Cameron Mccordic Et Al - 2023 - Towards A New Food Security Index For Urban Household Food Security
Cameron Mccordic Et Al - 2023 - Towards A New Food Security Index For Urban Household Food Security
56
APRIL 2023
1
School of Environment, Enterprise and Development, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
2
School of Environment, Enterprise and Development, University of Waterloo
3
School of Environment, Enterprise and Development, University of Waterloo
4
School of Environment, Enterprise and Development, University of Waterloo
5
Balsillie School of International Affairs, Canada; University of the Western Cape, South Africa
Abstract
The multidimensionality of food security can confound both statistical modelling and clear policy nar-
ratives. That complexity can become amplified in urban areas where food security is often a function
of both local and global factors. Rather than focusing on one dimension of food security metrics, this
investigation proposes a method for building an index of urban household food access, utilization and
stability. The performance of this index is compared across three aggregation methods using household
surveys collected from five cities around the world. The findings indicate that each aggregation method
was internally consistent, although one of the aggregation methods, relying on geometric means, was
likely to be more methodologically sound among the options. This method provides a means of capturing
the multidimensional nature of food security in a way that is amenable to statistical modelling and clear
policy narratives.
Keywords
food security, urban, measurement, household
Suggested Citation
McCordic, C., Frayne, B., Sunu, N. and Williamson, C. (2023). Towards a New Food Security Index for
Urban Household Food Security. HCP Discussion Paper No. 56, Waterloo and Cape Town.
This is the 56th discussion paper in a series published by the Hungry Cities Partner-
ship (HCP), an international research project examining food security and inclusive
growth in cities in the Global South. The multi-year collaborative project aims to
understand how cities in the Global South will manage the food security challenges
arising from rapid urbanization and the transformation of urban food systems. The
Partnership is funded by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of
Canada (SSHRC).
© The authors
All HCP discussion papers and other publications are available for download from the Hungry Cities
Partnership website: http://hungrycities.net.
TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
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HUNGRY CITIES PARTNERSHIP DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 56
increases (Cohen and Barrett, 2010; Frayne et al., (2015) also assess the relationship between the
2014). Food access in urban areas is also affected by HFIAS/HFIAP and other food security scales, such
access to social infrastructure and physical infra- as the Months of Adequate Household Food Provi-
structure (Frayne and McCordic, 2015). A persis- sioning (MAHFP).
tent focus on food supply reflects a misinterpreta-
tion of the food insecurity problem and will affect This paper presents an additional tool for use in
its measurement. urban food security research and policy by building
and assessing an index of food access, utilization
Although it is important to focus on all dimensions and stability of urban households. The focus is
of food security under varying scales and situations, on providing a robust methodological framework
this makes measurement complicated (Vaitla et al., to measure and compare the status of household
2017). For instance, food insecurity can be described food security along these three dimensions. The
as transitory and temporary or chronic and perma- proposed index would support predictive analytics
nent based on how long it occurs (FAO, 2008a). At to uncover the drivers of urban household food
the same time, food insecurity has other indicators security without sacrificing its multidimensional
including hunger, malnutrition, and uncertain food nature.
access resulting in moderate to severe food insecu-
rity and poor health outcomes (FAO et al., 2019).
Burchi and De Muro (2012) further suggest that the Measuring Urban Food Security
root causes of food security should be explored and
identified within the broader topic of well-being.
One of the greatest obstacles in food security
Such complexities have increased calls for appro-
research is deciphering clear narratives around the
priate measurement of food insecurity because
drivers of food insecurity while recognizing the
of serious implications for health, development
complexity of this development challenge (Carletto
programs, nutrition evaluations, vulnerable group
et al., 2013; Pérez-Escamilla et al., 2017; Ren-
identification, and informing various government
zaho and Mellor, 2010). Research on the drivers
policies ( Jones et al., 2013; Maxwell et al., 1999).
underpinning inconsistent food access in cities has
Evidently, food security requires a consistent mea-
gathered momentum in recent years (Crush and
surement scale in tandem with urbanization trends
Frayne, 2011b; Frayne et al., 2022). Several authors
due to its varying definitions, operationalization,
have noted the crippling effects of household pov-
and multidimensional nature.
erty on food security in cities of the Global South
As household food security measurements are (Maxwell, 1999; Tawodzera and Crush, 2016;)
multidimensional, previous studies indicate that particularly during food price shocks (Cohen and
household food access is only one dimension of Garrett, 2010). Research has also indicated that
urban food insecurity (as demonstrated in the scale poor households in cities can face disrupted food
produced by Ryan and Leibbrandt, 2015). Coates security under the strain of both communicable and
et al. (2007) state that the Household Food Inse- non-communicable diseases (Crush et al., 2011;
curity Access Scale (HFIAS) and Household Food Demmler et al., 2017; Smit et al., 2016).). Incon-
Insecurity Access Prevalence (HFIAP) classifica- sistent access to infrastructure can also predispose
tion continue to be effective measures of household poor urban households to food insecurity (Frayne
food access. The HFIAS and HFIAP) has been and McCordic, 2015).
used in previous studies to measure household
Stable food access in cities depends upon a func-
food insecurity and the prevalence of African food
tioning urban food system that connects food pro-
deserts in addition to access to public resources
ducers to consumers. The supply of food can occur
(McCordic and Abrahamo, 2019; Wagner et al.,
through both formal markets and supermarkets
2019; McCordic, 2016; McCordic, 2017; Frayne
(Crush and Frayne, 2011a) or informal markets
and McCordic, 2015). Frayne and McCordic
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TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
and urban food production (Battersby and Mar- Haysom (2015) notes the need for clear urban food
shak, 2017; Frayne et al., 2014; Orsini et al., 2013; research narratives to help coordinate urban policy
Skinner, 2008). The complexity of modern urban action by multiple actors in municipal government.
food systems can create significant governance However, the complexity of urban food security
challenges, particularly in developing countries challenges can hamper the effective translation of
(Smit, 2015). The multitude of actors engaged in research into policy, often because of miscommu-
the urban food system creates a disaggregated net- nication of urban food research findings (Romero-
work that is difficult to manage through central- Lankao et al., 2017). The nature of these challenges
ized governance (Haysom, 2015). Maxwell (1999) is amplified in urban environments where food
further notes that the lack of formal safety nets can access, utilization, and stability are often subser-
offload the responsibility for food security onto the vient to global economic and climate pressures
household. Localized food systems have emerged as translated through the local dynamics of market
a prominent policy solution to bolster urban food access and household entitlements (Brown and
security as well as becoming a common theme in Funk, 2008; Cohen and Garrett, 2010; Crush et
urban food studies (Sonnino, 2016). Localization al., 2012). Without the appropriate diagnostic tools,
is also a response to social justice concerns about policymakers are left with the unenviable task of
equitable household access to food. clarifying the nuanced narratives of social research.
As a result, there is an urgent need for research
To inform urban food security policy, Haysom and tools that can effectively capture the complexity of
Tawodzera (2018) have urged a renewed focus on urban food security to support statistical modelling
building food security metrics that are applicable and public policy formation. Previous approaches
to the unique characteristics of urban food systems. to overcoming this challenge have distilled satel-
Representative survey-based methods have pro- lite imagery into relevant and timely famine early
vided a foundational platform to guide policy inter- warning systems (Enunkel et al., 2014). Scenario-
ventions (Pérez-Escamilla, 2012). Freedman and based simulations have provided helpful visualiza-
Bell (2009) further note that self-reported measures tions to support policy decisions on food security
of food accessibility can be an accurate and valid impacts (He et al., 2013). Other researchers have
basis for designing food security interventions. developed novel metrics to account of the combined
influence of multidimensional factors underlying
The multidimensional nature of food security sustainable food and nutrition security (Gustafson
impacts obstructs the development of precise social et al., 2016). Each approach attempts to capture the
research methods and analytical approaches. The dynamic and complex nature of food security by
multiscaler and collateral impacts of climate change simplifying that complexity into a metric that is
have exacerbated both national food supply and valid and reliable (Prosperi et al., 2016)
household incomes, rendering opaque the images of
food security vulnerabilities and obstructing effec- Three of the most widely used self-reported
tive mitigation measures (Wheeler and von Braun, cross-cultural food security scales were developed
2013). The interdisciplinary analysis by Foran et al. by the Food and Nutrition Technical Assistance
(2014) of food security frameworks identifies several (FANTA) programme: the Household Dietary
conceptual paradigms, often in tension with one Diversity Score (HDDS) (Swindale and Bilinsky,
another and confounding effective food security 2005), the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale
interventions. As a result, there is a pressing need to (HFIAS) (Coates et al., 2007), and the Months of
develop innovative decision-support mechanisms Adequate Food Provisioning (MAHFP) (Bilinsky
to support food security policy and research (Mock and Swindale, 2010). In this discussion paper, each
et al., 2013). of these scales is discussed and assessed as measures
of food utilization, food access, and food stability.
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HUNGRY CITIES PARTNERSHIP DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 56
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TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
questions designed to measure the physical, eco- in a study of rural Tanzania. Similarly, HFIAS was
nomic, and social dimensions of challenges related also associated with an increased probability of
to food access. The questions range from minor to undernutrition among children in surveys carried
more severe experiences of these challenges in food out in Bangladesh, Vietnam and Ethiopia (Ali et al.,
access. The Likert scale accompanying each ques- 2013). Charamba et al. (2019) also found that the
tion ranges from never in the last month to more scale was internally and externally valid in a survey
than 10 times in the last month. The questions in of households in Windhoek, Namibia. However,
the scale include the following items (Table 2). some studies have questioned the effectiveness of
the scale. Dietchler et al. (2010), for example, found
If the household experienced any of these food that the HFIAS was less accurate in its classification
access challenges, respondents are asked to rank the of food security status than the Household Hunger
frequency with which this occurred the following Scale (citing potential challenges in translating the
scale: One = Rarely (once or twice in the past four concepts of the HFIAS). As with other measures of
weeks), Two = Sometimes (three to ten times in the food security, the overriding recommendation has
past four weeks), or Three = Often (more than ten been to use multiple food security measures rather
times in the past four weeks). The scores are then than attempting to rely solely on one food security
summed to provide an overall HFIAS score of from scale and disregard other dimensions of food secu-
zero to 27, where higher scores represent a higher rity (Maxwell et al., 2014). Among the multiple
frequency of experiencing food access challenges. food security scales available for measuring dif-
ferent dimensions of food security, the HFIAS is
HFIAS = ∑ Frequency of Food Access Challenges in the still considered to be the reliable measure of house-
Past 4 Weeks hold food access. The HFIAS can also be expressed
as a categorical measure by applying a scoring algo-
The HFIAS is probably the most implemented of
rithm to the scale responses in order to categorize
the three scales reviewed here and has assembled a
households into different levels of food insecurity
strong body of evidence to support its use. Knueppel
(the Household Food Insecurity Access Prevalence
et al. (2009), for example, confirmed that the
indicator or HFIAP (Coates et al., 2007).
HFIAS scores were supported by key informants
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HUNGRY CITIES PARTNERSHIP DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 56
Months of Adequate Household Food score needs to be decided (Munda and Nardo,
Provisioning 2005a). Although this is usually a decision made
on theoretical grounds, the index can either give
The Months of Adequate Household Food Pro- equal weight to each scale’s contribution or give
visioning (MAHFP) provides a measure of the disproportionately weight to each scale’s contribu-
stability with which households have maintained tion based on these grounds. Second, given that
adequate food provisioning over the previous year HDDS, HFIAS, and MAHFP are measured on
(Bilinsky and Swindale, 2010). The scale is admin- different scales of varying magnitude, the scales
istered using the following questions: need to be normalized to ensure that they are com-
parable (Nardo et al., 2005). Third, the means by
Were there months, in the past 12 months, in which the scores are aggregated (averaged) can sig-
which you did not have enough food to meet your nificantly impact the stability of the overall index.
family’s needs? These predominantly revolve around the theo-
retical implications of compensability (or the extent
If yes, which were the months in the past 12 to which performance on each scale can be traded
months during which you did not have enough off) (Munda and Nardo, 2005b). Some means of
food to meet your family’s needs?” (Bilinsky and aggregation (like arithmetic mean or Bordo ranking
Swindale, 2010:4). procedures) are perfectly compensable, in that poor
performance on one scale can be traded off for
If a given month is identified by the respondent, 1
improved performance on another scale. Alterna-
is inputted for that month. Otherwise, 0 is inputted
tively, Condorcet classification procedures ensure
for any months not identified by the respondent.
that performance on each scale cannot be traded off
The scale is calculated by subtracting the sum of
for performance on another scale.
the inputted numbers from 12 (thus, higher scores
on the scale are associated with greater household To support clear policy narratives and statistical
food stability). modeling, an index of urban food access, utiliza-
tion, and stability will thus need to address the
MAHFP = 12 – ∑ Months of Inadequate Food Provi-
issues of compensability and weighting. Such an
sioning in the Last Year
index needs to provide (a) a means of normaliza-
tion that is not relative; (b) a weighting scheme that
Unlike the HDDS and the HFIAS, there have been
ensures equal priority to all included measures, and
fewer studies assessing the validity or reliability of
(c) a means of aggregation that is consistent with the
this measure in spite of its widespread use in studies
theory underlying food security measurement. The
of urban food security (Battersby, 2011; Frayne and
remainder of this paper compares three methods
McCordic, 2015; Frayne et al., 2010). One study
for building a single index of urban household food
has identified common predictors of the MAHFP
access, utilization, and stability using the HDDS,
and other food security scales (Harris-Fry et al.,
HFIAS, and MAHFP measures. The aim is to pro-
2015). In sum, the MAHFP is s an empirically sup-
vide an internally consistent and externally valid
ported measure of food stability, but without the
means of scoring household food security across
same degree of external validation as the other mea-
these three dimensions.
sures reviewed above.
To create a single index from the HDDS, HFIAS
Each of the reviewed food security scales provides
and MAHFP scales, all three need to be normalized
a measure of different dimensions of food security.
so that they can be expressed on the same numeric
To combine the measures into one overarching
scale. Given the focus on building an index to
index, there are several considerations to take into
support comparisons of household food security
account. First, the relative weighting of each food
across geographical regions and time, relative nor-
security scale’s contribution to the overall index
malization techniques (such as standardization and
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TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
ranking) were not viable approaches. Instead, we sensitive to outliers, which can skew the overall
implemented min-max normalization to transform mean. Furthermore, the arithmetic mean assumes
each food security score on a scale of zero to one. that the scales included in the index can be aggre-
All transformed scales are denoted with the super- gated linearly. As with other aggregation methods,
script ′ notation (e.g., HDDS′). The HDDS and the arithmetic mean also assumes that each of the
MAHFP scores were transformed using the fol- scales included in the index are independent of one
lowing equations: another. The FSAM was calculated using the fol-
lowing equation:
HDDS – 0
HDDS′ =
12 – 0 Step 1. Sum the normalized HDDS, HFIAS, and
HDDS scores and divide by 3:
MAHFP – 0
MAHFP′ =
12 – 0 HFIAS′ + HDDS′ + MAHFP′
FSAM =
3
While this approach easily converts the magnitude
of each scale, the Min-Max transformation does The Food Security Geometric Mean (FSGM)
not account for the reversed direction of the HFIAS index provides an alternative approach to aggre-
(where, unlike HDDS and MAHFP, higher scores gating the food security scales in an unweighted
denote more severe food insecurity). In this case, fashion. In this case, the mean is calculated as the
the Min-Max Normalization Equation was modi- nth root of a product of n scales. The geometric
fied in order to reverse the direction of the HFIAS mean has a few advantages over the arithmetic
scale in addition to its magnitude: mean. First, the geometric mean is less sensitive to
outliers (displaying imperfect compensability) than
HFIAS – 27 the arithmetic mean. Second, the geometric mean
HFIAS′ =
0 – 27 is a unitless measure and can aggregate scales with
varied degrees of magnitude. Finally, geometric
means are the preferred method of aggregation for
FSGM Index Aggregation
ratios. That said, there is one important caveat to
the use of geometric means when aggregating mul-
We used three methods for aggregating the nor-
tiple scales. The inclusion of a score of 0 for any
malized food security scales: arithmetic means,
of the scales included in the index will result in a
geometric means, and harmonic means. Each of
geometric mean of 0 (regardless of the scores for
these methods of aggregation provides its own
the other scales). In order to overcome this chal-
properties and benefits. As a result, testing the dif-
lenge, the scale for each of the food security scales
ferences between each of the means provides an
was shifted by one before calculating the geometric
opportunity to assess the utility of each approach.
mean of the food security scales (providing FSGM’).
The approaches are all predicated on the notion that
Once the geometric mean was calculated, one was
each food security scale should equally contribute
subtracted from the geometric mean to provide the
toward the overall food security index.
FSGM:
The Food Security Arithmetic Mean (FSAM)
Step 1. Add 1 to each normalized HFIAS, MAHFP,
index provides the unweighted arithmetic mean
and HDDS score, multiply the sums together and
of the three normalized food security scores. This
find the cubed root of the product:
approach allows for trade-offs in performance across
these indices (perfect compensability). In other 3
FSGM′ = √ (HFIAS′ + 1) * (HDDS′ + 1) * (MAHFP′ + 1)
words, poor household performance on one scale
can be traded off for better household performance
on another scale. This aggregation approach is also
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HUNGRY CITIES PARTNERSHIP DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 56
Step 2. Subtract 1 from the resulting cubed root: scales to consistently measure one domain (as
would be indicated by tests of internal consistency).
FSGM = FSGM′ - 1 In order to preserve the linear aggregation of the
scales, it is important to determine whether there
The Food Security Harmonic Mean (FSHM) pro- is a positive linear relationship between the scales
vides an alternative approach to the scale aggrega- that would support the aggregation of the scales.
tion challenge. Harmonic means express the quo- A negative linear relationship between any of the
tient of n divided by n reciprocal scales. Expressed scales would indicate that increasing scores on one
differently, the harmonic mean is also the reciprocal food security scale was associated with decreasing
of the arithmetic mean of the reciprocals for each scores on another food security scale in the index
scale. Harmonic means are helpful when averaging (creating internal inconsistency in the index). As a
across different rates. Like the geometric mean, result, one or more of the sub-scales may not be
however, including a score of 0 for any of the positively correlated with the overall index score.
underlying scales creates challenges for the calcu- In order to assess whether this is the case, we cal-
lation. In this case, the harmonic mean would be culated descriptive statistics of the index scores for
undefined if any of the underlying scales included 0 the different aggregation methods. Pearson’s R cor-
as a score. As a result, similar to the FSGM calcula- relation analysis was used to determine the linear
tion, one was added to each of the underlying food strength and direction of the correlation between
security scales. Once the FSHM was calculated, each of the underlying scales and the overall index
one was subtracted from the overall mean to bring score using each aggregation method.
the FSHM back to its original normalized scale.
Index Internal Consistency Each survey sampled households from across the
city using a combination of random systematic
The indices constructed represent aggregated sampling with sample sizes distributed across city
measures of urban household food access, utiliza- subdistricts using approximate proportionate allo-
tion, and stability. Given the multidimensional cation (based on the most recently available census
nature of these scales, it is not necessary for the data for the city). The sample sizes varied between
the cities but for this analysis 500 households were
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TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
randomly selected from each city data set to pro- there were city-specific differences in both the
vide an equal contribution of each to the effects magnitude and spread of the scores for the different
observed. Among the final 2,500 household sam- indices (Figure 2). The households in Nanjing
ples, the response rates for the food security scales recorded the highest scores on the FSAM, FSGM
varied from 96% to 99%. and FSHM as well as the smallest spread. The
households in Maputo indicated the lowest scores
The three indices (the FSAM, FSGM and FSHM) across the three indices as well as the greatest spread.
demonstrated a similar distribution. However,
FIGURE 2: Distribution of Mean FSAM, FSGM and FSHM Scores Across Cities
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HUNGRY CITIES PARTNERSHIP DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 56
The descriptive statistics behind Figure 3 are The Pearson’s R correlations of the indices and
presented in Table 3. The differences observed sub-scales revealed significant and high positive
in the variation of these three indices across the linear correlations across the three indices (Table
cities may be the result of a combination of factors: 4). In addition, each of the underlying food secu-
for example, the predominant clustering of high rity scales also demonstrated significant and positive
scores in a given city (as observed in Nanjing) correlations with the three indices. However, while
or the reduced range of scores (as observed in the relative strength of the relationship between
Nanjing and Nairobi). The association between these sub-scales and the three indices did not vary
the clustering of scores within and between the substantially across indices, the relative strength of
three index scores in each city gives an indication these relationships did vary by city. For example,
of the spread inherent in the underlying food Maputo, Nairobi, Mexico City and Kingston all
security scales in these cities. indicated very strong linear correlations between
the food security scales and the three indices. In
TABLE 3: Descriptive Statistics of the FSAM, Nanjing, however, the MAHFP and HFIAS indi-
FSGM and FSHM Scores Across Cities
cated weak to moderate positive relationships with
City Statistics FSAM FSGM FSHM
the overall food security scale. This observation
Mean 0.66 0.64 0.61
likely resulted from the fact that few households
Median 0.7 0.67 0.64
Maputo received less than a perfect food security score on
Std. Dev. 0.18 0.18 0.18
(n=484) these scales in the Nanjing household sample.
Min 0.06 0.05 0.05
Max 0.97 0.97 0.97 TABLE 4: Correlation of HFIAS, MAHFP, and
Mean 0.69 0.66 0.64 HDDS Scores with FSAM, FSGM, and FSHM
Median 0.72 0.68 0.65 Across Cities
Kingston Maputo
Std. Dev. 0.15 0.16 0.16 FSAM FSGM FSHM
(n=474) (n=484)
Min 0.03 0.03 0.03
FSAM 1 .997** .987**
Max 1 1 1
FSGM .997** 1 .996**
Mean 0.88 0.87 0.86
FSHM .987** .996** 1
Median 0.89 0.88 0.88
Nanjing HDDS’ .632** .683** .733**
Std. Dev. 0.07 0.08 0.09
(n=488) HFIAS’ .875** .857** .829**
Min 0.59 0.55 0.51
MAHFP’ .815** .790** .760**
Max 1 1 1
Kingston
Mean 0.72 0.71 0.69 FSAM FSGM FSHM
(n=474)
Median 0.74 0.73 0.71
Nairobi FSAM 1 .995** .981**
Std. Dev. 0.15 0.15 0.15
(n=493) FSGM .995** 1 .995**
Min 0.22 0.2 0.18
FSHM .981** .995** 1
Max 1 1 1
HDDS’ .622** .684** .740**
Mean 0.77 0.76 0.74
HFIAS’ .848** .818** .776**
Mexico Median 0.78 0.77 0.75
MAHFP’ .685** .645** .602**
City Std. Dev. 0.12 0.13 0.14
Nanjing
(n=494) Min 0.06 0.05 0.05 FSAM FSGM FSHM
(n=488)
Max 1 1 1
FSAM 1 .998** .992**
Mean 0.75 0.73 0.71
FSGM .998** 1 .998**
Median 0.77 0.75 0.72
Total FSHM .992** .998** 1
Std. Dev. 0.16 0.16 0.17
(n=2433) HDDS’ .954** .966** .974**
Min 0.03 0.03 0.03
HFIAS’ .457** .415** .377**
Max 1 1 1
MAHFP’ .273** .244** .219**
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TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
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HUNGRY CITIES PARTNERSHIP DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 56
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TOWARDS A NEW FOOD SECURITY INDEX FOR URBAN HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
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