The State of Venture 2024
The State of Venture 2024
Early-stage Venture
& Startups 2024
Published — January 28, 2025
TOC
Executive Summary 3
Fund Benchmarks 17
Benchmark Data 18
Typical Fund Performance by Vintage Year 19
Median Valuation 21
Early-Stage Venture by Market 22
Funding to Female Founders 23
Early-Stage Deals by Instrument 24
Summary of Findings 25
Key Takeaways 26
About AngelList 27
Authors 27
Legal Disclaimers 28
Methodology 29
2
Executive
Summary
In 2024, the venture capital market found its footing after the
upheaval of recent years. While 2023 saw steep declines
across key metrics, the market bottom appears to have held
steady, giving investors and founders a chance to recalibrate.
Our 2024 State of Venture report surveys the industry's
current stability and highlights the forces shaping its future.
3
Key 2024 1
realizations and yet keeping venture capital asset allocations high on paper.
What’s New This Year This year’s report introduces a brand-new Fund Benchmark Data section,
Fund
offering detailed performance benchmarks for recent venture capital
vintages, across funds hosted on the AngelList platform. We believe our
fund benchmarks are the most comprehensive data source for emerging
Benchmark managers, the first benchmarks for the 2023 vintage year, and the only fund
benchmarks current as of January 1, 2025.
Data This year’s State of U.S. Early-Stage Venture & Startups Report provides
a look into venture performance throughout 2024, clarifying uncertain
times and providing actionable data and candid analysis for GPs, LPs,
and founders.
4
Insights &
Findings
5
Markups + Rate AngelList partners directly with all players across private markets, including
limited partners (LPs), general partners (GPs), fund operators, service
of Activity providers, and startups. These relationships give us unmatched visibility into
the changes in share price across a huge volume of startups.
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95%
Expansion
90%
Jan 2022
Jan 2023
85%
Percent Positive Activity
80%
Jan 2020
Jan 2021
75%
Jan 2019
Jan 2018
70%
Jan 2024
Jan 2017
65%
Oct 2024
Jan 2025
60%
Contraction
55%
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Activity Rate
Based on our data, the venture capital ecosystem’s health has been
historically low for the past two years. Of the 16,000+ active US startups
with seasoned investments on the platform before 2024, only 14.2%
experienced a price-per-share change in 2024. When looking into those
changes even further, just under 62% of those changes were positive.
This makes the annual activity rate close to its historic low (lowest being
set earlier in 2024), while the tenor is at a historic low. Put another way, not
many startups changed their price per share over the past year, and the
changes we did see were more negative than at any time in our data set.
7
We can also visualize this data by looking at activity rates for positive and
negative events over time. The top plot here stacks positive activity on the
positive y-axis and negative activity on the negative y-axis. The dotted line
shows the median value; the straight line is the current median. The median
value could be considered an overall summary of the robustness of the
startup fundraising market. It is evident that the value has hovered at
historic lows for about the past two years.
Up 40%
Exit Up
20%
Down
Exit Down 0%
-20%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Activity 40%
Overall Rate
Exits Only
20%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
8
Despite the significant lows across activity rates, we identified a few
bright spots that inspire optimism for venture in 2025. These leading
indicators include:
While venture activity steadily declined month-over-month in 2023, 2024
seems to have bottomed out. There were no more drastic decreases
over the past year.
Throughout 2024, the trend has been towards more market activity. While
this is likely driven primarily by an increase in markdowns, we interpret
this trend as a potential correction of historically inflated valuations,
bringing them more in line with market realities.
What does this mean for 2025? It’s unlikely for the venture market to get
worse in 2025, given that it held a steady bottom in 2024. We believe that
the stabilization and rightsizing of valuations over the past year will pave the
way for a limited, but undeniable, venture market recovery over the next
year. We anticipate that 2025 should see movement towards the historic
2015-2019 levels of activity, while likely from an increasing amount of activity
at a relatively unpleasant tenor (i.e., a rightwards move on our “dot plot”).
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Seed and
Seed round valuations have been a surprising counterpoint to the general
venture market weakness over the past two years. If we start by looking at
Pre-Seed valuation changes from 2022 to 2023, valuations of Series A and later rounds
all fell about 40%, from peak-to-trough. However, seed rounds valuations
20
18
Median Pre-money valuation ($M)
16
14
12
10
Year
10
The first factor is an increasing number of lower-priced rounds being called
“pre-seed” instead of “seed.” As a result, “seed” round valuations end up
having higher prices, with lower priced seed rounds called “pre-seed”
instead.
Once you remove this difference in valuations, most of the time a “pre-seed”
versus a “seed” round is fungible. The majority of both rounds are structured
via SAFEs as the primary instrument. The main structural difference between
the labels is that a larger fraction of seed deals use priced equity (30% vs.
only 10% for pre-seed).
Rounds labeled “seed” used to be seen more than ten times as frequently
as rounds labeled pre-seed, but now the ratio has fallen to less than a 50%
edge over the past three years.
100
90
80
70
60
P e rc e n t o f d e a l s
50
40
30
20
10
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Year
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The median pre-money valuation of a seed round increased from $10M in
2019 to $20M in 2024. We believe that half of this increase can be explained
by shifting round compositions. Because, when we group all of the pre-seed
and seed rounds together, the median pre-money valuation of deals in
that bucket increases from $10M in 2019 to $15M in 2024. That means a
significant explanation for the doubling of seed valuations is that lower-
priced deals are now more likely to be called “pre-seed” rather than “seed.”
However, there must be other variables working to explain the other half of
the valuation increase.
We believe that the other half of the increase in seed valuations is explained
by inflation. Seed round funding tends to go disproportionately towards
salaries, which have been strongly affected by inflation. This means that
founders must raise more money to make the same amount of progress.
Further, since there are sticky cultural expectations around the amount of
the company that is sold in a seed round, the need for more money
increases the observed valuation of seed rounds.
Supply of startups
price floor
Supply of capital
One potential trend we may see in the next year is the rise of lower-priced
“studio,” “accelerator,” or “angel” rounds. These could look like companies
raising $500K at a $5M valuation, to support a couple founders exploring
new ideas for 12-24 months. The new set of companies that emerge from a
model like this could help to diversify the startup ecosystem going forward.
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AI Deep Dive
34
32
30
28
26
24
Percent of deals
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Year
After looking at the venture market from a price and valuation level, we dove
into a startup analysis by market sector. While we include larger groupings
later within the Market Data section of the report, we found an intriguing
callout regarding the number of AI startups raising through the AngelList
platform in 2024.
AngelList data leverages a “primary market tag” from the investments made
by active GPs on the platform, which creates a breakdown by sector. Each
time a GP invests in a startup, they record what “market” the startup is in,
through one or more pre-defined market tags. We consider the first listed
market tag as that company’s “primary market tag.”
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When we narrow down the data set to look only at the 2024 pre-seed and
seed stage deals on the AngelList platform, remarkably, just over 32%
(nearly a third) had “AI” or “Machine Learning” primary market tags. By
comparison, in 2017, less than half a percent of startups had this as their
primary market tag.
We can highlight that the rise of “AI” as a market within venture out-scales
the emergence of previous new markets by comparing it to two other
prominent market tags: “Crypto” (also known as Web3 or Blockchain) and
“Fintech”. Examining annual deal volumes across these three tags reveals
that while Crypto and Fintech experienced notable rises and falls over the
past 5+ years, the current saturation within AI is unprecedented and
qualitatively different in sheer volume.
While this surge is unprecedented, it’s important to note that not every “AI”
startup focuses purely on foundational AI technology. This label tends to be
self-reported and probably better reflects the way startup founders
communicate their market to investors. A SaaS company that makes use of
ChatGPT could want to be identified as an “AI company” now, but a similar
startup may have been called a “SaaS company” in the past.
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Values Climb As we looked across venture market performance in 2024, we wanted to
provide a deeper evaluation on how LPs were realizing (or not realizing)
but Fund gains from their venture investments. In doing so, we found a provocative
anecdote around fund DPI and TVPI.
Distributions DPI stands for “Distributed to Paid-In Capital” and is the ratio of a fund's
Lag
cumulative distributions to the total amount of capital investors have
contributed—also known as the realization multiple. An investor can
calculate this by taking the cumulative distributions received and dividing it
by their paid in capital. It showcases how much capital a fund has returned
to investors, relative to what they paid in. A DPI above 1.0 indicates that the
fund has distributed more capital back to investors than they paid in.
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Percent of Total Value 100%
Distributed to LPs over 80%
Time from 2013-2015
DP I / TVP I
60%
Vintage Funds
40%
16%
20% 11%
0%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
We observed that over the past six years, the ratio of distributed value to
total value has actually decreased—from 16% at the start of 2019, to just 11%
at the start of 2025. Notably, this decline in distributions is occurring during
the phase of a fund’s lifecycle where we would typically expect the highest
distributions to LPs. It’s worth noting that we don’t believe that the low-
distribution phenomenon is unique to funds on AngelList; other data sources
like Cambridge Associates and PitchBook have suggested that the amount
of capital going into venture capital funds has exceeded the distributions
from those funds for the past three years.
It's important to note that the amount of capital distributed to LPs does not
fall (absent extraordinary cases, like clawbacks), but the ratio of distributed
capital to total value can fall. This happens when the residual value of a
portfolio is increasing faster than it is being distributed to LPs. What this plot
suggests is that the paper performance of venture capital funds is still quite
robust, as capital account statements show increases, but that LPs are not
seeing actual distributions from these increased values.
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Fund
Benchmark
Data
17
IRR TVPI DPI
25th 50th 75th 25th 50th 75th 25th 50th 75th
percentile percentile percentile percentile percentile percentile percentile percentile percentile
Vintage Year
2017 13.9% 19.7% 29.2% 2.45x 3.57x 6.35x 0.07x 0.29x 0.64x
2018 10.6% 17.6% 26.1% 1.83x 2.64x 3.95x 0.04x 0.21x 0.51x
2019 7.6% 18.7% 27.0% 1.42x 2.40x 3.40x 0.00x 0.06x 0.20x
2020 6.3% 12.9% 21.5% 1.25x 1.58x 2.32x 0.00x 0.02x 0.11x
2021 -3.0% 1.2% 6.4% 0.93x 1.04x 1.20x 0.00x 0.00x 0.02x
2022 -4.3% -0.2% 4.8% 0.93x 1.00x 1.09x 0.00x 0.00x 0.00x
2023 -11.8% -5.5% 2.9% 0.89x 0.95x 1.03x 0.00x 0.00x 0.00x
Some may find that AngelList’s fund benchmarks materially differ from
the benchmarks published by other private market data sources. Most
importantly, the benchmarks presented here are for values as of January 1,
2025. This is about six months ahead of other benchmark sources, which
often rely on third-hand data (e.g., fund administrators to GPs to LPs to data
providers), while our benchmarks are built entirely on AngelList data from
funds hosted on the platform.
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Typical Fund When we plot the TVPI of the typical (i.e., median) venture capital fund from
different vintage years over time, we see a single highly correlated
Performance by phenomenon: a sharp run-up in TVPI (mostly in terms of residual value, see
“Values Climb but Fund Distributions Lag” ) between Q4 2020 and Q1 2022
AngelList Funds 4x
Performance Over Time
2x
Vintage Year 2021
Vintage Year 2022
Vintage Year 2023
1x
0.9x
12 24 36 48 60 72 84
Note how the curves for each vintage year show a sharp rise followed by a
flatline, happening exactly 12 months apart. Since vintage years are spaced
12 months apart, this means the runups across each occurred at the same
calendar time—around 2021.
The optimistic view for venture capital is that we pushed forward about five
years of growth into an 18-month stretch (roughly August 2020 to February
2022). If so, we could see a reasonable rate of growth resume in 2025. The
pessimistic view is that this surge wasn’t just accelerated growth, but rather
misallocated capital, making the apparent growth misleading and causing
forward returns to diminish as those gains slip away.
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Startup
Market Data
20
Median
Valuation
Note that our median valuation data may differ from valuation data shared
by other sources. This difference, in part, might be because AngelList is able
to report on new fundraising rounds with greater timeliness given we
support these transactions using our own infrastructure. Additionally,
valuation data may vary due to the nature of the deals that fund managers
run on AngelList, which may differ in quality from deals that occur off the
AngelList platform.
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Early-Stage VC
by Market in 2024
AI / ML
Healthtech
Fintech
Web3
SaaS % of Deals
Developer Tools % of Capital Deployed
Biotech
E-Commerce
Cleantech
Gaming
Analytics
CPG
Enterprise
Robotics
Aerospace
Hardware
Real Estate
Food / Beverages
HR & Recruiting
Collaboration Tools
Security
0% 10% 20% 30%
22
Funding to
Female
Founders
25%
20.42%
19.50% 19.46%
20%
10%
5%
0%
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
YEAR
23
Deals by
Instrument
% of Deals
80%
% of Deployed Capital
60.20%
60%
54.52%
41.57%
40% 35.22%
20%
4.58% 3.91%
0%
SAFE Equity Debt
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Summary of
Findings
25
Key
AI continues to dominate the narrative—and the pitch decks. Nearly a third of seed
and pre-seed startups now carry the "AI" label, though many stretch the definition.
Takeaways
This surge reflects both genuine innovation and opportunistic branding, as
founders chase funding along a shrinking set of paths that can support stubbornly
high seed valuations.
Not only did AI dominate the market, but in 2024, seed valuations returned to their
historic highs. The median seed deal was priced at a staggering $20M pre-money
valuation, and it seems this could be the new normal for seed rounds. However,
whether these high prices create an opportunity for even earlier investment rounds
to emerge remains to be seen.
The big question for venture funds is whether the industry has already absorbed
several years of growth in the frenetic 18 months of investment activity centered
around 2021. If so, the next few years could present a return to sustainable gains.
The more pessimistic viewpoint is that much of the growth we saw in the pandemic
was a misallocation of capital that will take years to unwind.
As we look ahead to 2025, one potential trend stands out: the shift from residual
portfolio values to distributions, likely at a discount. With exit timelines lengthening,
both GPs and LPs may push for liquidity through creative solutions, even if it means
accepting less than what their capital account statements currently show.
How this dynamic plays out could define the next phase of venture capital, allowing
fresh money to be reinvested into new managers and new startups.
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About
AngelList is building the infrastructure that powers the startup economy. Providing
startups and investors with the connected tools they need to launch and scale a
AngelList
startup or fund—and invest in both. As of this writing, we support nearly $124B
assets on platform with over 85K investors and 25K funds and syndicates on
platform. Our data and access gives us a nearly unrivaled view into early-stage
venture activity. That means we can report with more accuracy on market-wide
trends within the startup ecosystem.
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Legal All data referenced in this material is current as of 1/1/2025, unless otherwise
mentioned. Data includes information that may be reported to AngelList by various
Disclaimers third-parties. As such, this report is meant to show the entire state of the venture
market through data we have obtained through multiple sources. This is not, and
is not intended to be, performance data related to any AngelList Advisors, LLC
(an affiliate of AngelList). As such, it is not marketing materials of any investment
adviser. This report is merely meant to depict the performance of the overall
industry.
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AngelList An AngelList "deal" is an investment made by a Traditional or Rolling Fund,
Syndicate (SPV), or Roll Up Vehicle hosted on the AngelList platform. We define
Methodology “early stage” deals as deals that occur at Series A or prior. We include all deals
signed in the relevant quarter or year, indicating a legal commitment to invest. We
make no guarantee that these deals were finalized in the quarter or year, or ever. All
deals are labeled by round and sector according to the best judgment of the deal
lead, with potential oversight from the AngelList investment operations team.
Since we generally only update valuations at priced rounds, at any given twelve-
month stretch, perhaps only 30% of companies will show a change in value. As
AngelList skews towards earlier investments, we estimate that about three-quarters
of the companies we track are at the seed or Series A stage.
This data represents deals signed by GPs on AngelList between 1/1/24 and 12/31/24.
Markups The “markups” charts represent what has happened to every active, “seasoned”
company (“seasoned” meaning that we track an investment in the company that is
at least 180 days old) over a trailing twelve-month window.
In both the “markups” and “activity” charts, time goes left to right, so the most
recent activity is closest to the right-hand side of the plot. The top plot is a split
between good events (Markups and Exit Ups), which are in shades of yellow and are
on the positive side of the top plot, and bad events (Markdowns and Exit Downs),
which are in shades of purple and are on the negative side of the top plot.
The dotted line in the top chart is the median outcome—when it’s positive, the
typical startup event that we observed was positive. The bottom plot tracks activity
rates overall and exit rates specifically.
Rate of Only active (not exited) startups that we have a seasoned investment into (an
Activity investment at least 180 days old at the start of the twelve-month period) are
considered. Since we detect activity by changes in the latest price-per-share, in
some cases if a startup does a "flat" round that does not change the price per
share, we may not detect that activity.
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Valuations Based on summary statistics from the pre-money USD valuations of all the rounds
within the interval.
Valuations and returns do not account for liquidation preferences and other non-
financial terms that may affect returns. Investments in later-stage companies may
be sent to a third-party for valuation if (i) the company's estimated value is over
$100 million, (ii) the investment is estimated to be worth over $10 million and (iii) 24
months have passed since the last investment. Valuations presented herein are
calculated as of the date disclosed and have not been audited by a third-party.
Contact us for full details on our valuation methodologies.
Fund We associate a fund's vintage year with the calendar year of the fund's first close.
Benchmarks In the case of parallel accredited/QP vehicles we exclusively select and present
cashflows from the accredited vehicle. All numbers shown are net to LPs.
Market Sector Deal share by market sector was calculated by adding up the total deal count for
each deal that was part of a Syndicate or Traditional Fund and was assigned a
specific market sector tag at deal close. This number was then expressed as a
percentage of overall deal count in 2024.
Share of capital deployed by market sector was calculated by adding up the total
capital deployed for all deals that were part of a Syndicate or Traditional Fund and
was assigned a specific market sector tag at deal close. This number was then
expressed as a percentage of the total capital deployed across all sectors in 2024.
Funding
Deal share of female founders was determined by adding up all syndicated deals to
to Female startups with a female member of the founding team (as reported by the investor
Founders and verified by AngelList). This number was then expressed as a percentage of
overall deal count for 2024.
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Deals by Deals by instrument were determined by adding up all deals completed in 2024 that
Instrument were assigned a specific instrument tag at deal close. This number was then
expressed as a percentage of overall deal count in 2024. Preferred investment
instrument by round name was determined by adding up all deals assigned to a
specific round in 2024 and assigned to a specific deal instrument tag at deal close.
This number was then expressed as a percentage of the overall number of deals in
that named round in 2024.
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