E3G Report Financing Bulgarias Green Transition
E3G Report Financing Bulgarias Green Transition
© E3G 2024
Cover image
Provadia, Bulgaria. Photo by Dannyel Spasov
via Unsplash
The authors would like to thank all those organisations that provided their
valuable input to this research in various ways. This briefing benefited greatly
from a preliminary round of interviews conducted with experts and
representatives from Bulgaria representing a range of sectors, including the
financial industry, asset management, relevant state bodies, businesses
impacted by new regulations (such as the CSRD and EU Taxonomy), and civil
society organisations with various areas of expertise. We are grateful for the
time and the insights shared by these individuals.
We would like to extend special thanks to those who agreed to be named for
their valuable contributions: Julian Popov – Former Minister of Environment and
Water of Bulgaria, and the team of MOVE.BG: Sasha Bezuchanova – Chair of
MOVE.BG and Marin Marinov – Head of MOVE.BG Green Program.
The views expressed as well as any errors in this paper are the authors’ own.
A special thanks to colleagues within E3G who contributed to this briefing: David
Nemecek, Kate Levick, Manon Dufour, Marc Weissgerber, Danièle Gibney and
Isabel Syrek. A special thanks to Mary Davis for copy-edit support.
SUMMARY................................................................................................................ 6
CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................... 38
Bulgaria should view the green transition as a strategic economic necessity, not
just as a cost or an environmental requirement. Notwithstanding its limited fiscal
space, investing in sustainable practices will bring benefits in the form of
competitiveness – especially in construction and manufacturing – and public
health. It will also bring the country in line with EU directives, and support its
ambitions to adopt the euro and join the Organisation for Economic Co-
operation and Development (OECD). Indeed, Bulgaria could be a regional leader
in climate initiatives, if it capitalises on opportunities such as the possibility of
switching from coal to renewable energy, without reliance on gas.
Bulgaria must also take the risks of climate change seriously if it is to put its
financial system on a stable footing for the long term. Its exposure to climate
hazards such as floods and extreme heat poses significant financial risk.
Increasing the resilience of its system will better allow it to weather these
storms, as well as increase its attractiveness as an investment market.
> It is vital that political parties work together to establish long-term strategies,
to be followed even under caretaker governments – or Bulgaria risks losing
EU funding for the green transition.
> Creating a dedicated Climate and Transition Ministry could provide the
necessary channel to develop and manage a coherent, long-term vision.
> The role of public banks should be expanded to include more comprehensive
support for green projects, which in turn will facilitate private sector
involvement.
> Businesses, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and the middle class
all have a role to play in the transition. Government can create an
environment to encourage and support their participation by providing
financial and regulatory support, and information and training.
> Local energy communities and Energy Service Company (ESCO) models are
nascent initiatives in Bulgaria that are worth helping to grow.
> By joining initiatives like the Network for Greening the Financial System
(NGFS), Mission Innovation, and C40 Cities, Bulgaria can not only
demonstrate its commitment to climate action, but also benefit from shared
resources and support to accelerate its transition.
Bulgaria’s location at the easternmost edge of the EU and its position in the
Balkan region gives it significant strategic geopolitical importance and a relevant
position in discussions on EU enlargement, an issue that has gained prominence
in recent years. The debate over a two- or multi-speed Europe has underscored
the problem of regional disparities, making Bulgaria’s progression towards
sustainable development a matter of political priority within the EU.2
1World Economic Forum, January 2024, Why 2024 is the year sustainability develops a credible business
case.
2Free Europe Radio, Bulgaria, 20 September 2023, EU at four speeds: Where will Bulgaria be according to
the project of France and Germany.
3 European Commission, 2021, Transitions Performance Index (TPI).
4 OBC Transeuropa, August 2024, Bulgaria and Hungary's Reluctant Green Transition.
5 Evgeny Ahmadzai, Capital, 2024, 2023 Energy Charts: Coal and Export Crash, Renewables Record.
6 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Republic of Bulgaria, 2023, Why Bulgaria Aims to Become a Member Of OECD.
Given its status as the poorest EU member state, Bulgaria faces limited fiscal
space to finance its green transition. Nevertheless, maintaining competitiveness
through innovation and sustainable practices is essential for long-term economic
resilience and growth. Despite financial constraints, investing in sustainable
technologies and practices aligns with EU directives and would position Bulgaria
to compete more effectively on the global stage. This is particularly relevant as
the EU seeks to enhance its competitiveness against global initiatives like the
United States’ Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Bulgaria currently ranks lowest
12 European Central Bank, July 2022, 2022 Climate Risk Stress Test.
In 2020, the government of Prime Minister Boiko Borissov was ousted following
years of national turmoil marked by widespread corruption scandals, allegations
of massive misuse of public funds and a decline in media freedom. These issues
culminated in large-scale protests across the country, with citizens calling for
transparency, judicial reforms and an end to political favouritism and oligarchic
influence. The European Commission had also criticised Bulgaria for failing to
address these deep-rooted problems, further fuelling public discontent. The
subsequent Covid-19 pandemic, Russian war in Ukraine and energy shortages,
and the cost-of-living crises severely tested the political establishment and
diverted political attention and actions away from the sustainable transition. At
the same time, Bulgarian society has remained fragmented around the paths
forward for Bulgaria’s economic and social development.
This political instability not only affects the pace of the green transition but also
poses a risk to accessing critical EU funds, such as those from the Recovery and
Resilience Facility (RRF) and the Just Transition Fund (JTF) which have conditions
attached. It is not easy to estimate the level of funding at stake but it is in the
range of billions of euros. Politicians and economists have warned that almost all
the grant allocation under the RRF and over EUR 1 billion under the JTF are at
risk.14
The low absorption rates of Cohesion Policy funds under the current Multiannual
Financial Framework programming can only partially be explained by the delayed
programming. By April 2024, only 4% of the EU funds had been absorbed by
Bulgaria.15 Without these funds, Bulgaria’s economy will struggle to make the
necessary investments to transition to a sustainable future. These EU funds,
including EUR 11 billion of Cohesion Policy funds and EUR 5.5 billion grants under
the RRF, are equal to approximately 7–8% of Bulgaria’s annual public spending.
While the immediate loss of substantial part of these funds might not be acutely
felt, it would create an incremental backlog over time, impacting the country’s
ability to invest in critical infrastructure and sustainable development. It would
also leave a bitter long-term mistrust in the use of public support. Many actors
invested years of preparation for their projects and planning in order to use
funding that may not be available or will have to be provided from national
funds, adding to the national budget deficit.
13National Assembly of the Republic of Bulgaria, 25 April 2024, The National Assembly decided to postpone
the liberalization of the electricity market for household consumers by one year
14Deputy Prime Minister Lyudmila Petkova claims at least 1 bn EUR is at risk under the RRP during an
interview for Bulgarian National Television, 27 September 2024.
15
Rumyana Gocheva and Raya Lecheva, Capital.bg, 23 April 2024, Bulgaria has only 4% absorbed European
money since 2021
Similarly, the Ministry of Environment and Water is tackling heating and cooling
from a clean air perspective, but the climate angle is not significantly considered.
Furthermore, there is insufficient focus on the need of energy for buildings from
the perspective of energy system integration. Establishing a dedicated and
empowered Climate and Transition Ministry could provide the necessary
administrative channel to coordinate policies, secure funding and guide private
Recommendations
> Recommendation 3: Establish a dedicated Climate and Transition
Ministry. Creating a central ministry dedicated to climate and transition
issues could provide the leadership and coherence needed to coordinate
Bulgaria’s green efforts. The ministry would act as the focal point for all
transition-related policies, ensuring that initiatives are aligned with
Bulgaria’s long-term strategic vision and that resources are allocated
effectively. This ministry could also serve as the main interface with EU
bodies and other international organisations, streamlining Bulgaria’s
engagement in global sustainability initiatives.
Like many other countries, Bulgaria can significantly boost its green transition by
implementing comprehensive green public procurement practices that extend
beyond the green components required by EU funding. Using its commitment to
net-zero government operations through its membership of the Net-Zero
Government Initiative, Bulgaria has the opportunity to transform its
procurement practices to support broader environmental and economic goals.
By embedding sustainability criteria into public procurement, the government
can stimulate market demand for green products and services, encouraging
businesses to innovate and align with sustainability standards.
Public banks can act as catalysts for private investment by providing the
necessary initial funding and financial incentives to de-risk green projects. By
working in partnership with multilateral development banks like the European
16Ministry of Defence of Bulgaria, 2024, Strategy for the Preparedness of the Defence Forces for Climate
Change.
17 European Commission, September 2024, The future of European competitiveness, Part A.
Recommendations
> Recommendation 6: Mandate green public procurement. The legislator
should introduce regulations that make green procurement mandatory
for all government contracts, including defence spending. This can help
mainstream sustainability across various sectors and ensure consistent
demand for green products and services.
Recommendations
> Recommendation 10: Introduce comprehensive tax incentives for
sustainable practices. Bulgaria should implement a wider range of tax
incentives that align with the EU Taxonomy and encourage sustainable
investments. These could include tax breaks for individuals and
businesses investing in renewable energy, energy-efficient technologies
and EVs. Providing such incentives would make sustainable choices more
financially attractive and accessible, driving adoption and supporting the
green transition.
> Net-Zero Industrial Zone Trakia: The Trakia Economic Zone (TEZ)19 is a
significant example of a private sector initiative aiming for sustainability. As
one of the largest industrial zones in Eastern Europe, TEZ’s commitment to
becoming carbon-neutral by 2040 demonstrates the feasibility of aligning
19Trakia Economic Zone, 10 May 2022, EU regions in the transformation towards a climate-neutral future –
Case 5: Climate-neutral economic zone in Plovdiv (Bulgaria).
> TOKI: TOKI is an energy trading company that fits the role as an energy
aggregator. TOKI helps integrate small renewable energy producers with
consumers, optimising the balance and efficiency of the energy market. By
supporting decentralised energy production and providing access to broader
markets, TOKI contributes to the growth of sustainable energy sources in
Bulgaria. This model supports the green transition by bridging the gap
between energy demand and supply, thus promoting more efficient use of
renewable energy.
> Eldrive and Spark EV Car Sharing: Eldrive’s network of EV charging stations
and the Spark EV car sharing service illustrate the role of innovative business
models in promoting sustainable transportation. These initiatives not only
support the adoption of electric vehicles by ensuring the availability of
charging infrastructure but also encourage shared mobility, reducing the
carbon footprint of urban transport. The success of Spark in expanding
operations beyond Bulgaria to Lithuania and Romania highlights the potential
for regional cooperation in advancing sustainable mobility.
One effective approach to engage the middle class and SMEs is to establish more
accessible pathways to invest in and reap the benefits from sustainable projects.
This could include the development of community energy projects, such as local
energy cooperatives, that allow citizens to invest in renewable energy
installations. Such projects provide a tangible way for individuals and small
businesses to participate in the energy transition, generate returns on their
investments and feel a sense of ownership over local energy production.
Moreover, energy communities can serve as educational platforms, increasing
awareness and understanding of sustainable practices.
20 Ministry of Innovation And Growth, Republic of Bulgaria, 2023, Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises
Recommendations
> Recommendation 14: Promote sustainable investments. The
government should create a supportive regulatory framework that
encourages the development and promotion of sustainable financial
products. This framework could include tax incentives for investments in
green funds, simplification of investment processes and clear guidelines
21 National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria, 15 November 2023, Results of the Census of 2021
22 CEIC Data, June 2024, Bulgaria Bank Deposits
In particular, businesses could benefit from targeted regulatory support with the
compliance of their obligations under the EU sustainable finance framework,
including regulations such as the EU Taxonomy of sustainable activities,
Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) and Corporate Sustainability
Reporting Directive (CSRD). Those EU-level rules are often perceived as an
additional reporting burden in Bulgaria and are not fully appreciated for the
benefits and additional funding they could attract. The correlation between the
regulatory certainty those rules bring and higher demand for sustainable
financing is already well established.24
23Momchil Rusev, October 2024, ‘Oxygen’ Platform Licensed by Global Reporting Initiative, Bulgarian
News Agency
24 European Commission, Taxonomy compendium and stocktake
25 Bozhidara Zhivkova, ESG News, March 2024, How CSRD Will Be Introduced In Bulgaria
Recommendations
> Recommendation 19: Provide support for compliance. The swift
implementation of the EU regulatory frameworks that require or
incentivise institutional investors to integrate sustainability criteria into
their investment decisions must be encouraged. This includes
mandatory sustainability reporting under the Taxonomy, SFDR and
CSRD. This would increase transparency and accountability, encouraging
investments in companies that prioritise sustainability. Policies could
also offer tax incentives or subsidies to funds that prioritise green
investments. Companies should receive guidance and support to comply
with these new reporting requirements, including workshops and access
to consulting services specialising in sustainability reporting.
> Recommendation 20: Build capacity for non-financial audits. Given the
initial limited scope of these non-financial audits, developing local
expertise and capacity is essential. Over time, the audit processes should
evolve to provide comprehensive and accurate assessments of
companies’ sustainability practices. Affordability of the audits should be
within reach for Bulgarian companies.
Recommendations
> Recommendation 22: Facilitate public–private partnerships.
Collaborations between institutional investors and public entities to co-
fund green projects should be encouraged. Public–private partnerships
can de-risk large-scale green investments, making them more attractive
to institutional investors. This approach can leverage public funds to
attract private capital, effectively increasing the total investment in
sustainable infrastructure and renewable energy projects.
In Bulgaria, energy communities are still in their infancy, with only a few recent
initiatives. The National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) – including the latest
version (June 2024) – has not yet recognised the potential of energy
communities, particularly for heating and cooling applications, which limits their
integration into Bulgaria’s energy strategy.26 This in turn limits the opportunity to
scale up these initiatives and integrate them fully into Bulgaria’s energy strategy.
26 Ministry of Energy, Republic of Bulgaria, June 2024, The Ministry of Energy and the Ministry of
Environment and Water offer for public consultation an updated Integrated National Plan ‘Energy and
Climate’.
Recommendations
> Recommendation 26: Facilitate model pilot energy communities.
Bulgaria should initiate diverse pilot projects to demonstrate the
viability and benefits of energy communities. These pilots should be
designed with replication in mind, focusing on scalability and
adaptability to different local contexts. Key success factors include
simplifying regulatory frameworks, providing technical support and
27 Balkan Green Energy News, July 2024, Bulgaria experiences historic power output slump in June.
Moreover, the inability to combine public grants with private debt financing
limits the scalability of ESCO projects. A well-structured framework that
integrates various funding sources is crucial for the success of these models.
Without it, the financial risks are too high for ESCOs to invest in large-scale
residential projects. This is compounded by a lack of adequate support
mechanisms for vulnerable groups who might face energy poverty, making it
challenging to implement ESCO projects on a broader scale without creating
inequities.
Recommendations
> Recommendation 30: Prioritise energy market liberalisation. The
Bulgarian government should prioritise the liberalisation of the energy
market to create a more conducive environment for ESCO models. By
allowing energy prices to reflect true market values, private building
owners will have greater financial incentives to invest in energy
efficiency. This will, in turn, create a more robust market for ESCOs and
encourage the development of innovative financing models that include
both public and private funds.
> Recommendation 32: Introduce and promote ESCO pilot projects for
residential buildings. National and local governments should introduce
and support pilot ESCO initiatives targeting residential buildings. These
pilots would serve as model projects, showcasing the benefits of energy
efficiency improvements and building confidence among private building
owners. Successful case studies will encourage wider adoption and
scale-up of ESCO models. Special attention should be paid to ensuring
quick scalability and to upfront investment in ESCO companies’ soft
skills. This is important to ensure that ESCO companies are able to be
proactive in offering their services and gather customer feedback
efficiently to continuously improve their product.
Recommendation
> Recommendation 34: Increase participation in international networks.
To enhance Bulgaria’s role in the global green transition, it is crucial to
increase participation in international networks. By joining initiatives like
the NGFS, Mission Innovation and C40 Cities, Bulgaria can benefit from
shared knowledge, resources and support, accelerating its progress
towards sustainability goals. Engaging in these platforms will also help
Bulgaria align more closely with global standards and demonstrate its
commitment to climate action.
This will send a clear and unequivocal signal to private actors, both large and
small. There are already many seeds of change among businesses, which have
been crucial sources of sustainable initiatives, particularly during times of
political uncertainty, and these efforts deserve more room to grow and be
encouraged.
This approach will also strengthen ties with neighbouring EU countries like
Greece and Romania. Additionally, Bulgaria can drive positive change towards
sustainability in the broader region of EU-aspiring nations. Only by mobilising
political support and harnessing public and private finance, together with
increased international engagement, will Bulgaria be in a position to benefit from
the significant geopolitical, socio-economic and financial benefits of a sustainable
economy.