Forex Trading Guide
Forex Trading Guide
Introduction
This guide provides a comprehensive overview of Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and the
Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology, drawing insights from the YouTube channel
@Guardeer and extensive additional research. The aim is to equip you with a deep
understanding of these advanced trading strategies to enhance your profitability in the
forex market.
SMC and ICT trading focus on understanding the actions of large institutional players,
often referred to as "smart money." By analyzing their footprints in the market, traders
can gain an edge and make more informed trading decisions.
This document will cover key concepts, provide detailed explanations, and include
relevant chart examples to illustrate the principles discussed. While the YouTube
lectures by Guardeer provide a valuable foundation, this guide expands upon those
ideas with additional research to offer a more complete picture.
The core of SMC lies in analyzing price action to identify areas where smart money is
likely to be active. This involves understanding concepts such as order blocks, liquidity,
and market structure shifts.
Order Blocks
Order blocks are crucial areas on the chart where significant institutional buying or
selling occurred, leading to a strong directional move. These are essentially refined
supply and demand zones. When price returns to an order block, it often finds support
or resistance, offering potential trading opportunities. Identifying valid order blocks
involves looking for the last down candle before an impulsive move up (for a bullish
order block) or the last up candle before an impulsive move down (for a bearish order
block). The size and volume of these candles can indicate the strength of the order
block.
Fair Value Gaps, also known as inefficiencies or imbalances, are areas on the price chart
where price moved very quickly in one direction, leaving a gap in liquidity. This means
that there was a strong imbalance between buyers and sellers, and the market did not
trade at certain price levels. FVGs are typically identified by a three-candle pattern where
the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle do not overlap with the body
of the middle candle. Price often tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its
original direction, making them attractive targets for entries or exits.
Liquidity
Liquidity refers to the presence of pending buy and sell orders in the market.
Institutional traders are always seeking liquidity to fill their large orders without
significantly moving the market against them. Therefore, they often target areas where a
large number of retail stop-loss orders or pending orders are clustered, such as swing
highs and swing lows, or trendlines. When liquidity is
A Break of Structure (BOS) occurs when price breaks above a previous swing high in an
uptrend or below a previous swing low in a downtrend, indicating the continuation of
the current trend. It signifies that the market is respecting its current directional bias.
Identifying BOS helps traders confirm the trend and look for continuation opportunities.
From an ICT perspective, liquidity is not just about areas of concentrated orders but also
about the inducement of retail traders into positions that can then be exploited by
institutions. ICT emphasizes that institutions will often "sweep" liquidity above or below
significant highs and lows to gather orders before initiating their true directional move.
This concept is closely tied to stop-loss hunting and the manipulation of retail
sentiment.
Displacement
Displacement in ICT refers to a strong, impulsive move in price that creates an imbalance
in the market. This often occurs after liquidity has been swept. Displacement is
characterized by large, consecutive candles with minimal wicks, indicating a strong
commitment from institutional players. The void left by displacement often creates Fair
Value Gaps that price may later return to fill.
Similar to SMC's BOS and ChoCH, ICT's Market Structure Shift (MSS) signifies a change in
the prevailing trend. An MSS occurs when price breaks a significant swing high or low,
indicating a shift in the market's directional bias. ICT traders use MSS to identify
potential trend reversals and to position themselves early in new trends.
Inducement
Inducement is a tactic used by smart money to trick retail traders into taking trades in
the wrong direction. This often involves creating seemingly attractive setups that appear
to confirm a certain trend, only for price to reverse sharply after retail traders have
entered their positions. Inducement zones are typically found just before significant
liquidity pools, where institutions can accumulate or distribute their orders.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) (ICT Perspective)
In ICT, FVGs are considered highly significant areas where price is likely to return. They
represent an inefficient delivery of price, where one side of the market (buyers or sellers)
was overwhelmingly dominant, leaving an imbalance. ICT traders look for price to
retrace into these FVGs to find optimal entry points for trades, as these areas often act as
magnets for price.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) is a specific entry model within the ICT methodology that
uses Fibonacci retracement levels to identify high-probability entry points after a market
structure shift or a liquidity sweep. The OTE zone typically lies between the 61.8% and
78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels of a swing leg. This area is considered optimal
because it offers a good risk-to-reward ratio and aligns with institutional entry patterns.
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) is formed when two opposing Fair Value Gaps overlap.
This occurs when price moves aggressively in one direction, creating an FVG, and then
reverses aggressively, creating another FVG that overlaps with the first. BPRs are
considered powerful areas of support or resistance and can be used by ICT traders to
anticipate price reactions.
This foundational lecture likely introduces the basic premise of Smart Money Concepts,
explaining why retail traders should focus on institutional behavior. It would cover the
core idea that markets are manipulated by large players and that understanding their
actions is key to profitable trading. This aligns with the general overview of SMC
provided earlier.
Lecture 2: What Is SWING HIGH & SWING LOW In SMC?
Swing highs and swing lows are fundamental to identifying market structure. In SMC,
these points are crucial for determining trends, identifying potential liquidity pools, and
marking the boundaries for breaks of structure (BOS) and changes of character (ChoCH).
A swing high is typically a candle with at least two lower highs on either side, and a
swing low is a candle with at least two higher lows on either side. These are often
targeted by smart money for liquidity grabs.
This lecture delves into the critical concepts of market structure: Break of Structure
(BOS), Change of Character (ChoCH), and Inducement. As discussed, BOS confirms trend
continuation, while ChoCH signals a potential reversal. Inducement is the process by
which smart money lures retail traders into unfavorable positions before initiating a
move in the opposite direction. Understanding these three concepts is vital for accurate
market analysis and trade execution.
This lecture focuses on three core SMC elements: Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps (FVG),
and Order Flow. Order blocks are areas of institutional activity, FVGs represent market
inefficiencies, and order flow refers to the continuous movement of buy and sell orders
through the market. Understanding how these elements interact provides insights into
institutional intentions and potential price movements. Order flow analysis helps in
confirming the direction of institutional participation.
This lecture likely provides a deeper dive into the concept of liquidity, emphasizing its
importance in SMC. It would cover various forms of liquidity, such as trendline liquidity,
equal highs/lows, and previous daily/weekly/monthly highs/lows. The lecture would
explain how institutions target these liquidity pools to fill their orders, often leading to
sharp reversals or accelerations in price. Recognizing liquidity is paramount for
anticipating market turns.
Point of Interest (POI) in SMC refers to specific areas on the chart where a high
probability trading setup is expected to occur. These are typically confluence zones
where multiple SMC concepts align, such as an order block coinciding with a Fair Value
Gap and a liquidity pool. The lecture would also cover Low Time Frame (LTF) and High
Time Frame (HTF) entry strategies, emphasizing the importance of aligning trades with
the higher time frame trend while seeking precise entries on lower time frames.
institutional price action blocks beyond just standard order blocks. These include: -
Breaker Blocks: Formed when price breaks a significant high or low, retraces to the
order block that failed to hold, and then continues in the direction of the break. Breaker
blocks often act as strong areas of support or resistance. - Mitigation Blocks: Occur
when price returns to an order block after failing to make a new high or low. Instead of
breaking through, price respects the block and continues the original move, mitigating
the trapped orders within the block. - Reclaimed Blocks: These are essentially
mitigated blocks that are later revisited by price and act as support or resistance.
Understanding these different types of blocks provides a more nuanced view of
institutional manipulation and potential trading opportunities.
This lecture likely covers the concepts of Intermediate Term High/Low (ITH/ITL) and
Short Term High/Low (STH/STL). These terms are used to define different levels of swing
highs and lows based on the number of candles to the left and right. Identifying these
levels helps in understanding the fractal nature of the market and determining the
significance of different highs and lows in relation to market structure and liquidity.
Market bias refers to the expected directional movement of price over a specific period.
In SMC and ICT, developing a directional bias is crucial for making informed trading
decisions. This lecture would likely discuss how to determine bias using a top-down
analysis approach, starting from higher time frames (e.g., daily, weekly) to identify the
overall trend and key institutional levels, and then refining the bias on lower time
frames. Factors like market structure, liquidity, and key price levels are used to establish
a probabilistic bias.
This lecture appears to cover several advanced ICT concepts: - Killzones: Specific time
windows during the trading day when institutional activity is expected to be high,
offering the best trading opportunities. These often coincide with market open times or
economic news releases. - OTE (Optimal Trade Entry): As discussed earlier, this is a
high-probability entry zone identified using Fibonacci retracements. - CBDR (Central
Bank Dealers Range): This concept relates to the price range established by central
bank dealers, which can influence price movement, particularly in forex markets. -
Narrative: Understanding the overall market narrative or story based on fundamental
and technical factors helps in aligning trades with the larger market sentiment. - 3B's:
This likely refers to specific trade setups or patterns within the SMC/ICT framework,
although the exact meaning of
the "3B's" needs further clarification, possibly through detailed analysis of the video
content itself.
These lectures, while focused on the Indian market and Bank Nifty, provide a solid
framework for understanding the practical application of SMC and ICT principles. The
concepts discussed are universally applicable to forex trading, and by combining this
knowledge with the broader research, you will gain a robust understanding of these
advanced trading methodologies.
Confluence Trading
Confluence is a key aspect of SMC/ICT trading, where multiple technical factors align to
create a high-probability trading setup. Instead of relying on a single indicator or
concept, confluence trading involves identifying areas where order blocks, Fair Value
Gaps, liquidity pools, and market structure align. For example, an optimal trade entry
(OTE) that coincides with a strong order block and a liquidity sweep on a higher
timeframe presents a much stronger trading opportunity than any single factor alone.
Always look for multiple reasons to enter a trade.
Top-Down Analysis
Top-down analysis is crucial for establishing a clear directional bias and identifying high-
probability trading zones. This involves starting with higher timeframes (e.g., monthly,
weekly, daily) to determine the overall market structure, trend, and key institutional
levels. Once the higher timeframe bias is established, you can then drill down to lower
timeframes (e.g., 4-hour, 1-hour, 15-minute) to refine entry and exit points. This
approach ensures that your trades are aligned with the larger market flow, significantly
increasing your chances of success.
Even with the most advanced strategies, risk management remains paramount. Never
risk more than a small percentage of your trading capital on any single trade (typically
1-2%). Proper position sizing, based on your stop-loss distance and account size, is
essential to protect your capital. SMC/ICT strategies aim for high reward-to-risk ratios,
but losses are an inevitable part of trading. A robust risk management plan ensures that
a few losing trades do not wipe out your account.
Trading psychology plays a significant role in a trader's success. Emotions such as fear,
greed, and impatience can lead to impulsive decisions and deviations from your trading
plan. Developing discipline is crucial for consistently applying SMC/ICT principles. This
includes: - Sticking to your trading plan: Avoid chasing trades or entering positions
based on emotion. - Accepting losses: Understand that not every trade will be a winner,
and accept losses as a normal part of the business. - Avoiding overtrading: Do not force
trades when there are no high-probability setups. - Continuous learning: The market is
constantly evolving, so continuous learning and adaptation are essential.
Journaling and Backtesting
Maintaining a detailed trading journal is vital for tracking your progress, identifying
patterns in your trading, and learning from your mistakes. Record every trade, including
your entry and exit points, reasons for the trade, emotions experienced, and the
outcome. Regularly review your journal to identify areas for improvement. Backtesting
your strategies on historical data allows you to validate their effectiveness and build
confidence in your approach before risking real capital.
The Power of Three (Po3) is an ICT concept that describes the typical daily price action in
three phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution. - Accumulation: The
market consolidates or moves sideways, often during the Asian session, as institutions
accumulate positions. - Manipulation: Price makes a false move, often sweeping
liquidity above or below previous highs/lows, trapping retail traders. This typically
occurs during the London open. - Distribution: Price then moves strongly in the
intended direction, distributing the accumulated positions. This often happens during
the New York session. Understanding Po3 can help you anticipate daily price movements
and identify high-probability trading windows.
Market Maker Models (MMM) are advanced ICT concepts that describe the cyclical nature
of institutional price delivery. These models outline how market makers engineer price
movements to create liquidity and facilitate their order execution. MMMs often involve
specific patterns of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution over longer
timeframes. Recognizing these models can provide a deeper understanding of the
market's underlying intentions.
The Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) is a theoretical framework within ICT that
suggests price movements are not random but are governed by an underlying algorithm
used by interbank institutions to deliver price efficiently. While not a literal algorithm
you can code, understanding IPDA helps in recognizing patterns of price delivery, such as
how price moves between liquidity pools and Fair Value Gaps. This concept reinforces
the idea that institutional order flow drives market movements.
Seasonal Tendencies
ICT also incorporates the concept of seasonal tendencies, which are recurring patterns in
price movements that occur at specific times of the year. These tendencies are often
influenced by fundamental factors, such as economic cycles, holiday periods, and
institutional rebalancing. While not always precise, understanding seasonal tendencies
can provide an additional layer of confluence for your trading decisions.
ICT places a strong emphasis on the relationship between time and price. Certain times
of the day (e.g., specific hours during the London or New York sessions) are considered
more significant due to increased institutional activity. Combining these high-
probability time windows with key price levels (e.g., order blocks, FVGs, liquidity pools)
can lead to highly precise entry and exit points. This theory suggests that market
movements are often predictable when analyzed through the lens of time and price.
Conclusion
Becoming a consistently profitable forex trader using SMC and ICT concepts requires
dedication, continuous learning, and disciplined application. By thoroughly
understanding the core principles, practicing top-down analysis, implementing robust
risk management, and mastering trading psychology, you can significantly improve your
trading performance. The insights gained from Guardeer's YouTube lectures, combined
with the extensive research presented in this guide, provide a solid foundation for your
journey to becoming a professional SMC/ICT trader. Remember, consistent profitability
is a marathon, not a sprint, and continuous refinement of your skills will be key to long-
term success.