Utility Theory
Utility Theory
CORPORATE FINANCE
UTILITY THEORY
Olowe R. A. 2021
COURSE RESOURCES
• Supplementary reading:
• Ross S., R.Westerfield, J.Jaffe. (1999). Corporate Finance. Fifth Edition. IRWIN-McGraw-
Hill.
• Damodaran A. (1999). Applied Corporate Finance. Wiley&Sons.
• Daniel, K., & Marshall, D. (1997). The equity premium puzzle and the risk-free rate puzzle
at long horizons'. Macroeconomic Dynamics l, 452-484.
• DeBondt, W., & Thaler, R. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact?, Journal of Finance,
40, 793-805.
• Dimson, E., & Mussavian, M. (2000). Market Efficiency, The Current State of Business
Disciplines, vol.3, Spellbound Publications, 2000, pp 959-970
• Fama, E.F. (1998). Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance. Journal
of Finance, 49(3) 283-306.
• Fama, E. F., & French, K. (1992).The Cross-Section of Expected Returns, Journal of
Finance, 47, 427- 465.
Olowe R. A. 2021
• Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work,
Journal of Finance, 25 (2), 383-417.
CONTENT
• Overview
• Axioms or Assumptions of Utility Theory
• Utility Function - Properties
• Utility Functions
• Utility Function and Risk Aversion
• Measures of Risk Aversion
• Summary
• Review Questions
Olowe R. A. 2021
Overview
(CTW– Chap. 3)
• Every individual or investor make choices everyday
• Many times, the choices are among risky alternatives, thus, uncertain
• Utility theory is the theory of choice by individuals when faced with
uncertainty.
• The individual make choices among risky alternatives in such a way as
to obtain maximum satisfaction
Olowe R. A. 2021
Axioms or Assumptions of Utility Theory
(CWT Chap. 3)
• To develop utility theory, it is necessary to make assumptions about
individual behaviour also called axioms of cardinal utility (CWT, Chap.
3).
• Axiom 1: Comparability
If we have an entire set say , S of uncertain alternatives, an individual
can either prefer outcome x to outcome y i.e. (x⊱y) or y is preferred to
x (y⊱x) or the individual is indifferent as to x and y (x~ y).
Olowe R. A. 2021
Axioms or Assumptions of Utility Theory
(CWT Chap. 3)
• Axiom 2:Transitivity (also called called consistency).
• If x~ y and y ~ z, then x ~ z
Olowe R. A. 2021
Axioms or Assumptions of Utility Theory
(CWT Chap. 3)
Axiom 4: Measurability
If x ⊱y ≽z or x ≽y ⊱z then there exist a unique α, such that
y ~ G(x,z:α).
Axiom 5: Ranking.
If y and u lies between x and z , i.e.
If x ≽ y ≽ z and x ≽ y ≽ z,
then following Axiom 4 we can establish gambles such that
y ~ G(x,z:α) and u ~ G(x,z:α2),
it follows that
if α, > α2, then y ⊱u, or if α1 = α2, then y ~ u.
Olowe R. A. 2021
Extension and Implication of the Assumptions
(CWT Chap. 3)
• If we add another assumption that all investors always prefer more
wealth to less, given the five axioms of utility theory discussed
previously, then we can say that investors will always seek to
maximize their expected utility of wealth.
• The maximization of expected utility of wealth is what is referred to
as the theory of choice
• All investors will calculate the expected utility of wealth for all
possible alternative choices and then choose the outcome that
maximizes their expected utility of wealth.
Olowe R. A. 2021
Utility Function - Properties
• Given the Gamble between x and z in Axiom 3 , G(x, z:α) we can write
expected wealth from the gamble as:
E(w) = α G(x) + (1- α)G(z)
For n gamble case:
n
E(w) G(x i ) Pr ob.(x i )
i 1
Olowe R. A. 2021
Utility Function and Risk Aversion
Figure 1: Utility Function showing three attitudes to risk: (a) risk lover, (b) risk neutral, (c) risk averse
Source: CWT, Chap. 3
Olowe R. A. 2021
Utility Function and Risk Aversion
• From Figure 1: The utility function of risk averse is strictly concave, while risk
neutral and risk lover is convex.
• Example 1
Olu, with an initial wealth of N20,000 is faced with gamble that has a 60%
chance of winning N10,000 and 40% chance of winning N500. Olu has a
logarithm utility function. What is his attitude to risk.
• Solution
• With the gamble:
• E(w) = N30,000(0.6) + N20,500(0.4) = N26,200
• Given the logarithm Utility function, U(w) = lnw
• U[E(w)]=U(N26,200) = 10.17 utiles
Olowe R. A. 2021
Utility Function and Risk Aversion
• E[U(w)] = 0.6[U(N30,000)] + 0.4[U(N20,500)] = 10.16 utiles
• Since U[E(w)] > E[U(w)], the individual is risk averse
• Generally if:
• U[E(w)] > E[U(w)] it indicates risk averse
• U[E(w)] = E[U(w)] it indicates risk neutral
• U[E(w)] < E[U(w)] it indicates risk lover
Olowe R. A. 2021
Utility Function and Risk Aversion
Risk Premium
• From Example 1, it is possible to calculate the maximum amount of
wealth an individual would be willing
to pay in order to avoid the gamble.
• This is called risk premium
• Risk premium = Expected Wealth – Certainty Equivalent wealth
(CEW)
• CEW is the level of wealth that individual would accept with certainty
if the gamble were removed,
• Cost of the Gamble = Current wealth - CEW
Olowe R. A. 2021
Utility Function and Risk Aversion
Risk Premium
• Thus, For Example 1, E[U(w)] =10.16 utiles
• CEW = w = e10.16 = N25,848.30
• Risk premium = N26,200 - N25,848.30 = N351.70
• Cost of the Gamble = N20,000 – N25848.3 = -N5,848.3
Olowe R. A. 2021
Measures of Risk Aversion
• Pratt [1964] and Arrow [1971] provide a specific definition of risk
aversion.
• If for instance, we have an individual with a current wealth of W
presented with an actuarially neutral gamble of Z naira (by actuarially
neutral we mean that E(Z) = 0).
• The question is to determine the risk premium, π(W, Z), that must be
added to the gamble to make the individual indifferent between it and
the actuarial value of the gamble
Olowe R. A. 2021
Measures of Risk Aversion
• Mathematically,
• E[(U(w+z)] – U[E(w+z)] = π(W, Z)
• E[(U(w+z)] = U[E(w+z)] + π(W, Z)
Olowe R. A. 2021
Measures of Risk Aversion
• The sign of the risk premium is determined by the items in bracket as
½σ2Zis always positive.
• This gives rise two measures of risk aversion – Absolute Risk Aversion
(ARA) and relative risk aversion (RRA)
U(w)
ARA
U(w)
Olowe R. A. 2021
Measures of Risk Aversion
U(w)
RRA w
U(w)
• If an individual has a constant relative risk aversion (RRA), it implies
that he/she will have constant risk aversion to a proportional loss of
wealth even though the absolute loss increases as wealth does.
• Example 2
• Let us now calculate the ARA and RRA for our Example 1
Olowe R. A. 2021
Measures of Risk Aversion
• U(w) = lnw
1
U(w)
w
1
U(w)
w2
1
w2 1 1
ARA
1
w w 20, 000
Olowe R. A. 2021
SUMMARY
• Utility theory is the theory of choice by individuals when faced with
uncertainty.
• To develop utility theory, it is necessary to make assumptions about
individual behaviour also called axioms of cardinal utility
• Rational individuals will always maximize the expected utility of
wealth
Olowe R. A. 2021
Review Question
• Try to Answer
• Suppose an individual with a logarithm utility function , U(w) = lnw
and an initial wealth of N5m is exposed to a situation that results in a
50/50 chance of winning or losing N1,000,000. If the individual can
buy insurance that completely removes the risk for a fee of N125,000
should he buy it or take the gamble?
Olowe R. A. 2021