural network consists of input, output, and hidden layers, as
shown in Figure 6. The input layer is a set of neurons that receives inputs
from the outside world, while the neurons perform computation and send
information to the outside world from the output layer. A set of neurons
between the input layer and the output layer form the hidden layer. Some
networks are feed-forward where the input is presented at the input layer,
18 S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
and the output is obtained from the output layer after processing. There are
feedback architectures where the output information is again sent back to the
hidden layer for further processing. The output layer also has competitions
performed among its neurons to select the best result. Once the neural
network architecture is framed, the model is ready for the training or learning
process. The initial weights are chosen randomly to train a neural network.
Training or learning is classified under two broad categories - unsupervised
learning and supervised learning. In unsupervised learning, the network has
to make sense of the inputs without help from the outside environment. The
weights of the neurons are modified during the training process. This does
not happen at once, but it occurs over several iterations determined by
learning rules. Supervised learning involves providing the network with the
desired output by manually “grading” the network’s performance or
delivering the desired outputs with the inputs.
The ANNs learn or train themselves at a rate called the learning rate,
which controls the learning pace. With a slow learning rate, the computation
Introduction 19
time for the learning process to happen is more prolonged. In contrast, with
faster learning rates, the network may not be able to make the fine
discriminations possible with a system that learns more slowly. Hence a
tradeoff is required in deciding the choice of the learning rate. Learning is
undoubtedly more complex than the simplifications represented by the
learning laws. Some of the learning laws are Hopfield Law, Hebb’s Rule,
Delta rule, Extended Delta rule, Competitive learning rule, Correlation
learning rule, Boltzmann Learning Law, Outstar learning rule, and Memory-
Based Learning Law.
Most of the neural network architectures have been modeled based on
the problems to which they are applied. Most of the applications of ANN
fall into four different categories, namely, (i) Prediction, (ii) Classification,
(iii) Data Association, and (iv) Data Conceptualization. ANNs such as
Perceptron, Back Propagation, Delta Bar Delta, Extended Delta Bar Delta,
Directed Random search, and Higher Order Neural Networks belong to the
category of prediction networks. Learning Vector Quantization, Counter-
propagation network, and Probabilistic Neural Networks serve as excellent
classification algorithms. The Data association networks are Hopfield
network, Boltzmann Machine, Hamming Network, and Bi-directional
Associative Memory. Adaptive Resonance Network and Self Organizing
Map belong to the data conceptualization group of networks. A detailed
description of these networks, including the architecture, training, and
testing algorithm, can be found in our previous book on “Computational
Intelligence Paradigms: Theory & Applications using MATLAB,” published by
CRC Press in 2010.
1.6.1. Advantages
1.6.2. Disadvantages
1.6.3. Applications
Image processing
Signal Processing
Weather prediction and forecast
Pattern recognition
Classification etc.
Where A1, A2 are two inputs, Z1, Z2, Z3, Z4, and Z5 are the hidden
layer, and Y1 is the output layer. The fundamental component of a neural
network is referred to as a neuron. Given an input, these neurons provide the
output and pass that output as an input to the successive layer. A neuron can
be considered as a combination of 2 parts:
The part that computes the output Z, using the inputs and the
weights.
The part that performs the activation on Z produces the output A of
the neuron.
𝑧 = 𝑤𝑇𝑥 + 𝑏 (1)
𝑎 = 𝜎(𝑍) (2)
In the above diagram, five hidden layers comprise various neurons, each
performing the above two calculations. For example, the five neurons
present within the hidden layer of the above shallow neural network compute
the following:
[1] [1]
𝑎1 = 𝜎(𝑧1 )
[2] [2]
𝑎2 = 𝜎(𝑧2 )
[3] [3]
𝑎3 = 𝜎(𝑧3 ) (4)
[4] [4]
𝑎4 = 𝜎(𝑧4 )
[5] [5]
𝑎5 = 𝜎(𝑧5 )
[𝑖]
Where X is, the input vector consists of 2 features, 𝑤𝑗 denotes the
[𝑖]
weights associated with the neuron j in the ith layer, 𝑏𝑗 denotes the bias
[𝑖]
associated with neuron j and layer i, 𝑍𝑗 denotes the intermediate output
[𝑖]
related to the neuron j and the layer I, and 𝑎𝑗 is the final output related the
j and i. The 𝜎 is the sigmoid activation function, and it is defined as,
1
𝜎(𝑥) = 1+ⅇ −𝑥 (5)
As we can see, the five equations of Z and A (Equation (3) and (4))
seems excessive, and so we need to vectorize them as below (for the first
hidden layer)
(10)
(12)
or
The best practice for the initialization is using Xavier’s initialization, and
that can be defined as,
1
𝑤 [𝑙] ~𝑁 (𝜇 = 0, 𝜎 2 = 𝑛(𝑙−1)) (15)
The weight matrix (w) of a given layer (l) are picked randomly for a
normal distribution with mean (𝜇) is set to Zero. Variance (𝜎 2 ) reciprocal
of the number of neurons in layer l−1
𝑏 [𝑙] = 0 (16)
The forward propagation (arrow from left to right and top to bottom) is
used to calculate the output based on a given input x. On the other hand, the
26 S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
backward propagation (arrow from right to left and bottom to top) is used to
update the weights, w[1] and w[2] and respective bias b[1] and b[2]. Finally, the
loss function is computed by calculating the derivatives of the inputs in each
of the steps, shown below.
No Hidden Layer
Notations used:
In the network given in Figure 8, there are 5 hidden layers and one output
layer. The number of units in each layer is given as:
Here L denotes the number of layers. For the network shown in Figure
8,
The input to any arbitrary layer would be the activations from the
previous layer, (l-1)th layer, and this layer’s output would be its activations.
The weights and the bias used in the network are initialized before the
Introduction 29
The activation and the output are evaluated for each layer and then
backpropagated.
[𝑙]
𝑑𝑧 [𝑙] = 𝑑𝑎[𝑙] ∗ 𝑔′ (𝑧 [𝑙] ) (20)
1
𝑑𝑊 [𝑙] = 𝑚 ∗ 𝑑𝑧 [𝑙] ∗ 𝑎[𝑙−1] . 𝑇 (21)
This is the simplest method in which a deep learning model is built. But
choosing the proper parameters and hyperparameters for training large
networks results in promising performance. The parameters of the deep
learning model are the weights and bias. At the same time, the
hyperparameters include the learning rate, number of iterations, number of
30 S. Sumathi, S. Rajappa, L. Ashok Kumar and P. Surekha
strong student, thus increasing the accuracy of the model. In addition, the
bagging and boosting models have made the network model learn and improve
from the previous classification or training. The concept, algorithms, and
Python-based examples are discussed in detail in Chapter 5 of this book.
Deep Learning has evolved and found a role during recent years in multi-
disciplinary areas of engineering and science. Some of the thrust and promising
areas in which DL has been applied and proved to be powerful are self-driving
cars, natural language processing, Self Driving Cars, Natural Language
Processing, Image, and Visual Recognition, Fraud Detection, Virtual Assistants,
Healthcare, Developmental disorders in children, and many more.
1.10.6. Healthcare
SUMMARY
REVIEW QUESTIONS
DEEP LEARNING
LEARNING OUTCOMES
2.1. INTRODUCTION
Again and again they hurled forth the defiant words, until at last
they stopped opposite the inn with one final long-drawn shout of
savage triumph.
‘Well, this is a go,’ said Denny, drawing a long breath. ‘What are the
beggars up to?’
‘What have they been up to?’ I asked; for I could not doubt that the
song we had heard had been chanted over a dead Stefanopoulos
two hundred years before. At this age of the world the idea seemed
absurd, preposterous, horrible. But there was no law nearer than
Rhodes, and there only Turk’s law. The sole law here was the law of
the Stefanopouloi, and if that law lost its force by the crime of the
hand which should wield it, why, strange things might happen even
to-day in Neopalia. And we were caught in the inn like rats in a trap.
‘I don’t see,’ remarked old Hogvardt, laying a hand on my shoulder,
‘any harm in loading our revolvers, my lord.’
I did not see any harm in it either, and we all followed Hogvardt’s
advice, and also filled our pockets with cartridges. I was determined
—I think we were all determined—not to be bullied by these
islanders and their skull-and-crossbones ditty.
A quarter of an hour passed; then there came a knock at the door,
while the bolts shot back.
‘I shall go out,’ said I, springing to my feet.
The door opened, and the face of a lad appeared.
‘Vlacho the innkeeper bids you descend,’ said he; and then, catching
sight perhaps of our revolvers, he turned and ran downstairs again
at his best speed. Following him we came to the door of the inn. It
was ringed round with men, and directly opposite to us stood
Vlacho. When he saw me he commanded silence with a gesture of
his hand, and addressed me in the following surprising style.
‘The Lady Euphrosyne, of her grace, bids you depart in peace. Go,
then, to your boat and depart, thanking God for His mercy.’
‘Wait a bit, my man’ said I; ‘where is the lord of the island?’
‘Did you not know that he died a week ago?’ asked Vlacho, with
apparent surprise.
‘Died!’ we exclaimed one and all.
‘Yes, sir. The Lady Euphrosyne, Lady of Neopalia, bids you go.’
‘What did he die of?’
‘Of a fever,’ said Vlacho gravely; and several of the men round him
nodded their heads and murmured in no less grave assent, ‘Yes, of a
fever.’
‘I am very sorry for it,’ said I. ‘But as he sold the island to me before
he died, I don’t see what the lady, with all respect to her, has got to
do with it. Nor do I know what this rabble is doing about the door.
Bid them disperse.’
This attempt at hauteur was most decidedly thrown away. Vlacho
seemed not to hear what I said. He pointed with his finger towards
the harbour.
‘There lies your boat. Demetri and Spiro cannot go with you, but you
will be able to manage her yourselves. Listen now! Till six in the
morning you are free to go. If you are found in Neopalia one minute
after, you will never go. Think and be wise.’ And he and all the rest,
as though one spring moved the whole body, wheeled round and
marched off up the hill again, breaking out into the old chant when
they had gone about a hundred yards. We were left alone in the
doorway of the inn, looking, I must admit, rather blank.
Upstairs again we went, and I sat down by the window and gazed
out on the night. It was very dark, and seemed darker now that the
gleaming torches were gone. Not a soul was to be seen. The
islanders, having put matters on a satisfactory footing, were off to
bed. I sat thinking. Presently Denny came to me, and put his hand
on my shoulder.
‘Going to cave in, Charley?’ he asked.
‘My dear Denny,’ said I, ‘I wish you were at home with your mother.’
He smiled and repeated, ‘Going to cave in, old chap?’
‘No, by Jove, I’m not!’ cried I, leaping up. ‘They’ve had my money,
and I’m going to have my island.’
‘Take the yacht, my lord,’ counselled Hogvardt, ‘and come back with
enough force from Rhodes.’
Well, here was sense; my impulse was nonsense. We four could not
conquer the island. I swallowed my pride.
‘So be it,’ said I. ‘But look here, it’s only just twelve. We might have
a look round before we go. I want to see the place, you know.’ For I
was very sorely vexed at being turned out of my island.
Hogvardt grumbled a little at my proposal, but here I overruled him.
We took our revolvers again, left the inn, and struck straight up the
road. We met nobody. For nearly a mile we mounted, the way
becoming steeper with every step. Then there was a sharp turn off
the main road.
‘That will lead to the house,’ said Hogvardt, who had studied the
map of Neopalia very carefully.
‘Then we’ll have a look at the house. Show us a light, Hogvardt. It’s
precious dark.’
Hogvardt opened his lantern and cast its light on the way. But
suddenly he extinguished it again, and drew us close into the rocks
that edged the road. We saw coming towards us, in the darkness,
two figures. They rode small horses. Their faces could not be seen;
but as they passed our silent motionless forms, one said in a clear,
sweet, girlish voice:
‘Surely they will go?’
‘Ay, they’ll go or pay the penalty,’ said the other voice. At the sound
of it I started. For it was the voice of my neighbour in the
restaurant, Constantine Stefanopoulos.
‘I shall be near at hand, sleeping in the town,’ said the girl’s voice,
‘and the people will listen to me.’
‘The people will kill them if they don’t go,’ we heard Constantine
answer, in tones that witnessed no great horror at the idea. Then
the couple disappeared in the darkness.
‘On to the house!’ I cried in sudden excitement. For I was angry
now, angry at the utter humbling scorn with which they treated me.
Another ten minutes’ groping brought us in front of the old grey
house which we had seen from the sea. We walked boldly up to it.
The door stood open. We went in and found ourselves in a large
hall. The wooden floor was carpeted here and there with mats and
skins. A long table ran down the middle; the walls were decorated
with mediæval armour and weapons. The windows were but narrow
slits, the walls massive and deep. The door was a ponderous iron-
bound affair; it shamed even the stout doors of our inn. I called
loudly, ‘Is anyone here?’ Nobody answered. The servants must have
been drawn off to the town by the excitement of the procession and
the singing; or, perhaps, there were no servants. I could not tell. I
sat down in a large armchair by the table. I enjoyed the sense of
proprietorship; I was in my own house. Denny sat on the table by
me, dangling his legs. For a long while none of us spoke. Then I
exclaimed suddenly:
‘By Heaven, why shouldn’t we see it through?’ I rose, put my hands
against the massive door, and closed and bolted it, saying, ‘Let them
open that at six o’clock in the morning.’
‘Hurrah!’ cried Denny, leaping down from his table, on fire with
excitement in a moment.
I faced Hogvardt. He shook his head, but he smiled. Watkins stood
by with his usual imperturbability. He wanted to know what his
lordship decided—that was all; and when I said nothing more, he
asked,
‘Then your lordship will sleep here to-night?’
‘I’ll stay here to-night, anyhow, Watkins,’ said I. ‘I’m not going to be
driven out of my own island by anybody.’
As I spoke, I brought my fist down on the table with a crash. And
then to our amazement we heard, from somewhere in the dark
recesses of the hall where the faint light of Hogvardt’s lantern did
not reach, a low but distinct groan, as of someone in pain. Watkins
shuddered, Hogvardt looked rather uncomfortable; Denny and I
listened eagerly. Again the groan came. I seized the lantern from
Hogvardt’s hand, and rushed in the direction of the sound. There, in
the corner of the hall, on a couch covered with a rug, lay an old man
in an uneasy attitude, groaning now and then and turning restlessly.
By his side sat an old serving-woman in weary heavy slumber. In a
moment I guessed the truth—part of the truth.
‘He’s not dead of that fever yet,’ said I.
CHAPTER III
THE FEVER OF NEOPALIA
‘Nay, he did nothing,’ said she. ‘He talked with Vlacho awhile, and
then they went away, and he bade me tend my lord, and went
himself to seek the Lady Euphrosyne. Presently he came back with
her; her eyes were red, and she wept afresh when she saw my poor
lord; for she loved him. She sat by him till Constantine came and
told her that you would not go, and that you and your friends would
be killed if you did not go. Then, weeping to leave my lord, she
went, praying heaven she might find him alive when she returned. “I
must go,” she said to me, “for though it is a shameful thing that the
island should have been sold, yet these men must be persuaded to
go away and not meet death. Kiss him for me if he awakes.” Thus
she went and left me with my lord, and I fear he will die.’ She ended
in a burst of sobbing.
For a moment there was silence. Then I said again:
‘Who struck the blow, woman? Who struck the blow?’
She shrank from me as though I had struck her.
‘I do not know; I do not know,’ she moaned.
But the question she dared not answer was to find an answer.
The stricken man opened his eyes, his lips moved, and he groaned,
‘Constantine! You, Constantine!’ The old woman’s eyes met mine for
a moment and fell to the ground again.
‘Why, why, Constantine?’ moaned the wounded man. ‘I had yielded,
I had yielded, Constantine. I would have sent them—’
His words ceased, his eyes closed, his lips met again, but met only
to part. A moment later his jaw dropped. The old lord of Neopalia
was dead.
Then I, carried away by anger and by hatred of the man who, for a
reason I did not yet understand, had struck so foul a blow against
his kinsman and an old man, did a thing so rash that it seems to me
now, when I consider it in the cold light of memory, a mad deed. Yet
then I could do nothing else; and Denny’s face, ay, and the eyes of
the others too told me that they were with me.
‘Compose this old man’s body,’ I said, ‘and we will watch it. But do
you go and tell this Constantine Stefanopoulos that I know his crime,
that I know who struck that blow, that what I know all men shall
know, and that I will not rest day or night until he has paid the
penalty of this murder. Tell him I swore this on the honour of an
English gentleman.’
‘And say I swore it too!’ cried Denny; and Hogvardt and Watkins, not
making bold to speak, ranged up close to me; I knew that they also
meant what I meant.
The old woman looked at me with searching eyes.
‘You are a bold man, my lord,’ said she.
‘I see nothing to be afraid of up to now,’ said I. ‘Such courage as is
needed to tell a scoundrel what I think of him I believe I can claim.’
‘But he will never let you go now. You would go to Rhodes, and tell
his—tell what you say of him.’
‘Yes, and further than Rhodes, if need be. He shall die for it as sure
as I live.’
A thousand men might have tried in vain to persuade me; the
treachery of Constantine had fired my heart and driven out all
opposing motives.
‘Do as I bid you,’ said I sternly, ‘and waste no time on it. We will
watch here by the old man till you return.’
‘My lord,’ she replied, ‘you run on your own death. And you are
young; and the youth by you is yet younger.’
‘We are not dead yet,’ said Denny; I had never seen him look as he
did then; for the gaiety was out of his face, and his lips had grown
set and hard.
She raised her hands towards heaven, whether in prayer or in
lamentation I do not know. We turned away and left her to her sad
work; going back to our places, we waited there till dawn began to
break and from the narrow windows we saw the grey crests of the
waves dancing and frolicking in the early dawn. As I watched them,
the old woman was by my elbow.
‘It is done, my lord,’ said she. ‘Are you still of the same mind?’
‘Still of the same,’ said I.
‘It is death, death for you all,’ she said, and without more she went
to the great door. Hogvardt opened it for her, and she walked away
down the road, between the high rocks that bounded the path on
either side. Then we went and carried the old man to a room that
opened off the hall, and, returning, stood in the doorway, cooling
our brows in the fresh early air. While we stood there, Hogvardt said
suddenly,
‘It is five o’clock.’
‘Then we have only an hour to live,’ said I, smiling, ‘if we don’t make
for the yacht.’
‘You’re not going back to the yacht, my lord?’
‘I’m puzzled,’ I admitted. ‘If we go this ruffian will escape. And if we
don’t go—’
‘Why, we,’ Hogvardt ended for me, ‘may not escape.’
I saw that Hogvardt’s sense of responsibility was heavy; he always
regarded himself as the shepherd, his employers as the sheep. I
believe this attitude of his confirmed my obstinacy, for I said,
without further hesitation:
‘Oh, we’ll chance that. When they know what a villain the fellow is,
they’ll turn against him. Besides, we said we’d wait here.’
Denny seized on my last words with alacrity. When you are
determined to do a rash thing, there is a great comfort in feeling
that you are already committed to it by some previous act or
promise.
‘So we did,’ he cried. ‘Then that settles it, Hogvardt’
‘His lordship certainly expressed that intention,’ observed Watkins,
appearing at this moment with a big loaf of bread and a great
pitcher of milk. I eyed these viands.
‘I bought the house and its contents,’ said I; ‘come along.’
Watkins’ further researches produced a large lump of native cheese;
when he had set this down he remarked:
‘In a pen behind the house, close to the kitchen windows, there are
two goats; and your lordship sees there, on the right of the front
door, two cows tethered.’
I began to laugh, Watkins was so wise and solemn.
‘We can stand a siege, you mean?’ I asked. ‘Well, I hope it won’t
come to that.’
Hogvardt rose and began to move round the hall, examining the
weapons that decorated the walls. From time to time he grunted
disapprovingly; the guns were useless, rusted, out of date; and
there was no ammunition for them. But when he had almost
completed his circuit, he gave an exclamation of satisfaction and
came to me holding an excellent modern rifle and a large cartridge-
case.
‘See!’ he grunted in huge delight. ‘“C. S.” on the stock. I expect you
can guess whose it is, my lord.’
‘This is very thoughtful of Constantine,’ observed Denny, who was
employing himself in cutting imaginary lemons in two with a fine
damascened scimitar that he had taken from the wall.
‘As for the cows,’ said I, ‘perhaps they will carry them off.’
‘I think not,’ said Hogvardt, taking an aim with the rifle through the
window.
I looked at my watch. It was five minutes past six.
‘Well, we can’t go now,’ said I. ‘It’s settled. What a comfort!’ I
wonder whether I had ever in my heart meant to go!
The next hour passed very quietly. We sat smoking pipes or cigars
and talking in subdued tones. The recollection of the dead man in
the adjoining room sobered the excitement to which our position
might otherwise have given occasion. Indeed I suppose that I at
least, who through my whim had led the rest into this quandary,
should have been utterly overwhelmed by the burden on me. But I
was not. Perhaps Hogvardt’s assumption of responsibility relieved
me; perhaps I was too full of anger against Constantine to think of
the risks we ourselves ran; and I was more than half-persuaded that
the revelation of what he had done would rob him of his power to
hurt us. Moreover, if I might judge from the words I heard on the
road, we had on our side an ally of uncertain, but probably
considerable, power in the sweet-voiced girl whom the old woman
called the Lady Euphrosyne; she would not support her uncle’s
murderer, even though he were her cousin.
Presently Watkins carried me off to view his pen of goats, and
having passed through the lofty flagged kitchen, I found myself in a
sort of compound formed by the rocks. The ground had been
levelled for a few yards, and the rocks rose straight to the height of
ten or twelve feet; from the top of this artificial bank they ran again
in wooded slopes towards the peak of the mountain. I followed their
course with my eye, and three hundred or more feet above us, just
beneath the summit, I perceived a little wooden châlet or bungalow.
Blue smoke issued from the chimneys; and, even while we looked, a
figure came out of the door and stood still in front of it, apparently
gazing down towards the house.
‘It’s a woman,’ I pronounced.
‘Yes, my lord. A peasant’s wife, I suppose.’
‘I daresay,’ said I. But I soon doubted Watkins’ opinion; in the first
place, because the woman’s dress did not look like that of a peasant
woman; and secondly, because she went into the house, appeared
again, and levelled at us what was, if I mistook not, a large pair of
binocular glasses. Now such things were not likely to be in the
possession of the peasants of Neopalia. Then she suddenly
retreated, and through the silence of those still slopes we heard the
door of the cottage closed with violence.
‘She doesn’t seem to like the looks of us,’ said I.
‘Possibly,’ suggested Watkins with deference, ‘she did not expect to
see your lordship here.’
‘I should think that’s very likely, Watkins,’ said I.
I was recalled from the survey of my new domains—my satisfaction
in the thought that they were mine survived all the disturbing
features of the situation—by a call from Denny. In response to it I
hurried back to the hall and found him at the window, with
Constantine’s rifle rested on the sill.
‘I could pick him off pat,’ said Denny laughingly, and he pointed to a
figure which was approaching the house. It was a man riding a stout
pony; when he came within about two hundred yards of the house,
he stopped, took a leisurely look, and then waved a white
handkerchief.
‘The laws of war must be observed,’ said I, smiling. ‘This is a flag of
truce.’ I opened the door, stepped out, and waved my handkerchief
in return. The man, reassured, began to mop his brow with the flag
of truce, and put his pony to a trot. I now perceived him to be the
innkeeper Vlacho, and a moment later he reined up beside me,
giving an angry jerk at his pony’s bridle.
‘I have searched the island for you,’ he cried. ‘I am weary and hot!
How came you here?’
I explained to him briefly how I had chanced to take possession of
my house, and added significantly:
‘But has no message come to you from me?’
He smiled with equal meaning, as he answered:
‘No; an old woman came to speak to a gentleman who is in the
village—’
‘Yes, to Constantine Stefanopoulos,’ said I with a nod.
‘Well then, if you will, to the Lord Constantine,’ he admitted with a
careless shrug, ‘but her message was for his ear only; he took her
aside and they talked alone.’
‘You know what she said, though?’
‘That is between my Lord Constantine and me.’
‘And the young lady knows it, I hope—the Lady Euphrosyne?’
Vlacho smiled broadly.
‘We could not distress her with such a silly tale,’ he answered; and
he leant down towards me. ‘Nobody has heard the message but the
Lord Constantine and one man he told it to. And nobody will. If that
old woman spoke, she—well, she knows and will not speak.’
‘And you back up this murderer?’ I cried.
‘Murderer?’ he repeated questioningly. ‘Indeed, sir, it was an accident
done in hot blood. It was the old man’s fault, because he tried to sell
the island.’
‘He did sell the island,’ I corrected; ‘and a good many other people
will hear of what happened to him.’
He looked at me again, smiling.
‘If you shouted it in the hearing of every man in Neopalia, what
would they do?’ he asked scornfully.
‘Well, I should hope,’ I returned, ‘that they’d hang Constantine to the
tallest tree you’ve got here.’
‘They would do this,’ he said with a nod; and he began to sing softly
the chant I had heard the night before.
I was disgusted at his savagery, but I said coolly:
‘And the Lady?’
‘The Lady believes what she is told, and will do as her cousin bids
her. Is she not his affianced wife?’
‘The deuce she is!’ I cried in amazement, fixing a keen scrutiny on
Vlacho’s face. The face told me nothing.
‘Certainly,’ he said gently. ‘And they will rule the island together.’
‘Will they, though?’ said I. I was becoming rather annoyed. ‘There
are one or two obstacles in the way of that. First, it’s my island.’
He shrugged his shoulders again. ‘That,’ he seemed to say, ‘is not
worth answering.’ But I had a second shot in the locker for him, and
I let him have it for what it was worth. I knew it might be worth
nothing, but I tried it.
‘And secondly,’ I went on, ‘how many wives does Constantine
propose to have?’
A hit! A hit! A palpable hit! I could have sung in glee. The fellow was
dumbfoundered. He turned red, bit his lip, scowled fiercely.
‘What do you mean?’ he blurted out, with an attempt at blustering
defiance.
‘Never mind what I mean. Something, perhaps, that the Lady
Euphrosyne might care to know. And now, my man, what do you
want of me?’
He recovered his composure, and stated his errand with his old cool
assurance; but the cloud of vexation still hung heavy on his brow.
‘On behalf of the Lady of the island—’ he began.
‘Or shall we say her cousin?’ I interrupted.
‘Which you will,’ he answered, as though it were not worth while to
wear the mask any longer. ‘On behalf, then, of my Lord Constantine,
I am to offer you safe passage to your boat, and a return of the
money you have paid—’
‘How’s he going to pay that?’
‘He will pay it in a year, and give you security meanwhile.’
‘And the condition is that I give up the island?’ I asked; I began to
think that perhaps I owed it to my companions to acquiesce in this
proposal however distasteful it might be to me.
‘Yes,’ said Vlacho, ‘and there is one other small condition, which will
not trouble you.’
‘What’s that? You’re rich in conditions.’
‘You’re lucky to be offered any. It is that you mind your own
business.’
‘I came here for the purpose,’ I observed.
‘And that you undertake, for yourself and your companions, on your
word of honour, to speak to nobody of what has passed on the
island or of the affairs of the Lord Constantine.’
‘And if I won’t give this promise?’
‘The yacht is in our hands; Demetri and Spiro are our men; there will
be no ship here for two months.’ The fellow paused, smiling at me. I
took the liberty of ending his period for him.
‘And there is,’ I said, returning his smile, ‘as we know by now, a
particularly sudden and fatal form of fever in the island.’
‘Certainly you may chance to find that out,’ said he.
‘But is there no antidote?’ I asked, and I showed him the butt of my
revolver in the pocket of my coat.
Welcome to our website – the perfect destination for book lovers and
knowledge seekers. We believe that every book holds a new world,
offering opportunities for learning, discovery, and personal growth.
That’s why we are dedicated to bringing you a diverse collection of
books, ranging from classic literature and specialized publications to
self-development guides and children's books.
ebookbell.com