Lecture 10
Lecture 10
and
Predictions
Introduction
• Characteristics of real waves are much
complex
• Not regular (sine/cosine) or
monochromatic
Wave Prediction
We can predict wave on the meteorological
conditions;
• Hindcasting:
– Based on past meteorological information
• Forecasting:
– Based on predicted meteorological
information
IRREGULAR WAVES
• Real waves are not sinusoidal.
• However, they can be represented with
good approximation as superpositions of
sinusoidal (regular) waves.
N
( x, t ) An sin( n t k n x n )
n 1
0.15
S ( )
0.1
( m 2 s)
0.05
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
(rad/s)
Power Spectrum
In practice, for numerical simulations, the spectrum has to be
discretized
N max
( x, t ) An sin n t k n x n
n N min
n n0
kn corresponding wave number
0 small frequency interval
An 40 S (n0 )
n (0 n 2 ) random phase
Significant Wave Height and Period
• Defines the characteristics of real sea with
monochromatic wave form
• Need observations
Significant Wave Height:
– The average height of the one-third highest
waves (H1/3 or Hs )
Wave Height Variability
• When wave data records are sorted from
highest to lowest frequency of occurrence
of waves above any given value is
represented by Rayleigh Distribution
Root-Mean-Square Height
• Hrms is a statistical wave height quantity
that other wave height probabilities can be
described upon
• Used as a measure of average wave
energy
Height of the wave with given
probability
• Using the Hrms value of a wave record, we
can find the height of wave with any given
probability
• Or using the probability (n/N), we can
back calculate the wave height exceeding
a certain probability
RMS Dependent Statistics
• Average Wave
Height
• Significant Wave
Height
WAVE CLIMATE
• The wave climate may be regarded as a
set of sea states, each sea state
characterized by
• spectral distribution (e.g. Pierson-Moskowitz)
• significant wave height, H s,i
• (energy) period, Te, j
• frequency of occurrence, Fi, j
Similarities and contrasts between
wind energy and the wave energy
• Comparison between time-averages (over
tens of minutes to one hour):
– Waves result from the integrated action of the
wind over large ocean areas (thousands of
square km) and several hours or days
their variability is less than for wind, and they
are more predictable
Similarities and contrasts between
wind energy and the wave energy
• Over time-scales of a few wave periods,
the waves are largely random, to a larger
extent than wind turbulence.
WAVES
WIND
several 20m
km
<200m
Frequency
Wave Growth
• Basic concepts
• Manual forecasting techniques
• Changing Wind
• Swell Forecasting
Fetch
• the area of contact between the wind and
the water and is where wind-generated
waves begin.
Fetch
• Seas is the term applied when the fetch
has a chaotic jumble of new waves.
Assume wind speed = 15 m/s, and wind duration of 6 hours, and 25km fetch
Need fetch
>80km
2.8m
5.8s
Fetch=25km
1.8m 4s
Wave Measurements
• Visual observations
• Instruments for measuring waves
– Buoys
– Sub-surface pressure sensors
– Laser
• Remote sensing
– Radar Altimeter
– Synthetic Aperture Radar
Visual Observations
• Guide only as visual observations are not
generally reliable
• Observations of height tend to
approximate to the significant wave height
Instruments
• Wave buoys
– Vertical acceleration measured – can be
converted to wave height
• Wave staff
– Attached to platforms – wave height
measured by change in resistance or
capacitance of the wave staff
Instruments
• Pressure sensors
– Mounted from platforms below surface –
change in pressure is measure of wave height
• Laser
– Attached to platforms – pointing downward
Quality of Forecast
• The accuracy of any wave forecast is
dependant on the accuracy of the
wind forecast.
Factors Affecting Wind Wave Development
Wind strength - wind must be moving faster than the wave crests for
energy transfer to continue
Wind duration - winds that blow for a short time will not generate large
waves
Fetch - the uninterrupted distance over which the wind blows without
changing direction