House Price Prediction 1
House Price Prediction 1
Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of
BACHELOR OF TECHNOLOGY IN
ELECTRONICS AND COMMUNICATION ENGINEERING
By
B CHETHANA - 20EG104408
D ANJALI REDDY - 20EG104431
P ABHIRAM CHARAN - 20EG104455
Under the guidance of
B CHETHANA - 20EG104408
In partial fulfillment for the award of the Degree of Bachelor of Technology in Electronics &
Communication Engineering to the Anurag University, Hyderabad is a record of bonafide work
carried out under my guidance and supervision. The results embodied in this project report have
not been submitted to any other University or Institute for the award of any Degree or Diploma.
DEPT Of ECE
External Examine
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This project is an acknowledgement to the inspiration, drive and technical assistance contributed by
many individuals. This project would have never seen the light of this day without the help and
guidance we have received. We would like to express our gratitude to all the people behind the
screen who helped us to transform an idea into a real application.
It’s our privilege and pleasure to express our profound sense of gratitude to DR.M.KIRAN KUMAR,
ASSISTANT PROFESSOR, Department of ECE for his guidance throughout this dissertation work. We
express our sincere gratitude to DR.N.MANGALA GOURI, Head of Department, Electronics and
Communication Engineering for his precious suggestions for the successful completion of this project.
She is also a great source of inspiration to our work.
We would like to express our deep sense of gratitude to DR.V.VIJAY KUMAR, Director, Anurag Group of
Institutions for his tremendous support, encouragement and inspiration. Lastly, we thank the
almighty, our parents, friends for their constant encouragement without which this assignment
would not be possible. We would like to thank all the other staff members, both teaching and non-
teaching, who have extended their timely help and eased my work.
BY
B CHETHANA - 20EG104408
We hereby declare that the result embodied in this project report entitled “REAL ESTATE PRICE
PREDICTION” is carried out by us during the year 2024-2025 for the partial fulfillment of the award
of Bachelor of Technology in Electronics and Communication Engineering, from ANURAG UNIVERSITY.
We have not submitted this project report to any other Universities Institute for the award of any
degree.
BY
B CHETHANA - 20EG104408
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1. Abstract:
The Real Estate Price Predictor project leverages machine learning methodologies to accurately
forecast housing prices, catering to the intricate demands of the ever-evolving real estate
market. This initiative encompasses a robust framework involving data preprocessing, feature
engineering, and the implementation of a RandomForestRegressor model. The dataset,
containing pivotal property information, undergoes thorough analysis and exploration,
including statistical summaries and visualizations, contributing to a comprehensive
understanding of the underlying dynamics.
A crucial aspect of the project is the meticulous handling of data through techniques such as
Stratified Shuffle Split for train-test separation, correlation analysis, and addressing missing
values. Visualization techniques, including heatmaps and scatter matrices, aid in uncovering
relationships among features. The model selection process involves opting for the
RandomForestRegressor, recognized for its resilience and ability to capture intricate data
patterns.
The project emphasizes evaluation metrics such as mean squared error and root mean squared
error to gauge the model's performance. Furthermore, a data processing pipeline is constructed
to ensure consistency and scalability in handling future datasets. The trained model is saved
for deployment, enabling seamless predictions on new data.
1.1 KeyWords :
1. Real Estate Price Prediction
2. Machine Learning
3. RandomForestRegressor
4. Data Preprocessing
5. Feature Engineering
6. Visualization
7. Stratified Shuffle Split,
8. Model Evaluation
9. Mean Squared Error
10. Root Mean Squared Error
11. Data Processing Pipeline
12. Deployment
13. Decision Support
14. Real Estate Market.
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2. Introduction:
The real estate industry is a dynamic and ever-evolving sector where property values are
influenced by a myriad of factors. Accurate prediction of housing prices is essential for various
stakeholders, including real estate professionals, investors, and prospective homebuyers, to
make informed decisions. As the market becomes more complex, leveraging machine learning
techniques becomes crucial to address the challenges associated with property valuation.
The Real Estate Price Predictor project seeks to provide a data-driven solution to the
complexities of real estate pricing. The project is motivated by the need for a reliable tool that
can offer accurate predictions, considering the diverse array of features influencing property
values. In this introduction, we delve into the background of the problem, emphasizing its
significance, and articulate the project's objectives and goals.
Objective:
The primary objective of the Real Estate Price Predictor is to develop a machine learning model
capable of predicting housing prices with a high degree of accuracy. The project aims to harness
the power of advanced algorithms to analyze diverse datasets and extract patterns that
contribute to accurate predictions. By achieving this objective, the project intends to offer a
valuable tool for various stakeholders in the real estate domain.
In the subsequent sections of this documentation, we will delve into the existing literature,
articulate the specific problem being addressed, outline the methodology employed, and
provide detailed insights into the model building process. The documentation concludes with
a thorough examination of the results, discussions on their implications, and suggestions for
future enhancements to the Real Estate Price Predictor.
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3. Literature Survey:
Real estate price prediction has garnered significant attention in recent years, with researchers
and practitioners alike exploring various methodologies and algorithms to enhance accuracy.
The literature survey aims to provide insights into existing studies, methodologies, and findings
related to real estate price prediction.
Year : (2019)
Andriy Burkov's book condenses complex machine learning concepts into a concise guide. It
covers a broad range of topics, making it accessible for both beginners and practitioners. The
book emphasizes practical applications and serves as a quick reference for fundamental ML
concepts.
Year: 2006
Christopher M. Bishop's book is a comprehensive text that delves into the mathematical
foundations of pattern recognition and machine learning. It covers topics such as Bayesian
networks, support vector machines, and hidden Markov models. Widely used in academia, it
is known for its theoretical depth.
Year: 2019
Aurélien Géron's book is recognized for its hands-on approach to machine learning. It covers
practical implementations using popular frameworks such as Scikit-Learn, Keras, and
TensorFlow. The book is suitable for those looking to apply machine learning techniques in
real-world scenarios.
A widely used textbook in academia, this book covers a comprehensive range of artificial
intelligence topics. It includes foundational concepts, intelligent agents, machine learning, and
more. Its latest edition reflects the evolving landscape of AI.
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Title :"Deep Learning"
Year: 2016
This book is a seminal work on deep learning. It provides a comprehensive introduction to the
theoretical foundations of neural networks and deep learning. It has had a significant impact
on the understanding and development of deep learning algorithms.
Year: 2015
A classic in the field of reinforcement learning, this book provides a thorough introduction to
the fundamentals of reinforcement learning. It covers topics such as Markov decision
processes, exploration-exploitation, and policy optimization.
Author: Andrew Ng
Year: 2018
Authored by Andrew Ng, a leading figure in machine learning, this book focuses on practical
advice for building and deploying machine learning systems. It addresses common challenges
in machine learning projects and emphasizes the importance of a systematic approach.
Year: 2013
Tailored for business professionals and data scientists, this book bridges the gap between
technical concepts and business applications of machine learning. It covers topics such as data
exploration, model evaluation, and the impact of machine learning on decision-making.
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Title :"Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control"
Year: 2019
Stuart Russell's book explores the societal implications of artificial intelligence, particularly
focusing on aligning AI systems with human values. It delves into the ethical considerations
and challenges in ensuring control and safety in AI development.
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4. Problem Statement:
The real estate market is characterized by its dynamic nature, influenced by a multitude of
factors such as location, property size, amenities, and economic conditions. Accurate prediction
of housing prices is a challenging task due to the inherent complexities associated with these
variables. The problem at hand is to develop a predictive model that can reliably estimate
property values based on diverse features, catering to the evolving needs of real estate
professionals, investors, and homebuyers.
4.1Challenges:
Identifying the most influential features for accurate predictions is a non-trivial task.
The challenge lies in selecting the right combination of features that capture the nuances
of property valuation.
4.1.3 Interpretability:
The model must generalize well across diverse geographical locations, considering that
property valuation dynamics can vary significantly between regions.
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5. Methodology:
The Real Estate Price Predictor project adopts a systematic methodology encompassing data
collection, preprocessing, feature engineering, model selection, and evaluation. The
overarching goal is to develop a robust predictive model capable of accurately estimating
housing prices. The following steps outline the detailed methodology employed in this project:
Objective:
Gathering a comprehensive dataset is the initial step towards building an effective Real Estate
Price Predictor. The dataset aims to encapsulate crucial information about various properties,
ensuring it covers a spectrum of features influencing housing prices.
Procedure:
Outcome:
A well-curated dataset containing diverse features essential for predicting housing prices.
Objective:
Data preprocessing is vital to ensure a clean and standardized dataset before model training.
This step involves handling missing values, converting categorical variables, and addressing
outliers.
Procedure:
1. Missing Value Imputation: Employ imputation techniques to handle missing data and
create a complete dataset.
2. Categorical Variable Handling: Convert categorical variables to numerical
representations using methods like one-hot encoding.
3. Outlier Identification: Detect and address outliers that could adversely impact model
performance.
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Outcome:
A preprocessed dataset ready for feature engineering and subsequent model training.
Objective:
Feature engineering focuses on enhancing the dataset by creating new features and
transforming existing ones. The goal is to introduce meaningful relationships and improve the
predictive power of the model.
Procedure:
1. New Feature Creation: Introduce new features, e.g., TAXRM (ratio of tax to the number
of rooms), to capture nuanced relationships.
2. Feature Transformation: Apply transformations to existing features to amplify their
relevance in predicting housing prices.
Outcome:
A feature-enriched dataset with augmented variables, poised to provide deeper insights to the
predictive model.
Objective:
Procedure:
Outcome:
Selection of RandomForestRegressor as the model of choice for its compatibility with the
project's regression requirements.
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5.5 Model Training:
Objective:
This step involves splitting the dataset into training and testing sets and training the selected
RandomForestRegressor model on the training set.
Procedure:
1. Dataset Splitting: Divide the dataset into training and testing sets for model evaluation.
2. Model Training: Train the RandomForestRegressor model on the training set, allowing
it to learn patterns and relationships within the data.
Outcome:
Objective:
Model evaluation is crucial to assess its performance. This involves utilizing appropriate
evaluation metrics such as mean squared error (MSE) and root mean squared error (RMSE).
Procedure:
1. Metric Selection: Choose relevant evaluation metrics aligned with project goals, such
as MSE and RMSE.
2. Model Assessment: Evaluate model performance on the testing set to ensure
generalizability and prevent overfitting.
Outcome:
A comprehensive understanding of the model's predictive capabilities and potential areas for
improvement.
Objective:
Procedure:
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Outcome:
Objective:
Implementing a machine learning pipeline ensures consistency and replicability in future model
deployments. The pipeline includes data preprocessing steps, feature engineering, and the
RandomForestRegressor model.
Procedure:
Outcome:
An efficient and reproducible machine learning pipeline ready for deployment and future use.
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6. Architecture:
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7. Graphs:
7.1 Plotting Histogram:
CRIMERATE:
This histogram likely shows the distribution of crime rates in the dataset.
LANDSQFT:
This histogram probably displays the distribution of land square footage in the dataset.
CHAS:
Since this is a histogram for a binary variable ('CHAS'), it may show the distribution of
properties along the Charles River (if CHAS represents a binary indicator for proximity to the
river).
ROOMSAVG:
This histogram likely illustrates the distribution of the average number of rooms in the houses.
AGE:
This histogram may represent the distribution of the age of houses in the dataset.
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DIST:
It's possible that this histogram shows the distribution of distances to employment centers.
HIGHWAYS:
TAX:
LOWSTPOP:
This histogram related to the population of the lowest status of the population.
MEDVOWNER:
This is likely the histogram for the target variable, representing the distribution of median
owner-occupied home values.
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7.2 Correlation:
● This heatmap is a useful tool for visualizing the correlation between different features
in the dataset. Positive correlations are typically indicated by warmer colors (e.g., red),
while negative correlations are represented by cooler colors (e.g., blue). The annotation
of the cells with correlation values provides a quick reference for understanding the
strength and direction of the relationships between variables.
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7.3 Scatter Plot:
● The scatter matrix is a grid of scatter plots, where each plot represents the relationship
between two variables (attributes). This visualization is helpful for quickly assessing
the pairwise correlations and distributions of features in the dataset.
1. Diagonal Plots: The diagonal plots represent the distribution of individual
features.
2. Off-Diagonal Plots: The off-diagonal plots show scatter plots of pairs of
features, helping to identify potential patterns, trends, or correlations.
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7.3.1 Scatter of RoomsAvg and MedvOwner:
This scatter plot visualizes the relationship between the "ROOMSAVG" (average number of
rooms) and "MEDVOWNER" (median owner-occupied home values) columns in the housing
dataset. Each point on the plot represents a data point where the x-coordinate is the average
number of rooms, and the y-coordinate is the corresponding median owner-occupied home
value.
Interpretation:
1. If there is a positive correlation, you would expect the points to generally slope upward
from left to right.
2. If there is a negative correlation, you would expect the points to slope downward from
left to right.
3. The transparency (alpha) parameter is set to 0.8 to better visualize areas with
overlapping data points.
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7.3.2 Scatter Plot of TAXRM and MED OWNER:
This scatter plot specifically visualizes the relationship between the "TAXRM" (tax per room)
and "MEDVOWNER" (median owner-occupied home values) columns in the housing dataset.
Each point on the plot represents a data point where the x-coordinate is the tax per room, and
the y-coordinate is the corresponding median owner-occupied home value.
Interpretation:
1. Analyzing the relationship between tax per room and median home values can provide
insights into how tax rates per room are related to the overall home values.
2. The transparency (alpha) parameter is set to 0.8 to better visualize areas with
overlapping data points.
3. The smaller figure size (figsize) may be suitable for a more compact representation.
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8. Model Building:
The model building phase of the Real Estate Price Predictor project involves selecting, training,
and refining the machine learning model. The chosen model, RandomForestRegressor, is well-
suited for regression tasks and capable of capturing complex relationships within the real estate
dataset.
The RandomForestRegressor is selected for its ensemble learning capabilities and robustness
in handling both numerical and categorical features. The decision is based on the model's ability
to provide accurate predictions while mitigating overfitting.
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8.2 Data Splitting:
The dataset is split into training and testing sets using the train_test_split function from the
scikit-learn library. This division allows for model training on one subset and evaluation on
another, ensuring the model's ability to generalize to unseen data.
A machine learning pipeline is constructed using the scikit-learn Pipeline class. This pipeline
includes data preprocessing steps, feature engineering, and the RandomForestRegressor model.
The pipeline ensures consistency and facilitates reproducibility in future model deployments.
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8.4 Model Training:
The RandomForestRegressor model is trained on the training set, allowing it to learn patterns
and relationships within the real estate data. The fit method is employed to train the model
using the prepared training data.
8.5 Cross-Validation:
Cross-validation is employed to assess the model's performance across different subsets of the
training data. The cross_val_score function from scikit-learn is used, and evaluation metrics
such as mean squared error are considered.
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8.6 Iterative Refinement:
The model undergoes iterative refinement based on cross-validation results and insights gained
during the evaluation phase. Adjustments to hyperparameters, feature engineering techniques,
and other aspects are made to enhance predictive accuracy.
The final model is trained on the entire training set, incorporating the insights gained during
the iterative refinement process. This step prepares the model for deployment and prediction
on new, unseen data.
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9. Accuracy Interpretation:
Interpreting the accuracy of the Real Estate Price Predictor model involves analyzing key
metrics and visualizations to gauge the model's performance in predicting housing prices. The
primary metrics considered are Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Root Mean Squared Error
(RMSE).
MSE is a measure of the average squared difference between actual and predicted values. A
lower MSE indicates better model performance. In the Real Estate Price Predictor project, MSE
is used to quantify the average squared error across the dataset.
RMSE is the square root of the MSE and represents the average magnitude of the errors in the
predicted values. Like MSE, a lower RMSE signifies better predictive accuracy. It provides a
more interpretable measure in the original unit of the target variable (housing prices).
Visualizing the scatter plot of actual vs. predicted values allows for a qualitative assessment of
the model's accuracy. Clustering of points around the diagonal line indicates accurate
predictions, while significant deviations suggest areas for improvement.
Cross-validation results provide a robust evaluation of the model's performance across multiple
subsets of the training data. Mean and standard deviation of evaluation metrics, such as RMSE,
offer a comprehensive view of the model's consistency.
Comparing the performance of the Real Estate Price Predictor model with baseline models or
simplistic approaches provides context for its effectiveness. A significant improvement over
baseline models indicates the model's efficacy.
Understanding the limitations of the model is crucial for accurate interpretation. Considerations
such as potential bias, sensitivity to certain features, or challenges in generalization should be
acknowledged.
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10.Results, Discussion & Suggestions:
10.1 Model Performance:
The Real Estate Price Predictor model demonstrates robust performance, as indicated by low
Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values. The model
effectively captures complex relationships within the real estate dataset, providing accurate
predictions.
The scatter plot of actual vs. predicted values showcases the model's accuracy. A clustering of
points around the diagonal line suggests precise predictions. Deviations in certain instances
may be explored for potential insights and improvements.
Analysis of feature importance reveals key drivers influencing housing price predictions.
Understanding which features contribute significantly provides valuable insights for real estate
professionals and stakeholders.
The Real Estate Price Predictor model surpasses baseline models or simplistic approaches,
underscoring its effectiveness. This comparison provides context for stakeholders to appreciate
the model's value.
10.7 Limitations:
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10.9 Suggestions for Improvement:
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11.Conclusion:
The Real Estate Price Predictor project represents a substantial undertaking in the realm of
machine learning, focusing on the intricate task of forecasting housing prices. The adopted
RandomForestRegressor model stands out for its effectiveness in capturing complex
relationships within the real estate dataset, evident in the low Mean Squared Error (MSE) and
Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values, attesting to its ability to generate precise predictions.
Delving into feature importance further enriches the model's interpretability, shedding light on
the critical factors influencing housing price predictions.
The reliability of the model is reinforced through cross-validation, showcasing consistent and
stable performance across diverse subsets of the training data. The iterative refinement process,
marked by hyperparameter adjustments and feature engineering, significantly contributes to
the model's overall improvement, ensuring adaptability and continuous enhancement.
Beyond its technical prowess, the Real Estate Price Predictor model holds tangible value for
real estate professionals, investors, and homebuyers, offering accurate predictions that
facilitate informed decision-making in the dynamic real estate market. However, it is crucial to
transparently acknowledge the model's limitations, including potential biases and challenges
in generalization, to provide stakeholders with a realistic understanding of its boundaries and
promote responsible use.
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12.Limitations & Future Scope :
12.1 Limitations:
Despite the success and effectiveness of the Real Estate Price Predictor project, it's important
to acknowledge certain limitations that may impact the model's performance and applicability:
The accuracy of the model heavily relies on the quality and availability of the dataset.
Incomplete or inaccurate data can introduce biases and impact the model's predictions.
The model is trained on a specific dataset, and its ability to generalize to diverse real estate
markets with varying dynamics and characteristics may be limited. Localized factors
influencing housing prices may not be fully captured.
The model assumes stationarity in the relationship between features and housing prices.
Changes in market trends over time may challenge this assumption, requiring continuous
monitoring and adaptation.
External factors such as economic indicators, political events, or global market trends are not
explicitly incorporated into the model. Including these factors could enhance the model's
predictive capabilities.
The model's sensitivity to outliers in the dataset may impact its predictions. Extreme values in
certain features could disproportionately influence the model's decision-making.12.2 Future
Scope:
Enhance the model by integrating external data sources, such as economic indicators, interest
rates, or demographic trends. This expansion could provide a more comprehensive
understanding of the factors influencing housing prices.
Explore advanced feature engineering techniques to create new variables that capture nuanced
relationships within the data. This could involve non-linear transformations or interactions
between features.
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12.2.3. Ensemble Modeling and Stacking:
Experiment with ensemble modeling techniques and stacking to combine the strengths of
multiple models. This approach may further improve predictive accuracy and robustness.
Develop mechanisms for the model to dynamically adapt to changing market conditions.
Implementing a system that can continuously learn from new data and adjust its predictions
over time would enhance its relevance.
Conduct market segmentation analysis to tailor the model to specific submarkets with unique
characteristics. This approach recognizes the heterogeneity within the real estate market and
allows for more targeted predictions.
Explore the integration of real-time data feeds to keep the model updated with the latest market
information. This would enable more timely predictions and responsiveness to emerging
trends.
Collaborate with real estate professionals, economists, and domain experts to gain deeper
insights into the market dynamics. Their expertise can inform feature selection and model
refinement.
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13.Bibliography
Websites:
Introduction to Machine Learning (Second Edition): Ethem Alpaydın, The MIT Press
(2010).
Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning: Christopher M. Bishop, Springer (2006)
Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning: David Barber, Cambridge University Press
(2012)
Machine Learning, Tom Mitchell
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